Potentiality of India’s insurance sector and emphasis on tapping India’s population not under...
Transcript of Potentiality of India’s insurance sector and emphasis on tapping India’s population not under...
SIT Journal of Management Vol. 3. No. 2: December 2013, Pp.636-653
Basu & Roy ISSN: 2278-9111
Potentiality of India’s insurance sector and emphasis on tapping India’s
population not under the cover of insurance- A study
Analjyoti Basu* & Chirodeep Roy**
Abstract:
Insurance is a form of Risk Management which hedge against risk of uncertain, unforeseen and
contingent loss. It can be taken as transfer of risk of loss, from one entity to another by means of
payment of money. Globally speaking (as per World Insurance Report, ”Swiss Re”) in 2010
global direct premium surged at 2.7 percent and premium in non-life insurance business grew by
1.9 percent. In terms of India (Report by IRDA upto 31st March 2010) only 57 Crores of
insurable people live in India, whereas India‟s population in that same year was 115 Crores
(source- www.indiaonlinepages.com). So, if considered against Indian population, just 49.57
percent were coming under insurance coverage. India is taking bold steps in economic front
(entrance FDI in insurance sector and Multi-Brand are some of them) and surging slowly and
boldly towards becoming global economic power through different economic reforms. So the
figure of 49.57 percent is not presenting any encouraging picture. This paper analyses India‟s
potentiality and performance in insurance sector. Insurance penetration and density along with
comparative study on basis of the world‟s scenario are some of the points of focus in this
analysis. Apart from that the paper also enlightens the potential parts of Insurance focused by
budget 2013, the new avenues lighted and nurtured by Insurance sector. The paper also places
some modular studies which could be helpful in boosting the insurance business.
Keywords: Indian insurance sector, potentiality, coverage, new possibility
*Analjyoti Basu, Assistant Professor, Surendra Institute of Business Management, Siliguri,
West Bengal India,Email - [email protected], M: +91-9434679226
**Chirodeep Roy, Assistant Professor, Surendra Institute of Business Management, Siliguri,
West Bengal India, Email - [email protected], M: +91-7864939243
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Basu & Roy ISSN: 2278-9111
Introduction
Insurance constitutes one of the major segments of the financial market. Insurance services play
predominant role in the process of financial intermediary. Today insurance industry is one of the
most growing sectors in India. There is lot of potential in the Indian Insurance Industry. There
are many issues, which require study. The scope of the study of insurance industry of India
would be very great as there are on-going developments in the industry after the opening of the
sector. The major issue right now is the hike in FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) limit from 26%
to 49% in the insurance sector. This would lead to more capital inflow by foreign partners.
Another major issue is the effects on LIC and GIC after the entry of private players in the
market. Though the market share of Public Insurance companies has been affected, but it has
improved in terms of efficiency. There are number of other important topics like penetration of
Health Insurance, Rural marketing of insurance, new distribution channels, new product ranges,
insurance brokers‟ regulation, incentive scheme of development officers of LIC etc. So it offers
lot of scopes for studying the insurance industry. Right now the insurance industry has great
opportunities in a country like India with such a huge population but the penetration of insurance
in India is very low in both life and non-life segment. So there is a huge market which needs to
be tabbed in recent future. This paper introduces some of the key models which can be adopted
to increase the penetration and density of the Indian Insurance industry for acquiring the steady
rate of growth.
Literature Review
Insurance Density and penetration are the two important aspects of study for specialist‟s
researches. Enz (2000) proposed the S-curve relation between per-capita income and insurance
penetration. Ma & Pope (2008) showed a positive relationship between international insurer
participation and increased insurance penetration and density. They have shown that, a strong
presence of international insurers may enhance the importance of the insurance industry and
increase the demand for insurance products within a given national market. Zheng et al. (2009),
came up with a new idea of „Benchmark Ratio of Insurance Penetration‟ (BRIP) for comparing
insurance growth across different countries, which not only takes into account the overall scale
of the insurance market of each country but also considers the population, economy and the
relationship between the insurance penetration and stage of economic development. Regarding
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India, Badea & Novac (2008) believes that the continuous improvement of the insurance
premiums, the insurance density and the insurance penetration rate support the importance of this
sector of activity in the total economy. Danuletiu & Danuletiu (2006) inquired the evolution of
Romanian insurance market and highlighted trends that characterized it (such as density and
penetration ratio) .Sen & Madheswaran (2007) shows in their study that GDP and Per capita
GDP are often highly correlated with the proxy variables measuring insurance demand – density
and penetration.
Objectives
Present study focuses on the following aspects-
To study the present scenario and potentiality of Indian Insurance Industry.
To analyze the possibilities of tapping new areas to increase the density and penetration.
Methodology and pathway followed for the study
The study mainly takes into count several case studies, secondary data and news published in
different national journals. Overall the pathway depicted in words is as follows:
A. Studying the present position of Indian insurance industry by the help of insurance
uncovered population of India, Insurance density and Insurance Penetration.
B. Studying the efforts placed by the Union Government to increase number of insurance
holders in India.
C. Placing some models which would be helpful in increasing the number of insurance
holders, insurance density and insurance penetration.
Present Scenario of Insurance Sector in India
To focus on the objectives present scenario of Indian insurance industry is important. As of now
there are fifty-two insurance companies operating in India (reference-www.gov.in); of which
twenty four are in the life insurance business and twenty-seven are in non-life insurance
business. In addition, General Insurance Corporation (GIC) is the sole national re insurer.
Following Table (Table 1) places the figures of Insurance Density and Penetration for Life, Non
Life Insurance and also taking the Industry‟s figure into count in the time-period 2001 to 2011.
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YEARWISE INSURANCE PENETRATION AND DENSITY IN INDIA
year Life Non Life Industry
Density Penetration Density Penetration Density Penetration
2001 9.10 2.15 2.40 0.56 11.50 2.71
2002 11.70 2.59 3.00 0.67 14.70 3.26
2003 12.90 2.26 3.50 0.62 16.40 2.88
2004 15.70 2.53 4.00 0.64 19.70 3.17
2005 18.30 2.53 4.40 0.61 22.70 3.14
2006 33.20 4.10 5.20 0.70 38.40 4.80
2007 40.40 4.00 6.20 0.70 46.60 4.70
2008 41.20 4.00 6.20 0.60 47.40 4.60
2009 47.70 4.60 6.70 0.60 54.40 5.20
2010 55.70 4.40 8.70 0.71 64.40 5.11
2011 49.00 3.40 10.00 0.70 59.00 4.10
Table-1: Year Wise Penetration and Density
Fig-1: Line Graph representing Insurance Penetration in India (Source: irda.gov.in)
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Fig-2: Line Graph representing Insurance Density in India (Source: irda.gov.in)
Interpretation of present scenario
A. From above figures
The life insurance industry recorded a premium income of 2, 87,072 crore during 2011-12 as
against 2, 91,639 crore in the previous financial year, registering a negative growth of 1.57 per
cent. While private sector insurers posted 4.52 per cent decline (11.08 per cent growth in
previous year) in their premium income, Life Insurance Corporation (LIC), the fully state owned
insurance company, recorded 0.29 per cent decline (9.35 per cent growth in previous year), in its
total premium underwritten.
In the non-life segment, the insurers underwrote gross direct premium of 52,876 crore in India
for the year 2011-12 as against 42,576 crore in 2010-11, registering a growth of 24.19 per cent as
against an increase of 22.98 per cent recorded in the previous year. The public sector insurers
exhibited growth in 2011-12 at 21.50 per cent; as against the previous year‟s growth rate of
21.84 per cent. The private sector general insurers registered a growth of 28.06 per cent, which is
higher than 24.67 percent achieved during previous year.
Reason-
The fall down in Insurance Penetration and Insurance Density in the year 2010-2011 is due to
global recession.
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B. Derived
The derived information regarding co-relation between different criteria that are coming up from
Table 1 are shown below in Table 2.In Table 2 – Insurance Density is measured by Total
Insurance Premium divided by Total Population (i.e. - Total Insurance Premium ÷ Total
Population) whereas Insurance Penetration is measured by Total Insurance Premium divided by
GDP of the country(i.e.- Total Insurance Premium ÷ GDP of the country).So, Insurance Density
represents premium paid by single person while Insurance Penetration provides the measure that
how much Insurance Premium boosts up one Unit of GDP.
Table 2
No. Criteria(s) Co-efficient of
Correlation value(r)
Conclusion
1 Density and Penetration for Life
Insurance.
0.79 High Positive co-
relation.
2 Density and Penetration for Non-
Life Insurance.
0.58 Medium Positive
co-relation.
3 Density and Penetration for the
whole industry.
0.89 Very High Positive
co-relation.
4 Density of Life Insurance and
Industry.
0.94 Very High Positive
co-relation.
5 Density of Non-Life Insurance and
Industry.
0.95 Very High Positive
co-relation.
6 Penetration of Life Insurance and
Industry.
0.75 High Positive co-
relation.
7 Penetration of Non-Life Insurance
and Industry.
0.99 Very High Positive
co-relation.
Inferences-
1. Insurance Density and Penetration for Life Insurance, Non-Life Insurance and the whole
industry are positively correlated, i.e. increase or decrease of one will ensure increase or
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decrease of another. It means increase or decrease in premium each person will also have
increment or decrement effect on total unit paid for GDP.
2. Again Insurance Density for Life Insurance and Non-Life Insurance are positively co-
related with Insurance Density of the Insurance Industry which means with increase or
decrease of premium for each person in terms of Life Insurance and Non-Life Insurance
will also increase or decrease premium paid by each person for the total Insurance
Industry.
3. Lastly Insurance Penetration for Life Insurance and Non-Life Insurance are positively co-
related with Insurance Penetration of the Insurance Industry which means with increase
or decrease of premium for each unit of GDP for both Life Insurance and Non-Life
Insurance will also increase or decrease premium paid each unit of GDP for the total
Insurance Industry.
4. So inferences in 1 and 3 indicates that increase in insurance premium from Life or Non-
life insurance will certainly have some positive effects on GDP. But as data from 2010
indicates that only 49%(approximately) are covered by insurances so there is a need for
increasing the numbers of insurance holders (both Life-insurance and Non-life insurance)
and also amount of Insurance premium paid per year.
INSURANCE & ‘BUDGET 2013-14’ HIGHLIGHTS
To increase the number of insurance holder and insurance premium Union Government has
come up with several plans which the Government felt to boost up the sector.
Empowering Insurance companies to open up new branches in Tier-II cities and below
without prior approval of IRDA.
KYC of Banks to be sufficient to acquire insurance policies, Bank to be permitted to act
as Insurance brokers, banking correspondent allowed to sell micro-insurance products
and achieving the goal of having office of LIC and GIC in towns with population of
10,000 or more.
Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana to be extended to other categories such as Rickshaw,
Auto Rickshaw and Taxi Drivers, sanitation workers, rag pickers and mine workers.
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MODULAR SUGGESTIONS
Instead of placing suggestions couple of models are placed which might be helpful in boosting
up the Insurance sector in India. Before studying those models let us study the present model.
A. Present Model
Fig-3
Understanding Process and
Premium Calculation for Each
Individuals.
Varied Premium Collection
from the Insurance Holders.
Accident / Loss or Destruction
of Life or Property
Insured Amount Against Loss
Given to the Insurance Holders
Immediately After the Loss or
Destruction/Accident Happens.
Return to the Investor After
Definite Maturity Period or
Nothing as Such
Discussion-
Present Model(Fig-3) presents simplified view of calculating insurance. In it various things are
checked for would be customers. Age, if the customer is having any sorts of diseases, if
pregnant (for female candidate) are checked and on the basis of the information provided the
premium on yearly/half yearly/quarter yearly(as per the insurance policy selected by the
customer) are calculated. Next accumulated funds from the premium paid by the customers are
settled up. If any accident or health hazards happens to the customer(s) stipulated and promised
amount is returned to the customer. If accident or any health hazards do not happen in that case
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after a certain period on basis of return statement a definite amount is returned to the customers
(in some plans the money is not refunded to the customer).Next models are developed on the
basis of above concept where main emphasis is given to the premium paying part.
Savings Account Model
Fig-4
Savings Account Holders
Deposit Definite Amount in
Their Account
AQB/AAB/AHYB of Rs. X*
maintained for Y** years.
Options given to the Savings Account
Holder to Convert Z*** % of X as
Insurance
Customer Saying
Yes
Customer Saying
No
1. Convert Z% part of X as
Premium of Insurance Taking the
Beginning of Y+1 year as the
Beginning of Insurance Period.
2. Calculating Present Value and
Future Value on the Deposit and
presenting him the Slab Concept
and Adjoining Annual amount to
be accumulated.
3. Which Insurance will be Chosen
Will Depend upon Customer’s Choice
i.e. Life Insurance/General
Insurance?
*X is Definite Amount Fixed by IRDA
or Equivalent Regulatory Authority.
** Y is the Number of Years Fixed By
IRDA or Equivalence Regulatory
Authority.
*** Z will be Fixed on the Basic of
Option Put Down By the Account
Holder and Fixed on Present Market
Rate.
Discussion –
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1. Above model(Fig-4) could be represented with help of example and it is applicable for
those personals who are holding Savings Accounts. Here three Layers of the part of the
model where “Customer Saying Yes” is taken into count.
LAYER 1
Suppose the Regulatory authorities have defined following four slabs-
Slab 1- Customers having 100 units1 to 199 units as Average Quarterly Balance(AQB)/Average
Half Yearly Balance/Average Annual Balance for 3 years(as stipulated by the regulatory
authority) will deposit 20 units or 10% of the deposited amount (as per the choice of the
customer) converted to premium of Insurance.
Slab 2- Customers having 200 units to 299 units as Average Quarterly Balance(AQB)/Average
Half Yearly Balance/Average Annual Balance for 3 years (as stipulated by the regulatory
authority) will deposit 30 units or 10% of the deposited amount (as per the choice of the
customer) converted to premium of Insurance.
Or
Customers of this definite slab may deposit 20 units as per his/her choice (as per Slab 1)
Slab 3- Customers having 300 units to 399 units as Average Quarterly Balance(AQB)/Average
Half Yearly Balance/Average Annual Balance for 3 years (as stipulated by the regulatory
authority)will deposit 40 units or 10% of the deposited amount (as per the choice of the
customer) converted to premium of Insurance. Units represents currencies like Indian Rupees.
Or
Customers of this definite slab may deposit 20 units or 30 Units as per his/her choice (as per Slab
1 or Slab 2).
Slab 4- Customers having 400 units to 499 units or above as Average Quarterly
Balance(AQB)/Average Half Yearly Balance/Average Annual Balance for 3 years (as stipulated
by the regulatory authority) will deposit 50 units or 10% of the deposited amount (as per the
choice of the customer) converted to premium of Insurance.
Or
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Customers of this definite slab may deposit 20 units or 30 units or 40 units as per his/her choice
(as per Slab 1 or Slab 2 or Slab 3).
Important point In all the cases the privilege will be given to the customer that for how many
years the customer wants the part of his money to be taken as premium but it should not be less
than 10 years or time stipulated by the regulatory authority.
Example of Layer 1
Suppose there are four customers A, B, C and D with deposited amount of 158 units, 268 units
,368 units and 468 units respectively. Now as per the discussions carried out in Layer1 The
following Table, i.e, Table 2 represents the options present in front of A,B,C and D.
Table 2
Customer Deposited
Amount(units)
Options
A 158 This person is coming under Slab 1 and the option in
front of him-
1. Deposit 20 units as premium for the 4th year.
2. Deposit 15.8 units as premium for the 4th year.
B 268 This person is coming under Slab 2 and the option in
front of him-
1. Deposit 30 units as premium for the 4th year.
2. Deposit 26.8 units as premium for the 4th year.
3. Deposit 20 units as premium for the 4th
year.(stipulated for Slab 1)
.
C 368 This person is coming under Slab 3 and the option in
front of him-
1. Deposit 40 units as premium for the 4th year.
2. Deposit 36.8 units as premium for the 4th year.
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3. Deposit 20 units as premium for the 4th
year
(stipulated for Slab 1).
4. Deposit 30 units as premium for the 4th
year(stipulated for Slab 2)
CONTINUATION OF TABLE-1
D 468 This person is coming under Slab 4 and the option in
front of him-
1. Deposit 50 units as premium for the 4th year.
2. Deposit 46.8 units as premium for the 4th year.
3. Deposit 20 units as premium for the 4th
year
(stipulated for Slab 1).
4. Deposit 30 units as premium for the 4th
year(stipulated for Slab 2).
5. Deposit 40 units as premium for the 4th year.
(stipulated for Slab 3).
LAYER 2
This layer discusses about escalation from lower level to the higher level. That is to say from
Slab 1 to Slab 2 or Slab 3, Slab 3 to Slab 4 and so on.
Discussion with Example-
Suppose a person is placed in Slab 1 as per his maintenance of Average Quarterly
Balance(AQB) for 3 years (let AQB be the standard stipulated by the regulatory authority).For
this definite premium amount is being deducted but for the next three years it is seen that after
paying his premium the amount accumulated in his Savings Account is having higher Average
Quarterly Balance(AQB) for 3 years (as stipulated by the regulatory authority) than stipulated
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amount of Slab 1(i.e more than the range of 100 to 199 units) and he is falling under the ambit of
Slab 2.
In this case the person may be offered with Slab 2. If he accepts the request than he may be
escalated to the higher Slab with calculation of Present value of his money deposited on the basis
of his Annual Deposited Amount and Current Interest Rate applicable in the market will be
functional.
Here the future value of maturity if any accident does not happens or any health hazard does not
happens will be calculated on the basis of years of maturity fixed by the customer himself(as
discussed above under important point of Layer 1), calculated present value and market rate
applicable at that time.
LAYER 3
This layer will again start operating if the customer comes under any of the above mentioned
Slab of Layer 1 and at the same time the customer is ready to opt for the option of Insurance.
In this case the choice may be provided to the customer that – Which type of insurance
the customer would like to opt for, i.e. Life Insurance (non-maturity plan), Property Insurance or
Vehicle Insurance. For example- If his AQB is 258 units than as per Layer 1 he falls under Slab
2 and say the option amounts of 30 units, 20 units or 25.8 units(i.e.- 10% of 258) could be
deposited by him. These premiums may fetch different amount coverage for different insurances
which will be placed to the customer at the time of giving proposal.
Let us further discuss the above example with the following hypothetical table where market
rates are applicable (Table 3).
Table 3
Life Insurance cover Property Insurance Vehicle Insurance
30 units X1 X2 X3
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20 units Y1 Y2 Y3
25.8 units Z1 Z2 Z3
Here X1, X2 and X3 the covers when premium of 30 units are deposited for Life, Property and
Vehicle Insurance respectively. Same is followed for other units like 20 units and 25.8 units. On
basis of choices given the customer may opt for a definite proposal.
2. Layers are immaterial in case the Savings Account Holder says that –Though his/her account
maintains Average Quarterly Balance(AQB)/Average Half Yearly Balance/Average Annual
Balance for three years(as stipulated by the regulatory authority) he/she is not interested in
converting the Savings Account part into Insurance.
Advantages of the model
1. Customers do not have to go for extra investment as a part of the investment in the
Savings Account is automatically converted to Insurance.
2. Customers have the options for two parallel investment benefits with single investment.
3. The customers are getting choice of choosing most suitable insurance for them. For
example- Life insurance, Property Insurance, Vehicle Insurance.
4. Starting from a lower slab the customers are having options to shift to higher slabs.(refer
to Discussion in Layer 2).
5. It should be beneficial for both Banks and Insurance companies as the offer may fetch
more Savings Account Holder for the banks and also more people will come under the
cover of insurance which will increase the ratio of insurance covered people in India.
6. Lastly as the plan is not mandatory for the Savings Account Holder to convert it to
Insurance so surely they can run singly with Savings Account itself.
Insurance convertibility Model
Discussion- This model (as represented by Fig-5) mainly focuses on conversion of one sort of
insurance to another type of insurance. For example- conversion of part of life insurance to child
education or daughter marriage plan provided-
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1. The premium amount paid periodically should be quite high enough.
2. The insurance should have a long period for maturity.
Example- Let the premium paid per year by Mr. X for a definite Life Insurance is 50 units and
the maturity period is 20 years. Now say after 3 years Mr. X decides that along with the life
insurance he wants to get the facility of child education plan and decides to pay 20 units each
year for education plan. So the equation stands as –
a. 20 units for child education plan.
b. 30 units for life insurance.
Fig-5
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Interpretation - Conversion of Life insurance from 50 to 30 units mean conversion of premium
from Slab 4 to Slab 2(as per Savings Account Model) .
So in these case the calculations needed are-
a. Future worth of 50 units and 30 units deposited for 3 years with market rate in present
market rate will be applicable(say x%).
b. Adjusting the balance between 50 and 30 units (that occurred for 5 years) and adjusting
the extra 20 units from the 4th year.
c. Now if x% and y% rate is applicable for life insurance and child education plan
respectively. Than the calculation will include 30 units for 15 years with x% interest and
20 units for 15 years with y% interest with adjustment suggested on b.
Point to note- In this case if extra small premium amount is to be paid Mr. X will be
requested to pay that because double benefit is achieved from same premium.
Advantages of the model
1. There is an option of converting to two plans from a single Life insurance plan.
2. Another important point is interconvertibility of two plans.
3. No extra or small extra premium is being charged.
Conclusion
Quite sizeable insurance sector with high potentiality of growth always boosts the economy of
the country by facilitating long-term fund circulation for infrastructure development and
strengthens country‟s risk taking ability. Effective distribution channel, focus on overall financial
inclusion, consumer needs and preferences are some factors for the growth of the sector. The
story of India is also not different. Though 49 percent of India‟s population is covered under
insurance but India is heading to make great progress in the coming years. Investment of various
foreign companies in the insurance sector favors the fact. But as India predicting over 630
million Indians to have health insurance coverage by 2015(August 31, 2013, Business Standard)
significant efforts should be taken to pull up the sector. The models discussed in form of Savings
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Account Model and Convertibility Model are some of the steps in the way. More models of same
form could be developed keeping in consideration to increase density, penetration of insurance
and also number of holders of insurance.
References
Sinha, Tapen,‟ An Analysis of the Evolution of Insurance in India‟, Huebner International Series
on Risk, Insurance and Economic Security, Handbook of International Insurance, Volume 26,
2007, pp 641-678
Annual reports of IRDA (2001-2011),
Annual report of LIC (2001-2011)
Handbook of Indian Insurance Statistics-2012
Websites visited
www.irdaindia.gov.in
www.bimadeals.com/life-insurance-india
www.insuringindia.com
www.nasscom.in
www.economictimes.com
www.indiatoday.com
http://trak.in/tags/business/2011/11/30/insurance-growth-indians-numbers-statistics/
http://www.business-standard.com/article/pf/over-630-mn-indians-to-have-health-insurance-
coverage
http://www.ibef.org/industry/insurance-sector-india.aspx
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http://money.howstuffworks.com/personal-finance/financial-planning/life-insurance.htm
http://www.iiminfo.org/CONSUMERS/HowInsuranceWorks/tabid/1714/Default.aspx
http://www.insurancecouncil.com.au/for-consumers/how-insurance-works
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/personal-finance/insurance/insurance-news/budget-
http://business.mapsofindia.com/insurance/policies/types.html
http://www.indiaonlinepages.com/population/india-population.html