Carlos N - CIAT Experience In Climate Modeling; Scenarios of future climate change
Policy Modeling on Climate Change
description
Transcript of Policy Modeling on Climate Change
Jing WuInstitute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences
CHINA US JAPAN EU ROW
GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM
EMISSION TEMPERATURE
FSU
GDP SPILLOVERS
Modules:
Macro-economy
Climate system
GDP Spillovers
Technological Change
Stern Scheme
122-sector based
Policy options:◦ carbon tax◦ carbon tariff◦ Energy substitution
Carbon tax
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
20元/ 吨Con20元/ 吨Pro
50元/ 吨Con50元/ 吨Pro
100元/ 吨Con100元/ 吨Pro 情景
scenar i os
减排
量(
万吨
)Ab
atem
ent(
Mtc)
Abatement减排量
-1.00%
-0.50%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%20 / Con
元 吨20 / Pro
元 吨50 / Con
元 吨50 / Pro
元 吨100 / Con
元 吨100 / Pro
元 吨
变动
率variation
投资( i nvestment)
资本存量(capi talstock)
劳动需求( l abordemand)
存货( i nventori es)
企业收入(enterpri sei ncome)
企业储蓄(enterpri sesavi ngs)
marco and micro modeling
CGE modeling
Provincial policy assessment
…
Thanks !Questions?
Jing Wu, assistant [email protected]