Philadelphia Investors Conference: Economic Overview Panel Master Presentation
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Overview of the City and Regional Economy
DISCLAIMERThe information contained herein was prepared as part of
a presentation scheduled to have been given April 18 and
April 19, 2013, at an investor conference conducted bythe City of Philadelphia, and is provided solely in response
to a Right-to-Know Request, Slaughter CP 2013-1250. No
representation is made as to the accuracy and
completeness of such information, nor shall its being
provided herewith create any implication that there has
been no change in the matters described or referred to
therein since the dates of the conference or the date as of
which particular information is given, if earlier.
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Ryan SweetSenior Economist and Philadelphia Regional Expert
Moodys Analytics
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Better Times AheadRYAN SWEET, SENIOR ECONOMIST
Philadelphia Investor Conference , April 18, 2013
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Tourism Hel in Fill the Void
115
=
Philadelphia County employment, index to first mo of U.S. recovery
110 Local government
Leisure/hospitality
100
105 Education/healthcare
95
90
09 10 11 12
Sources: BLS, Moodys Analytics
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The Burbs Boom; Phill Comin Back
30Philadel hia Chester Delaware
Population by county, change yr ago, ths
15
20 Bucks Montgomery
5
10
-5
0
-15-
97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Sources: Census Bureau, Moodys Analytics
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Skills Ga Will Be a Test
330
Philadelphia County population holding degrees, BA or above, ths
Annual industrial demand
290
310
for educated workers
270Skills gap
230
250 Population holding degree
210
10 15 20 25 30
Source: Moodys Analytics
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More Than Eds and Meds
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Philadel hia Will Kee Pace
3
Employment, % change
1
-2
-1
-4
-3Philadelphia County U.S.
-07 08 09 10 11 12 13F 14F 15F 16F 17F 18F 19F 20F
Sources: BLS, Moodys Analytics
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Broad-Based GainsPhiladelphia Will Keep PaceAvg annual employment growth between 2013 and 2017, %
U.S. Philadelphia County
o a on arm . .
Construction 4.2 3.3
Manufacturing 0.2 1.3
Trade, Transportation and Utilities 0.8 1.6
Wholesale Trade 0.9 1.6
0.7 1.4
Transportation and Utilities 1.0 2.0
Transportation and Warehousing 1.0 2.1
Utilities 0.4 0.3
Information 2.0 1.0
Financial Activities 1.8 1.7
Professional and Business Services 3.4 3.2
Education and Health Services 2.7 2.5
Leisure and Hospitality 3.0 1.9
Other Services 1.7 1.3
Government 1.3 1.4
Federal Government-0.2 0.1
State Government 1.6 2.2
Local Government 1.5 1.9
Sources: BLS Mood 's Anal tics,
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www.economy.com
United States
121 North Walnut Street United Kin dom
Suite 500
West Chester PA 19380
+1.610.235.5299
Australia
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
+44.20.7772.5454
Level 10
1 O'Connell Street
Sydney, NSW, 2000
Australia
+61.2.9270.8111
Prague
Washingtonova 17
110 00 Prague 1
Czech Republic
+420.22.422.2929
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Paul LevyPresident
Center City District
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Philadelphias emergence as 21st century city,
24-hour, live/work downtown
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You may know us as one of the original colonies
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Home to Declaration of Independence & Liberty Bell
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You may know us as a major industrial center
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A place that used to make Stetson Hats
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Baldwin Locomotives
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Tell a very different story
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A city that has transformed itself
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While re-purposing & capitalizing on our history
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Beginning in 1956
While everyone was stil l demolishing the past
We renovated 567 historic structures
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Adding to downtown living for 60 years
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We removed obsolete industrial artifacts
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Defunct railroad lines
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To create the Penn Center office district
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All office buildings connected to transit
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1980s: Linked Pennsylvania & Reading Railroad
into inte rated re ional rail s stem
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Employers: easy access to 360 degree labor market
309 256 riders/da take transit into downtown
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1980s office boom:
41 5 illi f ffi 88 6%
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41.5 million sf office space; 88.6% occupancy5 points higher than the suburban average
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Rents steadily rising since the Recession
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167 jobs/acre; less than 1 job/acre suburbs
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Emerged as a center for research & health care
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Global center for education
U i it Cit d ti ll di
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University City campuses dramatically expanding
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Temple University: diversifying its campuses
Fi e major instit tions e panding do nto n
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Five major institutions expanding downtown
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Center City college enrollments &
Cit id Ed & M d l t i
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Citywide Eds & Meds employment growing
ever ear throu h the Recession
1992: Diversifying downtown land-use
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1992: Diversifying downtown land use
Investments: arts & entertainment
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1990: Early 20th century office district 40% vacant
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Renovated historic theaters
Built new theaters
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Built new theaters
2002: Kimmel Center for the Performing Arts
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2002: Kimmel Center for the Performing Arts4,000 seats added
New home for Philadelphia Theater CompanyNew home for Philadelphia Theater Company
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p p yp p y
South Broad transformed into a mixed use district
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South Broad transformed into a mixed use district
Center City today is rich with cultural amenities
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Center City today is rich with cultural amenities
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Continued to reinvest & expand
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Continued to reinvest & expand
The Barnes Foundation
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The Barnes Foundation
Public investment: hospitality
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p y
Penns lvania Convention Center: 1993
Prompt private investment in new hotels:
d t b ildi
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reused vacant buildings
A 95% increase in hotel rooms
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Nearly all within 15 minute walk
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Nearly all within 15 minute walk
Convention Center has just doubled in size
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j
Generating new development
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Hotel occupancy fully rebounded from recession
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2001: New Independence Visitors Center
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2001: New Independence Visitors Center
New home for Liberty Bell
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New Constitution Center
Di if i th h it lit i d t
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Diversif in the hos italit industr
New attractions have recently openedNational Museum of American Jewish History
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National Museum of American Jewish History
Presidents House
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We have added many new reasons for people
to come to Center City
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to come to Center City
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Flourishing of sidewalk cafes
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1995 = zero
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2002
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2003
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2004
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2005
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2006
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2008
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2009
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2010: 213 outdoor cafes
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273 cafes in 2011
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296 cafes in 2012*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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People attract people
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Residential revival
. .
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Retained architect &
buildings
Survey to determine best
,window size & exposure
Detailed economic analysis
for code compliance, cost-
estimate, pro-formas.
10 year residential tax abatement
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Extraordinar costs of
converting from vacant
office or industrial to
10 year abatement on
mprovements
Available cit wide
19982012:
171 buildin s converted to residential use
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Central Business District is no longer just an off ice district
49 condo buildings with 3,871 units inside CCD
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apar men u ngs: , un s
25,000 30,000
Since 1997 added 13,409 new units of housing
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With new rental units in the pipeline
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Significant volumes of returning empty nesters
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Younger home-buyers are moving outward
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Queen Village
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Northern Liberties
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Fairmount
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Passyunk Avenue
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Southwest Center City
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Center City has more than twice the national
average of residents ages 25-34.
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24,419 children were born to Greater Center City
arents from 2000 to 2012
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Greatest signs of change*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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Children are fil ling up our parks
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As quickly as we can build them*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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So at Dilworth Plaza*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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We are in the process of building more
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Philadelphia added population first time in 60 years*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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Driven in part bys an a no mm gra on
South Philadelphia
Eastern North Philadelphia
11% increase in population since 2000
26% in core of downtown
Since 1990
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Fastest growingMost densely settled
Population has steadily grown to 175,000
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Remain racially/ethnically diverse neighborhoods*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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42% of downtown residents work downtown
12% in University City
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75% commute to work without a car*SEE DISCLAIMER ON COVER PAGE
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42% have professional degrees
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These are the well-educated workers that employers wantBut 22% downtown jobs held by those with no more than HS diploma
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So there is the old image of Philadelphia
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And the reality that developers are selling
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Transformation of Center City into a diverse,
live/work, 24-hour downtown
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32% office; 21% eds/meds; 21% public sector;
14% hospitality & entertainment
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Setting for 34% of all the small, emerging
businesses in Philadel hia
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Dense, diverse & walkable place
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Well-linked to the region with highway & rail
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Positioned for growth
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Bob Moul
CEOArtisan Mobile, Inc.
Philly Startup Leaders