Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

15
The Changing Demography of NYS: Tools and Implictions John W. Sipple, PhD Associate Professor NYS Center for Rural Schools (NYRuralSchools.org) Community and Regional Development Institute Cornell University Pattern for Progress, July 31, 2013

description

Slides from July 31, 2013 presentation by Dr. John W. Sipple

Transcript of Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Page 1: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

The Changing Demography of NYS: Tools and Implictions

John W. Sipple, PhDAssociate ProfessorNYS Center for Rural Schools (NYRuralSchools.org)Community and Regional Development InstituteCornell University

Pattern for Progress, July 31, 2013

Page 2: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

My Goals

• Tease New Research• Impact of Schools on Community Vitality• Shared Services (Municipal & Schools)

• Demonstrate Tools to provide demographic overview of NYS – but really to build your capacity. Website 3.0 (NYRuralSchools.org)• More Interactive and Integrated

Page 3: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Central Questions/Themes

• Schools Communities?• Communities Schools?• How did Schools and Communities become

separate by design?• Information is better than guessing. • Short- vs. Long Term planning/decisions

Page 4: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Ability to Pay19

9319

9519

9719

9920

0120

0320

0520

0720

09$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

Median Income Wealth/Pupil

NYCBig 4Small CityHN RuralAve NeedLow Need

Page 5: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Ability to Levy Tax19

9319

9519

9719

9920

0120

0320

0520

0720

09$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

Median Property Wealth/Pupil

NYCBig 4Small CityHN RuralAve NeedLow Need

Page 6: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Lyson Hypothesis

• A school is vital to the survival of rural communities.

• Viable villages generally contain schools: dying and dead ones either lack them or do not have them for long.

• The capacity to maintain a school is a continuing indicator of a community's wellbeing.

• School district consolidation has deleterious effects on small rural communities.

Page 7: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Population 500 or less

Population 501 to 2,500

Population 2,500+ (urban)

2010 PlacesTotal: 1,189

73 66

272 245

2000 2010

exclude 32 outliers (based on village’s median house value)

705 846

Page 8: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Lyson Redux1990 2000 2010

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

Median House value (1990 $)

SM-SchoolSM-No SchoolLG-SchoolLG-No School

Page 9: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

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Page 10: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

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Page 11: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Cornell University• Dept. of Development Sociology• Dept. of City and Regional Planning

New York Conference of Mayors

New York State Association of Towns

New York State Association of Counties

New York State Council of School Superintendents

American Planning Association, New York Chapter

PI’s: John W. Sipple, Mildred WarnerResearchers: George Homsy, David Kay

Shared Service Study Partners

Page 12: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

Valuable Resource: County Profiles, maps, data

pad.human.cornell.edu

Page 13: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple
Page 14: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple
Page 15: Pattern for Progress Presentation, July 2013, Dr. Sipple

To the Tools…

http://NYRuralSchools.org

http://pad.human.cornell.edu