Preliminary Results 52 weeks ended 1 February 2009 12 March 2009.
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Transcript of Preliminary Results 52 weeks ended 1 February 2009 12 March 2009.
Preliminary Results52 weeks ended 1 February 2009
12 March 2009
2
Sir Ian GibsonChairman
3Agenda
• Introduction – Ian Gibson
• Results – Richard Pennycook
• Business highlights – Marc Bolland
• Q&A
4Overview 2008/09
• Continuing growth in sales and profits
• Underlying profit* up 13% to £636m
• Total dividend of 5.8p – up 21%
• Board changes– Roger Owen – retired January 2009
– Philip Cox – appointed with effect from 1 April 2009
• Optimisation Plan going well
* Excluding property transactions and IAS 19 pension interest
5
Richard PennycookGroup Finance Director
6Financial summary
£m2008/0
92007/0
8
Turnover 14,528 12,969
Operating profit* 669 580
Net finance costs -16 -
Profit on property related transactions
2 32
Profit before tax 655 612
Net debt 642 543
12%
15%
7%
* Excluding property transactions
7Underlying earnings
£m2008/0
92007/0
8
PBT reported 655 612
Underlying adjustments
•Profit on property related transactions
-2 -32
•Net pension income (IAS 19) -17 -17
Underlying profit 636 563
Tax (normalised 2007/08 30%) -195 -180
Underlying profit after tax 441 383
Number of shares (m) 2,645 2,664
Underlying basic eps 16.7 14.4
Dividend per share 5.8p 4.8p
Dividend cover 2.9 3.0
13%
16%
21%
8Operating profit
2008/09 2007/08
£m % £m %
Gross profit
–H1 436 6.1 370 6.2
–H2 477 6.4 448 6.4
–Total 913 6.3 818 6.3
Other operating income 37 0.2 30 0.2
Administrative expenses -281 -1.9 -268 -2.0
Operating profit* 669 4.6 580 4.5
* Excluding property transactions
9Turnover bridge
12,969
14,528
273
346
726
214
07/08 New stores Like for likegrowth
Fuel price Fuel volume 08/09
7.9%
£m
10Cash flow
24%£m
2008/09
2007/08
Cash flow from operations 1,064 856
Special pension contribution -100 -100
Proceeds from disposals 22 94
Capital expenditure -678 -402
Sale and issue of shares 3 17
Shares repurchased -146 -
Tax, interest, servicing of finance -133 -128
Dividends -131 -108
Cash flow -99 229
Opening net debt 543 772
Closing net debt 642 543
11Optimisation plan 2 - status
Impact on EBITDA vs. 05/06
Actual delivery
£m 07/08 08/09 To dateTotal target
Gross margin 44 18 62 100
In store efficiency benefits
23 12 35 50
Manufacturing - 5 5 15
Distribution 38 2 40 25
Centre - 3 3 10
Total incremental benefit 105 40 145 200
Total capital investment 68 182 250 450
12Capital plans
2009/10 projection £m
Completion of Optimisation Plan 200
Organic space growth 350
Co-op/Somerfield acquisition 320
Other normal capex 230
Total investment plan 1,100
13
Marc BollandCEO
14The Morrisons journey
2006 Morrisons/Safeway
• Strong retail skills
• Consumer perception still weak
2007 strategy: ‘Food specialist for everyone’
• Optimisation Plan target: improve operating margin whilst shaping for growth
• Focus on fresh, value and service
2008 year of strong growth
• Our performance brought us closer to our vision
15Sales performance
Group like for like
52 weeks ended1 February
2009
52 weeks ended3 February
2008
Sales – exc. fuel 7.9% 4.6%
Sales – inc. fuel 11.1% 5.0%
Customers 4.2% 2.6%
Other metrics
Sales per customer (£) £23.92 £23.07
Sales (£ per sq. ft.) £21.65 £20.31
16Regional performance
Total grocery sales exc. fuel 2008/09
9.1%
South 11.1%
London 18.6%
Scotland 12.7%Source TNS: Grocery Till Roll 52we 25 January 2009
• Good performance across the whole country
• Particularly strong in the South (especially London) and Scotland
17Customers
Discountersegment
Premium segment
Main competitor 3
Main competitor 2
Main competitor 1
Customer switching to Morrisons
Source TNS: Grocery Till Roll 52we 25 January 2009 Net switching £m
£25m £50m
18Customers
14.8%
17.1%
Pre-family Young family 0-4 Years
Growing younger customers
Source TNS: Grocery Till Roll 52we 25 January 2009
Broader appeal
Cu
stom
er
gro
wth
%
19Category performance
10.9%10.9%11.4%11.1%9.8%
7.9%
Group Pizza Salad bar Butchery Bakery &cake shop
Pre packedfresh food
Like for like sales growth %
Source: internal data
20
Optimisation plan update – key building blocks
Manufacturing
• Spalding abattoir opened in Q2
• Vegetable pack house at Flaxby extended and re-opened in Q4
Completed
Distribution
• Drive time planning systems implemented
• New South East RDC in Sittingbourne– operational by end of calendar year 2009
• New South West RDC in Bridgewater, Somerset– planning application filed December 2008
On track
21
Optimisation plan update – key building blocks
New retail space
• 2008/09:– 9 stores opened
– 207k sq. ft. of net new sales space
– 90k sq. ft. of net sales extensions
• 3 year programme:– 1m sq. ft. by Jan 2010
On track
22
Optimisation plan update – key building blocks
IT system replacement
• Development team is in place
• Payroll and HR systems were launched in Q4
• Roll out of new financial systems, distribution systems and EPOS systems this year
On track
23
Optimisation plan update – key building blocks
• In-store
• Finished by July 2008:– range segmentation
– refresh
– shelf-ready packaging
• Rollout started:– IQM system
– self scan checkouts
On track
24
Optimisation plan update – key building blocks
Range Development
• ‘Value’
• ‘Fresh Ideas’
• Non-food
25
Optimisation plan update – key building blocks
CSR
• We are the only grocery retailer that has been awarded the new Carbon Trust Standard for carbon reduction
On track
26Optimisation plan update
• The target
• “Strongly improve operating margin whilst shaping for growth”
• Where we are now– improving our operating margin
– shaping building blocks
– growing like for like sales
Our strategy is working for us
27Current market background
• Food market so far resilient to recession
• Consumers switching stores and products more than ever before to help their budgets stretch further
• Consumers choosing to dine and cook more at home
• Consumers buying more convenience food
• Consumers interested in treats
• Consumers still care about fresh and healthy food but less interested in ethical foods
28Morrisons points of difference
Vertical integration
• Industry leading availability
• Flexibility/competitive pricing
• Industry leading food deals
29Morrisons points of difference
Market Street
• Fresh Food Academy
• Fresh value food products
Innovative value promotions
• Industry leading deals
• Sun media promotion
• Collector Card scheme
• ‘Let’s Grow’ campaign
30Opportunities – new customers
• Our perception among new customers has soared over the last 2 years
• New customers like our unique Market Street shopping experience, our fresh food and the great value we offer
• We have strongly grown customer numbers but 40% (10m) of households have not yet been in one of our refreshed stores
Big potential to attract new customers
31Opportunities - new locations
• 382 stores (11.1m sq. ft.)
• We are a national company but we are not yet nationwide
• There are approximately 25m households living in the UK
• 16.6m (66%) households live within 15 minutes drive of our stores
8.4m (34%) households do not have the same access to any of our existing stores
32Opportunities - smaller stores
• 60 stores (11k - 20k sq. ft.) - 16% ofour estate
• Highest sales density growth
• Higher fresh food participation than standard stores
• Recently developed Northallerton, Blandford, Gorleston & Clifton (all 11k-18k sq. ft.) with full Market Street
• Bespoke range and segmentation
• Out of town, edge of town and in town
Not convenience shops but convenient shopping
33
Potential new representation to become nationwide
• We now have the flexibility to operate a wider range of stores (10k – 40k+ sq. ft.)
• We can now reach many more places and households
• The blue areas represent more than 100 potential new sites for bigger and smaller stores
34Our focus
• Morrisons is currently under represented in key areas nationwide
to “Nationwide”
“National”
Focus in the coming years will be on space growth
35
Integration of Co-op/Somerfield stores in 2009/10
• Co-op/Somerfield stores– c.500k sq. ft. of new sales space
this year
– An extra 1.2m (5%) households within 15 mins drive of these stores
– Largest number in the South East, Greater London & the South West
– We will use the knowledge from our recent rebuilds, spending £2.5m per store
36Space growth
• We will accelerate growth from 350k to 500k sq. ft. in 2010/11
Space growth Sq. ft.(‘000)
Optimisation Plan to date 650
2009/10: c.10 new stores and 75k sq. ft. extensions
350
Optimisation Plan target met 1,000
2009/10: Co-op/Somerfield stores 500
2010/11: additional space growth 500
Additional space growth over 4 years to 2010/11 2,000
37Summary
• Strong LFL sales exc. fuel up 7.9%
• Underlying profit up 13%
• Healthy cash flow and strong balance sheet
• Dividend growth of 21%
• Morrisons is now embraced by a wider audience
Our strategy is working for us
• Flexibility to develop a wider range of stores
• Opportunity to move from:
to “Nationwide”
“National”
Supplementary Slides
40Balance sheet
£m2008/0
92007/0
8
Fixed assets and investments 7,079 6,683
Working capital -1,868 -1,694
Pensions deficit -49 -68
Net debt -642 -543
Net assets 4,520 4,378
Gearing 14% 12%
Interest cover 41.9 -
Interest cover adjusted* 20.3 34.1
Dividend cover - underlying 2.9 3.0
* Excluding property profits and IAS 19 pension interest
41Stores analysis
Group
Estate at 3 February 2008 375
New openings 9
Replacements -2
Estate at 1 February 2009 382
Total sales area (‘000 sq. ft.) 11,131
Freeholds and long leaseholds 92%
Petrol filling stations 287
42Depreciation
• H2 06/07 & H1 07/08 – accelerated depreciation of branded assets
• H2 07/08 – Safeway structural assets fully depreciated
• H1 08/09 – business as usual
• H2 08/09 – Optimisation Plan investments accelerating
129 153 163126
289
130160
290282
H1 H2 FY H1 H2 FY H1 H2 FY
06/07 07/08 08/09
£m
* 06/07 & 07/08 – 26 weeks
43Recognition
• Industry recognition