Pick the low-hanging fruit first -- nothing succeeds like success!
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Transcript of Pick the low-hanging fruit first -- nothing succeeds like success!
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Pick the low-hanging fruit first -- nothing succeeds like success!
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Keep your eye on the ball --Dont let the best become the enemy of the good!
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Reform is dialectic, not mechanical:OED progress take place more through unbalanced development than comprehensive planning approaches.
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Reforms must provide returns for the politicians who are willing to make the changes.
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Thus Three Gorges is as much about political symbolism as it is about flood protection and hydropower
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The overriding lesson:Be realistic, patient and persistent
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The principles are known. But there are no quick fixes
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Good ideas are often presented as silver bullets.. .. They then fail, and the danger is that the baby is then thrown out with the bathwater
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The challenge for the Bank on water resource managementPrinciples (Dublin/1993 WRMPP) matter and must be used as a filter to judge actions Progress is sequential, slow and determined by broader political economy Therefore:PRINCIPLED PRAGMATISM as the form of Bank engagement
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The Story LineWater management and development are vital for growth and poverty reductionThe method for developing this StrategyBetter water management is essentialMost developing countries also need investment in priority water infrastructureTailoring the strategy to country circumstancesSummary and Next Steps
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Many developing countries have high climatic variability
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And likely to become still more variable with climate change
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And thus rising toll of droughts and floods.. With dramatic human and economic impacts..
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Indian Minister of Finance Every budget is a gamble on the monsoon
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While OECD countries have much of the major infrastructure needed (and sometimes too much!) the situation is radically different in most developing countries
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Endowments of water infrastructure..US and Australia have ~5000 m3/cap; China has 2,400;India has 130 m3/capEthiopia has 50 m3/cap
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Similar comparisons in major river basins in arid areas.Colorado, Murray/Darling have 900 days of water storage capacity India and Pakistanhave about 30 days of water storage capacity
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EuropeNorth AmericaAfricaSouth AmericaChinaAsia (excl China)
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Major conclusions:For developing countries:Improved management of resources and infrastructure are vitalAppropriate stocks of infrastructure are equally important at many levels
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And what about the financing of this infrastructure?
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Banks borrowers are increasingly having to contemplate major inter-basin and sometimes inter-national transfer schemes
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How to halt the decline of the Dead Sea?MIDDLE EAST
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Red-Dead PipelinePurposes:To restore the Dead SeaTo generation powerTo desalinate water for citiesCost? ~$3 billion
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Yangtse BasinHaihe BasinSouth-North Transfer OptionsEAST ASIACost? ~$40 billion
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LATIN AMERICACost? ~$3 billion
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Lesotho Highlands Water Project Southern AfricaLHWPWater PoorWater RichOVTSTVTSAFRICACost? ~$4 billion
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In many developing countries the water crisis is a financing crisis
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Where is the money going to come from?And what is the role of the World Bank ?
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Main messages:Amounts are very large relative to official aidFlows are volatileConcentrated in middle income countriesOnly about 5% to high risk hydro and 5% to water supply
Chart2
74.219846212.219840
202.9162.4198540.519850
664.565.6531.761.519865.7
1238.9540524.9984432
9873.46567.83.6330219880
7652.929141181.13199.783.6274.5
63355.756423.82851.23078.519901002.2
20114.916769973.62296.675.70
26848.93385.518898.32627.21564.8373.1
38829.612642.715037.85197.74166.51784.9
68357.442251.815946.38576.2410.41172.7
55997.319397.922324.99877.71467.92928.9
78208.323059.129494.8152091993.58451.9
112756.532877.244820.117828.383398891.9
120852.27048926309.516968.63625.13460
35355.69392.710979.36368.14921.13694.4
54115.516146.820703.28636.74557.14071.7
3969414967.810400.29579.52337.52409
23324.61629.114754.150721523346.4
TOTAL
TELECOM
ENERGY
TRANSPORT
WATSAN
HYDRO
Million $ a year
Private Investment in Infrastructure in Developing Countries 1984 - 2002
All Graphs-Pvt Inv Infr
PPI
Million US$
YearsEnergyTelecomTransportW&SHydroTotal
19846212.20.0074.2
1985162.440.50.00202.9
1986531.765.661.55.70664.5
1987524.9540984432.001238.9
19883.66,567.803,302.000.009873.4
19891,181.102,914.003,199.7083.6274.507652.9
19902,851.2056,423.803,078.501,002.2063355.7
1991973.616,769.002,296.6075.70.0020114.9
199218,898.303,385.502,627.201,564.80373.1026848.9
199315,037.8012,642.705,197.704,166.501,784.9038829.6
199415,946.3042,251.808,576.20410.41,172.7068357.4
199522,324.9019,397.909,877.701,467.902,928.9055997.3
199629,494.8023,059.1015,209.001,993.508,451.9078208.3
199744,820.1032,877.2017,828.308,339.008,891.90112756.5
199826,309.5070,489.0016,968.603,625.103,460.00120852.2
199910,979.309,392.706,368.104,921.103,694.4035355.6
200020,703.2016,146.808,636.704,557.104,071.7054115.5
200110,400.2014,967.809,579.502,337.502,409.0039694
200214,754.101,629.105,072.001,523.00346.4023324.6
A
All Graphs-Pvt Inv Infr
Total Investment
Years
Million US$
Total Private Investment in Infrastructure, 1984-2002
AggregateReportExcel.asp report
All Investments
Telecom
Energy
Transport
Hydro
WSS
Energy
Telecom
Transport
Water & Sanitation
Hydro
All Investment
Years
Million US$
Sectoral and Total Private Investment in Infrastructure, 1984-2002
62198412.219840
1985162.440.519850
531.765.661.519865.7
524.9540984432
3.66567.8330219880
1181.129143199.783.6274.5
2851.256423.83078.519901002.2
973.6167692296.675.70
18898.33385.52627.21564.8373.1
15037.812642.75197.74166.51784.9
15946.342251.88576.2410.41172.7
22324.919397.99877.71467.92928.9
29494.823059.1152091993.58451.9
44820.132877.217828.383398891.9
26309.57048916968.63625.13460
10979.39392.76368.14921.13694.4
20703.216146.88636.74557.14071.7
10400.214967.89579.52337.52409
14754.11629.150721523346.4
Telecom
Energy
W&S
Transport
Hydro
energy
Telecom
Transport
Water and Sanitation
Hydropower
Years
US $ Millions
Private Investment in Infrastructure, 1984-2002
Primary SectorFinancial Closure YearTotal Investment in Government AssetsTotal Investment in FacilitiesTotal Investment
(US$ millions)(US$ millions)(US$ millions)
Energy198406262
1985
Energy19865.7526531.7
Energy1987116.6408.3524.9
Energy19883.603.6
Energy1989726.6454.51,181.10
Energy1990665.42,185.802,851.20
Energy19910973.6973.6
Energy19927,732.3011,165.9018,898.30
Energy19933,600.4011,437.4015,037.80
Energy19943,353.6012,592.7015,946.30
Energy19956,174.4016,150.5022,324.90
Energy19967,302.7022,192.1029,494.80
Energy199719,772.1025,048.0044,820.10
Energy199811,255.9015,053.6026,309.50
Energy19994,240.806,738.5010,979.30
Energy20003,199.3017,503.9020,703.20
Energy20012,063.208,337.0010,400.20
Energy20028,115.406,638.7014,754.10
Total78,327.90157,468.50235,796.40
1984
Telecom19850162.4162.4
Telecom1986065.665.6
Telecom198722518540
Telecom1988287.86,280.006,567.80
Telecom1989882,826.002,914.00
Telecom199012,745.3043,678.5056,423.80
Telecom199113,044.0016,769.00
Telecom1992131.53,254.003,385.50
Telecom19933,538.809,103.9012,642.70
Telecom199410,205.0032,046.8042,251.80
Telecom19954,579.3014,818.6019,397.90
Telecom19965,383.3017,675.8023,059.10
Telecom199715,914.2016,963.0032,877.20
Telecom199832,569.5037,919.5070,489.00
Telecom19993,142.806,249.909,392.70
Telecom200012,061.604,085.2016,146.80
Telecom20014,063.0010,904.8014,967.80
Telecom20021,414.40214.71,629.10
Total109,871.50219,810.70329,682.20
Transport1984012.212.2
Transport19854.935.640.5
Transport19860.760.861.5
Transport198709898
Transport198803,302.003,302.00
Transport198903,199.703,199.70
Transport199003,078.503,078.50
Transport1991192,277.602,296.60
Transport1992232.82,394.402,627.20
Transport199394.95,102.805,197.70
Transport1994226.18,350.108,576.20
Transport1995438.39,439.409,877.70
Transport19962,994.3012,214.7015,209.00
Transport19974,089.4013,738.9017,828.30
Transport19984,146.0012,822.6016,968.60
Transport19992,183.304,184.806,368.10
Transport20001,497.707,139.008,636.70
Transport2001576.39,003.209,579.50
Transport2002203.24,868.805,072.00
Total16,706.90101,323.10118,030.00
Water and sewerage1984
Water and sewerage1985
Water and sewerage1986
Water and sewerage198704444
1988
Water and sewerage19890.383.383.6
Water and sewerage1990
Water and sewerage19910.77575.7
Water and sewerage199261,558.801,564.80
Water and sewerage199361.54,105.004,166.50
Water and sewerage199421.9388.5410.4
Water and sewerage199552.81,415.101,467.90
Water and sewerage1996101.21,892.301,993.50
Water and sewerage1997842.57,496.508,339.00
Water and sewerage1998386.53,238.603,625.10
Water and sewerage19991,329.903,591.204,921.10
Water and sewerage2000706.33,850.804,557.10
Water and sewerage2001418.91,918.602,337.50
Water and sewerage2002251,498.001,523.00
Total3,953.5031,155.7035,109.20
Grand Total718,617.70
Hydropower19840.00
Hydropower19850.00
Hydropower19865.70
Hydropower198732.00
Hydroipower19880.00
Hydropower1989274.50
Hydropower19901,002.20
Hydroipower19910.00
Hydropower1992373.10
Hydropower19931,784.90
Hydroipower19941,172.70
Hydropower19952,928.90
Hydropower19968,451.90
Hydroipower19978,891.90
Hydropower19983,460.00
Hydropower19993,694.40
Hydropower20004,071.70
Hydropower20012,409.00
Hydropower2002346.40
Total Investments198474.2
Total Investments1985202.9
Total Investments1986664.5
Total Investments19871238.9
Total Investments19889873.4
Total Investments19897652.9
Total Investments199063355.7
Total Investments199120114.9
Total Investments199226848.9
Total Investments199338829.6
Total Investments199468357.4
Total Investments199555997.3
Total Investments199678208.3
Total Investments1997112756.5
Total Investments1998120852.2
Total Investments199935355.6
Total Investments200054115.5
Total Investments200139694
Total Investments200223324.6
Telecom
TOTAL
TELECOM
ENERGY
TRANSPORT
WATSAN
HYDRO
Million $ a year
Private Investment in Infrastructure in Developing Countries 1984 - 2002
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1984
1985
1985
1985
1985
1985
1985
1986
1986
1986
1986
1986
1986
1987
1987
1987
1987
1987
1987
1988
1988
1988
1988
1988
1988
1989
1989
1989
1989
1989
1989
1990
1990
1990
1990
1990
1990
1991
1991
1991
1991
1991
1991
1992
1992
1992
1992
1992
1992
1993
1993
1993
1993
1993
1993
1994
1994
1994
1994
1994
1994
1995
1995
1995
1995
1995
1995
1996
1996
1996
1996
1996
1996
1997
1997
1997
1997
1997
1997
1998
1998
1998
1998
1998
1998
1999
1999
1999
1999
1999
1999
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2000
2001
2001
2001
2001
2001
2001
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
74.2
62
12.2
0
202.9
162.4
40.5
0
664.5
65.6
531.7
61.5
5.7
1238.9
540
524.9
98
44
32
9873.4
6567.8
3.6
3302
0
7652.9
2914
1181.1
3199.7
83.6
274.5
63355.7
56423.8
2851.2
3078.5
1002.2
20114.9
16769
973.6
2296.6
75.7
0
26848.9
3385.5
18898.3
2627.2
1564.8
373.1
38829.6
12642.7
15037.8
5197.7
4166.5
1784.9
68357.4
42251.8
15946.3
8576.2
410.4
1172.7
55997.3
19397.9
22324.9
9877.7
1467.9
2928.9
78208.3
23059.1
29494.8
15209
1993.5
8451.9
112756.5
32877.2
44820.1
17828.3
8339
8891.9
120852.2
70489
26309.5
16968.6
3625.1
3460
35355.6
9392.7
10979.3
6368.1
4921.1
3694.4
54115.5
16146.8
20703.2
8636.7
4557.1
4071.7
39694
14967.8
10400.2
9579.5
2337.5
2409
23324.6
1629.1
14754.1
5072
1523
346.4
Telecom
Total Invest
Energy
Transp
Hydro
W&S
energy
Telecom
Transport
Water and Sanitation
Hydropower
Total Investments
Years
US $ Millions
Private Investment in Infrastructure, 1984-2002
TOTAL
TELECOM
ENERGY
TRANSPORT
WATSAN
HYDRO
-
The public sector will necessarily play the major role in much financing of water infrastructurePublic
Private
Thermal Power generationBus TransportRail FreightsRoadsPassenger trainsGas pipelinesBulk water supplyUrban water supplyRural waterRural electrificationSewerage/SanitationSolid WasteMetro
Rural roadsMultipurpose damsRun of the river hydroTelecoms
-
The last decade has largely been a lost decadeThe combined effect of:A nave view that the private sector will take care of infrastructure andAntagonism to infrastructure among advocacy NGOs, and support for those views by a number of developed country owners of the Bank.
-
in recent years there have been major questions among the Banks owners about Bank financing of major infrastructure.. With Sardar Sarovar on the Narmada the poster case.
-
The sharp decline in the World Banks involvement in large dam construction in the developing world
-
Irrigation lending has declined sharply
Chart2
1979
2353.6336158204
2011.2218351489
1695.6630386966
1596.8588803701
1643.2730320904
1705.8723094071
1446.8351199891
1388.162030295
1030.2974123055
1195.0017798232
1100.1517181071
1261.441076573
1185.7744479718
1324.2284360432
1255.4379741498
1191.0526492636
1004.7970140299
917.4103504061
959.9342510909
873.1884029231
638.0404507753
456.5832145334
2002
Average commitments on 2002 dollars
year
Million (2002) USD
World Bank Commitments (3 year moving average) in 2002 USD
Sheet1 (2)
YearNumber of ProjectCommitment on Million USD (current dollars)Average of the commitment on Millions USD (current dollars)Commitments on 2002 dollars basedAverage commitments on 2002 dollarsAverage of commitments by project on real dollars 2002
1979251120.544.822547.1474904165101.8858996167
1980211328111663.238095238153.14285714292785.68654923062353.6336158204132.6517404396108.4961748927
198119899.51030.833333333347.342105263254.25438596491728.06680781392011.221835148990.9508846218113.5063147231
198213865958.633333333366.538461538573.7410256411519.91214840221695.6630386966116.916319107999.9392372411
1983201111.4958.633333333355.5747.93166666671839.01015987371596.858880370191.9505079937106.3313611578
198413899.51030.769.192307692379.28461538461431.65433283451643.2730320904110.1272563719106.8629358257
1985141081.21114.677.228571428679.61428571431659.15460356281705.8723094071118.5110431116121.2529440906
1986151363.1964.766666666790.873333333364.31777777782026.80799182411446.8351199891135.1205327883111.8164738241
19878450954.656.25119.325654.54276458031388.16203029581.8178455725110.3419039275
1988131050.7733.033333333380.823076923156.38717948721483.13533448051030.2974123055114.0873334216110.6928757531
19897698.4874.399.7714285714124.9953.21413785571195.0017798232136.1734482651121.7087894667
199010873.8839.866666666787.3883.98666666671148.65586713341100.1517181071114.8655867133120.0004404271
199111947.4999.586.127272727390.86363636361198.58514933231261.441076573108.9622863029134.4877165577
199281177.3966.0666666667147.1625120.75833333331437.08221325341185.7744479718179.6352766567130.3345943691
19939773.51112.566666666785.9444444444123.6185185185921.65598132961324.2284360432102.4062201477153.7896512884
199491386.91079.9666666667154.1119.99629629631613.94711354661255.4379741498179.3274570607125.4679136226
1995131079.51039.766666666783.038461538579.98205128211230.71082757321191.052649263694.6700636595131.8047294996
19966652.9898.8333333333108.8166666667149.8055555556728.50000667111004.7970140299121.4166677785115.9947524729
19978964.1839.7666666667120.5125104.97083333331055.1802078455917.4103504061131.8975259807124.794349449
19988902.3891.3333333333112.7875111.4166666667968.5508367016959.9342510909121.0688545877116.0284864386
19999807.6823.789.733333333391.5222222222856.0717087255873.188402923195.119078747398.5607332231
200010761.2608.766666666776.1260.8766666667794.9426633421638.040450775379.494266334270.7333521823
20017257.5443.466666666736.785714285763.3523809524263.1069802582456.583214533437.586711465565.0019925999
20024311.777.925311.777.925
Commitment on 2002 dollars basedAverage commitment on 2002 dollars based on the Inflation, inflation GDP (annual %) of the United States of America
Sheet1 (2)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Average commitments on 2002 dollars
year
Million (2002) USD
World Bank Commitments (3 year moving average) in 2002 USD
Sheet1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Commitments on 2002 dollars based
Average commitments on 2002 dollars
Sheet2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Average of commitments by project on real dollars 2002
year
Million dollars
Sheet3
YearNumber of ProjectCommitment on Million USD (current dollars)Commitment on 2002 dollars based on the Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) of the United States of AmericaCommitment on 2002 dollars based on the Inflation, inflation GDP (annual %) of the United States of America
1979251120.53040.99648934042547.1474904165
19802113283239.21285300812785.6865492306
198119899.51932.90623380461728.0668078139
1982138651684.95814145321519.9121484022
1983201111.42039.29436483861839.0101598737
198413899.51599.11129679531431.6543328345
1985141081.21842.58426634751659.1546035628
1986151363.12243.1189144722026.8079918241
19878450727.0073610245654.5427645803
1988131050.71636.270625171483.1353344805
19897698.41045.7053738849953.2141378557
199010873.81248.08455164951148.6558671334
199111947.41283.90574982431198.5851493323
199281177.31530.64156669071437.0822132534
19939773.5976.0856927481921.6559813296
199491386.91699.96280379781613.9471135466
1995131079.51289.54957258951230.7108275732
19966652.9758.6580484998728.5000066711
19978964.11088.36470082391055.1802078455
19988902.3995.3315342579968.5508367016
19999807.6877.2503816755856.0717087255
200010761.2809.1442827506794.9426633421
20017257.5264.7773895085263.1069802582
20024311.7311.7311.7
Sheet3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Number of Project
Commitment on Million USD (current dollars)
Commitment on 2002 dollars based on the Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) of the United States of America
Commitment on 2002 dollars based on the Inflation, inflation GDP (annual %) of the United States of America
Year
Millions Dollars
Commitment in the AI projects (with and whitout the inflation)
Sheet4
Sheet5
Sheet6
-
As has lending for water and sanitation
Chart1
1506
1804
1982
1581
1365
1200
981
1268
1204
493
Chart1 (2)
983
1506
1804
1982
1581
1365
1200
981
1268
1204
493
Total
Data Tables 1
Approvals of IBRD/IDA Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)
Regional Break Down (US$m)
FYFY90FY91FY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02FY97-02FY90-02
AFR271.5272.4442.172.087.4313.6169.466.2140.2121.7145.7357.8112.2943.82,572.3
EAP357.7286.1203.1558.8391.6233.5605.2744.9286.6407.8524.0385.632.02,380.85,016.8
ECA185.630.4148.3147.4249.979.863.6243.3136.688.1176.3114.2822.01,663.4
LCR62.5518.0303.5310.1724.3678.2286.0245.6373.8110.8268.7215.949.81,264.64,147.2
MNA12.09.92.3201.8311.027.8131.5153.0133.186.9220.515.639.6648.81,345.0
SAR85.4343.61.2214.8142.7479.5309.292.523.3117.621.452.3144.9451.92,028.2
Total974.61,430.0982.61,505.91,804.41,982.51,581.11,365.71,200.3981.41,268.41,203.4492.86,512.016,773.0
Dedicated Vs. Non-Dedicated Breakdown (US$m)
MappingFY90FY91FY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02FY97-02FY90-02
TOTAL974.61,430.0982.61,505.91,804.41,982.51,581.11,365.71,200.3981.41,268.41,203.4492.86,512.016,773.0
Dedicated813.91,098.6634.8974.81,087.01,041.41,006.9441.3611.1394.0712.8834.7369.13,362.910,020.359.7%52%57%74.9%69%0.5619639246
Non-Dedicated160.7331.4347.7531.1717.4941.1574.2924.4589.2587.5555.6368.7123.73,149.16,752.740.3%48%43%25.1%
Econ. Pol.8.07.19.08.424.532.559.3%
Education0.724.044.022.522.591.2
Energy & Mining0.88.69.39.3
ENV21.735.879.6246.1106.9162.127.98.4177.227.7173.692.94.1484.01,164.1
Financ. Sec.6.40.66.26.67.213.827.0
HNP6.214.69.914.540.65.045.690.7
PSD1.4188.051.819.127.043.311.44.4105.2346.4
Publ. Sec. Govern.50.048.55.045.01.10.889.18.7149.8248.3
Rural Sector2.628.5149.618.7183.9101.1115.4484.061.3168.5189.973.724.41,001.81,601.7
Soc. Dev.5.03.40.79.19.1
Soc. Protect.17.43.33.02.75.580.193.620.881.053.076.715.0340.1452.2
Transport11.39.316.725.758.819.35.85.36.095.2158.2
Urban Dev.112.5183.8105.4236.1393.6395.7247.0255.5223.7251.645.618.253.7848.22,522.2
Sanitation Vs. Water Supply Breakdown (US$m)
Sector \ Fiscal yearFY90FY91FY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02FY97-02FY90-02
General WSS114.6272.9115.2641.9455.0539.8575.5371.8374.9369.4221.9298.984.61,721.54,436.4
Sanitation30.2156.314.879.024.091.8150.7119.911.29.282.591.5121.4435.8982.6
Sewerage302.0131.7181.8374.9417.1264.7634.7149.7225.8160.8642.6388.322.11,589.43,896.2
Water Suppl.527.8869.2670.8410.1908.31,086.2220.2724.3588.2442.0321.3424.7264.62,765.27,457.8
Total974.61,430.0982.61,505.91,804.41,982.51,581.11,365.71,200.3981.41,268.41,203.4492.86,512.016,773.0
MappingFY98-02
Dedicated2,922
Econ. Pol.24.50.5%
Education22.50.4%
Energy & Mining9.30.2%
ENV475.6
Financ. Sec.13.8
HNP45.6
PSD86.1
Publ. Sec. Govern.144.8
Rural Sec.517.8
Soc. Dev.9.1
Soc. Protect.246.5
Transport36.4
Urban Dev.592.7
Grand Total5,146.2
Current Prices
MappingFY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02
Total9831,5061,8041,9821,5811,3651,2009811,2681,204493
Dedicated6359751,0871,0411,007441611394713835369
Non-Dedicated348531717941574924589587555369124
Constant 2002 prices
MappingFY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02
Lending (US$m) constant 2002 prices1,266.01,884.02,199.02,351.01,822.01,537.01,330.01,064.01,330.01,228.0493.0
YearDedicatedNon-dedicatedTotal, current pricesTotal, constant 2002 prices
19908141619751,349
19911,0993311,4301,897
19926353489831,266
19939755311.5061,884
19941,0877171,8042,199
19951,0419411,9822,351
19961,0075741,5811,822
19974419241,3651,537
19986115891,2001,330
19993945879811,064
20007135551,2681,330
20018353691,2031,228
2002369124493493
Data Tables 2
Water Supply & Sanitation Components - IBRD/IDA Lending Approvals (FY98-02)
Regional Breakdown (US$m)
RegionAFREAPECALCRMNASARTOTAL
Dedicated501.81,078.1481.2393.0270.9196.52,922
Non-Dedicated375.8557.8277.2626.0224.9162.92,225
Econ. Pol.20.93.625
Education22.523
Energy & Mining9.39
ENV16.0171.126.1234.727.7476
Fin. Sec.6.67.214
HNP42.92.646
PSD46.834.35.086
Publ. Sec. Gov.32.846.17.258.6145
Rural Sector45.0196.522.2152.870.331.1518
Soc. Dev.3.45.79
Soc. Protect.103.522.034.571.615.0247
Transport17.119.336
Urban Dev.98.162.1177.046.6134.674.4593
AAA (No. Operations)Livable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.All
Total2333103197
AFR866929
EAP11013
ECA35008
LCR24219
MNA81521944
SAR12014
Current AAA (No. Operations)Livable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.All
Share23.7%34.0%10.3%32.0%100.0%
Current Lending (US$m)Livable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.All
Share24.3%24.6%17.5%33.6%100.0%
Lending (US$m)Livable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.All
FY0224.3%24.6%17.5%33.6%100.0%
High Case Scenario20.5%25.8%25.3%28.3%100.0%
Current (No. Operations)Livable CitiesInvestment ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Lending24.3%24.6%17.5%33.6%
AAA23.7%34.0%10.3%32.0%
Data Table 3
REGIONAL BUSINESS SCENARIOS Vs. HISTORICAL APPROVALS
TOTALFY98-02FY03-07
LendingHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated***2,9224,3067,017
Non-Dedicated2,2253,7445,687
Total5,1468,05012,704
* SAP Business Warehouse: Approvals of IBRD/IDA Lending operations w/ WSS Component(s), Dedicated Operations are projects mapped to the WSS Sector Board, Non-Dedicated Operations are mapped to any other Sector Board of the WB
** Data, as submitted by Regions in Template 2, then adjusted to a lower and more realisitc level after a second round of review, approved by Regions.
*** In the case of Scenarios, Dedicated covers Investments (eg. SILs, LILs, ERLs), Technical Assistance Lending, Sector Programmatic (eg. APLs, SECALs), while Non-Dedicated is defined as Water Components in Other Operations (eg. Social Funds, Rural Dev. P
FY98-02FY03-07
AFRHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)AFRLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***501.8635.72,396.0Current39.9%19.0%24.6%16.5%
Non-Dedicated375.8664.51,472.7High Case27.1%35.7%21.3%15.9%
Total8781,3003,869
FY98-02FY03-07
EAPHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)EAPLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***1,078.11,597.01,764.6Current12.7%20.7%18.4%48.1%
Non-Dedicated557.81,291.11,417.9High Case10.4%17.1%15.3%57.2%
Total1,6362,8883,183
FY98-02FY03-07
ECAHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)ECALivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***481676.0833.4Current37.7%50.6%7.5%4.2%
Non-Dedicated277870.51,352.0High Case21.2%42.4%30.1%6.4%
Total7581,5462,185
FY98-02FY03-07
LCRHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)LCRLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***393754.91,117.2Current24.9%26.2%9.0%39.9%
Non-Dedicated626349.7673.4High Case25.7%25.2%15.1%33.9%
Total1,0191,1051,791
FY98-02FY03-07
MNAHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)MNALivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***271416454Current28.1%7.2%3.2%61.5%
Non-Dedicated2256066High Case23.0%16.8%16.4%43.7%
Total496476519
FY98-02FY03-07
SARHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)SARLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***197226.0452.3Current7.1%25.9%42.4%24.6%
Non-Dedicated163508.2705.5High Case16.2%14.2%64.4%5.2%
Total3597341,158
Data Table 3 (2)
Pipeline Details
PipelineFY03FY04FY05Total
WSS (dedicated)0.0
Non-Dedicated0.00.00.00.0
Econ. Policy0.0
Energy & Mining0.0
ENV0.0
Financial Sec.0.0
Operational Serv.0.0
Poverty Reduct.0.0
PSD0.0
Public Sec. Gov.0.0
Rural Sector0.0
Other0.0
Social Dev.0.0
Social Protect.0.0
Transport0.0
Urban Dev.0.0
REGIONAL BUSINESS SCENARIOS Vs. HISTORICAL APPROVALS
FY98-02FY03-07FY03-07
AFRHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)AFRLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***501.8571.0635.72,396.0Current39.9%19.0%24.6%16.5%
Non-Dedicated375.8975.5664.51,472.7High Case27.1%35.7%21.3%15.9%
Total8781,5471,3003,869
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated100.4190.3127.1479.2
Non-Dedicated75.2325.2132.9294.5
Total176516260774
FY98-02FY03-05FY03-07
EAPHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)EAPLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***1,078.16691,597.01,764.6Current12.7%20.7%18.4%48.1%
Non-Dedicated557.81052.51,291.11,417.9High Case10.4%17.1%15.3%57.2%
Total1,6361,7222,8883,183
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated215.6223.0319.4352.9
Non-Dedicated111.6350.8258.2283.6
Total327574578637
FY98-02FY03-05FY03-07
ECAHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)ECALivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***481.2291676.0833.4Current37.7%50.6%7.5%4.2%
Non-Dedicated277.2266.1870.51,352.0High Case21.2%42.4%30.1%6.4%
Total7585571,5462,185
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated96.297.0135.2166.7
Non-Dedicated55.488.7174.1270.4
Total152186309437
FY98-02FY03-05FY03-07
LCRHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)LCRLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***393765.0754.91,117.2Current24.9%26.2%9.0%39.9%
Non-Dedicated626743.6349.7673.4High Case25.7%25.2%15.1%33.9%
Total1,0191,5091,1051,791
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated78.6255.0151.0223.4
Non-Dedicated125.2247.969.9134.7
Total204503221358
FY98-02FY03-05FY03-07
MNAHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)MNALivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***271466.4416454Current28.1%7.2%3.2%61.5%
Non-Dedicated22533.76066High Case23.0%16.8%16.4%43.7%
Total496500476519
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated54.2155.583.290.8
Non-Dedicated45.011.212.013.1
Total9916795104
FY98-02FY03-05FY03-07
SARHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)SARLivable CitiesInvestm. ClimateRural Transform.Safeguard Env.
Dedicated***197277.9226.0452.3Current7.1%25.9%42.4%24.6%
Non-Dedicated163308508.2705.5High Case16.2%14.2%64.4%5.2%
Total3595867341,158
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated39.392.645.290.5
Non-Dedicated32.6102.7101.6141.1
Total72195147232
Data Table 4
REGIONAL BUSINESS SCENARIOS Vs. HISTORICAL APPROVALS
TOTALFY98-02FY03-05FY03-07
LendingHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated2,9223,0404,3067,01747%
Non-Dedicated2,2253,3793,7445,687
Total5,1466,4208,05012,704
Average/ Year1,0292,1401,6102,541
Version AVersion B
Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Pipeline* (FY03-05)Base Case** (FY03-07)High Case** (FY03-07)Average Lending/ YearHistorical* (FY98-02)Base Case** (FY03-07)Pipeline* (FY03-05)High Case** (FY03-07)
Dedicated584.31,013.4861.21,403.4Dedicated584.3861.21,013.41,403.4
Non-Dedicated444.91,126.5748.81,137.4Non-Dedicated444.9748.81,126.51,137.4
Total1,0292,1401,6102,541Total1,0291,6102,1402,541
Pipeline Details
PipelineFY03FY04FY05Total
WSS (dedicated)725.31,677.0638.03,040.3
Non-Dedicated712.01,418.01,249.53,379.4
Econ. Policy72.48.080.4
Energy & Mining16.4260.364.0340.7
ENV200.7184.0316.0700.7
Financial Sec.5.05.0
Operational Serv.10.010.0
Poverty Reduct.21.021.0
PSD6.034.553.193.6
Public Sec. Gov.4.344.4105.0153.7
Rural Sector22.5285.010.0317.5
Other6.36.3
Social Dev.14.014.0
Social Protect.25.029.454.4
Transport78.124.122.2124.4
Urban Dev.286.5492.1679.21,457.8
* SAP Business Warehouse: Approvals of IBRD/IDA Lending operations w/ WSS Component(s), Dedicated Operations are projects mapped to the WSS Sector Board, Non-Dedicated Operations are mapped to any other Sector Board of the WB
** Data, as submitted by Regions in Template 2, then adjusted to a lower and more realisitc level after a second round of review, approved by Regions.
Note: in the case of Scenarios, Dedicated covers Investments (eg. SILs, LILs, ERLs), Technical Assistance Lending, Sector Programmatic (eg. APLs, SECALs), while Non-Dedicated is defined as Water Components in Other Operations (eg. Social Funds, Rural Dev.
Lending Projections (98-07) A
584.31334444.933227346
1013.43333333331126.4666666667
861.2748.8
1403.41137.4
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Past Vs. Projected (US$m
Lending Projections (98-07) B
584.31334444.933227346
861.2748.8
1013.43333333331126.4666666667
1403.41137.4
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Past Vs. Projected (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - All
584.31334444.933227346
1013.43333333331126.4666666667
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - AFR
100.358475.164407346
190.3333333333325.1666666667
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
AFR - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - EAP
215.62076111.56746
223350.8333333333
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
EAP - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - ECA
96.2471255.4396
9788.7
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
ECA - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - LCR
78.6088125.19438
255247.8666666667
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
LCR - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - MNA
54.1724644.98864
155.466666666711.2333333333
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
MNA - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (hist-pipe) - SAR
39.305832.57874
92.6333333333102.6666666667
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
SAR - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Historical Vs. Pipeline (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - All
861.2748.8
1403.41137.4
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - AFR
127.144132.8950122249
479.199207824294.54
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
AFR - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - EAP
319.4033258.2278845043
352.9114421559283.5895517324
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
EAP - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - ECA
135.1986174.0913479452
166.6832054795270.3972
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
ECA - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - LCR
150.989479753369.9490136766
223.4482381335134.6761391794
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
LCR - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - MNA
83.22612
90.79213.1
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
MNA - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
Projections (base-high) - SAR
45.195101.6321619366
90.4654507513141.0929048414
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
SAR - Yearly Average Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Component(s)Base-Case Vs. High-Case Scenario Projections (US$m)
WX Vs. 4 - FY90-02
974.6371068.706
1430.0431617.541
982.5771139.001
1505.8931877.523
1804.3542273.535
1982.4552196.22
1581.0651771.742
1365.73761592.4376
1200.26131295.1413
981.44741125.3384
1268.35011512.5981
1203.403000211271.69460455
492.77103652546.04903652
IBRD/IDA Lending Approvals (US$m)
Pure WSS
Major Sector
Major Sector WX (all sub-sectors) Vs.Pure WSS (Sanitation, Sewerage, Water Supply & General WSS)
WX Vs. 4 - FY03-06
492.77103652546.04903652
1437.2521511.052
3094.9553539.755
1887.52011.75
411.4597531.4597
IBRD/IDA Lending Approvals (US$m)
Pipeline
Pure WSS
Major Sector
Major Sector WX (all sub-sectors) Vs.Pure WSS (Sanitation, Sewerage, Water Supply & General WSS)
Sheet1
Operations w/ 4 Sub-Sector Components
RegionFY90FY91FY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02FY90-02
AFR271.5272.4442.172.087.4313.6169.466.2140.2121.7145.7357.8112.22,572
EAP357.7286.1203.1558.8391.6233.5605.2744.9286.6407.8524.0385.632.05,017
ECA185.630.4148.3147.4249.979.863.6243.3136.688.1176.3114.21,663
LCR62.5518.0303.5310.1724.3678.2286.0245.6373.8110.8268.7215.949.84,147
MNA12.09.92.3201.8311.027.8131.5153.0133.186.9220.515.639.61,345
SAR85.4343.61.2214.8142.7479.5309.292.523.3117.621.452.3144.92,028
Total974.61,430.0982.61,505.91,804.41,982.51,581.11,365.71,200.3981.41,268.41,203.4492.816,773
Operations w/ WX Components
RegionFY90FY91FY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02FY90-02Difference
AFR320.2281.5448.576.488.4315.1169.466.2140.8143.2155.9357.8112.22,675103
EAP365.3300.7219.9767.8621.6329.7622.2794.4291.2464.7757.7410.834.45,980963
ECA198.032.0158.7147.4258.579.863.6301.4148.788.5200.7131.71,809146
LCR62.5547.5307.1448.0951.8726.0290.2415.6404.6111.4268.7226.649.84,810663
MNA18.09.9127.9201.8311.071.8131.5160.2133.988.0220.519.073.11,567221
SAR104.8478.03.7224.8153.4495.1478.692.523.3169.521.456.8144.92,447418
Total1,068.71,617.51,139.01,877.52,273.52,196.21,771.71,592.41,295.11,125.31,512.61,271.7546.019,2882,515
Difference94.1187.5156.4371.6469.2213.8190.7226.794.9143.9244.268.353.32,515210
RegionFY90FY91FY92FY93FY94FY95FY96FY97FY98FY99FY00FY01FY02FY90-02
Pure WSS974.61,430.0982.61,505.91,804.41,982.51,581.11,365.71,200.3981.41,268.41,203.4492.816,773
Major Sector1,068.71,617.51,139.01,877.52,273.52,196.21,771.71,592.41,295.11,125.31,512.61,271.7546.019,288
Operations w/ 4 Sub-Sector Components
RegionFY03FY04FY05FY06FY03-06
AFR110.5984.89313.61711580.0
EAP362.806283.051063.21709.1
ECA54.246343.615141.5539.4
LCR303.8684.3229301247.1
MNA10.4252103180545.4
SAR547.137.230.4597614.8
Total841.83,095.01,887.5411.56235.7
Operations w/ WX Components
RegionFY03FY04FY05FY06FY03-06Difference
AFR110.51,004.9313.6171.01,600.020.0
EAP417.8327.11,148.21,893.1184.0
ECA59.2343.6162.0564.925.5
LCR317.6819.1247.830.01,414.5167.4
MNA10.4344.0103.0200.0657.4112.0
SAR701.137.2130.5868.8254.0
Total915.63,539.82,011.8531.56,998.5762.8
Difference73.8444.8124.3120.0762.8190.7
RegionFY02FY03FY04FY05FY06
Pure WSS492.81,437.33,095.01,887.5411.5
Major Sector546.01,511.13,539.82,011.8531.5
Lending - Business Line Compos.
0.243
0.246
0.175
0.336
Share
FY02 Lending Composition - by Business Lines (in Volume of Financing)
Current Vs. High Case - All
0.2430.2460.1750.336
0.2050.2580.2530.283
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (All)
Current Vs. High Case - AFR
0.3990.190.2460.165
0.2710.3570.2130.159
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (AFR)
Current Vs. High Case - EAP
0.1270.2070.1840.481
0.1040.1710.1530.572
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (EAP)
Current Vs. High Case - ECA
0.3770.5060.0750.042
0.2120.4240.3010.064
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (ECA)
Current Vs. High Case - LCR
0.2490.2620.090.399
0.2570.2520.1510.339
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (LCR)
Current Vs. High Case - MNA
0.2430.2460.1750.336
0.2050.2580.2530.283
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (MNA)
Current Vs. High Case - SAR
0.07109004740.25859004740.42387440760.2464454976
0.16226783970.14173998040.64353209510.0524600847
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
Lending by Business Lines - Current (FY02) Vs. High-Case (SAR)
Ded Vs. Non-Dedicated - Regions
501.792375.82203673
1078.1038557.8373
481.2356277.198
393.044625.9719
270.8623224.9432
196.529162.8937
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
Water Supply and Sanitation Components - IBRD/IDA Lending Approvals (FY98-02)
Ded. Vs. Non-Dedicated - Distri
2921.5667
24.5
22.5
9.325
475.6161
13.8
45.552
86.083
144.752
517.8084
9.07
246.544
36.3926
592.72303673
FY98-02
Approvals of Lending Operations w/ WSS Components (in Volume of Financing) - Dedicated Vs. Non-Dedicated (FY98-02)
Water (dedicated)56.8%
Educ.0%
Econ.Pol.0%
Energy &Mining0%
Financ.Sec.0%
Sanitation Vs. Water Supply
374.94111.236225.84588.2443
369.38049.243160.83441.994
221.897182.53642.636321.287
298.898691.4722388.3101424.72210021
84.61873652121.40822.1097264.6346
General WSS
Sanitation
Sewerage
Water Suppl.
Approvals of IBRD/IDA Lending w/ WSS Components (US$m) - FY98-02
Ded. Vs. Non-Dedicated - Trends
974.637813.899160.738
1430.0431098.595331.448
982.577634.831347.746
1505.893974.815531.078
1804.3541086.988717.366
1982.4551041.392941.063
1581.0651006.875574.19
1365.7376441.2991924.4385
1200.2613611.0956589.1657
981.4474393.969587.4784
1268.3501712.767555.5831
1203.40300021834.6668368.73620021
492.77103652369.0683123.70273652
TOTAL
Dedicated
Non-Dedicated
Approvals of IBRD/IDA Lending w/ WSS Components - Dedicated Vs. Non-Dedicated (US$m)
Regional Approvals - Trends
66.1815744.877163.562245.565153.0392.522
140.164286.5886243.271373.83133.1123.2977
121.715407.789136.595110.820486.94117.588
145.7333523.955288.068268.69220.537621.366
357.76100021385.6083176.2576215.895515.605652.275
112.2407365232114.24249.7839.6123144.896
AFR
EAP
ECA
LCR
MNA
SAR
Approvals of IBRD/IDA Lending w/ WSS Component(s) - (US$m)
Lending Projections (98-07) All
2921.56672224.66613673
43063744
70175687
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (All)
Lending Projections (98-07) AFR
501.792375.82203673
635.72664.4750611247
2395.99603911981472.7
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (AFR)
Lending Projections (98-07) EAP
1078.1038557.8373
1597.01651291.1394225217
1764.55721077961417.9477586622
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (EAP)
Lending Projections (98-07) ECA
481.2356277.198
675.993870.456739726
833.41602739731351.986
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (ECA)
Lending Projections (98-07) LCR
393.044625.9719
754.9473987664349.7450683829
1117.2411906677673.380695897
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (LCR)
Lending Projections (98-07) MNA
270.8623224.9432
416.1360
453.9665.5
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (MNA)
Lending Projections (98-07) SAR
196.529162.8937
225.975508.1608096828
452.3272537563705.464524207
Dedicated***
Non-Dedicated
Lending Comparisons (US$m) - Past Vs. Projections (SAR)
AAA - Regional Composition
8669
1101
3500
2421
815219
1201
Livable Cities
Investm. Climate
Rural Transform.
Safeguard Env.
AAA Composition in FY02 - By Business Lines (No. of Activities)
AAA - Business Line Composition
0.2371134021
0.3402061856
0.1030927835
0.3195876289
Share
AAA Composition in FY02 - by Business Lines ( No. of Activities)
Lending-AAA - Business Line
0.2430.2371134021
0.2460.3402061856
0.1750.1030927835
0.3360.3195876289
Lending
AAA
Lending & AAA Composition in FY02 - by Business Lines ( No. of Activities)
-
And most dramatically for hydropower02004006008001000120090-9293-9596-9899-0102-04IBRD/IDA & Grant Comm Amt
-
View of the Banks borrowers?Pride in improved performance in environmental and social quality of water infrastructure in recent decades
-
How performance has changed over time
-
What we heard from borrowers.Strong commitment to continued improvementSee complex infrastructure as a major area of World Bank comparative advantage..
-
The World Banks recent Global Poll of 1000 opinion-makersMessage: Infrastructure is critical and the Bank is perceived as having a comparative advantage in infrastructure
-
Most Important Sustainable Development Issue as judged by World Leaders2004
-
And how has the World Bank been seen to respond to this?
-
Middle-income countries with choices find the Banks business processes rigid and unrealistic
-
A bigger problem for poor countries without choices
-
WIDESPREAD PERCEPTION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: The Bank has become unreliable and risk averse: a risk multiplier rather than a risk mitigatorBorrowers with choices (the middle income countries) have largely disengaged from the Bank on these issues because they dont believe we are realistic and practicalThis leaves those with least capacity to meet standards that developed countries have never met, that developing countries with capacity cannot and will not meet
-
Feb 2003: New World Bank Water Strategy
-
Summary of main messagesWater management and development are essential for growth and poverty reduction therefore critical for the Bank to be engaged in all quadrantsWhat is needed in developing countries is management AND developmentThe main management challenge is not vision but principled pragmatismOn development the Bank needs to assist countries develop and maintain appropriate stocks of well-functioning infrastructureThe Bank has a comparative advantage in dealing with these complex issues, and there is strong demand for Bank engagementThe Bank will follow become a predictable, transparent partner which will re-engage with high-risk/high-reward infrastructure
-
Reaction of different groups to the proposed approach to Bank re-engagement with major water infrastructure?
-
Some forms of expression on these issues are more imaginative than others.
-
This became a rallying point for developing countries who had had enough
-
Unprecedented leadership by developing countries on the Board in support of re-engagement with major infrastructure.. We are firmly of the view that infrastructure investment is central to the Banks mission of poverty reduction..We would like senior management commitment to at least two high risk high benefit projects per region
-
WSSD/Johannesburg Plan of ImplementationIdentification of ALL hydro as a renewable source of energy, to be supported by international community.impossible because of NGO opposition said IPCC Chair in 2001Leadership by Brazil.Strong support from other developing countries
-
Now it is on to implementation .
-
The World Bank/India Country Assistance Strategy 2004-2008:Lending for water will increase from $200 million a year to $800 million a year
-
The takeaway message on the World Bank and water Were back!
-
Story LineThe challenge of water in the developing worldThe evolving role of the World BankThe potential role of a great university in addressing global water challenges
-
Why should a university like UNC consider a role?Because of:the importance of the issues the availability of resources upon which it can build, and UNCs comparative advantage in the field of water.
-
An interesting observation
. It is a continuing mystery to me that Harvard students are seized by the problems of species extinction, global warming, aids,. .But the ongoing, continual problem of the bill who live on less than a $ a day are not a matter for their passionate interest Since Sept 11 there has been a marked rise in interest by students from US universities
-
Greater engagement in global affairs is now a priority for leadership at UNC (and most other elite universities..) The Academic Plan lists six overriding academic priorities to guide Carolina over the next five years. One of these stated priorities is to extend our global presence in research and teaching. The Academic Plan further articulates a vision to further integrate interdisciplinary research, education, and public service in several areas, including global health.
-
Why should a university like UNC consider a role?Because of:the importance of the issues, the availability of resources upon which it can build, and UNCs comparative advantage in the field of water.
-
Water studies require a wide range of disciplinesTHE DISCIPLINES REQUIREDAnthropologyHistoryPolitical scienceEconomicsConflict ResolutionGeographyFinancePublic PolicyHydrologyLimnologyBiologyEngineeringEpidemiologyEtc.Etc.
THE RESOURCES AVAILABLE AT UNCSchool of Public HealthMedical SchoolCollege of Arts and SciencesBusiness SchoolCarolina Environmental ProgramCarolina Population CenterDuke UniversityNorth Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina Water Resources Research InstituteResearch Triangle InstituteOther Organizations in RTP
-
Why should a university like UNC consider a role?Because of:the importance of the issues, the availability of resources upon which it can build, and UNCs comparative advantage in the field of water.
-
There is a burgeoning and interest in international issues at US universitiesMany programs in development economicsMany programs in international public healthBut UNC can reasonably aspire to be #1 in the area of global water management
-
UNC has an illustrious history and a large reservoir of goodwill from students throughout the water and development world
One of the global giants in water, recognized for:Knowledge and commitmentIntegration of thinking and doingPutting and keeping UNC/SPH on the map
-
And those who have followed
-
A particularly important quality of Dans legacy.Water management is both an intellectual and practical issueDan and those who followed defied the aphorism:researchers dont practice, and practioners dont read
-
UNC is in a great position to strengthen its leadership position in --putting water on the brain of the next generation of students and scholars
-
And thus change the world, in ways great
-
And small..
-
Thank you!
First to the why? What drives the importance of hydropower, notwithstanding its complexities and challenges. Here is one perspective. Based on a poll of sustainability experts across mainly OECD countries, two issues sit at the top of the priority list for focus by world leaders: fresh water and renewable energy. Hydropower lies at the nexus.