Pedagogic Enquiry Presentation - Threshold Concepts in Statistics as a Discipline - Dr Richard...

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Threshold Concepts in Quants Dr Richard Diamond Enquiry Presentation 18th May 2011 Postgraduate Certificate in Learning and Teaching in Higher Education University College London

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Page 1: Pedagogic Enquiry Presentation - Threshold Concepts in Statistics as a Discipline - Dr Richard Diamond

Threshold Concepts in QuantsDr Richard DiamondEnquiry Presentation

18th May 2011

Postgraduate Certificate in Learning and Teaching in Higher Education

University College London

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Enquiry Aims and Activities

• Disciplinary application of the threshold concepts approach to analyse quants (statistics and finance)

• Identification of threshold concepts and effective learning pathways to navigate the webs of concepts

• Analysis of VLE data (grades and time spent)

• Analysis of student feedback (CATs and informal)

• Reflection on and improvement of techniques for teaching, engagement and support

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Threshold Concepts Approach Literature Review

Key References

Cousin (2006), Davies and Mangan (2007), Meyer and Land (2003, 2005), Land et al. (2005) and Meyer et al. (2008)

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What Is Threshold Concepts Approach About?

• Recognising and focusing on central concepts in contemporary ‘stuffed’ curriculum

• Linking thinking and practicing through re-working of prior naive or premature understandings (common sense vs. science)

• Dealing with the troublesomeness of knowledge that stems from (a) opening up concepts deemed understood and (b) uncertainty about future understanding

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Surface Learning Issues in Economics

• Students acquire formal knowledge of a discipline but seem unable to use it when making sense of experience in work or their everyday lives

• Students struggle with underpinning theory and resort to verbatim learning of isolated aspects of the subject that they are unable to juxtapose

Davies and Mangan (2007:18)

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Initial Findings from Assessment Data

Design and Sampling

• Three subsequently delivered modules of 14, 51 and 37 participants• Curriculum made ‘simpler’ from one run to next• Same textbook (Barrow 2009) and MathXL questions• Scores had a range of 1 to 100, presenting categorial and finely ranked data

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Grades DistributionHighly discretised data bins give approximate Normal

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Where is the mean?10% bins provide more difference between students

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Distribution is Multi-ModalFitting to the Normal still leaves a problem with bins

Surface Learners

Deep Learners

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Histogram

Distribution is Bi-ModalReflects a transition through troublesome knowledge

Surface Learners

Deep Learners

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Amount of time spent indicates problem, not result

Group One28 Sections

Group Two20 sections

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Initial Findings from Significant Correlations I

• Total time spent by students had no significant correlation with their results. Time spent per section had negative correlation with the section’s score

• In order to score high overall, the students needed to score high for all chapters (grading emphasised particular chapters)

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Initial Findings from Significant Correlations II

• Scores in Chapters 1-3 have significant correlation with subsequent results (procedural thresholds being learned, especially in Chapter I)

• Normal Distribution - Hypothesis Testing - Regression Modelling showed the strong triangle relationship. They are threshold concepts and procedures of Statistics

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Threshold Concepts for Knowledge Integration

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Example of a conceptual mapNotice multiple dimensions that link concepts

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Webs of Threshold Concepts

• Two kinds of maps: local and grand

• Learners should have some basic and threshold concept knowledge before being guided through the mapping

• Maps are drawn in front of and together with learners and questions get answered

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Technique Improvement:What has been tried in class

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Visualisaiton

• Visual simulations for complicated matters. Examples: Type I and Type II errors in justice system. Thousands of weight combinations to show the Efficient Frontier of a financial portfolio

• Sketches of probability distributions. Example: finding any area under the Normal Distribution curve

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Improvisation

• Improvising with different meaningful data sets on the go: downloading data from the Internet, applying a statistical technique then soliciting interpretations and acknowledging or providing the most sensible.

• Example: sorting hamburgers and coffee drinks in percentiles for the amount of fat

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Experiments with Assessment

• Giving an integrating document such as a final exam early, during the first workshop

• Exam design: calculation question plus several interpretation questions (could be multiple choice)

• Questions on interpretation aim to check the deeper understanding

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Exam Design Pendulum in Quantitative Disciplines

• From solely multiple choice questions to sections of several related questions that require calculation and interpretation

• This was the case in how I developed my own exams (over three years) and exams done by colleagues elsewhere

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This only scratched a surface of insight which threshold

concepts approach can offer

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Technical Slides

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Types of Conceptual ChangeDiscipline: Business Statistics

Type of Change Type of Transformation Examples in Business Statistics

Basic

The concepts that have relevance to everyday

experience.

Calculation skills and ability to identify a

statistical measure

Central tendency and dispersion

Mean vs. median

Standard Deviation

Probability (sources, ways of definition)

Discipline

Acquisition of theoretical perspective--ability to

see the world as a statistician.

Basic concepts are related to the outside world

using discipline threshold concepts (e.g., mean

and standard deviation can be plugged in to

probability distribution in order to describe a

specific situation).

Probability Distribution

Continuous vs. discrete

Hypothesis Testing. Significance

Correlation

Regression

Time Series Data

Index

Procedural

(Same description as in quantitative finance, a

more intense area)

An understanding and mastery of the subject’s

modelling procedures that enable the

construction of discipline-specific models,

arguments and ways of practising.

“Mathematical Transformation” - “Magic of

working through a proof”

Essential mathematical notation (summation with indexes)

Operation with equations. Polynomials

Operations with percentages

Meaning of greek letters

Normal Distribution Tables

Ability to visualise a distribution (use a sketch)

(there could well be other, lower level procedural threshold not covered)