Presentation Uncovers Trends in the Unpredictable Healthcare Industry
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Transcript of Presentation Uncovers Trends in the Unpredictable Healthcare Industry
Trends in Healthcare Consulting
November 13, 2013David McMillan, CPANew Orleans, Louisiana
David McMillan provides financial and strategic services to the Firm's healthcare clients. David's areas of concentration are: feasibility studies for various healthcare entities; mergers, acquisitions, and affiliations among providers; strategic planning and forecasting, clinical integration services; and valuations and operational analysis.
Speaker Biography
David W. McMillan, CPAPYA Principal
Agenda
Status of the Healthcare Industry
Current and Future State of Independent Physician Practices
Trends in Physician-Hospital Alignment
Healthcare Regulatory Issues
Valuation Methods and Other Physician Practice Issues
Physician Compensation Issues
Other Trends in Physician Compensation
Healthcare Has Changed!
Payers
Healthcare Facilities
Specialists
Primary Care Physicians
Patients
Moving from… Moving toward…
Patients
Primary Care Physicians
Healthcare Facilities
Specialists
Payers
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1. The industry is learning to purchase value, not volume.
2. Providers and payers are struggling to find common solutions to universal challenges because healthcare continues to be a local and regional commodity.
3. Stakeholders are searching for their purpose and relevancy in a patient-centered healthcare continuum.
4. Consumerism is emerging as a driving force in healthcare.
5. Change is accelerating due to knowledge derived from disparate and dynamic data.
Healthcare 2.0
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Pressures
Narrow Networks
New Payment Models
Hospital Employment
Quality ReportingInformation Technology
Industry Consolidation
New Care Models
Referral Relationships
Declining Reimbursement FFS
Regulations
Malpractice Insurance Costs
Non-Compliant Patients
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Balancing Choices
Current Environment
Employment
Hospital Alignment
Reformed Environment
Independence
Physician Alignment
Economic Relationship
Clinical Relationship
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Information Technology Investments
Consolidation and Alignment
Physician Employment
Other Innovations:• ACOs• PCMHs• CINs
Healthcare Reform Initiatives
New Payment Models
How are Hospitals and Physicians Responding to New Realities?
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Current State of Physician Practices
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Maintaining Physician Independence
How confident are you in your group’s ability to sustain
financial independence in the next 3 to 5 years?
Very confident 35.0%
Not confident 15.0%
Uncertain 50.0%
Source: PYA Physician Survey and Experience
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Examining Independence
“Independence”
Scale
PerformanceExcellence
Strategies for Independence
Merge
Secure the primary care
docs in a multi-
specialty group
Get involved in politics
Maximize alternative
revenue sources
Enhance physicians recruitment
with intangible
perks
2
15
34
Maintaining Independence: Conclusion?
Maintaining independence is not easy.
Careful planning and documentation is key.
Some solo practices will survive but most will align with other providers.
Strategic thinkers will gain in the end.
One size does not fit all.
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Current Hospital-Physician Alignment Environment
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Hospital-Physician Alignment Transactions
#
Hospitals and physicians are actively seeking ways to strategically and financially align themselves.
Successful alignment transactions can result in substantial benefits to all parties including patients.• Improved efficiencies and quality of care• Reduce costs and waste• Better bargaining power with third party
payers
With what type(s) of healthcare entities do you work closely?
1. Hospital2. Health System3. Physician Practice4. Solo Practitioners5. Commercial Health
Insurer/Payer 6. Government Other 7. None (no healthcare entities)
0 / 0 Cross-tab label
1
1
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Hospitals & Health Systems
Seeking efficiencies
Diversifying, focusing on outpatient and wellness care
Increasing emphasis on standardization, integration, and consolidation of services
Experiencing physician shortages in key specialties
Competition from other systems as well as physician-owned outpatient centers
Call coverage needs
Healthcare reform
Hospitals & Health Systems
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PhysiciansFinancially squeezed - decline in reimbursement, increased overhead, and loss of income
Difficulty obtaining malpractice coverage at reasonable rates
Inability or unwillingness ($$) to recruit
Quality of life
Increasingly complex government oversight
Working capital requirements
Healthcare reform
Physicians
Exit strategy
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Physicians Are Feeling the Pain
Financially squeezed• Decline in reimbursement and loss of income• Overhead, malpractice insurance, and working
capital requirements
Continuing uncertainty surrounding reimbursement
Pressure to demonstrate quality of services
Difficulty hiring “sophisticated” support staff
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Physicians Are Feeling the Pain (Cont.)
Inability to recruit; succession planning
Decreasing quality of life
Increasingly complex government oversight
Healthcare reform
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Strategic Responses to Changes
Merge with other medical practices.
Create mega-group IPAs.
Secure “primary care” referral sources.
Maintain leadership roles in hospital/community.
“Align” with hospitals – Employment, Service Line Management, ER Call, PSAs.
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Physician Alignment Options
More IntegrationLess Integration
More Common
Less Common
Equipment JV
EMR
Co-Management
Medical Directorships
Shared Savings
Real Estate JV
Quality
Professional Services
Agreement
Physician Leasing
Arrangement
Physician Employment
Many attempts to align in the past have centered around physician employment.
Trends in Healthcare Alignment:Employment
• According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment of physicians and surgeons by hospitals is expected to grow by 24% from 2010 to 2020.
Although the rate at which employment is growing has been debated, it is undeniable that the number of physicians who are “truly independent” is declining.
Trends in Healthcare Alignment:Employment
Sou
rces
: Acc
ent
ure
Ana
lysi
s, M
GM
A, A
mer
ican
Med
ica
l Ass
oci
atio
n
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Employed Physician Estimate
% of Total US Physicians
Estimated % Employed
Weighted Estimate
Primary Care 48% 50% 24%
Specialty 52% 30% 15.6%
Total 100% 39.6%
Predicting the next five years…
• Increasing number of newly trained physicians seeking employment
• Nearly one-third of practicing physicians are 55 or older
• More than 40% of physicians still practice in groups of fewer than five
• AAMC analysis forecasting a shortage of 160,000 physicians by 2025
• Medicare program sustainability and healthcare reform impact
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Practice Arrangements
Practice Owned by Practice Physicians - Owner (48.9)
Practice Owned by Practice Physicians - Non-Owner (11.1)
Practice Wholly Owned by Hospi-tal (14.7)
Practice Partially Owned by Hospi-tal (8.3)
Practice Owned by Not-for-Profit Foundation (6)
Direct employees of hospital or health system (5.6)
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Trends in Physician Practice Acquisitions – the “Buy and Employ” Strategy
Hospitals and physicians are entering into acquisition and employment transactions at a torrid pace!
Transactions often make good business sense but also involve substantial risk.
• Regulatory risk• Financial risk (i.e., hospital’s
ability to successfully integrate and operate the practice without incurring substantial losses)
• Reputation risk (the two entities are now related)
Very competitive environment in many markets.
Buy and Employ
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“Buy and Employ” Transactions
Typical Transaction:• Hospital buys the practice at fair market value (“FMV”)o Usually structured as an asset purchase o Cash and AR normally excluded
Physicians employed by the hospital • Generally under some type of productivity-based compensation
arrangement (wRVUs)• Commonly involves a period of guaranteed compensation
(assuming productivity does not decline substantially)• Often includes other types of arrangements as well (e.g., co-
management, call pay, quality incentives, etc.)
Healthcare Regulatory Considerations
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Road100m
Menu
STARK LAWProhibited self-referrals for Medicare and Medicaid patients
Navigating the Regulatory Environment
ANTI-KICKBACK STATUTEKnowingly and willful
offers, payments, or receipts for referrals
IRS-NFP REQUIREMENTSIRC Section 501(c) 3 requirements
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FAIR MARKET VALUE
Compliance Issues Regarding Hospital-Physician Financial Relationships
COMMERCIAL REASONABLENESS
Overall Arrangement
“WHY?”
SENSE CENTS
Range of Dollars Only
“HOW MUCH?”
Scope
Key Question
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Factors in Determining CR
Business Purpose
Provider Analysis
Facility Analysis
Resource Analysis
Independence & Oversight
Commercial
Reasonableness
Determination
Commercial
Reasonableness
Determination
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Fair Market Value – Key Concepts
Determined from the perspective of hypothetical buyers and sellers without the ability to refer business to one another.
No consideration for post-transaction buyer synergies. However, such synergies often exist!
The financial terms of the transaction must make economic sense based on the assets being sold/received.
Post-transaction compensation must be taken into consideration.
Valuation Methods and Issues Related to Physician Practices
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Valuation Methodologies Typically Used for Physician Practices
Derives an indication of value based on the anticipated cost to replace, replicate, orrecreate the asset
Often considered a “floor” value
Net Asset Value Method
Asset (“cost”) Approach
Based on the entity’s earning power (i.e., ability to generate positive cash flow in excess of the physician’s fair market value compensation)
Primary methods include: o Discounted Cash Flow
Method
o Capitalized Income Method
Income Approach
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Valuation Methodologies Typically Not Used for Physician PracticesMarket Approach – determines an indication of value based on multiples derived from similar businesses/interests that have been bought/sold. • Guideline Public Company Method• Merger and Acquisition Transaction Data Method
Not normally used for physician practices because:• No publicly traded physician practices • Lack of reliable transaction data involving practices that
are sufficiently similar
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…does not have remaining profits after physician compensation
the NAV method will likely be appropriate.
…has profits remaining after FMV physician compensation
an income approach will probably be
required.
Which Method is Appropriate?
IT DEPENDS…
If the Practice…
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Enterprise vs. Intangible Value
The sum total of the tangible and intangible assets can not exceed the entity’s total enterprise value.
Example: • If the enterprise value = $2 million (e.g., determined
from DCF Method)• AND the tangible assets (e.g., cash, accounts
receivable, equipment, etc.) = $1,200,000• THEN, (with limited exceptions) intangible assets can
not exceed $800,000.
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Assessing Intangible Value
Determining whether a physician practice has intangible value (within the limitations of FMV) is primarily based upon cash flow. If intangible value exists, there should be an economic benefit of ownership (i.e., in excess of FMV compensation).
Physician groups that generate positive cash flow (above the physician’s “FMV” compensation) will normally have some level of intangible value.
Practices that do not produce such positive cash flow generally will have little or no intangible value.
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Certain Practices Are More Likely to Have Intangible Value
Large multi-specialty practices with mid-level providers and/or significant ancillary services are more likely to have intangible value.
Small, highly-specialized practices (e.g., general surgeons) are less likely to have intangible value because substantially all revenue is comprised of professional fees generated by the physician(s).
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Intangible Assets Acquired Should be Separable and Transferrable
For an intangible asset to be transferrable to a buyer, it must be separable from the seller.
Intangible assets that are separable generally have contractual or other legal rights (e.g., non-competition agreements, clinical trial contracts, etc).
Intangible assets that are not separable are generally components of goodwill (e.g., employee workforce).
Source: ASC 805-20-25-1 through 25-10.
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Practice vs. Personal Goodwill
Practice goodwill is an asset of the entity that produces economic benefits to its owners apart from their personal goodwill.• Factors generally influencing enterprise goodwill include: the entity’s
name, reputation, location, phone number, etc.• Generally transferrable
Personal goodwill is an asset of the individual (i.e., physician).• Factors generally influencing personal goodwill include: personal
reputation, credentials, education, relationships, etc.• Generally not transferrable
Often difficult to distinguish in a physician practice.
Physician Compensation Issues
Key Elements of Successful Compensation Alignment
• Directly linked to
goals and objectives
• Encourage/reward
hard work and
production
• Balance individual
and team
responsibility
• Clarify performance
expectations
• Aligned with
reimbursement
environment
• Simple, understood,
and explainable
• Clearly defined and
consistently applied
• Open and
transparent
• Fiscally responsible
• Legally compliant
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Components of Physician Compensation
Physician
Compensation
Philosophy
Physician
Compensation
Philosophy
Base Compensation
Incentive Component
Quality Measures
Good Citizenship
Leadership
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Ancillary Services
If physician/clinic is a department of the hospital, then revenue from designated health services (“DHS”) cannot be shared with the providers.
If employment is structured to meet the “group practice exception” under the Stark regulations, then DHS revenue can be shared with providers as long as it is not allocated based on the volume or value of the provider’s ordered DHS services.• Allocations can range from equal to proportional based on professional
(not technical) services provided by the physician.
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Compensation and Regulatory Issues
Post-transaction compensation should be factored into the practice valuation.• Must avoid double dipping by paying for the same income stream
twice – once with the “purchase” and then on-going in the physician compensation plan.
The fair market value and commercial reasonableness requirements apply to all components of the transaction (i.e., compensation and practice valuation).
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Other Trends in Physician Compensation
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SGR Fix: Physician Composite Performance Score and Other Value-to-Value Drivers
Due to the sustainable growth rate formula cap (“SGR”) – the statutory formula used to calculate Medicare Physician Fee Schedule (“MPFS”) payments on an annual basis – Medicare payments to physicians will be slashed by almost 25 percent on January 1, 2014, unless Congress intervenes.
On October 30, the Senate Finance Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee released a discussion draft of a SGR fix, offering a comprehensive approach to MPFS payment reform.
Key provisions include:• Payment freeze• Termination of payment penalty programs• New value-based performance (VBP) program• Alternative payment model (APM) participation• Complex chronic care management• Appropriate use criteria• Valuation of services
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SGR Fix: Physician Composite Performance Score and Other Value-to-Value Drivers
Payment freeze• Current MPFS payments maintained through 2023 . • In 2024, physicians participating in advanced APMs receive 2%
annual updates. All other physicians receive 1% annual updates.
Termination of payment penalty programs• After 2016, the following incentive programs end:
- 2% penalty for failure to report PQRS measures- Budget-neutral, value-based purchasing modifier based on
quality and resource use - 3-5% EHR meaningful use penalties
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New value-based performance (VBP) program• Starting 2017, physicians would receive bonuses or penalties
based on their composite performance scores.• Scores calculated based on quality measures (30% of
composite score), resource use (30%), clinical practice improvement activities (15%), and EHR meaningful use (25%).
• In 2017, 8% of total payments reallocated based on composite scores. Percentage increases to 9% and then 10% in 2018 and 2019, respectively.
Alternative payment model (APM) participation• Physicians receiving a significant percentage of revenue
through a risk-sharing APM with a quality measurement component (such as an ACO) would not participate in the New VBP Program. Instead, they would receive a 5% bonus each year between 2016 and 2021.
SGR Fix: Physician Composite Performance Score and Other Value-to-Value Drivers
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Complex chronic care management• In 2015, Medicare would pay physicians for care management
services furnished to beneficiaries with certain chronic conditions.
• To be eligible for these payments, physicians must practice in a certified PCMH or comparable specialty practice.
Appropriate use criteria• Physicians ordering advanced imaging or electrocardiogram
services required to consult with appropriate-use criteria, to be developed in consultation with professional societies.
• Medicare would not pay for services when no consultation occurred.
SGR Fix: Physician Composite Performance Score and Other Value-to-Value Drivers
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Valuation of services• Between 2016 and 2018, CMS would systematically identify and
revalue misvalued services. • If CMS fails to meet certain annual targets, MPFS payments
reduced by the difference between target and actual amount of misvalued services identified.
• CMS would solicit information from selected physicians to support its valuation activities. Physicians who submit requested information would be compensated. Those who do not would face significant payment penalties.
SGR Fix: Physician Composite Performance Score and Other Value-to-Value Drivers