Policy Modeling on Climate Change

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Jing Wu Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences

description

Policy Modeling on Climate Change. Jing Wu Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Introduction on LRICES. GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM. EMISSION. TEMPERATURE. Modules: Macro-economy Climate system GDP Spillovers Technological Change. GDP SPILLOVERS. CHINA. US. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Policy Modeling on Climate Change

Page 1: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

Jing WuInstitute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Page 2: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

CHINA US JAPAN EU ROW

GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM

EMISSION TEMPERATURE

FSU

GDP SPILLOVERS

Modules:

Macro-economy

Climate system

GDP Spillovers

Technological Change

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Stern Scheme

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122-sector based

Policy options:◦ carbon tax◦ carbon tariff◦ Energy substitution

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Carbon tax

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

20元/ 吨Con20元/ 吨Pro

50元/ 吨Con50元/ 吨Pro

100元/ 吨Con100元/ 吨Pro 情景

scenar i os

减排

量(

万吨

)Ab

atem

ent(

Mtc)

Abatement减排量

-1.00%

-0.50%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%20 / Con

元 吨20 / Pro

元 吨50 / Con

元 吨50 / Pro

元 吨100 / Con

元 吨100 / Pro

元 吨

变动

率variation

投资( i nvestment)

资本存量(capi talstock)

劳动需求( l abordemand)

存货( i nventori es)

企业收入(enterpri sei ncome)

企业储蓄(enterpri sesavi ngs)

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marco and micro modeling

CGE modeling

Provincial policy assessment

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Thanks !Questions?

Jing Wu, assistant [email protected]