Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
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Transcript of Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 112wwwpewcenteronthestatesorg april 201
In the midst of the Great Recession andsevere investment declines the gapbetween the promises states made foremployeesrsquo retirement benefits and themoney they set aside to pay for themgrew to at least $126 trillion in fiscalyear 2009 resulting in a 26 percentincrease in one year
State pension plans represented slightlymore than half of this shortfall with $228trillion stowed away to cover $294 trillionin long-term liabilitiesmdashleaving about a$660 billion gap according to an analysisby the Pew Center on the States Retireehealth care and other benefits accountedfor the remaining $604 billion with assetstotaling $31 billion to pay for $635 billionin liabilities Pension funding shortfalls
surpassed funding gaps for retiree healthcare and other benefits for the first timesince states began reporting liabilities forthe latter in fiscal year 2006 1
Precipitous revenue declines in fiscalyear 2009 severely depleted state coffersand constrained their ability to paytheir annual retirement bills Statesrsquoown actuaries recommended that theycontribute nearly $115 billion to build upenough assets to fully fund their promisesover the long term but they contributedonly $73 billionmdashor 64 percent of thetotal annual bill This 2009 paymentrepresents a three percentage point declinefrom the previous fiscal yearrsquos contributionwhen they set aside just under $72 billiontoward a $108 billion requirement
The Widening Gapt g r rsquo im s p dr h c c
the widening gap
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 212
Pew Center on the StateS2
And statesrsquo ability to meet their annualpayments may not improve anytime soonmost government finance experts expectstate tax revenues to continue recoveringslowly in the years ahead
The $126 trillion figure is based onstatesrsquo own actuarial assumptions Moststates use an 8 percent discount ratemdashtheinvestment target that states expect toearn on average in future years Butthere is significant debate among policymakers and experts about what discountrate is most appropriate for states to usewhen valuing pension liabilities This isan important issue because dependingon how those liabilities are calculatedstatesrsquo total funding shortfall for their long-term pension obligations to public sectorretirees could be as much as $18 trillion(using assumptions similar to corporatepensions) or $24 trillion (using a discount
rate based on a 30-year Treasury bond)How states value long-term liabilities goingforward will play an important role indefining the scale of their challenges andthe actions they will have to take tomeet them
PensionsIn all state pension systems were slightly
less than 78 percent fundedmdashdecliningsix percentage points from the 2008 levelof 84 percent New York led the way witha funding level of 101 percentmdashthe onlystate to enjoy a surplusmdashwhile Illinois and
West Virginia were at the back of the pack
with just slightly more than half of theirliabilities accounted for Overall this is aworrisome trend because most expertsincluding the Government AccountabilityOffice advise states to have at least an 80percent funding level Thirty-one stateswere below this threshold in fiscal year2009 a dramatic one-year increase fromfiscal year 2008 when 22 states were lessthan 80 percent funded
In fiscal year 2000 when pension systemswere well funded states and participatinglocal governments had to pay $27billion to fund their promised benefitsadequately In fiscal year 2009 the annualpension payment requirement grew to$68 billionmdasha nominal (non-inflation-adjusted) increase of 152 percent overnine years States paid $563 billionmdash83percentmdashof this bill in fiscal year 2009Many experts agree that making full
annual contributions is key to effectivelymanaging the long-term costs of stateretirement systems
Far too many states arenot responsibly managingthe bill for theiremployeesrsquo retirement
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 312
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 3
Exhibit 1
Thirty-one stateswere below the 80percent fundedthreshold for awell-fundedpension system
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
NOTE Pew was able to obtain scal year 2009 data for all states except Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaii scal year 2008 datawere used for Ohio 2009 data were projected using preliminary valuations
Statesrsquo Public Sector Pensions 78 Funded in FY09
States with less than 80of pension liabilities funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
VA
WA
OR
CAUT
NE
ND
IA
NY
TX
MO
FL
NC
GA
PA
HI
Alabama $41634554 74 $1214983 100Alaska 15347768 61 268127 110Arizona 44078394 78 1141602 101Arkansas 22698906 78 534954 103California 490585000 81 12422673 82Colorado 54536549 69 1310315 66
Connecticut 41311400 62 1307200 96Delaware 7615166 94 148940 97Florida 141485280 84 2928569 108Georgia 79898410 87 1316048 100Hawaii 16549069 69 488770 104Idaho 12057500 74 235626 132Illinois 126435510 51 4076467 71Indiana 36924845 67 1293765 103Iowa 26602516 81 495196 87Kansas 21138206 64 660833 68Kentucky 35686737 58 964979 58Louisiana 39657924 60 1375288 97Maine 14410000 73 331700 100
Maryland 53054565 65 1338342 84Massachusetts 61140335 68 1968259 66Michigan 72911900 79 1381577 100Minnesota 60835351 77 1128407 78Mississippi 31386747 67 741520 100Missouri 55314996 79 1225512 90
Montana $10271027 74 $196002 92Nebraska 9427370 88 180411 100Nevada 33148347 72 1344489 90New Hampshire 8475062 58 262984 75New Jersey 134928225 66 4053524 36New Mexico 29003362 76 683886 93
New York 146733000 101 2456223 100North Carolina 76976542 97 762442 100North Dakota 4475800 81 83339 80Ohio 171194371 66 2565450 94Oklahoma 34815244 57 1346040 77Oregon 56810600 86 630800 100Pennsylvania 111317700 81 2405156 31Rhode Island 11500425 59 320173 100South Carolina 42050701 69 966538 100South Dakota 7494895 92 95280 100Tennessee 35198741 90 836911 100Texas 155679204 84 2611397 99Utah 24299183 86 665235 100
Vermont 4012955 73 68615 93 Virginia 69135000 80 1608466 82Washington 57754700 99 1829700 73West Virginia 14266419 56 541482 96Wisconsin 79104600 100 699300 100Wyoming 7401614 89 169712 63
TN
IL
NV
ID
MT
WY
CO
SD
MN
WI
OH
MI
NM
KS
SC
KY
ME
IN
LA
MS
AZOK
AR
WV
AL74
61
78 78
81 69
62
59
94
66
65
68
58
73
73101
81
80
97
69
87
84
67
60
84
57
64 79
77
79
100
56
66
58
6751
76
90
69
86
89
8872
74
99
86
81
92
81
74
RI
NJ
MA
NH
VT
CT
DE
MD
States with at least 80 of pension liabilities funded in scal year 2008 but less than 80 in scal year 2009Figures are in thousands
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 412
Pew Center on the StateS4
Record investment losses characterizedfiscal year 2009 The nationrsquos pensionplans suffered a median 191 percent dropin their assetsrsquo market value 2 For moststates whose fiscal year 2009 began on
July 1 2008 and ended on June 30 2009these data capture the worst effects of thefinancial crisis More recently many planshave reported double-digit investmentgains for fiscal year 2010 3
Fiscal Year 2010 Numbers
At this writing fiscal year 2010 data
are available for just 16 states but theinformation suggests great variation 4 These states represented more than aquarter of the US population in 2009
Collectively the average funding levelacross the 16 states fell slightly from 77percent in fiscal year 2009 to 75 percentin fiscal year 2010 Ten of the statessaw their pension funding levels furtherdecline ranging from 1 percentage pointin Maryland and Texas to 9 percentagepoints in North Dakota Three statesrsquopension systems rebounded with fundinglevel increases ranging from 2 percentagepoints in Vermont to a 5 percentage pointupswing in Idaho
This variation reflects in part differencesin the time of year that states recognizedinvestment gains It also is caused bystatesrsquo smoothing policies which involve
Mixed Picture FY10 Data Show Investment GainsRecessionrsquos LegacyF 16 s s f c f sc y 2010 v b v p sfu v f s y 75 p c f 77 p c p v us yFigures are in thousands
State
Pension liability Pct funded Required contribution Pct paidFY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09
C c cu $44826900 $41311400 53 62 $1472000 $1307200 87 96
d 7922174 7615166 92 94 148586 148940 97 97
F 148116907 141485280 82 84 2860448 2928569 107 108
i 12513200 12057500 79 74 262100 235626 114 132
i 27057850 26602516 81 81 524877 495196 89 87
K ucky 37006999 35686737 54 58 1023898 964979 58 58
l u s 41356966 39657924 56 60 1599612 1375288 84 97
m 14799200 14410000 70 73 330300 331700 103 100
m y 54498265 53054565 64 65 1544873 1338342 87 84
m s 57604243 60835351 80 77 1276570 1128407 67 78
n v 35163755 33148347 70 72 1394802 1344489 92 90
n h ps 8953932 8475062 58 58 269677 262984 100 75
n d k 4977500 4475800 72 81 107524 83339 66 80
t ss 35198741 35198741 90 90 836727 836911 100 100
t x s 163416523 155679204 83 84 3363531 2611397 82 99
V 4090328 4012955 75 73 89514 68615 94 93
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Exhibit 2
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 512
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 5
spreading investment returns out overtime to avoid extreme year-over-yearchanges in funding levels and requiredcontributions For example because Idahodoes not smooth returns its unfundedliability increased by $24 billion betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 but thenrecovered by $471 million in fiscal year2010 These were dramatic swings fora state with a relatively small pensionsystem Meanwhile Maryland whichsmoothes experienced losses betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 that weremilder but the state continued to see itsfunding level drop in fiscal year 2010
Overall these results suggest that whilestates benefited from better returns infiscal year 2010 the legacy of the financialcrisismdashand the steady deterioration in thehealth of many public sector retirementbenefit systems throughout much of the
last decademdashwill remain an issuefor years to come
Retiree Hea th Care andOther BenefitsRetiree health care and other benefitsmade up the rest of the shortfall in fiscalyear 2009 States had a total liability of $635 billion but had saved only about$31 billionmdashslightly less than 5 percent of the total cost The situation has worsenedsince fiscal year 2008 when states had$587 billion in liabilities and $32 billionin assets
Based on the most recent data statesmade only 36 percent of the $47 billionin contributions required by their ownactuaries for this long-term bill FivestatesmdashAlaska Arizona North DakotaUtah and Washingtonmdashmade fullcontributions
Making matters worse just two statesmdash Alaska and Ohiomdashaccounted for nearly62 percent of all the money set asideto fund retiree health care as of fiscalyear 2009 Nineteen states had set asidenothing to pay for these promises Thesestates continue to fund these benefits ona pay-as-you-go basis covering medicalcosts or premiums as they are incurred bycurrent retirees For states offering modestbenefits this may cause little problemBut for those that have made significantpromises the future fiscal burden could beenormous if more savings are not set asideor costs are not better managed
Alaska and Ohioaccounted for nearly 62percent of all the money
states had set aside to fundretiree health care
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
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Pew Center on the StateS6
Exhibit 3
Nineteen states had setaside no funds as of scal
year 2009 to pay theirbills coming due forretiree health care andother non-pensionbenets Only sevenstates had fundedat least a quarterof their liability
NOTE Data are the most recent available ranging from 2007 to 2010 Figures for Nebraska are not availableSOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Statesrsquo Retiree Health Benets 5 Funded in FY09
Percent of Liability Funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
FL
50 and above01 to 490
Alabama $14919073 5 $1313998 84Alaska 17400920 32 556483 111Arizona 2219542 69 137703 100Arkansas 1865809 0 193770 24California 66596300 01 5520943 31Colorado 2043914 13 106456 35
Connecticut 26018800 0 1820379 26Delaware 5636000 1 498300 35Florida 3742846 0 254754 32Georgia 20284637 4 1782998 30Hawaii 10791300 0 822454 36Idaho 493746 1 45494 39Illinois 43949729 01 3173699 24Indiana 524859 0 54290 13Iowa 538200 0 56844 42Kansas 236910 0 26769 34Kentucky 8754555 15 901848 33Louisiana 11512100 0 1196387 18Maine 2625963 6 156951 52
Maryland 16098602 1 1184552 28Massachusetts 15166300 2 1345 26Michigan 41419600 2 3977478 33Minnesota 1136601 0 121722 34Mississippi 727711 0 55991 62Missouri 3321637 1 276686 52
Montana $540894 0 $53276 0Nebraska NA NA NA NANevada 1874005 1 214937 21New Hampshire 3226105 5 272378 42New Jersey 66792900 0 5335500 25New Mexico 3116916 5 286538 32
New York 56286000 0 4133000 31North Carolina 33814515 3 2752730 33North Dakota 161376 28 6085 106Ohio 43360893 31 2649286 40Oklahoma 359800 0 48200 0Oregon 555047 68 39285 44Pennsylvania 16303617 1 1088997 56Rhode Island 788189 0 46125 62South Carolina 9667187 5 736548 51South Dakota 67100 0 7676 40Tennessee 1746879 0 170142 39Texas 53890544 1 4370235 26Utah 456237 13 53969 100
Vermont 1628934 05 116964 19 Virginia 5830000 26 523161 75Washington 7618372 0 706251 102West Virginia 6362640 4 148000 69Wisconsin 2326834 28 225362 45Wyoming 174161 0 20431 69
Figures are in thousands
WV
NH
VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
IL
VA
OR
CA
NV
UT
CO
NENO DATA
AVAILABLE
SD
NDMN
IA
WI
OH
MI
NY
NM
TX
KS MO
AL
SC
KY
NC
ME
LAMS
TN
GA
AZ OKAR
HI
IN
PA
MT
WA
ID
WY
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 212
Pew Center on the StateS2
And statesrsquo ability to meet their annualpayments may not improve anytime soonmost government finance experts expectstate tax revenues to continue recoveringslowly in the years ahead
The $126 trillion figure is based onstatesrsquo own actuarial assumptions Moststates use an 8 percent discount ratemdashtheinvestment target that states expect toearn on average in future years Butthere is significant debate among policymakers and experts about what discountrate is most appropriate for states to usewhen valuing pension liabilities This isan important issue because dependingon how those liabilities are calculatedstatesrsquo total funding shortfall for their long-term pension obligations to public sectorretirees could be as much as $18 trillion(using assumptions similar to corporatepensions) or $24 trillion (using a discount
rate based on a 30-year Treasury bond)How states value long-term liabilities goingforward will play an important role indefining the scale of their challenges andthe actions they will have to take tomeet them
PensionsIn all state pension systems were slightly
less than 78 percent fundedmdashdecliningsix percentage points from the 2008 levelof 84 percent New York led the way witha funding level of 101 percentmdashthe onlystate to enjoy a surplusmdashwhile Illinois and
West Virginia were at the back of the pack
with just slightly more than half of theirliabilities accounted for Overall this is aworrisome trend because most expertsincluding the Government AccountabilityOffice advise states to have at least an 80percent funding level Thirty-one stateswere below this threshold in fiscal year2009 a dramatic one-year increase fromfiscal year 2008 when 22 states were lessthan 80 percent funded
In fiscal year 2000 when pension systemswere well funded states and participatinglocal governments had to pay $27billion to fund their promised benefitsadequately In fiscal year 2009 the annualpension payment requirement grew to$68 billionmdasha nominal (non-inflation-adjusted) increase of 152 percent overnine years States paid $563 billionmdash83percentmdashof this bill in fiscal year 2009Many experts agree that making full
annual contributions is key to effectivelymanaging the long-term costs of stateretirement systems
Far too many states arenot responsibly managingthe bill for theiremployeesrsquo retirement
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 312
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 3
Exhibit 1
Thirty-one stateswere below the 80percent fundedthreshold for awell-fundedpension system
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
NOTE Pew was able to obtain scal year 2009 data for all states except Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaii scal year 2008 datawere used for Ohio 2009 data were projected using preliminary valuations
Statesrsquo Public Sector Pensions 78 Funded in FY09
States with less than 80of pension liabilities funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
VA
WA
OR
CAUT
NE
ND
IA
NY
TX
MO
FL
NC
GA
PA
HI
Alabama $41634554 74 $1214983 100Alaska 15347768 61 268127 110Arizona 44078394 78 1141602 101Arkansas 22698906 78 534954 103California 490585000 81 12422673 82Colorado 54536549 69 1310315 66
Connecticut 41311400 62 1307200 96Delaware 7615166 94 148940 97Florida 141485280 84 2928569 108Georgia 79898410 87 1316048 100Hawaii 16549069 69 488770 104Idaho 12057500 74 235626 132Illinois 126435510 51 4076467 71Indiana 36924845 67 1293765 103Iowa 26602516 81 495196 87Kansas 21138206 64 660833 68Kentucky 35686737 58 964979 58Louisiana 39657924 60 1375288 97Maine 14410000 73 331700 100
Maryland 53054565 65 1338342 84Massachusetts 61140335 68 1968259 66Michigan 72911900 79 1381577 100Minnesota 60835351 77 1128407 78Mississippi 31386747 67 741520 100Missouri 55314996 79 1225512 90
Montana $10271027 74 $196002 92Nebraska 9427370 88 180411 100Nevada 33148347 72 1344489 90New Hampshire 8475062 58 262984 75New Jersey 134928225 66 4053524 36New Mexico 29003362 76 683886 93
New York 146733000 101 2456223 100North Carolina 76976542 97 762442 100North Dakota 4475800 81 83339 80Ohio 171194371 66 2565450 94Oklahoma 34815244 57 1346040 77Oregon 56810600 86 630800 100Pennsylvania 111317700 81 2405156 31Rhode Island 11500425 59 320173 100South Carolina 42050701 69 966538 100South Dakota 7494895 92 95280 100Tennessee 35198741 90 836911 100Texas 155679204 84 2611397 99Utah 24299183 86 665235 100
Vermont 4012955 73 68615 93 Virginia 69135000 80 1608466 82Washington 57754700 99 1829700 73West Virginia 14266419 56 541482 96Wisconsin 79104600 100 699300 100Wyoming 7401614 89 169712 63
TN
IL
NV
ID
MT
WY
CO
SD
MN
WI
OH
MI
NM
KS
SC
KY
ME
IN
LA
MS
AZOK
AR
WV
AL74
61
78 78
81 69
62
59
94
66
65
68
58
73
73101
81
80
97
69
87
84
67
60
84
57
64 79
77
79
100
56
66
58
6751
76
90
69
86
89
8872
74
99
86
81
92
81
74
RI
NJ
MA
NH
VT
CT
DE
MD
States with at least 80 of pension liabilities funded in scal year 2008 but less than 80 in scal year 2009Figures are in thousands
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 412
Pew Center on the StateS4
Record investment losses characterizedfiscal year 2009 The nationrsquos pensionplans suffered a median 191 percent dropin their assetsrsquo market value 2 For moststates whose fiscal year 2009 began on
July 1 2008 and ended on June 30 2009these data capture the worst effects of thefinancial crisis More recently many planshave reported double-digit investmentgains for fiscal year 2010 3
Fiscal Year 2010 Numbers
At this writing fiscal year 2010 data
are available for just 16 states but theinformation suggests great variation 4 These states represented more than aquarter of the US population in 2009
Collectively the average funding levelacross the 16 states fell slightly from 77percent in fiscal year 2009 to 75 percentin fiscal year 2010 Ten of the statessaw their pension funding levels furtherdecline ranging from 1 percentage pointin Maryland and Texas to 9 percentagepoints in North Dakota Three statesrsquopension systems rebounded with fundinglevel increases ranging from 2 percentagepoints in Vermont to a 5 percentage pointupswing in Idaho
This variation reflects in part differencesin the time of year that states recognizedinvestment gains It also is caused bystatesrsquo smoothing policies which involve
Mixed Picture FY10 Data Show Investment GainsRecessionrsquos LegacyF 16 s s f c f sc y 2010 v b v p sfu v f s y 75 p c f 77 p c p v us yFigures are in thousands
State
Pension liability Pct funded Required contribution Pct paidFY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09
C c cu $44826900 $41311400 53 62 $1472000 $1307200 87 96
d 7922174 7615166 92 94 148586 148940 97 97
F 148116907 141485280 82 84 2860448 2928569 107 108
i 12513200 12057500 79 74 262100 235626 114 132
i 27057850 26602516 81 81 524877 495196 89 87
K ucky 37006999 35686737 54 58 1023898 964979 58 58
l u s 41356966 39657924 56 60 1599612 1375288 84 97
m 14799200 14410000 70 73 330300 331700 103 100
m y 54498265 53054565 64 65 1544873 1338342 87 84
m s 57604243 60835351 80 77 1276570 1128407 67 78
n v 35163755 33148347 70 72 1394802 1344489 92 90
n h ps 8953932 8475062 58 58 269677 262984 100 75
n d k 4977500 4475800 72 81 107524 83339 66 80
t ss 35198741 35198741 90 90 836727 836911 100 100
t x s 163416523 155679204 83 84 3363531 2611397 82 99
V 4090328 4012955 75 73 89514 68615 94 93
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Exhibit 2
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 512
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 5
spreading investment returns out overtime to avoid extreme year-over-yearchanges in funding levels and requiredcontributions For example because Idahodoes not smooth returns its unfundedliability increased by $24 billion betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 but thenrecovered by $471 million in fiscal year2010 These were dramatic swings fora state with a relatively small pensionsystem Meanwhile Maryland whichsmoothes experienced losses betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 that weremilder but the state continued to see itsfunding level drop in fiscal year 2010
Overall these results suggest that whilestates benefited from better returns infiscal year 2010 the legacy of the financialcrisismdashand the steady deterioration in thehealth of many public sector retirementbenefit systems throughout much of the
last decademdashwill remain an issuefor years to come
Retiree Hea th Care andOther BenefitsRetiree health care and other benefitsmade up the rest of the shortfall in fiscalyear 2009 States had a total liability of $635 billion but had saved only about$31 billionmdashslightly less than 5 percent of the total cost The situation has worsenedsince fiscal year 2008 when states had$587 billion in liabilities and $32 billionin assets
Based on the most recent data statesmade only 36 percent of the $47 billionin contributions required by their ownactuaries for this long-term bill FivestatesmdashAlaska Arizona North DakotaUtah and Washingtonmdashmade fullcontributions
Making matters worse just two statesmdash Alaska and Ohiomdashaccounted for nearly62 percent of all the money set asideto fund retiree health care as of fiscalyear 2009 Nineteen states had set asidenothing to pay for these promises Thesestates continue to fund these benefits ona pay-as-you-go basis covering medicalcosts or premiums as they are incurred bycurrent retirees For states offering modestbenefits this may cause little problemBut for those that have made significantpromises the future fiscal burden could beenormous if more savings are not set asideor costs are not better managed
Alaska and Ohioaccounted for nearly 62percent of all the money
states had set aside to fundretiree health care
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 612
Pew Center on the StateS6
Exhibit 3
Nineteen states had setaside no funds as of scal
year 2009 to pay theirbills coming due forretiree health care andother non-pensionbenets Only sevenstates had fundedat least a quarterof their liability
NOTE Data are the most recent available ranging from 2007 to 2010 Figures for Nebraska are not availableSOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Statesrsquo Retiree Health Benets 5 Funded in FY09
Percent of Liability Funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
FL
50 and above01 to 490
Alabama $14919073 5 $1313998 84Alaska 17400920 32 556483 111Arizona 2219542 69 137703 100Arkansas 1865809 0 193770 24California 66596300 01 5520943 31Colorado 2043914 13 106456 35
Connecticut 26018800 0 1820379 26Delaware 5636000 1 498300 35Florida 3742846 0 254754 32Georgia 20284637 4 1782998 30Hawaii 10791300 0 822454 36Idaho 493746 1 45494 39Illinois 43949729 01 3173699 24Indiana 524859 0 54290 13Iowa 538200 0 56844 42Kansas 236910 0 26769 34Kentucky 8754555 15 901848 33Louisiana 11512100 0 1196387 18Maine 2625963 6 156951 52
Maryland 16098602 1 1184552 28Massachusetts 15166300 2 1345 26Michigan 41419600 2 3977478 33Minnesota 1136601 0 121722 34Mississippi 727711 0 55991 62Missouri 3321637 1 276686 52
Montana $540894 0 $53276 0Nebraska NA NA NA NANevada 1874005 1 214937 21New Hampshire 3226105 5 272378 42New Jersey 66792900 0 5335500 25New Mexico 3116916 5 286538 32
New York 56286000 0 4133000 31North Carolina 33814515 3 2752730 33North Dakota 161376 28 6085 106Ohio 43360893 31 2649286 40Oklahoma 359800 0 48200 0Oregon 555047 68 39285 44Pennsylvania 16303617 1 1088997 56Rhode Island 788189 0 46125 62South Carolina 9667187 5 736548 51South Dakota 67100 0 7676 40Tennessee 1746879 0 170142 39Texas 53890544 1 4370235 26Utah 456237 13 53969 100
Vermont 1628934 05 116964 19 Virginia 5830000 26 523161 75Washington 7618372 0 706251 102West Virginia 6362640 4 148000 69Wisconsin 2326834 28 225362 45Wyoming 174161 0 20431 69
Figures are in thousands
WV
NH
VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
IL
VA
OR
CA
NV
UT
CO
NENO DATA
AVAILABLE
SD
NDMN
IA
WI
OH
MI
NY
NM
TX
KS MO
AL
SC
KY
NC
ME
LAMS
TN
GA
AZ OKAR
HI
IN
PA
MT
WA
ID
WY
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 312
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 3
Exhibit 1
Thirty-one stateswere below the 80percent fundedthreshold for awell-fundedpension system
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
NOTE Pew was able to obtain scal year 2009 data for all states except Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaii scal year 2008 datawere used for Ohio 2009 data were projected using preliminary valuations
Statesrsquo Public Sector Pensions 78 Funded in FY09
States with less than 80of pension liabilities funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
VA
WA
OR
CAUT
NE
ND
IA
NY
TX
MO
FL
NC
GA
PA
HI
Alabama $41634554 74 $1214983 100Alaska 15347768 61 268127 110Arizona 44078394 78 1141602 101Arkansas 22698906 78 534954 103California 490585000 81 12422673 82Colorado 54536549 69 1310315 66
Connecticut 41311400 62 1307200 96Delaware 7615166 94 148940 97Florida 141485280 84 2928569 108Georgia 79898410 87 1316048 100Hawaii 16549069 69 488770 104Idaho 12057500 74 235626 132Illinois 126435510 51 4076467 71Indiana 36924845 67 1293765 103Iowa 26602516 81 495196 87Kansas 21138206 64 660833 68Kentucky 35686737 58 964979 58Louisiana 39657924 60 1375288 97Maine 14410000 73 331700 100
Maryland 53054565 65 1338342 84Massachusetts 61140335 68 1968259 66Michigan 72911900 79 1381577 100Minnesota 60835351 77 1128407 78Mississippi 31386747 67 741520 100Missouri 55314996 79 1225512 90
Montana $10271027 74 $196002 92Nebraska 9427370 88 180411 100Nevada 33148347 72 1344489 90New Hampshire 8475062 58 262984 75New Jersey 134928225 66 4053524 36New Mexico 29003362 76 683886 93
New York 146733000 101 2456223 100North Carolina 76976542 97 762442 100North Dakota 4475800 81 83339 80Ohio 171194371 66 2565450 94Oklahoma 34815244 57 1346040 77Oregon 56810600 86 630800 100Pennsylvania 111317700 81 2405156 31Rhode Island 11500425 59 320173 100South Carolina 42050701 69 966538 100South Dakota 7494895 92 95280 100Tennessee 35198741 90 836911 100Texas 155679204 84 2611397 99Utah 24299183 86 665235 100
Vermont 4012955 73 68615 93 Virginia 69135000 80 1608466 82Washington 57754700 99 1829700 73West Virginia 14266419 56 541482 96Wisconsin 79104600 100 699300 100Wyoming 7401614 89 169712 63
TN
IL
NV
ID
MT
WY
CO
SD
MN
WI
OH
MI
NM
KS
SC
KY
ME
IN
LA
MS
AZOK
AR
WV
AL74
61
78 78
81 69
62
59
94
66
65
68
58
73
73101
81
80
97
69
87
84
67
60
84
57
64 79
77
79
100
56
66
58
6751
76
90
69
86
89
8872
74
99
86
81
92
81
74
RI
NJ
MA
NH
VT
CT
DE
MD
States with at least 80 of pension liabilities funded in scal year 2008 but less than 80 in scal year 2009Figures are in thousands
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 412
Pew Center on the StateS4
Record investment losses characterizedfiscal year 2009 The nationrsquos pensionplans suffered a median 191 percent dropin their assetsrsquo market value 2 For moststates whose fiscal year 2009 began on
July 1 2008 and ended on June 30 2009these data capture the worst effects of thefinancial crisis More recently many planshave reported double-digit investmentgains for fiscal year 2010 3
Fiscal Year 2010 Numbers
At this writing fiscal year 2010 data
are available for just 16 states but theinformation suggests great variation 4 These states represented more than aquarter of the US population in 2009
Collectively the average funding levelacross the 16 states fell slightly from 77percent in fiscal year 2009 to 75 percentin fiscal year 2010 Ten of the statessaw their pension funding levels furtherdecline ranging from 1 percentage pointin Maryland and Texas to 9 percentagepoints in North Dakota Three statesrsquopension systems rebounded with fundinglevel increases ranging from 2 percentagepoints in Vermont to a 5 percentage pointupswing in Idaho
This variation reflects in part differencesin the time of year that states recognizedinvestment gains It also is caused bystatesrsquo smoothing policies which involve
Mixed Picture FY10 Data Show Investment GainsRecessionrsquos LegacyF 16 s s f c f sc y 2010 v b v p sfu v f s y 75 p c f 77 p c p v us yFigures are in thousands
State
Pension liability Pct funded Required contribution Pct paidFY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09
C c cu $44826900 $41311400 53 62 $1472000 $1307200 87 96
d 7922174 7615166 92 94 148586 148940 97 97
F 148116907 141485280 82 84 2860448 2928569 107 108
i 12513200 12057500 79 74 262100 235626 114 132
i 27057850 26602516 81 81 524877 495196 89 87
K ucky 37006999 35686737 54 58 1023898 964979 58 58
l u s 41356966 39657924 56 60 1599612 1375288 84 97
m 14799200 14410000 70 73 330300 331700 103 100
m y 54498265 53054565 64 65 1544873 1338342 87 84
m s 57604243 60835351 80 77 1276570 1128407 67 78
n v 35163755 33148347 70 72 1394802 1344489 92 90
n h ps 8953932 8475062 58 58 269677 262984 100 75
n d k 4977500 4475800 72 81 107524 83339 66 80
t ss 35198741 35198741 90 90 836727 836911 100 100
t x s 163416523 155679204 83 84 3363531 2611397 82 99
V 4090328 4012955 75 73 89514 68615 94 93
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Exhibit 2
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 512
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 5
spreading investment returns out overtime to avoid extreme year-over-yearchanges in funding levels and requiredcontributions For example because Idahodoes not smooth returns its unfundedliability increased by $24 billion betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 but thenrecovered by $471 million in fiscal year2010 These were dramatic swings fora state with a relatively small pensionsystem Meanwhile Maryland whichsmoothes experienced losses betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 that weremilder but the state continued to see itsfunding level drop in fiscal year 2010
Overall these results suggest that whilestates benefited from better returns infiscal year 2010 the legacy of the financialcrisismdashand the steady deterioration in thehealth of many public sector retirementbenefit systems throughout much of the
last decademdashwill remain an issuefor years to come
Retiree Hea th Care andOther BenefitsRetiree health care and other benefitsmade up the rest of the shortfall in fiscalyear 2009 States had a total liability of $635 billion but had saved only about$31 billionmdashslightly less than 5 percent of the total cost The situation has worsenedsince fiscal year 2008 when states had$587 billion in liabilities and $32 billionin assets
Based on the most recent data statesmade only 36 percent of the $47 billionin contributions required by their ownactuaries for this long-term bill FivestatesmdashAlaska Arizona North DakotaUtah and Washingtonmdashmade fullcontributions
Making matters worse just two statesmdash Alaska and Ohiomdashaccounted for nearly62 percent of all the money set asideto fund retiree health care as of fiscalyear 2009 Nineteen states had set asidenothing to pay for these promises Thesestates continue to fund these benefits ona pay-as-you-go basis covering medicalcosts or premiums as they are incurred bycurrent retirees For states offering modestbenefits this may cause little problemBut for those that have made significantpromises the future fiscal burden could beenormous if more savings are not set asideor costs are not better managed
Alaska and Ohioaccounted for nearly 62percent of all the money
states had set aside to fundretiree health care
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 612
Pew Center on the StateS6
Exhibit 3
Nineteen states had setaside no funds as of scal
year 2009 to pay theirbills coming due forretiree health care andother non-pensionbenets Only sevenstates had fundedat least a quarterof their liability
NOTE Data are the most recent available ranging from 2007 to 2010 Figures for Nebraska are not availableSOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Statesrsquo Retiree Health Benets 5 Funded in FY09
Percent of Liability Funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
FL
50 and above01 to 490
Alabama $14919073 5 $1313998 84Alaska 17400920 32 556483 111Arizona 2219542 69 137703 100Arkansas 1865809 0 193770 24California 66596300 01 5520943 31Colorado 2043914 13 106456 35
Connecticut 26018800 0 1820379 26Delaware 5636000 1 498300 35Florida 3742846 0 254754 32Georgia 20284637 4 1782998 30Hawaii 10791300 0 822454 36Idaho 493746 1 45494 39Illinois 43949729 01 3173699 24Indiana 524859 0 54290 13Iowa 538200 0 56844 42Kansas 236910 0 26769 34Kentucky 8754555 15 901848 33Louisiana 11512100 0 1196387 18Maine 2625963 6 156951 52
Maryland 16098602 1 1184552 28Massachusetts 15166300 2 1345 26Michigan 41419600 2 3977478 33Minnesota 1136601 0 121722 34Mississippi 727711 0 55991 62Missouri 3321637 1 276686 52
Montana $540894 0 $53276 0Nebraska NA NA NA NANevada 1874005 1 214937 21New Hampshire 3226105 5 272378 42New Jersey 66792900 0 5335500 25New Mexico 3116916 5 286538 32
New York 56286000 0 4133000 31North Carolina 33814515 3 2752730 33North Dakota 161376 28 6085 106Ohio 43360893 31 2649286 40Oklahoma 359800 0 48200 0Oregon 555047 68 39285 44Pennsylvania 16303617 1 1088997 56Rhode Island 788189 0 46125 62South Carolina 9667187 5 736548 51South Dakota 67100 0 7676 40Tennessee 1746879 0 170142 39Texas 53890544 1 4370235 26Utah 456237 13 53969 100
Vermont 1628934 05 116964 19 Virginia 5830000 26 523161 75Washington 7618372 0 706251 102West Virginia 6362640 4 148000 69Wisconsin 2326834 28 225362 45Wyoming 174161 0 20431 69
Figures are in thousands
WV
NH
VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
IL
VA
OR
CA
NV
UT
CO
NENO DATA
AVAILABLE
SD
NDMN
IA
WI
OH
MI
NY
NM
TX
KS MO
AL
SC
KY
NC
ME
LAMS
TN
GA
AZ OKAR
HI
IN
PA
MT
WA
ID
WY
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 412
Pew Center on the StateS4
Record investment losses characterizedfiscal year 2009 The nationrsquos pensionplans suffered a median 191 percent dropin their assetsrsquo market value 2 For moststates whose fiscal year 2009 began on
July 1 2008 and ended on June 30 2009these data capture the worst effects of thefinancial crisis More recently many planshave reported double-digit investmentgains for fiscal year 2010 3
Fiscal Year 2010 Numbers
At this writing fiscal year 2010 data
are available for just 16 states but theinformation suggests great variation 4 These states represented more than aquarter of the US population in 2009
Collectively the average funding levelacross the 16 states fell slightly from 77percent in fiscal year 2009 to 75 percentin fiscal year 2010 Ten of the statessaw their pension funding levels furtherdecline ranging from 1 percentage pointin Maryland and Texas to 9 percentagepoints in North Dakota Three statesrsquopension systems rebounded with fundinglevel increases ranging from 2 percentagepoints in Vermont to a 5 percentage pointupswing in Idaho
This variation reflects in part differencesin the time of year that states recognizedinvestment gains It also is caused bystatesrsquo smoothing policies which involve
Mixed Picture FY10 Data Show Investment GainsRecessionrsquos LegacyF 16 s s f c f sc y 2010 v b v p sfu v f s y 75 p c f 77 p c p v us yFigures are in thousands
State
Pension liability Pct funded Required contribution Pct paidFY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 FY09
C c cu $44826900 $41311400 53 62 $1472000 $1307200 87 96
d 7922174 7615166 92 94 148586 148940 97 97
F 148116907 141485280 82 84 2860448 2928569 107 108
i 12513200 12057500 79 74 262100 235626 114 132
i 27057850 26602516 81 81 524877 495196 89 87
K ucky 37006999 35686737 54 58 1023898 964979 58 58
l u s 41356966 39657924 56 60 1599612 1375288 84 97
m 14799200 14410000 70 73 330300 331700 103 100
m y 54498265 53054565 64 65 1544873 1338342 87 84
m s 57604243 60835351 80 77 1276570 1128407 67 78
n v 35163755 33148347 70 72 1394802 1344489 92 90
n h ps 8953932 8475062 58 58 269677 262984 100 75
n d k 4977500 4475800 72 81 107524 83339 66 80
t ss 35198741 35198741 90 90 836727 836911 100 100
t x s 163416523 155679204 83 84 3363531 2611397 82 99
V 4090328 4012955 75 73 89514 68615 94 93
SOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Exhibit 2
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 512
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 5
spreading investment returns out overtime to avoid extreme year-over-yearchanges in funding levels and requiredcontributions For example because Idahodoes not smooth returns its unfundedliability increased by $24 billion betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 but thenrecovered by $471 million in fiscal year2010 These were dramatic swings fora state with a relatively small pensionsystem Meanwhile Maryland whichsmoothes experienced losses betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 that weremilder but the state continued to see itsfunding level drop in fiscal year 2010
Overall these results suggest that whilestates benefited from better returns infiscal year 2010 the legacy of the financialcrisismdashand the steady deterioration in thehealth of many public sector retirementbenefit systems throughout much of the
last decademdashwill remain an issuefor years to come
Retiree Hea th Care andOther BenefitsRetiree health care and other benefitsmade up the rest of the shortfall in fiscalyear 2009 States had a total liability of $635 billion but had saved only about$31 billionmdashslightly less than 5 percent of the total cost The situation has worsenedsince fiscal year 2008 when states had$587 billion in liabilities and $32 billionin assets
Based on the most recent data statesmade only 36 percent of the $47 billionin contributions required by their ownactuaries for this long-term bill FivestatesmdashAlaska Arizona North DakotaUtah and Washingtonmdashmade fullcontributions
Making matters worse just two statesmdash Alaska and Ohiomdashaccounted for nearly62 percent of all the money set asideto fund retiree health care as of fiscalyear 2009 Nineteen states had set asidenothing to pay for these promises Thesestates continue to fund these benefits ona pay-as-you-go basis covering medicalcosts or premiums as they are incurred bycurrent retirees For states offering modestbenefits this may cause little problemBut for those that have made significantpromises the future fiscal burden could beenormous if more savings are not set asideor costs are not better managed
Alaska and Ohioaccounted for nearly 62percent of all the money
states had set aside to fundretiree health care
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 612
Pew Center on the StateS6
Exhibit 3
Nineteen states had setaside no funds as of scal
year 2009 to pay theirbills coming due forretiree health care andother non-pensionbenets Only sevenstates had fundedat least a quarterof their liability
NOTE Data are the most recent available ranging from 2007 to 2010 Figures for Nebraska are not availableSOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Statesrsquo Retiree Health Benets 5 Funded in FY09
Percent of Liability Funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
FL
50 and above01 to 490
Alabama $14919073 5 $1313998 84Alaska 17400920 32 556483 111Arizona 2219542 69 137703 100Arkansas 1865809 0 193770 24California 66596300 01 5520943 31Colorado 2043914 13 106456 35
Connecticut 26018800 0 1820379 26Delaware 5636000 1 498300 35Florida 3742846 0 254754 32Georgia 20284637 4 1782998 30Hawaii 10791300 0 822454 36Idaho 493746 1 45494 39Illinois 43949729 01 3173699 24Indiana 524859 0 54290 13Iowa 538200 0 56844 42Kansas 236910 0 26769 34Kentucky 8754555 15 901848 33Louisiana 11512100 0 1196387 18Maine 2625963 6 156951 52
Maryland 16098602 1 1184552 28Massachusetts 15166300 2 1345 26Michigan 41419600 2 3977478 33Minnesota 1136601 0 121722 34Mississippi 727711 0 55991 62Missouri 3321637 1 276686 52
Montana $540894 0 $53276 0Nebraska NA NA NA NANevada 1874005 1 214937 21New Hampshire 3226105 5 272378 42New Jersey 66792900 0 5335500 25New Mexico 3116916 5 286538 32
New York 56286000 0 4133000 31North Carolina 33814515 3 2752730 33North Dakota 161376 28 6085 106Ohio 43360893 31 2649286 40Oklahoma 359800 0 48200 0Oregon 555047 68 39285 44Pennsylvania 16303617 1 1088997 56Rhode Island 788189 0 46125 62South Carolina 9667187 5 736548 51South Dakota 67100 0 7676 40Tennessee 1746879 0 170142 39Texas 53890544 1 4370235 26Utah 456237 13 53969 100
Vermont 1628934 05 116964 19 Virginia 5830000 26 523161 75Washington 7618372 0 706251 102West Virginia 6362640 4 148000 69Wisconsin 2326834 28 225362 45Wyoming 174161 0 20431 69
Figures are in thousands
WV
NH
VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
IL
VA
OR
CA
NV
UT
CO
NENO DATA
AVAILABLE
SD
NDMN
IA
WI
OH
MI
NY
NM
TX
KS MO
AL
SC
KY
NC
ME
LAMS
TN
GA
AZ OKAR
HI
IN
PA
MT
WA
ID
WY
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 512
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 5
spreading investment returns out overtime to avoid extreme year-over-yearchanges in funding levels and requiredcontributions For example because Idahodoes not smooth returns its unfundedliability increased by $24 billion betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 but thenrecovered by $471 million in fiscal year2010 These were dramatic swings fora state with a relatively small pensionsystem Meanwhile Maryland whichsmoothes experienced losses betweenfiscal years 2008 and 2009 that weremilder but the state continued to see itsfunding level drop in fiscal year 2010
Overall these results suggest that whilestates benefited from better returns infiscal year 2010 the legacy of the financialcrisismdashand the steady deterioration in thehealth of many public sector retirementbenefit systems throughout much of the
last decademdashwill remain an issuefor years to come
Retiree Hea th Care andOther BenefitsRetiree health care and other benefitsmade up the rest of the shortfall in fiscalyear 2009 States had a total liability of $635 billion but had saved only about$31 billionmdashslightly less than 5 percent of the total cost The situation has worsenedsince fiscal year 2008 when states had$587 billion in liabilities and $32 billionin assets
Based on the most recent data statesmade only 36 percent of the $47 billionin contributions required by their ownactuaries for this long-term bill FivestatesmdashAlaska Arizona North DakotaUtah and Washingtonmdashmade fullcontributions
Making matters worse just two statesmdash Alaska and Ohiomdashaccounted for nearly62 percent of all the money set asideto fund retiree health care as of fiscalyear 2009 Nineteen states had set asidenothing to pay for these promises Thesestates continue to fund these benefits ona pay-as-you-go basis covering medicalcosts or premiums as they are incurred bycurrent retirees For states offering modestbenefits this may cause little problemBut for those that have made significantpromises the future fiscal burden could beenormous if more savings are not set asideor costs are not better managed
Alaska and Ohioaccounted for nearly 62percent of all the money
states had set aside to fundretiree health care
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 612
Pew Center on the StateS6
Exhibit 3
Nineteen states had setaside no funds as of scal
year 2009 to pay theirbills coming due forretiree health care andother non-pensionbenets Only sevenstates had fundedat least a quarterof their liability
NOTE Data are the most recent available ranging from 2007 to 2010 Figures for Nebraska are not availableSOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Statesrsquo Retiree Health Benets 5 Funded in FY09
Percent of Liability Funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
FL
50 and above01 to 490
Alabama $14919073 5 $1313998 84Alaska 17400920 32 556483 111Arizona 2219542 69 137703 100Arkansas 1865809 0 193770 24California 66596300 01 5520943 31Colorado 2043914 13 106456 35
Connecticut 26018800 0 1820379 26Delaware 5636000 1 498300 35Florida 3742846 0 254754 32Georgia 20284637 4 1782998 30Hawaii 10791300 0 822454 36Idaho 493746 1 45494 39Illinois 43949729 01 3173699 24Indiana 524859 0 54290 13Iowa 538200 0 56844 42Kansas 236910 0 26769 34Kentucky 8754555 15 901848 33Louisiana 11512100 0 1196387 18Maine 2625963 6 156951 52
Maryland 16098602 1 1184552 28Massachusetts 15166300 2 1345 26Michigan 41419600 2 3977478 33Minnesota 1136601 0 121722 34Mississippi 727711 0 55991 62Missouri 3321637 1 276686 52
Montana $540894 0 $53276 0Nebraska NA NA NA NANevada 1874005 1 214937 21New Hampshire 3226105 5 272378 42New Jersey 66792900 0 5335500 25New Mexico 3116916 5 286538 32
New York 56286000 0 4133000 31North Carolina 33814515 3 2752730 33North Dakota 161376 28 6085 106Ohio 43360893 31 2649286 40Oklahoma 359800 0 48200 0Oregon 555047 68 39285 44Pennsylvania 16303617 1 1088997 56Rhode Island 788189 0 46125 62South Carolina 9667187 5 736548 51South Dakota 67100 0 7676 40Tennessee 1746879 0 170142 39Texas 53890544 1 4370235 26Utah 456237 13 53969 100
Vermont 1628934 05 116964 19 Virginia 5830000 26 523161 75Washington 7618372 0 706251 102West Virginia 6362640 4 148000 69Wisconsin 2326834 28 225362 45Wyoming 174161 0 20431 69
Figures are in thousands
WV
NH
VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
IL
VA
OR
CA
NV
UT
CO
NENO DATA
AVAILABLE
SD
NDMN
IA
WI
OH
MI
NY
NM
TX
KS MO
AL
SC
KY
NC
ME
LAMS
TN
GA
AZ OKAR
HI
IN
PA
MT
WA
ID
WY
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 612
Pew Center on the StateS6
Exhibit 3
Nineteen states had setaside no funds as of scal
year 2009 to pay theirbills coming due forretiree health care andother non-pensionbenets Only sevenstates had fundedat least a quarterof their liability
NOTE Data are the most recent available ranging from 2007 to 2010 Figures for Nebraska are not availableSOURCE Pew Center on the States 2011
Statesrsquo Retiree Health Benets 5 Funded in FY09
Percent of Liability Funded
StatePct
fundedLatestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid State
Pctfunded
Latestliability
Latestrequired
contributionPctpaid
FL
50 and above01 to 490
Alabama $14919073 5 $1313998 84Alaska 17400920 32 556483 111Arizona 2219542 69 137703 100Arkansas 1865809 0 193770 24California 66596300 01 5520943 31Colorado 2043914 13 106456 35
Connecticut 26018800 0 1820379 26Delaware 5636000 1 498300 35Florida 3742846 0 254754 32Georgia 20284637 4 1782998 30Hawaii 10791300 0 822454 36Idaho 493746 1 45494 39Illinois 43949729 01 3173699 24Indiana 524859 0 54290 13Iowa 538200 0 56844 42Kansas 236910 0 26769 34Kentucky 8754555 15 901848 33Louisiana 11512100 0 1196387 18Maine 2625963 6 156951 52
Maryland 16098602 1 1184552 28Massachusetts 15166300 2 1345 26Michigan 41419600 2 3977478 33Minnesota 1136601 0 121722 34Mississippi 727711 0 55991 62Missouri 3321637 1 276686 52
Montana $540894 0 $53276 0Nebraska NA NA NA NANevada 1874005 1 214937 21New Hampshire 3226105 5 272378 42New Jersey 66792900 0 5335500 25New Mexico 3116916 5 286538 32
New York 56286000 0 4133000 31North Carolina 33814515 3 2752730 33North Dakota 161376 28 6085 106Ohio 43360893 31 2649286 40Oklahoma 359800 0 48200 0Oregon 555047 68 39285 44Pennsylvania 16303617 1 1088997 56Rhode Island 788189 0 46125 62South Carolina 9667187 5 736548 51South Dakota 67100 0 7676 40Tennessee 1746879 0 170142 39Texas 53890544 1 4370235 26Utah 456237 13 53969 100
Vermont 1628934 05 116964 19 Virginia 5830000 26 523161 75Washington 7618372 0 706251 102West Virginia 6362640 4 148000 69Wisconsin 2326834 28 225362 45Wyoming 174161 0 20431 69
Figures are in thousands
WV
NH
VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
IL
VA
OR
CA
NV
UT
CO
NENO DATA
AVAILABLE
SD
NDMN
IA
WI
OH
MI
NY
NM
TX
KS MO
AL
SC
KY
NC
ME
LAMS
TN
GA
AZ OKAR
HI
IN
PA
MT
WA
ID
WY
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 712
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 7
Potentia Consequences andRecent Reforms
Just as failing to meet a monthly paymenton a personal loan can result in higher
payments down the road a statersquos failure topay the annual bill for retirement benefitscan mean it will have to pay more in thefuture A comparison of New York andNew Jersey provides a good example Bothstates had fully funded pension plans in2002 In subsequent years the GardenState failed to make more than 60 percentof its annual contribution in each year and
its funding gap grew to $46 billion
The Empire State on the other handcontinued to be disciplined about fundingits annual bill Today New York has a$147 billion liability compared to New
Jerseyrsquos $135 billion obligation but itsannual required contribution is $16billion less To put this in context consider
that New York increased K-12 educationspending by $17 billion from fiscal year2008 to 2009 New Jersey meanwhilereduced state education spending by $557million during the same period 5
While annual pension paymentrequirements grew 152 percent from2000-2009 state general fund spending
as a whole rose only 44 percent 6 If statesrsquoannual retirement system contributionscontinue to rise faster than overallgeneral fund spending they increasingly
could compete for resources with otherimportant priorities such as educationhuman services and infrastructure
Given these and other seriousimplications many states have taken stepsrecently to address these rising costs In
November 2010 drawing on informationcollected by the National Conference of State Legislatures the Pew Center on theStates released an analysis of reforms stateshave adopted in their pension plans since2001 to reduce benefits andor increaseemployee contributions In 2010 atleast 19 states took action to reduce theirliabilities acknowledging that the costs
they face for these benefits exceed whatthey are willing or able to pay Additionalstates are likely to do so in their 2011legislative sessions
While annual pension
payment requirementsgrew 152 percent from2000 to 2009 stategeneral fund spendingas a whole rose only 44percent
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 812
Pew Center on the StateS8
Impact of Investment ReturnAssumptionsIn recent years a debate has emergedabout the appropriate investment return
rate that states should assume whencalculating liabilities and contributionrequirements States typically assume anaverage annual return of around 8 percentand Pewrsquos analysis is based on those andother actuarial assumptions employed byeach state Most states have exceeded thisexpectation over the long term from 1984to 2009 the median investment return for
public pension plans was 93 percent 7
Still some observers including renownedfinancier and investor Warren Buffettargue that current assumptions are toooptimistic 8 From 1990 to 2009 stateshad a median investment return of 81percent But in the most recent decadefrom 2000 to 2009 that figure was 39
percent The stakes of this debate are highbecause when a state lowers its investmentreturn assumptions the projected value of its liabilities and the annual contributionsrequired to meet them increasedramatically This in turn expands thegap between liabilities and assets
While there is no consensus among state
officials or experts in the field about whatthe appropriate discount rate shouldbe it is useful to understand the impact
of various assumptions At the heart of the debate surrounding the appropriatediscount rate assumption is whether statesshould calculate the current value of these
long-term promises using an expected rateof return In other words if investmentreturns are disappointing and do not meetexpectations states are still required topay retirees the benefits they have earnedTherefore some experts recommendthat states employ a ldquoriskless raterdquo thatmight be analogous to a 30-year Treasurybond when valuing their future pension
liabilities arguing that pension obligationsare legally binding and guaranteed torecipients 9 Based on the Treasury bondrsquosrate of 438 percent as of mid-March 2011the statesrsquo cumulative liability for pensionbenefits would grow to $46 trillion withan unfunded liability of $24 trillion 10
Another benchmark suggested by some
experts is the investment return requiredby the Financial Accounting StandardsBoard (FASB) a private counterpart tothe Government Accounting StandardsBoard11 FASB requires that private sectordefined benefit plans use investmentreturn assumptions based on the rate oncorporate bonds 522 percent as of mid-March 2011 12 Based on this assumption
statesrsquo pension benefit liabilities wouldgrow to $41 trillion $18 trillion of whichwould be unfunded
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 912
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 9
Methodo ogy The main data sources used for thisproject were the Comprehensive AnnualFinancial Reports produced by each state
and pension plan for fiscal year 2009 Another key information source was stateactuarial valuations In total Pew collecteddata for 231 pension plans and 162 otherpost-employment benefit plans Pew wasable to obtain fiscal year 2009 data forall major state pension plans for all statesexcept Hawaii and Ohio For Hawaiifiscal year 2008 data were used for Ohio
data for the Public Employeesrsquo RetirementSystem were projected using preliminaryvaluations released by the plan For moreinformation please see page 52 of PewrsquosFebruary 2010 report The TrillionDollar Gap
One analysis in this brief that was notincluded in the The Trillion Dollar Gapis
Pewrsquos alternative discount rate calculationsBecause pension and retiree health careliabilities will be paid out over many yearsit is important for states to estimate thecurrent value of those future costs Statesuse various investment rate of return
assumptions the most common of whichis 8 percent In other words they calculatethe amount that were investments togenerate 8 percent returns each year
would be equal to the eventual cost whenthe bill comes due For retiree healthcare states use a lower discount rate asthey typically do not have substantialassets generating returns to pay for thosebenefits
Pew re-estimated pension liabilities byassuming they will come due in even
increments over the next 50 years Basedon that assumption Pew calculated anundiscounted liability and applied the newdiscount rate to that stream of payments
Beyond the discount rate calculations Pewadopted each statersquos actuarial assumptionsSome of the relevant assumptions statesmake include estimates of employee life
spans retirement ages salary growthmarriage rates retention rates and otherdemographic characteristics States alsouse one of a number of approved actuarialcost methods and also may smooth gainsand losses over time to manage volatility
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1012
Pew Center on the StateS10
1 Some organizations such as the Center on Budgetand Policy Priorities the National Association of StateRetirement Administrators the National Conference of State Legislatures and the National Association of StateBudget Officers among others have suggested that itis not appropriate to combine the unfunded liabilitiesof state pensions and retiree health care benefits Theycontend that because retiree health care benefits donot enjoy the same level of constitutional and statutoryprotections as pensions the unfunded liabilities forthose benefits should be considered separately
2 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Fund Survey Summary of
Findings for FY2009rdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators November 2010 9 http wwwpublicfundsurveyorgpublicfundsurveypdfs Summary20of20Findings20FY09pdf (accessedMarch 21 2011)
3 An August 2010 review by Stateline a news servicewithin the Pew Center on the States found that manyplans experienced double-digit gains in fiscal year2010
4 States for which Pew was able to collect complete
fiscal year 2010 pension data are ConnecticutDelaware Florida Idaho Iowa Kentucky LouisianaMaine Maryland Minnesota Nevada New HampshireNorth Dakota Tennessee Texas and Vermont
5 Calculations on K-12 education expenditures fromgeneral funds and other state funds were derived usingdata from the National Association of State BudgetOfficers Fiscal Year 2009 State Expenditure Report Table 7 16
6 Pew Center on the States analysis of expenditure datafrom the National Association of State Budget OfficersrsquoExpenditure Reports from fiscal years 2000 and2009 National Association of State Budget OfficersFiscal Year 2000 State Expenditure Report Table 1 6National Association of State Budget Officers Fiscal Year 2009 Expenditure Report Table 1 6
7 Keith Brainard ldquoPublic Pension Plan InvestmentReturn Assumptionsrdquo National Association of StateRetirement Administrators March 2010 1 http wwwnasraorgresourcesInvReturnAssumption_Finalpdf (accessed March 21 2011)
8 ldquoWarren Buffett Says That Pension AccountingEncourages Cheatingrdquo Bloombergcom July 17 2009httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aCb9PTevRP3gamprefer=news_index (accessedMarch 21 2011)
9 Andrew G Biggs ldquoProposed GASB Rules Show Why Only Market Valuation Fully Captures Public
Pension Liabilitiesrdquo Financial Analysts Journal MarchApril 2011 httpwwwaeiorgdocLib BiggsFinancialAnalysisJournalpdf (accessed March21 2011) Joshua D Rauh ldquoAre State Public PensionsSustainablerdquo Kellogg School of Management and theNational Bureau of Economic Research December 312009 httpwwwtaxpolicycenterorgeventsupload Rauh-ASPSS-USC-20091231pdf (accessed March 212011)
10 Based on the 30 Year Treasury yield curvefor March 16 2011 available through the USDepartment of the Treasury httpwwwtreasurygov resource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPages TextViewaspxdata=yieldYearampyear=2011 (accessedMarch 17 2011)
11 Josh Barro ldquoUnmasking Hidden Costs BestPractices for Public Pension Transparencyrdquo CivicReport No 63 February 2011 httpwwwmanhattan-instituteorghtmlcr_63htm (accessedMarch 21 2011) Orin S Kramer ldquoUnfunded BenefitsDig Statesrsquo $3 Trillion Holerdquo Bloombergcom January19 2010 httpwwwbloombergcomappsnewspid=newsarchiveampsid=aKQk6SUcSr3A (accessed March 212011)
12 Based on the yield of a Moodyrsquos AA-rated 20-yearcorporate bond available through the Society of
Actuaries httpwwwsoaorgprofessional-interests pensionresourcespen-moody-ratesaspx (accessedMarch 17 2011)
e s
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1112
the widening gaP the great reCeSSionrsquoS imPaCt on State PenSion and retiree health Care CoStS 11
APRIl 2011
The Pew Center on the States is a division of The Pew Charitable Trusts that identifiesand advances effective solutions to critical issues facing states Pew is a nonprofitorganization that applies a rigorous analytical approach to improve public policyinform the public and stimulate civic life
pew center on the statesSusan K Urahn managing director
Project TeamDavid DraineLori GrangeKil HuhMatt McKillop
Data CollectionDavid CombsKylie Patterson
Aidan Russell Jessica Wang
CommunicationsNicole DueffertMatt MulkeyMargie Newman
Publications and WebCarla UrionaSergey Nesterov
Julia HoppockLauren Orsini
Jennifer Peltak
For additional information on Pew and the Center on the States please visitwwwpewcenteronthestatesorg
This report is intended for educational and informational purposes References to specific policy makersor companies have been included solely to advance these purposes and do not constitute an endorsementsponsorship or recommendation by The Pew Charitable Trusts
copy2011 The Pew Charitable Trusts All Rights Reserved
901 E Street NW 10th Floor 2005 Market Street Suite 1700 Washington DC 20004 Philadelphia PA 19103
872019 Pew Report Shines Light on West Virginia Public Pensions
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullpew-report-shines-light-on-west-virginia-public-pensions 1212
9 0 1 E S T R E E T N W 1 0 T H f l o o r bull W a s h i n g t o n D C 2 0 0 0 4
W W W P E W C E N T E R O N T H E S T AT E S O R G