PRESENTATION OF Q3 2016 RESULTS - Grupa...
Transcript of PRESENTATION OF Q3 2016 RESULTS - Grupa...
PRESENTATION OF
Q3 2016 RESULTS
November 9th 2016
PageAgenda
Grupa Azoty Group 3
Business segments 10
Grupa Azoty PUŁAWY Group 21
Grupa Azoty POLICE Group 27
Grupa Azoty KĘDZIERZYN Group 34
Appendix 1 – The Parent 42
Appendix 2 – Market prices 49
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
4
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
Research and Development Centre in Tarnów
- competitive advantage built on knowledge
Continued efforts to secure funding for strategic projects
- annexes signed to credit facility agreements with PKO BP S.A.
- Grupa Azoty to directly participate in financing the PDH project
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
281 369 504 519 327
0% 100%
Grupa Azoty S.A. ZAK Group Grupa Azoty POLICE Grupa Azoty PUŁAWY Other
5
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP Q3 2016 RESULTS
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP'S Q3 2016 CONSOLIDATED REVENUE STRUCTURE
REVENUE
2,000
EBITDA
131
EBITDA MARGIN
6.6%
NET PROFIT
-10
(PLNm)
Q3 PERFORMANCE DRIVERS
↗ Grupa Azoty's REBITDA* performance
significantly better relative to benchmark
performance of global peers
↗ Adverse global trends in Fertilizers largely
offset by improved profitability in
Chemicals
↗ Net cash flow increased qoq on measures
to optimise working capital and CAPEX
levels
*Recurring EBITDA = underlying EBITDA adjusted to eliminate one-off items
of PLN 18m (impairment of assets in Grupa Azoty Police)
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP QUARTERLY RESULTS
6GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
* 3Q 2016 was adjusted for impairment loss recognised by African Investment Group S.A.
** Restated following application of uniform accounting policies across Grupa Azoty (see Section 2.2.c of the Supplementary information to the financial
statements)
(PLNm)
Q3
2013
Q3
2014
Q3
2015**
Q3
2016(PLNm)
Revenue 2,226 2,269 2,396 2,000
EBIT -9 2 107 1
EBIT margin -0.4% 0.1% 4% 0.1%
EBITDA 111 128 226 131
EBITDA margin 5% 6% 9% 7%
Net profit 0.2 9 82 -10
111 128
226
131 150
5,0%5,6%
9,4%
6,6%
3Q 2013 3Q 2014 3Q 2015 3Q 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA(adjusted)*
EBITDA MARGIN
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP: Q1−Q3 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
7GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
Q1-Q3
2013
Q1-Q3
2014
Q1-Q3
2015**
Q1-Q3
2016
Q1−Q3 change
2016/2015(PLNm)
Revenue 7,473 7,342 7,507 6,633 -12% (
EBIT 780 294 641 439 -32% (
EBIT margin 10% 4% 9% 7%
EBITDA 1,196 695 1,003 826 -18% (
EBITDA margin 16% 9% 13% 12%
Net profit 771 250 540 346 -36% (
1,196
695
1,003826750
869
16.0%
9.5%
13.4%12.5%
Q1-Q3 2013 Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA(adjusted)*
EBITDA MARGIN
* In 2013 adjusted for gain on bargain purchase of Grupa Azoty PUŁAWY
In 2016, adjusted for estimated impairment loss recognised by African Investment Group S.A.
** Restated following application of uniform accounting policies across Grupa Azoty (see Section 2.2.c of the Supplementary information to the financial
statements)
(PLNm)
8
CORPORATE
PROJECTS
68 CAPEX PROJECTS
PLASTICSENERGYFERTILIZERS OXOPLASTS MELAMINE PIGMENTS
ORGANIC GROWTHINVESTMENTS
2014−2020 CAPEX BUDGET: PLN 7bn
32 % 11 %19 %30 % 4 % 2 % 2 %
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IN JANUARY−SEPTEMBER 2016
GRUPA AZOTY – RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
CAPEX IN 2016
PLN 1.6bnTOTAL
PLN 875m
BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENTS 425.0
BUSINESS MAINTENANCE INVESTMENTS 227.2
MANDATORY INVESTMENTS 86.5
PURCHASE OF FINISHED GOODS 35.4
OTHER (COMPONENTS, MAJOR OVERHAULS) 101.0
ACTUAL EXPENDITURE AGAINST CAPEX BUDGET SINCE 2014
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP FINANCIALS
(PLNm)
(PLNm)
9GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
68%
17%
15%
FINANCING STRUCTURE
1,150
462 5
AVAILABLE FUNDS
Corporate credit facilities
Overdraft and multi-purpose facilities
Other financing sources
(PLNm)
RATIOSQ1-Q3
2015*
Q1-Q3
2016
Profitability ratios
EBIT margin (%) 8.5 6.6
EBITDA margin (%) 13.4 12.5
ROCE (%) 7.3 4.7
ROE (%) 7.7 4.7
Liquidity ratios
Current ratio 2.0 1.9
Debt ratios
Total debt ratio (%) 33.0 33.7
Net debt (PLNm) 1 281
Net debt/12M EBITDA ratio 0 0.2
Debt to equity ratio (%) 49.3 50.9
* Restated following application of uniform accounting policies across Grupa Azoty (see Section 2.2.c of the Supplementary information to the financial statements)
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
xxAgro Fertilizers
xxOther Activities
xxPlastics
xxChemicals
xxEnergy
xx %
xx %
xx %
xx %
xx %
SEGMENTS
11
Q3 2016
revenue
(PLNm)
%
contribution
Q3 2016
EBITDA
(PLNm)
%
contribution
1,088 54 10 7
262 13 -10 x
556 28 69 49
43 2 19 14
51 3 43 30
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
AGRO FERTILIZERS GLOBALLY
12
Source: CIC Sept 2016
World +7 Mt
Russia +9 Mt
USA +7 Mt
Canada +2 Mt
Australia +3 Mt
EU28 -15 Mt
France -12 Mt
Germany -2 Mt
Ukraine -800 kt
2016/2017
vs. 2015/2016 changes in wheat production
2011−2015 high
150
250
350
450
550
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
USD/t
months
Urea market prices in 2011−2015 and 2016
2011−2015 high
2011−2015 average
2011−2015 low
2016 market prices
Source: Profercy – prilled urea Baltic FOB prices
300
400
500
600
700
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
USD/t
months
DAP market prices in 2011−2015 and 2016
2011−2015 average
2011−2015 low
2016 market prices
Source: WFM – DAP 18-46 Baltic FOB prices
200
300
400
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
USD/t
months
NPK market prices in 2011−2015 and 2016
2011−2015 high
2011−2015 average
Source: WFM – NPK Baltic FOB prices
2011−2015 low
2016 market prices
Oilseed rape, wheat and corn prices
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2 200
Jan11
Mar11
May11
Jul11
Sep11
Nov11
Jan12
Mar12
May12
Jul12
Sep12
Nov12
Jan13
Mar13
May13
Jul13
Sep13
Nov13
Jan14
Mar14
May14
Jul14
Sep14
Nov14
Jan15
Mar15
May15
Jul15
Sep15
Nov15
Jan16
Mar16
May16
Jul16
Sep16
PLN/tMilling wheat − PLN/t Fodder corn − PLN/t
Oilseed rape − PLN/t
Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
AGRO FERTILIZERS GLOBALLY
13
NARROWING MARKET SPREADS PER N
NEGATIVE PRICING TRENDS
OUTLOOK
↘ Global markets of nitrogen fertilizers
characterised by low prices and sluggish
demand, as farmers reduce fertilizer
application in the autumn season, keeping
fertilizer stocks for use in spring.
↗ Demand for compound NPK fertilizers has
been below producer expectations since the
spring season. Low forecast prices of
agricultural crops may cause NPK fertilizer
prices to stabilise in Q4 2016 and spike
seasonally in Q1 2017.
↗ Domestic market support − advance direct
payments (70%).
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan14
Feb14
Mar14
Apr14
May14
Jun14
Jul14
Aug14
Sep14
Oct14
Nov14
Dec14
Jan15
Feb15
Mar15
Apr15
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
DAP NPK 3x16 Ammonia (16%N) Phosphate rock
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jan14
Feb14
Mar14
Apr14
May14
Jun14
Jul14
Aug14
Sep14
Oct14
Nov14
Dec14
Jan15
Feb15
Mar15
Apr15
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
CAN (27%N) Urea (27%N) Ammonia (27%N)
-26%
-10%
-22%
CAN equivalent
NPK equivalent
EUR/t
USD/t
EUR/t USD/t
0
100
200
300
400
Prilled urea AN 33.5% CAN 27% UAN 32%N Ammoniumsulfate
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
0
100
200
300
400
500
Ammonia DAP 18-46 NPK 16-16-16
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
-16%-28%-37%
-18%-33%-27%
-25%-30%
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP: AGRO FERTILIZERS
14
VOLUMES
(PLNm)Q3
2013
Q3
2014
Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Change
Y/Y
Segment revenue,
including:1,259 1,210 1,468 1,088 4,522 3,830 -15% (
Nitrogen fertilizers
and ammonia815 782 854 589 2,791 2,261 -19% (
Compound fertilizers 341 354 487 392 1,423 1,269 -11% (
EBITDA 83 73 169 10 725 505 -30% (
EBITDA margin 7% 6% 12% 1% 16% 13% (
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
Nitrogen fertilizers andammonia
Compound fertilizers
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
-3%
-5%
'000 tonnes
83 73
169
10
7%6%
12%
1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
0
50
100
150
200
Q32013 Q32014 Q32015 Q32016
EBITDA EBITDA margin
EBITDA
PLNm
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
xxAgro Fertilizers
xxOther Activities
xxPlastics
xxChemicals
xxEnergy
xx %
xx %
xx %
xx %
xx %
SEGMENTS
15
Q3 2016
revenue
(PLNm)
%
contribution
Q3 2016
EBITDA
(PLNm)
%
contribution
1,088 54 10 7
262 13 -10 x
556 28 69 49
43 2 19 14
51 3 43 30
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
GLOBAL PLASTICS MARKET
16
MARKET WEAKENED BY FALLING MARGINS
PRICING TRENDS
MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND
OUTLOOK
↘ Prices of caprolactam under continued
pressure of oversupply prevailing on the
market.
↗ Its effects are mitigated by demand from
end-user segment, generally assessed as
good, and increasing consumption.
↘ Situation on the CPL and PA6 markets will
be driven by oil price. Pricing trend
changes reflecting seasonal fluctuations in
demand may prompt producers to adjust
prices of petroleum derivatives, such as
benzene and phenol.
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
PA6 Benzene
-7%
EUR/t
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
Benzene Phenol Caprolactam Polyamide 6
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
-12%-8%
-3%
-10%
EUR/t
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP: PLASTICS
17
VOLUMES
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Change
Y/Y
Segment revenue,
including:292 262 967 834 -14% (
Polyamide 162 136 512 451 -12% (
Caprolactam 72 77 288 232 -19% (
EBITDA -7 -10 8 -35 x (
EBITDA margin -2% -4% 1% -4% (
REVENUE
512 451
288232
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
Polyamide Caprolactam Other
162 136
7277
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
Polyamide Caprolactam Other
292 262 967 834
PLNm
-16%
+7%
-12%
-20%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Polyamide Caprolactam
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
+1%
-1%
'000 tonnes
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
xxAgro Fertilizers
xxOther Activities
xxPlastics
xxChemicals
xxEnergy
xx %
xx %
xx %
xx %
xx %
SEGMENTS
18
Q3 2016
revenue
(PLNm)
%
contribution
Q3 2016
EBITDA
(PLNm)
%
contribution
1,088 54 10 7
262 13 -10 x
556 28 69 49
43 2 19 14
51 3 43 30
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
CHEMICALS GLOBALLY
MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND OUTLOOK
↗ Increase in the consumption of technical grade
urea will mainly be driven by its use in UF (urea-
formaldehyde) resins and deNOx (flue gas
denitrification) units.
OXO alcohol prices should remain correlated with
movements in propylene prices, with demand
growth especially in Q3/Q4. In the coming
periods, the average propylene prices should
remain at similar or slightly higher levels,
although this will largely depend on price
movements on the global oil markets.
Owing to sound demand and matching supply of
the product, average contract prices of melamine
in Europe should remain at current levels.
↘ Prices and demand for titanium white and its
intermediates are expected to change in line with
a downtrend in the application markets.
MARKET MARGINS
PRICING TRENDS
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
DEHT (DOTP) 2-EH Propylene
-13%
+52%
EUR/t
EUR/t
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
2-EH DEHT(DOTP)
Melamine Titaniumwhite
Propylene
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
-30%
-8%
-13%-26%
+3%
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP: CHEMICALS
20
REVENUE VOLUMES
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Change
Y/Y
Segment revenue
including:534 556 1,744 1,684 -3% (
OXO alcohols 93 102 352 311 -12% (
Plasticizers 32 35 120 131 9%
Urea (technical grade) 128 109 404 291 -28% (
Melamine 99 109 294 325 11%
Titanium white 55 77 205 226 10%
EBITDA 19 69 112 234 109%
EBITDA margin 4% 12% 6% 14%
125 137
227 218
55 77
127 123
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
OXO alcohols/plasticizers Melamine/Urea
Titanium white Other
472 442
698 616
205226
369 399
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
+10%
10%
-12%
-6%
PLNm
534 556 1,744 1,683
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
OXO alcohols Plasticizers Urea(technical
grade)
Melamine Titanium white
Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
+13%+3%
+29%+13%
-12%
41%
-4%
10%
'000 tonnes
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP QUARTERLY RESULTS
118172
227
11569
12,6%
17,9%
23,9%
14,2%
9,7%
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDAMARGIN
22
Q3
2013
Q3
2014
Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Change vs
Q3 2013-2015
average(PLNm)
Revenue 840 846 935 712 -18.5% (
EBIT 19 1 76 23 -28.1% (
EBIT margin 2.3% 0.1% 8.1% 3.2%
EBITDA 55 40 118 69 -2.8% (
EBITDA margin 6.5% 4.7% 12.6% 9.7%
Net profit 18 3 65 16 -44.8% (
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP: Q1−Q3 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
23
Q1-Q3
2013
Q1-Q3
2014
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Q1−Q3 change
2016/2015(PLNm)
Revenue 2,875 2,709 2,854 2,473 -13.3% (
EBIT 319 192 368 272 -26.1% (
EBIT margin 11.1% 7.1% 12.9% 11.0%
EBITDA 421 308 490 411 -16.1% (
EBITDA margin 14.6% 11.4% 17.2% 16.6%
Net profit 286 174 334 243 -27.2% (
421308
490411 400
14.6%
11.3%
17.2% 16.6%
Q1-Q3 2013 Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA(Parent)
EBITDAMARGIN
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016 change
Revenue 629 407 1,871 1,537 -17.9% (
Nitrogen fertilizers 464 279 1,507 1,181 -21.6% (
Phosphate and compound
fertilizers91 65 220 183 -16.8% (
Other goods and services 18 12 40 51 27.5%
Merchandise and materials 56 51 104 122 17.3%
EBITDA 116 46 444 357 19.6% (
EBITDA margin 18.4% 11.3% 23.7% 23.2% 0.5 pp (
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
Nitrogenfertilizers
Phosphate andcompoundfertilizers
Other Merchandise andmaterials
Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP: AGRO
24
'000 tonnes
464
279
91
65
74
63
0
150
300
450
600
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
1,5071,181
220
183
144
173
0
600
1 200
1 800
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
-29%
-17%
-22%
-40%
-35.3% -17.9%PLNmPLNm
VOLUMESQUARTERLY REVENUE
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY
0
40
80
120
160
200
Melamine Caprolactam Urea(PULREA®,
PULNOX® for100% solutionequivalent)
Other
Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP: CHEMICALS
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016 change
Revenue 264 269 875 812 -7.2% (
Melamine 99 109 294 325 10.5%
Caprolactam 64 72 279 234 -16.1% (
Urea 67 54 208 157 -24.5% (
Other goods and services 33 32 88 93 5.7%
Merchandise and materials 1 2 6 3 -50.0% (
EBITDA 15 38 87 136 56.3%
EBITDA margin 5.7% 14.1% 9.9% 16.7% 6.9 pp
25GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY
'000 tonnes
99 109
6472
6754
34 34
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
-19%
294 325
279 234
208157
9496
0
300
600
900
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
+13%-16%
+11%+10%
+1.9% -7.2%PLNmPLNm
-25%
VOLUMESQUARTERLY REVENUE
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY FINANCIALS
GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY 26
RATIOSQ1-Q3
2015*
Q1-Q3
2016
Profitability ratios
EBIT margin (%) 12.9 11.0
EBITDA margin (%) 17.2 16.6
ROCE (%) 11.6 8.2
ROE (%) 11.4 7.9
Liquidity ratios
Current ratio 2.6 3.1
Debt ratios
Total debt ratio (%) 21.8 19.8
Net debt (PLNm) -655 -710
Net debt/EBITDA -1.3 -1.7
Debt to equity ratio (%) 27.9 24.8
500
30
AVAILABLE FUNDS
Corporate credit facilities
Overdraft and multi-purpose facilities
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
ONE-OFF ITEMS concerning AFRIG S.A., a subsidiary
28GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
The other issues described in current report No. 27/2016 of May 30th 2016, which may
cause changes in the value of assets related to AFRIG S.A., and which are not
presented in this report, are subject to further analysis and clarification.
• Impact on EBITDA - PLN 33,940 thousand
• Impact on net profit - PLN 24,793 thousand
H1 2016
results
• Impact on EBITDA - PLN 19,031 thousand
• Impact on net profit - PLN 23,000 thousandQ3 2016 results
Impact on financial results of the Grupa Azoty POLICE Group
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP: FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
29
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
Q3
2013
Q3
2014
Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Q3
2015*
Q3
2016**
Prior
periods
average
Q3 2016**
vs. prior
periods (PLNm)
Revenue 510 505 600 549 600 549 538 2%
EBIT 5 8 18 -1 -1 18 10 80%
EBIT margin 1% 2% 3% -0.3% -0.2% 3% 2%
EBITDA 24 30 39 21 20 40 31 29%
EBITDA margin 5% 6% 7% 4% 3% 7% 6%
Net profit 7 6 15 -9 -8 14 9 55%
39
77
107
292120
63
406.5%
10.9%
15.5%
4.9%3.9%
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA(adjusted)
EBITDAMARGIN
10.5%
7.3%
3.3%
*including the effect of one-off items
**before the effect of one-off items concerning AFRIG S.A.
EBITDA
30GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP: Q1-Q3 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Q1-Q3
2013
Q1-Q3
2014
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Q1-Q3
2015*
Q1-Q3
2016**
Q1−Q3 change
2016**/2015*(PLNm)
Revenue 1,964 1,754 2,038 1,840 2,038 1,840 -10% (
EBIT 77 67 154 91 110 144 31%
EBIT margin 4% 4% 8% 5% 5% 8%
EBITDA 138 135 217 157 173 210 21%
EBITDA margin 7% 8% 11% 9% 8% 11%
Net profit 63 54 122 70 82 117 43%
138 135
217157173
210
7.0% 7.7%
10.6%
8.6%
Q1-Q3 2013 Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA (adjusted)
EBITDA MARGIN
8.5%
*including the effect of one-off items, excl. provision for doubtful liabilities relating to Tervalis
**before the effect of one-off items concerning AFRIG S.A.
(PLNm)
11.4%
*before the effect of one-off items concerning AFRIG S.A.
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP: FERTILIZERS
'000
tonnes
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP 31
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
Compoundfertilizers
Urea Ammonia Other
Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Jan–Sep
2015
Jan–Sep
2016Change
Revenue 528 455 1,789 1,567 -12% (
Compound fertilizers 414 336 1,251 1,128 -10% (
Urea 60 62 270 236 -13% (
Ammonia 35 35 216 141 -35% (
Other 19 22 52 62 19%
EBITDA 37 8 206 131 -36% (
EBITDA margin 7% 2% 11% 8% -3% (
EBITDA MARGIN* 7% 6% 11% 12% 1%
414336
60
62
35
35
19
22
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
Other
Ammonia
Urea
Compoundfertilizers
1,251 1,128
270236
216
141
52
62
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
3% -13%
-10%-19%
528 455 1,789 1,567PLNm
REVENUE VOLUMES
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP: PIGMENTS
32
'000
tonnes
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
26
15
30
13
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Titanium white Other
Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Jan–Sep
2015
Jan–Sep
2016Change
Revenue 57 80 213 236 11%
Titanium white 55 77 204 226 11%
Other 2 3 9 10 11%
EBITDA 0.4 10 5 20 300%
EBITDA margin 1% 13% 2% 8% 6%
55
77
2
3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
204226
910
0
100
200
300
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
11%
80
57
236
213
PLNmPLNm
REVENUE
40%
VOLUMES
GRUPA AZOTY POLICE FINANCIALS
33GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
RATIOSQ1-Q3 Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
2015 2016 2015* 2016**
Profitability ratios
EBIT margin (%) 7.6 4.9 5,4 7.8
EBITDA margin (%) 10.6 8.5 8.5 11.4
ROCE (%) 9.8 5.4 7.2 8.5
ROE (%) 10.3 5.4 7.2 8.7
Liquidity ratios
Current ratio 1.3 1.1
Debt ratios
Total debt ratio (%) 42.2 43.6
Net debt (PLNm) 241 278
Net debt/EBITDA 1.1 1.8
Debt to equity ratio (%) 73.1 77.3
19%
39%
42%
FINANCING STRUCTURE
*including the effect of one-off items, excl. provision for doubtful liabilities relating to Tervalis
**before the effect of one-off items concerning AFRIG S.A.
420
182 5
AVAILABLE FUNDS
Corporate credit facilities
Overdraft and multi-purpose facilities
Other financing sources
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY
ZAKŁADY AZOTOWE KĘDZIERZYN S.A.
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN: FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
35
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN
35,364
67,555
104,154
50,261
18,193
8.1%
15.3%
23.6%
12.2%
4.8%
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA MARGIN
Q3
2013
Q3
2014
Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Change vs
Q3 2013-2015(PLNm)
Revenue474 491 435 379 81.2% (
EBIT 1.7 10.7 16.2 -3.4 -35.8% (
EBIT margin 0.3 2.2 3.7 -0.9
EBITDA 20.5 30.9 35.4 18.2 62.8% (
EBITDA margin 4.3 6.3 8.1 4.8
Net profit 4.8 8.9 13.8 -2.7 -30.0% (
36
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN: Q1-Q3 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Q1-Q3
2013
Q1-Q3
2014
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Q1−Q3 change
2016/2015(PLNm)
Revenue1,548 1,534 1,375 1,231 -10.4% (
EBIT 98 90 99 108 8.8%
EBIT margin 6.3 5.9 7.2 8.8
EBITDA 154 155 156 173 10.8%
EBITDA margin 9.9 10.1 11.3 14.0
Net profit 89 78 87 91 5.4%
154 155 156
173
9.9%10.1%
11.3%
14.0%
Q1-Q3 2013 Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA MARGIN
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN FINANCIALS
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN 37
RATIOSQ1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Profitability ratios
EBIT margin (%) 7.2 8.8
EBITDA margin (%) 11.3 14.0
ROCE (%) 7.5 7.3
ROE (%) 8.0 7.9
Liquidity ratios
Current ratio 1.4 1.5
Debt ratios
Total debt ratio (%) 34.5 34.5
Net debt (PLNm) -33.6 106.2
Net debt/EBITDA -0.2 0.6
Debt to equity ratio (%) 52.7 52.7
228 384
CREDIT LIMITS
Drawn down funds Available funds
PLNm
280
104
AVAILABLE FUNDS
Corporate credit facilities
Overdraft and multi-purpose facilities
PLNm
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN: PERFORMANCE BY SEGMENT
Fertilizers54%
OXO alcohols40%
Other6%
GRUPA AZOTY KĘDZIERZYN
144
-13
25
130
23 20
Fertilizers OXO alcohols Other
REVENUE Q1-Q3 2016EBITDA Q1-Q3 2016
38
(PLNm)
Segment(PLNm)
REVENUE EBITDA REVENUE EBITDA
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2015 Q3 2016Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Q1-Q3
2015
Q1-Q3
2016
Fertilizers 252 196 33 13 756 659 144 130
OXO alcohols 149 159 -9 -2 529 496 -13 23
Other 34 24 11 7 90 76 25 20
2015 INTEGRATED REPORT
We encourage you to read
the Grupa Azoty Group's
2015 Integrated Annual Report
DISCLAIMER
The information presented below has been prepared by the Grupa Azoty Group (the “Group”) solely for the purpose of presentation to investors and market analysts on
November 9th 2016 (the “Presentation”). By participating in the meeting at which the Presentation is presented or by referring to this Presentation, you agree to the
following specific restrictions and disclaimers.
This Presentation does not constitute or form any part of, and should not be considered as, an offer to sell or as an offer to subscribe for, or as a guarantee to purchase or
acquire in other way, any securities of any company of the Group. Neither this Presentation nor any part hereof may form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with,
any subscription for any securities of the Group, or their acquisition. Neither this Presentation nor any part hereof may form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection
with, any investment agreement, commitment or decision relating to securities of the Group companies. This Presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding
any securities of the Group companies.
No statement or assurance, expressed or implied, has been made by or on behalf of the Group or any of its shareholders, members of its bodies, officers, employees, agents
or advisers or any other person, as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of information or opinions contained in this Presentation.
This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are different from statements of historical facts. Statements containing such words as
"expects", "intends", "plans", "believes", "anticipates", "will", "aims", "can", "would", "could", "continues" or similar words are examples of such forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements include statements about the financial performance, business strategy, plans and objectives of the Group (including development plans relating
to the Group). All forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation relate to matters involving known and unknown risks, issues that are impossible to predict, and
other factors. Actual results and achievements of the Group may be materially different from those described in statements concerning the past, and from the results and
achievements of the Group in the past.
Forward-looking statements are made based on various assumptions of future events, including numerous assumptions regarding present and future business strategies of the
Group and its future business environment. Although the Group believes that its estimates and assumptions are reasonable, they may prove to be incorrect. The information,
opinions and forward-looking statements contained herein are valid only on the date of this Presentation and are subject to change without notice. The Group and its
advisers are not obliged to publish any updates or modify any information, data or statements contained in this Presentation in the event of a change of strategy or the
intentions of the Group, or of facts or circumstances that will have an impact on the strategy or intentions of the Group, unless such an obligation arises under law. Please
note that the only reliable source of data on the Group's financial results, forecasts, events and indicators of the Group are the current and periodic reports released by the
Group as part of its disclosure obligations under Polish law.
Neither the Group nor any of its shareholders, members of its bodies, officers, employees, agents or advisers nor any other person shall be liable for any loss arising from the
use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation.
Neither the Group nor any of its shareholders, members of its bodies, officers, employees, agents or advisers nor any other person shall be required to provide the recipients
of this Presentation with any additional information or to update this Presentation.
This Presentation contains information on the chemical industry in Poland and globally, including information on market shares of the Company and some of its competitors.
The source of this information is always provided in this Presentation and the Group or any other entity acting on behalf of the Group has independently verified the
information referred to above.
This Presentation is not intended for distribution to or use by any person or any entity in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or
oblige the Group or any of its affiliates to obtain an authorization or licence, or to comply with the registration requirements under applicable laws. Neither this Presentation
nor any part hereof may be copied or transmitted into the United States of America, and cannot be disseminated, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America.
Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. Persons who come into possession of this Presentation are required to inform
themselves of, and to observe all of the above restrictions. None of the securities referred to herein have been or will be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933.
Any such securities may not be offered or sold in the United States of America, except pursuant to an exemption or in a transaction not required to be registered under the
Act.
40
Thank you for your attention.For more information, visit www.grupaazoty.com.
APPENDIX 1 THE PARENT
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
EBITDA AND NET DEBT
Net debt EBITDA
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP − KEY RATIOS SINCE IPO 2008, QUARTERLY
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
REVENUE AND NET PROFIT
Revenue Net profit (right axis)
GRUPA AZOTY S.A. 43
(PLNm)
* Restated following application of uniform accounting policies across Grupa Azoty (see Section 2.2.c of the Supplementary information to the financial statements)
GRUPA AZOTY S.A. QUARTERLY RESULTS
44
Q3
2013
Q3
2014
Q3
2015**
Q3
2016
Q3 2016 vs.
prior periods (PLNm)
Revenue 448 464 466 366 -20% (
EBIT -18 -15 -1 -19 -73% (
EBIT margin -4% -3% -0.2% -5%
EBITDA 3 9 22 5 -55% (
EBITDA margin 1% 2% 5% 1%
Net profit -19 -18 -6 -17 -21% (
224
56
-7
516
4.7%
0.9%
12.8%
-2.0%
1.4%
Q3 2015** Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA (adjusted)*
EBITDA MARGIN
*Adjusted for impairment losses recognised on benzene-derived C-none production unit in Q4 2015
** Restated following application of uniform accounting policies across Grupa Azoty (see Section 2.2.c of the Supplementary information to the financial statements)
(PLNm)
GRUPA AZOTY S.A.
GRUPA AZOTY S.A.: FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS YTD
45
Q1-Q3
2013
Q1-Q3
2014
Q1-Q3
2015**
Q1-Q3
2016
Q1−Q3 change
2016/2015(PLNm)
Revenue 1,415 1,377 1,333 1,159 -13% (
EBIT 0.4 -10 24 -16 -167% (
EBIT margin 0% -1% 2% -1%
EBITDA 65 58 92 54 -41% (
EBITDA margin 5% 4% 7% 5%
Net profit 116 238 230 241 5%
65 58
92
54
4.6%
4.2%
6.9%
4.7%
Q1-Q3 2013 Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015** Q1-Q3 2016
EBITDA
EBITDA (adjusted)*
EBITDA MARGIN
(PLNm)
** Restated following application of uniform accounting policies across Grupa Azoty (see Section 2.2.c of the Supplementary information to the financial statements)
GRUPA AZOTY S.A.
GRUPA AZOTY S.A.: FERTILIZERS
VOLUMES
GRUPA AZOTY S.A. 46
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Nitrogen fertilizersJan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016
'000 tonnes
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Jan–
Sep
2015
Jan–
Sep
2016
Change
Y/Y
Segment revenue
including237 161 608 505 -17% ↘
Nitrogen fertilizers 218 141 546 451 -17% ↘
EBITDA 7 -5 42 35 -17% ↘
EBITDA margin 3% -3% 7% 7%
546451
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
Nitrogen fertilizers Other
-17%
237 161
-35%
608 505
PLNmPLNm
REVENUE
218
141
0
50
100
150
200
250
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
Nitrogen fertilizers Other
-6%
GRUPA AZOTY S.A.: PLASTICS
VOLUMES
GRUPA AZOTY S.A. 47
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Polyamide Caprolactam
Jan–Sep 2015 Jan–Sep 2016
(PLNm)Q3
2015
Q3
2016
Jan–
Sep
2015
Jan–
Sep
2016
Change
Y/Y
Segment revenue
including219 193 690 616 -11% ↘
Polyamide 159 134 498 440 -12% ↘
Caprolactam 12 12 41 34 -17% ↘
EBITDA 10 2 33 0.3 -99% ↘
EBITDA margin 5% 1% 5% 0% ↘
498 440
4134
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2015 2016
Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
Polyamide Caprolactam Other
-17%
-12%
0%
219 193 690 616
-16%
PLNmPLNm
REVENUE
159134
12
12
0
50
100
150
200
250
2015 2016
Q3 Q3
Polyamide Caprolactam Other
'000 tonnes
-10%
1%
SHARE PERFORMANCE
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
Jun-08 Oct-08Feb-09Jun-09 Oct-09 Feb-10Jun-10 Oct-10 Feb-11Jun-11 Oct-11 Feb-12Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13Jun-13 Oct-13 Jan-14May-14Sep-14Jan-15May-15Sep-15Jan-16May-16Sep-16
Trading volume Price
Growth from Jun 30 2008: 239%
High (Dec 8 2015) PLN 113.00
Low (Feb 3 2009) PLN 6.00
GRUPA AZOTY S.A. 48
APPENDIX 2 MARKET PRICES
PRICES OF AMMONIA, AMMONIUM SULFATE AND CALCIUM AMMONIUM NITRATE
100
150
200
250
300
50
150
250
350
450
550
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016EUR/tUSD/t
Ammonia USD/t Ammonium sulfate AS USD/t Calcium ammonium nitrate CAN EUR/t
PRICES OF BENZENE, PHENOL, CPL, PA6
200
700
1200
1700
2200
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
EUR/t
Benzene Liquid caprolactam PA6 Phenol
150
200
250
300
350
100
200
300
400
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016USD/t
EUR/tAmmonium nitrate EUR/t UAN EUR/t Urea USD/t
PRICES OF AN, UAN AND UREA
PRICES OF MELAMINE AND CAPROLACTAM
1000
1500
2000
2500
1200
1300
1400
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
USD/tEUR/t
Melamine EUR/t Crystalline caprolactam USD/t
PRICES OF NPK, DAP, PHOSPHATE ROCK, POTASSIUM CHLORIDE
50
150
250
350
450
550
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016USD/t
NPK DAP Phosphate rock Potassium chloride
PRICES OF TITANIUM WHITE, ILMENITE AND TITANIUM SLAG
0
200
400
600
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016USD/tEUR/t
Titanium white EUR/t Ilmenite USD/t Titanium slag USD/t