PECAS CARACAS 1 slide 2013 cite
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 89 BUILDING A SPATIAL ECONOMIC MODEL OF CARACAS USING PECAS yeart ED study area econom ics and demographics AA activity allocation TR transport SD space development yeart+1 ED study area econom ics and demographics AA activity allocation TR transport yeart ED study area econom ics and demographics AA activity allocation TR transport space prices com m odity flow s and activity locations transport utilities activity totals space quantities development activity SD space development economic attractions trends and econom ic policy transportpolicy land use policy yeart+1 ED study area econom ics and demographics AA activity allocation TR transport activity totals com m odity flow s and activity locations PrimaryGoods Agriculture, mining andextractionoffice SecundaryGoods Manufactoringoffice support FurnishedGoods Fuels Construction Holesale& Retail services Hotel and restaurantsservices Transportationand storageservices Professional & Businessservices EducactionServices PublicAdministration HealthandSocial Services PROD UCING A CTIVITIES Agriculture,m ining and extraction production x x x x x x x x Agriculture,m ining and extraction managem ent x M anufactoring production x x x x x x x x x x M anufactoring managem ent x Finishing M anufactoring production x x x x x x x Finishing M anufactoring production Utility Distribution x x x Construction production x x Construction m anagem ent Holesale & Retail x x x x x x Hoteles y restaurantes x x x Transportation & Storage x x x x Professional & business activities x x x x x x x x x Public Administration x x x x x x x x x x x Educaction Activity x x x x x x x x x Health and Social activiies x x x x x x x TOTAL SUPPLY BY COM M ODITY x x x x x x x x x x x x x x EXPO RT FLO W S BY COM M ODITY x x x x x x x x PRIVATE CO NSUM PTIO N BY CO M M ODITY x x x x x x x x x x x COM M ODITIES Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary PECAS: Production Exchange Consumption Allocation System PECAS model structure : time modules interaction and policy PECAS Caracas design : Economic flows among activities and commodities for Caracas Venezuela has the cheapest gas prices of the world and a very low transit fare (0.20 $ per trip) resulting in High Transportation Demand It has around 5 million people. More than 70% of them live in poverty, more than 30% of the dwellings are in slums and almost 40% in apartment buildings Has a very complex urban context with social and spatial segregation, where geography, economy, transportation and policies have shaped the region. The challenge? Forecast the urban growth in this context! Caracas : Geraldine Fuenmayor, [email protected]
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BUILDING A SPATIAL ECONOMIC MODEL OF CARACAS USING PECAS
year t
EDstudy area
economics and demographics
AAactivity
allocation
TRtransport
spaceprices
commodity flowsand
activity locations
transportutilities
activitytotals
spacequantities
developmentactivity
SDspace
development
economicattractions
trendsand
economic policy
transport policy
land use policy
year t+1
EDstudy area
economics and demographics
AAactivity
allocation
TRtransport
activitytotals
commodity flowsand
activity locations
year t
EDstudy area
economics and demographics
AAactivity
allocation
TRtransport
spaceprices
commodity flowsand
activity locations
transportutilities
activitytotals
spacequantities
developmentactivity
SDspace
development
economicattractions
trendsand
economic policy
transport policy
land use policy
year t+1
EDstudy area
economics and demographics
AAactivity
allocation
TRtransport
activitytotals
commodity flowsand
activity locations
Prim
ary
Goo
ds
Agr
icul
ture
, min
ing
and
extra
ctio
n of
fice
Sec
unda
ry G
oods
Man
ufac
torin
g of
fice
supp
ort
Furn
ishe
d G
oods
Fuel
s
Con
stru
ctio
n
Hol
esal
e & R
etai
l se
rvic
es
Hot
el a
nd
rest
aura
nts
serv
ices
Tr
ansp
orta
tion
and
stor
age
serv
ices
Pro
fess
iona
l &
Bus
ines
s se
rvic
es
Edu
cact
ion
Ser
vice
s
Pub
lic A
dmin
istra
tion
Hea
lth a
nd S
ocia
l Ser
vice
s
PRODUCING ACTIVITIESAgriculture, mining and extraction production x x x x x x x x
Agriculture, mining and extraction management xManufactoring production x x x x x x x x x x
Manufactoring management xFinishing Manufactoring production x x x x x x xFinishing Manufactoring production
Utility Distribution x x xConstruction production x x
Construction managementHolesale & Retail x x x x x x
Hoteles y restaurantes x x xTransportation & Storage x x x x
Professional & business activities x x x x x x x x xPublic Administration x x x x x x x x x x xEducaction Activity x x x x x x x x x
Health and Social activiies x x x x x x xTOTAL SUPPLY BY COMMODITY x x x x x x x x x x x x x x
EXPORT FLOWS BY COMMODITY x x x x x x x xPRIVATE CONSUMPTION BY COMMODITY x x x x x x x x x x x
CONSUMING ACTIVITIES
x x x x x x x x x x x x x x
COMMODITIES
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary
PECAS: Production Exchange Consumption Allocation System
PECAS model structure : time modules interaction and policy
PECAS Caracas design : Economic flows among
activities and commodities for Caracas
Venezuela has the cheapest gas prices of the world and a very low transit fare (0.20 $ per
trip) resulting in High Transportation Demand
It has around 5 million people. More than 70% of them live in poverty, more
than 30% of the dwellings are in slums and almost 40% in
apartment buildings
Has a very complex urban context with social and spatial segregation, where geography, economy, transportation and policies have
shaped the region.
The challenge? Forecast the urban growth in this context!
Caracas:
Geraldine Fuenmayor, [email protected]
