Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315...

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Applied antineutrino physics Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech Workshop on the Intermediate Neutrino Program Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY February 4 – 6, 2015 P. Huber – p. 1

Transcript of Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315...

Page 1: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Applied antineutrino physics

Patrick Huber

Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech

Workshop on the Intermediate Neutrino Program

Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY

February 4 – 6, 2015

P. Huber – p. 1

Page 2: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Reactor monitoring

Pioneering work by a group at the Kurchatov institute

Power monitoring

Korovkin et al., 1988

Fuel burn-up

Klimov et al., 1994

In the U.S. there as been ongoing work over the past decade at

LLNL and Sandia sponsored by the NNSA, notably SONGS

P. Huber – p. 2

Page 3: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

The standard detector

4.3E29 target protons

10-20 metric tonne actualdetector weight

No overburden

Irreducible cosmogenic back-ground

Detector mass depends on material and efficiency

Efficiency [%] 25 40 60 80

Liquid scintillator 20.1 12.5 8.4 6.3

Solid scintillator 34.0 21.3 14.2 10.6

P. Huber – p. 3

Page 4: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Exploiting the energy spectrum

315 days

45 days

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Christensen, Huber, Jaffke, Shea, 2014

Comparing a reactor coreat 45 days in the cycle tothe same core at 315 daysin the cycle

The later spectrum is in-deed much softer and thedifference is more than 5σ

Corresponding to a differ-ence in plutonium contentof about 7 kg

P. Huber – p. 4

Page 5: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

DiversionConsidering a diversion of plutonium from a knownreactor, two separate problems have to be addressed

• the amount of plutonium produced – requires acontinuous power history from antineutrinos orotherwise

• the amount of plutonium in the reactor core – canbe measured ad-hoc using antineutrinos or bycareful analysis of discharged fuel

A mismatch between these two quantities is indicativeof a diversion.

P. Huber – p. 5

Page 6: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Iran – 2014

Arak – 40MWth heavywater moderated, naturaluranium fueled reactor

Once operational, pro-duces 10 kg weapons-usable plutonium peryear

P. Huber – p. 6

Page 7: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

The Nth month scenario• Full inspector access for N-1 month

• Reactor shutdown in the Nth month

• Loss of the continuity of knowledge in the Nth

month

Reasons could range from technical glitch overdiplomatic tensions to full scale diversion – findingout which one is the true one can make the differencebetween peace and war.

P. Huber – p. 7

Page 8: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Iran – results

?

recovery of CoK

5.2Σ

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Christensen, Huber, Jaffke, Shea, 2014

270 days corre-sponds to 93%plutonium-239

1.2 kg plutoniumsensitivity

An undeclared refueling can be detected with 90%confidence level within 7 days.

P. Huber – p. 8

Page 9: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Automobile analogy

speed thermal power

trip mileage burn-up

used gas produced plutonium

requires continuous speed mea-surement, discrepancies show up atrefueling only

snapshot of used gas with-out prior record, discrepan-cies show up as you drive

P. Huber – p. 9

Page 10: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Summary

Antineutrino reactor monitoring at close range, as partof cooperative safeguards, can provide near real timeplutonium content measurements (think fuel gauge ina car).

Practical challenges are

• detectors with very good background rejectionwith reasonable energy resolution

• understanding of neutrino emissions

and both these challenges are faced by short-baselinereactor experiments and safeguards applications – atrue synergy between applied and basic research.

P. Huber – p. 10

Page 11: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

“I don’t say that the neutrino is going to be a practicalthing, but it has been a time-honored pattern thatscience leads, and then technology comes along, andthen, put together, these things make an enormousdifference in how we live” – Frederick Reines

P. Huber – p. 11

Page 12: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

Backup slides

P. Huber – p. 12

Page 13: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

What about the bump?

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Same as before, but withDwyer and Langford, 2014 an-tineutrino yields.

This would improve sensi-tivity by 30%

Clearly, accurate measurements of antineutrino yieldsfrom various reactors are a necessary input – see forinstance PROSPECT

P. Huber – p. 13

Page 14: Patrick Huber Center for Neutrino Physics – Virginia Tech ......Exploiting the energy spectrum 315 days 45 days DΧ2=26.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8-100 0 100 0 2000 4000 6000 EΝ@MeVD Difference

How much resolution is needed?

1 2 4 6 8 10 12 16 240

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400.250.51.536

Number of bins

2

Bin width @MeVD

Statistical power is flat forbins smaller than 1 MeV

Even with only 2 bins,2/3 of statistical powerachieved

For comparison, the Daya Bay detectors have aresolution of about 0.65 MeV at an energy of 4 MeVDaya Bay, 2013

P. Huber – p. 14