Predicting Riparian Habitat Quantity and Diversity Using ... · Non-erodible rock revetments were...

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Predicting Riparian Habitat Quantity and Diversity Using 2D Landscape Evolution Modeling Kaitlyn Hammond Environmental Studies Senior Synthesis Seattle University March 10, 2015

Transcript of Predicting Riparian Habitat Quantity and Diversity Using ... · Non-erodible rock revetments were...

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PredictingRiparianHabitatQuantityandDiversityUsing2DLandscapeEvolutionModeling

KaitlynHammond

EnvironmentalStudiesSeniorSynthesis

SeattleUniversity

March10,2015

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Abstract

Alterationofriversystemshasresultedinmorphologicallysimplerivers,and

poor-qualityriparianhabitat.Astherelationshipbetweenhabitatdiversityand

ecosystemfunctionbecomesmoreapparent,managementhasbeguntofocuson

restoringnaturalhabitat-creatinggeomorphicprocesses.Wideningtheerodible

rivercorridorisonerestorationstrategy,butdeterminingthecorridorwidth

neededtofacilitateanincreaseinhabitatcanbechallenging.Thisstudyexploresthe

useofCAESAR-Lisflood,a2Dcellularhydraulicmodel,asatoolforquantifyingsite-

specificdifferencesresultingfromdifferenterodiblecorridorwidths.TheNorth

ForkoftheSnoqualmieRivernearNorthBend,Washingtonwasusedformodeling.

Non-erodiblerockrevetmentsweremodeledonthebanksofthemainchanneland

setbackoneriverwidth.After100yearsofsimulatedflow,theresulting

morphologywascomparedtoanunconstrainedcondition.Theunconstrained

conditionhadmoreactivesidechannelsattheendof100yearsthanthe

constrainedconditions,andmoresidechannelactivationthroughoutthedurationof

modeling.Theseresultssuggestthatawidererodiblecorridordoesfacilitatehabitat

formation.Additionally,thesuccessfultranslationofmodeloutputtohabitatquality

providesastartingpointtheuseof2Dmodelingasatoolforrestoration.Further

studiesshouldfocusondevelopingappropriatehabitatassessmentindicestomake

thisanaccessibletoolformanagers.

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Introduction

Habitatheterogeneity,definedasaspatiallydiversedistributionofphysical

andbiologicalhabitatcomponentsinanenvironment,hasbeenshowntoinfluence

thelevelofbiodiversitythatcanbesupportedbyariverecosystem(Wardand

Tockner2001).Therelationshipbetweenhabitatheterogeneityandbiological

diversityisparticularlyevidentinripariansystems,astheinterfacebetween

aquaticandterrestrialecosystemsisassociatedwithavarietyofmicrohabitatsthat

supportmorebiologicalniches,andthereforemorespecies(Ward,Tockner,and

Schiemer1999,Malmqvist2002).Studieshaveexpressedtheimportanceof

biodiversityasafacilitatorofecosystemproductivityandresilience(Isbell,Polley,

andWilsey2009,Mace,Norris,andFitter2012),andforthisreason,many

restorationeffortsaimtoincreaselocalbiodiversity.

Humanmodificationstoriversystems,includingalterationofflowregimes,

canalization,andbankstabilization,haveeliminatedmuchofthespatialand

temporaldiversityassociatedwithriparianhabitat(BunnandArthington2002,

Ward,Tockner,andSchiemer1999).Manyofthesemodifications,particularlyriver

channelizationthroughuseofbankstabilizationstructures,destroybothsmall-scale

habitatfeaturesandthegeomorphicprocessesthatpromotehabitatheterogeneity

atalargerscale(AbbeandMontgomery1996;SeguraandBooth2010).Because

erosionandfloodingcandamagepropertyandotherpublicandprivateassets,

managementtendstofocusheavilyonbankstabilization.Whetheraccomplished

usingtraditionalrockriprap,orusingsofterapproaches,likeengineeredwoodor

bankplanting,bankstabilizationcaneventuallynarrowtherivercorridor,

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diminishingthepotentialfornaturalhabitatcreatingprocessesandecological

succession(Piégayetal.2005).Findingtherightbalancebetweenstabilityandthe

ecologicalbenefitsassociatedwithinstabilityisachallengefacedinmanagement.

Managersmayconsidertheremovalofbankstabilizationstructuresand

wideningoftheerodiblecorridorasmeanstoreactivategeomorphicprocessesand

enhancebiodiversity,butassessingthepotentialoutcomesofdifferentplansis

difficult.Studiessuggestthatwideningtheerodiblecorridor,themanagement-

definedareathatarivercanerode,isbeneficialintermsofhabitatformation.Itis,

however,unclearhowwidethecorridormustbetoallowformeasurablehabitat

improvement(Buijseetal.2002;Palmeretal.2007).Additionally,variation

betweensitesmakesitdifficulttoapplya“onesizefitsall”managementstrategy

(Piégay2005).

Hydraulicmodelinghasbeenproposedasawaytoevaluatepotential

morphologicformsresultingfromdifferentmanagementstrategiesataparticular

site(Richards,Brasington,andHughes2002).However,beingpredictiveisdifficult,

andmodelingiscomputationallydemanding;therefore,hydraulicmodelinghasnot

yetbeenusedforthispurpose.Recentchangesto2Dcellularhydraulicmodels,a

classofgrid-basedmodels,havemadethemmoreefficientandbetterableto

representinstreamhydraulicconditions(Coulthard,Hicks,andVanDeWiel2007).

Becauseoftheefficiencyofthesemodels,theyprovideafeasibleoptionfor

exploringpredictivemodeling.

CAESAR-Lisflood,anumeric2Dcellularmodel,waschosenforuseinthis

study.ThisprojectseekstoutilizetheCAESAR-Lisfloodmodelto:

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1. DeterminewhetherCAESAR-Lisfloodcanreasonablymodelchangesin

morphologyover100simulatedyears,andwhethertheprogramcanmodel

theareaofatypicalrestorationsitequicklyenoughtobeapracticaltoolfor

management.

2. Evaluatepotentialhabitatdifferencesresultingfromtheplacementof

modeledburiedrockrevetments(acommonlyusedbankstabilization

structure)atvaryinglevelsofsetbackfromthemainriverchannel.

Alow-cost,predictivetoolthatcanoperatequickly,andquantifydifferencesin

potentialoutcomes,wouldgiverestorationprojectmanagers,engineers,andthose

involvedinconservationmanagementabetterframeworkformakingdecisions

aboutprojectimplementation.

LiteratureReview

Determiningamethodforimprovingecologicalintegrityisacritical

challengefacedbyrestorationmanagers.Thisreviewwillexplorethebodyof

literaturesurroundingrestorationplanning,andpossibilitiesforinformingthe

decision-makingprocess.First,Iwillsummarizetheliteraturepertainingtoriver

restorationstrategies,focusingonthebenefitsassociatedwiththerestoration

geomorphicprocesses.Then,Iwilldiscussthepotentialuseofmodelingasatoolfor

restoration.Finally,Iwillevaluateseveralmetricsforhabitatassessment,and

suggesthowtheycouldbeincorporatedwithamodeltoprovideaneffectivetoolfor

enhancingdiversity.

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Riverrestorationgoalsandmethods

Riverandstreamrestorationhasbecomeanincreasinglycriticalundertaking

aspeoplebegintounderstandriversystemservices(Palmeretal.2005).Rivers

provideavarietyofecosystemservices,includingwaterfiltration,nutrientcycling,

andclimateregulation,andmorebiodiversesystemsarebetterabletoprovide

thesefunctions(Isbell,Polley,andWilsey2009;Mace,Norris,andFitter2012).As

thisrelationshipbecomesclearer,restorationprojectshaveemphasizedthe

improvementofecologicalintegrityasaprinciplefocus.

Restorativeeffortsaremovingfroma“state-based”approachthatfocuseson

achievingaparticularsetofcharacteristicstoa“process-based”approachthat

emphasizestheimportanceoflarge-scaledriversofriparianfunction(Beechieetal.

2010).Ratherthaninstallinginstreamhabitatfeatures,likespawninggravelor

logjams,contemporaryprojectsseektobeself-sustainingbyremoving“barriers”

(bothliteralandfigurative)tonaturalriverevolution.Beechieetal.(2010)argue

thatripariandynamicsareinfluencedby“hierarchicallynested”physical,chemical

andbiologicalprocessesactingatbroadspatialandtemporalscales.Theydescribe

theimportanceofdesigningrestorationeffortstoaddresslarge-scaleprocesses,like

sedimenttransportandseasonalflowregimes,ratherthantheindividualsymptoms

oflargerissues.Restorationatanecosystemscalemaynotbepossibleatallsites

duetoeconomicconstraints,buteffortsbasedontheseprinciplescanleadto

successevenatasmallerscale(Beechieetal.2010).

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Oneofthemainissueswith“state-based”strategiesisthedifficultyof

definingareferencestate(DufourandPiégay2009).Inthepast,mostrestoration

effortsfocusedonrestoringarivertoahistoricalstate,butidentifyingthedesired

stateproveddifficult.DufourandPiégay(2009)argueforanapproachsimilarto

thatofBeechieetal.(2010)thatfocusesonfunctionoverstate.However,Dufour

andPiégaydonotbelievethataprocess-basedapproachwillalwaysleadtodesired

outcomes,andsuggestintegratinghumanandsocietalneedsintodesigntoensure

success.

Restorationofgeomorphicprocessesiscomplicatedbysocietaldesiresfora

stableriverchannel.Whilebeneficialforpropertyandothersocietalassets,river

regulationandbankstabilizationcaneliminateprocessesthatcreatemorphologic

diversity(SeguraandBooth2010;Collins,Montgomery,andHaas2002).Processes

likeerosionhavebeenshowntoincreasemorphologicaldiversity,andbydoingso,

providehabitatbenefitstoriparianspecies.Forexample,sidechannelshavebeen

showntoprovidevaluablehabitatforlivingandbreedingformanyspecies(Stellaet

al.2011).Riverswithbraidedflowpatterns,orvariouschannelsofactiveflow

weavingaroundislands,areassociatedwithgreaterpopulationsoffishspecies

(Montgomeryetal.1999).Ingravel-beddedstreams,thepool-rifflesequencewith

areasoflowvelocitiesandhighdepthsalternatingwithhighvelocitiesandlow

depthshavebeenshowntobeespeciallyimportantforfish,bothforbreeding

spawning(Beechieetal.2005).Otherphysicalelementsplayseasonalroles.For

instance,overhangingbanksprovideshadeandcoolerwaterforfish,andoxbow

lakesprovideslow-waterrefugeinhigh-flowevents(Beechieetal.2005,Ishidaet

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al.2010).Thesebenefitsmustbeweightedagainstthecostsassociatedwithan

activeerodiblecorridor,particularlythethreatofpropertydamage,andprojects

mustberesponsivetosocietalneedstoensuresuccess.

Modelingasatoolforrestoration

Currently,mostdecisionsregardingriverrestorationstrategiesarebasedon

informationgainedfromotherrestorationprojects,andresearchaboutrestorative

tools(Buijseetal.2002).Thisinformationisvaluableinguidingdecisions,butitis

notsite-specific,andtendstobe“fragmented,”onlyevaluatingtheeffectsofa

strategyononeparticularcomponentoftheriparianzone(Buijseetal.2002,889).

Itcanbechallengingtocompareproposeddesigns,particularlywhenthe

approachesutilizeavarietyoftoolsandareintendedtoaffectmultiplecomponents

oftheriparianzone.Thisbecomesevenmorechallengingwhenevaluatingsimilar

designs.Ateammaybedecidingbetweenimplementationofburiedrevetmentsset

backoneortwochannelwidthsfromthemainchannel.Awaytocomparethe

habitatqualityandquantitythatwouldresultfromthesedifferentrestoration

strategieswouldbeusefulforhelpingdistinguishbetweentwoapproaches.

Therearemanystrategiesforevaluatingexistinghabitatdiversityand

complexity,includingstreamcategorization,hydraulicmodeling,andspatial

variabilityindicies(Yarnell,Mount,andLarsen2006;Benjanker,Koenig,andTonina

2013),butevaluatingfutureoutcomesofspecificmanagementplansislimitedto

evidencebasedonthesuccessesandfailuresofotherrestorationprojects(Buijseet

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al.2002).Thereisneedforasite-specificassessmentstrategy,particularlyonethat

canquantifythedifferencesinhabitatresultingfromdifferentstrategies.

Richards,Brasington,andHughes(2002)proposethatitcouldbepossibleto

usehydraulicmodelstoevaluatefuturesituations,notjustcategorizecurrent

conditions.Nosubstantialworkhasbeendoneonthetopicsince,asmodelingis

computationallydemanding,andchallengingtovalidate(VandeWieletal.2011).

However,recentupdatestocellularhydraulicmodelshaveimprovedtheir

computationalefficiency,andasthebodyofknowledgeaboutmodelcalibration

expands,theyhavebecomeanincreasinglyviableoptionforuseinpredicting

habitat(Coulthard,Hicks,andVandeWiel2007).

2Dcellularhydraulicmodelsuseagrid-basedmapofelevationandsediment

sizesaccompaniedwithwaterandsedimenttransportequationstosimulateriver

flowanderosionprocesses(Coulthard,Hicks,andVandeWiel2007).Coulthard,

Hicks,andVandeWiel(2007)identifytwomajorcategoriesofcellularmodels:

LandscapeEvolutionModels(LEMs),whichusesteadyflowequations,andnon-

steadyflowhydraulicmodels.LEMsareusefuloverlongspatialandtemporalscales,

butneglectimportanthydraulicinformation.Non-steadyflowmodelsaremuch

morecomputationallydemanding,butareclosertorealityintheirrepresentationof

in-channelflow.

Coulthardetal.(2013)combinedbothtypesofmodelsintoanewmodel

calledCAESAR-Lisflood.Thismodelinparticularisagoodoptionforpredicting

futurehabitatconditions,asmanagersmustevaluatebothlong-termchangesthat

resultfromamanagementchoice,aswellastheimmediatehydraulicconditions,as

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theyarerelevanttohabitat.Additionally,becauseitismorecomputationally

efficientthanother2Dcellularmodels,itispossibletosimulate50-100yearsof

flow(animportanttime-scaleformanagers)inashortenoughtimeperiodtobe

usefulformanagers.

Themodelisrunusinganelevationmapfortheareatobemodeled,daily

flowvolumesandvelocities,andasedimentsizedistributionfromthesite.Foreach

cellinthemodel,sedimentandwaterareaddedfromupstream.Ifthecapacityfor

sedimenttransport(whichiscalculatedbasedonflowvelocity)exceedsthesupply,

sedimentistakenfromthebed,andthebedislowered.Ifthesedimentsupplyis

greaterthanthetransportcapacity,thebedraises.Themodelalsoallows

specificationofcellsasbedrockthatcannotbeeroded.Thisfunctionprovidesan

easywaytomodelbankstabilizationstructures.Thesourcecodeforthemodelis

alsofreelyavailable,whichallowsuserstointegratemodifications,andpresentsno

financialburdentomanagersseekingtousethemodel.

Intheirreviewof2Dhydraulicmodels,Coulthard,Hicks,andVandeWiel

(2007)notedthatwhilecellularmodelsareausefultypeofmodel,theydohave

certaintechnicalproblemsthatmeantheyshouldnotbeusedforexactprediction,

butinsteadtopredictsetsofpossiblefutures,ormorphologicalforms.Oneofthe

mainissuestheyidentifyisthedifficultyassociatedwithmodelinglateralerosion.

However,theequationsusedinthesemodelsmakesthemmoreeffectiveat

representingbraidedriversystemsthanothermorphologicalpatterns(Coulthard,

Hicks,andVandeWiel2007).Zilianietal.(2013)supplementedthesefindingsby

comparingtheCAESARmodeltoarealsystem,andfoundthatthemodeleffectively

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simulatedgeneralmorphologicchangesandsedimentoutput,butwaslesseffective

atrepresentingfinerscalefeatures,likebraidingintensity.Thesestudiescollectively

indicateCAESAR-Lisfloodisappropriateoptionformodelingfuturehabiat

conditions.

Frommodeloutputtohabitatcomparison

Whilemethodologiesexistforevaluatingspatialvariationandhabitat

heterogeneityinrivermorphology(Yarnell,Mount,andLarsen2006),thereis

currentlynometricincorporatingbothbioticpreferencesandspatialvariation.

Creatinganindexforassessmentbasedonspeciespreferenceswouldallow

managerstobetterevaluatehowamanagementplanaffectsimportantfocalspecies

inanarea.

InthePacificNorthwest,salmonidscanbeausefulindicatorofbiological

integrity.Becauseofthedirectuseandculturalvaluesattachedtosalmonids,they

areoftenthedrivingforcebehindrestorationefforts.Thesespecieshavecomplex

lifehistorystrategiesthatrequireavarietyofmicrohabitats(Beechieetal.2014;

SaraevaandHardy2009),makingthemagoodindicatorofhabitatdiversity.They

arealsoanimportantgroupofspecieseconomically.Salmonidssitatthe

intersectionbetweenecologicalandsocialrestorationgoals,makingthema

particularlyusefulfocalspeciesforthisproject.

Conclusions

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Habitatmodelingcouldprovideextremelyusefulinformationtomanagers,

andisnowpossiblewithupdatedmodels.Thesemodelsshouldnot,however,be

usedtopredictexactfuturesduetothestochasticnatureofriversystems.Agood

habitatindextoassessmodeloutputwilltakeintoaccountmanyofthediverse

featuresoftheriparianlandscape,includingoffchannelhabitat,geomorphological

features,likeoff-channelpoolsandgravelbars,aswellashydraulicinformation,

includingwaterdepthandvelocity.Theimportanceofthesefeatureshasbeen

evaluatedindividually,butcombiningthemprovidesanewwayofassessinghabitat

quality.Thepredictionsbasedonmodelassessmentcouldbetterallowmanagersto

worktowardrestoringnaturalprocessesthatcouldenhancehabitatinthelongrun,

ratherthanartificiallycreatinghabitatfeatures.

Methodology

StudySite

Iperformedmodelingona2.5kmstretchoftheNorthForkofthe

SnoqualmieRivernearNorthBend,Washington.Thisisagravel-bedded,braided

riversystem.Thesitecontainsabridgethatmaybeatriskoffailureiferosionon

thesouthbankcontinues(Ruebel,personalcommunication).KingCountyis

developingaplantoprotectthebridge,butintendstousesofterengineering

approachesinordertoactivategeomorphicchangeattheprojectsite(Ruebel,

personalcommunication).Whilemodelingcannotbeusedtopredictexactlywhat

theriverwilllooklikeinthefuture,theexplorationofdifferentmorphologicforms

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andtheresultinghabitatconditionsfromdifferentmanagementdesignstrategies

maybeofuseasthecountydeliberatesbetweenplans.Because2Dmodelsaremost

accuratewhenrepresentingbraidedriversystems(Coulthard,Hicks,andVanDe

Wiel2007),thisisanappropriatechoiceforaprojectsite.

ExperimentalDesign

Isimulatedthreedifferentconditionsrepresentingincreasingerodible

corridorwidthusingthebedrockfunctionintheCAESARmodel:buriedrevetments

alongthebanksofthemainchannel,buriedrevetmentssetbackoneriverwidth

fromthemainchannel,andanunconstrainedcondition(Figure1).ADigital

ElevationMap(DEM)obtainedfrom2009KingCountyLIDARwasusedastheinitial

conditionformodeling.Iobtainedaveragedailyflowvaluesforthepast50years

fromUSGSstreamgauge12142000,agaugelocatedupstreamfromtheprojectsite,

andduplicatedthedatatorepresent100yearsofflow.Tominimizeruntime,only

thetop2%offlowvolumeswereused,ascalculationsusingtheBedload

AssessmentinGravel-beddedStreams(BAGS)calculatorindicatedthat98%of

sedimenttransportoccurredwiththetop2%offlows(WilcockandCrowe2003).A

sedimentdistributionforthesiteincluding9sedimentsizeswasinputtedtothe

model,andsedimentwasrecirculatedthroughthemodel.Twoadditionaltestruns

includingthelowflowswereperformedtoevaluatethedifferencebetweenthe

narrowrevetmentsandtheunconstrainedcondition.Theserunsusedinputted

sedimentcalculatedbasedonflowvelocitiesusingBAGS.4sedimentsizeswere

usedinthesesimulations.Theserunsincorporateduseofthevegetationand

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sedimentdepositionparameters.Allothermodelparametersaredescribedin

appendix1.

Aftersimulating100yearsofflow,theresultingDEMsweremodeledfortwo

dayswithanaveragesummerlowflow(seeappendix1)todeterminewhich

channelswereactiveduringnon-floodconditions.Modeloutputwasanalyzedin

ArcGIS.

Ateverymomentofsimulatedtime,themodelrecordsavalueforeachcell

forwaterdepth,velocity,andaveragesedimentsize.Aftersimulating100yearsof

flowandrunningasummerlowflowthroughtheresultingDEM,IusedArcGISto

findcellsthatmetdepthandvelocityconditionscorrespondingwithhabitat

preferencesforCohoandChinookpresmoltasdescribedbyGoodmanetal.(2014).

WhileSnoqualmieFallsblocksthepassageofanadromousfish,definedasthosefish

thatmigratefromtheoceantofreshwatertospawn,studiesindicaterainbowtrout,

aspeciesthatispresentatthesite,havethesamehabitatrequirementsasCohoand

Chinooksalmon(Quinn2005,202-203).Thisagegrouptendstobelimitedby

habitatavailability,makingitanappropriate,albeitnotentirelyinclusive,indicator

ofhabitatquality(Goodmanetal.2014).

Results

Thesimulationof100yearsofhighflowstookapproximately11hours(see

appendix1forcomputerspecifics).After100simulatedyears,theunconstrained

conditionshowedsmallsidechannelsactivatedevenduringasummerlowflow

(Figure2).ComparisonwiththeoriginalDEMsuggeststhattheriverisreoccupying

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abandonedchannels.Theconstrainedconditionsdidnothaveanyactiveside

channelssummerflow,withtheexceptionofonechannelsplitpresentinthe

narrowconditionthatwaspresentintheinitialcondition(Figures3and4).

Across-sectionalanalysisoftheunconstrainedconditionshowedarelatively

widechannelwithgentlyslopedbanks.D50,theaveragesedimentdiameter,was

loweronthefloodplainandhigherinthemiddleofthechannel(Figure5).Thisis

consistentwithnormalriverconditions.Thenarrowconditionhadasharper

channelslopeandanirregularsedimentsizepatternthroughthecross-sectionthat

wascoarserthanseenintheunconstrainedposition(Figure6).Thesetback

conditionresultedinawiderchannelthanboththeunconstrainedandnarrow

conditions,butthesedimentsizeprofilewassimilartothatoftheunconstrained

run(Figure7).

Thecumulativetimeinundatedforeachcellovertheperiodof100yearscan

beseeninFigures8,9,and10.Thesefiguresshowthatthesidechannelactivation

intheunconstrainedrunwasmoreconsistentoverthedurationofthesimulation

thantheconstrainedruns.Ontherightrideofthemapoftheunconstrained

condition(Figure8),thereareseveralredtoorangecoloredchannelsbraidedina

waythatistypicalforabraidedriversystem.Thereisalsooneredtoorange

coloredchannelnearthetopofthemap.Thiswasahistoricchannel,anditappears

asthoughtheriverhasreoccupiedthischannelmanytimesduringthesimulation.

Infigures9and10,thesidechannelsvisibleonthebottomofthemaps,closertothe

leftside,arelocatedclosertogether,andwouldnotbeconsistentwithapatternof

multiplechannelsactivatedsimultaneously.

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Figure11showstheriverprofilethroughthecenterofthemainchannelof

theunconstrainedrunduringthelowflowsimulation.Thepatternofhighvelocities

associatedwithlowdepthsandlargeraveragesedimentsize(D50)isconsistent

withwhatwouldbeexpectedforapool-rifflegravel-beddedriver.Sedimentsizes

foreachoftheselocationsareappropriate,giventhesedimentsizeinputs.

Thecumulativeamountofsedimentfluxwasplottedovertimeforallthree

scenarios(Figure12).Allthreeconditionsproducedfairlylinearoutputs,butthe

mostsedimentfluxoccurredinthesetbackconditionandtheleastinthenarrow

condition.ComparisontoUSGShistoricalrecordsstatinghistoricalsedimentflux

revealsthevaluesfortheunconstrainedandsetbackconditionsarewithinan

appropriatesedimentfluxrange,butthevalueforthenarrowconditionistoosmall.

Forthetrialrunsincludingthelowflows,modeltimewasapproximately15

hours.Cross-channelelevationandsedimentprofileswereconsistentwithexpected

results.Thenarrowconditionhadasharpinclineandcoarsesedimentinthemiddle

ofthechannel.Theunconstrainedconditionhadawiderchannel,slightlywider

thantheinitialchannel,andsedimentsizeinthemiddleofthechannelwaslarger

thanonthefloodplain,butstillsmallerthanintheconstrainedrun.

Thevelocityoutputofthelowflowtrialrunswasmapped,andvelocities

werecharacterizedbasedontypicaltransitionsbetweenmorphologicunitsas

identifiedbyPasternakandSenter(2011).Planebedisdefinedasavelocityless

than0.3m/s,insetchannelsasbetween0.3and0.6m/s,steepinsetchannelsas

greaterthan0.6m/s.Thefinalcategory,theareaswithvelocitiesmorethan0.9m/s,

aredefinedastherunmorphologicunit.Inthenarrowrun(Figure13),thechannel

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isverynarrowandthererangeofmorphologicunitsisdifficulttodistinguish.Inthe

unconstrainedrun(Figure14),thechanneliswider,andthespatialpatternis

recognizable,andconsistentwithwhatwouldbeexpectedforagravel-beddedriver.

Thefastareas(blue)areontheinsideofbends,andtheslowerparts(greenand

yellow)areinthesidechannelareas.

Salmonidhabitatarea(definedbyGoodmanetal.2014)wasmappedforthe

highflowruns(Figures15and16).Thehabitatareas(Table1)foreachrunwere

fairlyconsistent.Therewaslessareaintheunconstrainedrunthaninthenarrow

run.Themosthabitatareawasinthesetbackrun.However,muchofthehabitat

areaintheunconstrainedrunwasinthesidechannels.

Insummary,physicaldiversitywasmoreintheunconstrainedrunsthanin

theconstrainedruns.Whilehabitatmeasurementssuggestmorehabitatinthe

constrainedrun,muchofthehabitatintheunconstrainedrunwasintheside

channels.

Discussion

Theunconstrainedconditionhadthemostsidechannelactivityoutofthe

threetrials,bothattheendofthetrialandcumulativelyduringsimulation.Thisis

consistentwiththeliteraturesuggestingawidererodiblecorridorcanenhance

morphologicdiversity.Asexpected,inthenarrowcorridor,themainchannelwas

stationarythroughoutthedurationoftherun.Thecross-channelprofileofthe

narrowcorridorconditionsrevealedthatthechannelbecamenarroweranddeeper,

whichisconsistentwithobservationsinrealsystems(Beagleetal.2015).However,

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thesedimentprofilesuggeststhattoomuchfinesedimentmaybeerodingfromthe

system.Addinganappropriateamountofsedimenttothesystem,ratherthan

recirculatingsediment,mayresultinamorerealisticsedimentprofile.

Inthesetbackcondition,thechannelwidened,andcumulativesedimentflux

washigherthanintheunconstrainedcondition.Judgingbythecross-sectional

profileandcomparisonofthefinalelevationmaptotheinitialcondition,itappears

thatthechannelerodeduntilitcametotherevetments,and“bouncedoff,”running

intotherevetmentsontheotherside.Becausetheerodiblecorridorwasrelatively

narrow,thisprocesscontinued,resultinginawideractivechannelandmore

sedimentfluxthanfortheunconstrainedcondition(Figure12).Timeconstraints

preventedmodelingofthesetbackconditionwithallflows,butthisresultwould

likelybeimprovedbysupplyingsediment.

Thehabitatareaintheunconstrainedrunwaslessthanthesetbackrun,and

allthreerunswerefairlysimilarincalculatedhabitatarea.However,theside

channelareadidappeartobeanimportantcontributortohabitatarea(Figure14).

Themodeloutputsvelocityanddepthateachtimestep,meaningthatthisissimply

asnapshotofwhathabitatexistsatasinglepointintime.Amodificationtothe

modelallowingthetrackingofcumulativetimeacellmeetsthespecifiedhabitat

conditionwouldlikelybemorerepresentativeofthelong-termhabitatchanges

associatedwithdifferentmanagementstrategies.

Theallflowmodelresultssuggestthatthisstrategymaybeabetterindicator

offuturehabitatconditionsthanthesolelyhighflowcondition.Originally,Itrieda

fewtrialswithallflows,butbecauseIwasusing9grainsizes,itwasextraordinarily

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slow.However,reducingthenumberofgrainsizesdecreasedruntimesignificantly.

Whileitispossibletorunthemodelwithalltheflowsandgrainsizes,itwouldtakea

verylongtime,andmaynotbesuitableformanagement.However,thiswouldbea

necessarytestforthetheoreticalexperimentsabouttheimportanceofriver

corridorwidth.

Thehabitatparametersusedinthisstudywereverylimited.Developingan

indexforassessingthephysicaloutputofthemodelspatially,similartotheuseof

Shannon’sdiversityindexperformedbyYarnelletal.in2006wouldbethefirststep

inturningtheoutputofthemodelintoausefultoolforrestoration.Thiscouldbe

appliedtothemapsforallflowsclassifyingcertainhabitatunits.Theuseofanindex

likeShannon’sdiversityindexwouldbeanotherusefultoolforexploringhabitat

quantity.Incorporatingotheravailableparameters,likesedimentsize,wouldalso

increaseitsutility.Connectingcurrentlyexistingrivermorphologiestolocal

biologicalintegrityestimateswouldbeanimportantwayoffieldvalidatingthe

results.

ThesepreliminarytestsindicatethattheCAESAR-Lisfloodmodelhasthe

potentialtoquantifydifferencesbetweenpossiblerestorationstrategies,andina

reasonableamountoftime.Thechannelprofilefordepth,averagesedimentsize,

andvelocityindicatedthatthemodeliscapableofrepresentingthepool-riffle

sequenceexpectedinagravel-beddedriversystem.Whilethevalidityofthe

constrainedconditionswouldbeimprovedbyaddingsedimenttothesystem,the

modeliscapableofproducingreasonablerivermorphologyandappropriately

distributingsediment.

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Futurestudiesshouldexploreothermodelparameters,andincorporate

moresedimentsizes,anduseofacommonbiologicalindex.Furtherexplorationof

themodel’soperationcouldresultinausefulandapproachabletoolforrestoration.

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Figure1.Positionsofnon-erodiblerockrevetmentsusedforCAESARmodelruns.Revetmentsareplacedalongthebanksoftheexistingchannel.

Figure2.Unconstrainedconditionafter100yearsofsimulatedflow.ResultingDEMismodeledwithasummerlowflow(4cms).Colorsrepresentvelocitywithdarkerblueindicatinggreatervelocity.Redlineindicatespositionofcross-section(Figure5).

TablesandFigures

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Figure3.Narrowconditionafter100yearsofsimulatedflow.ResultingDEMismodeledwithasummerlowflow(4cms).Colorsrepresentvelocitywithdarkerblueindicatinggreatervelocity.Redlineindicatespositionofcross-section(Figure6).

Figure4.Setbackconditionafter100yearsofsimulatedflow.ResultingDEMismodeledwithasummerlowflow(4cms).Colorsrepresentvelocitywithdarkerblueindicatinggreatervelocity.Redlineindicatespositionofcross-section(Figure5).

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Figure5.Cross-sectionofunconstrainedconditionafter100years.Averagesedimentdiameterislargerinthemiddleofthechannelthanthefloodplain.

Figure6.Cross-sectionofnarrowconditionafter100years.Averagesedimentdiametershowsnopatternacrossthechannelprofile.

Figure7.Cross-sectionofsetbackconditionafter100years.Averagesedimentdiameterislargerinthemiddleofthechannelthanthefloodplain,andchanneliswiderthanintheunconstrainedcondition(Figure5).

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Figure8.Cumulativetimeinundatedduring100-yearsimulationforunconstrainedcondition.Colorsrangefrompurpletoredforincreasingtimeinundated.Sidechannels(orange)visibleonthebothsidesofthemainchannel(red)wereinundatedforlongerthanthesurroundingfloodplain.

Figure9.Cumulativetimeinundatedduring100-yearsimulationfornarrowcondition.Colorsrangefrompurpletoredforincreasingtimeinundated.Sidechannels(orange)canbeseenprimarilyonthesouthsideofthemainchannel(red).

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Figure10.Cumulativetimeinundatedduring100-yearsimulationforsetbackcondition.Colorsrangefrompurpletoredforincreasingtimeinundated.Veryfewareasoutsidethemainchannel(red)wereinundatedforasignificantportionofthesimulation.

Figure11.Depth,velocity,andaveragesedimentdiameter(D50)profileforthelengthofthemainchanneloftheunconstrainedconditionafter100yearssimulation.Sedimentsizeandvelocityareinverselycorrelatedwithdepth,asexpectedforapool-rifflesequence.

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Figure12.Cumulativesedimentfluxovertimefortheunconstrained,narrow,andsetbackconditions.

Figure15.HabitatareainunconstrainedconditionforCoho/Chinookpresmoltafter100yearsofflow(Depth<1m,velocity<1m/s).

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TestConditions HabitatArea

Unconstrained 2970m2

Narrow 2410m2

SetBack 3140m2

Table1.Habitatareacalculatedduringsummerlowflowafter100simulatedyears.

Figure16.HabitatareainconstrainedconditionforCoho/Chinookpresmoltafter100yearsofflow(Depth<1m,velocity<1m/s).

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Figure13.Velocityduringlowflowinconstrainedrunafter100simulatedyearswithallflows.Lowvelocitiescanbeseenalongtheedgesofthechannel,andthereislittleareaofhighvelocities(blue).

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Figure14.Velocityduringlowflowinunconstrainedrunafter100simulatedyearswithallflows.Velocityisproperlysortedalongedges,andthereisaconsistentdistributionofmorphologicunits.

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Appendix1ModelInformation

CAESAR-Lisfloodisa2DcellularmodelthatintegratestheCAESARlandscapeevolutionmodel(LEM)withtheLISFLOOD-FPhydraulicmodel(Coulthardetal.2013).Combiningthemodelsprovidesgreaterefficiencyforlargerspatialandtemporalscaleswithoutthelossofprecisionprovidedbynon-steadyflowhydraulicequations,makingthismodelanappropriatechoiceforthisstudy.

Inadditiontothemodelefficiency,themodelwasselectedbecause:• Itusessize-specificsedimenttransportequations(WilcockandCrowe,2003)

torepresentfluvialerosionanddeposition,therebyallowingsimulationofchangesinbedtexture

• Outputprovideswaterdepth,velocity,andaveragesedimentparticlesizevaluesforeverycellonthegrid,whichcanbeusedtocalculatehabitatareaatanypointinthesimulation

• Sourcecodeisavailableforcustomization,allowingustotrackcellsmeetingconditionsforhabitatranges

ComputerUsed4core3.5ghzXeonPCDEM:18,012cellgrid(114x158),10mcellsModelInputHydrology AveragedailyflowvalueswereobtainedfromUSGSstream

gage12142000.Flowentersthemodelatthreearbitrarilychosenpointsclosetothenorthedgeofthemap.Lowflowsusedaflowof9cms.

DigitalElevationMap(DEM)

Themapusedwasobtainedfrom2009KingCountyLIDAR.Itwascorrectedforwaterdepthbasedoncolorinanaerialimage,resampledat10mresolution,andmodifiedinArcGIStopreventflowfromleavingthenorthernboundary.

Sediment Distributionwascalculatedfromabar-toppebblecount.Thesupplyisspecifiedbyrecirculatingsedimentleavingthelowerboundaryofthemap.

Revetments ThesearerepresentedbyabedrockfilecreatedbymodifyingtheoriginalDEM

Lateralerosion Thisisaparameterthatmustbecalibratedforaparticularstudysitebyexperimentation.Itestedarangeofvaluesfrom0.01to0.00001,andfoundthatforthissite,avalueof0.0002resultedinanappropriatemorphologywithcurvatureexpectedgiventhecurrentandhistoricalconditionsofthesite.

HydraulicRoughness

Thisparameteraffectsthevelocityofthein-channelflow.Manning’snwasfoundbycalibrationtohighwatermarks.

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Allothermodelparameterswereleftunaltered.