Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial...

87
Contents Sector trends: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the South African economy March 2018 Department of Research and Information

Transcript of Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial...

Page 1: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

Contents

Sector trends: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors

of the South African economy

March 2018 Department of Research and Information

Page 2: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

Contents

Overview 1

Agriculture 1

Mining 2

Manufacturing 4

Performance of the primary and secondary sectors 7

Physical volume of production 7

Production capacity utilisation 7

Employment 8

Remuneration 8

Exports 9

Imports 9

Selected trade trends 10

Trade balance 10

Major traded products 10

Composition of trade 10

Regional trade 10

Trade trends with major regions or regional blocs 11

Performance of the primary and secondary sub-sectors: statistical synopsis

Agriculture, forestry and fishing 13

Total mining 15

- Coal mining 17

- Gold and uranium mining 19

- PGM mining 21

- Iron ore mining 23

- Other mining 25

Total manufacturing 27

- Food 29

- Beverages 31

- Textiles 32

- Wearing apparel 33

- Leather and leather products 37

- Footwear 39

- Wood and wood products 41

- Paper and paper products 43

- Printing, publishing and recorded media 45

- Coke and refined petroleum products 48

- Basic chemicals 49

- Other chemicals and man-made fibres 51

- Rubber products 53

- Plastic products 55

- Glass and glass products 57

- Non-metallic mineral products 59

- Basic iron and steel 61

- Basic non-ferrous metallic products 63

- Metal products excluding machinery 65

- Machinery and equipment 67

- Electrical machinery and equipment 69

- Television, radio and communication equipment 71

- Professional and scientific equipment 73

- Motor vehicles, parts and accessories 75

- Other transport equipment 77

- Furniture 79

- Other manufacturing 81

Acronyms, notes and data sources 83

Page 3: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 1

Overview

Agriculture

Improved weather conditions in the summer crop regions of South Africa during 2017 resulted in a significant

turnaround in agricultural production volumes. It should be recalled that, in 2016, most parts of the country

experienced the worst drought on record, which adversely affected production across basically all segments

of the agriculture sector.

The strong rebound is best illustrated by maize production, which turned from the smallest harvest in the past

10 years in 2016, to a new all-time record of 16.8 million tonnes in 2017. However, severe drought conditions

persisted in the southern parts of the country, affecting negatively the production of agricultural products such

as wheat and oranges in 2017. All in all, the gross domestic product of the agriculture sector increased by

17.7% in 2017, being the principal contributor to the 1.3% growth of the economy at large.

Fixed investment activity in the sector has stagnated in recent years, with the overall annual value having

remained just above the R16 billion mark in real terms since 2015. Contributing factors have included

profitability, difficult climatic conditions, as well as uncertainty over land reform and restitution.

The agricultural sector reported almost 70 000 job losses, or a 7.6% drop, over the twelve-month period ending

in the fourth quarter of 2017. The decline in employment initially impacted seasonal workers engaged in, for

example, the picking of fruit.

The recovery in maize production is clearly evident in the overall trade performance of the broad agricultural

sector in 2017. Cereal imports declined by R7.5 billion, taking overall agricultural imports downward by 29%

for the year. Cereals exports, in turn, increased by R1.5 billion, while those of fruits and nuts rose by R2.7

billion in 2017. Agricultural exports totalled R66.2 billion, of which R45 billion were fruit exports.

Maize

Wheat

Sugar caneOranges

Soya beans

Grapefruit

Sunflower seed

-50

-30

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

% c

ha

ng

e y

ea

r-o

n-y

ea

r in

no

min

al

ex

po

rt v

alu

es

% change year-on-year in volume of production

Output and export growth for select agricultural products

in 2017

*

Volume of production refers to the 2016/17 season,while exports refer to the 2017 calendar year

Size of bubbles refer to the physical volume ofproduction in '000s of tonnes

Broad agriculture, forestry and fishing sector*

Page 4: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 2

Overview

Maize production is expected to be substantially lower in 2018, with the first production forecasts pointing

towards a drop of about 27% to an estimated total harvest of 12.2 million tonnes, compared to the 16.8 million

tonnes harvested in the 2017 season. The higher harvest in 2017 reduced prices and, consequently, the

incentive for producers to expand the area being planted in the current season. Soybean and dry bean

production volumes, however, are anticipated to rise.

The intensity of the drought and resultant water restrictions that are still affecting major parts of the Western

Cape, Eastern Cape and Northern Cape provinces, will curtail production volumes in these areas in 2018.

South Africa’s fruit exports will be significantly impacted as a result. The impact of the drought may even

become structural for quite some time, especially if permanent damage is caused to major crops, for it would

lower production capacity for a number of years.

The intensification of drought in parts of the country towards the end of last year and early in 2018 is expected

to impact on permanent employment, such as in fruit and wine farms in the Western Cape. Continued

mechanisation and automation in the country’s farms are also reducing the labour-intensity of South Africa’s

agricultural sector, although it remains one of the largest employers in the economy.

Mining

South Africa’s mining sector experienced a challenging year in 2017, despite generally rising commodity prices

in rand terms. Globally, demand conditions remained difficult in various markets for mineral commodities, while

the sector continued to face major challenges on the home front.

Some of the challenges facing the domestic mining industry are of a structural nature, such as the costs

associated with deep-level mining in the gold and platinum group metals sub-sectors, as well as with

addressing the environmental damage resulting from many decades of mining activity, particularly with regard

to water resources. The incidence of accidents in mines remains a major problem, although the sector has

shown progress in this regard. Furthermore, industry players continued to voice concern over policy and

regulatory uncertainty, which has also hampered investor interest, and inadequate consultation in policy

formulation. The industrial relations environment, in turn, has weighed on productivity as well as on investment

prospects in the industry in recent years. Several mining companies have, however, started to realise the

benefits of cost-saving initiatives, which are being reflected in lower operating costs.

Overall mining production increased by 4% in 2017, compared to a 4% contraction in 2016. The rebound in

output growth was largely underpinned by the strong performance of the iron ore mining sub-sector, which

contributed 1.7 percentage points to the mining sector’s overall growth rate, as well as the manganese mining

sub-sector, which contributed one percentage point to sectoral growth. The manganese sub-sector in fact

recorded the highest growth rate, at almost 31% in 2017, followed by the sub-sectors producing diamonds

(+16.7%), chrome (+12.8%) and iron ore (+12.6%). Key drivers of growth in industrial metals production

included demand associated with infrastructure development. Large investments by De Beers at its Venetia

mine, as well as by Petra Diamonds, contributed to the recovery in diamond production.

In contrast, gold production continued to decline, with low gold prices in rand terms aggravating the situation.

However, the introduction of remote-controlled or autonomous machines into mines could contribute positively

to profitability and towards the extension of life-of-mine in certain operations, while also reducing the risk to

human lives.

A low-price environment is affecting the platinum mining sub-sector. Demand for platinum has been adversely

affected by the continuing loss of market share by diesel vehicles in the automotive industry, particularly in

Page 5: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 3

Overview

Europe. The VW emissions scandal in Europe and in the United States did not assist in this regard. Lower

growth in spending on jewellery in China has added to the demand-side constraints. Further curtailment in

supply capacity may thus be required in order to set off a price recovery.

The precious metals segment of the mining industry has been subject to a corporate mergers and acquisitions

activity, which have benefited the industry in general. The most notable transaction has been that of Sibanye

and US-based Stillwater, which has assisted Sibanye in developing into a fully integrated player within the

upstream segment of the PGMs value chain.

Coal mining recorded a modest 1.4% increase in production volume, as the slow pace of construction of

Eskom’s two new power stations is holding back domestic demand for coal, while global efforts to reduce

greenhouse gas emissions are hampering export market growth. The latter is also being adversely affected by

India’s efforts to develop its own coal industry, for this large emerging economy has been the leading

destination for South Africa’s coal exports.

Collectively, the GDP of the mining and quarrying sector increased by 4.6% in 2017, thereby making the

second largest contribution to the economy’s overall growth performance last year. Rising commodity prices

propelled mining companies to increase fixed investment activity, by 16% in real terms to R56.3 billion, in 2017.

As a result, the sector’s overall capital stock expanded by 1.5% to R614 billion. Such investment should support

further gains in mining production.

Formal employment in the mining sector remained relatively flat, as job figures increased by only 0.4% in the

year to the fourth quarter of 2017. In an effort to contain labour costs in a difficult operating and trading

Coal mining

Gold & uranium mining

Iron ore mining

PGM mining

Other mining

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

-10 0 10 20 30 40 50

% c

ha

ng

e y

ea

r-o

n-y

ea

r in

no

min

al

ex

po

rt v

alu

es

% change year-on-year in volume of production

Output and export growth of mining sub-sectors

in 2017

*

Total mining*

Page 6: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 4

Overview

environment, many mining operations have opted for job cuts. Gold mining employment declined during the

year, and several mining companies recently announced further retrenchments. Other mining sub-sectors are

also reducing employment levels. In platinum mining, for instance, Lonmin has signalled that it might retrench

up to 6 000 workers as it restructures its operations in the near future, while Anglo American Platinum has

stated that it will be reducing its workforce in the Rustenburg area from 24 000 to 16 500 workers.

The trade surplus recorded by the mining sector widened to just under R317 billion in 2017. Exports increased

by 23.5%, driven mainly by higher export earnings from non-ferrous metal ores, gold, petroleum products, coal

and iron ore. South Africa’s mining exports, which totalled R427 billion in 2017, were dominated by platinum

group metals, non-ferrous metal ores (chrome, manganese and titanium ore), coal, gold and iron ore.

Imports of mining products amounted to R110 billion in 2017, representing a 5% decline compared to 2016.

These consisted mainly of crude oil, which accounted for 80% of the import basket, diamonds, coal, gold and

natural gas. The drop in overall imports was mainly due to the large decline in the value of imported crude oil,

reflecting subdued levels of economic activity in South Africa.

The performance of South Africa’s mining industry is expected to improve over the short- to medium-term on

the back of rising external demand for mined products as global economic growth and investment activity

increase. Importantly, despite relatively slower growth, the Chinese economy will continue to support activity

levels across the minerals value chain and export volume growth (China accounts for approximately 50% of

global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may

affect global steel production and, in the process, impact on demand for iron ore. This may, however, be

countered by increasing fixed investment activity in infrastructure and building activity in a number of developed

and developing countries, which should also support demand for other industrial commodities, such as chrome,

manganese and copper.

Recent changes in South Africa’s political landscape have also boosted business confidence levels in the

sector, which should impact positively on capital investment going forward. Accordingly, the positive output

growth momentum is expected to be maintained in 2018.

Manufacturing

Weak demand for manufactured goods in the South African economy, rising operational costs, as well as

concerns over the political landscape and policy uncertainty, weighed on activity levels in the manufacturing

sector in 2017. However, positive economic developments in some of South Africa's key external markets,

including Europe, supported production in export-oriented industries.

The physical volume of manufacturing production declined by 0.4% (using seasonally adjusted StatsSA data),

while the sector’s value-add (GDP) increased by 0.2% in real terms. Several manufacturing sub-sectors

reported lower volumes of production in 2017, particularly chemicals; wood and paper; non-metallic mineral

products; textiles and clothing; and electrical machinery. These largely offset the strong increases in output

reported by metals and machinery, as well as food and beverages. The utilisation of production capacity rose

by a mere 0.1 of a percentage point to 82.8% in the fourth quarter of 2017.

Fixed investment spending increased by a modest 1.4%, in real terms, in 2017, after having declined

considerably (-15.7%) in 2016. With production activity still relatively subdued and significantly under-utilised

production capacity in several manufacturing sub-sectors, much of this investment was directed towards

maintenance, replacement and technology upgrades, as opposed to expansionary investment. The

Page 7: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 5

Overview

manufacturing sector’s total capital stock declined by 2.8% to R564 billion, the lowest level in real terms since

1996.

Although marginal at 0.4% in real terms, growth in overall fixed investment in the economy in 2017 had a

beneficial impact on the manufacturing sub-sectors producing machinery and equipment; iron and steel; as

well as basic non-ferrous metal products. This was reflected in the output growth of these particular sectors.

The improvement in household consumption expenditure towards the latter part of 2017, which was supported

by rising disposable incomes in real terms and lower interest rates, benefitted the food and beverages, as well

as the furniture sub-sectors, which register growth rates of around 2%.

The export-oriented motor vehicles, parts and accessories sub-sector recorded only a marginal 0.4% increase

in production in 2017. During the year, General Motors divested from South Africa and VW retooled its plant

for the production of the new Polo model. External demand remained weak, as indicated by the fact that the

overall value of this sub-sector’s exports declined by 4.2% in nominal value terms, despite a weakening

exchange rate of the rand over a major part of the year.

Nevertheless, the motor vehicles, parts and accessories sub-sector remains the largest contributor to South

Africa’s manufactured exports, accounting for R130 billion out of the R676 billion in foreign earnings generated

by manufactured exports in 2017. It has in fact been the top-ranked manufacturing export sector since 2012.

Its share of the of the overall manufactured export basket stood at 17.5% in 2017, compared to the 12.3%

share claimed by basic iron and steel, which claimed second spot.

Food processing

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories

Other chemicals & man-made fibres

Beverages

Coke & refined petroleum products

Machinery & equipment

Metal products (excl machinery)

Basic chemicals

Basic iron & steel products

Printing, publishing & recorded media

Non-metallic mineral products

Basic non-ferrous metal products

Paper & paper products

Plastic products

Other manufacturing

Wood & wood products

Electrical machinery & equipment

Textiles

Rubber products

Other transport equipment

Wearing apparel

Furniture

Glass & glass products

Professional & scientific equipment

FootwearLeather &

leather products

Television, radio & communication equipment

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

% point change inproduction

capacity utilisationQ4 2016 vs Q4 2015

% year-on-year change in output

Change in output and utilisation of production

capacity in 2017

*

Upper-right quadrant reflects sectors that recorded increases in production capacity utilisation and output

Lower-right quadrant reflects sectors that recorded production capacity contracting at a slower

pace relative to physical output

Sectors with production capacity utilisation of over 82% in Q4 2017, indicating potential increased capacity requirements

Sectors with production capacity utilisation of below 82% in Q4 2017, indicating limited need for capacity expansion

Bubble size indicates the weight of the sector in overall manufacturing

Total manufactuting*

Page 8: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 6

Overview

Overall manufacturing exports increased by a mere 0.3% in nominal value terms to R676.2 billion in 2017.

Product categories that recorded increases in export values above the R2 billion mark included basic iron and

steel (+R4.8 billion); basic chemicals (+R4.0 billion); non-ferrous metal products (+R3.4 billion); and refined

petroleum products (+R2.8 billion). These increases were, however, countered by declines in the export values

of motor vehicles, parts and accessories (-R6.7 billion); other transport equipment (-R2.8 billion); and, among

others, television, radio and communication equipment (-R2.2 billion).

At the individual country level, Germany and the United states are the principal destinations for South Africa’s

manufactured exports. In the African continent, the leading markets in 2017 were Namibia, Botswana and

Zambia.

The increase in the value of manufactured imports to R970 billion widened South Africa’s trade deficit in

manufactured goods to R294 billion in 2017. Substantially higher imports were recorded for refined petroleum

products, which increased by R22.7 billion (or by 51%), to R67.3 billion in 2017. Weak private sector

investment in new productive capacity was reflected in lower imports of electrical and non-electrical machinery

and equipment.

Manufacturing employment contracted marginally (-0.6%) over the year to the fourth quarter of 2017. Higher

employment in the sub-sectors producing machinery and equipment (+2 862 jobs) and other chemicals

(+2 277), was insufficient to offset the job losses reported in sub-sectors such as beverages (-4 727), wearing

apparel (-3 610) as well as wood and wood products (-2 410).

Business conditions in the manufacturing sector are expected to remain largely unsatisfactory in the near term.

Although business confidence in the manufacturing sector rebounded by 13 points to a reading of 37 points in

the first quarter of 2018, sentiment remains low, which is indicative of the difficult operating environment at

present. However, improving business and investor sentiment, combined with favourable prospects for growth

in global demand, including key export markets such as the European and Sub-Saharan regions, should be

supportive of increased manufacturing production activity going forward.

Page 9: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 7

Performance of the primary and secondary sectors

Figure 1 Figure 2

Average for 2017 compared to average for 2016 (Seasonally adjusted)

* Real value add

Total manufacturing (82.8)

Figures in brackets refer to the sub-sector's percentage

share in mining/manufacturing product ion in 2017

Fourth quarter of 2017 compared to fourth quarter of 2016

Figures in brackets refer to the sub-sector's average capacity

ut ilisat ion in the fourth quarter of 2017

Manufacturing: Change in the utilisation of production capacity Growth in physical volume of production in the primary and secondary sectors

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Wood & wood products (83.6)

Non-metallic mineral products (80.7)

Textiles (66.3)

Rubber products (83.2)

Printing, publishing & recorded media (76.4)

Furniture (87.0)

Wearing apparel (76.0)

Basic iron & steel products (79.0)

Metal products (excl machinery) (74.9)

Paper & paper products (87.7)

Leather & leather products (74.3)

Beverages (87.6)

Professional & scientific equipment (87.1)

Other manufacturing (79.6)

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories (84.0)

Food (82.7)

Footwear (85.8)

Plastic products (85.7)

Basic chemicals (89.0)

Machinery & equipment (81.0)

Basic non-ferrous metal products (79.9)

Electrical machinery & equipment (81.2)

Television, radio & communication equipment (85.1)

Glass & glass products (86.0)

Other chemicals & man-made fibres (86.6)

Coke & refined petroleum products (86.0)

Other transport equipment (79.7)

Percentage points

-8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20%

Electrical machinery & equipment (1.7)

Wearing apparel (1.2)

Footwear (0.4)

Coke & refined petroleum products (9.3)

Printing, publishing & recorded media (3.2)

Other transport equipment (1.2)

Professional & scientific equipment (0.7)

Leather & leather products (0.5)

Paper & paper products (4.3)

Other chemicals & man-made fibres (6.2)

Non-metallic mineral products (3.2)

Basic chemicals (4.4)

Glass & glass products (0.7)

Wood & wood products (4.1)

Plastic products (2.9)

Metal products (excl machinery) (5.7)

Textiles (1.2)

Other manufacturing (2.1)

Television, radio & communication equipment (0.9)

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories (5.6)

Rubber products (1.3)

Beverages (6.4)

Food (18.8)

Furniture (1.1)

Machinery & equipment (6.8)

Basic non-ferrous metal products (2.7)

Basic iron & steel products (3.4)

Gold & uranium mining (15.5)

PGM mining (23.3)

Coal mining (24.7)

Iron ore mining (13.6)

Other mining (22.9)

Percent

Agriculture, forestry & fishing *

Total mining

Agriculture, forestry & fishing *

Total mining

Total manufacturing

Page 10: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 8

Performance of the primary and secondary sectors

Figure 3 Figure 4

Growth in formal employment in the primary and secondary sectors

Fourth quarter of 2017 compared to fourth quarter of 2016

Figures in brackets refer to the sub-sector's share in

mining/manufacturing employment in the fourth quarter of 2017

Growth in gross monthly remuneration per worker in the primary and secondary sectors

Fourth quarter of 2017 compared to fourth quarter of 2016

-12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12%

Beverages (3.5)

Wearing apparel (3.5)

Wood & wood products (3.5)

Basic non-ferrous metal products (1.4)

Leather & leather products (0.4)

Electrical machinery & equipment (3.5)

Other transport equipment (1.4)

Other manufacturing (3.7)

Metal products (excl machinery) (9.0)

Paper & paper products (3.2)

Basic chemicals (1.8)

Printing, publishing & recorded media (4.4)

Glass & glass products (0.7)

Textiles (2.6)

Professional & scientific equipment (1.0)

Basic iron & steel products (2.5)

Food (16.6)

Non-metallic mineral products (4.1)

Furniture (2.2)

Plastic products (3.6)

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories (8.3)

Machinery & equipment (9.5)

Coke & refined petroleum products (2.0)

Other chemicals & man-made fibres (5.0)

Television, radio & communication equipment (0.6)

Footwear (0.8)

Rubber products (1.1)

Gold & uranium mining (24.3)

PGM mining (37.1)

Other mining (16.9)

Coal mining (17.8)

Iron ore mining (3.8)

Percent

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Total mining

Total manufacturing

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Beverages

Electrical machinery & equipment

Furniture

Rubber products

Professional & scientific equipment

Leather & leather products

Other chemicals & man-made fibres

Basic iron & steel products

Printing, publishing & recorded media

Basic chemicals

Machinery & equipment

Coke & refined petroleum products

Metal products (excl machinery)

Non-metallic mineral products

Television, radio & communication equipment

Other transport equipment

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories

Plastic products

Wearing apparel

Basic non-ferrous metal products

Wood & wood products

Food

Other manufacturing

Textiles

Paper & paper products

Footwear

Glass & glass products

Coal mining

Iron ore mining

PGM mining

Gold & uranium mining

Other mining

Percent

Total manufacturing

Total mining

Page 11: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 9

Performance of the primary and secondary sectors

Figure 5 Figure 6

2017 compared to 2016

Growth in the value of imports in the primary and secondary sectorsGrowth in the value of exports in the primary and secondary sectors

2017 compared to 2016

Figures in brackets refer to the sub-sector's percentage

share in mining/manufacturing imports in 2017

Figures in brackets refer to the sub-sector's percentage

share in mining/manufacturing exports in 2017

-30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45%

Other transport equipment (1.5)

Television, radio & communication equipment (1.2)

Professional & scientific equipment (1.2)

Furniture (0.5)

Printing, publishing & recorded media (0.2)

Glass & glass products (0.3)

Electrical machinery & equipment (2.0)

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories (22.8)

Machinery & equipment (7.4)

Paper & paper products (3.0)

Food (7.5)

Non-metallic mineral products (0.9)

Leather & leather products (0.5)

Plastic products (1.2)

Wearing apparel (0.9)

Beverages (2.6)

Wood & wood products (1.0)

Metal products (excl machinery) (2.8)

Rubber products (0.9)

Footwear (0.4)

Other chemicals & man-made fibres (5.7)

Basic iron & steel products (12.3)

Other manufacturing (4.6)

Coke & refined petroleum products (5.6)

Textiles (1.2)

Basic chemicals (6.7)

Basic non-ferrous metal products (5.2)

PGM mining (20.5)

Iron ore mining (14.9)

Coal mining (17.8)

Gold & uranium mining (16.1)

Other mining (30.7)

Percent

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Total mining

Total manufacturing

-30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

Other transport equipment (2.3)

Footwear (1.2)

Paper & paper products (1.4)

Glass & glass products (0.4)

Television, radio & communication equipment (6.1)

Other manufacturing (1.6)

Professional & scientific equipment (3.2)

Non-metallic mineral products (1.1)

Leather & leather products (0.4)

Wearing apparel (2.7)

Wood & wood products (0.5)

Furniture (0.7)

Electrical machinery & equipment (4.7)

Machinery & equipment (15.2)

Metal products (excl machinery) (2.2)

Basic iron & steel products (1.8)

Plastic products (1.7)

Beverages (0.7)

Textiles (1.7)

Basic chemicals (5.3)

Other chemicals & man-made fibres (8.6)

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories (18.7)

Rubber products (1.5)

Basic non-ferrous metal products (2.6)

Food (6.4)

Coke & refined petroleum products (6.9)

Printing, publishing & recorded media (0.7)

Other mining (89.3)

Iron ore mining (0.7)

PGM mining (0.5)

Coal mining (5.9)

Gold & uranium mining (3.6)

Percent

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Total mining

Total manufacturing

30 409%

109%

85.2%

103%

Page 12: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 10

Selected trade trends

HS2 code ZAR m

H71: Natural or cultured pearls, precious stones and metals 198 559.30

H26: Ores, slag and ash 151 241.91

H27: Coal, petroleum and petroleum products 140 369.36

H87: Vehicles, parts and accessories 130 560.28

H72: Iron and steel 80 583.62

Exports Total (including others) 1181 828.00

H27: Coal, petroleum and petroleum products 163 140.94

H84: Machinery and equipment, mechanical appliances 146 280.31

H85: Electrical machinery and electronic equipment 113 250.15

H87: Vehicles, parts and accessories 92 973.95

H98: Original equipment components for the motor vehicle industry 89 981.61

Imports Total (including others) 1106 970.00

SA trade per region

2017

SA trade growth by region

2017 compared to 2016

Imp

ort

s

Major traded products

2017

Ex

po

rts

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Oceania

Europe (excl. EU)

Other Americas

NAFTA

Middle East

Africa

EU

Asia

Other Americas

Oceania

Europe (excl. EU)

Middle East

NAFTA

EU

Africa

Asia

Share of exports

Share of imports

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

SA exports by broad economic classification

Capital goods Consumption goods

Intermediate goods Raw materials

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

-20% 0% 20%

Other Americas

NAFTA

Africa

EU

Asia

Europe (excl. EU)

Oceania

Middle East

Other Americas

Africa

NAFTA

EU

Oceania

Middle East

Europe (excl. EU)

Asia

Export growth

Import growth

0

40

80

120

160

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

SA imports by broad economic classification

Capital goods Consumption goods

Intermediate goods Raw materials

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

-300

-150

0

150

300

450

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

SA trade balance

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

Page 13: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 11

Trade trends with major regions or regional blocs

SA trade balance with Africa (incl. trade with BLNS) Top traded product categories:

2017

2017

2017

SA trade balance with Asia

SA trade balance with the Middle East Top traded product categories:

Top traded product categories:

SA trade balance with the EU Top traded product categories:

2017

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 25% 50% 75%

Other goods

Petroleum refineries & synthesisers

Gold mining

Wearing apparel; excl. fur apparel

Other chemical products, nec.

Crude oil mining

Other goods

Agriculture (cereals & other crops)

Mining of non-ferrous metal ores

Basic iron & steel

Motor vehicles

Petroleum refineries & synthesisers

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

-120

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 25% 50% 75%

Other goods

Petroleum refineries & synthesisers

Office, accounting & computing…

Motor vehicles

Motor vehicle parts & accessories

TV & radio transmitters, line telephony

Other goods

Basic iron & steel

Platinum group metal mining

Mining of non-ferrous metal ores

Iron ore mining

Coal mining

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 25% 50% 75%

Other goods

Other chemical products, nec.

Petroleum refineries & synthesisers

Medicinal chemicals

Motor vehicles

Motor vehicle parts & accessories

Other goods

Basic iron & steel

Motor vehicle parts & accessories

Agriculture (cereals & other crops)

Platinum group metal mining

Motor vehicles

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 20% 40% 60%

Other goods

Plastics in primary form

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Fertilisers & nitrogen compounds

Petroleum refineries & synthesisers

Crude oil mining

Other goods

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Coal mining

Agriculture (cereals & other crops)

Basic iron & steel

Diamond mining

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

Page 14: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 12

Trade trends with major regions or regional blocs

SA trade balance with Europe (excluding the EU) Top traded product categories:

SA trade balance with Oceania Top traded product categories:

2017

2017

2017

2017

SA trade balance with Nafta Top traded product categories:

SA trade balance with the Americas (excluding Nafta) Top traded product categories:

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 25% 50% 75%

Other goods

Fertilisers & nitrogen compounds

Tobacco products

Medicinal chemicals

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Agriculture (cereals & other crops)

Other goods

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Agriculture (cereals & other crops)

Mining of non-ferrous metal ores

Diamond mining

Crude oil mining

Shareofexports

Shareofimports

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 25% 50% 75%

Other goods

Other chemical products, nec.

Medical & surgical equipment, etc.

Motor vehicles

Motor vehicle parts & accessories

Aircraft & spacecraft

Other goods

Basic chemicals

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Basic iron & steel

Motor vehicles

Platinum group metal mining

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

-12

-8

-4

0

4

8

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Other goods

Sugar refining

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Motor vehicle parts & accessories

Vegetable & animal oils & fats

Slaughtering, processing of meat

Other goods

Basic chemicals

Motor vehicles

Motor vehicle parts & accessories

Coal mining

Basic iron & steel

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Imports Exports Trade balance

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

0% 20% 40% 60%

Other goods

Pulp, paper & paperboard

Slaughtering, processing of meat

Agriculture (cereals & other crops)

Coal mining

Basic precious & non-ferrous metals

Other goods

Petroleum refineries & synthesisers

Mining of non-ferrous metal ores

Mining & construction machinery

Basic iron & steel

Motor vehicles

Share ofexports

Share ofimports

Page 15: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 13

Number (1 000)

Real value added (seas. adj.)

17.7%

Imports (ZAR)

Real value added trend

Quarterly

Real v alue added index (seasonally adjusted)

Production weight: 100

Number (1 000)

-28.9%

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-- (percentage points)

Capacity utilisation Exports (ZAR)

7.4%

Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker

-7.6% 14.3%

Crop harvest estimates

Crop Estimates Committee's first summer production forecast for 2018*

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)**

Quarterly

Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000)

Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

2018 season

(tonnes)

% change compared

to previous season

White maize

Yellow maize

Total Maize

Sunflow er seed

Soy beans

-38.4%

-11.4%

Crop

-27.3%

-16.3%

4.5%

-3.5%

-48.6%

6 108 000

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

-24.6%

* The Crop Estimates Committee is responsible for the official crop forecasts and estimates of summer

and w inter field crops for South Africa, w ith members not hav ining a v ested interest in the estimates.

Total summer crops

6 114 950

12 222 950

731 505

1 374 700

88 850

78 200

70 770

14 566 975

Dry beans 3.3%

Groundnuts

Sorghum

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Real value added

6

8

10

12

650

750

850

950

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

37

42

47

52

82

84

86

88

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

200

400

600

800

1000

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education

Secondary schooling completed

Less than secondary schooling

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

Page 16: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 14

Trade trends

Quarterly

% share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

- 183.16

-1 999.34

H24: Tobacco and manufactured tobacco substitutes - 294.16

H07: Edible vegetables and certain roots and tubers - 227.53

Major traded import products

HS2 code: sector description ZAR m

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

H04: Dairy products, eggs, honey, edible animal product nes

H13: Lac, gums, resins, vegetable saps and extracts nes

- 80.05

- 38.89

H01: Live animals

H52: Cotton, yarn and woven fabric

H40: Rubber and articles thereof

H06: Live trees, plants, bulbs, roots, cut flowers etc

H08: Edible fruit, nuts, peel o f citrus fruit, melons

H10: Cereals

H12: Oil seed, o leagic fruits, grain, seed, fruit, etc

H09: Coffee, tea, mate and spices

H44: Wood and articles of wood, wood charcoal 131.60

H03: Fish, crustaceans, molluscs, aquatic invertebrates nes - 566.91

H01: Live animals - 102.68

H07: Edible vegetables and certain roots and tubers

2017 2017

To

p g

ain

ers

To

p l

ose

rsT

op

exp

ort

s

To

p i

mp

ort

s

1 714.56

- 99.45

969.54

H24: Tobacco and manufactured tobacco substitutes

H40: Rubber and articles thereof

To

p g

ain

ers

To

p l

ose

rs

H08: Edible fruit, nuts, peel o f citrus fruit, melons 2 682.10

H10: Cereals 1 488.36

H51: Wool, animal hair, horsehair yarn and fabric thereof 749.26

H12: Oil seed, o leagic fruits, grain, seed, fruit, etc 158.37

H12: Oil seed, o leagic fruits, grain, seed, fruit, etc

H10: Cereals

H01: Live animals

H09: Coffee, tea, mate and spices

H09: Coffee, tea, mate and spices 1 341.48

H06: Live trees, plants, bulbs, roots, cut flowers etc 1 081.37

ZAR m

45 012.47

6 910.11

4 601.53

2 507.71

2 422.79 H12: Oil seed, o leagic fruits, grain, seed, fruit, etc

Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers)

6 604.68

2 796.32

2 541.40

2 037.34

1 798.38

21 451.12

1 298.42

H08: Edible fruit, nuts, peel o f citrus fruit, melons

136.48

135.58

52.31

25.75

-7 533.40

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 66 230.41

Major traded export products

H08: Edible fruit, nuts, peel o f citrus fruit, melons

HS2 code: sector description

H10: Cereals

H51: Wool, animal hair, horsehair yarn and fabric thereof

H07: Edible vegetables and certain roots and tubers

Trade trends

Total per quarter

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

Agriculture, forestry & fishing (cont.)Production weight: 100

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

21

24

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15%

Namibia

USA

Russia

Ukraine

Zimbabwe

India

Germany

Netherlands

UK

China

Hong Kong

UAE

Japan

Russia

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

1%

3%

5%

7%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8 10

Namibia

USA

Russia

Ukraine

Zimbabwe

India

Germany

Netherlands

UK

China

Hong Kong

UAE

Japan

Russia

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 17: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 15

Total miningProduction weight: 100

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

3.8% -- (percentage points)

Production and sales trend

Quarterly Quarterly

-0.1% 2.7% 23.5% -5.0%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Commodity price trend (weighted - see notes)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QES based)* Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Dollar price index (2010 =100) Rand price index (2010 = 100)

Number (1 000)

50

70

90

110

130

85

90

95

100

105

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

13

16

19

22

25

450

475

500

525

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3

Employment Remuneration per worker

30

33

36

39

42

45

96

97

98

99

100

101

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employment Youth employment

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education

Secondary schooling completed

Less than secondary schooling

0

20

40

60

80

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

70

90

110

130

150

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Dollar index Rand index

Page 18: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 16

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

To

p l

ose

rs

To

p l

ose

rs

H26: Ores, slag and ash -3 617.40

H71: Natural or cultured pearls, precious stones and metals 17 275.12 H25: Salt, sulphur, earth, stone, plaster, lime and cement 280.25

H25: Salt, sulphur, earth, stone, plaster, lime and cement 579.17To

p g

ain

ers

H26: Ores, slag and ash 116 867.08

To

p g

ain

ers

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 5 119.16

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 60 401.81 H71: Natural or cultured pearls, precious stones and metals 3 775.06

H25: Salt, sulphur, earth, stone, plaster, lime and cement 4 368.87 H26: Ores, slag and ash 1 302.25

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 427 283.39 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 110 349.44

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS2 code: sector description ZAR m HS2 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H71: Natural or cultured pearls, precious stones and metals 181 876.29

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 95 230.52

H26: Ores, slag and ash 147 737.94 H71: Natural or cultured pearls, precious stones and metals 11 539.72

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 93 300.30 H25: Salt, sulphur, earth, stone, plaster, lime and cement 2 276.95

Trade trends (value terms)

Total per quarter

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Quarterly

% share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Total mining (cont.)Production weight: 100

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Saudi Arabia

Nigeria

Angola

Mozambique

Namibia

Australia

Botswana

China

India

Japan

USA

UK

South Korea

Germany

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

5%

15%

25%

35%

45%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 15 30 45 60 75 90

Saudi Arabia

Nigeria

Angola

Mozambique

Namibia

Australia

Botswana

China

India

Japan

USA

UK

South Korea

Germany

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 19: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 17

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QES based)* Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Gold price trend

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Dollar price($/oz) Rand price (R/oz)

Gold & uranium miningProduction weight: 15.5

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-3.7% -- (percentage points) -6.3% 3.9% 35.8% 30409.0%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

10

14

18

22

55

65

75

85

95

105

115

125

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

105

115

125

135

145

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

15

25

35

45

95

97

99

101

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employment Youth employment

0

40

80

120

160

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education

Secondary schooling completed

Less than secondary schooling

0

20

40

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

12 000

14 000

16 000

18 000

20 000

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

Q1 Q2

2013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2017

Q3 Q4|

Dollar price Rand price

Page 20: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 18

Gold & uranium mining (cont.)Production weight: 15.5

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7108: Gold, unwrought, semi-manufactured, etc 68 710.79

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H7108: Gold, unwrought, semi-manufactured, etc 4 024.21

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 68 710.79 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 4 024.21

To

p g

ain

ers

H7108: Gold, unwrought, semi-manufactured, etc 18 124.47

To

p g

ain

ers

H7108: Gold, unwrought, semi-manufactured, etc 4 011.02

To

p l

ose

rs

To

p l

ose

rs

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Namibia

Kenya

Vietnam

Hong Kong

Germany

Switzerland

USA

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

Gold exports are classified as unallocated

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3 4 5

Namibia

Kenya

Vietnam

Hong Kong

Germany

Switzerland

USA

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Gold exports are classified as unallocated

Page 21: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 19

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Coal price trend

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Dollar price ($/tonne) Rand price (R/tonne)

Coal miningProduction weight: 24.7

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

1.4% -- (percentage points) 8.6% -2.2% 23.9% 109.2%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

15

20

25

30

35

40

94

98

102

106

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

16

18

20

22

24

70

75

80

85

90

95

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

32

39

46

53

90

93

96

99

102

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employment Youth employment

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education

Secondary schooling completed

Less than secondary schooling

0

20

40

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

600

900

1200

1500

40

60

80

100

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Dollar price Rand price

Page 22: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 20

Coal mining (cont.)Production weight: 24.7

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2701: Coal, briquettes, ovoids etc, made from coal 76 138.23

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H2701: Coal, briquettes, ovoids etc, made from coal 6 389.45

H2703: Peat (including peat litter) 2.64 H2703: Peat (including peat litter) 84.00

H2702: Lignite, except jet 1.97 H2702: Lignite, except jet 0.00

0.00 0.00

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 76 142.83 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 6 473.46

To

p g

ain

ers

H2701: Coal, briquettes, ovoids etc, made from coal 14 713.34

To

p g

ain

ers

H2701: Coal, briquettes, ovoids etc, made from coal 3 384.11

To

p l

ose

rs

H2703: Peat (including peat litter) - 0.60

To

p l

ose

rs

H2702: Lignite, except jet - 2.37

H2702: Lignite, except jet - 0.38 H2703: Peat (including peat litter) - 1.98

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45%

Australia

Mozambique

USA

China

Swaziland

Latvia

Vietnam

India

Pakistan

South Korea

Taiwan

Spain

Sri Lanka

Turkey

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

3%

6%

9%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Australia

Mozambique

USA

China

Swaziland

Latvia

Vietnam

India

Pakistan

South Korea

Taiwan

Spain

Sri Lanka

Turkey

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 23: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 21

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Platinum price trend

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Dollar price($/oz) Rand price (R/oz)

PGM miningProduction weight: 23.3

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-2.2% -- (percentage points) -2.9% 2.1% -1.1% 85.2%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

10

15

20

25

30

35

50

65

80

95

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

11

14

17

20

23

26

165

175

185

195

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

PGM employment data is not reported seperately by StatsSA, but instead included in "other mining" data

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

PGM employment data is not reported seperately by StatsSA, but instead included in "other mining" data

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

PGM employment data is not reported seperately by StatsSA, but instead included in "other mining" data

11 000

13 000

15 000

17 000

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

Q1 Q2

2013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q2

2017

Q3 Q4|

Dollar price Rand price

Page 24: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 22

PGM mining (cont.)Production weight: 23.3

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7110: P latinum, unwrought, semi-manufactured 87 651.53

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H7110: P latinum, unwrought, semi-manufactured 504.05

H7111: M etals, clad with platinum, semi-manufactured 2.27 H7111: M etals, clad with platinum, semi-manufactured 0.05

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 87 653.80 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 504.10

To

p g

ain

ers

To

p g

ain

ers

H7110: P latinum, unwrought, semi-manufactured 232.15

To

p l

ose

rs

H7110: P latinum, unwrought, semi-manufactured -1 004.66

To

p l

ose

rs

H7111: M etals, clad with platinum, semi-manufactured - 0.25

H7111: M etals, clad with platinum, semi-manufactured - 0.79

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

10

20

30

40

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Germany

UK

Russia

Italy

Japan

Czech Republic

Switzerland

Japan

USA

UK

Germany

Hong Kong

Switzerland

China

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 5 10 15 20 25

Germany

UK

Russia

Italy

Japan

Czech Republic

Switzerland

Japan

USA

UK

Germany

Hong Kong

Switzerland

China

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 25: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 23

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Iron ore price trend

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Dollar price ($/tonne) Rand price (R/tonne)

Iron ore miningProduction weight: 13.6

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

12.8% -- (percentage points) 10.9% 0.5% 21.3% 41.1%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

5

8

11

14

17

20

75

85

95

105

115

125

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

15

20

25

30

35

14

16

18

20

22

24

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

40

55

70

80

85

90

95

100

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employment Youth employment

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

4

8

12

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

30

60

90

120

150

180

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Dollar price Rand price

Page 26: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 24

Iron ore mining (cont.)Production weight: 13.6

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2601: Iron ores and concentrates, roasted iron pyrites 63 649.30

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H2601: Iron ores and concentrates, roasted iron pyrites 750.65

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 63 649.30 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 750.65

To

p g

ain

ers

H2601: Iron ores and concentrates, roasted iron pyrites 11 190.67

To

p g

ain

ers

H2601: Iron ores and concentrates, roasted iron pyrites 218.67

To

p l

ose

rs

To

p l

ose

rs

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Brazil

Venezuela

Namibia

Australia

USA

Nigeria

China

China

South Korea

Netherlands

Japan

India

Hong Kong

Germany

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 15 30 45

Brazil

Venezuela

Namibia

Australia

USA

Nigeria

China

China

South Korea

Netherlands

Japan

India

Hong Kong

Germany

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 27: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 25

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Oil price trend

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Dollar price ($/barrel) Rand price (R/barrel)

Other miningProduction weight: 22.9

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

13.1% -- (percentage points) 3.4% 12.0% 41.1% -12.1%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

10

15

20

25

30

35

85

100

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

14

16

18

20

22

24

74

77

80

83

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

30

35

40

45

50

96

97

98

99

100

101

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employment Youth employment

0

75

150

225

300

375

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education

Secondary schooling completed

Less than secondary schooling

Note that PGM employment is included in this data

0

40

80

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

Note that PGM employment is included in this data

500

700

900

1100

1300

30

55

80

105

130

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Dollar price Rand price

Note that PGM employment is included in this data

Page 28: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 26

Other mining (cont.)Production weight: 22.9

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2602: M anganese ores, iron ores >20% M anganese 33 586.77

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H2709: Petro leum oils, o ils from bituminous minerals, crude 85 398.35

H2610: Chromium ores and concentrates 27 761.29 H7102: Diamonds, not mounted or set 6 866.13

H7102: Diamonds, not mounted or set 25 274.06 H2711: Petro leum gases & other gaseous hydrocarbons 3 355.38

H2709: Petro leum oils, o ils from bituminous minerals, crude 16 980.32 H2503: Sulphur, except sublimated, precipitated, co llo idal 778.40

H2616: Precious metal ores and concentrates 3 691.20 H2501: Salt including so lution, salt water 268.61

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 131 126.67 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 98 597.02

H2614: Titanium ores and concentrates 8 512.50 H2519: Natural magnesium carbonate, magnesium oxide 375.75

H2615: Niobium tantalum vanadium zirconium ores, etc 5 045.86 H2610: Chromium ores and concentrates 290.51

H2610: Chromium ores and concentrates 8 919.14 H2610: Chromium ores and concentrates 163.37

H2614: Titanium ores and concentrates 3 045.90 H7106: Silver, unwrought or semi-manufactured, etc 26.83To

p g

ain

ers

H2709: Petro leum oils, o ils from bituminous minerals, crude 15 183.65

To

p g

ain

ers

H2503: Sulphur, except sublimated, precipitated, co llo idal 247.72

H2602: M anganese ores, iron ores >20% M anganese 12 937.12 H2711: Petro leum gases & other gaseous hydrocarbons 245.54

H2603: Copper ores and concentrates 1 272.42 H2501: Salt including so lution, salt water 26.79

To

p l

ose

rs

H7102: Diamonds, not mounted or set -3 734.49

To

p l

ose

rs

H2709: Petro leum oils, o ils from bituminous minerals, crude -10 679.60

H2516: Granite, porphyry, basalt, sandstone, etc - 96.26 H7102: Diamonds, not mounted or set - 719.04

H2714: B itumen, asphalt, o il shales, tar sands, asphaltites - 52.74 H2519: Natural magnesium carbonate, magnesium oxide - 192.74

H2604: Nickel ores and concentrates -1 151.82 H2604: Nickel ores and concentrates -1 366.72

H2519: Natural magnesium carbonate, magnesium oxide - 193.00 H7103: M ounted precious or semi-precious stones -1 360.80

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

10

20

30

40

50

60

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Saudi Arabia

Nigeria

Angola

Mozambique

Botswana

UAE

Togo

China

Mozambique

India

Switzerland

Botswana

UAE

USA

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

5%

8%

11%

14%

17%

20%

23%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 15 30 45

Saudi Arabia

Nigeria

Angola

Mozambique

Botswana

UAE

Togo

China

Mozambique

India

Switzerland

Botswana

UAE

USA

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 29: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 27

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QES based)* Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Total manufacturingProduction weight: 100

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

(percentage points) -0.6% 5.5% 0.3% 2.2%

Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

-0.4% 0.1

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation

400

450

500

550

600

95

97

99

101

103

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

10

12

14

16

18

20

1 160

1 180

1 200

1 220

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

86

87

87

88

88

89

89

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

300

600

900

1 200

1 500

1 800

2 100

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 30: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 28

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

To

p l

ose

rs

H84: M achinery and equipment, mechanical appliances -4 391.98

To

p l

ose

rs

H85: Electrical machinery and electronic equipment -5 540.80

H88: A ircraft, spacecraft, and parts thereof -2 469.05 H75: Nickel and articles thereof -2 133.71

H23: Residues, wastes of food industry, animal fodder -1 284.06 H64: Footwear, gaiters and the like, parts thereof -1 206.35

H87: Vehicles, parts and accessories -4 033.55 H84: M achinery and equipment, mechanical appliances -4 467.10

H85: Electrical machinery and electronic equipment -2 827.02 H88: A ircraft, spacecraft, and parts thereof -4 147.22

H71: Natural or cultured pearls, precious stones and metals 2 574.91 H49: Printed books, newspapers, pictures etc 3 231.74

H29: Organic chemicals 2 040.87 H28: Inorganic chemicals, precious metal compound, isotopes 2 193.95To

p g

ain

ers

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 3 298.73

To

p g

ain

ers

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 22 885.76

H72: Iron and steel 3 063.14 H87: Vehicles, parts and accessories 8 023.37

H28: Inorganic chemicals, precious metal compound, isotopes 1 994.38 H17: Sugars and sugar confectionery 1 934.73

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 676 225.46 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 970 040.23

H85: Electrical machinery and electronic equipment 24 020.53 H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 65 753.42

H76: A luminium and articles thereof 23 768.16 H39: P lastics and articles thereof 32 116.99

92 973.95

H27: Coal, petro leum and petro leum products 38 471.68 H98: Original equipment components for the motor vehicle industry 89 490.61

H22: Beverages, spirits and vinegar 17 612.80 H30: Pharmaceutical products 29 537.24

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS2 code: sector description ZAR m HS2 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H87: Vehicles, parts and accessories 130 560.28

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H84: M achinery and equipment, mechanical appliances 146 280.31

H72: Iron and steel 80 583.62 H85: Electrical machinery and electronic equipment 113 250.15

H84: M achinery and equipment, mechanical appliances 71 555.99 H87: Vehicles, parts and accessories

Trade trends (value terms)

Total per quarter

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues)

Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Quarterly

% share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Total manufacturing (cont.)Production weight: 100

50

100

150

200

250

300

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

China

Germany

USA

India

Japan

Thailand

UK

Germany

USA

Namibia

Botswana

Zambia

Belgium

China

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 50 100 150 200 250

China

Germany

USA

India

Japan

Thailand

UK

Germany

USA

Namibia

Botswana

Zambia

Belgium

China

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 31: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 29

FoodProduction weight: 18.8

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

2.2% 0.5 (percentage points) 0.1% 9.6% -2.3% 8.0%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

15

18

21

24

27

30

90

93

96

99

102

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

9

11

13

15

165

180

195

210

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

42

47

52

57

88

90

92

94

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

100

200

300

400

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

20

40

60

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

76

79

82

85

88

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 32: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 30

Food (cont.)Production weight: 18.8

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H1701: Solid cane/ beet sugar & chemically pure sucrose 3 657.77

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H1006: Rice 6 917.86

H2009: Fruit and vegetable juices, not fermented/ spirited 3 362.78 H0207: M eat, edible offal o f domestic poultry 6 409.97

H2106: Food preparations, nes 2 637.30 H1701: Solid cane/ beet sugar & chemically pure sucrose 6 320.40

H2008: Fruit, edible plant parts nes, prepared/preserved 2 573.96 H1511: Palm o il and its fractions, not chemically modified 4 371.84

H0303: Fish, frozen, whole 1 550.59 H1507: Soya-bean o il, fractions, not chemically modified 2 058.26

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 50 393.80 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 62 417.56

H2309: Animal feed preparations 1 760.12 H2304: Soya-bean o il-cake and other so lid residues 2 454.66

H2103: Sauce, condiments, mixed seasoning & mustard 1 675.93 H2106: Food preparations, nes 2 418.02

H0402: M ilk and cream, concentrated or sweetened 295.44 H1006: Rice 804.01

H2104: Soups, broths & homogenized food preparations 173.44 H0504: Guts, bladders & stomachs of animals except fish 511.38To

p g

ain

ers

H1701: Solid cane/ beet sugar & chemically pure sucrose 1 607.66

To

p g

ain

ers

H1701: Solid cane/ beet sugar & chemically pure sucrose 1 823.49

H0307: M olluscs 500.52 H0207: M eat, edible offal o f domestic poultry 948.71

H1806: Chocolate and other foods containing cocoa 160.00 H1512: Safflower, sunflower & cotton-seed o il, fractions 351.64

To

p l

ose

rs

H2301: Flour etc of meat, fish or o ffal for animal feed - 529.73

To

p l

ose

rs

H2304: Soya-bean o il-cake and other so lid residues - 517.45

H1103: Cereal grouts, meal and pellets - 370.81 H2009: Fruit and vegetable juices, not fermented/ spirited - 209.36

H1507: Soya-bean o il, fractions, not chemically modified - 361.39 H1513: Coconut, palm kernel, babassu o il, etc, refined - 124.87

H2304: Soya-bean o il-cake and other so lid residues - 511.34 H2306: Oil-cake other than soya-bean or groundnut - 272.26

H2009: Fruit and vegetable juices, not fermented/ spirited - 389.17 H1507: Soya-bean o il, fractions, not chemically modified - 227.37

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

6

9

12

15

18

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 3% 6% 9% 12%

Thailand

Brazil

Argentina

Swaziland

China

Indonesia

USA

Botswana

Namibia

Mozambique

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

Zambia

Swaziland

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8

Thailand

Brazil

Argentina

Swaziland

China

Indonesia

USA

Botswana

Namibia

Mozambique

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

Zambia

Swaziland

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 33: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 31

BeveragesProduction weight: 6.4

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

1.7% -0.5 (percentage points) -10.9% -14.8% 0.5% 1.1%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

20

23

26

29

32

35

38

90

93

96

99

102

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

17

20

23

26

29

32

36

38

40

42

44

46

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

30

40

50

60

65

75

85

95

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

5

10

15

20

25

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

80

83

86

89

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 34: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 32

Beverages (cont.)Production weight: 6.4

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2204: Grape wines (including fortified), grape must 9 554.96

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H2208: Liqueur, spirits & undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 3 699.76

H2208: Liqueur, spirits & undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 2 285.34 H2203: Beer made from malt 1 269.67

H2202: Waters, non-alcoholic flavoured beverages 2 011.46 H2202: Waters, non-alcoholic flavoured beverages 1 059.91

H2207: Ethyl alcohol, undenatured and > 80%, /denatured 1 881.01 H1107: M alt 430.14

H1107: M alt 270.35 H2206: Fermented beverages (eg cider, perry, mead) 120.77

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 17 838.80 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 7 135.39

H2203: Beer made from malt 837.34 H2204: Grape wines (including fortified), grape must 377.79

H2206: Fermented beverages (eg cider, perry, mead) 837.17 H2207: Ethyl alcohol, undenatured and > 80%, /denatured 139.62

H2207: Ethyl alcohol, undenatured and > 80%, /denatured 45.81 H2207: Ethyl alcohol, undenatured and > 80%, /denatured 20.48

H2205: Vermouth and other flavoured grape wine 19.32To

p g

ain

ers

H2208: Liqueur, spirits & undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 421.61

To

p g

ain

ers

H2203: Beer made from malt 337.40

H1107: M alt 116.15 H2206: Fermented beverages (eg cider, perry, mead) 56.94

H2203: Beer made from malt 0.67

To

p l

ose

rs

H2202: Waters, non-alcoholic flavoured beverages - 284.29

To

p l

ose

rs

H1107: M alt - 168.19

H2206: Fermented beverages (eg cider, perry, mead) - 14.46 H2208: Liqueur, spirits & undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% - 10.70

H2201: Unsweetened beverage waters, ice and snow - 3.57

H2204: Grape wines (including fortified), grape must - 176.00 H2202: Waters, non-alcoholic flavoured beverages - 111.38

H2201: Unsweetened beverage waters, ice and snow - 34.41 H2204: Grape wines (including fortified), grape must - 36.95

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

2

4

6

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

UK

France

Namibia

Belgium

Mexico

Austria

USA

Namibia

UK

Germany

Botswana

Netherlands

Mozambique

USA

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5

UK

France

Namibia

Belgium

Mexico

Austria

USA

Namibia

UK

Germany

Botswana

Netherlands

Mozambique

USA

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 35: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 33

TextilesProduction weight: 1.2

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

0.3% -2.7 (percentage points) -0.3% 10.9% 8.0% 1.2%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

95

97

99

101

103

105

107

109

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

6

8

10

12

14

30

31

32

33

34

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

30

40

50

65

71

77

83

89

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

63

67

71

75

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 36: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 34

Textiles (cont.)Production weight: 1.2

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H9619: Sanitary towels and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies 1 244.03

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H9619: Sanitary towels and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies 1 710.57

H5105: Wool and animal hair, carded or combed 1 123.55 H5407: Woven synth filament yarn, monofilament >67dtex 1 689.17

H6306: Textile tarpaulin, sail, awning, tent, camping goods 596.41 H5603: Nonwoven textiles, except felt 1 223.85

H5407: Woven synth filament yarn, monofilament >67dtex 359.60 H6302: Bed, table, to ilet and kitchen linens 907.44

H9404: M attress supports, mattresses, bedding 320.59 H5903: Fabric impregnated, coated/ covered with plastic 591.12

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 7 956.61 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 16 006.20

H6305: Sacks& bags of a kind used for packing of goods 353.44 H5208: Woven cotton fabric, >85% cotton, < 200g/m2 852.86

H8804: Parachutes, parts and accessories thereof 337.88 H6307: M ade up articles nes, including dress patterns 628.86

H5903: Fabric impregnated, coated/ covered with plastic 88.77 H5516: Woven fabric <85% artificial staple fibre 144.96

H9619: Sanitary towels and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies 86.76 H5208: Woven cotton fabric, >85% cotton, < 200g/m2 95.40To

p g

ain

ers

H5105: Wool and animal hair, carded or combed 102.51

To

p g

ain

ers

H5901: Textile fabric coated with gum or stiffened nes 381.16

H6306: Textile tarpaulin, sail, awning, tent, camping goods 93.35 H9619: Sanitary towels and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies 204.01

H5209: Woven cotton nes, >85% cotton, >200g/m2 79.21 H6304: Furnishing articles nes, except mattresses, etc 88.66

To

p l

ose

rs

H6305: Sacks& bags of a kind used for packing of goods - 39.57

To

p l

ose

rs

H5512: Woven fabric with >85% synthetic staple fibres - 78.33

H5901: Textile fabric coated with gum or stiffened nes - 17.76 H5513: Woven fabric>85% synt+cotn<170g/m2 unb/blchd - 69.22

H5515: Woven fabric o f synthetic staple fibres - 15.13 H6302: Bed, table, to ilet and kitchen linens - 64.51

H5101: Wool, not carded or combed - 39.14 H5603: Nonwoven textiles, except felt - 77.11

H5407: Woven synth filament yarn, monofilament >67dtex - 25.76 H5514: Wovenfabric>85%synth+cotn>170g/m2 unb/blchd - 72.20

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

2

4

6

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

China

India

Pakistan

Germany

Lesotho

Poland

Turkey

Namibia

Lesotho

Botswana

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Italy

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8

China

India

Pakistan

Germany

Lesotho

Poland

Turkey

Namibia

Lesotho

Botswana

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Italy

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 37: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 35

Wearing apparelProduction weight: 1.2

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-7.3% -1.2 (percentage points) -7.7% 7.8% -0.2% -4.6%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

2

3

4

5

85

90

95

100

105

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

5

6

7

8

9

10

36

40

44

48

52

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

25

30

35

56

60

64

68

72

76

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

40

80

120

160

200

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

15

30

45

60

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

69

72

75

78

81

84

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 38: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 36

Wearing apparel (cont.)Production weight: 1.2

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H6203: M ens or boys suits, jackets, trousers, etc not knit 853.58

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H6203: M ens or boys suits, jackets, trousers, etc not knit 3 843.27

H6109: T-shirts, singlets and other vests, knit or crochet 602.74 H6204: Woven female suits, jacket, dress, etc 3 422.22

H6204: Woven female suits, jacket, dress, etc 587.26 H6109: T-shirts, singlets and other vests, knit or crochet 2 752.77

H6104: Female suit, dress, skirt, etc, knit or crochet 463.04 H6110: Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, etc, knit or crochet 1 370.46

H6115: Panty hose, tights, hosiery nes, knit or crochet 266.63 H6006: Other knitted or crocheted fabrics 974.01

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 6 239.84 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 25 818.21

H6103: M ens, boys suits,jackets,trousers, etc knit/crochet 390.89 H6104: Female suit, dress, skirt, etc, knit or crochet 1 178.47

H6205: M en's or boys' shirts 268.24 H6205: M en's or boys' shirts 1 067.81

H6106: Womens, girls blouses & shirts, knit or crochet 22.28 H6006: Other knitted or crocheted fabrics 39.18

H6203: M ens or boys suits, jackets, trousers, etc not knit 19.63 H6209: Babies garments and clo thing accessories 37.53To

p g

ain

ers

H6104: Female suit, dress, skirt, etc, knit or crochet 68.54

To

p g

ain

ers

H6004: Knitted/crocheted fabrics of a width > 30 cm 153.65

H6110: Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, etc, knit or crochet 42.40 H6001: P ile fabric, knit or crochet 85.43

H6108: Womens, girls underwear, nightwear, knit/crochet 19.11 H6112: Track suits, ski suits and swimwear, knit/ crochet 20.76

To

p l

ose

rs

H6217: Clothing accessories or parts, not knit or crochet - 68.67

To

p l

ose

rs

H6203: M ens or boys suits, jackets, trousers, etc not knit - 309.13

H6206: Womens or girls' blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses - 25.05 H6205: M en's or boys' shirts - 189.12

H6105: M ens, boys shirts, knit or crochet - 23.41 H6206: Womens or girls' blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses - 102.36

H6204: Woven female suits, jacket, dress, etc - 48.11 H6110: Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, etc, knit or crochet - 238.59

H6210: Garments made up of felt or coated fabric - 43.81 H6109: T-shirts, singlets and other vests, knit or crochet - 217.92

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

3

6

9

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

China

Swaziland

Lesotho

Mauritius

Madagascar

India

Bangladesh

Namibia

Botswana

Lesotho

Swaziland

Zambia

USA

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 4 8 12 16

China

Swaziland

Lesotho

Mauritius

Madagascar

India

Bangladesh

Namibia

Botswana

Lesotho

Swaziland

Zambia

USA

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 39: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 37

Leather & leather productsProduction weight: 0.5

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-4.0% -0.7 (percentage points) -4.6% 0.1% -1.4% -5.3%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

1

2

3

80

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

6

8

10

12

14

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

0

25

50

75

100

60

70

80

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

2

4

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

60

65

70

75

80

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 40: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 38

Leather & leather products (cont.)Production weight: 0.5

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H4104: Bovine/equine leather, no hair, not chamois, patent 1 085.49

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H4202: Trunks, suit-cases, camera cases, handbags, etc 2 648.03

H4107: Leather o f o ther animals, no hair, not chamois, etc 844.42 H4107: Leather o f o ther animals, no hair, not chamois, etc 453.84

H4202: Trunks, suit-cases, camera cases, handbags, etc 505.80 H4104: Bovine/equine leather, no hair, not chamois, patent 364.41

H4205: Articles of leather and composition leather, nes 366.99 H4201: Saddlery and harness, o f any material 52.24

H4115: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips 63.60 H4205: Articles of leather and composition leather, nes 27.68

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 3 445.48 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 3 674.80

H4113: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips 348.29 H9113: Watch straps, bands, bracelets, & parts thereof 34.04

H4106: Goat or kid skin leather, without hair 150.43 H4115: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips 30.38

H4115: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips 42.57 H4112: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips 2.36

H4105: Sheep or lamb skin leather, without wool on 4.33 H4106: Goat or kid skin leather, without hair 1.08To

p g

ain

ers

H4107: Leather o f o ther animals, no hair, not chamois, etc 190.30

To

p g

ain

ers

H4104: Bovine/equine leather, no hair, not chamois, patent 64.84

H4106: Goat or kid skin leather, without hair 53.56 H9113: Watch straps, bands, bracelets, & parts thereof 4.19

H4202: Trunks, suit-cases, camera cases, handbags, etc 4.09 H4102: Raw skins of sheep or lambs 0.01

To

p l

ose

rs

H4205: Articles of leather and composition leather, nes - 145.10

To

p l

ose

rs

H4205: Articles of leather and composition leather, nes - 128.40

H4102: Raw skins of sheep or lambs - 36.15 H4115: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips - 8.43

H4201: Saddlery and harness, o f any material - 11.37 H4201: Saddlery and harness, o f any material - 3.89

H4104: Bovine/equine leather, no hair, not chamois, patent - 112.54 H4202: Trunks, suit-cases, camera cases, handbags, etc - 99.25

H4113: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips - 39.52 H4113: Composition leather, in slabs, sheets or strips - 30.46

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0.0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 75%

China

India

Italy

Brazil

Pakistan

Namibia

Indonesia

Italy

Poland

Germany

China

Namibia

Bulgaria

Uruguay

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5

China

India

Italy

Brazil

Pakistan

Namibia

Indonesia

Italy

Poland

Germany

China

Namibia

Bulgaria

Uruguay

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 41: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 39

FootwearProduction weight: 0.4

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-6.3% 0.6 (percentage points) 6.7% 13.2% 3.6% -9.5%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

80

90

100

110

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

5

7

9

11

6

7

8

9

10

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

40

55

70

85

75

85

95

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

40

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

2

4

6

8

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

80

83

86

89

92

95

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 42: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 40

Footwear (cont.)Production weight: 0.4

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H6403: Footwear with uppers of leather 657.03

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H6404: Footwear with uppers of textile materials 4 263.74

H6402: Footwear, with outer so le, upper rubber or plastic 647.87 H6402: Footwear, with outer so le, upper rubber or plastic 4 098.16

H6404: Footwear with uppers of textile materials 566.48 H6403: Footwear with uppers of leather 2 622.35

H6405: Footwear nes, so le not leather, rubber or plastic 366.58 H6406: Parts o f footwear, in-so les, heel cushion, etc 214.49

0.00 0.00

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 2 418.60 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 11 431.27

H6401: Waterproof footwear, rubber, plastic 144.48 H6405: Footwear nes, so le not leather, rubber or plastic 186.76

H6406: Parts o f footwear, in-so les, heel cushion, etc 36.16 H6401: Waterproof footwear, rubber, plastic 45.78

H6401: Waterproof footwear, rubber, plastic 14.37

H6405: Footwear nes, so le not leather, rubber or plastic 13.36To

p g

ain

ers

H6403: Footwear with uppers of leather 31.69

To

p g

ain

ers

H6405: Footwear nes, so le not leather, rubber or plastic 41.37

H6402: Footwear, with outer so le, upper rubber or plastic 24.90 H6401: Waterproof footwear, rubber, plastic 9.72

H6404: Footwear with uppers of textile materials 8.51

To

p l

ose

rs

H6406: Parts o f footwear, in-so les, heel cushion, etc - 8.50

To

p l

ose

rs

H6404: Footwear with uppers of textile materials - 833.72

H6406: Parts o f footwear, in-so les, heel cushion, etc - 9.34

H6403: Footwear with uppers of leather - 310.71

H6402: Footwear, with outer so le, upper rubber or plastic - 103.67

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

1

2

3

4

5

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 75%

China

Vietnam

Indonesia

Italy

India

Lesotho

Thailand

Namibia

Botswana

Lesotho

Swaziland

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8

China

Vietnam

Indonesia

Italy

India

Lesotho

Thailand

Namibia

Botswana

Lesotho

Swaziland

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 43: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 41

Wood & wood productsProduction weight: 4.1

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-1.1% -2.8 (percentage points) -5.6% 9.4% 0.8% -4.1%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

3

4

5

85

95

105

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

40

42

44

46

48

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

30

40

50

60

65

75

85

95

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

4

8

12

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

80

82

84

86

88

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 44: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 42

Wood & wood products (cont.)Production weight: 4.1

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H4401: Fuel wood, wood in chips/ particles, wood waste 2 911.69

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H4407: Wood sawn, chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled 1 434.53

H4418: Builders jo inery and carpentry, o f wood 762.62 H4412: P lywood, veneered panels, etc 640.20

H4407: Wood sawn, chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled 698.25 H4411: Fibreboard of wood or o ther ligneous materials 562.89

H4410: Particle board, wood, ligneous material 563.01 H4418: Builders jo inery and carpentry, o f wood 298.41

H4412: P lywood, veneered panels, etc 227.14 H4503: Articles of natural cork 176.19

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 6 700.97 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 4 643.09

H4403: Wood in the rough or roughly squared 428.45 H4409: Wood continuously shaped along any edges 262.48

H4415: Wooden cases, boxes, crates, drums, pallets, etc 286.14 H4416: Wooden casks, barrels, vats, tubs, etc 257.42

H4407: Wood sawn, chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled 58.20 H4503: Articles of natural cork 20.99

H4402: Wood charcoal (including shell or nut charcoal) 39.03 H4411: Fibreboard of wood or o ther ligneous materials 11.79To

p g

ain

ers

H4412: P lywood, veneered panels, etc 74.59

To

p g

ain

ers

H4403: Wood in the rough or roughly squared 57.02

H4410: Particle board, wood, ligneous material 69.41 H4409: Wood continuously shaped along any edges 21.33

H4503: Articles of natural cork 7.40 H4420: Ornaments of wood, jewel, cutlery caskets, etc 11.04

To

p l

ose

rs

H4403: Wood in the rough or roughly squared - 47.52

To

p l

ose

rs

H4407: Wood sawn, chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled - 96.62

H4411: Fibreboard of wood or o ther ligneous materials - 33.95 H4412: P lywood, veneered panels, etc - 33.39

H4408: Veneers and sheets for plywood, etc <6mm thick - 26.89 H4421: Articles of wood, nes - 27.43

H4421: Articles of wood, nes - 45.50 H4416: Wooden casks, barrels, vats, tubs, etc - 85.50

H4418: Builders jo inery and carpentry, o f wood - 45.05 H4408: Veneers and sheets for plywood, etc <6mm thick - 64.34

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Swaziland

China

Malaysia

Brazil

France

Germany

Indonesia

Japan

Botswana

Namibia

India

UK

Lesotho

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.3%

0.6%

0.9%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3

Swaziland

China

Malaysia

Brazil

France

Germany

Indonesia

Japan

Botswana

Namibia

India

UK

Lesotho

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 45: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 43

Paper & paper productsProduction weight: 4.3

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-3.5% -0.8 (percentage points) -1.3% 11.8% -2.4% -8.1%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

13

15

17

19

21

90

95

100

105

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

13

16

19

22

25

35

38

41

44

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

15

30

45

60

75

90

92

94

96

98

100

102

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

20

40

60

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

4

8

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

80

82

84

86

88

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 46: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 44

Paper & paper products (cont.)Production weight: 4.3

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H4702: Chemical wood pulp, disso lving grades 10 372.34

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H4811: Paper, board, etc coated, impregnated, co loured 3 111.37

H4804: Uncoated kraft paper and paperboard 2 337.52 H4810: Paper, board, inorganic coated at least one side 2 687.55

H4703: Chemical wood pulp, soda/sulphate, undissolving 1 855.22 H4802: Uncoated paper for writing, printing office machin 1 506.18

H4819: Paper, board containers, packing items, box files 1 179.72 H4804: Uncoated kraft paper and paperboard 1 174.77

H4818: H.Hold, sanitary, hospital paper articles, clo thing 620.44 H4823: Paper and paper articles nes 465.86

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 20 072.63 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 13 198.46

H4802: Uncoated paper for writing, printing office machin 995.48 H4703: Chemical wood pulp, soda/sulphate, undissolving 917.63

H4805: Uncoated paper and paperboard nes 657.96 H4819: Paper, board containers, packing items, box files 641.93

H4818: H.Hold, sanitary, hospital paper articles, clo thing 29.67 H4801: Newsprint 17.57

H4810: Paper, board, inorganic coated at least one side 15.50 H4818: H.Hold, sanitary, hospital paper articles, clo thing 7.51To

p g

ain

ers

H4703: Chemical wood pulp, soda/sulphate, undissolving 523.06

To

p g

ain

ers

H4803: Paper, household, sanitary, width > 36 cm 71.47

H4821: Paper/ paperboard labels including printed labels 45.44 H4701: M echanical wood pulp 18.79

H4802: Uncoated paper for writing, printing office machin 11.16 H4812: Filter blocks, slabs and plates, o f paper pulp 1.89

To

p l

ose

rs

H4804: Uncoated kraft paper and paperboard - 367.50

To

p l

ose

rs

H4810: Paper, board, inorganic coated at least one side - 396.31

H4819: Paper, board containers, packing items, box files - 111.67 H4704: Chemical wood pulp, sulphite, not disso lving grade - 86.73

H4801: Newsprint - 97.55 H4804: Uncoated kraft paper and paperboard - 82.47

H4702: Chemical wood pulp, disso lving grades - 367.22 H4802: Uncoated paper for writing, printing office machin - 265.32

H4808: Paper, board corrugated, creped, embossed, etc - 163.48 H4819: Paper, board containers, packing items, box files - 103.60

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

2

3

4

5

6

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20%

Germany

China

Finland

Sweden

Brazil

USA

Italy

China

India

Indonesia

Thailand

Zimbabwe

Namibia

Botswana

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

3%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3 4

Germany

China

Finland

Sweden

Brazil

USA

Italy

China

India

Indonesia

Thailand

Zimbabwe

Namibia

Botswana

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 47: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 45

Printing, publishing & recorded mediaProduction weight: 3.2

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-5.9% -1.8 (percentage points) -0.8% 2.9% -8.6% 103.5%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

5

6

7

85

95

105

115

125

135

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

12

14

16

18

20

51

53

55

57

59

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

35

45

55

88

92

96

100

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

10

20

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

72

76

80

84

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 48: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 46

Printing, publishing & recorded media (cont.)Production weight: 3.2

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H4901: Printed reading books, brochures, leaflets, etc 620.12

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H4907: Documents of title (bonds etc), unused stamps, etc 3 882.64

H4820: Office books, forms, exercise books, fo lders, etc 463.95 H4901: Printed reading books, brochures, leaflets, etc 1 501.86

H4911: Printed matter, catalogues, pictures and photos 275.04 H4911: Printed matter, catalogues, pictures and photos 490.88

H4902: Newspapers, journals and periodicals 124.09 H4820: Office books, forms, exercise books, fo lders, etc 191.45

H4910: Calendars, printed 17.54 H8442: M achinery or equipment for print preparation 45.75

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 1 604.71 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 6 314.45

H4908: Transfers (decalcomanias) 42.26 H4902: Newspapers, journals and periodicals 63.80

H8442: M achinery or equipment for print preparation 23.83 H4903: Children's picture, drawing or co louring books 57.57

H4902: Newspapers, journals and periodicals 4.07 H4910: Calendars, printed 0.84

H4909: Postcards, printed or illustrated, greeting cards 0.45 H8442: M achinery or equipment for print preparation 0.45To

p g

ain

ers

H4820: Office books, forms, exercise books, fo lders, etc 44.24

To

p g

ain

ers

H4907: Documents of title (bonds etc), unused stamps, etc 3 692.50

H4904: M usic, printed or in manuscript 14.80 H4908: Transfers (decalcomanias) 2.47

H4905: Printed maps, charts and atlases 0.43

To

p l

ose

rs

H4901: Printed reading books, brochures, leaflets, etc - 152.26

To

p l

ose

rs

H4901: Printed reading books, brochures, leaflets, etc - 239.19

H8442: M achinery or equipment for print preparation - 7.53 H4820: Office books, forms, exercise books, fo lders, etc - 20.50

H4910: Calendars, printed - 1.58 H4903: Children's picture, drawing or co louring books - 8.31

H4911: Printed matter, catalogues, pictures and photos - 39.70 H4911: Printed matter, catalogues, pictures and photos - 140.38

H4908: Transfers (decalcomanias) - 14.24 H4902: Newspapers, journals and periodicals - 67.29

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

1

2

3

4

5

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

UK

Switzerland

China

USA

Zambia

DRC

Mozambique

Namibia

Botswana

Swaziland

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

Zambia

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3

UK

Switzerland

China

USA

Zambia

DRC

Mozambique

Namibia

Botswana

Swaziland

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

Zambia

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 49: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 47

Coke & refined petroleum productsProduction weight: 9.3

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-5.9% 3.7 (percentage points) 3.2% 3.1% 7.9% 51.0%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

30

35

40

45

50

80

90

100

110

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

35

39

43

47

51

22

24

26

28

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

35

50

65

95

97

99

101

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

20

40

60

80

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

5

10

15

20

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

65

70

75

80

85

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 50: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 48

Coke & refined petroleum products (cont.)Production weight: 9.3

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2710: Petro leum oils, bituminous, distillates, except crude 31 949.54

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H2710: Petro leum oils, bituminous, distillates, except crude 59 274.11

H2712: Petro leum jelly and wax, o ther mineral waxes 3 210.95 H2704: Retort carbon, coke/semi-coke of coal, lignite,peat 3 358.93

H2844: Radioactive elements, isotopes, compounds and mixtures 946.67 H8401: Nuclear reactors,fuel elements,isotope separators 1 653.82

H2711: Petro leum gases & other gaseous hydrocarbons 752.31 H2713: Petro leum coke, bitumen & other o il industry residues 1 303.08

H2706: Tar from coal, lignite or peat, o ther mineral tars 13.23 H2844: Radioactive elements, isotopes, compounds and mixtures 107.28

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 37 579.55 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 67 256.18

H2704: Retort carbon, coke/semi-coke of coal, lignite,peat 361.25 H2711: Petro leum gases & other gaseous hydrocarbons 1 006.86

H2713: Petro leum coke, bitumen & other o il industry residues 336.33 H2712: Petro leum jelly and wax, o ther mineral waxes 547.69

H2704: Retort carbon, coke/semi-coke of coal, lignite,peat 292.99 H2713: Petro leum coke, bitumen & other o il industry residues 326.88

H2711: Petro leum gases & other gaseous hydrocarbons 218.89 H2711: Petro leum gases & other gaseous hydrocarbons 175.96To

p g

ain

ers

H2710: Petro leum oils, bituminous, distillates, except crude 2 108.89

To

p g

ain

ers

H2710: Petro leum oils, bituminous, distillates, except crude 21 535.91

H2712: Petro leum jelly and wax, o ther mineral waxes 417.67 H2704: Retort carbon, coke/semi-coke of coal, lignite,peat 932.50

H8401: Nuclear reactors,fuel elements,isotope separators 2.56 H2706: Tar from coal, lignite or peat, o ther mineral tars 1.21

To

p l

ose

rs

H2844: Radioactive elements, isotopes, compounds and mixtures - 235.46

To

p l

ose

rs

H2712: Petro leum jelly and wax, o ther mineral waxes - 166.31

H2713: Petro leum coke, bitumen & other o il industry residues - 48.56 H8401: Nuclear reactors,fuel elements,isotope separators - 67.44

H2844: Radioactive elements, isotopes, compounds and mixtures - 25.51

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

6

10

14

18

22

26

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30%

India

UAE

Oman

Saudi Arabia

Bahrain

Italy

China

Botswana

Lesotho

Namibia

Swaziland

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Germany

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

2%

4%

6%

8%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 3 6 9 12 15

India

UAE

Oman

Saudi Arabia

Bahrain

Italy

China

Botswana

Lesotho

Namibia

Swaziland

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Germany

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 51: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 49

Basic chemicalsProduction weight: 4.4

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-1.5% 0.7 (percentage points) -1.2% 3.0% 9.9% 2.0%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

19

21

23

25

27

85

90

95

100

105

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

15

18

21

24

27

30

20

23

26

29

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

0

15

30

45

60

75

85

90

95

100

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

1

2

3

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

78

81

84

87

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 52: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 50

Basic chemicals (cont.)Production weight: 4.4

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2901: Acyclic hydrocarbons 5 387.71

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H3901: Polymers of ethylene, in primary forms 4 767.13

H3902: Polymers of propylene, o lefins in primary forms 5 144.94 H3102: M ineral or chemical fertilizers, nitrogenous 3 862.87

H2905: Acyclic alcohols and their derivatives 2 861.85 H3907: Polyacetals, po lyethers, etc, primary 2 722.09

H3102: M ineral or chemical fertilizers, nitrogenous 2 831.98 H2836: Carbonates 2 138.52

H3901: Polymers of ethylene, in primary forms 1 727.90 H3906: Acrylic po lymers in primary forms 1 414.99

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 45 044.03 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 51 200.13

H2833: Sulphates, alums, peroxosulphates (persulphates) 2 730.46 H3903: Polymers of styrene, in primary forms 1 543.49

H2914: Ketones and quinones, their derivatives 2 671.93 H2905: Acyclic alcohols and their derivatives 1 513.92

H2905: Acyclic alcohols and their derivatives 798.16 H2815: Hydroxides and peroxides of sodium & potassium 357.15

H2825: Hydrazine, hydroxylamine, metal oxides etc 459.48 H2901: Acyclic hydrocarbons 194.33To

p g

ain

ers

H2833: Sulphates, alums, peroxosulphates (persulphates) 1 339.52

To

p g

ain

ers

H3102: M ineral or chemical fertilizers, nitrogenous 556.51

H2914: Ketones and quinones, their derivatives 929.52 H2836: Carbonates 446.88

H2707: Coal-tar distillation products including o ils 452.36 H3507: Enzymes, prepared enzymes 180.31

To

p l

ose

rs

H2804: Hydrogen, rare gases, non-metallic elements - 595.29

To

p l

ose

rs

H3907: Polyacetals, po lyethers, etc, primary - 587.52

H2708: P itch and pitch coke, from coal, mineral tars - 207.55 H3901: Polymers of ethylene, in primary forms - 167.75

H2822: Cobalt oxides and hydroxides - 132.55 H3104: M ineral or chemical fertilizers, potassic - 163.43

H3102: M ineral or chemical fertilizers, nitrogenous - 341.51 H2834: Nitrites, nitrates - 212.55

H3902: Polymers of propylene, o lefins in primary forms - 286.12 H3912: Cellulose, chemical derivatives nes(primary forms) - 184.90

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

7

10

13

16

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

China

Germany

Saudi Arabia

USA

India

Netherlands

Qatar

Belgium

USA

Zimbabwe

Zambia

India

Singapore

Netherlands

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

3%

4%

5%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8 10

China

Germany

Saudi Arabia

USA

India

Netherlands

Qatar

Belgium

USA

Zimbabwe

Zambia

India

Singapore

Netherlands

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 53: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 51

Other chemicals & man-made fibresProduction weight: 6.2

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-3.2% 1.5 (percentage points) 3.9% 1.2% 4.5% 2.8%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

20

25

30

35

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

15

18

21

24

27

53

55

57

59

61

63

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

26

31

36

41

46

91

93

95

97

99

101

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

15

30

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

78

80

82

84

86

88

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 54: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 52

Other chemicals & man-made fibres (cont.)Production weight: 6.2

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H3004: M edicaments, therapeutic, prophylactic use 4 374.89

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H3004: M edicaments, therapeutic, prophylactic use 22 552.06

H3815: Reaction initiators, accelerators & catalysts 4 296.22 H3302: M ixted odoriferous substances for industrial use 7 619.73

H3304: Beauty, make-up and skin care preparations 3 373.74 H3808: Insecticides, fungicides, herbicides etc (retail) 5 874.02

H3808: Insecticides, fungicides, herbicides etc (retail) 3 224.68 H3002: B lood, antisera, vaccines, toxins and cultures 5 125.73

H3824: Prepared binders for foundary moulds or cores 1 530.84 H3822: Composite diagnostic or laboratory reagents 3 110.69

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 38 601.93 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 83 537.11

H3402: Organic surface active agent, preparation, except soap 2 410.43 H3824: Prepared binders for foundary moulds or cores 4 222.69

H3401: Soaps 2 164.28 H8523: Prepared unrecorded sound recording media 3 725.10

H3603: Safety or detonating fuses, detonators, igniters 211.11 H3302: M ixted odoriferous substances for industrial use 916.48

H3822: Composite diagnostic or laboratory reagents 117.50 H3002: B lood, antisera, vaccines, toxins and cultures 237.10To

p g

ain

ers

H3815: Reaction initiators, accelerators & catalysts 1 233.44

To

p g

ain

ers

H3004: M edicaments, therapeutic, prophylactic use 1 677.49

H3808: Insecticides, fungicides, herbicides etc (retail) 239.71 H3808: Insecticides, fungicides, herbicides etc (retail) 1 067.52

H2936: Provitamins and vitamins, their derivatives 89.70 H3215: Ink 167.30

To

p l

ose

rs

H3004: M edicaments, therapeutic, prophylactic use - 283.30

To

p l

ose

rs

H3402: Organic surface active agent, preparation, except soap - 185.96

H3306: Oral and dental hygiene preparations - 76.95 H2941: Antibio tics - 119.34

H3215: Ink - 67.05 H3504: Peptones, proteins, derivatives, nes, hide powder - 116.37

H3302: M ixted odoriferous substances for industrial use - 148.28 H3824: Prepared binders for foundary moulds or cores - 140.24

H3401: Soaps - 97.41 H3817: M ixed alkylbenzenes & mixed alkylnaphthalenes - 134.07

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15%

Germany

USA

India

France

China

Swaziland

UK

Namibia

Germany

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Zambia

USA

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 3 6 9 12

Germany

USA

India

France

China

Swaziland

UK

Namibia

Germany

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Zambia

USA

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 55: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 53

Rubber productsProduction weight: 1.3

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

1.3% -1.9 (percentage points) 11.8% -0.6% 2.0% 5.0%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

2

3

4

5

90

100

110

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

16

19

22

25

28

10

11

12

13

14

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

35

50

65

92

94

96

98

100

102

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

40

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

3

6

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

75

80

85

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 56: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 54

Rubber products (cont.)Production weight: 1.3

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H4011: New pneumatic tyres, o f rubber 3 700.36

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H4011: New pneumatic tyres, o f rubber 8 227.86

H4016: Articles of vulcanised rubber except hard rubber 658.15 H4016: Articles of vulcanised rubber except hard rubber 1 911.21

H4010: Conveyor and similar belts or belting of rubber 558.92 H4009: Rubber tube, pipe, hose, except hard rubber 984.77

H4009: Rubber tube, pipe, hose, except hard rubber 418.61 H4010: Conveyor and similar belts or belting of rubber 977.81

H4005: Compounded unvulcanised rubber in primary form 84.19 H4008: Rubber plate, sheet, strip, rod, etc, except hard 270.04

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 5 844.92 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 14 299.14

H4012: Tyres nes, retreaded, etc, so lid, cushioned 143.32 H4015: Rubber clo thing & accessories, but hard rubber 462.16

H4015: Rubber clo thing & accessories, but hard rubber 87.84 H4014: Hygienic or pharmaceutical articles of rubber 345.28

H4015: Rubber clo thing & accessories, but hard rubber 21.92 H4016: Articles of vulcanised rubber except hard rubber 62.44

H4009: Rubber tube, pipe, hose, except hard rubber 15.64 H4012: Tyres nes, retreaded, etc, so lid, cushioned 38.17To

p g

ain

ers

H4016: Articles of vulcanised rubber except hard rubber 70.05

To

p g

ain

ers

H4010: Conveyor and similar belts or belting of rubber 90.93

H4010: Conveyor and similar belts or belting of rubber 48.38 H4009: Rubber tube, pipe, hose, except hard rubber 76.14

H4012: Tyres nes, retreaded, etc, so lid, cushioned 5.46 H4005: Compounded unvulcanised rubber in primary form 24.37

To

p l

ose

rs

H5906: Rubberised textile fabric, except tyre cord - 20.79

To

p l

ose

rs

H4014: Hygienic or pharmaceutical articles of rubber - 38.56

H4014: Hygienic or pharmaceutical articles of rubber - 6.01 H4015: Rubber clo thing & accessories, but hard rubber - 21.02

H4003: Reclaimed rubber in primary forms or in sheets - 1.32 H4013: Inner tubes of rubber - 13.84

H4011: New pneumatic tyres, o f rubber - 12.06 H4011: New pneumatic tyres, o f rubber - 28.92

H4008: Rubber plate, sheet, strip, rod, etc, except hard - 7.52 H4006: Unvulcanised rubber as rods, tubes, discs, etc - 23.08

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

1

2

3

4

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

China

Germany

Japan

USA

Thailand

Spain

India

Botswana

Namibia

Zimbabwe

Zambia

Germany

DRC

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3 4

China

Germany

Japan

USA

Thailand

Spain

India

Botswana

Namibia

Zimbabwe

Zambia

Germany

DRC

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 57: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 55

Plastic productsProduction weight: 2.9

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-1.1% 0.6 (percentage points) 1.6% 7.4% -1.0% -0.4%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

12

13

14

15

16

17

85

88

91

94

97

100

103

106

109

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

9

11

13

15

17

39

41

43

45

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

30

40

50

60

88

91

94

97

100

103

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

15

30

45

60

75

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

4

8

12

16

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

80

83

86

89

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 58: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 56

Plastic products (cont.)Production weight: 2.9

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H3923: Containers, bobbins and packages, o f plastics 2 446.14

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H3920: P lastic plate, sheet, film not cellular, reinforced 3 503.68

H3917: P lastic tube, pipe, hose and fittings 1 450.15 H3926: P lastic articles nes 2 903.02

H3926: P lastic articles nes 1 270.85 H3923: Containers, bobbins and packages, o f plastics 2 160.10

H3920: P lastic plate, sheet, film not cellular, reinforced 798.63 H3919: Self-adhesive plates, sheets, film, etc of plastic 2 089.56

H3919: Self-adhesive plates, sheets, film, etc of plastic 353.26 H3924: P lastic table, kitchen, household, to ilet articles 867.83

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 7 980.33 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 16 687.00

H3924: P lastic table, kitchen, household, to ilet articles 509.83 H3921: P lastic plate, sheet, film, fo il, strip, cellular, nes 1 913.35

H3921: P lastic plate, sheet, film, fo il, strip, cellular, nes 408.14 H3917: P lastic tube, pipe, hose and fittings 1 534.88

H3918: P lastic floor, wall or ceiling covering, ro ll or tiles 3.23 H3916: M onofilament (>1mm), rods, etc, o f plastics 32.18

H3916: M onofilament (>1mm), rods, etc, o f plastics 2.92 H6506: Headgear, not felt, plaited, knit or crochet 15.07To

p g

ain

ers

H3923: Containers, bobbins and packages, o f plastics 74.52

To

p g

ain

ers

H3920: P lastic plate, sheet, film not cellular, reinforced 125.20

H3922: Bathroom wares, o f plastics 10.99 H3919: Self-adhesive plates, sheets, film, etc of plastic 66.40

H3919: Self-adhesive plates, sheets, film, etc of plastic 1.02 H3924: P lastic table, kitchen, household, to ilet articles 11.00

To

p l

ose

rs

H3926: P lastic articles nes - 48.59

To

p l

ose

rs

H3917: P lastic tube, pipe, hose and fittings - 143.77

H3925: P lastic articles for use in construction nes - 17.65 H3922: Bathroom wares, o f plastics - 21.58

H3924: P lastic table, kitchen, household, to ilet articles - 15.79 H3921: P lastic plate, sheet, film, fo il, strip, cellular, nes - 19.51

H3917: P lastic tube, pipe, hose and fittings - 42.60 H3918: P lastic floor, wall or ceiling covering, ro ll or tiles - 88.27

H3920: P lastic plate, sheet, film not cellular, reinforced - 27.72 H3925: P lastic articles for use in construction nes - 23.63

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

1

2

3

4

5

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30%

China

Germany

USA

Italy

UK

India

France

Namibia

Botswana

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Mozambique

DRC

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3 4 5

China

Germany

USA

Italy

UK

India

France

Namibia

Botswana

Zambia

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Mozambique

DRC

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 59: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 57

Glass & glass productsProduction weight: 0.7

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-1.2% 1.4 (percentage points) -0.4% 16.0% -8.3% -6.3%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

1

2

3

4

80

90

100

110

120

130

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

12

14

16

18

20

22

8

9

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

15

30

45

60

75

75

85

95

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

3

6

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

75

80

85

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 60: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 58

Glass & glass products (cont.)Production weight: 0.7

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7010: Glass bottles, flasks, jars, phials, stoppers, etc 613.02

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H7013: Glassware for table, kitchen, to ilet, decoration 785.79

H7007: Safety glass (toughened, tempered, laminated) 575.46 H7007: Safety glass (toughened, tempered, laminated) 630.72

H7005: Float glass, surface ground, po lished glass 389.70 H7009: Glass mirrors, whether or not framed 486.63

H7013: Glassware for table, kitchen, to ilet, decoration 177.69 H7019: Glass fibres, glass wool, and articles thereof 398.93

H7020: Articles of glass, nes 30.07 H7020: Articles of glass, nes 89.60

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 2 044.40 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 3 414.46

H7019: Glass fibres, glass wool, and articles thereof 84.91 H7010: Glass bottles, flasks, jars, phials, stoppers, etc 380.52

H7009: Glass mirrors, whether or not framed 62.40 H7005: Float glass, surface ground, po lished glass 334.95

H7006: Cast, drawn/float glass sheet, edge worked/ bent 1.56 H7005: Float glass, surface ground, po lished glass 8.74

H7015: Glasses for spectacles, clocks, watches, unworked 1.29 H7006: Cast, drawn/float glass sheet, edge worked/ bent 6.35To

p g

ain

ers

H7005: Float glass, surface ground, po lished glass 12.32

To

p g

ain

ers

H7009: Glass mirrors, whether or not framed 38.17

H7013: Glassware for table, kitchen, to ilet, decoration 2.92 H7002: Glass in balls, rods or tubes, unworked 12.38

H8546: Electrical insulators of any material 1.25 H7001: Glass cullet, waste or scrap, glass in the mass 1.34

To

p l

ose

rs

H7010: Glass bottles, flasks, jars, phials, stoppers, etc - 88.66

To

p l

ose

rs

H7013: Glassware for table, kitchen, to ilet, decoration - 96.16

H7020: Articles of glass, nes - 22.99 H7007: Safety glass (toughened, tempered, laminated) - 33.67

H7016: Glass blocks, bricks, tiles, leaded lights, etc - 8.30 H8546: Electrical insulators of any material - 20.22

H7007: Safety glass (toughened, tempered, laminated) - 31.88 H7019: Glass fibres, glass wool, and articles thereof - 62.33

H7003: Cast and ro lled glass, sheets and profiles - 31.03 H7016: Glass blocks, bricks, tiles, leaded lights, etc - 33.89

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45%

China

USA

Germany

UAE

France

UK

India

Namibia

Mozambique

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Zambia

UK

Belgium

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5

China

USA

Germany

UAE

France

UK

India

Namibia

Mozambique

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Zambia

UK

Belgium

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 61: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 59

Non-metallic mineral productsProduction weight: 3.2

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-1.8% -2.7 (percentage points) 1.0% 5.8% -2.2% -5.6%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

10

11

12

13

14

90

95

100

105

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

8

10

12

14

16

46

48

50

52

54

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

30

40

50

60

60

70

80

90

100

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

4

8

12

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

70

75

80

85

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 62: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 60

Non-metallic mineral products (cont.)Production weight: 3.2

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H2523: Cement (portland, aluminous, slag or hydraulic) 1 207.94

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H6909: Ceramic laboratory, technical, packaging articles 2 353.18

H6907: Unglazed ceramic flags, paving, hearth / wall tiles 559.68 H6907: Unglazed ceramic flags, paving, hearth / wall tiles 1 702.54

H6909: Ceramic laboratory, technical, packaging articles 487.45 H6902: Refractory brick,block, tile, etc not siliceous-earths 858.36

H6802: Worked monumental,building stone,articles thereof 366.01 H6806: Slag wool, rock wool, insulating minerals 838.91

H6910: Ceramic bathroom,kitchen &other sanitary fixtures 236.28 H6804: M illstones, grinding stones and grinding wheels 388.96

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 5 792.15 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 10 297.23

H2522: Quicklime,slaked, hydraulic lime for construction 291.57 H2523: Cement (portland, aluminous, slag or hydraulic) 463.83

H6804: M illstones, grinding stones and grinding wheels 243.08 H6815: Articles of stone or o ther mineral substances 395.51

H3801: Artificial, graphite and preparations 55.92 H2523: Cement (portland, aluminous, slag or hydraulic) 92.62

H2522: Quicklime,slaked, hydraulic lime for construction 55.78 H2522: Quicklime,slaked, hydraulic lime for construction 42.79To

p g

ain

ers

H6907: Unglazed ceramic flags, paving, hearth / wall tiles 521.84

To

p g

ain

ers

H6907: Unglazed ceramic flags, paving, hearth / wall tiles 1 372.11

H2715: B ituminous mix, mastic from asphalt, bitumen etc 61.88 H6804: M illstones, grinding stones and grinding wheels 109.98

H6804: M illstones, grinding stones and grinding wheels 37.75 H6811: Articles of asbestos & cellulose fibre cement 24.53

To

p l

ose

rs

H6908: Glazed ceramic flags and paving, hearth, wall tiles - 629.76

To

p l

ose

rs

H6908: Glazed ceramic flags and paving, hearth, wall tiles -1 621.58

H6905: Ceramic roofing tiles, chimney pots, etc - 33.73 H6810: Articles of cement, concrete or artificial stone - 68.17

H6808: Boards of veg. fibre, mineral binder, cement - 28.01 H6802: Worked monumental,building stone,articles thereof - 68.09

H6909: Ceramic laboratory, technical, packaging articles - 183.04 H6909: Ceramic laboratory, technical, packaging articles - 174.22

H6802: Worked monumental,building stone,articles thereof - 39.44 H6902: Refractory brick,block, tile, etc not siliceous-earths - 142.68

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

1

2

3

4

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

China

Germany

USA

Japan

Italy

Spain

Indonesia

Botswana

Zambia

Namibia

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Lesotho

USA

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3 4

China

Germany

USA

Japan

Italy

Spain

Indonesia

Botswana

Zambia

Namibia

Zimbabwe

Swaziland

Lesotho

USA

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 63: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 61

Basic iron & steel productsProduction weight: 3.4

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

8.4% -1 (percentage points) -0.1% 1.9% 6.1% -1.8%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

20

24

28

32

36

40

75

85

95

105

115

125

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

16

19

22

25

28

28

30

32

34

36

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

25

30

35

40

45

90

93

96

99

102

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

15

30

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

65

70

75

80

85

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 64: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 62

Basic iron & steel products (cont.)Production weight: 3.4

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7202: Ferro-alloys 49 943.58

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H7210: Flat-ro lled iron/steel, >600mm, clad, plated/ coated 3 310.20

H7219: Rolled stainless steel sheet, width > 600mm 10 015.10 H7225: Flat-ro lled alloy steel, width >600mm 2 603.22

H7210: Flat-ro lled iron/steel, >600mm, clad, plated/ coated 3 859.75 H7202: Ferro-alloys 2 045.22

H7208: Hot-ro lled products, iron/steel, width>600mm, etc 3 749.42 H7307: P ipe fittings, o f iron or steel 1 431.30

H7306: Tube, pipe of iron/steel, not seamless > 406.4mm 1 366.38 H7306: Tube, pipe of iron/steel, not seamless > 406.4mm 835.07

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 83 177.37 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 17 238.69

H7201: P ig iron and spiegeleisen in primary forms 2 512.40 H7208: Hot-ro lled products, iron/steel, width>600mm, etc 1 082.62

H7207: Semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel 2 008.64 H7304: Tube/ ho llow profile, seamless iron/steel not cast 916.39

H7219: Rolled stainless steel sheet, width > 600mm 875.01 H7203: Ferrous prodts from reduction of pure iron ore 128.59

H7205: Granules and powders, o f pig iron, iron or steel 680.55 H7209: Flat-ro lled iron/steel, >600mm, not clad, plated, etc 95.73To

p g

ain

ers

H7207: Semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel 1 373.84

To

p g

ain

ers

H7210: Flat-ro lled iron/steel, >600mm, clad, plated/ coated 473.67

H7201: P ig iron and spiegeleisen in primary forms 1 087.87 H7304: Tube/ ho llow profile, seamless iron/steel not cast 287.84

H7306: Tube, pipe of iron/steel, not seamless > 406.4mm 624.22 H7307: P ipe fittings, o f iron or steel 74.55

To

p l

ose

rs

H7202: Ferro-alloys -1 741.29

To

p l

ose

rs

H7216: Angles, shapes & sections of iron/ non-alloy steel - 370.81

H7214: Iron/steel bar, forged hot-ro lled drawn, extruded - 44.51 H7212: Flat-ro lled iron/steel, <600mm, clad, plated/ coated - 123.97

H7212: Flat-ro lled iron/steel, <600mm, clad, plated/ coated - 38.24 H7220: Rolled stainless steel sheet, width < 600mm - 94.20

H7228: Bar, rod, angle, etc nes, ho llow steel drill bars - 113.66 H7225: Flat-ro lled alloy steel, width >600mm - 370.25

H7215: Bar and rod of iron or non-alloy steel nes - 55.69 H7302: Railway & tramway track material o f iron or steel - 203.40

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

China

Germany

Japan

India

Sweden

South Korea

France

China

USA

UAE

Netherlands

South Korea

Italy

Japan

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 3 6 9 12 15

China

Germany

Japan

India

Sweden

South Korea

France

China

USA

UAE

Netherlands

South Korea

Italy

Japan

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 65: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 63

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Basic non-ferrous metal productsProduction weight: 2.7

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

5.8% 1 (percentage points) -5.2% 9.2% 10.7% 5.5%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

14

17

20

23

26

29

32

85

100

115

130

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

22

26

30

15

17

19

21

23

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

10

25

40

55

70

85

70

80

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

8

16

24

32

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

2

4

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

60

70

80

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 66: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 64

Basic non-ferrous metal products (cont.)Production weight: 2.7

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7601: Unwrought aluminium 13 496.75

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H2818: A luminium oxide, hydroxide & artificial corundum 6 658.71

H7606: A luminium plates, sheets&strip, thickness> 0.2 mm 5 871.19 H7408: Copper wire 4 414.82

H7502: Unwrought nickel 4 017.15 H7901: Unwrought zinc 2 650.12

H7403: Refined copper and copper alloys, unwrought 3 513.02 H7606: A luminium plates, sheets&strip, thickness> 0.2 mm 2 295.42

H7407: Copper bars, rods and profiles 1 268.65 H7403: Refined copper and copper alloys, unwrought 1 168.46

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 35 414.15 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 25 197.26

H7402: Unrefined copper, copper anodes, etc 1 855.82 H7604: A luminium bars, rods and profiles 1 561.67

H7608: A luminium tubes and pipes 1 295.24 H7601: Unwrought aluminium 1 300.95

H7402: Unrefined copper, copper anodes, etc 526.38 H7901: Unwrought zinc 448.97

H7407: Copper bars, rods and profiles 489.25 H7601: Unwrought aluminium 233.86To

p g

ain

ers

H7601: Unwrought aluminium 1 939.35

To

p g

ain

ers

H7408: Copper wire 1 905.45

H7403: Refined copper and copper alloys, unwrought 699.89 H2818: A luminium oxide, hydroxide & artificial corundum 1 550.14

H8105: Cobalt mattes, etc, articles, waste or scrap 268.27 H7604: A luminium bars, rods and profiles 157.28

To

p l

ose

rs

H7502: Unwrought nickel - 346.49

To

p l

ose

rs

H7501: Nickel matte, interim products of nickel metallurgy -2 229.14

H7409: Copper plates, sheets &strips, thickness> 0.15mm - 98.26 H7605: A luminium wire - 88.03

H8109: Zirconium, articles thereof, waste or scrap - 95.42 H7409: Copper plates, sheets &strips, thickness> 0.15mm - 84.54

H7606: A luminium plates, sheets&strip, thickness> 0.2 mm - 218.63 H7403: Refined copper and copper alloys, unwrought - 808.24

H7607: A luminium fo il o f a thickness < 0.2mm - 167.97 H8108: Titanium, articles thereof, waste or scrap - 112.99

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

2

4

6

8

10

12

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30%

Australia

China

Brazil

Germany

UAE

Russia

Zambia

USA

China

Japan

Thailand

Netherlands

Switzerland

Italy

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

1%

2%

3%

4%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8

Australia

China

Brazil

Germany

UAE

Russia

Zambia

USA

China

Japan

Thailand

Netherlands

Switzerland

Italy

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 67: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 65

Metal products (excl machinery)Production weight: 5.7

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-1.0% -0.9 (percentage points) -1.5% 4.6% 1.9% -2.1%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

11

13

15

17

19

21

95

100

105

110

115

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

32

36

40

44

48

65

70

75

80

85

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

210

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

15

30

45

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

70

73

76

79

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 68: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 66

Metal products (excl machinery) (cont.)Production weight: 5.7

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7326: Articles of iron or steel nes 4 039.76

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H8207: Interchangeable too ls & dies for hand/power too ls 2 895.01

H7308: Structures, parts o f structures of iron or steel 3 983.54 H7318: Screws, bo lts, nuts, rivets, etc, iron or steel 2 476.31

H8207: Interchangeable too ls & dies for hand/power too ls 1 346.76 H7326: Articles of iron or steel nes 2 289.48

H7318: Screws, bo lts, nuts, rivets, etc, iron or steel 1 004.51 H8302: Base metal fittings for furniture, doors, cars, etc 1 594.28

H7610: A luminium structures, parts nes, for construction 526.28 H7312: Stranded steel wire, etc, without electric insulation 672.07

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 19 235.94 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 21 547.27

H7314: Iron/ steel clo th, grill, fencing and expanded metal 724.19 H8301: Padlocks, locks, clasps with locks, keys 913.19

H7612: A luminium casks, drums, etc capacity <300l 621.63 H7308: Structures, parts o f structures of iron or steel 903.64

H7419: Articles of copper nes 274.66 H8309: Stoppers, caps, lids, etc o f base metal 36.30

H8309: Stoppers, caps, lids, etc o f base metal 172.83 H7315: Chain and parts thereof, o f iron or steel 33.95To

p g

ain

ers

H7326: Articles of iron or steel nes 724.97

To

p g

ain

ers

H8207: Interchangeable too ls & dies for hand/power too ls 1 009.97

H8207: Interchangeable too ls & dies for hand/power too ls 340.18 H9406: Prefabricated buildings 39.79

H8404: Auxiliary plant for bo ilers 59.34 H7614: A luminium stranded wire, cables, etc, uninsulated 33.95

To

p l

ose

rs

H7308: Structures, parts o f structures of iron or steel - 808.02

To

p l

ose

rs

H7326: Articles of iron or steel nes - 237.45

H7314: Iron/ steel clo th, grill, fencing and expanded metal - 94.26 H7318: Screws, bo lts, nuts, rivets, etc, iron or steel - 132.87

H8402: Steam/vapour generating boiler - 68.09 H7610: A luminium structures, parts nes, for construction - 129.59

H7309: Reservoirs, tanks, vats, etc, iron/ steel cap >300l - 126.64 H8402: Steam/vapour generating boiler - 161.31

H7310: Tank, box, container, iron/steel, capacity <300l - 124.51 H7308: Structures, parts o f structures of iron or steel - 139.55

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

3

4

5

6

7

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

China

Germany

India

USA

Spain

Italy

Taiwan

Namibia

Zambia

Botswana

Japan

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

DRC

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

1%

2%

3%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8 10

China

Germany

India

USA

Spain

Italy

Taiwan

Namibia

Zambia

Botswana

Japan

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

DRC

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 69: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 67

Machinery & equipmentProduction weight: 6.8

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

5.4% 0.8 (percentage points) 2.6% 3.1% -3.0% -2.2%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

8

9

10

11

12

90

100

110

120

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

15

18

21

24

27

30

100

105

110

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

5

15

25

35

45

55

90

94

98

102

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

25

50

75

100

125

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

15

30

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

79

81

83

85

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 70: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 68

Machinery & equipment (cont.)Production weight: 6.8

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H8431: Parts for use with lifting, moving machinery 5 153.66

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H8471: Automatic data processing machines (computers) 21 080.80

H8474: M achinery to sort, screen, etc mineral products 4 558.42 H8429: Self-propeled earth moving, road making machines 9 495.12

H8413: Pumps for liquids 4 194.10 H8443: Printing and ancillary machinery 8 967.01

H8471: Automatic data processing machines (computers) 2 967.50 H8431: Parts for use with lifting, moving machinery 7 526.83

H8483: Shafts, cranks, gears, clutches, flywheel, pulleys, etc 2 009.96 H8413: Pumps for liquids 5 032.74

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 49 724.25 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 147 616.05

H8421: Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machine 2 105.55 H8481: Taps, cocks, valves for pipes, tanks, bo ilers, etc 5 409.48

H8429: Self-propeled earth moving, road making machines 2 028.47 H8483: Shafts, cranks, gears, clutches, flywheel, pulleys, etc 5 067.18

H8421: Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machine 246.10 H8433: Harvesting, produce cleaning & grading machinery 619.89

H8408: Compression-ignition engines (diesel, etc) 220.24 H8480: M oulds for metals (except ingot), plastic, etc 503.58To

p g

ain

ers

H8413: Pumps for liquids 492.89

To

p g

ain

ers

H8429: Self-propeled earth moving, road making machines 3 241.71

H8406: Steam turbines and other vapour turbines 291.24 H8701: Tractors (besides works, warehouse equipment) 1 254.42

H8474: M achinery to sort, screen, etc mineral products 183.30 H8427: Fork-lift trucks, o ther trucks with lifting equipment 400.13

To

p l

ose

rs

H8431: Parts for use with lifting, moving machinery - 885.06

To

p l

ose

rs

H8406: Steam turbines and other vapour turbines -2 838.02

H8473: Parts, except covers, for o ffice machines - 288.90 H8417: Industrial, lab furnaces, ovens, incinerators - 585.42

H8426: Derricks, cranes, straddle carriers, crane trucks - 189.99 H8473: Parts, except covers, for o ffice machines - 506.50

H8710: Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles - 614.15 H8419: M achinery, non-domestic, for heating or cooling -1 556.83

H8429: Self-propeled earth moving, road making machines - 452.85 H8415: A ir conditioning equipment, machinery -1 168.38

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

5

15

25

35

45

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30%

China

Germany

USA

Italy

Japan

UK

France

Zambia

Namibia

Botswana

Zimbabwe

Mozambique

DRC

USA

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

2%

6%

10%

14%

18%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 10 20 30 40 50

China

Germany

USA

Italy

Japan

UK

France

Zambia

Namibia

Botswana

Zimbabwe

Mozambique

DRC

USA

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 71: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 69

Electrical machinery & equipmentProduction weight: 1.7

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-7.7% 1.1 (percentage points) -4.1% -4.3% -5.4% -2.9%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

11

13

15

17

85

95

105

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

13

15

17

19

21

23

40

42

44

46

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

20

30

40

50

60

85

90

95

100

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

76

78

80

82

84

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 72: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 70

Electrical machinery & equipment (cont.)Production weight: 1.7

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H8544: Insulated wire and cable, optical fibre cable 2 270.11

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H8504: Electric transformers,static converters & rectifiers 6 168.82

H8536: Electrical switches, connectors, etc, for < 1kV 1 620.95 H8502: Electric generating sets and rotary converters 5 798.78

H8504: Electric transformers,static converters & rectifiers 1 355.38 H8544: Insulated wire and cable, optical fibre cable 5 308.71

H8537: Electrical power, etc, contro l & distribution boards 1 239.36 H8536: Electrical switches, connectors, etc, for < 1kV 4 863.69

H9405: Lamps and lighting fittings, illuminated signs, etc 716.53 H8537: Electrical power, etc, contro l & distribution boards 2 841.05

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 13 692.06 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 45 482.82

H8501: Electric motors and generators, except generating sets 940.26 H8501: Electric motors and generators, except generating sets 3 431.37

H8543: Electrical machinery and apparatus 880.79 H8507: Electric accumulators 2 875.52

H8506: Primary cells and primary batteries 80.58 H8537: Electrical power, etc, contro l & distribution boards 478.47

H8538: Parts for electrical switches, protectors, etc 59.65 H8545: Carbon electrodes, brushes and electrical items 315.84To

p g

ain

ers

H8531: Electric sound or visual signal equipment nes 95.61

To

p g

ain

ers

H8504: Electric transformers,static converters & rectifiers 711.31

H8546: Electrical insulators of any material 86.37 H8507: Electric accumulators 592.50

H8511: Ignition equipment, internal combustion engine 41.29 H8539: Electric filament, discharge lamps 123.04

To

p l

ose

rs

H8504: Electric transformers,static converters & rectifiers - 283.44

To

p l

ose

rs

H8502: Electric generating sets and rotary converters -1 328.23

H8501: Electric motors and generators, except generating sets - 89.97 H8536: Electrical switches, connectors, etc, for < 1kV - 376.78

H8543: Electrical machinery and apparatus - 89.52 H8501: Electric motors and generators, except generating sets - 332.75

H8544: Insulated wire and cable, optical fibre cable - 272.44 H8503: Parts for electric motors and generators - 479.51

H8502: Electric generating sets and rotary converters - 211.10 H9405: Lamps and lighting fittings, illuminated signs, etc - 445.36

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

4

8

12

16

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

China

Germany

USA

Spain

Botswana

Italy

France

Botswana

Namibia

Zambia

Mozambique

DRC

Zimbabwe

Lesotho

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

2%

4%

6%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 3 6 9 12 15

China

Germany

USA

Spain

Botswana

Italy

France

Botswana

Namibia

Zambia

Mozambique

DRC

Zimbabwe

Lesotho

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 73: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 71

Television, radio & communication equipmentProduction weight: 0.9

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

0.4% 1.2 (percentage points) 4.1% 5.8% -21.3% -6.2%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

2

3

4

5

75

95

115

135

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

15

18

21

24

5

6

7

8

9

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

0

20

40

60

80

70

80

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

74

78

82

86

90

94

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 74: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 72

Production weight: 0.9Television, radio & communication equipment (cont.)

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H8517: Electric apparatus for line telephony, telegraphy 3 119.37

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H8517: Electric apparatus for line telephony, telegraphy 41 908.70

H8528: Television receivers, video monitors, pro jectors 1 494.57 H8529: Parts for radio, tv transmission, receive equipment 4 034.38

H8541: Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc 1 035.83 H8528: Television receivers, video monitors, pro jectors 2 361.28

H8529: Parts for radio, tv transmission, receive equipment 839.92 H8525: Radio and TV transmitters, television cameras 2 082.40

H8518: Audio-electronic equipment non-recording devices 285.36 H8518: Audio-electronic equipment non-recording devices 1 840.26

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 8 065.52 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 58 835.60

H8525: Radio and TV transmitters, television cameras 541.16 H8542: Electronic integrated circuits and microassemblies 2 063.53

H8542: Electronic integrated circuits and microassemblies 308.12 H8541: Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc 1 995.17

H8518: Audio-electronic equipment non-recording devices 23.39 H8528: Television receivers, video monitors, pro jectors 71.75

H8527: Radio, radio-telephony receivers 5.28 H8534: Electronic printed circuits 31.68To

p g

ain

ers

H8542: Electronic integrated circuits and microassemblies 97.81

To

p g

ain

ers

H8518: Audio-electronic equipment non-recording devices 222.62

H8534: Electronic printed circuits 38.66 H8540: Thermionic and co ld cathode valves and tubes 106.78

H8533: Electrical resistors & rheostats except for heating 1.19

To

p l

ose

rs

H8517: Electric apparatus for line telephony, telegraphy - 895.54

To

p l

ose

rs

H8517: Electric apparatus for line telephony, telegraphy -1 948.04

H8525: Radio and TV transmitters, television cameras - 244.49 H8525: Radio and TV transmitters, television cameras - 273.10

H8529: Parts for radio, tv transmission, receive equipment - 191.19 H8529: Parts for radio, tv transmission, receive equipment - 161.44

H8541: Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc - 515.69 H8541: Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc -1 431.37

H8528: Television receivers, video monitors, pro jectors - 438.31 H8542: Electronic integrated circuits and microassemblies - 303.03

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 75%

China

Vietnam

USA

Hong Kong

Malaysia

Germany

Taiwan

Namibia

Netherlands

Botswana

Zambia

UAE

USA

China

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 10 20 30 40

China

Vietnam

USA

Hong Kong

Malaysia

Germany

Taiwan

Namibia

Netherlands

Botswana

Zambia

UAE

USA

China

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 75: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 73

Professional & scientific equipmentProduction weight: 0.7

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-5.3% -0.2 (percentage points) -0.1% 0.0% -13.5% -5.8%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

1

2

3

90

95

100

105

110

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

17

21

25

29

33

10

11

12

13

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

90

95

100

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

2

2

2

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

82

84

86

88

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 76: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 74

Professional & scientific equipment (cont.)Production weight: 0.7

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H9018: Instruments, etc for medical, surgical & dental use 1 391.02

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H9018: Instruments, etc for medical, surgical & dental use 7 543.62

H9031: M easuring or checking instruments nes 1 033.30 H9021: Orthopaedic appliances 3 123.49

H9015: Survey, oceanographic, meteoro logical instruments 594.40 H9027: Equipment for physical and chemical analysis 2 593.96

H9027: Equipment for physical and chemical analysis 578.78 H9031: M easuring or checking instruments nes 2 483.50

H9026: Equipment to measure level &pressure of fluidflow 500.86 H9022: Equipment using X-rays, alpha, beta, gamma rays 1 369.78

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 8 346.56 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 31 368.00

H9028: Gas, liquid/ electricity supply or production meters 573.34 H9026: Equipment to measure level &pressure of fluidflow 1 573.95

H9014: Navigational instrumts, direction finding compass 516.82 H9032: Automatic regulating or contro lling equipment 1 498.52

H9029: Revolution counters, taximeters & speedometers 54.05 H9006: Photographic cameras (except cine), accessories 91.61

H9018: Instruments, etc for medical, surgical & dental use 37.60 H9019: Therapeutic appliances, nes 84.49To

p g

ain

ers

H9013: Liquid crystal devices, lasers, optical appliances 75.75

To

p g

ain

ers

H9031: M easuring or checking instruments nes 208.25

H9021: Orthopaedic appliances 64.63 H9028: Gas, liquid/ electricity supply or production meters 179.85

H9102: Watches with case of, or clad with, o f base metal 34.49 H9020: Breathing appliances and gas masks 72.02

To

p l

ose

rs

H9014: Navigational instrumts, direction finding compass - 631.44

To

p l

ose

rs

H8526: Radar, radio navigation & remote contro l apparatus - 348.95

H9028: Gas, liquid/ electricity supply or production meters - 155.57 H9032: Automatic regulating or contro lling equipment - 223.53

H9022: Equipment using X-rays, alpha, beta, gamma rays - 126.02 H9101: Watches with case of/ clad with, precious metal - 220.92

H9101: Watches with case of/ clad with, precious metal - 199.63 H9018: Instruments, etc for medical, surgical & dental use - 345.92

H9031: M easuring or checking instruments nes - 174.77 H9014: Navigational instrumts, direction finding compass - 237.43

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

2

4

6

8

10

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

USA

China

Germany

Switzerland

UK

France

Japan

Namibia

Botswana

UK

Germany

USA

Uganda

DRC

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8

USA

China

Germany

Switzerland

UK

France

Japan

Namibia

Botswana

UK

Germany

USA

Uganda

DRC

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 77: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 75

Motor vehicles, parts & accessoriesProduction weight: 5.6

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

0.7% 0.1 (percentage points) 2.0% 7.2% -4.2% 4.8%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

15

18

21

24

27

30

33

75

85

95

105

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

12

15

18

21

24

27

30

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

101

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

30

40

50

96

98

100

102

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

5

10

15

20

25

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

70

75

80

85

90

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 78: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 76

Motor vehicles, parts & accessories (cont.)Production weight: 5.6

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H8703: Vehicles for transport o f persons (except buses) 75 436.59

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H9801: Original equipment components 89 490.61

H8704: M otor vehicles for the transport o f goods 39 503.48 H8703: Vehicles for transport o f persons (except buses) 52 944.06

H8421: Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machine 18 962.67 H8708: Parts and accessories for motor vehicles 18 114.40

H8708: Parts and accessories for motor vehicles 9 000.61 H8704: M otor vehicles for the transport o f goods 10 478.39

H8407: Spark-ignition internal combustion engines 1 611.00 H8702: Public-transport type passenger motor vehicles 1 428.80

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 153 928.06 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 180 977.68

H8409: Parts for internal combustion spark ignition engine 3 516.81 H8409: Parts for internal combustion spark ignition engine 2 655.99

H8609: Cargo containers designed for carriage of goods 2 260.63 H8421: Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machine 2 123.42

H8716: Trailers and non-mechanically propelled vehicles 43.31 H9801: Original equipment components 1 400.46

H9801: Original equipment components 16.44 H8716: Trailers and non-mechanically propelled vehicles 267.97To

p g

ain

ers

H8708: Parts and accessories for motor vehicles 215.10

To

p g

ain

ers

H8703: Vehicles for transport o f persons (except buses) 3 794.38

H8407: Spark-ignition internal combustion engines 46.22 H8704: M otor vehicles for the transport o f goods 3 370.01

H8415: A ir conditioning equipment, machinery 11.15 H8421: Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machine 205.55

To

p l

ose

rs

H8421: Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machine -3 232.21

To

p l

ose

rs

H8708: Parts and accessories for motor vehicles - 666.70

H8702: Public-transport type passenger motor vehicles - 192.55 H8407: Spark-ignition internal combustion engines - 28.28

H8409: Parts for internal combustion spark ignition engine - 158.71 H8415: A ir conditioning equipment, machinery - 4.27

H8703: Vehicles for transport o f persons (except buses) -2 104.30 H8409: Parts for internal combustion spark ignition engine - 176.34

H8704: M otor vehicles for the transport o f goods - 997.60 H8705: Special purpose motor vehicles - 33.48

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

15

25

35

45

55

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Germany

Japan

Thailand

India

USA

China

UK

Germany

USA

Belgium

UK

Japan

Spain

Namibia

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

9%

12%

15%

18%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 15 30 45 60 75

Germany

Japan

Thailand

India

USA

China

UK

Germany

USA

Belgium

UK

Japan

Spain

Namibia

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 79: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 77

Other transport equipmentProduction weight: 1.2

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

-5.5% 4.1 (percentage points) -3.2% 6.3% -21.8% -20.6%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

6

7

8

9

10

86

91

96

101

106

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

13

15

17

19

21

23

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

0

15

30

45

60

85

90

95

100

105

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

65

70

75

80

85

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 80: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 78

Other transport equipment (cont.)Production weight: 1.2

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H8803: Parts o f aircraft, spacecraft, etc 2 861.05

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H8802: A ircraft, spacecraft, satellites 9 506.44

H8903: Yachts, pleasure, sports vessels, boats, canoes 1 626.14 H8803: Parts o f aircraft, spacecraft, etc 3 408.79

H8802: A ircraft, spacecraft, satellites 1 437.75 H8411: Turbo-jets/-propellers/other gas turbine engines 1 634.62

H8407: Spark-ignition internal combustion engines 796.74 H8603: Self-propelled rail or tramway vehicles 1 528.79

H8607: Parts o f railway, tramway locomotives, etc 424.74 H8714: Parts & accessories of bicycles, motorcycles, etc 784.62

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 10 231.02 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 22 496.77

H8411: Turbo-jets/-propellers/other gas turbine engines 790.00 H8607: Parts o f railway, tramway locomotives, etc 1 511.84

H8906: Warships, lifeboats, hospital ships, vessels nes 706.29 H8711: M otorcycles, bicycles, etc with auxiliary motor 1 330.43

H8407: Spark-ignition internal combustion engines 213.73 H8412: Engines and motors, nes 40.40

H8905: Special purpose ships, vessels, nes 16.93 H8608: Signals, etc for rail, tram, water-way, port, airfield 30.29To

p g

ain

ers

H8906: Warships, lifeboats, hospital ships, vessels nes 523.53

To

p g

ain

ers

H8411: Turbo-jets/-propellers/other gas turbine engines 168.23

H8603: Self-propelled rail or tramway vehicles 398.13 H8902: Fishing vessels and factory ships 84.75

H8805: A ircraft launching gear, flight simulators 9.54 H8906: Warships, lifeboats, hospital ships, vessels nes 13.41

To

p l

ose

rs

H8802: A ircraft, spacecraft, satellites -2 007.48

To

p l

ose

rs

H8802: A ircraft, spacecraft, satellites -3 319.34

H8901: Passenger and goods transport ships, boats - 284.87 H8605: Railway passenger and special purpose coaches - 426.28

H8606: Railway and tramway goods vans and wagons - 182.08 H8407: Spark-ignition internal combustion engines - 257.45

H8803: Parts o f aircraft, spacecraft, etc - 534.32 H8803: Parts o f aircraft, spacecraft, etc - 581.33

H8411: Turbo-jets/-propellers/other gas turbine engines - 385.51 H8905: Special purpose ships, vessels, nes - 537.32

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

USA

France

China

Ireland

Brazil

Germany

UK

France

USA

UK

British Virgin Islands

Germany

Tanzania

Singapore

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8 10

USA

France

China

Ireland

Brazil

Germany

UK

France

USA

UK

British Virgin Islands

Germany

Tanzania

Singapore

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 81: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 79

FurnitureProduction weight: 1.1

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

2.3% -1.6 (percentage points) 1.3% -2.4% -9.9% -3.7%

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1

Volume of production Value of sales

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

20

25

30

35

40

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

35

45

55

65

60

70

80

90

100

110

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

70

75

80

85

90

95

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 82: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 80

Furniture (cont.)Production weight: 1.1

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H9401: Seats (except dentist, barber, etc chairs) 1 622.37

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H9401: Seats (except dentist, barber, etc chairs) 4 237.09

H9403: Other furniture and parts thereof 1 569.36 H9403: Other furniture and parts thereof 2 273.41

H9404: M attress supports, mattresses, bedding 357.91 H9404: M attress supports, mattresses, bedding 51.61

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 3 549.63 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 6 562.11

0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00

To

p g

ain

ers

To

p g

ain

ers

To

p l

ose

rs

H9401: Seats (except dentist, barber, etc chairs) - 213.75

To

p l

ose

rs

H9403: Other furniture and parts thereof - 239.05

H9403: Other furniture and parts thereof - 93.76 H9401: Seats (except dentist, barber, etc chairs) - 12.01

H9404: M attress supports, mattresses, bedding - 82.85 H9404: M attress supports, mattresses, bedding - 1.67

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

China

Germany

Italy

Thailand

Lesotho

Poland

Czech Republic

Botswana

Namibia

Germany

Zambia

Swaziland

Lesotho

Mozambique

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 1 2 3 4

China

Germany

Italy

Thailand

Lesotho

Poland

Czech Republic

Botswana

Namibia

Germany

Zambia

Swaziland

Lesotho

Mozambique

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 83: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 81

-3.1% 10.2% 7.1% -6.0%

Employment* Gross monthly remuneration per worker Exports (ZAR) Imports (ZAR)

Other manufacturingProduction weight: 2.1

Trend analysis: 2017 y-o-y (except: capacity utilisation, employment and remuneration - Q4 2017 y-o-y)

(percentage points)

Production and sales trend Utilisation of production capacity

Quarterly Quarterly

Production index (seasonally adjusted) Value of sales (R billion) Capacity utilisation (%)

Formal employment and remuneration trend (QLFS based)** Employment composition trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based)**

Quarterly Quarterly

Number (1 000) Gross remuneration per w orker (R '000) Formal employ ment % of total employ ment Youth employ ment % of total employ ment

Skill composition of employment trend (formal and informal) (QLFS based) Provincial distribution of employment ( formal and informal) (QLFS based)

Quarterly Q4 2017 (cumulative total)

Number (1 000) Number (1 000)

* QES - Q1 2012 to Q1 2015 data compiled from the 2013 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2015 to Q1 2016 compiled from the 2015 Business Sample Frame, Q2 2016 onw ards compiled from

the 2017 Business Sample Frame

** QLFS - Q1 2012 to Q4 2014 data compiled from the 2007 Master Sample, Q1 2015 onw ards compiled from the 2013 Master Sample

0.3% -0.2

Production (seas. adj.) Capacity utilisation

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Volume of production Value of sales

7

9

11

13

15

32

35

38

41

44

47

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Employment Remuneration per worker

25

35

45

55

65

55

65

75

85

95

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Formal employemnt Youth employment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Tertiary education Secondary schooling completed Less than secondary schooling

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

WesternCape

EasternCape

NorthernCape

FreeState

KwaZulu-Natal

NorthWest

Gauteng Mpuma-langa

Limpopo

Non-youth Youth

72

76

80

84

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Capacity utilisation

Page 84: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 82

Other manufacturing (cont.)Production weight: 2.1

Trade trends (value terms) Trade trends (% of total exports/imports)

Total per quarter Quarterly

ZAR billion per quarter (current v alues) % share of SA's ov erall merchandise ex ports/imports

Major traded export products Major traded import products

2017 2017

HS4 code: sector description ZAR m HS4 code: sector description ZAR m

To

p e

xpo

rts

H7118: Coin 8 457.08

To

p i

mp

ort

s

H9503: Other toys, scale models, puzzles, etc 2 283.70

H7112: Waste or scrap of precious metal 6 179.43 H9504: Articles for funfairs, table and parlour games 1 867.66

H2618: Granulated slag from iron & steel industry 3 129.59 H9506: Equipment for gymnastics, sports, outdoor games nes 1 606.77

H2402: Cigars, cigarettes etc, tobacco/tobacco substitute 1 940.38 H2402: Cigars, cigarettes etc, tobacco/tobacco substitute 1 233.29

H2403: Tobacco, tobacco substitute products nes 1 005.40 H7113: Jewellery and parts, containing precious metal 652.51

Expo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 31 302.14 Impo rts T o tal ( including o thers) 15 387.29

H7113: Jewellery and parts, containing precious metal 1 766.99 H9603: Brooms, brushes, mops, feather dusters, etc 691.88

H7204: Ferrous waste or scrap, ingots or iron or steel 1 638.60 H6704: Wigs, false beards, eyebrows and eyelashes 666.47

To

p l

ose

rs

H7404: Copper, copper alloy, waste or scrap -1 009.49

To

p l

ose

rs

H7113: Jewellery and parts, containing precious metal - 375.88

H7112: Waste or scrap of precious metal 431.54 H7204: Ferrous waste or scrap, ingots or iron or steel 108.24

H2620: M etal containing ash/ residue except iron or steel 129.46 H2402: Cigars, cigarettes etc, tobacco/tobacco substitute 76.88To

p g

ain

ers

H7118: Coin 2 195.77

To

p g

ain

ers

H9703: Original sculptures and statuary, in any material 177.94

H2618: Granulated slag from iron & steel industry 902.76 H7115: Articles of, or clad with, precious metal nes 121.72

- 272.04 H2302: Bran, sharps etc, from working cereals/ legumes - 177.53

H7602: A luminium waste or scrap - 147.44 H9701: Hand made paintings, drawings, pastels, co llages - 164.88

H8548: Electrical parts o f machinery and apparatus 89.11 H7105: Dust & powder of precious/ semi-precious stones 40.93

Top trading partners (share of exports/imports) Top trading partners (value of export/imports)

2017 2017

H7115: Articles of, or clad with, precious metal nes - 82.39 H2308: Veg. waste, residues, etc for animal feed - 116.78

H9503: Other toys, scale models, puzzles, etc - 75.84 H9503: Other toys, scale models, puzzles, etc - 101.19

H7204: Ferrous waste or scrap, ingots or iron or steel

2

4

6

8

10

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

China

USA

Switzerland

Germany

Mozambique

Italy

India

Germany

USA

Hong Kong

Belgium

India

Namibia

China

Top export destinations' share

Top import sources' share

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Q1 Q22013

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22014

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22015

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22016

Q3 Q4| Q1 Q22017

Q3 Q4|

Exports Imports

0 2 4 6 8

China

USA

Switzerland

Germany

Mozambique

Italy

India

Germany

USA

Hong Kong

Belgium

India

Namibia

China

R billion

Top export destinations' value

Top import sources' value

Page 85: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 83

Acronyms, notes and data sources

Acronyms

COMESA Common Market for Eastern & Southern Africa members are: Burundi, Comoros, DRC, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,

Ethiopia, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Rwanda, Seychelles, Sudan, Swaziland, Uganda, Zambia &

Zimbabwe.

DRC Democratic Republic of Congo.

EU European Union member states are: Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Estonia, Spain,

Finland, France, United Kingdom, Bulgaria, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Latvia, Malta, The

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Sweden, Slovenia and Slovakia.

GDP Gross domestic product.

HS Codes Harmonized system codes.

Middle East The countries in the Middle East grouping are: Bahrain, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon,

Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syrian Arab Republic, Turkey, United Arab Emirates and Yemen

NAFTA North American Free Trade Agreement members are: Canada, Mexico and the United States of America.

n.e.s. Not elsewhere specified.

PGM Platinum group metals

ZAR or R South African rand.

SA Republic of South Africa.

SACU Southern African Customs Union members are: Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Swaziland.

SADC Southern African Development Community members are: Angola, Botswana, Democratic Republic of Congo, Lesotho,

Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Swaziland, United Republic of Tanzania,

Zambia and Zimbabwe.

QES Quarterly Employment Survey – based on surveying companies that are registered for VAT. Employees are counted if they

received remuneration in the preceding payment period, with contractors, employees on unpaid leave (e.g. maternity leave)

and persons that are work at the company but is not paid by the company (e.g. persons on secondment).

QLFS Quarterly Labour Force Survey – based on a sample of households being surveyed regarding their employment levels in

the 7 days preceding the interview. Employed is defined as having done paid work for at least 1-hour in the previous 7 days.

Formal employment is defined as where there are more than 5 employees working and/or having PAYE deducted and/or

having a formal employment contract.

UK United Kingdom.

USA or US United States of America.

USD United States dollar.

y-o-y Year-on-year growth rate.

q-o-q Quarter-on-quarter growth rate.

Page 86: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

May 2018 IDC – Research and Information – Sectoral Trends 84

Acronyms, notes and data sources

Notes

All volume of production data (value add data in the case of the agriculture, forestry and fishing sector) is seasonally adjusted. All other data

is not seasonally adjusted.

Discrepancies may arise between preliminary trade data released by SARS and the Quantec data utilised in this report due to historical

revisions.

The methodology utilised by StatsSA and DMR in relation to remuneration data differs in that the DMR includes all income derived due to

employment, such as severance, retrenchment and termination payments as well as income derived from employee share schemes. Therefore

direct comparisons between remuneration per worker in the mining and manufacturing sectors reported in this document should be done with

great care.

Data sources

Quantec Research based on South African Revenue Services (SARS): South African trade data.

Statistics South Africa (Stats SA): South African employment, production and capacity utilization data.

Department of Mineral Resources: South African employment and remuneration data for the mining sector and sub-sectors.

Page 87: Performance of the primary and secondary sectors of the ......global demand for industrial commodities). The imposition of tariffs on the United States’ steel imports may affect

Compiled by:

The Department of Research and Information

Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa Limited

PO Box 784055, Sandton, 2146, Gauteng, South Africa

For further assistance or information contact:

The Department of Research and Information

Tel: +27 11 269 3454 (Dianne Rymer)

Email: [email protected]

IDC Head Office:

19 Fredman Drive, Sandown, 2196

PO Box 784055, Sandton, 2146, South Africa

Tel: +27 11 269 3000

Fax: +27 11 269 3116

Call Centre: 0860 693 888

Email: [email protected]

Website: www.idc.co.za

Although every care is taken to ensure the accuracy of this publication, supplements, updates and replacement material; the authors, editors, publishers and printers

do not accept responsibility for any act, omission, loss or damage or the consequences thereof, occasioned by a reliance by any person upon the contents hereof.