Presented by Patrick Jankowski, Vice President, Research Houston Economic Overview.
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Transcript of Presented by Patrick Jankowski, Vice President, Research Houston Economic Overview.
Presented by Patrick Jankowski, Vice President,
Research
Houston Economic Overview
Houston Area Profile
• 9 Counties
• 125+ Cities and towns
• Most Populous• Harris County
• City of Houston
Houston Area Profile
The Big Picture
2011 Gross Domestic ProductRank 20 Most Populous Metros $ Billions
11 Miami, FL 263.412 Seattle, WA 239.713 Minneapolis, MN 207.814 Detroit, MI 199.415 Phoenix, AZ 194.816 San Diego, CA 172.617 Baltimore, MD 148.318 St. Louis, MO 132.019 Tampa, FL 116.220 Riverside, CA 111.5
Fifth Largest U.S. Metro Economy
2011 Gross Domestic ProductRank 20 Most Populous Metros $ Billions
1 New York, NY 1,277.22 Los Angeles, CA 747.33 Chicago, IL 547.64 Washington, DC 433.15 Houston, TX 419.76 Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 391.37 Philadelphia, PA 353.38 San Francisco, CA 347.19 Boston, MA 325.610 Atlanta, GA 283.3
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Change in Real GDP ’10 – ’11 Rank 20 Most Populous Metros %
11 Los Angeles, CA 1.712 Tampa, FL 1.613 Chicago, IL 1.414 St. Louis, MO 1.215 Washington, DC 1.116 Baltimore, MD 1.117 Philadelphia, PA 1.018 New York, NY 0.819 Miami, FL 0.620 Riverside, CA 0.4
Fastest Growing Major Metro Economy
Change in Real GDP ’10 – ’11 Rank 20 Most Populous Metros %
1 Houston, TX 3.72 Detroit, MI 3.53 Dallas-Fort Worth, TX 3.14 Seattle, WA 2.95 San Francisco, CA 2.66 Boston, MA 2.47 San Diego, CA 2.38 Atlanta, GA 2.29 Minneapolis, MN 1.910 Phoenix, AZ 1.8
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Houston has a long history of economic growth.
Most Populous U.S. Metro Areas - 2012
Rank Metro Area Population1 New York 19,831,8582 Los Angeles 13,052,9213 Chicago 9,522,4344 Dallas-Fort Worth 6,700,9915 Houston 6,177,0356 Philadelphia 6,018,8007 Washington 5,860,3428 Miami 5,762,7179 Atlanta 5,457,831
10 Boston 4,640,802
Most Populous U.S. Metro Areas - 2012
Rank Metro Area Population11 San Francisco 4,455,56012 Riverside 4,350,09613 Phoenix 4,329,53414 Detroit 4,292,06015 Seattle 3,552,15716 Minneapolis 3,422,26417 San Diego 3,177,06318 Tampa 2,842,87819 St. Louis 2,795,79420 Baltimore 2,753,149
Fifth Most Populous Metro
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Rank Metro Areas Change Since 7/1/11
1 Houston 125,185 2.1%2 Dallas-Ft Worth 131,879 2.0%3 Phoenix 77,456 1.8%4 Seattle 54,338 1.6%5 Washington 89,129 1.5%6 Atlanta 83,153 1.5%7 Miami 74,809 1.3%8 San Francisco 58,642 1.3%9 San Diego 38,880 1.2%
10 Riverside 48,255 1.1%
Fastest Growing Major Metro
Rank Metro Areas Change Since 7/1/11
11 Minneapolis 33,215 1.0%12 Los Angeles 107,781 0.8%13 Boston 37,458 0.8%14 Baltimore 19,471 0.7%15 Tampa 16,440 0.6%16 New York 101,928 0.5%17 Philadelphia 21,326 0.4%18 Chicago 26,715 0.3%19 Detroit 4,094 0.1%20 St. Louis 2,419 0.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth is the norm for Houston.
Employment Picture
Employment
Employment
Employment
325,400 = jobs created since
recession botto
m
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsSeasonally adjusted
100%
Percent of jobs recovered through June ’13Houston vs. Top 10 Metros
Houston vs. the Top Metros
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsSeasonally adjusted
100%
Percent of jobs recovered through June ’13Houston vs. Top 10 Metros
Houston vs. the Top Metros
17.6%
23.0%
39.5%
44.8%
49.4%
60.6%
66.2%
80.9%
108.0%
128.8%
246.8%
Riverside
Detroit
St. Louis
Phoenix
San Francisco
Tampa
San Diego
Seattle
Minneapolis
Baltimore
Houston
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsSeasonally adjusted
Percent of jobs recovered through June ’13Houston vs. Second Tier Metros
Houston vs. the Top Metros
100%
Job Growth
Job Growth
Annual Job Growth (000s)
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
5,400
9,900
7,0005,900
12,000
4,100
800
3,000
11,100
13,500 13,300
-1,100
12,800
Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSAJune ’12 – June ’13
5.4%
5.5%
2.9%4.1%
4.4%
3.2%
2.7%
4.1% 5.0%
-1.1%
3.6%
2.1%
2.5%
Source: Texas Workforce Commission
Annual Employment Change
Unemployment
6.7% = Houston’s current unemployment
rate
What’s driving Houston’s growth
Energy
28.8% of U.S. jobs in oil and gas extraction
11.7% of U.S. jobs in oil field services
16.5% of U.S. jobs in O&G and construction machinery manufacturing
World Energy Headquarters
And energy jobs pay very well.
Average weekly wage
Oil and Gas Extraction = $4,301
Support Activities for Mining = $2,353
Ag., Construction, and Mining Machinery = $2,267
All Industries = $1,255
Energy entering a new phase
Increased domestic oil and gas production.
Cheap, abundant gas to spur manufacturing re-shoring.
33 local chemical plant expansions underway.
Oil Prices & Employment Growth
2,800 engineering and architectural firms operate here
20 of the world’s 25 largest with Houston operations
86,380 engineers, architects and technicians
Houston is an engineering center.
What’s driving growth . . . Foreign Trade
Houston-Galveston Customs District$ Billions (U.S.)
Exports
Imports
International Trade -Houston-Galveston Customs District
• Ports – Houston, Galveston, Texas City, Freeport, Corpus, Victoria
• Airports – Bush Intercontinental, Sugar Land Regional
• 41 countries with $1+ billion in trade
• 17 commodities with $1+ billion in trade
– Oil, industrial equipment, computers, chemicals, plastics, rubber, iron and steel products, copper products, motor vehicles, scientific instruments, beverages, grains
Foreign Trade
• 15th Busiest Port in the World• First in the U.S. in foreign tonnage• Second in U.S. in total tonnage• 220 million tons annually• 8,000+ deep draft ships called at
Houston• Service between Houston and
more than 1,000 world ports
Foreign Trade – Port of Houston
Houston’s Top 25 Export Destinations
Country Trade ($B) Country Trade ($B)
Mexico $13.470 Argentina $2.579
Brazil $9.144 Nigeria $2.480
Netherlands $7.899 Korea, Republic Of $2.762
Venezuela $3.629 Ecuador $2.325
Chile $4.212 Turkey $3.025
Colombia $4.801 Panama $1.817
United Kingdom $3.514 Russia $1.708
Belgium $3.459 Germany $2.088
Singapore $3.614 Costa Rica $1.699
China $3.835 India $2.163
France $2.459 U.A.E. $1.791
Saudi Arabia $2.099 Japan $1.502
Peru $2.616Source: WISER Trade
Houston’s Top 25 Export Destinations
Projected Economic Growth – Houston’s 25 Largest Trading Partners
Country∆ GDP
’12 – ’13 Direction Country
∆ GDP
’12 – ’13 Direction
Mexico 3.7 ↔ Argentina 4.0 ↔
Brazil 4.1 ↑ Nigeria 6.6 ↓
Netherlands 0.8 ↑ Korea, Republic Of 4.0 ↑
Venezuela 3.2 ↓ Ecuador 3.9 ↓
Chile 4.5 ↔ Turkey 3.2 ↑
Colombia 4.4 ↔ Panama 8.5 ↑
United Kingdom 2.0 ↑ Russia 3.9 ↔
Belgium 0.8 ↑ Germany 1.5 ↑
Singapore 3.9 ↑ Costa Rica 4.0 ↔
China 8.8 ↔ India 7.3 ↑
France 1.0 ↑ United Arab Emirates 2.9 ↑
Saudi Arabia 4.1 ↓ Japan 1.7 ↓
Peru 6.0 ↑ Source: International Monetary Fund
Outlook for Houston’s Export Destinations
’13 Outlook for Houston’s
Top Export Destinations
GDP Direction # Countries
↑ 13
↔ 7
↓ 5
Outlook for Houston’s Export Destinations
International business presence
What are you doing right now
More than 100 international companies have opened, expanded or relocated to Houston in the last few years…
• Three Airports– Bush Intercontinental– William P. Hobby Airport– Ellington Airport
• Passengers– 50.3 million passengers in ’12
• Air cargo– 419,000 metric tons in ’12
• 13 international passenger carriers– 68 destinations in 30 countries
• 11 domestic carriers– 119 domestic destinations
Aviation supports growth
Houston’s Global Reach
38
Source: Houston Airport System
Texas Medical Center 45.8 million gross sq ft physical space 106,000 employees
54 member institutions, including 17 hospitals 7.2 million patient visits annually More than 16,000 international patients
Houston has the nation’s largest medical center.
• Growing population– 125,000 people/year
• Infant population– 65,000 births/year
• In-Migration– 60,000 newcomers/year
• Aging population– 15,000 seniors (65+)/year
Population Growth
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Houston Outlook
Population
Employment
Gross Regional Product
Presented by Patrick Jankowski, Vice President,
Research
Houston Economic Overview