Presentation: Planning Methods - Measuring Sprawl in College Station

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By: Yi Zhang, Avinash Shrivastava, Matt Sandidge, and Andy Schneck

description

Urban sprawl is endemic throughout the United States. At times College Station has been accused of ugly urban sprawl and at other times it has been accused of over regulation of development. Some believe that city-subsidized sprawl is a requirement for economic growth, while others feel that this sort of expansion can limit economic development. The result of automobile dominant transportation system on the urban form of Bryan/College Station include: low densities, reliance on automobiles, urban sprawl, suburbanization, increased rural residential in the Extra Territorial Jurisdictions (ETJ's) and a generally dispersed pattern of land development and urban activities. In this project, we will try to measure sprawl and its impact in College Station. The urban sprawl can be measured and analyzed using the four factor sprawl index:1) Residential density,2) Neighborhood mix of homes, jobs, and services,3) Strength of activity centers and downtowns,4) Accessibility of the street network

Transcript of Presentation: Planning Methods - Measuring Sprawl in College Station

Page 1: Presentation: Planning Methods - Measuring Sprawl in College Station

By: Yi Zhang, Avinash Shrivastava, Matt Sandidge, and Andy Schneck

Page 2: Presentation: Planning Methods - Measuring Sprawl in College Station

Study Area South College Station and southern tip of Brazos County.

8.2% 0.4%

72.5%

9.9%1.6%

7.3%

Land Use of Study Area

Single Family ResidenceMulti-Family ResidenceFarm and Agricultural

Source: Brazos County Appraisal District

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Data Normalization In order to compare 1990 Census Data to 2000 Census Data

we incorporated 3 tracts into our study area.

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Population 67 % population increase from 1990-2000 Brazos County increased in population by 25% Accounted for 45% of the total growth in the Brazos County

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

1990 2000

20,787

34,618

Population in Study Area

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2000 Population Distribution

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

18.01 18.02 20.01 20.02 20.03 20.04 20.05

5,3135,829

3,885 3,928

4,985

3,051

7,627

Study Area Tracts

Population 2000

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•As you move from the center of the city and away from the university the population density decreases significantly

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Household Characteristics2000 Families Non-families Total Households Percent of Families

Percent of Non-families

Study Area 8,146 4,841 12,987 62.72% 37.28%

Brazos County 30,390 24,812 55,202 55.05% 44.95%

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1990 Study Area 2000 Study Area

0.069

0.114

Households Per Acre

1990 Families Non-families Total Households Percent of FamiliesPercent of Non-families

Study Area 5,005 2,852 7,857 63.7% 36.3%

Brazos County 24,903 18,822 43,725 57.0% 43.0%

•Study area for both 1990 and 2000 has a higher percentage of families households•The number of households per acre increased by 65%•The number of housing units increased by 60%

Housing Units

Study Area 1990 8591

Study Area 2000 13762

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Renter vs. Owner

Tract Percent Owner Occupied Percent Renter Occupied18.01 43.38% 56.62%18.02 45.26% 54.74%20.01 92.66% 7.34%20.02 79.49% 20.51%20.03 86.74% 13.26%20.04 84.04% 15.96%20.05 37.23% 62.77%Total SA 60.00% 40.00%Brazos Co. 45.58% 54.42%

Tract Percent Owner Occupied Percent Renter Occupied

18 36.44% 63.56%

20 61.86% 38.14%

2005 100.00% 0.00%

Total SA 51.67% 48.33%

Brazos 34.97% 65.03%

1990

2000

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•Three of the new housing additions in south College Station.

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Age and Sex of Study Area

01000200030004000500060007000

under 21

21-39 40-64 65 or over

Study Area 1990

male

female

35% 34%

43%43%

19%19%

3% 4%

01000200030004000500060007000

under 21 21-39 40-64 65 or over

Study Area 2000

male

female

36% 35%34% 33%

25% 25%

5% 7%

•From 1990 to 2000 the 21-39 age category decreased and the 40-64 category increased.

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15000

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30000

under 21

21-39 40-64 65 or over

Brazos County 1990

male

female

37% 37%43%

38%

15% 17%

5%8%

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

under 21

21-39 40-64 65 or over

Brazos County 2000

male

female

37%39%

19% 20%

5%8%

37%35%

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Age By Tract for 1990 and 2000

2000 Census Median Age Average Age18.01 24.6 28.6418.02 24 28.5220.01 39.6 35.3620.02 31.4 31.2220.03 34 32.7120.04 37 35.0920.05 22 27.6Study Area 26 30.28Brazos County 24 29.55

1990 Census Median Age Average Age18 24 26.2920 27 29.512005 42 40.06Study Area 25 28.01Brazos County 24 28.76

•Study area average is similar to the county average

•Tract 20.05 is much younger (closer to campus)

•Tract 20.03 and 20.04 are older than average (suburban growth)

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74.6

10.7

0.3

4.1

0.1

8.4

1.9

Total Population:Race Distribution-Brazos County 2000

White Alone

African American Alone

American Indian and Alaska Native Alone

Asian Alone

Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander Alone

Some Other Race Alone

Two or More Races

Race

87.2

3.50.4

4.2

0.0

3.2

1.4

Total Population:Race Distribution-Study Area 2000

White Alone

African American Alone

American Indian and Alaska Native Alone

Asian Alone

Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander Alone

Some Other Race Alone

Two or More Races

90.1

4.0

0.1

2.62.7

Total Population:Race Distribution-Study Area 1990

White Alone

African American Alone

American Indian; Eskimo; or Aleut

Asian or Pacific Islander

Other Race

77.8

11.2

0.33.7

7.1

Total Population:Race Distribution-Brazos County 1990

White Alone

African American Alone

American Indian; Eskimo; or Aleut

Asian or Pacific Islander

Other Race

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Race Distribution Between TractsTotal

Population18.01 18.02 20.01 20.02 20.03 20.04 20.05

White Alone 30174 86.2% 84.6% 90.5% 87.2% 84.8% 89.2% 88.8%

African American Alone 1226 4.6% 3.5% 0.5% 4.8% 3.4% 3.7% 3.8%American Indian and Alaska Native Alone 140 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5%

Asian Alone 1465 4.5% 7.8% 5.7% 2.1% 6.5% 0.2% 1.8%Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander

Alone 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Some Other Race Alone 1122 3.5% 2.9% 1.4% 4.0% 2.4% 5.6% 3.5%

Two or More Races 491 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 1.3% 1.6%

Total Population18.00 20.00 2005

White Alone 18733 89.4% 91.3% 100.0%

African American Alone 833 3.6% 4.3% 0.0American Indian; Eskimo; or Aleut 25 0.1% 0.1% 0.0Asian or Pacific

Islander 543 4.1% 1.7% 0.0

Other Race 557 2.9% 2.6% 0.0

1990

2000

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Hispanic

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

1990 2000

13.71%

17.88%

7.25% 8.09%

Percent Hispanic

Brazos County

Study Area

Hispanic Population 2000 Total Population Percent Hispanic18.01 5313 9.35%18.02 5829 7.21%20.01 3885 4.45%20.02 3928 9.78%20.03 4985 5.56%20.04 3051 11.11%20.05 7627 9.31%Study Area 34618 8.09%

Brazos County 152415 17.88%

Hispanic Population 1990 Total Population

Percent Hispanic

18 8226 7.57%

20 12530 7.03%

2005 31 9.68%

Study Area 20787 7.25%

Brazos County 121862 13.71%

•Hispanic population increase in study area was not as significant as county increase between 1990 and 2000.

•Tract 20.04 was significantly higher than average.

1990 2000

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Education Level for Persons Over 25 years of age

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

20.2%

39.9%

22.7%

17.2%

Brazos County 1990

Below 12th Grade

High School GraduateAssociate/Bachelors

Graduate

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8.3%

38.3%

30.4%

23.0%

Study Area 1990

Below 12th Grade

High School GraduateAssociate/Bachelors

Graduate

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

18.7%

39.8%

24.2%

17.3%

Brazos County 2000

Below 12th Grade

High School GraduateAssociate/Bachelors

Graduate

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

7.1%

34.3% 33.3%

25.3%

Study Area 2000

Below 12th Grade

High School GraduateAssociate/Bachelors

Graduate

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Income Levels•The study area has both low and high income regions.

Census Tract

Median Income

15.00 625017.00 1243714.00 1461216.04 1551116.03 1594713.03 1610113.01 1673620.05 1684013.02 1768810.00 2191716.01 2224815.00 2270816.03 248156.04 262504.00 274097.00 276509.00 278662.01 289183.00 3128811.00 3183118.01 377732.02 3857819.00 430568.00 4439518.02 4629520.04 487271.00 5043220.02 5495220.03 7143820.01 89059

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Occupation

Mgmt & Prof Sevice Sales Farming, Forrestry

Construction, Extraction

Production, Transportation

Brazos County 39.3 16.4 25.3 0.6 8.9 9.5Census Tract 1802 53.6 13.5 23.4 0.4 3.2 5.9Census Tract 2003 60.4 7.5 21.7 0 4.7 5.6Census Tract 2004 42 13.7 20.5 1.5 16.1 6.2Census Tract 2005 43.2 16.7 24.5 1.3 7.4 6.9

0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.0

Perc

enta

ge2000 Occupation by County, Census Tracts

Mgmt & Prof Sales (Tech) Service Farming & For/Fish Prec Fabrication Operators &

LaborersBrazos County 32% 33% 14% 2% 8% 10%Census Tract 18 43% 34% 9% 1% 4% 8%Census Tract 20 42% 30% 11% 3% 9% 5%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Perc

enta

ge

1990 Occupations by County, Census Tracts

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Travel Times and Modes

85.2%

10.4%0.2% 0.4%

1.1%

2.6%

2000 Study Area Commuting Patterns

Drove Alone

Car Pooled

Public Transit

Walked

Other Means

Worked at Home

76.4%

13.2%1.0% 3.3% 3.5% 2.6%

2000 Brazos County Commuting Patterns

80.1%

12.5%

2.2%3.6%

1.6%

1990 Study Area Commuting Patterns

Drove Alone

Car Pooled

Public Transit

Walked / worked from home

Other Means

71.0%14.0%

2.0%8.1% 4.9%

1990 Brazos County Communting Patterns

Study Area 18.8 minutes

Brazos County 16.7 minutes

Average Commute Times•Study area is dominated by the automobile •Little variation in mode as compared to the county

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Commuting Patterns

TractTotal Workers

% Driving Alone

% Car Pooled

% Public Transit % Walked

% Other Means

% Worked at Home

Mean Travel Time

18.01 4334 92.16% 5.54% 0.00% 0.30% 0.62% 1.38% 14.5

18.02 3102 87.01% 10.25% 0.00% 0.23% 1.35% 1.16% 15.4

20.01 1984 83.62% 11.44% 0.20% 1.31% 0.66% 2.77% 15.7

20.02 2072 85.28% 11.73% 0.00% 0.29% 0.43% 2.27% 18.5

20.03 2297 84.33% 10.88% 0.00% 0.17% 0.78% 3.83% 20.7

20.04 1506 83.93% 10.69% 0.00% 0.53% 0.00% 4.85% 27.9

20.05 3797 81.85% 11.51% 0.71% 0.37% 2.58% 2.98% 18.6

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Transportation

•Traditional suburban development constitutes driving as main source of transportation

•Lack of sidewalks is another indicator of this transportation mode.

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Characterizations

•Tract 18.02•High population density•Small pocket of high income•Median age is low•Some students•High Asian population•Some commercial

•Tract 20.03•Most affluent•Highest income•Much new development in this area

•Tract 20.05•Lowest income•Closest to the university•Lowest average age•Many students•Majority of renter-occupied units

•Tract 20.04•Low density•Very rural•Oldest population•Income is above county average

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20.05 20.03

20.04 18.02

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Page 24: Presentation: Planning Methods - Measuring Sprawl in College Station

Since 2000 From field research it is clear that many houses have been

built since 2000 According to the 2007 Census Bureau estimates there have

been many new houses built in Brazos County Some new commercial developments

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The End