Population Change in the United States:

43
Population Change in the United States: Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University A presentation by Dr. Judith Dykes-Hoffmann Using data prepared by former Texas State Demographer: Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University

description

Population Change in the United States: . A presentation by Dr. Judith Dykes-Hoffmann Using data prepared by former Texas State Demographer: Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Population Change in the United States:

Page 1: Population Change in the United States:

Population Change in the United States:

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

A presentation by Dr. Judith Dykes-Hoffmann

Using data prepared by former Texas State Demographer:Steve H. Murdock, Director

Hobby Center for the Study of Texasand

Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of SociologyRice University

Page 2: Population Change in the United States:

Demographic Transition Model

Page 3: Population Change in the United States:

Source: ELCA.org

Page 4: Population Change in the United States:

Total Population and Percent Population Changein Texas and the United States, 1850-2010

  Total Population   Percent Change

Year Texas U.S.   Texas U.S.1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.61870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.61880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.01890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.51900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.71910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.01920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.91930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.11940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.21950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.51960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.01970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.41980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.41990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.82000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.22010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7

 

Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 5: Population Change in the United States:

Components of Change, U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009

   United States   Texas

Component Numeric Change

Percent of Total

ChangeNumeric Change

Percent of Total

Change

Total Change 25,584,644 100.0 3,930,482 100.0

Natural Increase 15,875,579 62.1 2,124,124 54.0

Net Domestic Migration ---- --- 848,702 21.6

Net International Migration 9,709,065 37.9 957,656 24.4

 

Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census.

Page 6: Population Change in the United States:

  Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010

Population Numeric Percent

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6

Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0

Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1

Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9

Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010

Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 7: Population Change in the United States:

Population of the United States by Regions, 1910-2010

Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population in Thousands (Thousands)

United States/Regions 1900 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010United States 76,212 151,32

6179,32

3203,30

2226,54

6248,71

0281,42

2308,74

6

Regions

Northeast 27.6 26.1 24.9 24.1 21.7 20.4 19.0 17.9

Midwest 34.5 29.4 28.8 27.9 25.9 24.0 22.9 21.7

South 32.2 31.2 30.7 30.9 33.3 34.4 35.6 37.1

West 5.7 13.3 15.6 17.1 19.1 21.2 22.5 23.3

Page 8: Population Change in the United States:

PlacePopulation Change

2000 2010 Number Percent

New York , NY 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1Los Angeles , CA 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6Chicago , IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9Houston , TX 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5Philadelphia , PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6Phoenix , AZ 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4San Antonio , TX 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0San Diego , CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9Dallas , TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8San Jose , CA 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Population 2000 and 2010 and Population Change 2000-2010 for the Ten Most Populous Incorporated Places in the United States

Page 9: Population Change in the United States:

  ChangePercent ofPopulation

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010

NH White (Anglo) 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 52.4 45.3Hispanic 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 32.0 37.6NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 11.3 11.5NH American Indian 68,859 80,586 11,727 17.0 0.3 0.3NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 2.7 3.8NH Hawaiian/Pac. Isldr. 10,757 17,920 7,163 66.6 0.1 0.1NH Some Other Race 19,958 33,980 14,022 70.3 0.1 0.1NH Two or More Races 230,567 319,558 88,991 38.6 1.1 1.3Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0________

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.

*Hispanic includes Hispanic persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categoriesshown here are non-Hispanic (non-Hispanic White[Anglo], non-Hispanic Black, non-HispanicAmerican Indian, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Hawaiian/Pacific Islander,non-Hispanic Some Other Race, non-Hispanic Two or More Races).

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas, 2000 and 2010

Page 10: Population Change in the United States:
Page 11: Population Change in the United States:
Page 12: Population Change in the United States:

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

 Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Percent of Total

Change 2000 2010

NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7

Hispanic (All Races) 35,305,818 50,477,594 15,171,776 43.0 55.5 12.5 16.3

NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2

NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7

NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0

Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 13: Population Change in the United States:

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

 Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Percent of Total

Change 2000 2010

NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5

Hispanic (All Races) 12,342,259 17,130,891 4,788,632 38.8 253.7 17.1 23.1

NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0

NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3

NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 31.2 47.8 4.0 5.1

Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 14: Population Change in the United States:
Page 15: Population Change in the United States:
Page 16: Population Change in the United States:
Page 17: Population Change in the United States:
Page 18: Population Change in the United States:

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010

  Population Population Change Percent of Total Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 30,849,683 27,506,006 -3,343,677 -10.8 -172.4 55.9 48.2Hispanic (All Races) 10,972,723 15,001,612 4,028,889 36.7 207.7 19.9 26.3NH Black 8,908,601 8,775,212 -133,389 -1.5 -6.9 16.2 15.4NH Asian 2,275,874 2,973,879 698,005 30.7 36.0 4.1 5.2NH Other 2,144,258 2,833,831 689,573 32.2 35.6 3.9 5.0Total 55,151,139 57,090,540 1,939,401 3.5 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 19: Population Change in the United States:

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban Counties In the United States, 2000 and 2010

  Population Population Change Percent of Total Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 3,777,831 3,750,909 -26,922 -0.7 -5.8 78.0 70.7Hispanic (All Races) 406,567 731,989 325,422 80.0 70.5 8.4 13.8NH Black 450,858 481,080 30,222 6.7 6.5 9.3 9.1NH Asian 59,990 101,098 41,108 68.5 8.9 1.2 1.9NH Other 145,255 237,254 91,999 63.3 19.9 3.0 4.5Total 4,840,501 5,302,330 461,829 9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 20: Population Change in the United States:

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan

Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010   Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 9,399,573 8,459,647 -939,926 -10.0 -183.1 76.4 71.8Hispanic (All Races) 962,969 1,397,290 434,321 45.1 84.6 7.8 11.9NH Black 1,250,805 1,105,891 -144,914 -11.6 28.2 10.2 9.4NH Asian 84,410 101,152 16,742 19.8 3.3 0.7 0.9NH Other 604,415 724,617 120,202 19.9 23.4 4.9 6.1Total 12,302,172 11,788,597 -513,575 -4.2 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 21: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

< 5

year

s

5 to

9

10 to

14

15 to

19

20 to

24

25 to

29

30 to

34

35 to

39

40 to

44

45 to

49

50 to

54

55 to

59

60 to

64

65+

year

s

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

50.8 53

.3

55.1

56.0

57.6

57.9

57.6

59.4 63

.3 67.6 70

.8 73.5 76

.2 80.0

49.2

46.7

44.9

44.0

42.4

42.1

42.4

40.6

36.7

32.4

29.2

26.5

23.8

20.0

Anglo Non-Anglo

Page 22: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2050

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 23: Population Change in the United States:

Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races

2000 195,771 34,414 10,436 5,909 35,629 282,1582010 200,853 37,985 14,083 7,586 49,726 310,2332020 205,255 41,847 18,308 9,612 66,365 341,3872030 207,217 45,461 22,991 11,904 85,931 373,5042040 206,065 48,780 28,064 14,523 108,223 405,6552050 203,347 51,949 33,418 17,503 132,792 439,010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections

Year

(Resident population as of July 1. Numbers in thousands)Non-Hispanic Hispanic

(any race) Total

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 24: Population Change in the United States:

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 25: Population Change in the United States:

Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009

  1999   2009

 Populationin Poverty %

Median Household

Income*  Population in Poverty %

Median Household

Income

Anglo 15,414,119 8.1 $58,523 19,462,966 10.0 $54,671

Hispanic 7,797,874 22.6 $43,442 11,130,896 23.5 $39,923

Black 8,146,146 24.9 $37,956 9,407,955 25.8 $33,463

Asian 1,257,237 12.6 $66,961 1,539,226 11.4 $68,780

Other 1,284,436 18.5 NA 1,327,120 18.4 NA

Total

33,899,812 12.4 $54,172   42,868,163 14.3 $50,221

*In 2009 Dollars

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 26: Population Change in the United States:

Educational Attainment for the Texas Population Age 25 and Older

by Race/Ethnicity, 2009

RaceEthnicity

Population Age 25 and

Older

Less than high

school

High school

diploma

Some college or associates

degreeBachelor or more

Non-Hispanic White 8,026,049 8.3 25.3 32.5 33.9Black 1,705,709 15.0 30.4 36.5 18.1Hispanic* 4,876,517 42.5 25.2 21.4 10.9Asian 580,159 14.2 15.4 17.2 53.2Total 15,361,557 20.1 25.4 28.9 25.5________

Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.

*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

Page 27: Population Change in the United States:

Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001 by Selected

Characteristics SAT Score

Mean Mean

Characteristic Verbal Math

All Students 506 514(N = 1,276,320)

Race/Ethnicity:American Indian 481 479African American or Black 433 426Hispanic: Mexican American 451 458 Puerto Rican 457 451 Other Hispanic 460 465White 529 531Asian American or Pacific Islander 501 566

Household Income: < $10,000 421 443 $10,000 - 20,000 442 456 $20,000 - 30,000 468 474 $30,000 - 40,000 487 489 $40,000 - 50,000 501 503 $50,000 - 60,000 509 512 $60,000 - 70,000 516 519 $70,000 - 80,000 522 527 $80,000 - 100,000 534 540

> $100,000 557 569

SAT Score

Mean Mean

Characteristic Verbal Math

All Students 506 514(N = 1,276,320)

Race/Ethnicity:American Indian 481 479

Household Income: < $10,000 421 443

> $100,000 557 569

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 28: Population Change in the United States:

U.S. EDUCATION

Page 29: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment

in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other

Total Enrollment 2000 62.7 14.9 15.1 7.3 2010 57.4 14.2 19.8 8.6 2020 52.5 13.5 24.0 10.0 2030 48.1 13.1 27.8 11.0 2040 43.6 12.4 31.9 12.1 2050 39.5 11.9 35.4 13.2

Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 61.5 15.5 16.4 6.6 2010 55.5 14.5 22.0 8.0 2020 50.9 13.6 26.4 9.1 2030 46.6 13.2 30.3 9.9 2040 41.9 12.4 34.8 10.9 2050 38.0 11.9 38.3 11.8

College Enrollment 2000 66.9 12.8 10.8 9.5 2010 63.3 13.3 12.7 10.7 2020 57.8 13.3 16.2 12.7 2030 53.2 12.8 19.4 14.6 2040 49.1 12.5 22.3 16.1 2050 44.5 12.2 25.6 17.7

Page 30: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of Net Change in Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment in the

United States Due to Each Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Race Number Percent Total Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,779,409 -19.0 Non-Hispanic Black 1,399,975 4.6 Hispanic Origin 26,386,594 86.4 Non-Hispanic Other 8,546,003 28.0 Total 30,553,163 100.0 Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,105,132 -21.9 Non-Hispanic Black 622,934 2.7 Hispanic Origin 21,942,506 94.2 Non-Hispanic Other 5,828,098 25.0 Total 23,288,406 100.0 College Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -674,277 -9.3 Non-Hispanic Black 777,041 10.7 Hispanic Origin 4,444,088 61.2 Non-Hispanic Other 2,717,905 37.4 Total 7,264,757 100.0

Page 31: Population Change in the United States:

TEXAS EDUCATION

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 32: Population Change in the United States:

Enrollment and Change in Enrollment of Economically Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas

Public Schools, 1999-2000 and 2009-2010 School Years

 Enrollment 10-Year Change Proportion

Race/Ethnicity 1999-2000 2009-2010 Numeric Percent1999-2000

2009-2010

Economically DisadvantagedWhite 359,510 443, 933 84,423 23.5 18.4 15.6African American 369,393 475,994 106,601 28.9 18.9 16.7Other 36,734 66,874 30,140 82.0 1.9 2.3Hispanic 1,190,363 1,866,376 676,013 56.8 60.8 65.4Total 1,956,000 2,853,177 897,177 45.9 100.0 100.0         

TotalWhite 1,727,733 1,615,459 -112,274 -6.5 43.2 33.3African American 576,977 679,351 102,374 17.7 14.4 14.0Other 114,979 198,992 84,013 73.1 2.9 4.1Hispanic 1,582,538 2,354,042 771,504 48.8 39.5 48.6Total 4,002,227 4,847,844 845,617 21.1 100.0 100.0

Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2009-10 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf

Page 33: Population Change in the United States:

District/County/School Year White (%)African

American (%) Hispanic (%)

Asian/Pacific Islander (%)

Native American (%)

Total Enrollment

Houston ISD (Harris)2000-2001 10.0 32.1 54.9 2.9 0.1 208,4622010-2011 7.8 26.2 61.9 3.2 0.2 204,245

Dallas ISD (Dallas)2000-2001 7.8 35.9 54.5 1.4 0.4 161,5482010-2011 4.6 25.0 68.2 1.2 0.4 157,162

Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris)2000-2001 58.5 10.0 23.4 7.9 0.2 63,4972010-2011 31.0 15.5 42.5 8.0 0.2 106,097

Northside ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 36.7 6.6 54.3 2.2 0.2 63,7392010-2011 20.1 6.2 67.8 3.1 0.2 95,581

Austin ISD (Travis)2000-2001 33.7 15.7 47.8 2.5 0.3 77,8162010-2011 24.3 9.5 60.3 3.4 0.3 85,697

Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant)2000-2001 21.4 30.9 45.4 2.1 0.2 79,6612010-2011 14.3 23.4 59.2 1.8 0.3 81,651

Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend)2000-2001 37.8 28.0 18.1 16.0 0.1 53,9992010-2011 20.3 29.4 25.9 21.4 0.6 68,948

North East ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 49.1 9.4 38.8 2.5 0.2 50,8752010-2011 32.0 7.3 54.1 3.6 0.3 66,604

Arlington ISD (Tarrant)2000-2001 47.3 21.3 24.0 6.8 0.6 58,8662010-2011 26.2 23.2 41.8 6.8 0.4 64,484

El Paso ISD (El Paso)2000-2001 15.2 4.8 78.5 1.2 0.3 62,3252010-2011 10.7 4.1 82.8 1.2 0.3 64,330

Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2010-2011

*Largest enrollment based on 2010-2011 school yearSource: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles

Page 34: Population Change in the United States:

Texas Higher Education Enrollment in Public Universities, Public 2-year Colleges andHealth-related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2008

Enrollment by Race/EthnicityPublic Univ

Public 2-year Colleges

Health-related Institutions

2000 Enrollment

White (%) 58.4 52.8 61.3

African American (%) 9.8 11.0 4.9

Hispanic (%) 19.6 28.9 12.6

Asian (%) 5.7 3.9 14.6

American Indian (%) .5 .5 .5

International (%) 5.3 2.4 4.8

Unknown (%) .7 .5 1.3

Total 2000 Enrollment 414,626 447,998 13,806

2008 Enrollment

White (%) 50.4 45.2 51.3

African American (%) 11.6 11.8 6.6

Hispanic (%) 24.3 34.1 13.8

Asian (%) 6.6 4.2 14.5

American Indian (%) .5 .5 .6

International (%) 5.7 2.5 9.7

Unknown (%) .9 1.7 3.5

Total 2008 Enrollment 509,136 617,507 20,421

Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center using data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB)

Page 35: Population Change in the United States:

Public Elementary and Secondary Public CommunityCollege, and Public University Enrollment in Texas by

Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 AssumingRates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 2,186,097 661,995 1,785,676 160,507 4,794,275 2010 2,125,643 693,172 2,367,308 231,798 5,417,921 2020 2,106,211 731,976 3,308,472 326,936 6,473,595 2030 1,992,718 746,148 4,324,751 432,828 7,496,445 2040 1,852,133 739,828 5,596,378 590,265 8,778,604

Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 1,727,733 576,977 1,582,538 114,979 4,002,227 2010 1,643,722 588,781 2,065,327 164,425 4,462,255 2020 1,643,592 619,318 2,892,656 227,683 5,383,249 2030 1,527,293 623,104 3,729,428 287,975 6,167,800 2040 1,411,454 612,608 4,803,635 397,902 7,225,599

Public Community Colleges 2000 230,497 46,742 124,057 19,782 421,078 2010 239,191 56,798 184,582 29,824 510,395 2020 232,120 62,178 254,482 44,330 593,110 2030 232,363 68,156 364,216 65,020 729,755 2040 220,266 70,850 485,107 88,280 864,503

Public Universities 2000 227,867 38,276 79,081 25,746 370,970 2010 242,730 47,593 117,399 37,549 445,271 2020 230,499 50,480 161,334 54,923 497,236 2030 233,062 54,888 231,107 79,833 598,890 2040 220,413 56,370 307,636 104,083 688,502

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 458,364 85,018 203,138 45,528 792,048 2010 481,921 104,391 301,981 67,373 955,666 2020 462,619 112,658 415,816 99,253 1,090,346 2030 465,425 123,044 595,323 144,853 1,328,645 2040 440,679 127,220 792,743 192,363 1,553,005

Page 36: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary, PublicCommunity College and Public University Enrollment in Texasby Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming

Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other

Public Education (All Levels) 2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 39.2 12.8 43.7 4.3 2020 32.5 11.3 51.1 5.1 2030 26.5 10.0 57.7 5.8 2040 21.1 8.4 63.8 6.7

Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 36.8 13.2 46.3 3.7 2020 30.6 11.5 53.7 4.2 2030 24.7 10.1 60.5 4.7 2040 19.5 8.5 66.5 5.5

Public Community Colleges 2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 46.9 11.1 36.2 5.8 2020 39.1 10.5 42.9 7.5 2030 31.9 9.3 49.9 8.9 2040 25.5 8.2 56.1 10.2

Public Universities 2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 54.5 10.7 26.4 8.4 2020 46.4 10.2 32.4 11.0 2030 38.9 9.2 38.6 13.3 2040 32.0 8.2 44.7 15.1

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 50.5 10.9 31.6 7.0 2020 42.5 10.3 38.1 9.1 2030 35.0 9.3 44.8 10.9 2040 28.4 8.2 51.0 12.4

Page 37: Population Change in the United States:

U.S. LABOR FORCE

Page 38: Population Change in the United States:

Projections of the Civilian Labor Force of the United States from2001 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity from the Middle Projection Scenario

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other Total 2000 100,177,990 14,453,507 14,719,717 8,317,584 137,668,798 2010 102,572,104 16,572,350 20,337,473 10,991,486 150,473,413 2020 99,503,638 17,955,037 26,838,744 13,848,138 158,145,557 2030 96,065,987 19,025,575 34,158,931 17,002,785 166,253,278 2040 94,977,559 20,209,376 42,394,793 20,351,836 177,933,564 2050 93,550,875 21,127,696 52,120,668 24,013,290 190,812,529

Page 39: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of the Projections of the Civilian Labor Force of the United Statesfrom 2001 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity for the Middle Projection Scenario

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other 2000 72.8 10.5 10.7 6.0 2010 68.2 11.0 13.5 7.3 2020 62.8 11.4 17.0 8.8 2030 57.9 11.4 20.5 10.2 2040 53.4 11.4 23.8 11.4 2050 49.0 11.1 27.3 12.6

Page 40: Population Change in the United States:

Percent of Net Change in the U.S. Civilian Labor Force from 2000-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Middle Scenario

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent Non-Hispanic White -6,627,115 -12.5 Non-Hispanic Black 6,674,189 12.6 Hispanic 37,400,951 70.4 Non-Hispanic Other 15,695,706 29.5 Total 53,143,731 100.0

Page 41: Population Change in the United States:

Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*

*From Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (1% File)

$30,412

$42,271

$52,552

$80,950

$102,410

$32,473

$44,068

$54,467

$80,327

$104,294

Less ThanHigh School

High SchoolGraduate

Some College or Associate Degree

Bachelor'sDegree

Graduate/ProfessionalDegree

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

Average Income

Texas United States

Page 42: Population Change in the United States:

Source: ELCA.org

Page 43: Population Change in the United States:

The mark of a truly educated man is to be

moved deeply by statistics.

George Bernard Shaw