Presentation 4Q12

12
4Q12 and 2012 Earnings Conference Call Investor Relations São Paulo, February 7, 2013

Transcript of Presentation 4Q12

Page 1: Presentation 4Q12

4Q12 and 2012 Earnings

Conference Call

Investor Relations

São Paulo, February 7, 2013

Page 2: Presentation 4Q12

Forward-looking Statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are not

historical facts and are based on management’s objectives and estimates. The

words "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "estimate", "intend", "plan", "project",

"aim" and similar words indicate forward-looking statements. Although we

believe they are based on reasonable assumptions, these statements are based

on the information currently available to management and are subject to a

number of risks and uncertainties.

The forward-looking statements in this presentation are valid only on the date

they are made (December, 31 2012) and the Company does not assume any

obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments.

Braskem is not responsible for any transaction or investment decision taken

based on the information in this presentation.

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Page 3: Presentation 4Q12

4Q12 Highlights

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Crackers utilization rates of 82%

– Seasonality of the Brazilian market and operational problems

Braskem’s thermoplastic resin sales of 867 kton, reflecting quarterly seasonality - market share of

70%

Net revenue of R$9.2 billion, similar to 3Q12 and 8% higher than in 4Q11

Divestment of non-core assets

– Cetrel and Distribuidora de Águas de Camaçari: R$652 million

– Railcars in USA: R$170 million (US$83 million)

EBITDA of R$1,399 million or US$677 million

– Includes capital gain of R$516 million from asset divestments

Integrated project in Mexico

– Braskem’s interest in the project up to 75%

– Conclusion of US$3.2 billion project-finance structure

Commitment to financial health

– New stand-by credit line: R$450 million

– US$200 million from Nexi (disbursed in Jan-13)

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2012 Highlights

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Crackers utilization rates of 89%, up 6.6 p.p. on 2011

Thermoplastic resin sales of 3.5 million tons, reflecting 6 p.p. market share gain in 2012 to 71%

EBITDA of R$4.0 billion or US$2.0 billion

– Excluding nonrecurring items, EBITDA stood at R$3.1 billion

Braskem made progress in its strategy of adding value to the existing streams and diversifying its

feedstock profile

– Startup of the new PVC plant and expansion of the Butadiene plant

– USA: acquisition of a splitter and partnership strengthening with Enterprise Products

– Integrated project in Mexico

• Earthmoving works concluded and EPC contract signed

• Pre-marketing activities launched

• Conclusion of US$3.2 billion project-finance structure

Divestment of non-core assets and commitment to financial health

Confirmation of investment grade rating by 3 global credit risk agencies

Page 5: Presentation 4Q12

3.2 3.5

4.9 5.0

Thermoplastic resin market shows signs of recovery. Braskem expands presence in the domestic market

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Brazil’s Thermoplastic Resin Market (kton)

Source: Alice / Braskem Estimates

2011 2012

+2%

4Q12 3Q12

-8%

4Q11

+3%

4Q12 3Q12

-9%

4Q11

+12%

2011 2012

+10%

Braskem’s domestic sales (kton)

1.3 1.2 1.2

1.0 0.9

0.8

Page 6: Presentation 4Q12

EBITDA Performance – 4Q12 vs. 3Q12

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R$ million The lower sales volume was partially offset by the recovery in spreads for

the main basic petrochemicals and by exchange variation. EBITDA also benefitted from the divestment of core assets in 4Q12.

112930

60

27

127

898

516 1,399

EBITDA 3Q12

Volume ContributionMargin

FX Fixed Costs +SG&A + Others

Recurring 4Q12 EBITDA

Non- recurrent items

EBITDA 4Q12

FX impact on costs

104FX impact on revenue

(77)

( ) ( )

Page 7: Presentation 4Q12

EBITDA Performance – 2012 vs. 2011

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R$ million The higher sales volume and U.S. dollar appreciation partially offset the

contribution margin contraction, which was affected by the lower spreads of resins and basic petrochemicals, following the international market trend. Nonrecurring effects during 2012 also positively impacts on the result.

*Nonrecurring: Refis + Compensation + Asset divestments

( )

3,742

520

1,819

1,051

3963,098

860 3,958

EBITDA

2011

Volume Contribution

Margin

FX Fixed Costs +

SG&A

Recurring

2012 EBITDA

Non-

recurrent items*

EBITDA

2012

FX impact

on costs

FX impact

on revenue

(4,478)

( )

5,529

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Longer debt profile with diversified financing sources. Commitment to maintaining liquidity

Agency Rating Outlook Date

Fitch BBB- Negative 10/26/2012

S&P BBB- Stable 11/9/2012

Moody’s Baa3 Negative 11/28/2012

Credit Risk – Global Scale

Diversified funding sources

Net Debt / EBITDA (US$)

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US$ million 3Q12 4Q12

Net Debt 6,492 6,859 +6%

EBITDA (LTM) 1,722 2,003 +16%

Net Debt/EBITDA 3.77x 3.42x* -9%

* Ex-bridge loan for Mexico Project = 3.30x in 4Q12

Braskem’s high liquidity1 ensures that its cash and cash equivalents cover the payment of obligations maturing over the next 36 months

USD-denominated gross debt: 68% USD-denominated net debt : 69%

1 Includes US$600 million and R$450 million in stand-by credit facilities

3,494

1,2771,842 1,765 1,521

1,098721

2,668

3,950 4,0062,218

1,676 *

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018/2019

2020/2021

2022 onwards

12/31/12Cash

10% 10%9%

6%4%

15%

22% 23%

5,170

Invested in US$

Invested in R$

Amortization Schedule(1)

(R$ million)

12/31/2012

(1) Does not include transaction costs* US$600 million stand by and R$450 million

Brazilian and Foreign Gov.

Entities20%

Banks

27%

Capital

Market

53%

Gross Debt by Category

CDI15%

BRL - PRE4%

USD-PRE57%

USD-POS11%

TJLP13%

Gross Debt by Index

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Growth projects and Capex

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Maintaining its commitment to capital discipline, Braskem made R$1,713 million in operating investments in

2012, in line with the previous estimative of R$ 1,712 million

~40% of the total, or R$670 million, was allocated to capacity expansion

For 2013, investment is estimated at R$2,244 million

~70% allocated to maintenance, productivity improvement and the scheduled cracker shutdown

~25% for construction of the new petrochemical complex in Mexico

R$ million

1,332

204

173

536

2013e

Capacity Increase

Mexico

Comperj/ Acrylic Acid/ SplitterProductivity/ HSE

Maintenance/ Equipment Replacement/ Others

2,244

869

173

636

34

2012

1,713

Investments(R$ million)

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Global scenario

Source: CMAI , Analysts’ Reports

Points of Concern

High volatility of oil and naphtha prices

Lack of definition on a recovery of the

European economy and its influence on the

world economic growth petrochemicals

demand

Power outages (Brazil)

Potential Positive Points

Positive indicators from the U.S. economy

Expectation that the measures adopted

by the Chinese government will support

gradual improvement in domestic demand

Brazilian government committed to

developing the chain and strengthening

the competitiveness of local

manufacturers

- Extension of Reintegra program

- Brasil Maior Plan (REIQ)

- Combatting imports

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Braskem’s priorities in 2013

Focus on continually strengthening the relationship with Clients and expanding market share

Support for creation of an industrial policy that increases competitiveness in the petrochemical

and plastics chain in Brazil, while attracting new investment to the sector

Boosting Braskem’s competitiveness by capturing the identified synergies, reducing fixed costs

and increasing utilization rates

Ensuring disbursement of the project finance and making progress on construction of the

greenfield project in Mexico; start-up is expected in 2015

Concluding the basic engineering studies for the industrial units of the Comperj (FEL3) project

and defining the feedstock to be used by the complex

Consolidating Braskem’s leadership in renewable chemicals

Maintaining liquidity and financial health in a scenario marked by global crisis

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Page 12: Presentation 4Q12

4Q12 and 2012 Earnings

Conference Call

Investor Relations

São Paulo, February 7, 2013