7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

1/16

Brighton Blackburn

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Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the right

41% 37%

Brighton are the Championships heaviest users

of the right flank, which pits them nicely against

the weaker left side of Blackburns defence

This is a tough one to call between two sides in similar form battling for supremacy on the

cusp of the play-offs. While Brighton look marginally more likely to prevail, a draw seems the

most probable result given the number these two sides have already served up this season.

Expected score: 1-1

9.4 12.3

With Brighton among the best sides in the

division at restricting chances and their visitors

among the worst, we could see a lot of traffic

towards the away goalmouth

Shots faced per game

Goals per match scored vs. conceded from outside the area

0.33 0.13The hosts excel at finding the net from range, but

that particular skill might not be of much use to

them against Blackburns alert rearguard

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

2/16

Hull Derby

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Goals scored vs. conceded per game from headers

0.33 0.40

Hull offer one of the divisions greater aerial

threats and they should definitely be persisting

with high balls given their visitors susceptibility

I wrote Derbys prospects off in a similar match-up at the weekend but they took their few

chances well to earn a point. However Hull look better equipped to keep them at bay.

Expected score: 2-0

0.40 0.47

The Tigers are the Championships most

successful users of the right flank and find

themselves up against the defence with the

divisions weakest left side

Goals scored vs. conceded per game from open play down the right

Shots taken per game (home vs. away)

14.9 7.7

This match looks likely to be a Hull-dominated

affair no Championship side averages more

shots per match at home and Derby muster very

few of their own away

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

3/16

Middlesbrough Leeds

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Goals conceded vs. scored from open play down the left

16% 40%

The visitors have used the left wing to great effect

this season but the right side ofBoros defence

has been relatively tight, which could well blunt

their goal threat

Its been a horrible start to the year for Middlesbrough, who come into this match off the back

of 5 consecutive defeats, and while theyll have easier matches than this I still expect them to

get back to winning ways.

Expected score: 2-1

12.0 12.2

Leeds seem content with letting their opponents

do more of the attacking, and Middlesbrough look

happy to oblige

Shots taken vs. faced per game

Goals scored vs. conceded per game from outside the box

0.37 0.30Boro wont get many better chances to exploit

their long range accuracy than this, with Leeds

looking vulnerable from distance

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

4/16

Brentford Stevenage

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Goals conceded vs. scored from open play down the right

35% 45%

While Brentford dont present any glaring

weaknesses for Stevenage to exploit, the visitors

best chance may be to probe down the right

where theyve been relatively successful

With these two teams in stuttering form this is a tough one to call, but Brentford look set to

have more opportunities to take the points here.

Expected score: 2-1

12.6 11.9

In addition to soaking up a lot of shots,

Stevenage dont take very many either, meaning

that this match will probably comprise mostly

home traffic

Shots taken vs. faced per match

Goals scored vs. conceded in the first & last 15 mins of matches

49% 49%Half of Brentfords goals come either early or late,

which is coincidentally when Stevenage concede

roughly half of theirs

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

5/16

Bury Sheff Utd

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Goals conceded vs. scored from open play down the right

45% 35%

The Blades will carry the greater goal threat down

their right flank, with their hosts attack-minded left

side proving all too vulnerable to opponents

incursions

Despite a frustrating start to the year, the visitors are unbeaten in 5 away matches. Bury look

capable of giving them a good game, but I suspect not enough of one to outscore them over

90 minutes.

Expected score: 1-1

0.40 0.37

While both these sides are equally dangerous in

the air going forward, the visitors are noticeably

more vulnerable at the back

Headed goals scored vs. conceded per game

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the left

50% 33%Bury have depended heavily on their left flank for

goals this season and this is a strategy which

could pay off in this instance

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

6/16

Crewe Bournemouth

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Goals scored vs. conceded in the 15 mins before half time

27% 21%Crewe often strike late in the first half, which is

where Bournemouth have a tendency to concede

While Bournemouth should prove too strong for Crewe, both sides look capable of scoring

here and it should be a close match.

Expected score: 1-2

12.2 13.1

Despite being the away side, the Cherries look

the more likely to dominate proceedings, testing

Crewes strong defensive record at home

Shots faced vs. taken per match

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play through the centre

58% 27%Both these sides create the majority of their goals

in the middle of the pitch, but the visitors police

the centre much more effectively

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

7/16

Doncaster MK Dons

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Points won from winning vs. losing positions

96% 11%

If Doncaster score first then precedent suggests

that MK Dons wont be able to recover no

League 1 side is better at closing wins out than

Rovers while their visitors have struggled to

recover from going behind

Neither of these sides are in great form and this is a tougher match than either would want

during such a sequence, but Doncasters blip looks to be much less serious and they should

be capable of a win.

Expected score: 2-1

7.6 11.4

Doncaster dont allow many shots at their goal on

their own turf, but MK Dons tend to take the

game to their opponents irrespective of venue, so

there could be a heated battle in midfield

Shots faced (home) vs. taken (away) per match

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the left

30% 35%

Both sides tend to favour the centre when

attacking but Doncaster shouldnt overlook the left

wing, which aligns nicely with a weak point in their

visitors defence

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

8/16

Hartlepool Portsmouth

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Goals conceded vs. scored from open play through the centre

37% 59%

The visitors tendency to channel their attacks

through the middle could also hinder them here,

with Hartlepool relatively solid in central positions

Portsmouth arguably wont have a better chance to end their 18 match winless run than

against the only side currently still beneath them in the table. The problem is that their hosts

are undergoing a revival and have only lost 1 in 5, so this could be the day they swap places.

Expected score: 1-0

13.4 5.4

The divisions most profligate home attack meets

its most porous away defence will either be

able to raise their game?

Shots per goal scored (home) vs. conceded (away)

Goals conceded vs. scored from set pieces

17% 42%Pompey have undeniably relied on set pieces for

goals this season but this is no guarantee of

success here

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

9/16

Scunthorpe Carlisle

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Shots per goal scored vs. conceded

10.5 6.2

The home sides wasteful attack is up against one

of the divisions more porous defences itll be

interesting, but perhaps not pretty, to see which

gains the advantage

This doesnt appear to have the hallmarks of a classic encounter, but both sides are enjoying

their best run of form for a while and have a clear means of breaching the others defence. I

expect a score draw to be the most likely outcome.

Expected score: 1-1

0.42 0.40

The Iron have been heavily dependent on their

right wing for goals this season and theyd be

foolish not to move the ball in that direction given

their visitors shaky left side

Goals scored vs. conceded per match from open play down the right

Goals conceded vs. scored per match from set pieces

0.58 0.43

Dead ball situations havent favoured Scunthorpe

at either end this season, but Carlisle thrive on

them to the extent that their hosts should be very

nervous

7/29/2019 Predictions - Football League 120213

10/16

Yeovil Preston

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Shots faced per game (home vs. away)

7.7 8.6

The precedent is for these sides both to restrict

the others chances, w