POLL ON ISSUES RELATED TO SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE€¦ · POLL ON ISSUES RELATED TO SCOTTISH...
Transcript of POLL ON ISSUES RELATED TO SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE€¦ · POLL ON ISSUES RELATED TO SCOTTISH...
POLL ON ISSUES RELATED TO SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE
As the leading supplier of opinion polls within Scotland for over 30 years, TNS will be
publishing regular polling in the run-up to the Scottish Independence referendum on 18th
September 2014, using the exact wording which will feature on the ballot paper for the
referendum vote.
TNS conducted one of this series of voting intention polls between 3rd and 10th January 2014.
In the same survey, TNS was commissioned by BBC Scotland to ask additional questions
about the issues which are likely to be of most importance to voters when thinking about how
to vote in the Scottish Independence referendum on 18th September 2014 (Q2a-Q2c in this set
of data tables).
The results of these questions were included in the BBC documentary “Scotland’s Top Ten
Battlegrounds”, broadcast on 11th February 2014. Respondents were presented with a list of
10 issues, and the ranking of these issues used in the documentary was based on a mean
score calculation of the number of respondents rating each issue as most, second most or
third most important to them in how they might vote.
TNS UK is a member of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abides by its rules. We also
operate within the Code of Conduct of the Market Research Society (MRS). In accordance with
these rules the following information is provided:
Sample size 1,008
Sampling points 54 Scottish parliament constituencies
Fieldwork dates 3rd – 10th January 2014
Interview method Face-to-face, in-home CAPI
Population sampled All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Sampling method The poll was conducted through our Omnibus, Scottish Opinion Survey. For this survey, sampling points are selected to be representative of Scotland demographically and geographically. Within each sampling point, a quota sampling method is used for respondent selection.
Data weighting Data is weighted to the profile of all adults aged 16+ in Scotland, based on population profile estimates from the BARB (Broadcasters’ Audience Research Board) Establishment Report 2011, Mid year population estimates 2011 and the 2001 Census. Weighting is carried out in relation to working status within gender, age, social grade and electoral region. Data is also weighted by recalled vote to match turnout and share of constituency vote from the 2011 Holyrood election, as recorded in SPICe Briefing 11-29 2011 Scottish Parliament Election Results. Unweighted and weighted bases are shown at the top of each data table.
Questions The data tables show the question wording in full
Further enquiries [email protected]
Page 1
Page Table Title Base Description Base
1 1 Q1. There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
4 2 Q2a. Looking at the list below which, if any, of these topics would you say is most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
7 3 Q2b. And which would you say is second most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
10 4 Q2c. And which would you say is third most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
13 5 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
14 6 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most or Second Most Important BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
17 7 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most, Second or Third Most Important BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
20 8 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Economy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
23 9 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Currency in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
26 10 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Pensions in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
29 11 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with rest of the UK in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
32 12 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with EU in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
35 13 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Welfare in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
38 14 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Defence in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
41 15 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Immigration in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
Page 2
Page Table Title Base Description Base
44 16 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Energy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
47 17 Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Broadcasting in deciding how you might vote in the referendum. BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
50 18 Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
51 19 Q3. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
54 20 Q4. The last Scottish Parliament election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland 1008
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
147136984975618511682404559574537120163283Yes29%27%32%24%26%28%24%34%27%19%29%33%35%28%26%23%34%28%
18923291971281041761331131116572605162220200421No37%46%30%48%45%48%49%38%37%54%42%40%37%32%43%42%41%42%
1701341125883519996109564349476346184120304Don't know34%27%37%28%29%24%28%28%36%27%28%27%29%40%32%35%25%30%
Page 1SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 1Q1. There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014.
How do you intend to vote in response to the question:Should Scotland be an independent country?
BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
--28331404943233437265880146283Yes--100%24%31%38%31%17%26%28%32%29%22%32%28%
-421-655248615947632586153182421No-100%-49%40%37%44%45%36%48%32%43%42%41%42%
304--353934365050312954128122304Don't know100%--27%30%26%26%38%38%24%36%27%36%27%30%
Page 2SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 1Q1. There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014.
How do you intend to vote in response to the question:Should Scotland be an independent country?
BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
8623113852632357471235225260283Yes24%17%25%60%13%16%4%11%17%9%10%14%25%34%32%28%
142592312998607112716262956293349421No39%42%40%13%72%61%86%36%37%40%38%32%40%44%43%42%
13257262637710715621365050148198304Don't know37%41%35%27%15%23%10%53%46%52%52%54%35%22%24%30%
Page 3SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 1Q1. There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014.
How do you intend to vote in response to the question:Should Scotland be an independent country?
BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
12619469571088675133112393661726151162158320Economy25%38%23%28%38%40%21%39%37%19%23%34%44%38%35%31%33%32%
2718141212712161784124125182645Currency5%4%5%6%4%3%3%5%5%4%3%7%2%7%3%4%5%4%
68484127351371301546252010786749116Pensions13%10%13%13%12%6%20%9%5%22%16%11%6%4%5%13%10%11%
405421202628333129211220111614484694Scotland's relationship8%11%7%10%9%13%9%9%10%10%8%11%7%10%10%9%9%9%with rest of the UK
252315109131513207894316202747Scotland's relationship5%4%5%5%3%6%4%4%7%3%5%5%2%2%11%4%6%5%with EU
5131381317141939258112217178493382Welfare10%6%13%6%6%6%5%11%8%4%7%12%10%11%5%9%7%8%
232413918624101211135539242246Defence4%5%4%4%6%3%7%3%4%6%9%3%3%2%6%5%5%5%
40182713711151528785101513312758Immigration8%4%9%6%2%5%4%4%9%3%5%3%6%9%9%6%5%6%
221215784141281133853181634Energy4%2%5%3%3%2%4%3%3%5%2%2%5%3%2%3%3%3%
36-36-1351-2131538Broadcasting1%1%-1%2%-*1%1%*-1%1%2%1%1%1%1%
474723252423602311342791483474894None9%9%8%12%8%10%17%7%4%16%17%5%8%5%2%9%10%9%
342926816131921231361291013342963Don't know7%6%9%4%5%6%5%6%8%6%4%7%5%6%9%7%6%6%
Page 4SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 2Q2a. Looking at the list below which, if any, of these topics would you say is most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
841399733393955313755328292146320Economy27%33%34%25%29%29%39%23%28%42%40%41%25%32%32%
15161411751132326142545Currency5%4%5%8%5%4%8%3%2%3%3%3%4%6%4%
4244302282591613156204451116Pensions14%10%11%17%6%19%7%13%10%12%8%10%12%11%11%
225121147511238161025462494Scotland's relationship7%12%7%10%6%4%8%18%6%12%13%12%13%5%9%with rest of the UK
121917565399559211747Scotland's relationship4%4%6%4%5%4%2%7%7%4%7%5%6%4%5%with EU
26203612261110836611195282Welfare9%5%13%9%20%9%7%6%2%5%7%6%5%12%8%
102115648847547142646Defence3%5%5%4%3%6%6%3%5%4%5%4%4%6%5%
26151787109679312163058Immigration8%4%6%6%5%8%6%4%5%7%4%6%5%7%6%
915966622337891734Energy3%4%3%5%4%4%2%1%2%2%8%4%2%4%3%
423112-4-1-1448Broadcasting1%*1%1%1%1%-3%-1%-*1%1%1%
1759187171216530617414794None6%14%7%6%13%9%11%4%23%4%2%4%11%10%9%
39195534720137311411163Don't know13%5%2%4%2%3%5%15%10%6%4%6%11%2%6%
Page 5SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 2Q2a. Looking at the list below which, if any, of these topics would you say is most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
12241276144223531054192953215267320Economy34%29%34%33%34%26%32%26%31%11%28%31%37%32%33%32%
86114*107613--67323945Currency2%4%11%6%1%6%10%3%4%--6%5%5%5%4%
291812543082033-713128395116Pensions8%13%14%11%10%19%11%10%10%-11%14%9%12%12%11%
317119812161023-6413718494Scotland's relationship9%5%13%8%19%7%23%5%7%-9%4%10%11%10%9%with rest of the UK
175-1537171842-11304147Scotland's relationship5%3%-7%8%4%1%3%5%10%3%-8%4%5%5%with EU
3261254131192836109546382Welfare9%5%9%11%11%8%2%9%8%7%9%11%7%8%8%8%
195*12281610-254364046Defence5%3%4%5%4%5%1%3%3%-2%5%3%5%5%5%
268113181172867411314158Immigration7%6%15%6%3%5%1%8%8%13%10%5%8%5%5%6%
98-727110143434202434Energy2%6%-3%6%4%1%5%4%7%6%3%3%3%3%3%
32-3-1-44-12-558Broadcasting1%1%-1%-1%-2%1%-2%3%-1%1%1%
2722-161198162675411687994None8%16%-7%3%12%11%8%8%16%7%5%8%10%10%9%
3712-5-543440148126232963Don't know10%8%-2%-3%6%17%12%35%12%13%4%3%4%6%
Page 6SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 2Q2a. Looking at the list below which, if any, of these topics would you say is most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
6991363253384761522720322923298278160Economy14%18%12%16%18%18%13%18%17%13%13%18%17%15%20%16%16%16%
41462120262028302812161219208424587Currency8%9%7%10%9%9%8%9%9%6%10%7%11%12%5%8%9%9%
514529213214432924261719101114494796Pensions10%9%10%11%11%6%12%8%8%12%11%10%6%7%9%9%10%10%
394520192223213429111014191811503484Scotland's relationship8%9%7%9%8%11%6%10%10%5%7%8%12%11%8%10%7%8%with rest of the UK
223714810261924179101310710243559Scotland's relationship4%7%5%4%4%12%5%7%6%4%6%7%6%4%7%5%7%6%with EU
5955431630253547312313242316155064114Welfare12%11%14%8%11%11%10%14%10%11%8%13%14%10%10%10%13%11%
283418102311212318156158126352762Defence6%7%6%5%8%5%6%7%6%7%4%8%5%8%4%7%6%6%
452228181572316281112971414373067Immigration9%4%9%9%5%3%6%5%9%5%8%5%4%9%10%7%6%7%
443426182311272327141311121710433578Energy9%7%9%9%8%5%8%7%9%7%8%6%7%11%7%8%7%8%
44323136-2151--548Broadcasting1%1%1%1%1%*1%2%-1%1%3%1%--1%1%1%
12111027495981323719423None2%2%3%1%3%2%2%2%3%4%1%2%1%2%5%4%1%2%
102462-4443122147512Don't know2%*1%3%1%-1%1%1%2%1%1%1%*3%1%1%1%
8276493340368044344733222218168177157Not stated16%15%16%16%14%16%22%13%11%23%21%12%14%11%11%15%16%16%
Page 7SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 3Q2b. And which would you say is second most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
5059512119172428152115326166160Economy16%14%18%16%14%13%17%21%12%16%18%16%17%15%16%
2736231010161061120424253887Currency9%9%8%7%8%12%7%5%9%15%5%12%7%8%9%
244725231791510610716265496Pensions8%11%9%18%13%7%10%8%4%7%8%8%7%12%10%
2532277911121010151121253884Scotland's relationship8%8%10%5%7%9%8%8%7%11%14%10%7%8%8%with rest of the UK
171824446614614517212059Scotland's relationship6%4%8%3%3%5%4%11%4%10%7%9%6%5%6%with EU
3538411215221017141014214251114Welfare11%9%14%9%12%17%7%13%11%8%17%11%12%11%11%
153611784131067814202862Defence5%9%4%5%6%3%9%7%4%5%10%7%6%6%6%
1531221711101056549233667Immigration5%7%8%13%8%7%7%4%5%4%5%5%6%8%7%
2627251591075914823243178Energy8%6%9%11%7%8%5%4%7%11%10%11%7%7%8%
33311131-1-1358Broadcasting1%1%1%*1%1%2%1%-1%-*1%1%1%
11931585-42-241723None4%2%1%*4%6%3%-3%2%-1%1%4%2%
2643323-21-14812Don't know1%1%1%2%2%1%2%-1%1%-*1%2%1%
567824132016232444135188258157Not stated18%18%8%10%15%12%16%19%33%10%6%9%23%13%16%
Page 8SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 3Q2b. And which would you say is second most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
53181431020152443671218117135160Economy15%13%19%19%24%13%21%12%13%14%10%13%13%18%17%16%
23141227145112715516597587Currency7%10%15%9%18%9%7%6%8%2%7%6%11%9%9%9%
311312531951934171015627796Pensions9%9%11%11%8%12%7%9%10%3%11%11%11%9%10%10%
3410*25493162933913556884Scotland's relationship9%7%5%11%10%5%4%8%8%8%4%10%9%8%8%8%with rest of the UK
1710121172515-1410445459Scotland's relationship5%7%13%9%3%5%3%3%4%-2%4%7%7%7%6%with EU
4418123420323465512236891114Welfare12%13%16%10%10%13%5%11%14%13%8%13%17%10%11%11%
2331931112917-278445262Defence6%2%13%4%8%7%16%5%5%-3%8%6%7%6%6%
274*14-15814202847475467Immigration8%3%7%6%-9%11%7%6%4%11%5%5%7%7%7%
316-184145182721069516078Energy8%4%-8%10%9%7%9%8%5%15%6%6%8%7%8%
2--3121------888Broadcasting1%--1%3%1%1%------1%1%1%
67-5141912-453111423None2%5%-2%2%2%1%5%4%-6%6%2%2%2%2%
51-3-2135-21271012Don't know1%1%-1%-1%1%1%1%-3%1%2%1%1%1%
6534-211241250662113161691107157Not stated18%24%-9%3%15%17%25%19%51%19%17%12%14%13%16%
Page 9SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 3Q2b. And which would you say is second most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
575032242624433727202222169186443107Economy11%10%11%12%9%11%12%11%9%10%14%12%10%6%13%12%9%11%
395625153324303629161417191614504696Currency8%11%8%7%11%11%8%11%10%8%9%9%12%10%9%10%9%9%
46512421292229382914161819246504696Pensions9%10%8%11%10%10%8%11%10%7%10%10%12%15%4%10%10%10%
2839208162319212710109121314373067Scotland's relationship6%8%7%4%6%11%5%6%9%5%6%5%7%8%10%7%6%7%with rest of the UK
2031119181318161711788124262451Scotland's relationship4%6%4%4%6%6%5%5%5%5%4%4%5%8%3%5%5%5%with EU
425324183023273732161120181219563996Welfare8%11%8%9%10%11%7%11%10%8%7%11%11%8%13%11%8%9%
35332213191418242614313121214373269Defence7%7%7%7%7%7%5%7%9%7%2%7%7%8%10%7%7%7%
46372224271027332413142491310354983Immigration9%7%7%12%9%5%8%10%8%6%9%13%5%9%7%7%10%8%
604038212515333036181514172016405999Energy12%8%13%10%9%7%9%9%12%9%10%8%10%12%11%8%12%10%
151-14411321-1-347Broadcasting*1%*-*2%1%**1%1%1%-1%-1%1%1%
14129584911563754181926None3%2%3%2%3%2%3%3%2%3%2%4%3%3%1%1%4%3%
1441044-106381142211818Don't know3%1%3%2%2%-3%2%1%4%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%
104896340503993534858352627212710786193Not stated21%18%21%20%17%18%26%15%16%28%23%15%16%13%18%20%18%19%
Page 10SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 4Q2c. And which would you say is third most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
3143332012111115121312224243107Economy10%10%12%16%9%9%7%12%9%10%15%11%12%10%11%
22522215151411101091219304696Currency7%12%8%11%11%11%7%8%8%7%14%10%8%10%9%
3131351610519139151023353996Pensions10%7%12%12%7%4%14%10%7%11%12%12%10%9%10%
192820511681496812262967Scotland's relationship6%7%7%4%9%4%6%11%7%5%9%6%7%7%7%with rest of the UK
1226135747311772272151Scotland's relationship4%6%4%4%5%3%5%2%1%13%9%11%2%5%5%with EU
2642271114101815612920284796Welfare9%10%10%9%11%8%13%11%5%9%11%10%8%10%9%
2029201179101195712272969Defence6%7%7%8%6%7%7%8%7%4%9%6%8%6%7%
232931138171114812213313983Immigration8%7%11%10%6%13%8%11%6%9%2%7%9%9%8%
38253616161713312121019305199Energy13%6%13%12%12%13%9%2%9%9%12%9%8%11%10%
-34----124-43-7Broadcasting-1%1%----1%1%3%-2%1%-1%
4121021122216-641626None1%3%4%2%1%9%1%2%1%5%-3%1%4%3%
9822321524-49618Don't know3%2%1%1%2%1%1%4%2%3%-2%2%1%2%
699331162825312449165219082193Not stated23%22%11%12%21%19%22%19%37%12%6%10%25%18%19%
Page 11SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 4Q2c. And which would you say is third most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
41912622171430437167793107Economy11%7%14%11%5%13%9%7%9%10%4%8%11%12%12%11%
35912371191829341111677896Currency10%7%19%10%17%7%13%9%9%6%6%12%8%10%10%9%
301023451231930461011667796Pensions8%7%30%15%13%8%4%10%9%9%9%11%8%10%10%10%
1914-13410781911512485967Scotland's relationship5%10%-6%10%6%10%4%6%2%2%6%8%7%7%7%with rest of the UK
261-1126513191936323851Scotland's relationship7%1%-5%4%4%6%6%6%4%13%3%4%5%5%5%with EU
2314-234229112115510758496Welfare6%10%-10%9%14%13%6%6%2%8%5%7%11%10%9%
2115-152887201-613486169Defence6%11%-7%5%5%11%4%6%2%-7%9%7%8%7%
39711751232133-71412506283Immigration11%5%11%7%12%7%5%10%10%-11%15%9%8%8%8%
3481275195173637619648399Energy10%6%13%12%11%12%8%8%10%7%11%7%13%10%10%10%
1--2211-2---2477Broadcasting*--1%4%1%1%-1%---2%1%1%1%
57*7141411-137152326None1%5%7%3%3%3%2%2%3%-1%3%5%2%3%3%
91*314-7735--111118Don't know3%1%5%1%1%3%-4%2%7%7%--2%1%2%
7643-2923014628321192221110131193Not stated21%31%-13%6%19%19%31%24%51%28%24%15%16%16%19%
Page 12SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 4Q2c. And which would you say is third most important to you in deciding how you might vote in the referendum?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
Third mostSecond mostimportantimportantMost important
100810081008Unweighted base100810081008Weighted base
107160320Economy11%16%32%
968745Currency9%9%4%
9696116Pensions10%10%11%
678494Scotland's relationship7%8%9%with rest of the UK
515947Scotland's relationship5%6%5%with EU
9611482Welfare9%11%8%
696246Defence7%6%5%
836758Immigration8%7%6%
997834Energy10%8%3%
788Broadcasting1%1%1%
262394None3%2%9%
181263Don't know2%1%6%
193157-Not stated19%16%-
Page 13SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 5Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendumBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
195285105901611241211941646556931018480243236480Economy39%57%35%44%56%57%34%56%54%32%37%52%61%53%55%46%49%48%
6764353237274146442020242331136071131Currency13%13%12%16%13%12%11%13%15%10%13%13%14%20%9%11%15%13%
1199370496627114593972423920182111796212Pensions23%19%23%24%23%12%32%17%13%35%28%22%12%11%15%22%20%21%
7999413847515465593222343133259880178Scotland's relationship16%20%14%19%17%24%15%19%19%15%14%19%19%21%17%19%16%18%with rest of the UK4760291820403436371618221410274562106Scotland's relationship9%12%10%9%7%18%9%10%12%8%12%12%8%6%18%9%13%11%with EU
11087812948395486563124464033239997196Welfare22%17%27%14%17%18%15%25%18%15%15%25%24%21%16%19%20%19%
5058311941174532312719201215155949108Defence10%11%10%9%14%8%13%9%10%13%12%11%8%10%11%11%10%11%
8540553022183831561820141729286857125Immigration17%8%18%15%8%8%11%9%19%9%13%8%10%18%19%13%12%12%
6546402531154235352516142022136151112Energy13%9%13%12%11%7%12%10%12%12%11%8%12%14%9%12%10%11%
710359149521623110717Broadcasting1%2%1%2%3%*1%2%1%1%1%3%1%2%1%2%1%2%
8276493340368044344733222218168177157Not stated16%15%16%16%14%16%22%13%11%23%21%12%14%11%11%15%16%16%
Page 14SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 6Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most or Second Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
1331981495457567959527647114153212480Economy44%47%53%41%44%43%56%45%40%58%58%58%42%47%48%
415337201721201014236294062131Currency14%13%13%16%13%16%14%8%10%18%7%15%11%14%13%
66915545263424271925133670105212Pensions22%22%19%34%20%26%17%21%14%19%16%18%19%23%21%
4683482016162333173021457162178Scotland's relationship15%20%17%16%12%12%16%25%13%23%27%23%20%14%18%with rest of the UK29374191012923141811274237106Scotland's relationship9%9%14%7%8%9%7%17%11%14%13%14%12%8%11%with EU
61597624413320251716193261103196Welfare20%14%27%19%32%25%14%19%13%12%24%16%17%23%19%
2557261212112114131213203454108Defence8%14%9%9%9%9%15%11%10%9%16%10%9%12%11%
414639251820181113147213965125Immigration13%11%14%19%14%15%13%8%10%10%9%10%11%15%12%
354234211416107111715303348112Energy12%10%12%16%11%12%7%6%9%13%18%15%9%11%11%
65622335-2-27917Broadcasting2%1%2%1%1%2%2%4%-1%-1%2%2%2%
567824132016232444135188258157Not stated18%18%8%10%15%12%16%19%33%10%6%9%23%13%16%
Page 15SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 6Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most or Second Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
1755931192462377714810264171332403480Economy49%42%53%52%59%39%53%38%43%25%38%45%51%50%50%48%
312023582412174015112391115131Currency9%14%26%15%19%15%16%8%12%2%7%12%17%14%14%13%
60312508491340671152327146173212Pensions17%22%25%22%19%30%18%20%19%3%22%26%19%22%21%21%
64171441221192552391327126152178Scotland's relationship18%12%18%19%29%13%26%13%15%8%13%14%19%19%19%18%with rest of the UK331513651431233444217495106Scotland's relationship9%11%13%16%12%9%4%6%10%10%6%4%15%11%12%11%with EU
7625248833542748122233122155196Welfare21%18%25%21%21%21%7%21%22%20%17%24%23%18%19%19%
428120519121628-412128192108Defence12%6%18%9%13%12%17%8%8%-6%13%8%12%11%11%
5312127122931487159177895125Immigration15%8%22%12%3%14%12%15%14%17%22%9%12%12%12%12%
3915-25621628415149137184112Energy11%10%-11%16%13%9%14%12%12%20%10%9%11%10%11%
52-613144-12-131317Broadcasting1%1%-3%3%2%1%2%1%-2%3%-2%2%2%
6534-211241250662113161691107157Not stated18%24%-9%3%15%17%25%19%51%19%17%12%14%13%16%
Page 16SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 6Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most or Second Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
25133513711418714916423219186781151179298307279587Economy50%67%46%56%65%69%46%67%63%42%51%64%71%58%68%59%58%58%
10612160477051718274373440424727110117227Currency21%24%20%23%24%23%20%24%24%18%22%22%25%30%18%21%24%23%
164144947095491449768855857404127167142309Pensions33%29%31%34%33%23%40%28%23%41%38%32%24%26%19%32%29%31%
10713861476474738685423244424639135110245Scotland's relationship21%27%20%23%22%34%20%25%28%20%21%24%26%29%27%26%23%24%with rest of the UK6691402738535153532724302222317186157Scotland's relationship13%18%13%13%13%24%14%15%18%13%16%17%14%14%22%14%18%16%with EU
1521401044778628112387463566584542155137292Welfare30%28%35%23%27%29%23%36%29%22%23%36%35%28%29%30%28%29%
8691533260316357574122332427309681177Defence17%18%18%16%21%14%18%16%19%20%14%18%15%17%21%18%17%18%
1317877544929656480313538254238103106209Immigration26%15%26%27%17%13%18%18%26%15%23%21%15%27%26%20%22%21%
1258679465730756571433228374229101110211Energy25%17%26%23%20%14%21%19%23%21%21%16%23%26%20%19%23%21%
915451058106537251131023Broadcasting2%3%1%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%1%3%1%2%2%2%
8276493340368044344733222218168177157Not stated16%15%16%16%14%16%22%13%11%23%21%12%14%11%11%15%16%16%
Page 17SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 7Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most, Second or Third Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
1642411817570678974648959136195255587Economy54%57%64%57%53%51%63%56%49%68%73%69%54%57%58%
641055935313531202433184969109227Currency21%25%21%27%24%27%22%15%18%25%22%25%19%24%23%
9612290613639444027402259105144309Pensions32%29%32%46%27%30%31%31%21%30%28%30%29%32%31%
65111682527223148263729579691245Scotland's relationship21%26%24%19%21%17%22%36%20%28%36%29%27%20%24%with rest of the UK4163531417151726153518495059157Scotland's relationship14%15%19%11%13%11%12%20%12%27%22%25%14%13%16%with EU8710110336554339402328285289150292Welfare29%24%36%27%42%33%27%30%17%22%35%26%25%33%29%
4586462320203125211720336183177Defence15%20%16%18%15%15%22%19%16%13%25%17%17%19%18%
6475703826372925202693470104209Immigration21%18%25%29%20%28%21%19%16%20%11%17%19%23%21%
7367713730332210242925496399211Energy24%16%25%28%23%25%16%8%18%22%31%25%17%22%21%
67102233625-59923Broadcasting2%2%3%1%1%2%2%5%1%4%-3%3%2%2%
567824132016232444135188258157Not stated18%18%8%10%15%12%16%19%33%10%6%9%23%13%16%
Page 18SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 7Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most, Second or Third Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
2176841452683449117814294887409496587Economy60%49%67%63%64%51%62%45%52%34%42%53%62%61%61%58%
66293581535203469392235158193227Currency18%21%45%25%36%22%29%17%20%8%14%24%25%24%24%23%
904238413621659975213338212249309Pensions25%30%55%36%32%38%22%29%28%12%31%36%27%32%31%31%
843115716312633714101838174212245Scotland's relationship23%22%18%25%39%19%37%16%21%10%15%20%27%26%26%24%with rest of the UK591614762072551613727106132157Scotland's relationship16%12%13%21%16%12%10%12%15%14%18%7%19%16%16%16%with EU993927212561453959172742196239292Welfare27%28%25%31%29%34%19%26%28%23%25%29%30%29%30%29%
6323136727202348141824129153177Defence17%16%18%15%18%17%28%12%14%2%6%20%17%19%19%18%
92192436341251817222230128157209Immigration26%14%34%19%15%21%17%26%24%17%33%24%21%19%20%21%
732315211401244768211532135167211Energy20%16%13%23%27%25%16%22%22%19%31%17%23%20%21%21%
62-834146-122171923Broadcasting2%1%-3%6%2%2%2%2%-2%3%2%3%2%2%
6534-211241250662113161691107157Not stated18%24%-9%3%15%17%25%19%51%19%17%12%14%13%16%
Page 19SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 7Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendum: Total Most, Second or Third Most ImportantBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
12619469571088675133112393661726151162158320Most important (+3)25%38%23%28%38%40%21%39%37%19%23%34%44%38%35%31%33%32%
6991363253384761522720322923298278160Second most important14%18%12%16%18%18%13%18%17%13%13%18%17%15%20%16%16%16%(+2)575032242624433727202222169186443107Third most important (+1)11%10%11%12%9%11%12%11%9%10%14%12%10%6%13%12%9%11%
1.131.621.031.281.591.651.001.621.540.921.111.491.761.501.581.361.391.38Average
Page 20SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 8Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Economy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
841399733393955313755328292146320Most important (+3)27%33%34%25%29%29%39%23%28%42%40%41%25%32%32%
5059512119172428152115326166160Second most important16%14%18%16%14%13%17%21%12%16%18%16%17%15%16%(+2)3143332012111115121312224243107Third most important (+1)10%10%12%16%9%9%7%12%9%10%15%11%12%10%11%
1.251.371.511.231.261.231.581.241.161.691.711.681.221.371.38Average
Page 21SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 8Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Economy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
12241276144223531054192953215267320Most important (+3)34%29%34%33%34%26%32%26%31%11%28%31%37%32%33%32%
53181431020152443671218117135160Second most important15%13%19%19%24%13%21%12%13%14%10%13%13%18%17%16%(+2)41912622171430437167793107Third most important (+1)11%7%14%11%5%13%9%7%9%10%4%8%11%12%12%11%
1.431.201.541.481.571.161.481.101.260.701.081.291.501.431.441.38Average
Page 22SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 8Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Economy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
2718141212712161784124125182645Most important (+3)5%4%5%6%4%3%3%5%5%4%3%7%2%7%3%4%5%4%
41462120262028302812161219208424587Second most important8%9%7%10%9%9%8%9%9%6%10%7%11%12%5%8%9%9%(+2)
395625153324303629161417191614504696Third most important (+1)8%11%8%7%11%11%8%11%10%8%9%9%12%10%9%10%9%9%
0.400.400.360.450.410.390.350.420.440.320.380.420.420.570.310.360.440.40Average
Page 23SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 9Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Currency in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
15161411751132326142545Most important (+3)5%4%5%8%5%4%8%3%2%3%3%3%4%6%4%
2736231010161061120424253887Second most important9%9%8%7%8%12%7%5%9%15%5%12%7%8%9%(+2)
22522215151411101091219304696Third most important (+1)7%12%8%11%11%11%7%8%8%7%14%10%8%10%9%
0.390.410.390.510.420.470.440.250.310.450.320.420.340.440.40Average
Page 24SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 9Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Currency in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
86114*107613--67323945Most important (+3)2%4%11%6%1%6%10%3%4%--6%5%5%5%4%
23141227145112715516597587Second most important7%10%15%9%18%9%7%6%8%2%7%6%11%9%9%9%(+2)
35912371191829341111677896Third most important (+1)10%7%19%10%17%7%13%9%9%6%6%12%8%10%10%9%
0.290.400.820.470.570.420.550.280.360.100.210.420.460.420.430.40Average
Page 25SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 9Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Currency in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
68484127351371301546252010786749116Most important (+3)13%10%13%13%12%6%20%9%5%22%16%11%6%4%5%13%10%11%
514529213214432924261719101114494796Second most important10%9%10%11%11%6%12%8%8%12%11%10%6%7%9%9%10%10%(+2)46512421292229382914161819246504696Third most important (+1)9%10%8%11%10%10%8%11%10%7%10%10%12%15%4%10%10%10%
0.690.570.680.720.690.410.910.540.400.990.820.640.420.420.390.670.590.63Average
Page 26SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 10Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Pensions in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
4244302282591613156204451116Most important (+3)14%10%11%17%6%19%7%13%10%12%8%10%12%11%11%
244725231791510610716265496Second most important8%11%9%18%13%7%10%8%4%7%8%8%7%12%10%(+2)
3131351610519139151023353996Third most important (+1)10%7%12%12%7%4%14%10%7%11%12%12%10%9%10%
0.670.610.620.980.530.750.550.640.450.610.510.590.610.670.63Average
Page 27SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 10Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Pensions in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
291812543082033-713128395116Most important (+3)8%13%14%11%10%19%11%10%10%-11%14%9%12%12%11%
311312531951934171015627796Second most important9%9%11%11%8%12%7%9%10%3%11%11%11%9%10%10%(+2)
301023451231930461011667796Third most important (+1)8%7%30%15%13%8%4%10%9%9%9%11%8%10%10%10%
0.500.650.940.690.610.870.510.590.570.150.630.760.550.660.640.63Average
Page 28SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 10Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Pensions in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
405421202628333129211220111614484694Most important (+3)8%11%7%10%9%13%9%9%10%10%8%11%7%10%10%9%9%9%
394520192223213429111014191811503484Second most important8%9%7%9%8%11%6%10%10%5%7%8%12%11%8%10%7%8%(+2)
2839208162319212710109121314373067Third most important (+1)6%8%7%4%6%11%5%6%9%5%6%5%7%8%10%7%6%7%
0.450.580.400.510.480.700.450.530.570.460.430.540.510.600.540.540.490.51Average
Page 29SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 11Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with rest of the UK in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
225121147511238161025462494Most important (+3)7%12%7%10%6%4%8%18%6%12%13%12%13%5%9%
2532277911121010151121253884Second most important8%8%10%5%7%9%8%8%7%11%14%10%7%8%8%(+2)
192820511681496812262967Third most important (+1)6%7%7%4%9%4%6%11%7%5%9%6%7%7%7%
0.440.580.490.450.390.330.460.800.390.630.750.640.590.390.51Average
Page 30SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 11Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with rest of the UK in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
317119812161023-6413718494Most important (+3)9%5%13%8%19%7%23%5%7%-9%4%10%11%10%9%
3410*25493162933913556884Second most important9%7%5%11%10%5%4%8%8%8%4%10%9%8%8%8%(+2)
1914-13410781911512485967Third most important (+1)5%10%-6%10%6%10%4%6%2%2%6%8%7%7%7%
0.500.400.490.520.860.390.860.340.430.180.370.380.560.560.560.51Average
Page 31SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 11Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with rest of the UK in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
252315109131513207894316202747Most important (+3)5%4%5%5%3%6%4%4%7%3%5%5%2%2%11%4%6%5%
223714810261924179101310710243559Second most important4%7%5%4%4%12%5%7%6%4%6%7%6%4%7%5%7%6%(+2)
2031119181318161711788124262451Third most important (+1)4%6%4%4%6%6%5%5%5%5%4%4%5%8%3%5%5%5%
0.270.340.280.270.230.490.280.290.360.240.330.340.240.220.510.260.360.31Average
Page 32SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 12Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with EU in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
121917565399559211747Most important (+3)4%4%6%4%5%4%2%7%7%4%7%5%6%4%5%
171824446614614517212059Second most important6%4%8%3%3%5%4%11%4%10%7%9%6%5%6%(+2)
1226135747311772272151Third most important (+1)4%6%4%4%5%3%5%2%1%13%9%11%2%5%5%
0.270.280.390.220.250.240.210.440.290.440.420.430.310.250.31Average
Page 33SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 12Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with EU in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
175-1537171842-11304147Most important (+3)5%3%-7%8%4%1%3%5%10%3%-8%4%5%5%
1710121172515-1410445459Second most important5%7%13%9%3%5%3%3%4%-2%4%7%7%7%6%(+2)
261-1126513191936323851Third most important (+1)7%1%-5%4%4%6%6%6%4%13%3%4%5%5%5%
0.300.260.260.430.350.250.150.210.300.350.270.110.420.310.330.31Average
Page 34SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 12Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Scotland's relationship with EU in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
5131381317141939258112217178493382Most important (+3)10%6%13%6%6%6%5%11%8%4%7%12%10%11%5%9%7%8%
5955431630253547312313242316155064114Second most important12%11%14%8%11%11%10%14%10%11%8%13%14%10%10%10%13%11%(+2)425324183023273732161120181219563996Third most important (+1)8%11%8%9%10%11%7%11%10%8%7%11%11%8%13%11%8%9%
0.620.510.740.440.500.530.430.720.550.410.450.740.700.590.510.580.550.57Average
Page 35SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 13Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Welfare in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
26203612261110836611195282Most important (+3)9%5%13%9%20%9%7%6%2%5%7%6%5%12%8%
3538411215221017141014214251114Second most important11%9%14%9%12%17%7%13%11%8%17%11%12%11%11%(+2)2642271114101815612920284796Third most important (+1)9%10%10%9%11%8%13%11%5%9%11%10%8%10%9%
0.580.430.760.550.940.660.490.560.320.390.660.480.470.680.57Average
Page 36SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 13Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Welfare in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
3261254131192836109546382Most important (+3)9%5%9%11%11%8%2%9%8%7%9%11%7%8%8%8%
4418123420323465512236891114Second most important12%13%16%10%10%13%5%11%14%13%8%13%17%10%11%11%(+2)2314-234229112115510758496Third most important (+1)6%10%-10%9%14%13%6%6%2%8%5%7%11%10%9%
0.570.500.590.630.610.630.270.560.580.510.510.630.600.560.570.57Average
Page 37SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 13Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Welfare in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
232413918624101211135539242246Most important (+3)4%5%4%4%6%3%7%3%4%6%9%3%3%2%6%5%5%5%
283418102311212318156158126352762Second most important6%7%6%5%8%5%6%7%6%7%4%8%5%8%4%7%6%6%(+2)
35332213191418242614313121214373269Third most important (+1)7%7%7%7%7%7%5%7%9%7%2%7%7%8%10%7%7%7%
0.310.340.330.300.420.250.370.290.330.380.350.320.250.290.370.340.310.33Average
Page 38SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 14Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Defence in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
102115648847547142646Most important (+3)3%5%5%4%3%6%6%3%5%4%5%4%4%6%5%
153611784131067814202862Second most important5%9%4%5%6%3%9%7%4%5%10%7%6%6%6%(+2)
2029201179101195712272969Third most important (+1)6%7%7%8%6%7%7%8%7%4%9%6%8%6%7%
0.260.390.310.310.280.300.430.330.310.250.450.300.300.360.33Average
Page 39SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 14Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Defence in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
195*12281610-254364046Most important (+3)5%3%4%5%4%5%1%3%3%-2%5%3%5%5%5%
2331931112917-278445262Second most important6%2%13%4%8%7%16%5%5%-3%8%6%7%6%6%(+2)
2115-152887201-613486169Third most important (+1)6%11%-7%5%5%11%4%6%2%-7%9%7%8%7%
0.350.250.400.290.340.340.470.230.250.020.140.390.280.370.350.33Average
Page 40SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 14Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Defence in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
40182713711151528785101513312758Most important (+3)8%4%9%6%2%5%4%4%9%3%5%3%6%9%9%6%5%6%
452228181572316281112971414373067Second most important9%4%9%9%5%3%6%5%9%5%8%5%4%9%10%7%6%7%(+2)
46372224271027332413142491310354983Third most important (+1)9%7%7%12%9%5%8%10%8%6%9%13%5%9%7%7%10%8%
0.510.270.530.480.270.270.330.320.540.270.410.320.320.540.540.390.390.39Average
Page 41SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 15Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Immigration in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
26151787109679312163058Most important (+3)8%4%6%6%5%8%6%4%5%7%4%6%5%7%6%
1531221711101056549233667Second most important5%7%8%13%8%7%7%4%5%4%5%5%6%8%7%(+2)
232931138171114812213313983Third most important (+1)8%7%11%10%6%13%8%11%6%9%2%7%9%9%8%
0.430.320.450.540.390.510.400.310.300.370.240.340.350.440.39Average
Page 42SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 15Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Immigration in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
268113181172867411314158Most important (+3)7%6%15%6%3%5%1%8%8%13%10%5%8%5%5%6%
274*14-15814202847475467Second most important8%3%7%6%-9%11%7%6%4%11%5%5%7%7%7%(+2)
39711751232133-71412506283Third most important (+1)11%5%11%7%12%7%5%10%10%-11%15%9%8%8%8%
0.480.280.710.360.200.400.310.490.460.480.650.380.410.350.360.39Average
Page 43SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 15Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Immigration in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
221215784141281133853181634Most important (+3)4%2%5%3%3%2%4%3%3%5%2%2%5%3%2%3%3%3%
443426182311272327141311121710433578Second most important9%7%9%9%8%5%8%7%9%7%8%6%7%11%7%8%7%8%(+2)
604038212515333036181514172016405999Third most important (+1)12%8%13%10%9%7%9%9%12%9%10%8%10%12%11%8%12%10%
0.420.290.440.380.340.220.360.320.380.390.330.250.400.430.320.340.370.35Average
Page 44SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 16Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Energy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
915966622337891734Most important (+3)3%4%3%5%4%4%2%1%2%2%8%4%2%4%3%
2627251591075914823243178Second most important8%6%9%11%7%8%5%4%7%11%10%11%7%7%8%(+2)
38253616161713312121019305199Third most important (+1)13%6%13%12%12%13%9%2%9%9%12%9%8%11%10%
0.390.300.400.490.390.410.240.150.290.380.570.440.290.370.35Average
Page 45SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 16Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Energy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
98-727110143434202434Most important (+3)2%6%-3%6%4%1%5%4%7%6%3%3%3%3%3%
316-184145182721069516078Second most important8%4%-8%10%9%7%9%8%5%15%6%6%8%7%8%(+2)
3481275195173637619648399Third most important (+1)10%6%13%12%11%12%8%8%10%7%11%7%13%10%10%10%
0.340.330.130.360.480.420.270.410.380.380.570.300.350.340.340.35Average
Page 46SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 16Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Energy in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
36-36-1351-2131538Most important (+3)1%1%-1%2%-*1%1%*-1%1%2%1%1%1%1%
44323136-2151--548Second most important1%1%1%1%1%*1%2%-1%1%3%1%--1%1%1%(+2)151-14411321-1-347Third most important (+1)*1%*-*2%1%**1%1%1%-1%-1%1%1%
0.040.060.020.060.080.030.030.060.050.040.030.080.040.070.030.050.040.05Average
Page 47SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 17Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Broadcasting in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
423112-4-1-1448Most important (+3)1%*1%1%1%1%-3%-1%-*1%1%1%
33311131-1-1358Second most important1%1%1%*1%1%2%1%-1%-*1%1%1%(+2)-34----124-43-7Third most important (+1)-1%1%----1%1%3%-2%1%-1%
0.050.030.070.040.040.060.050.110.010.060.000.040.050.050.05Average
Page 48SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 17Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Broadcasting in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
32-3-1-44-12-558Most important (+3)1%1%-1%-1%-2%1%-2%3%-1%1%1%
2--3121------888Second most important1%--1%3%1%1%------1%1%1%(+2)1--2211-2---2477Third most important (+1)*--1%4%1%1%-1%---2%1%1%1%
0.040.030.000.070.090.040.030.060.040.000.060.080.020.050.050.05Average
Page 49SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 17Q2a-Q2c. Summary Table: Importance of Broadcasting in deciding how you might vote in the referendum.BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
Scotland'sScotland'srelationshiprelationshipwith rest of
BroadcastingEnergyImmigrationDefenceWelfarewith EUthe UKPensionsCurrencyEconomy1008100810081008100810081008100810081008Unweighted base1008100810081008100810081008100810081008Weighted base
834584682479411645320Most important (+3)1%3%6%5%8%5%9%11%4%32%
878676211459849687160Second most important1%8%7%6%11%6%8%10%9%16%(+2)79983699651679696107Third most important (+1)1%10%8%7%9%5%7%10%9%11%
0.050.350.390.330.570.310.510.630.401.38Average
Page 50SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 18Q2a-Q2c. Summary table: Importance of topics in deciding how you might vote in the referendumBASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
37543221416124518731628420817913715313111097415392807Any certain / very likely74%86%71%79%86%86%88%82%68%87%89%85%80%70%67%79%81%80%(Net)
3043631671362021612842331501591251281058169347320667Certain to vote60%72%56%67%71%74%79%68%49%77%82%71%64%51%47%66%66%66%
7169462443273251582012252629296972140Very likely to vote14%14%15%12%15%12%9%15%19%10%8%14%16%19%20%13%15%14%
5933372225819254710915102720573592Quite likely to vote12%7%12%11%9%4%5%7%16%5%6%8%6%17%14%11%7%9%
492035141271920291176141316383168Not very likely to vote10%4%11%7%4%3%5%6%10%5%5%3%9%8%11%7%6%7%
2318167414615196-79811142741Certain not to vote4%4%5%3%1%7%2%4%6%3%-4%5%5%8%3%6%4%
Page 51SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 19Q3. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
1983492601011091071211011079863149283375807Any certain / very likely65%83%92%77%83%82%86%77%82%74%78%76%78%84%80%(Net)
148293225781009110384797954123221323667Certain to vote49%70%80%59%76%69%73%64%60%60%67%62%61%72%66%
505635231017181728199276252140Very likely to vote16%13%12%17%7%13%13%13%22%14%11%14%17%12%14%
50291211151410131012918314392Quite likely to vote16%7%4%8%11%10%7%10%7%9%11%9%9%9%9%
362671367107613719232668Not very likely to vote12%6%2%10%4%6%7%5%4%10%8%10%6%6%7%
211647121109921124641Certain not to vote7%4%1%5%1%2%1%8%7%7%3%6%7%1%4%
Page 52SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 19Q3. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
22410762183814469-140---140667807807Any certain / very likely62%77%100%95%95%89%97%-41%---100%100%100%80%(Net)
1588252003312763------667667667Certain to vote44%59%79%87%82%79%90%------100%83%66%
67261185175-140---140-140140Very likely to vote19%19%21%8%13%11%8%-41%---100%-17%14%
5421-511019292--92---92Quite likely to vote15%15%-2%2%6%1%46%27%--100%---9%
479-61416868-68----68Not very likely to vote13%7%-3%2%2%1%34%20%-100%----7%
352-1-4-414141-----41Certain not to vote10%1%-*-2%-20%12%100%-----4%
Page 53SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 19Q3. How likely do you think you are to vote in the referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
SEGSEGAGESEXC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB55+35-5416-3465+55-6445-5435-4425-3416-24FemaleMaleTotal517491310207291200481296231320161150146140915474611008Unweighted base5055033012042862173603453032071531801641581455244841008Weighted base
208153135738963631131852934526083101179181360Did not vote41%30%45%36%31%29%18%33%61%14%22%29%37%53%70%34%37%36%
215061526243625102610151064343670Conservative4%10%2%7%9%11%10%7%3%13%7%8%6%3%3%7%7%7%
9566504641248452255232272514119170161Labour19%13%16%22%14%11%23%15%8%25%21%15%15%9%7%17%14%16%
931271517191651188841192140Liberal Democrat2%6%1%3%5%8%5%5%2%5%5%4%5%2%1%4%4%4%
96135603676591039334535054402311107124231S.N.P.19%27%20%18%27%27%29%27%11%26%33%30%24%15%8%20%26%23%
33212132113111-336Other candidate or party1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%**2%1%*1%-1%1%1%
7366462737285144443417242027179148139Can't remember15%13%15%13%13%13%14%13%15%16%11%13%12%17%12%17%10%14%
Page 54SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 20Q4. The last Scottish Parliament election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
REFERENDUM VOTINGINTENTIONAREAAREA
Don'tMid &NorthEast/knowNoYesSouthWestGlasgowCentralLothiansFifeEastH&INorthSouthWestTotal2914552621581121271261021231451152413344331008Unweighted base304421283131131131141131131131811983614491008Weighted base
13214286545148493845443069126166360Did not vote44%34%30%41%39%37%35%29%35%34%37%35%35%37%36%
76031153618518524311670Conservative2%14%1%9%4%2%4%13%3%14%7%12%9%4%7%
379826191939281723133165294161Labour12%23%9%15%15%29%20%13%18%10%4%8%14%21%16%
62953543947512151340Liberal Democrat2%7%2%2%4%3%2%7%3%5%6%6%4%3%4%
623113825282338313033235279100231S.N.P.20%7%49%19%21%18%27%24%23%25%29%26%22%22%23%
2211*111-112236Other candidate or party1%1%1%1%***1%-1%1%1%*1%1%
5759231722141718241413245758139Can't remember19%14%8%13%17%11%12%13%18%11%16%12%16%13%14%
Page 55SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 20Q4. The last Scottish Parliament election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014
VOTE IN 2011LIKELIHOOD OF VOTINGNot
certain /NotCertaiCertai
DidCan'tverycertain notNotn/verynotremembLibConserlikelyntoveryQuiteVeryCertailikelyvoteerOtherSNPDemLabourvative(Net)(Net)votelikelylikelylikelyn(Net)Total2701171422058253761753053361811307038331008Unweighted base360139623140161702013414168921406678071008Weighted base
360------13620335475467158224360Did not vote100%------68%59%85%70%58%48%24%28%36%
------7027-115636970Conservative------100%1%2%-1%1%4%9%9%7%
-----161-1735441017127144161Labour-----100%-9%10%9%5%11%12%19%18%16%
----40--27-115333840Liberal Democrat----100%--1%2%-1%1%4%5%5%4%
---231---123116518200218231S.N.P.---100%---6%9%3%9%6%13%30%27%23%
--6-----1---1566Other candidate or party--100%-----*---1%1%1%1%
-139-----325829212682107139Can't remember-100%-----16%17%4%14%23%18%12%13%14%
Page 56SCOTTISH OPINION SURVEY - INDEPENDENCE : Early January 2014 : JN114901
Table 20Q4. The last Scottish Parliament election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election?BASE: All adults aged 16+ in Scotland
Prepared by TNS UKFieldwork : 3rd January 2014 - 10th January 2014