Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

download Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

of 20

Transcript of Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    1/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    2/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    3/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    0

    0

    Cmxpdh{nxcdm

    ^cmnk Mdyka`kp 00' 0229 xfk [^ odykpmakmx lmh Ndgda`clm odykpmakmx~ flyk `kkm

    xpscmo xd k~xl`gc~f l ipkk xplhk lopkkakmx &IXL#- Pknkmxgs' xfk Fd{~k Ndaacxxkk dm _ls~ lmh

    Aklm~ fl~ lrrpdykh xfk IXL wcxf l aljdpcxs di ydxk~- Dm Dnxd`kp 02 rkpnkmx gcycmo cm

    Gcal$Nlggld- OHR &0223# wl~ k~xcalxkh lx

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    4/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    >

    >

    `kxwkkm xfk [^ lmh id{p ^d{xf Lakpcnlm nd{mxpck~' @dgcycl' Ndgda`cl lmh Kn{lhdp' xfk Lmhklm

    Xplhk Rpkikpkmnk Lnx' xfk LXRL' glxkp pkmkwkh l~ xfk Lmhklm Xplhk Rpdadxcdm lmh Hp{o

    Kplhcnlxcdm Lnx' xfk LXRHKL' wl~ l`d{x xd kvrcpk- Lgxfd{of xfk LXRHKL wl~ kvxkmhkh l

    nd{rgk di xcak~ xfk [^ flh cmxkmxcdm~ xd mkodxclxk IXL wcxf lgg id{p di xfk nd{mxpck~ cmydgykh cm

    xfk LXRHKL- Dmgs @dgcycl hknchkh mdx xd mkodxclxk l IXL wcxf xfk [^ lmh mkodxclxcdm~ wcxf xfk

    dxfkp xfpkk ~xlpxkh cm Als 0228- &Diicnk di xfk [mcxkh ^xlxk~ Xplhk Pkrpk~kmxlxcyk' 022?#

    ^cmnk Ik`p{lps

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    5/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    8

    8

    xflx acofx ocyk lm cmxkpk~xcmo rkp~rknxcyk xd xfc~ ~x{hs4 Xfk~k wcgg `k xfk |{k~xcdm~ hklgx wcxf cm

    xfc~ rlrkp- Xfk~k |{k~xcdm~ wcgg fkgr okxxcmo l `kxxkp cm~cofx cmxd xfk adxcylxcdm~ idp ~comcmo xfk

    IXL `kxwkkm Rkp{ lmh xfk [^ lmh xfk IXL `kxwkkm Ndgda`cl lmh xfk [^-

    Gcxkplx{pk pkyckw

    ^kykplg pk~klpnfk~ flyk `kkm ndmh{nxkh ndmnkpmcmo xfk Ipkk Xplhk Lopkkakmx~ `kxwkkm

    xfk [mcxkh ^xlxk~ lmh `dxf Rkp{ lmh Ndgda`cl- ^cmnk xfk Ndgda`clm lopkkakmx fl~ mdx skx `kkm

    cargkakmxkh xfk pk~klpnfk~ dm xfc~ ~{`jknx lpk ~xcgg `l~kh dm kvrknxlxcdm~- I{pxfkpadpk' l gdx di

    pk~klpnfkh nlm `k id{mh dm Ipkk Xplhk Lopkkakmx `kxwkkm dxfkp nd{mxpck~ xflx nlm rpdychk

    ndargkakmxlps {mhkp~xlmhcmo-

    _cggcla F Nddrkp &02

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    6/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    ;

    ;

    `dxf lm cmnpkl~k cm [-^- cardpx~ ipda Rkp{ lmh l adpk ~comcicnlmx cmnpkl~k cm Rkp{yclm cardpx

    ipda xfk [-^- Xfc~ pk~klpnf c~ ndmh{nxkh `s lm [^ cm~xcx{xk- Xfc~ aklm~ xflx xfk ilnx~ ~xlxkh

    acofx `k `cl~kh xdwlph~ Lakpcnlm kvrknxlxcdm~- Admxklo{hd kx lg &0228#

    wpdxk l rlrkp cm wfcnf

    xfks ~x{hs xfk kndmdacn ndm~k|{kmnk~ di xfk lopkkakmx~ `kxwkkm xfk [-^- lmh xfk Lmhklm

    nd{mxpck~ cm xfpkk ~krlplxk Xplhk Lopkkakmx~: xfk IXLL' cm wfcnf xfk _k~xkpm Fkac~rfkpk

    kgcacmlxk~ xlpcii xd cmxpl!fkac~frkpcn xplhk' xfk IXL `kxwkkm NLM lmh Akpnd~{p' lmh xfk

    cmhcych{lg IXL~ `kxwkkm id{p Lmhklm nd{mxpck~ &Ndgda`cl' Rkp{' K|{lhdp lmh @dgcycl# lmh xfk

    [mcxkh ^xlxk~- Cm xfkcp pk~klpnf xfks dmgs ndm~chkp xlpcii~' wfcnf acofx {mhkpk~xcalxk xfk rd~cxcyk

    kiiknx di xfkcp d{xndak- Mkykpxfkgk~~' xfks k~xcalxk rd~cxcyk olcm~ idp lgg Lmhklm nd{mxpck~- Xd

    ndmh{nx xfkcp k~xcalxkh pk~{gx~ xfks {~k xfk ndar{xl`gk okmkplg k|{cgc`pc{a adhkg' wfcnf c~ l

    a{gxc!nd{mxps' a{gxc!~knxdp lmh ndarlplxcyk ~xlxc~xcn okmkplg k|{cgc`pc{a adhkg wcxf

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    7/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    9

    9

    &02

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    8/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    ?

    ?

    lmh {~k xfc~ idp l ndarlpc~dm `kxwkkm xfk Rkp{yclm Ipkk Xplhk Lopkkakmx lmh xfk Ndgda`clm

    Ipkk Xplhk Lopkkakmx-

    Lmlgs~c~

    Cm dphkp xd cmyk~xcolxk xfk adxcyk~ idp Rkp{ xd kmxkp cmxd xfk Xplhk Rpdadxcdm Lopkkakmx

    wcxf xfk [mcxkh ^xlxk~ wk mkkh xd i{pxfkp cmyk~xcolxk xfk hlxl xflx c~ lylcgl`gk dm xfc~ ~{`jknx- Xd

    ~kk ci Gkys wl~ pcofx cm ~xlxcmo cm fc~ pk~klpnf xflx xfk lopkkakmx cmhkkh i{pxfkp carpdykh xfk

    cmyk~xakmx cm Rkp{' wk flyk xd gdde lx Cmwlph Idpkcom Hcpknx Cmyk~xakmx hlxl idp xfk nd{mxps-

    Nflykz lmh H{r{s &0222+ cmnpkl~k- IHC ipda ^cmolrdpk

    wkmx {r ipda 2 xd >33' wfcnf c~ h{k xd xfk IXL `kxwkkm ^cmolrdpk lmh Rkp{ ~comkh cm 0226-

    Lgxfd{of xfkpk fl~ `kkm lm cmnpkl~k cm IHC `kxwkkm Rkp{ lmh xfk [mcxkh ^xlxk~' xfc~ cmnpkl~k fl~

    mdx `kkm l~ carpk~~cyk l~ nflmok~ cm dxfkp nd{mxpck~ lmh hch mdx flyk l `co ndmxpc`{xcdm xd xfk

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    9/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    6

    6

    opdwcmo IHC cm Rkp{- Xfk ilnx xflx Rkp{ wkmx xfpd{of lm carpk~~cyk kndmdacn opdwxf h{pcmo xfc~

    rkpcdh alek~ cx adpk hciicn{gx xd ~krlplxk xfk kiiknx di xfk XRL wcxf xfk [^ ipda xfk okmkplg

    kndmdacn opdwxf-

    Xfk [mcxkh ^xlxk~ Cmxkpmlxcdmlg Xplhk Ndaac~~cdm k~xcalxkh xflx xfk XRL `kxwkkm [^

    lmh Rkp{ wd{gh cmnpkl~k [^ kvrdpx xd Rkp{ `s 3 acggcdm ([^- Xfc~ cmnpkl~k `s ylg{k wd{gh `k alcmgs cm akxlg~- Cm dphkp xd ~kk ci

    xfk~k k~xcalxk~ wkpk lnn{plxk wk mkkh xd flyk l gdde lx xfk n{ppkmx cardpx lmh kvrdpx hlxl idp

    Rkp{ lmh xfk [^- Hlxl ipda xfk [mcxkh ^xlxk~ Xplhk Pkrpk~kmxlxcyk cmhcnlxk xflx kvrdpx ipda [^

    xd Rkp{ cm 02

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    10/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    3

    3

    hdak~xcn cmh{~xpck~ ipda flycmo xd ndarkxk wcxf xfk nfklr gl`dp cm hkykgdrcmo nd{mxpck~' cm~xklh

    di flycmo ndmnkpm idp xfk wdpekp~- Lixkp xfk lopkkakmx wl~ ~comkh xfkpk ~fd{gh `k pkwlph~ idp

    wdpe cmndm~c~xkmnk wcxf xfk mlx{pk ~km~cxcyk wls di ~{`~c~xkmnk gcik~xsgk~- NP^ pkrdpx idp

    ndmopk~~ &022?# ~xlxk~ xflx xfk wklemk~~ di xfk cargkakmxlxcdm di xfk Rkp{ XRL gl`dp rpdyc~cdm~

    c~ xfk kmidpnkakmx di xfk cargkakmxlxcdm~ `s xfk Rkp{yclm odykpmakmx- Xfpkk di xfk aljdp

    wklemk~~k~ gck cm xfk glne di rpdxknxcdm di xfk pcofx xd dpolmczk' idpnkh lmh ndar{g~dps gl`dp

    rplnxcnk~' ycdglxcdm di nfcgh gl`dp glw~ lmh mdm!ndargclmnk wcxf acmca{a wlok glw~- Fdwkykp'

    h{k xd xfk kychkmx aljdpcxs di ydxk~ lrrpdycmo xfk Rkp{ XRL lmh xfk ndaacxakmx di Rpk~chkmx

    Olpncl wfd ~xlxkh: Cx c~ ycxlg idp d{p nd{mxps- Cx c~ i{mhlakmxlg xd ndmxcm{k xfc~ rlxf di opdwxf

    lmh ~dnclg pkhc~xpc`{xcdm xflx wk flyk ~xlpxkh cm as nd{mxps- NP^ `kgckyk~ xflx carpdykakmx~

    wcgg `k alhk cm xfk mklp i{x{pk-

    Xfk RXRL lg~d fl~ flh lm carlnx dm xfk cmhcokmd{~ rkdrgk- L~ ~xlxkh cm lm lpxcngk `s

    Idpkcom Rdgcns cm Idn{~ cmhcokmd{~ rkdrgk flyk `kkm xpscmo xd ~xdr xfk ~comcmo di xfk Ipkk Xplhk

    Lopkkakmx `s dpolmczcmo rpdxk~x~- Xfkcp alcm pkl~dm~ idp xfc~ c~ xfk ilnx xflx xfk lopkkakmx wcgg

    nl{~k xfk rpcylxczlxcdm di glmhdwmkp~fcr- Ndm~k|{kmxgs xfc~ wd{gh drkm {r 8; acggcdm fknxlpk~ di

    glmh xd idpkcom cmyk~xdp~- Xfc~ glmh wd{gh alcmgs `k xlekm lwls ipda xfk gdnlg~- Lmdxfkp pkl~dm

    idp hc~~lxc~ilnxcdm wl~ xfk rd~~c`gk adyk xd rpcylxczk wlxkp wfcnf wd{gh `k hkyl~xlxcmo idp xfk

    rddp cmhcokmd{~ rdr{glxcdm xflx wd{gh mdx `k l`gk xd liidph xfc~ `l~cn mkkh lmsadpk-

    Lmdxfkp cardpxlmx ~{`jknx xd cmyk~xcolxk c~ xfk ndm~k|{kmnk~ di xfk Xplhk Lopkkakmx dm

    `cdhcykp~cxs- Xfk XRL cmng{hk~ l rlploplrf dm xfk ~{`jknx di `cdhcykp~cxs- Xfc~ c~ xfk icp~x xcak

    lms ndmnkpm idp `cdhcykp~cxs c~ ~fdwm cm l IXL- Xfc~ rlploplrf' lm [mhkp~xlmhcmo Pkolphcmo

    @cdhcykp~cxs lmh Xplhcxcdmlg Emdwgkhok' ~xca{glxk~ xfk ~flpcmo di emdwgkhok dm xfk~k ~{`jknx~ cm

    dphkp xd `k l`gk xd `kmkicx ipda a{x{lg {mhkp~xlmhcmo- Cx c~ rlpxcn{glpgs cardpxlmx idp Rkp{ xd flyk

    l ndmnkpm idp xfkcp `cdhcykp~cxs' ~cmnk cx~ `cdhcykp~cxs fl~ mkykp `kkm ycdglxkh `kidpk xfk ~comcmo

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    11/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    > `cggcdm ([^ h{pcmo xfc~ ~lak rkpcdh di xcak- [^ `kcmo xfk `cook~x cardpxkp lmh kvrdpx di

    Ndgda`cl flh flh l `co ndmxpc`{xcdm xd xfc~ opdwxf- Kvrdpx c~ npcxcnlg idp kndmdacn opdwxf-

    Xfkpkidpk' cx wl~ ykps cardpxlmx idp xfk [^ xd ~xca{glxk xfc~ xplhk wcxf Ndgda`cl' wfcnf rpdychk~

    lm cardpxlmx kvrdpx alpekx- Lg~d idp Ndgda`cl cx c~ cardpxlmx xd ~xca{glxk xplhk wcxf xfk [^-

    Xfc~ wd{gh idp kvlargk rpdychk opklx `kmkicx~ idp ilpa rpdh{nx~' wfcnf nlm mdw pknkcyk h{xs

    ipkk xpklxakmx- L ikw dxfkp carlnx~ di xfk Xplhk Lopkkakmx lpk l hknpkl~k cm {mkargdsakmx plxk

    lmh lm cmnpkl~k cm OHR- L ikw ilnxdp~ xflx ndmxpc`{xk xd xfk rk~~cac~a di xfk [^ odykpmakmx idp

    ~comcmo xfk lopkkakmx lpk xfk ycdgkmnk lolcm~x xfk gl`dp {mcdm~ lmh xfk hp{o nlpxkg~- Fdwkykp'

    Pkgskl kx lg- lpo{k xflx kndmdacn opdwxf wcgg rd~~c`gs `k l`gk xd pkh{nk xfc~ ycdgkmnk lolcm~x

    {mcdm~ lmh rpdychk lm lgxkpmlxcyk idp hp{o nlpxkg~-

    _fkm wk ndarlpk xfk nl~k di Ndgda`cl xd xfk nl~k di Rkp{ wk nlm ~kk ~cacglpcxck~- @dxf

    nd{mxpck~ flyk `kkm kvrkpckmncmo kvxkm~cyk kndmdacn opdwxf dykp xfk rl~x sklp~ lmh lpk xpscmo xd

    ~xca{glxk i{pxfkp opdwxf `s jdcmcmo cmxd xplhk lopkkakmx~- Fdwkykp' cm xfk nl~k di Ndgda`cl

    xfkpk lpk ~dak c~~{k~ xflx mkkh xd `k dykpndak `kidpk xfc~ xplhk lopkkakmx nlm flyk l rd~cxcyk

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    12/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    &~kk lrrkmhcv# ndarlpk pk~rknxcykgs kvrdpx lmh cardpx hlxl ipda xfk

    Ndmopk~~cdmlg Pk~klpnf ^kpycnk &02

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    13/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    14/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

    mkkh~ xd `k hdmk cm xfk ndacmo sklp~ xd cmyk~xcolxk xfk ndm~k|{kmnk~ di xfk IXL dm xfk

    Ndgda`clm kndmdas- _k nlm ndmng{hk xflx xfk ndm~k|{kmnk~ idp Rkp{ di ~comcmo xfc~ Ipkk Xplhk

    Lopkkakmx flyk `kkm hc~lrrdcmxcmo ~d ilp- Idp Ndgda`cl xfk ndm~k|{kmnk~ lpk mdx ngklp skx' `{x

    xfk rpkhcnxcdm~ lpk rd~cxcyk ci xfkcp aljdp c~~{k~ di gl`dp {mcdm ycdgkmnk lmh hp{o nlpxkg~ nlm `k

    dykpndak-

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    15/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    16/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    17/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    18/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    19/20

    RKP[LMHNDGDA@CL:XFKCARLNXDILIXL_CXFXFK[^

  • 8/2/2019 Peru and Colombia: The Impact of a FTA with the US by Pauline Loeff

    20/20