Planning for Prosperity and Security on our Coasts

Amy Rosenthal | Science-Policy Specialist, The Natural Capital Project

June 9, 2011

The importance of our coasts

• People count on our coasts for jobs, food, and well being

• These interests create tradeoffs• Good policy negotiates these

conflicts to support the best mix of uses

Prosperity

From aquaculture

From ocean energy

From fishing

Vulnerability & Security

From storm damage

From sea level rise

Well being

From recreation

From scenic beauty

From clean water resources

InVEST

Maps, measures, values environmental servicesApplicable anywhereFlexible data requirements & scale Scenario-basedRelevant to many kinds of decisionsBiodiversity and multiple services

InVEST: Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs

Valuation

Value of captured

wave energy

Avoided damages

Net present Value (NPV) of fish & shellfish

Values of recreation activities

Avoided areaEroded/flooded

Harvested biomass

Captured wave energy

Visitation

Landed biomass

Fisheries

Recreation Model

Aquaculture

Wave energy

Coastal Protection

Production functions

Socioeconomic

Oceanography

Habitat type

Species distribution

Bathymetry Topography

Model Outputecosystem services & values

ModelsInput Datareflect scenarios

Renewable energy: waves*Coastal VulnerabilityAquaculture: finfish*Aesthetic qualityFisheries (Tier 0)*Recreation*Habitat risk assessmentCoastal protection*Water qualityCarbon storage and sequestration*Fisheries (Tier 1)*Aquaculture: shellfish*Nursery habitat (component of fisheries model)Renewable energy: offshore wind*Fisheries: connect to existing models*

InV

ES

T 2

.1

Results from InVESTRisk to HabitatWater Quality Human Uses

Combined index of vulnerability:Where are the people + where are the hazards?

West Coast Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada

Recreation Ranking: 0,1 with distance decay

Recreational Use: $ and health

Wave Energy and Aquaculture

0 - 1.5

1.5 - 3.0

3.0 - 4.5

4.5 - 6.0

6.0 - 7.5

NPV ($ mil)

COM_SAL_TRCommercial Fishery: Salmon trawl: Salmon net: Crab and Shrimp

REC_FISHRecreational Fishery: Salmon : Ground fish

: Power Grid Connection Point

: Cable Landing Point

loss of public & private property ($)

Coastal Protection

o geomorphologyopresence of habitatso sea level changeo wind-wave exposureo surge potential

Eelgrass prevents erosion and flooding

Run Wave ModelO

ffsho

re

Beac

h

Erosion Difference: 1.5m

15 hrs Storm

Hmax=1.5m

T=4s

Where InVEST connects with the coast

Vancouver Island

Belize

Chesapeake BayPuget Sound

Galveston Bay

Monterey Bay

How do land-based activities affect marine resources and management?

•Oyster restoration•Fisheries•Coastal protection

•Nutrient runoff•Coastal hardening•Water withdrawals

Team:Mary Ruckelshaus

CK KimMike PapenfusGreg Verutes

Jodie ToftKatie ArkemaGreg GuannelJoey BernhardtSpencer Wood

Matt MarsikDave Sutherland

Andrew DayKevin Head

Jenn SpencerTrudy Warner

www.naturalcapitalproject.org

Aligning economic forces with

conservation

thank you.

www.naturalcapitalproject.org

National Marine Sanctuary FoundationThe Gordon and Betty Moore FoundationThe West Coast Aquatic Management BoardNOAA Fisheries, Northwest Fisheries Science CenterAnd many others

Amy Rosenthal | Science Policy Specialist, Natural Capital Project