Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun....
Transcript of Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun....
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 05.09.2018
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.
Last update:
Period:2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 793 222 853 541 + 7.6 %Ghana 72 150 84 778 + 17.5 %
Ukraine 65 539 83 370 + 27.2 %
Philippines 48 772 78 521 + 61.0 %
Hong Kong 71 984 64 796 - 10.0 %
Saudi Arabia 52 642 50 577 - 3.9 %
Benin 58 384 45 746 - 21.6 %
Vietnam 26 887 42 075 + 56.5 %
Other 396 865 403 677 + 1.7 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Jun
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nTr
ade
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2018/17 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
- 1.1%
Ove
rall
Po
ult
ry M
eat
Pla
cin
gs B
roile
r
- 0.6% + 3.6%
Period: 2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 437 724 392 361 - 10.4%
Thailand 141 156 151 449 + 7.3 %
Brazil 231 609 135 606 - 41.5 %
Ukraine 34 554 62 285 + 80.3 %
Chile 11 697 21 911 + 87.3 %
China 9 745 11 700 + 20.1 %
Argentina 3 380 4 476 + 32.4 %
Switzerland 1 165 1 559 + 33.9 %
Other 4 419 3 375 - 23.6 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Jun
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2018/17 )
11
38
5
11
67
0
12
14
5
12
38
1
12
71
6
12
80
5
13
26
3
13
78
7
14
49
5
14
61
7
14
78
7
11
36
0
11
60
2
11
79
1
11
92
2
12
23
3
12
28
5
12
72
3
13
27
2
13
89
1
13
88
3
14
05
5
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 35
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Others2%
Production of poultry meat
188.57
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
g
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018
188.57
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
€/
10
0 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
136.04
85.75
188.57
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2343.55
23% UK1811.93
18%
FR165016%
ES1528.86
15%
DE151415%
IT1327.12
13%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2017Total EU = 14 464
6 MSs =
71% of total EU production (+ 1% over 2016)
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2016 2017 2018
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2016 2017 2018
84
6
87
5
90
2
80
7
43
8
39
2
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 5
04
1 4
90
1 6
17
1 6
63
79
3
85
4
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Un
ited
Sta
tes
EU EU
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Tha
ila
nd
Tha
ila
nd
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o M
ay)
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o M
ay)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to June)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Jap
an
Jap
an
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o M
ay)
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o M
ay)
EU
EU
Sou
th A
fric
a
Sou
th A
fric
a
Taiw
an
(up
to
Ma
y)
Taiw
an
(up
to
Ma
y)
Ph
ilip
pin
es (u
p to
Ma
y)
Ph
ilip
pin
es (u
p to
Ma
y)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Pric
es
- 1.1% - 0.6% + 3.6%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 35
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
188.57
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 1
00 kg
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
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Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018
188.57
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Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Others2%
Production of poultry meat
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
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Next
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Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
€/
100
kg
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
136.04
85.75
188.57
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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
2016 2017 2018
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2016 2017 2018
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )
2016 2017 2018
PL2343.55
23% UK1834.49
18%
FR165016%
ES1542.2
15%
DE151415%
IT1327.12
13%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2017Total EU = 14 46471% of total EU
production (+ 1% over 2016)
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Source: Eurostat
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11 3
85
11 6
70
12 1
45
12 3
81
12 7
16
12 8
05
13 2
63
13 7
87
14 4
95
14 6
17
14 7
87
11 3
60
11 6
02
11 7
91
11 9
22
12 2
33
12 2
85
12 7
23
13 2
72
13 8
91
13 8
83
14 0
55
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f
1000
Ton
nes
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: DG AGRI Short-term outlook report
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Braz
il
Braz
il
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
EU EU
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Thai
land
Thai
land
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukra
ine (
up to
May
)
Ukra
ine (
up to
May
)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to June)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ongJapa
n
Japa
n
Mex
ico
(up
to M
ay)
Mex
ico
(up
to M
ay)
EU
EU
Sout
h Af
rica
Sout
h Af
rica
Taiw
an (u
p to
May
)
Taiw
an (u
p to
May
)
Phili
ppin
es (u
p to
May
)
Phili
ppin
es (u
p to
May
)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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1 5
04
1 4
90
1 6
17
1 66
3
79
3
85
4
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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PageNext
Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2018 /17 )
Period:2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 793 222 853 541 + 7.6 %Ghana 72 150 84 778 + 17.5 %
Ukraine 65 539 83 370 + 27.2 %
Philippines 48 772 78 521 + 61.0 %
Hong Kong 71 984 64 796 - 10.0 %
Saudi Arabia 52 642 50 577 - 3.9 %
Benin 58 384 45 746 - 21.6 %
Vietnam 26 887 42 075 + 56.5 %
Other 396 865 403 677 + 1.7 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2018/17)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Jun
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846 87
5
902
807
438
39
2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18
EU Imports evolution
(In 1000 tonnes CW)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2016 /17 )
Period: 2017 2018 % Chg
EU-28 437 724 392 361 - 10.4%
Thailand 141 156 151 449 + 7.3 %
Brazil 231 609 135 606 - 41.5 %
Ukraine 34 554 62 285 + 80.3 %
Chile 11 697 21 911 + 87.3 %
China 9 745 11 700 + 20.1 %
Argentina 3 380 4 476 + 32.4 %
Switzerland 1 165 1 559 + 33.9 %
Other 4 419 3 375 - 23.6 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2018/17)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Jun