Post FY12 Result - Investor...

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1 Post FY12 Result - Investor Presentation 22 August 2012

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Page 1: Post FY12 Result - Investor Presentationmedia.nzherald.co.nz/webcontent/document/pdf/201234/Met.pdf · This presentation is not a prospectus, investment statement or disclosure document,

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Post FY12 Result - Investor Presentation

22 August

2012

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Disclaimer

The information in this presentation is an overview and does not contain all information necessary to make an investment

decision. It is intended to constitute a summary of certain information relating to the performance of Metlifecare Limited

(“Metlifecare”) for the year ended 30 June 2012.

The information in this presentation does not purport to be a complete description of Metlifecare. In making an investment

decision, investors must rely on their own examination of Metlifecare, including the merits and risks involved. Investors should

consult with their own legal, tax, business and/or financial advisors in connection with any acquisition of securities.

The information contained in this presentation has been prepared in good faith by Metlifecare. No representation or warranty,

express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, adequacy or reliability of any statements, estimates or opinions or other

information contained in this presentation, any of which may change without notice. To the maximum extent permitted by law,

Metlifecare, its directors, officers, employees and agents disclaim all liability and responsibility (including without limitation any

liability arising from fault or negligence on the part of Metlifecare, its directors, officers, employees and agents) for any direct or

indirect loss or damage which may be suffered by any recipient through use of or reliance on anything contained in, or omitted

from, this presentation.

This presentation is not a prospectus, investment statement or disclosure document, or an offer of shares for subscription, or

sale, in any jurisdiction.

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FY12 Result – Agenda

1

2

3

4

5

Business and Market Update

FY12 Financial Performance

FY12 Operating Metrics

Developments and Capital Activity

Post Balance Date Acquisition and Outlook

A Appendix: Portfolio Summary

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FY12 Result – Highlights

Strong cashflow

improvement

Operating cashflow of $31m, an increase of 35% on FY11

Result exceeded guidance of $26.5m

Property revaluations from move to CBRE in line with expectations and previous

disclosure, with a fair value reduction in investment properties of $100m

Reported FY12 NTA of $3.04 and post merger provisional NTA of $3.24, consistent

with the prospectus range of $3.15 - $3.35

Acquisition

completed post

balance date

Revaluations in line

with expectation

Occupancy (ex The Poynton) increased to 93% from 91% in FY11

— The Poynton occupancy increased to 65% from 44% in FY11

Total settlements of 330 units in FY12 vs. 296 units in FY11

Incorporate footnote o margin

Expanded the greenfield and brownfield development opportunities and added to the

development capabilities post the acquisition of VSL

— At least 750 units available for development post rationalisation

Repositioned to

capture growth

Improved operating

metrics

On 23 July, completed the significant transaction of merging Metlifecare, Vision

Senior living (VSL) and Private Life Care Holdings Limited (PLC)

Enhanced Metlifecare’s overall presence in Auckland and scale, adding 1,204 units

Capital management activity has repositioned the share register and resulted in an

increased share trading liquidity on the NZX

— Increase in daily trading liquidity of over 30 times following the Nov-11 placement

vs. the six months prior

Improved share

register and

liquidity

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Business and Market Update 1

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24 Villages (12 in Auckland)

3,902 Current Units (59% in Auckland)

At least 750 Units available for development post

rationalisation

4,000 plus Residents

90% plus Resident satisfaction within Villages

Our Business - Post Merger (and post balance date)

1Vision joint venture with Te Rapa Racing Limited

Metlifecare Portfolio Statistics

3

3

1 34 units

CRESTWOOD

199 units

HIGHLANDS

87 units

PAKURANGA

3 54 units

PINESONG

201 units

Dannemora

19 3 units

Longford Park

269 units

Hibiscus Coast

21 7 units

Hillsborough

324 units

Waitakere

14 0 units

THE POYNTON

9 3 units

7 SAINT VINCENT

80 units

POWLEY

40 units

Bay of Islands

165 units

Forest Lake

33 units

Papamoa

9 4 units

SOMERVALE

88 units

THE AVENUES

238 units

GREENWOOD PARK

23 2 units

BAYSWATER

( 50 % owned )

98 units

PALMERSTON NTH

1 37 units

OAKWOODS

180 units

COASTAL VILLAS

225 units

KAPITI

Metlifecare VSL PLC

81 units

WAIRARAPA

1

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Our Business

Provision of quality retirement living and aged care services

Development of retirement and aged care facilities designed

to meet the unique needs of each community in which we

are located

Five revenue streams

– Village Operations

– Village Services

– Care Services

– Sales and Resales

– Development Margins

Our Business

Our Goals

To develop and maintain a leadership position in the industry

To deliver great service

To manage and grow our assets

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Market Opportunity

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Over 20,000 pa growth in + 65 age group in New Zealand

Over 12,000 pa growth in + 75 age group in New Zealand

Life span will increase – males from 78 to 85 years and females from 82 to 89 years

Population Aged 64 Years and Older

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 2056 2061

Popula

tion ‘000

Compelling Demographic story

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Market Conditions

Residential property market showed signs of improvement through the end of 2011 calendar year

and early 2012

Auckland residential market continues to improve with strong demand and lower level of stock

available

The NZ Government and New Zealander’s continue to focus on debt reduction

A lower interest rate environment is expected for some time

Domestic Influence

Continued uncertainty around European debt

US economy showing signs of improvement but a prolonged period of low interest rate stimulus is

expected

China continues to grow but GDP growth is expected to fall below double digits

International Influence

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Market Conditions

New Zealand

The ability to enter a retirement village almost always requires the sale of the family home

Low sales volumes negatively impact the salability of intending residents homes

Volumes are starting to improve relative to lows during first half of calendar year 2011 with the

start of 2012 showing signs of increasing

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Jan 2

00

6

Ma

r 200

6

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Jul 200

6

Sep 2

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No

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8

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r 201

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2

Num

be

r o

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les

Source: REINZ

Residential property market volumes

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Market Conditions

New Zealand Real Estate Market (Medium Sale Price Rolling 3 Month Average)

Pricing in the residential property market has held up over the past 12 months showing sign of

steady increases

If prospective residents cannot sell their houses due to insufficient buyers, they have generally

deferred sale rather than discounting

Source: REINZ

$0.00

$100,000.00

$200,000.00

$300,000.00

$400,000.00

Jan 2

00

6

Ma

r 200

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2

Median Sale Price

Residential property market pricing

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FY12 Financial Performance 2

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FY12 Financial Result Highlights

Operating

Cashflow

Operating cashflows were ahead of forecast at $31.0m largely as a result of strong settlements

leading up to 30 June 2012

— The result exceeded our guidance of $26.5m

Operating Cashflows flows increased in the second half as anticipated

— Greater serviced apartment sales in FY12 relative to the prior comparable period

— Improved sales settlements at The Poynton – 30 apartments

— Partial settlements at The Poynton substantially complete

— Receipts from customers increased as a result of improved occupancy and service delivery

— Repairs & maintenance returning to normal levels and include several one-off projects

— Operating Cashflow included $1.0m of merger costs

Balance Sheet and

Revaluations

Trading

Performance

Incorporate footnote on margin

Equity as at end of FY12, following the attributable loss, reduced from $526m to $438m thus reducing

NTA per share by $0.97 to $3.04

In line with expectations and previously disclosed guidance

Provisional NTA of the merged entities of $3.24 per share, in line with prospectus range of $3.15-

$3.35

Capital

Management

After tax loss attributable to shareholders ($132.0m)

After tax result includes ($99.8m) change in fair value of investment properties and deferred tax charge

of ($38.0m) both of which were signaled as part of the recent merger transaction

The result includes a $9.6m uplift in the revaluation of our Care facilities net of deferred tax. Consistent

with our competitors we have changed our accounting policy for valuing Care facilities

In November 2011 and December 2011 raised $45.5m of additional equity through a placement and

share purchase plan

RVG also sold shares to take their stake from 83% to 50%

On 23 July completed the significant transaction of merging Metlifecare, Vision Senior living (VSL) and

Private Life Care Holdings Limited (PLC)

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Financial Performance – P&L

Year to 30 June

2012 ($m)

Year to 30 June

2011 ($m)

Year to 30 June

2010 ($m)

Total Comprehensive Income

Attributable to Shareholders (132.0) 20.8 67.5

Add Back:

Change in Fair Value of Investment

Properties 99.8 (27.5) (73.2)

Revaluation of Care Facilities Net of

Tax1 (9.6) - -

Amortisation, Depreciation and

Impairment 1.6 1.9 5.6

Finance Costs 8.4 12.9 8.2

Deferred Tax 38.0 - -

Trading Performance 6.2 8.1 8.1

Net Settlements Cashflows 39.8 35.2 42.1

Trading and Relicensing Performance 46.0 43.3 50.2

1 The result includes a $9.6m uplift in the revaluation of our Care facilities net of deferred tax is the result of a change in accounting policy of the carrying

amount of Property, plant and equipment for Care facilities. The change is consistent with our competitors.

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Financial Performance – Operating Cashflow

Positive operating cashflow performance - $31m result exceeded our guidance of $26.5m

36 Sales in FY12 compared with 29 sales in FY11

Net operations cashflows consistent with FY11 and better with merger costs of $1.0m removed

Finance cost decreased following debt reduction and equity raising in November

Year to 30 June 2012

($000)

Year to 30 June 2011

($000)

Resident Receipts 56,376 53,850

ORA Sales & Resales 113,921 113,733

Payments to Suppliers (55,892) (52,416)

ORA Repurchases (74,098) (78,550)

GST (1,782) (1,973)

Interest Received 104 42

Interest Paid (7,629) (11,682)

Net Operating Cash per Cashflow 31,000 23,004

Operating Cashflow with Sales & Resales

Split

Sales Revenue 20,372 15,707

Net Resales Revenue 19,451 19,476

Net ORA Revenue 39,823 35,183

Net Operating (1,194) (497)

Interest Paid (7,629) (11,682)

Net Operating Cash per Cashflow 31,000 23,004

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Financial Performance – Balance Sheet

30 June 2012

($000)

30 June 2011

($000)

Cash & Other Assets 24,689 14,972

Property Plant & Equipment 33,056 20,816

Investment Properties 1,168,780 1,258,523

Total Assets 1,226,525 1,294,311

Payables & Other Liabilities 16,301 15,131

Bank Loans 68,675 124,252

Deferred Membership Fees 42,586 39,076

Refundable Occupation Right Agreement 618,814 589,686

Deferred Tax 41,264 -

Total Liabilities 787,640 768,145

Total Equity 438,885 526,166

Equity moved by the net difference between the capital raising in November 2011, the movement in the fair value

of investment properties and deferred tax liabilities

NTA as at 30 June 2012 $3.04 per share. The post merger provisional estimate of NTA is $3.24, which is

consistent with the prospectus range of $3.15 - $3.35

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Financial Performance – Investment Properties

30 June 2012

($000)

30 June 2011

($000)

Investment Properties Under Development at Fair Value 23,297 18,749

Completed Investment Properties at Fair Value 490,785 616,261

Total Valuation 514,082 635,010

Plus: Refundable Occupation Right Agreement Amounts 733,893 689,345

Plus: Residents’ Share of Capital Gains 29,044 33,176

Plus: Deferred Membership Fee 42,586 39,076

Less: Membership Fee Receivables (140,515) (129,475)

Less: Occupation Right Agreement Receivables (10,310) (8,609)

Total Investment Properties 1,168,780 1,258,523

CBRE valuation resulted in changes to the discount rate and property price growth assumptions

— Discount rates range between 12.5 – 15.0% (weighted average is 13.5%)

— Property price growth assumptions range between 0 – 3.5% (weighted average for ILU’s 3.1%, ILA’s 3.2%

and SA’s 2.67%)

In line with Metlifecare expectations and previously disclosed guidance

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Financial Performance – Bank Debt Facilities

As at 30 June 2012 the bank funding consists of two sub facilities and a working capital facility

— Working Capital Facility of $10.0m

— Cash Advance Facility limit of $80.0m – expires 30 September 2015

— Development Facility limit of $80.0m – expires 30 September 2016

Debt as at 30 June 2012 was $69.2m with $9.2m in cash

— Cash Advance Facility debt was $40.4m net of cash

— Development Debt Facility debt was $19.6m

Following the completion of the merger, the group had total debt balances of $197.0m and cash

balances of $9.8m on a provisional basis. The net debt was therefore $187.2m.

— Cash Advance Facility debt was $123.7m net of cash balance

— Development Debt Facility drawn debt was $63.5m

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Financial Performance – Embedded Value

The embedded value above is calculated by taking the sum of the list prices of units across our

portfolio and deducting the resident refundable loan liability as per the balance sheet

Management Fee receivable is as per note 23 of the Financial Statements

Adjustments have been made for our Palmerston North joint venture

Year to 30 June

2012 ($m)

Year to 30 June

2011 ($m)

Year to 30 June

2010 ($m)

Management Fee Receivable 141 130 121

Capital Gains 160 201 230

Total Embedded Value 301 331 351

Management Fee Receivable % 47% 39% 35%

Capital Gain % 53% 61% 65%

Embedded Value per Unit ($’000s) 122 135 139

Note: 30 June 2010 includes Merivale assets.

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FY12 Operating Metrics 3

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Sales Performance – Highlights

Settlement volume up on FY12

Gross Resales cashflows $93.5m

($98.0m for June 2011)

Gross Sales cashflows $20.4m

($15.7m for June 2011)

Conversions of leads into applications are

consistent with FY11

ORA (LTO) applications remained strong

Settlement cashflow on a per unit basis lower

as a result of the mix between ILU’s and SA’s

Sales Performance

200

301267

294

40

46

29

36

Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12

Resales Sales

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Sales Performance – Gross Settlements

Gross Settlements FY12 FY11 FY10

No. $’000 No. $’000 No. $’000

Sales 36 20,372 29 15,707 46 24,028

Resales 294 93,549 267 98,026 301 104,391

Total 330 113,921 296 113,733 347 128,419

11.5% increase in settlement volumes compared to FY11

Stock level reduced over the year

The Poynton sales – 30 in the period

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Sales Performance – Net Settlements

Net Settlements FY12 FY11 FY10

No. $’000 No. $’000 No. $’000

Sales 36 20,372 29 15,707 46 24,028

Resales 294 19,451 267 19,476 301 18,074

Total 330 39,823 296 35,183 347 42,102

FY12 – good resales with margin per resale down as a result of the mix of units sold

— ILU resales were 183 (178 prior year) and SA resales were 111 (89 prior year)

— SA’s resales in FY12 have increased relative to FY11 which implies lower cash generation

however improved occupancy and weekly fees

— The average price per resale ILU was $379k against $424k for the prior year

— The average price per resale SA was $219k against $258k for the prior year

Continued focus on increasing occupancy with higher occupancy flowing through to increased

opportunity to sell Village services

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Occupancy – Excluding The Poynton

% Occupied Units FY12 FY11 FY10

Independent Living Units 94% 94% 92%

Serviced Apartments 87% 79% 80%

Total 93% 91% 90%

Occupancy levels (excluding The Poynton) increased to 93%

(91% at 30 June 2011)

Care Facility occupancy remained consistent with June 2011 at 96%

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Occupancy – The Poynton

% Occupied Units FY12 FY11 FY10

Independent Living Units 125 69% 48% 30%

Serviced Apartments 15 33% 20% 7%

Total 140 65% 44% 27%

The Poynton occupancy increased to 65% (44% at 30 June 2011)

Excluding stock with contracts, there are 9 serviced apartments and 31 apartments left to sell

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Development and Capital Activity 4

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Growth Opportunities

Brown & Greenfield Development pre

Rationalisation1

Metlifecare is well placed to take advantage of growing

demand within the retirement village industry

Following settlement Metlifecare will consider

rationalising its portfolio. This will include the

identification of non core assets/land and may

eventuate in the possible sale of assets

Following portfolio rationalisation post settlement

Metlifecare will have a good brownfield and greenfield

pipeline with a minimum of 750 development units

Metlifecare will maintain an emphasis on premium

Auckland locations

1 Excludes care facility development(s) 2 Purchase of Unsworth Heights is conditional on Overseas Investment Act approval

170

200

94

66

27

40

33

127

101

33

120

Ilam

Unsworth Heights

Stanley Road - Glenfield

Metlifecare Crestwood

Metlifecare The Avenues

Metlifecare Oakwoods

Vision Forest Lake

Vision Papamoa

Vision Bay of Islands

Metlifecare Coastal

Metlifecare The Poynton

Greenfield Units

Brownfield Units

Development Locations pre Rationalisation1

101 units

Bay of Islands

33 units

Forest Lake

127 units

Papamoa

27 units

The Avenues

40 units

Oakwoods

33 units

Coastal Villas

Brownfield Greenfield

120 units

The Poynton

94 units

Stanley Road

200 units

Unsworth Heights

66 units

Crestwood

170 units

Ilam

2 2

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Metlifecare targets premium locations in which to develop its

retirement villages with ability to capture good capital gains

Ability to rejuvenate and intensify existing sites

Aim to develop full continuum of care villages over next 3 to 5

years

Development Pipeline

Metlifecare will continue to evaluate new locations that fit with

the growth strategy

Financial flexibility to secure further sites

Development expertise to execute

Coastal Villas – started construction March 2012

The Poynton – start construction on Stage 3 2012/2013

The Avenues /Crestwood – Working on plans, consent in 2012

Greenwood Park – working on concept plans

Stanley Road – commence construction 2013

Unsworth Heights – commence construction 2014

Ilam Park

Development

Strategy

Brownfield

Sites

Greenfield

Sites

Future Sites

Metlifecare has created an exciting development pipeline with large growth opportunities

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Capital Activity in FY12

November 2011 - announced a range of initiatives designed to reposition the Company’s capital

and governance structure, provide a platform for growth and unlock value for all shareholders

— Primary Offer of new shares of $40 million and an additional amount of up to $5.5m from a

Share Purchase Plan

— Secondary Offer of existing shares of approximately $50m to $70m which would reduce

Retirement Village Group’s (RVG) shareholding in Metlifecare to between 50 and 55% on a

diluted basis

December 2011 - both initiatives successfully completed

— Total of $45.5m in new equity raised and used to offset debt

— RVG shareholding reduced from 82% to 50%

— Increase in the free float of Metlifecare shares in the market, resulting in increased liquidity of

shares

In May 2012, Metlifecare announced plans to merge with Vision Senior Living and Private Life

Care. Metlifecare minority shareholders approved the merger on the 21 June 2012. Settlement

occurred 23 July 2012

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Post Balance Date Acquisition and Outlook 5

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Post Balance Date – Merger Completion

On 23 July 2012, Metlifecare completed the merger of Private Life Care and Vision Senior Living

and welcomed new shareholders to the register

— The Financial Statements include a summary of the Assets and Liabilities purchased as part

of the transaction in Note 30 Subsequent Events

— The value of the shares issued to complete the transaction was $91.8m

— The net fair value of the asset and liabilities purchased was $156.4m

— This will result in a gain on acquisition of $64.6m

— The numbers above are provisional and will be subject to audit confirmation

— RVG sold shares and reduced shareholding to 43.2% of Metlifecare

Combined Group – Provisional estimates

— Total Assets of $1.9b with investment properties of $1.8b

— Total Liabilities of $1.3b with resident liabilities of $929.8m and Net Bank Debt of $187.2m

prior to the purchase of land at Unsworth heights ($12.6m)

— Provisional NTA of $3.24 per share, in line with prospectus range of $3.15 - $3.35

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Outlook

NZ Economy

Depressed economic conditions and consumer confidence has persisted into FY12

Full impact of the Christchurch earthquake and the influence on the domestic

economy will not be known for some time

Residential property market volumes have shown small increases but still remain

relatively flat

Metlifecare

Market

Proven business model

Exciting growth strategy

Highly qualified and experienced senior management team

Moving Forward

Long term growth in population aged over 65 years

Recognition by NZ Government that more aged care beds are needed to meet

projected growth in demand in next 15 years

Ability to provide long term continuum of care becoming increasingly important

Integrate Vision and PLC into Metlifecare and extract maximum synergies and

efficiencies

Continue to focus on operational excellence with launch of Centres of Excellence

programme

Maximise potential of established and mature Villages

Drive revenue from Village Services

Focus on driving sales and resales

Initiate and complete brownfield developments

Seek further greenfield opportunities

Return to paying dividends

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Appendix: Portfolio Summary A

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Portfolio Summary – Merged Group

Combined Portfolio

Villages ILU's ILA's SA's Total RH Hosp

Care

Suits Total

Ave

Age

Future

ILU's

Future

ILA's

Future

SA's

Future

Hosp Total

Overall

Total

1 MET The Avenues - 88 - 88 - - - - 81.5 - 27 - 32 59 147

2 MET Bayswater 159 56 17 232 - - 6 6 82.0 - - - - - 238

3 MET Coastal 131 - 49 180 7 23 - 30 83.0 9 24 - - 33 243

4 MET Crestwood 120 - 14 134 41 - - 41 83.1 - 66 - - 66 241

5 MET Greenwood Park 143 80 15 238 - - - - 82.2 - - - - - 238

6 MET Highlands 129 - 70 199 7 34 - 41 84.4 - - - - - 240

7 MET Kapiti 225 - - 225 - - - - 79.5 - - - - - 225

8 MET Oakwoods 92 - 45 137 8 40 - 48 84.0 - 40 - - 40 225

9 MET Pakuranga 69 - 18 87 60 - 60 82.1 - - - - - 147

10 MET Palmerston 49 - 49 98 8 30 - 38 83.8 - - - - - 136

11 MET Pinesong 99 230 25 354 10 10 78.7 - - - - - 364

12 MET Powley 46 - 34 80 8 37 45 83.4 - - - - - 125

13 MET The Poynton - 125 15 140 - - 5 5 79.0 - 120 - - 120 265

14 MET 7 Saint Vincent 81 12 93 - - 2 2 84.2 - - - - - 95

15 MET Somervale 83 - 11 94 10 30 - 40 85.5 - - - - - 134

16 MET Wairarapa 56 - 25 81 14 27 - 41 83.8 - - - - - 122

17 VSL Waitakere - 324 - 324 - - - - 79.4 - - - - - 324

18 VSL Dannemora - 201 - 201 - - - - 78.9 - - - - - 201

19 VSL Forest Lake 127 38 - 165 - - - - 80.1 15 18 - - 33 198

20 VSL Papamoa 33 - - 33 - - - - 76.5 127 - - - 127 160

21 VSL Bay of islands 40 - - 40 - - - - 74.7 51 50 - - 101 141

22 Hillsborough Heights 176 - 41 217 - - - - 83.2 - - - - - 217

23 Hibiscus Coast 150 71 48 269 - - - - 81.7 - - - - - 269

24 Longford Park 144 - 49 193 - - - - 82.7 - - - - - 193

25 Unsworth Heights - - - - - - - - - 140 60 - 40 240 240

26 Ilam - - - - - - - - - - 170 - - 170 170

27 Stanley Road – Glenfield - - - - - - - - - - 94 - 38 132 132

Total 2,071 1,294 537 3,902 163 221 23 407 81.5 342 669 - 110 1,121 5,430

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Glossary of Terms

Sales: The first time sale of ORA (new stock)

Resales: The sale of an ORA where a sale has previously been completed

ORA: Occupation Right Agreement

LTO: License to Occupy

Gross Settlement Value: Total purchase price paid

Net Settlement Value: Total purchase price paid less existing repayment obligation

Net Bank Debt: Bank loans less cash at bank

ILU: Independent Living Unit

SA: Serviced Apartment

Relicensing: Resales of ORA’s

PCP: Previous Comparison Period

RVG: Retirement Villages Group