POLICY AND PROGRAM ON COAL FIRE POWER … 3...MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES Ministry of...
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MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources
POLICY AND PROGRAM ON COAL FIRE POWER PLANT
CLEAN COAL DAY INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM 2015, JAPAN
Tokyo, September 8th – 9th , 2015
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
OUTLINE
1. Government Policy2. Current Condition3. Future Plan4. Clean Coal Technology Roadmap
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
GOVERNMENT POLICY ON POWER SECTOR(Based on Law No. 30 Year 2009 on Electricity)
Objective of Electricity Development
To ensure the availability of electricity in sufficient quantity, good quality andreasonable price in order to improve the welfare of the people.
Utilization of Primary Energy Source Primary energy sources from domestic and overseas shall be used optimally
in accordance with National Energy Policy to ensure a sustainable supply ofelectricity.
Utilization of domestic energy sources will be prioritized for national interests.
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES 4
CURRENT CONDITION
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
AT PERIODS 2015-2019 ELECTRICITY DEVELOPMENT TO FULFILL THE ELECTRICITY GROWTH 8.7% AND ELECTRIFICATION RATIO AROUND 97.4% AT 2019 1)
Currently the installed capacity is only able to fulfill the electricity demand by 86.39%, lower than Singapura (100,0%), Brunei (99,7%), Thailand (99,3%), Malaysia (99,0%), Vietnam(98,0%)
In the next 5 years, demand for electricity will grow by an average of 8.7% per year, with a target of electrification ratio amounted to 97.4% at year end 2019
Others factor potentially to be obstacle on the 35 GW program:1. The changes in assumptions 2. The realization of electricity demand
Electrificat ion Target 2)
Electrificat ion Ratio and Capacity
To fulfill electricity growth demand
and electrification ratio target,
additional capacity around 35 GW is needed ( except 7.4 GW on going project) period
2015-2019
35.000 GW
PROGRAM
87.35%90.15%
92.75%95.15%
97.35%
80
85
90
95
100
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Current Condition Unit Total
Electri-ficat ion
Ratio% 86,39
Installed Capacity MW 53.535
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Aceh92,31%
Sumut91,03%
Sumbar80,14%
Riau 84,54%
Sumsel76,38%
Bengkulu83,47%
Babel95,53%
Lampung81,27%
Jakarta99,61%
Banten92,93%
Jabar86,04%
Jateng88,04%
Jambi80,70%
DIY82,26%
Jatim83,55%
Bali85,17%
NTT58,91%
Kalbar79,77%
Kalsel83,75%
Kaltim91,71%
Sulut85,53%
Sulteng75,58%
Sulsel85,05%
Malut90,52%
Maluku82,22%
Papua43,46%
Category :
> 70 %
50 - 70 %
< 50 %
Sulbar74,11%
Kepri74,06%
Sultra66,78%
Papua Barat77,81%
Kalteng67,23%
NTB68,05%
Gorontalo74,65%
REALIZATION TARGET ACCORDING TO DRAFT RUKN2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
67.15% 72.95% 76.56% 80.51% 84.35% 87.35% 90.15% 92.75% 95.15% 97.35%
Kaltara69,64%
ELECTRIFICATION RATIO 2014
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES7
ENERGY MIX OF POWER GENERATION 2009 – 2015
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
APBN RAPBN-P
Oil*) 25% 22% 22,95% 14,97% 12,54% 11,49% 8,53% 8,85%
Gas 25% 25% 21,00% 23,41% 23,56% 24,07% 23,21% 23,15%
Coal 39% 38% 44,06% 50,27% 51,58% 52,87% 57,33% 57,03%
Hydro 8% 12% 6,80% 6,39% 7,73% 6,70% 6,13% 6,51%
Geothermal 3% 3% 5,13% 4,85% 4,42% 4,44% 4,74% 4,32%
Renewable, and others 0% 0% 0,07% 0,11% 0,16% 0,43% 0,06% 0,14%*) 20% Including mandatory biodiesel
% Electricity Production , Gwh
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
FUTURE PLAN
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Target 2025
Coal, 52.87%Gas, 24.07%
Oil, 11.49%
Hydro, 6.70%Geothermal,
4.40%Other NRE,
0.43%
Realization 2014
Coal, 30%
Gas, 22%NRE, 23%
Oil, 25%
Coal, 50%
Gas, 24%
NRE, 25%
Oil, 1%
Target 2025
Realization 2013
FINAL ENERGY MIX(National Energy Policy, Govt. Reg No.79/2014)
ENERGY MIX OF POWER GENERATION(General Planning of National Electricity – RUKN Draft 2015-2034)
ENERGY MIX
Coal, 30%
Gas, 23%
Oil, 41%
NRE, 6%
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Source: RUPTL PLN 2015-2024
SUMATERA11,6%
31Twh
83Twh
JAWA - BALI7,8%
165Twh
324Twh
KALIMANTAN10,4%
SULAW ESI12,4%
MALUKU10,3%
PAPUA9,4%
INDONESIA TIMUR11,1%
INDONESIA8,7%
2015 2024
219Twh
464Twh
NUSA TENGGARA9,6%
23Twh
57Twh
Tahun 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Demand (TWh) 202 219 239 260 283 307 332 361 392 427 464
Electrification Ratio(PLN & Non PLN) 84.35 87.35 90,15 92,75 95,15 97,35 99,35 99,99 99,99 99,99 99,99
Electrification Ratio (PLN) 84.1 87.5 91.0 93.4 95.4 97.2 98.3 98.8 99.1 99.2 99.4
PROJECTION OF ELECTRICITY DEMAND 2015-2024
10
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
PROJECTION OF ADDITIONAL ELECTRICITY DEMAND 2015-2034
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034Additional of Non PLN System 2 4 6 8 11 14 17 20 23 27 32 34 37 39 41 44 46 49 52 55Additional of IPP & Excess Power 12 28 45 64 86 110 137 166 197 233 272 299 326 354 382 412 443 476 511 547Additional of PLN 4 9 15 21 29 37 46 55 66 78 91 100 109 118 127 137 148 159 170 182Additional of PLN System 16 37 60 86 115 147 182 221 263 310 363 398 435 472 510 550 591 635 681 730Total Additional (based on 2014) 18 41 66 94 126 161 199 241 287 338 395 433 471 511 551 593 637 684 733 784
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
TWh
PPU &Non-oil Captive Power
IPP &EXCESSPOWER
PLN
PLNBusinessArea
75%
25%
90%
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES 12
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES OF 35,000 MW PROGRAM*
732 transmissions(75.000 set tower)
1.375 units Substation
301.300 km aluminum conductor2.600 set transformer 3,5 million tons steel
291 power plants
LaborDirect : 650 Thousand
In Direct : 3 Million
Local Content~40% of Investment(~29,2 Million USD)
Investment : 72.942 Million USD**
* Prediction** not include the funding requirements for land, Interest During Construction (IDC) and taxes
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
35.500 MW + 7.400 MW ELECTRICITY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM (2015 – 2019)
CFPP, 25,839
GeoPP, 1,160
CCPP, 9,165
GTPP/GEPP, 4,288
MHEPP, 737 HEPP, 634 PS, 1,040
Others, 81
3,793 4,213
6,379
9,238
19,319
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PLT Lain
PS
PLTA
PLTM
PLTG/MG
PLTGU
PLTP
PLTU
TOTAL
GeoPP
CCPP
GTPP/GEPP
MHEPP
HEPP
Plans COD per Year Additional Plans Capacity per Plant Type
Total additional capacity 2015 up to 2019 is about 42,9 GW :−7,4 GW on construction progress;−35,5 GW planning.
Others
PS
CFPP
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
DISTRIBUTION OF GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, SUBSTATION, AND FUNDING NEEDS
Jawa-Bali I Million USD
14.090 MW 33 Gen* 13.313
6.865 KMS 234 Trans 5.942 41.841 MVA 420 Subs 4.502
Jawa-Bali II Million USD
9.773 MW 15 Gen* 11.297
4.320 KMS 115 Trans 2.58824.242 MVA 252 Subs 1.754
Kalimantan Million USD
2.852 MW 39 Gen 5.007 7.883 KMS 68 Trans 3.881 3.910 MVA 115 Subs 520
Maluku & Papua Million USD
739 MW 43 Gen 1.276 1.017 KMS 14 Trans 504 770 MVA 25 Subs 103
Sulawesi & Nusa Tenggara
Million USD
4.159 MW 85 Gen 6.443 7.207 KMS 90 Trans 3.691 5.620 MVA 165 Subs 693
*Including Jawa Bali distributed Minihydro Generation
Sumatera Million USD
11.327 MW 77 Gen 14.63119.305 KMS 210 Trans 10.59632.406 MVA 398 Subs 3.152
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
PROGRESS OF ON GOING PROJECTS (7,000 MW)
Progress based on location
Location0-25% 25-50% 50-75% 75-100%
Total MW
TotalProjectsCap.
(MW)Sum ofProjects
Cap.(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Cap.(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Cap(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Sumatera 660 4 431 3 200 1 1.295 9 2.586 17Jawa-Bali 65 3 30 1 643 2 2.234 6 2.972 12Kalimantan 66 3 70 3 324 6 521 6 981 18Sulawesi &Nusa Tenggara 481 10 80 2 85 6 108 8 754 26
Maluku & Papua 28 1 36 2 54 3 118 6Total 1.272 20 639 10 1.288 17 4.212 32 7.411 79
PLN4.193
50 Projects
57%
IPP3.218
29 Projects
43%
Progress based on developer
Owner0-25% 25-50% 50-75% 75-100% Total
MWTotal
ProjectsCap.(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Cap.(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Cap.(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Cap.(MW)
Sum ofProjects
PLN 835 10 172 4 615 14 2.571 22 4.193 50
IPP 437 10 467 6 673 3 1.641 10 3.218 29
Total 1.272 20 639 10 1.288 17 4.212 32 7.411 79
On going projects (7,000 MW) consist of FTP 1, FTP 2, and regular projects. Grouping reflects progress of the projects
Developer
Total projects are estimated COD on 2015: 23 projects (3,481 MW)
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES16
PROGRESS OF ON GOING PROJECTS (35.000 MW)
Progress based on Location
LocationPlan Procurement Construction TOTAL
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Sumatera 909 17 6.370 36 1.462 6 8.741 59Jawa-Bali 1.150 2 17.494 24 2.247 11 20.891 37
Kalimantan 335 6 1.036 13 500 3 1.871 22Sulawesi & Nusa
Tenggara 751 14 2.242 35 413 8 3.406 57
Maluku & Papua 45 5 470 26 105 6 620 37
Total 3.190 44 27.612 134 4.727 34 35.529 212
Progress based on developer
OwnerPlan Procurement Construction TOTAL
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MW)
Sum ofProjects
PLN 2.906 29 6.909 68 130 5 9.945 102IPP 284 15 20.703 66 4.597 29 25.584 110Total 3.190 44 27.612 134 4.727 34 35.529 212PLN
9.945 MW102 Projects
28%
IPP25.584 MW110 Projects
72%
Developer(MW)
Program 35.000 MW Including Minihydro and Microhydro Power Plant.Until 2015, planned for signed EPC contract or Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)for 48 project equivalent 21.589 MW
Source: PLN, June 2015
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES17
PROGRESS OF TRANSMISSIONS PROJECT 46.597 KMC
Progress based on Location
LocationPlan Procurement Construction TOTAL
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Sumatera 10.612 123 1.115 11 7.578 76 19.305 210Jawa-Bali 6.831 219 944 39 3.410 91 11.185 349
Kalimantan 3.242 32 1.308 12 3.333 24 7.883 68Sulawesi & Nusa
Tenggara 3.757 51 535 7 2.915 32 7.207 90
Maluku & Papua 713 9 0 0 304 6 1.017 15
Total 25.155 434 3.902 69 17.540 229 46.597 732
Progress based on developer
OwnerPlan Procurement Construction TOTAL
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(kmc)
Sum ofProjects
PLN 22.564 402 3.838 67 16.882 219 43.284 688IPP 2.591 32 64 2 658 10 3.313 44
Total 25.155 434 3.902 69 17.540 229 46.597 732
PLN43.284 kmc688 Projects
93%
IPP3.313 kmc44 Projects
7%
Developer(kmc)
Source: PLN, June 2015
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES18
PROGRESS OF SUBSTATION PROJECT 108.789 MVA
Progress based on Location
LocationPlan Procurement Construction TOTAL
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Sumatera 18.770 222 2.936 49 10.700 127 32.406 398Jawa-Bali 42.892 386 6.697 95 16.494 191 66.083 672Kalimantan 2.870 83 300 6 740 26 3.910 115Sulawesi & Nusa Tenggara 4.150 110 630 18 840 37 5.620 165
Maluku & Papua 670 20 0 0 100 5 770 25
Total 69.352 821 10.563 168 28.874 386 108.789 1.375
Progress based on developer
OwnerPlan Procurement Construction TOTAL
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
Capacity(MVA)
Sum ofProjects
PLN 64.492 805 10.563 167 28.784 382 103.839 1.354IPP 4.860 16 0 1 90 4 4.950 21Total 69.352 821 10.563 168 28.874 386 108.789 1.375
PLN103.839 MVA
1.354 Projects95%
IPP4.950 MVA21 Projects
5%
Developer(MVA)
Source: PLN, June 2015
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
19
19
CO2 EMISSION REDUCTION – CLEAN COAL TECHNOLOGY
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
BACKGROUND
To meet the rapidly growing demand and address supplyshortage, coal-based generation provides a quick andlow-cost solution in Indonesia.
Coal-based generation contributes to increased CO2
emissions. GoI is keen on reducing greenhouse gas emissions while
keeping expanding power production and enhancingenergy security.
CCT offers a potential solution to GoI’s dual goal withrespect to power sector development/energy security andenvironmental sustainability
2
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Indonesia power sector CO2 emissions is projected to double in the period of 2015-24 primarily due to growth in coal-fired generation
Indonesia Power Sector CO2 Emissions (2015-2024)
201 million tCO2(2015)
Source:RUPTL 2015-20243
383 million tCO2(2024)
CO2 EMISSION
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Rational for USC/IGCC introduction in Indonesia
Alignment with Indonesia’s Policy
Economic validity
Is it possible to use low rank coal (LRC) ?→ Yes, LRC can be utilized Does it contribute to GHG emission reduction ?→ Yes, GHG emission amount will be reduced
Is USC & IGCC readily available ?→ USC: readily available, IGCC: available in 2020 When can it be introduced in Indonesia?→ USC: 2017, IGCC: 2025
Is it economically viable ?→ Yes, Generation cost will be lower than Sub-c or SC
Technical availability
CLEAN COAL TECHNOLOGY
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Target for introduction of USC and IGCC in IndonesiaUSC should be introduced for next new coal fired power plant project (2017) IGCC will be introduced around 2025, considering the development situation in
the world
CCT Technology for Coal Fired Power Plants
Matured technology to achieve lowelectricity costs & low GHGemissions
• Proven and already commercialized technology• Introduced all around the world• Can utilize low rank coal with above average ash melting point• Economic superiority to SC• Lower GHG emission compared to SC
Promising technology to achievelow electricity cost, lower GHG emissions & LRC utilization• Technology yet to be commercialized• Will be introduced at the beginning of 2020s in commercial base in the world
• Promising technology for low rank coal with low ash melting point• Economic superiority to SC and USC • Lower GHG emission compared to SC & USC
USC IGCC*
CLEAN COAL TECHNOLOGY
*) Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
• After assessing relevant factors (technical availability, low rank coalavailability, economic viability, technical challenges in introducing CCTand contribution to GHG emission reduction), the CCT study concludesthat the CCT technology that can be adopted by Indonesia are USC andIGCC.
• USC is commercially matured, already proven and well performed inmany countries, can use low rank coal having above average ash meltingpoint, has economic merit to SubC and SC, produces lower CO2emissions.
• IGCC is a promising technology, yet not commercially matured, can uselow rank coal with low ash melting point, its project cost is expected todrop and make it economical compared to SC and USC, lower CO2emission than SC and USC.
*) Source: The Project for Promotion of Clean Coal Technology (CCT) in Indonesia, Interim Report, October 2011, Jakarta, JICA Study Team.
ROADMAP OF CCT IN INDONESIA *)
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
*) Source: The Project for Promotion of Clean Coal Technology (CCT) in Indonesia, Interim Report, October 2011, Jakarta, JICA Study Team, with modification
2011 2015 2020 2025
SC, η= 35-40%
USC, 43%
IGCC
45-48%
Central Java IPP(USC 2x1000 MW)
Indramayu #2(USC 1000 MW)
Indramayu #1(USC 1000 MW)
Cirebon(USC 1x1000 MW)
2000–3000 MW per year
IGCC 1000 MW Class
Cirebon(SC 1x660 MW)
Paiton 3(SC 1x815 MW)
ROADMAP OF CCT IN INDONESIA *)
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
26 PLANNING OF ULTRA SUPER CRITICAL PROJECT DEVELOPMENT (2015-2024)
No Project Location Unit Size (MW)
COD Estimation
1 CFPP Java 1 West Java 1 x 1,000 20192 CFPP Java 4 Central Java 2 x 1,000 20193 CFPP Java 5 Banten 2 x 1,000 20194 CFPP Java 6 West Java 2 x 1,000 20235 CFPP Java 7 Banten 2 x 1,000 20196 CFPP Java 8 Central Java 1 x 1,000 20187 CFPP Central Java Batang, Central Java 2 x 1,000 2019/20208 CFPP Java 12 DKI Jakarta 2 x 1,000 2022/20239 CFPP Java 13 Central Java 2 x 1,000 202410 CFPP Indramayu 4 West Java 1 x 1,000 201911 CFPP Indramayu 5 West Java 1 x 1,000 2024
Note: CFPP Java 3, 9,10, and 11 are committed Project with unit size 600 MW
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
FINANCING REQUIREMENT FOR CFPP DEVELOPMENT
Transmission21
Distribution15
CFPP58
Others39
Power Plant97
2015-2024
USDBillion
Total:USD 132 Billion
Transmission17
Distribution7
CFPP36
Others23
Power Plant59
USDBillion
2015-2019
Total:USD 83 Billion
MINISTRY OF ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
www.esdm.go.id