ADF-14 Second

Replenishment Meeting

June – July, 2016

Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire

Leaving no one behind:

The role of ADF-14 for fragile situations

Recap

2

ADF-13 MTR ADF-14 1st Meeting ADF-14 2nd Meeting

Update on fragility

Strategic directions for ADF-14

Role of ADF-14 in fragile situations

1) The state of fragility & resource flows

2) ADF/TSF: progress & challenges

3) Higher ADF-14: building a resilient Africa

3

Outline

The state of fragility in Africa

4

internal

external

Fragility on the rise

PRESSURES

But countries make progress and exit fragility

5

Emerging from Conflict: ADF Support to Côte d’Ivoire

Focus: Providing services to and empowering victims of gender-

based-violence

Duration: Dec 2007 to Dec 2012

Amount: UA 20 million

“Now the community knows that it mustn’t harm people. Now

it knows that women are protected.”

— Survivor, 16 years old

Côte d’Ivoire

Sierra Leone with Ebola

progress

relapse

Youth – a possible source of fragility

• Today 420 million youth

• Most in ADF countries

• Lack of jobs

• Women most affected

• Illegal migration

6

JOBS FOR YOUTH IN AFRICA

Climate change – a risk multiplier

7

• Africa is particularly affected

• Fragile situations are vulnerable

• Requires regional responses

Source: CGDEV

USD 163 million

scaling-up Horn

of Africa drought

resilience

USD 231 million

Sahel drought

resilience

USD 549 million

drought resilience

to El Niño

Resource flows to fragile situations

8

0

10

20

30

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% o

f G

DP

More resources need to be mobilized domestically

ADF-Non Fragile ADF-Fragile

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

FDI to

pop

ula

tion

ratio (U

SD

p

er

cap

ita

)

And the private sector needs to play a greater role

ADF-13 Fragile ADF-13 Non-fragile

-

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

USD

million

Levels of ODA stagnate in fragile situations

ADF-13 Fragile ADF-13 Non-fragile

Understanding fragility

Making AfDB fit-for-purpose

Building resilience

AfDB’s progress: where we are today on fragility

9

ADF-13 ADF-14

AfDB ahead of the curve

Building AfDB capacity

and RMCs’ institutions

Mainstreaming

fragility-lens

Learning from others Project implementation

Private sector

Country Resilience &

Fragility Assessment

Enhanced Delivery Model

Partnerships & knowledge

Fragility assessments

Countries Regions

Other

Update on the TSF

10

590,88

416,79

174,09

590,88

392,62

392,62

392,62

64,50

42,79

21,71

64,50

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Resources Available forCommitment

Approved resources Committed balance End-2016 projectedapprovals

UA

'0

00

Pillar I: Supplemental Financing Pillar II: Arrear Clearance Pillar III: Targeted Support

1,048 UA

459.58 UA

588.09 UA

1,048 UA

Pillar I: 71% committed

Pillar II: Progress on Zimbabwe

Pillar III: 66% committed

Challenges

• Different approaches to staying engaged in insecure environments

• Attract private investments

• Availability of data

11

AfDB’s approach for insecure environments

• Be nimble, react quickly to crisis and show leadership

• Ensure business continuity – security team

• Remain operational – Tunis, Cairo, Bangui, Bujumbura, Mogadishu

• Back-up from regional centers

12

Higher ADF-14: correcting imbalances

13

Ebola Post-Ebola

Arrears Somalia, Sudan

ADF-13

ADF-14 Private

Sector

Attract private

investments

Tax

revenues

Mobilize domestic

resources

A case for scaling up support to fragile situations

Energy New Deal

Great Lakes RegionEnergy

Drought resilience Sahel/ Horn of Africa

Regional transport Mano River Union

Ebola Swift response

Domestic resource

mobilizationTogo

ADF-13

14

Building together a resilient & dynamic AfricaU

nlo

ckin

g th

e p

ote

nti

al

thro

ugh

th

e H

igh

5s

15

Thank you

“I want to study geography in

University and then become

an agriculture engineer” says

Hanuya Adam Fadoul, age 17.