Preliminary results for the year ended 31 march 2014 · FRAGRANCE POISED FOR MID-TEENS GROWTH ......
Transcript of Preliminary results for the year ended 31 march 2014 · FRAGRANCE POISED FOR MID-TEENS GROWTH ......
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Preliminary resultsfor the year ended
31 march 2014
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CHRISTOPHER BAILEY—
CHIEF CREATIVE AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
33
FINANCIAL REVIEW—
BEAUTY—
JAPAN—
QUESTIONS
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FY 2014 achievements
• MANAGEMENT TRANSITION COMPLETE
– Three pillar organisational structure
• NO CHANGE TO STRATEGIC THEMES
• STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
• KEY DRIVERS
– Sustained brand momentum
– Menswear
– Investment in flagship markets• Kerry Centre launch event
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Future opportunities
• HERITAGE
• BEAUTY
• JAPAN
• DIGITAL
• UNDER-PENETRATED MARKETS AND TRAVEL RETAIL
• OPERATING EFFICIENCIES
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LEVERAGE THE FRANCHISE
INTENSIFY ACCESSORIES
ACCELERATE RETAIL-LED GROWTH
INVEST IN UNDER-PENETRATED MARKETS
PURSUE OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
CONTINUING THE JOURNEY
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CAROL FAIRWEATHER—
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
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FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
12 MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2014£M
2013£M GROWTH
REVENUE 2,330 1,999 17%
ADJUSTED PBT 461 428 8%
ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS 75.4p 70.0p 8%
NET CASH 403 297 36%
DIVIDEND PER SHARE 32.0p 29.0p 10%
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REVENUE GREW 17%
Wholesale Licensing
REVENUE
1010
REVENUE GREW 17%
• RETAIL
– 70% of revenue
– 15% underlying growth
– Comparable sales up 12% (H1: 13%; H2: 12%)
– Digital performed strongly
– Net eight store openings
• WHOLESALE
– 27% of revenue, including first time contribution from Beauty (£144m)
– Excluding Beauty, up 2% underlying (H1: down 7%; H2: up 11%)
– Americas and Travel Retail strong in H2
• LICENSING
– 3% of revenue
– Up 2% excluding 2013 fragrance royalty of £27m
– Japan unchanged; eyewear and watches together double-digit % growth
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BALANCED growth BY Region and product division
ASIA PACIFIC: 39% 18% GROWTH
AMERICAS: 25%24% GROWTH
EMEIA: 36%17% GROWTH
% GROWTH ON UNDERLYING BASISFY 2014 RETAIL/WHOLESALE REVENUE
WOMENS: 30% 10% GROWTH
MENS: 23%12% GROWTH
ACCESSORIES: 36%12% GROWTH
CHILDRENS: 4%8% GROWTH
BEAUTY: 7%
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OPERATING PROFIT UP 8%
ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT
1414
RETAIL/WHOLESALE OPERATING MARGIN AT 17.5%
17.5%
ADJUSTED RETAIL/WHOLESALE OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN
1515
RETAIL/WHOLESALEGROSS MARGIN AT 70.2%
RETAIL/WHOLESALE GROSS MARGIN
RETAIL AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE 60% 64% 68% 71% 70%
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• 40 BASIS POINT IMPROVEMENT EXCLUDING BEAUTY DRIVEN BY
– Small gains from net price increases
– Channel shift to retail
• BEAUTY DILUTIVE
RETAIL/WHOLESALEGROSS MARGIN AT 70.2%
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ADJUSTED RETAIL/WHOLESALE OPERATING EXPENSES/REVENUE
60% 64% 68% 71% 70%RETAIL AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE
RETAIL/WHOLESALE OPERATING EXPENSES/REVENUE AT 52.7%
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RETAIL/WHOLESALE OPERATING EXPENSES/REVENUE AT 52.7%
• OPERATING EXPENSES/REVENUE EXCLUDING BEAUTY UNCHANGED AT 52.8%
• HALF OF £M INCREASE DUE TO GENERAL INFLATION AND NEW SPACE
• BALANCE FROM
– Volume-related costs
– Investment to drive revenue growth• Marketing• Digital• Creative media• Customer service
– Performance-related pay charge broadly unchanged year-on-year
1919
Retail/wholesale profitIMPACT OF FX
• IF EXCHANGE RATES* REMAIN AT CURRENT
LEVELS, FULL IMPACT ON REPORTED
RETAIL/WHOLESALE PROFIT IN FY 2015 WILL BE
MATERIAL
• REBASING FY 2014 RETAIL/WHOLESALE PROFIT
FOR CURRENT EXCHANGE RATES WOULD
REDUCE
– Reported profit by about £40m
– Adjusted operating margin from 17.5% to around
16.3%
* RATES AS AT 12 MAY 2014, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT HEDGED POSITIONS. SEE APPENDIX FOR DETAILS
17.5% c.16.3%ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN
FY 2014 ADJUSTED RETAIL/WHOLESALE OPERATING PROFIT
c.£350m
£394m
2020
2121
LICENSING PROFIT
2222
FY 2014 INCLUDES NEGATIVE FX IMPACT OF £4.7M IN REVENUE AND OPEX
FY 2015 YEN RATE £1:YEN164
LICENSING PROFIT
12 MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2014£M
2013£M
REVENUE 79.2 109.4
GROSS MARGIN AT 100% 79.2 109.4
OPERATING EXPENSES (12.4) (16.9)
OPERATING PROFIT 66.8 92.5
OPERATING MARGIN 84.3% 84.6%
YEN RATE 137 127
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INCOME STATEMENT
12 MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2014£M
2013£M
ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT 460.3 428.1
NET FINANCE CREDIT/(CHARGE) 0.7 (0.3)
ADJUSTED PROFIT BEFORE TAX 461.0 427.8
ADJUSTING ITEMS (16.6) (77.1)
PROFIT BEFORE TAX 444.4 350.7
TAX (112.1) (91.5)
NON-CONTROLLING INTEREST (9.8) (4.9)
ATTRIBUTABLE PROFIT 322.5 254.3
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INCOME STATEMENT
• NET FINANCE CREDIT OF £0.7M
– Income on cash balance offset by facility fees
• ADJUSTING ITEMS OF £16.6M
– £14.9m amortisation of fragrance and beauty licence intangible asset
– £1.7m charge due to fair value movements on China put option liability
• EFFECTIVE TAX RATE OF 24.7% ON ADJUSTED PBT (2013: 25.8%)
– Expected tax rate of c.23% in FY 2015
– Lower UK corporation tax rate
• NON-CONTROLLING INTEREST OF £9.8M
– Took full effective ownership of retail business in Japan from 29 March 2013
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CASH INFLOW FROM OPERATIONS
12 MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2014£M
2013£M
ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT 460.3 428.1
DEPRECIATION AND AMORTISATION 123.7 111.2
EMPLOYEE SHARE SCHEME COSTS 25.4 24.9
(INCREASE) IN INVENTORIES (68.2) (39.2)
(INCREASE) IN RECEIVABLES (58.1) (32.0)
INCREASE IN PAYABLES 42.3 17.6
OTHER 10.1 12.4
CASH INFLOW FROM OPERATIONS 535.5 523.0
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MOVEMENT IN NET CASH
2828
MOVEMENT IN NET CASH
12 MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2014£M
2013£M
CASH INFLOW FROM OPERATIONS 535.5 523.0
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE (154.0) (175.9)
PAYMENT TO TERMINATE LICENCE RELATIONSHIP - (144.1)
ACQUISITIONS (2.6) (1.0)
NET INTEREST 0.8 0.9
TAX PAID (111.1) (99.0)
OTHER INFLOWS 3.7 0.5
FREE CASH FLOW 272.3 104.4
DIVIDENDS (130.7) (113.5)
ESOP PURCHASES/OTHER (21.8) (45.4)
EXCHANGE DIFFERENCE (13.9) 12.8
MOVEMENT IN NET CASH 105.9 (41.7)
NET CASH AT 31 MARCH 402.5 296.6
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Flagship markets Other retail IT/other
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FOCUSED ON RETAIL
c.£200m
£154m
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
• CAPITAL EXPENDITURE OF £154M IN FY 2014
• CAPITAL EXPENDITURE PLANNED AT C.£200M IN FY 2015
– Three-quarters retail
• FY 2015 STORE OPENINGS
– Opening 20-25 mainline stores, closing 15-20
– Biased to flagship markets and travel retail
– Evolving store portfolio in China and Middle East
• 25% IRR HURDLE RATE
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GOOD BRAND and business MOMENTUM—
STRONG financial POSITION—
Long-term sustainable profitablegrowth
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FY 2015 OUTLOOK
RETAIL Low to mid single-digit percentage growth in retail revenue from net new space
WHOLESALE Excluding Beauty, broadly unchanged at constant FX in H1 2014/15
BEAUTY About 25% growth at constant FX
RETAIL/WHOLESALE PROFIT At current exchange rates*, a material adverse impact on reported profitGoal to improve margin; may be impacted by planned investment, in addition to FX headwinds
LICENSING Broadly unchanged at constant FX- At current exchange rates*, reported licensing revenue reduced by about £10m
INTEREST Nil
DEPRECIATION~ Around £140m~
TAX RATE c.23% on adjusted PBT
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE c.£200m
DIVIDEND POLICY Move progressively over the next three years to a 50% dividend payout ratio based on adjusted diluted EPS
* RATES AS AT 12 MAY 2014, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT HEDGED POSITIONS
~ EXCLUDES £15M AMORTISATION OF FRAGRANCE AND BEAUTY LICENCE INTANGIBLE ASSET
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John smith—
CHIEF operating officer
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BEAUTY VISION—
TRANSITION YEAR—
GROWING FRAGRANCE—
BUILDING OUT BEAUTY
3535
a top ten luxury player—
distinctive positioning (British, digital, millennial customer)
—three axes
(fragrance, make-up, skincare)
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strategic rationale
• SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITY BY TAKING DIRECT
CONTROL
• UNDER-PENETRATED IN LARGE MARKETS
• MOST WIDELY ENCOUNTERED PROJECTION OF
BRAND
– Opening price point
• FULL ALIGNMENT WITH APPAREL AND
ACCESSORIES
– Synchronised marketing and PR campaign
– Fashion monthly themes
– Integrated distribution and infrastructure
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Fy 2014 – a year of transition
• ESTABLISHED BEAUTY AS FIFTH PRODUCT DIVISION
– Built team
– Built supply chain
– Secured distributor network
• BUILDING FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
– Establishing fragrance pillars, including Brit Rhythm
– Scaling fragrance distribution
– Building out Beauty• Make-up • Skincare • Burberry Beauty Box concept
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BEAUTY – FIFTH PRODUCT DIVISION
• TEAM
– Functions and regions
– Internal and external hires
• SUPPLY CHAIN
– Supplier relationships: c.130
– Regulatory compliance: over 80 countries
– Distribution capacity: 98% order fulfilment
– New products: over 100
• DISTRIBUTOR NETWORK
– Secured initial twelve month contracts: around 100
distributors
– Now consolidating with preferred partners
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Brit rhythm
OUT OF HOME
CAMPAIGN THREE GIGS, THREE CITIES, THREE NIGHTS
CAPSULE COLLECTION
4040
GROWING FRAGRANCE
• ABOUT 25% GROWTH AT CONSTANT FX
EXPECTED IN FY 2015
• TARGETING MID TEENS % GROWTH FOR
FRAGRANCE IN FY 2016 AND FY 2017
– Outperforming market
• UNDER-PENETRATED IN PRESTIGE FRAGRANCE
– Small share of c.£20bn market
• BUILDING FRAGRANCE PILLARS
• SCALING TRADITIONAL AND NON-TRADITIONAL
CHANNELS
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Building FRAGRANCE pillars
MY B TEASER IMAGE
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SCALING FRAGRANCE DISTRIBUTION
• INCREASE DIRECT TO CONSUMER SALES
• LEVERAGE EXISTING RELATIONSHIPS WITH LUXURY
RETAILERS
• TARGET TRAVEL RETAIL
• LEADERSHIP WITH THIRD PARTY DIGITAL PLAYERS
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BUILDING OUT BEAUTY
• THREE AXES APPROACH
• ALIGNED WITH APPAREL AND ACCESSORIES
• NOT WITHOUT CHALLENGES
FRAGRANCE
MAKE-UP
2013 BEAUTY MARKET
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ELEVATE PRODUCT
lips
NAIL VARNISH
eyes
Face/skin
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ELEVATE IMAGE
shanghai
kisses
SHANGHAI EVENT
BURBERRY KISSES BEAUTY BOOTH
RUNWAY MADE TO ORDER
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ELEVATE DISTRIBUTION
• BURBERRY BEAUTY BOX
– Showcases vision for distributors
– Test concept for retail
• BEAUTY CONCEPT COUNTERS
– Launched to partners in April 2014
– Formulating rollout plans
• SCALE NON-TRADITIONAL CHANNELS
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CONFIDENT ABOUT POTENTIAL IN BEAUTY
—COMPLEX TRANSITION OVER
—FRAGRANCE POISED FOR MID-TEENS
GROWTH—
BUILDING OUT BEAUTY
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4949
PASCAL PERRIER—
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERASIA PACIFIC
5050
SEIZING THE OPPORTUNITY IN JAPAN—
EXITING THE LICENSED PRODUCT—
MIGRATING BLUE AND BLACK LABELS—
BUILDING A LUXURY BUSINESS
5151
Seizing the opportunity in japan
• JAPAN TODAY
– Licensed product with premium positioning
– Licences expire 30 June 2015
• ALIGN BRAND GLOBALLY
• TAKE SHARE IN SECOND LARGEST DOMESTIC
LUXURY MARKET
– Japanese consumer is 13% of global spend
– Increased inbound tourism
• JAPAN LUXURY MARKET GROWING
• TAKE MORE OF VALUE CHAIN
GLOBAL LUXURY GOODS SPEND BY CONSUMER NATIONALITY 2013E
AMERICAN
OTHER ASIAN
EUROPEAN
ROW
CHINESE
JAPANESE
5252
LICENsED PRODUCT TODAY
• APPAREL LICENCE WITH SANYO SHOKAI
– Over £500m at retail
– Licensee’s “London” collection
– Childrens
– Blue and Black Labels
• THREE OTHER LICENCES
FY 2014 JAPAN LICENSING REVENUE £62M
5353
Exiting the licensed product
• FY 2014 LICENSING REVENUE £62M
• FY 2015 GUIDANCE
– Broadly unchanged at constant FX
– Negative impact from FX of about £10m
• ORDERLY EXIT OF LICENSED “LONDON”
– Licence expires 30 June 2015
– Concession closure by end September 2015
– Carefully managed inventory clearance
• FY 2016 GUIDANCE
– About £18m at current exchange rates
JAPAN LICENSING REVENUE £M
* AT CURRENT EXCHANGE RATES
5454
Migrating blue and black labels
• EXISTING BLUE AND BLACK LABELS
– Younger customer
– Successful contemporary apparel lines
– Strong appeal of Japan-specific fit, styling and
assortments
– Distinct from Burberry; not luxury
• MIGRATING BLUE AND BLACK LABELS
– With existing partner
– No Burberry association
– Phased migration
– Burberry retains intellectual property
• STRUCTURE OF NEW LICENCE
– Three year term in Japan, starting September 2015
– Retain brand equity
– No conflict with global collection
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BUILDING A LUXURY BUSINESS
5656
luxury business TODAY
• OPENED FIRST STORE FIVE YEARS AGO
– Infrastructure built
– Four stores and ten concessions selling global collection• Performing strongly
– Small wholesale operation
– £25m retail/wholesale revenue in FY 2014; breakeven
ROPPONGI HILLS, TOKYO
5757
Building retail presence
• OPEN FREE-STANDING STORES IN KEY MARKETS
– 2013: Roppongi Hills, Tokyo opened
– 2014: Omotesando expansion and relocation
– 2015: Osaka opening; Shinjuku, Tokyo opening
• PARTNER WITH DEPARTMENT STORES
– Gaining traction
– About 10 new concessions in FY 2016 and 2017
– Directly operate childrenswear concessions
OSAKA – ARCHITECT’S IMPRESSION
5858
Building Digital presence
• TRANSACTIONAL SITE LIVE SINCE 2011
– Small and growing quickly
– Success of Runway Made To Order shows appeal of
Prorsum to fashion luxury customer
• BLUR PHYSICAL AND DIGITAL IN STORE
• PURSUE OPPORTUNITIES WITH THIRD PARTY
DIGITAL PLAYERS
5959
REPOSITIONING THE BRANDBUILDING ON OUR CHINA EXPERIENCE
6060
REPOSITIONING THE BRANDEARLY STEPS IN jAPAN
SAPPORO BUILDING, GINZA EDITORIAL COVERAGE
6161
SEIZING THE OPPORTUNITY IN JAPAN
• FY 2017 RETAIL GOALS
– Revenue of over £100m
– Incremental profit of about £25m
• LONG-TERM VISION
– Luxury brand positioning
– About 10% of group revenue, in line with peers
– Capitalising on offline and online opportunities in this
key market
KOBE
6262
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APPENDIX
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DISCLAIMER
Certain statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from any expected future results in forward-looking statements. Burberry Group plc undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements and will not publicly release any revisions it may make to these forward-looking statements that may result from events or circumstances arising after the date of this document. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast. All persons, wherever located, should consult any additional disclosures that Burberry Group plc may make in any regulatory announcements or documents which it publishes. All persons, wherever located, should take note of these disclosures. This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Burberry Group plc shares, in the UK, or in the US, or under the US Securities Act 1933 or in any other jurisdiction.
BURBERRY, the Equestrian Knight Device and the Burberry Check are trademarks belonging to Burberry which are registered and enforced worldwide.
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ADJUSTED MEASURES
All metrics and commentary in this presentation exclude adjusting items unless stated otherwise.
Adjusting items are:• A charge of £14.9m in reported operating expenses being the amortisation of the fragrance and beauty licence intangible
asset (2013: nil)• A put option liability finance charge of £1.7m in the reported net finance charge relating to the third party 15% economic
interest in the Chinese business (2013: credit of £5.2m)• A charge of £82.9m in 2013 in reported operating expenses relating to the termination of the fragrance and beauty licence
relationship (2014: nil)• A credit of £0.6m in 2013 in reported operating expenses relating to restructuring (2014: nil)
Underlying change is calculated at constant exchange rates.
Certain financial data within this presentation have been rounded.
6666
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RETAIL REVENUE GREW 15%*
REVENUE
* UNDERLYING
6868
RETAIL REVENUE GREW 15%
• COMPARABLE STORE SALES UP 12%
– Balanced between halves (H1: 13%; H2: 12%)
• EVOLVING CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
– Footfall in-store weak but conversion up
– Traffic and conversion both up online
• CONTRIBUTION FROM NET NEW SPACE OF 3%
– Opened 25 mainline stores and closed 17
– Biased towards high potential markets including China, Middle East, Mexico, Brazil and India
• OUTLOOK
– Low to mid single-digit % growth in total retail revenue from net new space in FY 2015
6969
REVENUE
WHOLESALE REVENUE GREW 32%*
* UNDERLYING
7070
WHOLESALE REVENUE GREW 32%
• EXCLUDING BEAUTY, WHOLESALE REVENUE UP 2% UNDERLYING
– H1: down 7%; H2: up 11%
• NET FIVE NEW FRANCHISE STORES GLOBALLY
• BEAUTY WHOLESALE REVENUE OF £144M IN FIRST YEAR OF DIRECT OPERATION
– In line with guidance
• OUTLOOK
– Excluding Beauty, broadly unchanged at constant FX in H1 2014/15
– For Beauty, about 25% growth at constant FX in FY 2015
7171
REVENUE
* UNDERLYING
LICENSING REVENUE DOWN 23%*
7272
LICENSING REVENUE DOWN 23%
• EXCLUDING 2013 FRAGRANCE ROYALTY OF £27M
– Revenue up 2% underlying
– At constant FX, Japan unchanged year-on-year• Higher minimums from apparel licence• Offset by planned downsizing of remaining short-term licences
– Double digit % growth from watches and eyewear together
• OUTLOOK FOR FY 2015
– Expect broadly unchanged revenue at constant FX in FY 2015
– At current exchange rates*, reported licensing revenue in FY 2015 will be reduced by about £10m
* RATES AS AT 12 MAY 2014, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT HEDGED POSITIONS
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LICENSING REVENUE FROM JAPAN
FY 2014 £62m
FY 2015 Burberry expects broadly unchanged revenue at constant exchange rates. At current exchange rates*, reported licensing revenue in FY 2015 will be reduced by about £10m
FY 2016 Licensing income will include− Royalty income of about £18m relating to the existing licences including the orderly transition and exit of local
licensed product− About £5m from the new Blue/Black Label licence including the minimum payment for the first six months from
September 2015
FY 2017 Licensing income from the new Blue/Black Label licence is expected to be around £10m including the minimum payment for six months and variable thereafter
The FY 2016 and FY 2017 guidance is all at current exchange rates (as at 12 May 2014)
* RATES AS AT 12 MAY 2014, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT HEDGED POSITIONS
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Exchange rates
12 MAY 9 APRIL FY 2014 FY 2013RATE RATE AVERAGE RATE
EURO 1.23 1.21 1.19 1.22
US DOLLAR 1.69 1.67 1.59 1.58
CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI 10.45 10.28 9.78 9.91
HONG KONG DOLLAR 13.06 12.93 12.38 12.25
KOREAN WON 1,730 1,756 1,734 1,758
YEN* 164 163 137 127
* TAKING INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT HEDGED POSITIONS
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IR CONTACTS
Kim Warren
Investor Relations Associate
Fay Dodds
VP, Investor Relations
Charlotte Cowley
Director of Investor Relations
Horseferry House
Horseferry Road
London
SW1P 2AW
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Investor Relations Team Assistant