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Key Portfolio
Announcements
March 2017 March 2017
2017-02-23 Arianne Phosphate Secures Favourable Power Agreement with Quebec Government
2017-02-17 Gensource Report
Pegs Vanguard at 144 Million Tonnes Sylvinite 2017-02-16 GrowMax Provides Long Term Strategic Guidance
2017-02-09 Agrium Reports Q4, Foresees Solid Spring Season 2017-02-06 GrowMax Announces Results of Sulfate of Potash Study
MONTHLY
POTASH REVIEW
Double the Expected Resource –
Gensource Continues to Deliver
Palisade Research / www.palisade-research.com 2017-02-27
Chalk another milestone up for Mike Ferguson, Rob Theoret, and their
hardworking team at Gensource Potash.
The last update we released in November 2016, outlined a non-binding
MOU of a transformational JV with the Essel Group. Under the terms of
the JV, Gensource will vend-in a project from its Vanguard area, as well
as its project execution team. In turn, Essel will earn 70% of Vanguard
by paying for the rest of the feasibility study (~C$5 million) and
financing the construction of the project (~C$250 million!).
Gensource is now one step closer to their FS, releasing an updated
resource. And this resource is double than what they have originally
indicated! The report defines a resource in the Vanguard area of 145
million tonnes of indicated potash, and 320 million tonnes of inferred
potash.
With 3D seismic already underway, Gensource plans on releasing a
bankable feasibility study by the end of April or early May. However,
there is an extremely important catalyst in the near-term, being the
finalization of the Essel JV. We expect that news to hit the wire
sometime towards mid March.
Lastly, in macro news, India scared potash producers when the Indian
government ministry proposed slashing potash subsidies by 17% in the
next financial year to reduce fiscal deficit. We believe this is to scare
Canpotex and Uralkali into lower prices when negotiating annual
contracts.
How distribution to farmers normally work is, a major buyer will
negotiate a price with potash exporters, and then will resell to
distributors. By the time fertilizer ends up in the hands of a farmer,
there can be mark-ups as high as 50-100%! The more hands that
handle the potash, the more expensive it becomes. Everyone needs to
be paid.
Essel is positioning itself to buy directly from the source, and will sell
directly to farmers, saving them and end-users significant costs. The
win-win situation is apparent: Gensource receives a guaranteed stream
of income, Essel receives much needed potash, and best of all, the
once disadvantaged farmers of India can breathe a bit easier.
Gensource is up 83% since our last update, but the market has still
been slow to realize its portfolio of assets. We reiterate, the Vanguard
area will be able to produce 6 to 8 more projects. It is a large land
package and Gensource’s modular production plan cookie cutter JV
model could be replicated time and time again. Gensource’s market cap
is currently C$47M and each project is worth at least at C$285.5 million. It is the only potash company that makes sense.
Relative Stock Performance
52-Week and Monthly Stock Performance on page 2.
TSX-V: GSP
Significant Portfolio Announcements
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MONTHLY POTASH REVIEW
MARCH 2017
Ticker Name
Recent
Price
52 Week
Low
52 Week
High
Mkt Cap
(Million)
tse:agu Agrium 127.58 104.7 146.99 $17,338.8
cve:dan Arianne Phosphate 0.82 0.68 1.25 $79.1
cve:cpm Crystal Peak Minerals 0.50 0.17 0.56 $102.4
cve:epo Encanto Potash 0.10 0.06 0.18 $44.2
cve:gbl Gb Minerals 0.07 0.05 0.10 $59.3
cve:gsp Gensource Potash 0.19 0.04 0.22 $52.3
cve:gq Great Quest Fertilizer 0.22 0.14 0.35 $11.1
cve:gro GrowMax Resources 0.14 0.13 0.22 $28.5
tse:icp IC Potash 0.11 0.05 0.15 $26.0
ipi Intrepid Potash 1.90 0.85 3.04 $138.9
tse:krn Karnalyte Resources 0.69 0.64 4.15 $18.0
mos Mosaic 30.22 22.77 34.36 $10,514.6
tse:pot Potash Corp 22.90 19.93 26.62 $18,910.6
tse:prk Potash Ridge 0.24 0.05 0.50 $29.0
tse:wpx Western Potash 0.19 0.12 0.36 $84.3
52-Week Relative Stock Performance
Potash Portfolio Feb 2017 - Monthly Return
*IPI-US and MOS-US data in US dollars, all others CAD dollars
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MONTHLY POTASH REVIEW
MARCH 2017
Commodity Price Performance
Performance of Key Fertilizer / Ag Commodity Prices
Source: BMO Capital Markets, CRU, Argus, SX Coal, FactSet, Bloomberg.
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MONTHLY POTASH REVIEW
MARCH 2017
Arianne Phosphate (DAN-V) Secures Favourable Power Agreement with Quebec Government
Mkt Cap Projects Type Stage Jurisdiction
$79.1 M Lac a Paul Surface Permitted, Financing Canada (Quebec)
2017-02-23 Arianne Phosphate Inc. has secured a favourable power agreement with the Ministry of Energy and Natural
Resources. This agreement confirms that an additional power bloc of 14 megawatts from Hydro-Quebec will
be made available for the Lac a Paul project's ore processing facilities. This power bloc now totals 129 megawatts. Details of the agreement were laid out in a letter to Arianne dated Feb. 21, 2017.
With this additional power bloc, Arianne will be able to supply all of its processing facilities with hydroelectric
power, making it the apatite concentrate producer with the lowest greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on the
market. A significant portion of the whole power bloc of 129 megawatts (42 megawatts) will be used for the
electric dryer to dry the apatite concentrate. The innovative technology integrated into the dryer will prevent
the equivalent of 86,000 metric tonnes per year of carbon dioxide emissions. It will also have a positive economic impact on the Lac a Paul project.
"Once again, we would like to thank the Quebec government for the additional power bloc," said Jean-
Sebastien David, Arianne's chief operating officer. "The hydroelectric supply for all of our mining facilities will make the Lac a Paul project the most environmentally responsible phosphate project in the industry."
Gensource (GSP-V) Announces NI 43-101 Report for Vanguard
Mkt Cap Projects Type Stage Jurisdiction
$52.3 M Vanguard & Lazlo Selective Dissolution Prefeasibility Study Canada (Saskatchewan)
2017-02-17
Gensource Potash Corp. has completed an updated National Instrument 43-101 technical report on its 100-
per-cent-owned Vanguard project in central Saskatchewan. The Vanguard area comprises two leases, KL 244
and KL 245, as well as several parcels of freehold encompassed by KL 245 now leased by Gensource. While
other freehold lease negotiations are in progress, a cut-off date of Feb. 1, 2017, has been applied for
reporting purposes. Initial project and resource development work has occurred, as a starting point, primarily within KL 245.
The updated technical report, dated Feb. 16, 2017, supports that the Vanguard project area overlies a rich
and thick potash resource. The report documents the geological work completed by Gensource since the initial NI 43-101 resource report was announced April 28, 2016.
Since that initial resource report, Gensource has completed two exploration wells on the property, which,
when combined with the two existing wells (completed in 2012) and the reinterpreted 2-D seismic, provide the data for the current resource modelling effort.
http://www.arianne-inc.com/en/ http://www.gensourcepotash.ca/
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MONTHLY POTASH REVIEW
MARCH 2017
The technical report defines a resource at Vanguard in the indicated and inferred categories as defined by
CIM Standards 2010. The technical report was completed by Terra Modelling Services Inc., an independent
geological/geostatistical consultant.
Gensource's president and chief executive officer, Mike Ferguson, said: "The updated 43-101 resource
technical report announced today shows an excellent resource, amenable to our planned selective solution
mining method. The results support our earlier estimations of the resource on the Vanguard property and
our decision to commence project development work in the area. The resource defined in this technical
report will now be used as part of the ongoing feasibility study work and will help define the initial mining
area and mine life of the first small 'module' that we plan to construct and operate at Vanguard. Using only
the indicated resource numbers from the technical report, a very long life potash production facility here is
possible. We're very pleased with the results of the technical report and are excited to continue to drive
forward in our project and business development work towards our goal of becoming the next independent producer of potash in Saskatchewan."
Summary of the technical report
The technical report defines a resource in the Vanguard area of almost