Preparing for the future: the skilling challenge in regional australia Jack Archer, Regional...
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Preparing for the future: The changing workforce and meeting skills demand in regional Australia Jack Archer General Manager Research and Policy SKILLING AUSTRALIA SUMMIT
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Assessing the challenge for skills providers in regional Australia. A review of labour market efficiency and economic diversity in regional Australia. Case studies of employment market change in three regions - Northern Territory, Warrnambool/SW Victoria and Toowoomba emphasising structural shifts in regional employment. Skills, migration and mobility are identified as the facilitators of structural change in labour markets - as a result if skills system can't support local workers to transition with demand then adjustment is exacerbated. Thin markets, capacity to pay, qualification flexibility, engagement with mobility and the skills funding system are challenges for meeting regional labour market skills needs. Jack Archer Regional Australia Institute, presentation to Skilling Australia Summit 2014
Transcript of Preparing for the future: the skilling challenge in regional australia Jack Archer, Regional...
Preparing for the future: The changing workforce and
meeting skills demand in regional
Australia
Jack Archer
General Manager Research and
Policy
SKILLING AUSTRALIA SUMMIT
OVERVIEW
[In]Sight – Australia’s regional competitiveness index
National view of local labour market efficiency
Structural workforce change 08-14 – illustrative examples
Likely future pressures and opportunities
Imperatives for the skills system
WHAT IS THE REGIONAL AUSTRALIA INSTITUTE
The Regional Australia Institute exists to create a vibrant
future for regional Australia - for the benefit of all
Australians
Informed by both research and ongoing dialogue with the
community, we develop policy and advocate for change to
build a stronger economy and a better quality of life in
regional Australia
[In]Sight – Australia’s Regional Competitiveness Index
insight.regionalaustralia.org.au
Data and rankings10 themes59 Indicators560 LGAs55 RDAs
[IN]SIGHT - LABOUR MARKET EFFICIENCY 2011-12
Indicators:- Unemployment- Youth
unemployment- Participation- Skilled labour- Welfare
Dependence
NORTHERN TERRITORY OUTBACK - SUBSTANTIAL
GROWTH, INEFFICIENT MARKET
38%
230%
55%
106%89%
-76%
11.9
2.3 2.2 1.90.8
-1.3-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
% Change in Sector Change FTE
Source: ABS Regional Labour Force 05/14, RAI Analysis
WARNAMBOOL/SW VICTORIA REGION
EMPLOYMENT 2008-14CROSS SECTOR DECLINE
Source: ABS Regional Labour Force 05/14, RAI Analysis
-83%
-14%-21%
-42%
0%
-10%-0.5 -0.5-1
-2.6
0
-4.3 -5-4.5-4-3.5-3-2.5-2-1.5-1-0.50
-90%-80%-70%-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%
0%
Change 08-14 (% of sector) FTE Change 08-14 (no. of jobs)
TOOWOOMBA REGION 2008-14 EMPLOYMENTMODERATE GROWTH, BIG STRUCTURAL SHIFT
-50% -42%
0%
94%
500%
1%
-1.5
-2.7
0
3.3
2
0.5
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-400%
-300%
-200%
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
FTE Change (% of 08 Workforce) FTE Change (Positions)
Source: ABS Regional Labour Force 05/14, RAI Analysis
AUSTRALIA’S CURRENT, NEXT AND FUTURE WAVES OF
ECONOMIC GROWTH 2013-2033
POSSIBLE NEW DEMAND – A MUD MAP
Regional cities:• Health• International
education
Ag
Ag
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Ag
Ag
Ag
Ag
Ag
Ag
Mi Mi
MiAg Ag
Ag
G
G
G
G
G
TT
T
T
T
T
T
TT
T
T
T
RESPONDING TO CHANGING REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT
DEMAND
Skills
MobilityMigration
1. Thin markets
2. Capacity to pay
3. Flexibility of qualifications
4. Active engagement with mobility
5. Multiple funding (and compliance) systems
CHALLENGES
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CONVERSATION GOING
www.regionalaustralia.org.au
