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DATANALISIS

Chavez 43,8%

Capriles 29.1%

(September)

CONSULTORES 30.11

Chavez 56.5%

Capriles 34.4 %

(September)

16 Septem ber

Consultores 21

Chavez 46.2%

Capriles 48.2

(September)

6th Poder Datos

Chavez 47.17%

Capriles 43.25%

(September)

THE “HORSERACE” CONFLICTING VIEWS

Acaraigua, Portuguesa

(24 September)

Health – uncertainCampaigning

more reliance on media than in past

significant number of public appearancesAppeal

charismatic manichaen

HUGO CHÁVEZ FRÍAS

Unified opposition last chance to

prevent transition to communalism Remnants of Punto Fijo fight for survivalRejection of class warfareYouth-vigor

HENRIQUE CAPRILES RADONSKI

Diosdado Cabello R. (First Vice President)

Elías Jaua (capital region)

Nicolás Maduro (Center-West Region)

Francisco Arias Cárdenas (West Region)

Tareck El Aissami (Andean Region) ]

Yelitze Santaella (East Region)

Adán Chávez (South Llanos Region)

Ramón Rodríguez Chacín (North Llanos Region)

Rafael Gil Barrios (South East Region)

PARTIDO SOCIALISTA UNIDA DE VENEZUELA

(BEYOND CHAVEZ)

Operational Strategic Commands

ARMED FORCES

Henry de Jesús Rangel Silva (born in 1961) Venezuelan general and current minister of Defence (since January 2012).[1]

National Guard - Juan Francisco Romero

Figueroa

---------------------------------------

Operational Command Gen. Wilmer Barrientos

(Plan Republica)

Bolivarian Militias Rule over Ranchos (Slums) • manage drugs

• potential for violence if Chavez loses the election

OTHER COMPONENTS OF THE MILITARY ESTABLISHMENT

Political Parties of Punto Fijo (Low Profile)

•Accion Democratica•COPEI•MAS

Fifth Republic Opposition

Primero Justicia

Un Nuevo Tiempo

Proyecto Venezuela

Patria Para Todos

Alianza Bravo Pueblo

Podemos

MESA DE UNIDAD DEMOCRATICA

Interest Groups

FEDECAMARAS

UNIONS

CATHOLIC CHURCH •Cardinal Jorge Urosa & President Chavez

Government Institutions

Ministerio para Comunas y Proteccion Social

(Isis Ochoa Cañizales)

PLAYERS: LESSER BUT IMPORTANT

100,000 barrels of oil to Cuba Cuban doctors to Venezuelan ranchosCuban political officers in Venezuelan militaryCuban planners in Venezuelan national bureaucracy

VENECUBA??

ChinaDevelopment Bank has lent Venezuela$42.5 billion Brazil

Political Consultants

Odebrecht infrastructure construcion

INTERNATIONAL PLAYERS

Iran

                                                                               

                                                        

Chinese Minister of Foreign Affairs Yang Jiechi (right) meets Venezuelan Minister of Foreign Affairs Nicols Maduro Moros