Peter Kempf SWISSCOM
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Transcript of Peter Kempf SWISSCOM
FTTH/FTTx Deployment Strategyin Switzerland
April 24th, 2012
Dr. Peter Kempf
Swisscom (Schweiz) AGWholesaleStrategic Business Development
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Scope of this presentation
• Market situation
• Regulator, anti-trust authority, and politics
• Design principles for FTTH networks
• FTTH partnerships
• Summary and conclusions
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Broadband penetrationSwitzerland on rank 2 of OECD countries
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Nether
land
sSwitz
erlan
dDen
markKor
eaNor
wayFra
nce
Icela
nd
Unite
d King
dom
Germ
any
Sweden
Luxe
mbo
urg
Belgiu
mCan
ada
Finlan
d
United
Sta
tes
Japa
n
New Z
eala
ndAus
tria
Isra
elEst
onia
Austra
liaSpa
inSlov
enia Italy
Irelan
dG
reece
Hunga
ryPor
tugal
Czech
Rep
ublic
Polan
d
Slovak R
epub
licChi
leM
exico
Turke
y
Source: OECD
DSL Cable Fibre/LAN Other
OECD Fixed (wired) broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, by technology, June 2011
OECD average
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Market shares broadbandInfrastructure competition bites
Market Shares Total: 3‘020‘000 Market Growth 2011 +5,3%
DSL (Swisscom)55%
DSL (SwisscomWholesale)
17%
Cable (upc Cablecom)18%
Cable (others)10%
50% DSL (Swisscom)
4% DSL (Swisscom Wholesale)
28% Cable(upc Cablecom)
18% Cable (others)
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FTTH is the end gameNo other technology is able to deliver the bandwidthsneeded in the long term
100 Mbit/s
1 Mbit/s
10 Mbit/s
1992 1997 2002 2007 2012
20 Mbit/s
50 Mbit/s
E-mail Web 1.0Web
TV HDTV
SuperHDTV
Web 2.0
FutureApplications
Multi-roomHDTV
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Scope of this presentation
• Market situation
• Regulator, anti-trust authority, and politics
• Design principles for FTTH networks
• FTTH partnerships
• Summary and conclusions
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Telecom stakeholders agree on joint standards for FTTHResults of “Fibre Round Table” moderated by regulator
• The multiple fibre model prevails- Avoiding parallel networks- Competition is ensured
• The fibre optic network is open to everyone- Network and service providers have access under the same conditions
and to various network levels- Consumers are free to choose their telecom provider
• Uniform standards- Operators use the single connector type for plugs in homes- Customers shouldn't encounter any problems when switching providers
(Project ALEX “Active Line Exchange”).Conclusion of the 4th FTTH roundtable
of 5 October 2009
Standards open way to FTTH investment co-operations
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Antitrust authority with a different view of thingsNo exemption from sanctions was granted
• Swisscom and partners voluntarily submitted the co-operation contractsto WeKo (Swiss anti-trust authority).
• WeKo issued a report for five of the co-operations in September 2011and criticized a couple of clauses as anti-competitive agreements:
– L1 exclusivity (partners can sell unbundled fibre exclusively)– investment protection (right to change from investment partnership
to rental)– compensation payments (if market share of one of the partners
deviates very much from his investment share)– right of first refusal (if one of partners wants to sell fibre network)
• The contracts were negotiated taking into account the critical points.
• WeKo issued a report for another two of the co-operations in February2012.
• The assessment of critical points with partners is still on-going.
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Influence of politicsLocal and regional governments push for FTTH
Electorate
26 cantons
CH: ConfoederatioHelvetica
2596 municipalities
Owns 57%of
Ownership ofregional electricity
companies
Ownership oflocal electricity
companies
Responsible for sector regulationand anti-trust surveillance
BAKOM (telco)ELCOM (electricity)WEKO (anti-trust)
Responsible formaintaining andimproving localinfrastructure andlocation factors
≈700electricitycompanies
Universalserviceobligation
Federalgovern-
ment
Cantonalgovern-
ment
Localgovern-
mentMandate to roll out FTTH
Mandate to roll out FTTH
Ballot about FTTH roll-out
Not all activities are co-ordinated with Swisscom roll-out plans
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Scope of this presentation
• Market situation
• Regulator, anti-trust authority, and politics
• Design principles for FTTH networks
• FTTH partnerships
• Summary and conclusions
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Priorisation of FTTH roll-out areasFTTH cannot be rolled out economically everywhere
0
10'000
0 1'000 2'000 3'000 4'000 5'000 6'000 7'000 8'000 9'000 10'000 11'000 12'000 13'000 14'000 15'000
Number of households in residential zones
Co
sts
per
ho
use
ho
ld
Too expensive to build FTTH
FTTH roll-out is economically feasible
Rural areas
Agglomerations
Cities
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100 Mbit/s
1 Mbit/s
10 Mbit/s
1992 1997 2002 2007 2012
20 Mbit/s
50 Mbit/s
E-mail Web 1.0Web
TV
HDTV
SuperHDTV
Web 2.0
FutureApplications
12
Customer needsBandwidth demand increases rapidly
Multi-roomHDTV
VDSL
Vectoring
29.2.2012: Channels of Swiss nationalbroadcast company are available in
High Definition only
Band
wid
thD
eman
d
FTTH
pen
etra
tion
10%
30%
2017
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InfrastructureFTTH is only part of optical fibre expansion
• The overall optical fibre network consists not only of theaccess network between the local exchange in the neighbourhoodand the individual home.
• For years, Swisscom has been laying fibre cables to the neighbourhoods,(Fibre to the curb/neighbourhood – FTTC; aka VDSL).
• In 2012, Swisscom continues to invest in the FTTC expansion and willconnect more than 300 communities with VDSL.
• Swisscom also investigates the use of other technologies to bring higherbroadband speed to the customer.
– VDSL with Vectoring– Fibre To The Distribution Point (FTTDP)
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VDSL push continuesSwisscom enables 80% of households for HDTV
98% ADSL coverage
100% broadband coverage according to basic service provision (≥ 1 Mbit/s)
89% VDSL coverage
80% HDTV enabled
EoY 2011
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Fibre To The Distribution PointMini node in the manhole (pilot)
Source: Berner Zeitung, 23.11.2011
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Ultra-broadband roll-out in SwitzerlandChoice of technology dependent on costs and competition
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Scope of this presentation
• Market situation
• Regulator, anti-trust authority, and politics
• Design principles for FTTH networks
• FTTH partnerships
• Summary and conclusions
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Dynamics of fibre roll-outPartnerships already exist in 14 cities, municipalities,regions and cantons 18
Swisscom only
Cooperation
Partnership agreementsigned
Today:> More than 364,000 homes and businesses have been connected by optical
fibre to the basement at the end of year 2011 (more than 90% in co-operation areas).
Goal:> End of 2015: More than 1 million homes and businesses connected to the
basement (1/3 of the households).
Geneva
Basel St. Gallen
Fribourg
Lausanne
Berne
Pfyn
Lucerne
Lugano
Winterthur
Sion
Thusis
Uster
Köniz
Solothurn
Bellinzona
EbikonZugBiel
Weinfelden
KüsnachtErlenbachHerrlibergMeilen
DietlikonZurich
Upper Valais
Thun
GlandNyon
Riehen
Chur
HerisauTeufen
Adliswil
Yverdon-les-Bains
Derendingen
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Financial benefitsCo-operations help Swisscom to reduce the FTTHcapex per household
Letter of Intent Signed in 2012• Bellinzona• Derendingen• Gland
Negotiations on-going withother potential partners
FTTH capex per household Areas where one partnerstarted to build alone
Capexfor build-alone
Capexin co-operation
100%
≈ 60%
More co-operations to come
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Multi-fibre architectureCo-operation is possible at the manhole or at the PoP/CO
Shar
e of
inve
stm
ents
: 40
%
Share of investments: 40 % Share of investments: 20 %
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PartnerNetwork
PartnerNetwork
OMDF
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Summary & Conclusion
Only one technology provides sufficient bandwidth in the long term: FTTH• 364T homes passed at EoY 2011.• About 170T additional homes planned for 2012.
Bandwidth demand is increasing rapidly• FTTC roll-out in parallel.• Vectoring and other interim technologies under investigation, until
FTTH is available everywhere.
Capex for FTTH must be strictly managed• Priority list based on construction costs and competition.
FTTH roll-out in co-operations preferred• Reduction of capex per household.
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Thank you very much for your attention!
Questions? Comments? Suggestions?
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Short Profile of Peter Kempf
Dr. Peter KempfSenior Strategic Marketing ManagerSwisscom Switzerland AG, CH-3050 BernEmail: [email protected]
� Peter is responsible for special and strategic projects within SwisscomWholesale - with special emphasis on the strategic implications of commercialand regulatory pricing. Peter focuses on the development of cooperation andpricing models for Swisscom’s FTTH roll-out and is involved in the negotiationswith potential FTTH co-operation partners.
� Peter joined Swisscom in 2003. He acted as “Head of Pricing” for SwisscomMobile until December 2007.
� Before joining Swisscom, he was a consultant with Boston Consulting Groupand PA Consulting Group where he focused on the telecommunicationsindustry and worked on a broad range of projects related to strategy &business development, costing, and M&A.
� Peter holds a Ph.D. in physics from the Technical University of Braunschweigand a Master of Science from SUNY Albany.