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Transcript of Part 3 - The World - Lessons From My 20s by Ryan Allis
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Lessons from my20s
THE WOPart III:
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ABOUT THIS PRESENTATION
THIS presentation can be founOnline at
www.hive.org/20s
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HUMAN RIGHTSHuman progressSYSTEMs thinking WORLD 2050
PART 3 THE WORLD INCLUDES SECTIONS ON
PART 3 TOPICS
MILLENNIALSCLIMATE CHANThe innovation a
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Lessons from my20s
HUMANRIGHTS
PART III, Section 1
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
Lets begin this section onHuman rights with a
Famous thought exerci
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
IMAGINE YOU WERE a soulHanging out around a campfireIN A CAVE with
five other souls
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
NOW IMAGINE that godgave you and the five other soulsThe task of determing the
Principles for the worl
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
God said that the principlesfor the world should be fair andThat you all must agree on them
Before you could be bo
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
Or how much money Your parents will
None of the six of you know yetwhere youll be bornThe color of your skin
Your sexual orientationYour gender
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
And your task is to come upwith the principles for the world
That you can all agree onBefore you can be born into your bo
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
What principles would you come up
with for the world?
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
Take a moment to write downat least 2 principles for the world
That would create a fair society
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
John Rawls
This famous thought exerciseIs called The original positionAnd was created by 20th centuryHarvard professor & philosopher
A THOUGHT EXERCISE
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
A theory of justice
John rawls writes aboutThe original position
In his 1971 classic
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The most reasonable principles of justice are those everyone would
accept and agree to from a fairposition.
- John Rawls, 20 th Century Philosopher
A THOUGHT EXERCISE
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A THOUGHT EXERCISE
Here are the two principles
We have come up with at HivThat would create a just world
Th Fi t i i l
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The First principle
All people would have the same basi
Rights regardless of birthplace, gend
Sexual orientation, or skin color
1
Th d i i l
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The second principle
All people would have accessTo the basic human needs of food, w
Shelter, medicine, education, andelectricity
2
What would be the implication of these principles?
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What would be the implication of these principles?
IN THIS WORLDWOULD YOU prevent some PEOFROM TRAVELING to other plac
While others could
Travel FreelySIMPLY BASED ON WHERE THEY W
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What would be the implication of these principles?
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What would be the implication of these principles?
IN THIS WORLDWOULD YOU ENSURE EVERYOTO basic education and medicine o
SOME PEOP
What would be the implication of these principles?
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What would be the implication of these principles?
IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOUTHAT ALL INFANTS HAD LIFEIMMUNIZATIONS OR JUST RE
FOR SOME IN
What would be the implication of these principles?
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What would be the implication of these principles?
IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOUSOME BABIES TO DEATHBECAUSe CANCER TREATMEN
WERENt availab
What would be the implication of these principles?
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What would be the implication of these principles?
WHAT TYPE OF WORLD WOUCREATEIF YOU DIDNt know where you
WOULD BE BO
The world we can create
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THIS IS THE WOWE CAN ACTUA
CREATEIN OUR LIFETI
The world we can create
The world we can create
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A WORLD IN WHICHFREE SPIRIT AND EN
IS ENCOUR
The world we can create
The world we can create
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The world we can create
A WORLD IN WHICHEveryone has access toTheir basic needs
The world we can create
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The world we can create
A WORLD that is run
On clean energy
The world we can create
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The world we can create
A WORLD IN WHICHPROPERTY RIGHTS
ARE RESPE
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The world we can create
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The world we can create
A WORLD IN WHICHEVERY CHILD
IS GIVEN THE ABILTO LEARN TO CREATETO INNOVATE TO CONTR
The world we can create
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A WORLD IN WHICHEVERY CHILD IS ASSUREDACCESS TO THEIR BASIC NE
FOOD WATER SHELTER
EDUCATION MEDICINE
ELECTRICITY
% of people without basic human needs
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Basic human need % Without # Without Source
1. Clean Water 10.8% 780M UNICEF
2. Sufficient Food 12.8% 925M UNFAO
3. Basic Shelter 13.8% 1.0B UNHCR
4. Literacy 12.7% 920M UNESCO
5. Basic Medicine 23.6% 1.7B WHO
6. Electricity 18.0% 1.3B IEA
p p
The world we can create
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IMAGINE THE JOB CREAND THE HUMAN INN
To 9 BILLION PEOPLE WBASIC NEEDS ARE MET
As we GO FROM 3
Ending Poverty in Singapore in 50 years
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g y g p y
SINGAPORE IS AN INTERESTING In 1960 its per capita income was $4
How did SingaporeEND POVERTY in one LIFE
By 2011 per capita income grew to $50,
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A GOOD QUESTION FROM Bucky
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Q y
How do we make the world work for100% of humanity in the shortestpossible time through spontaneous
cooperation without ecologicaldamage or disadvantage to anyone?- Buckminster full
Human Rights?
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g
WHAT IF THERE WERE A DOESTABLISHING THE RIGHTS
THAT THE USA AND 48 otherCOUNTRIES Had already ADO
A universal declaration of human rights?
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g
There actually isIts called the
Universal declaration of human righAnd it was adopted in 1948
A universal declaration of human rights?
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A universal declaration of human rights?
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A universal declaration of human rights?
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What if we actually createdA human societyBased upon these principles?
The world we can create
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We will be the first generation
To be connected globally
The world we can create
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And we will have the opportunTo reshape THE WORLD
Into a joyous, sustainable, and abundant WORLD
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Human rights exercise
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You can do the following 5 minute
Human rights exercise now
Or put a time on your calenTo return to
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Human rightsEXERCISE
Exercise: human rights
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Write down two principles you would
Create for the world if you were a
Pre-birth soul and didnt know whereyoud be born, your skin color, your ge
or your Parents income
Exercise: human rights
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Now, write down:
Are you committed to working toward
Creating a world based on those principles?
Why or why no
Lessons from my20s
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HUMANprogress
PART III, Section 2
A few important questions
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SOMETIMES WITH ALNEGATIVE HEADLINEITs HARD TO zoom outAnd look at THE ANSWA very IMPORTANT QU
How are we doing?
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HOW ISOUR SPECIESDOING?
How are we doing?
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Is humanity DOINGbetter or worse than
40 years ago?
Progress
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Is humanity making
Progress?
Measuring Progress
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And canprogress
Be measured
SOME EXISTING MEASURES OF HUMAN PROG
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1. United Nations Human Development I
2. Legatum Prosperity Index
3. Social Progress Index (SPI)4. Gross National Happiness (GNH)
SOME EXISTING MEASURES OF HUMAN PROG
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The challenge with these four measures
Is that they provide data at a country level
Not at a human lev
Measuring human progress
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WE NEED A MORE COMP
Measure OF HUMAN PROG
How humans are doing
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WHAT IF WE COULDAGREE On METRIC
THAT TOLD USHOW OUR SPECIES
IS DOING? How humans are doing
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Wed probably look for data in AREAS LIKE
HealtheducationPEACEEconomicsenvironment
How humans are doing
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Here are the exact measureswe use at hive
To track human progressat a species level
How humans are doing
H lth 1 Life Expectancy
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Health 1. Life Expectancy 2. Infant Mortality 3. Literacy 4. Internet Access
7. Average Income8. Global Poverty Rate
9. CO2 PPM
10. Temperature Increase
Education
Economics
Environment
5. Active Conicts
6. Deaths From WarPeace
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Health
The global report card
1. Life Expectancy
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12% Higher
2012
71
1980
63 Source: Wo
2. Infant Mortality
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2012
4.8% 1980
11.6%
59% Decline
Source: Wo
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EDUCATIO
The global report card
3. Literacy Rate
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1980 1990 1995 2000
2012
84% 1980
70% 20% Higher
4. Internet Access
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2012
36% 1980
0%
Innitely High
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PEACE
The global report card
5. Active Major Conicts
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0
2
4
6
8
10
1214
16
18
1 9 8
0
1 9 8
1
1 9 8
2
1 9 8
3
1 9 8
4
1 9 8
5
1 9 8
6
1 9 8
7
1 9 8
8
1 9 8
9
1 9 9
0
1 9 9
1
1 9 9
2
1 9 9
3
1 9 9
4
1 9 9
5
1 9 9
6
1 9 9
7
1 9 9
8
1 9 9
9
2 0 0
0
2 0 0
1
2 0 0
2
2 0 0
3
2 0 0
4
2 0 0
5
2 0 0
6
2 0 0
7
2 0 0
8
2 0 0
9
2008-2013 Avg.
6 1980-1985 Avg .
13
54% Low
Source: Uppsala Conict Data Program
90000
6. Deaths from War
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0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
1 9 8 0
1 9 8 1
1 9 8 2
1 9 8 3
1 9 8 4
1 9 8 5
1 9 8 6
1 9 8 7
1 9 8 8
1 9 8 9
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2008-2013 Avg.
33,159
1980-1985 Avg.
40,370
18% LowEven as global populat
has expanded 45%
Syria conict has causedrecent spike
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ECONOMI
The global report card
7. Annual Income Per Person
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2012
$103951980
$5960
74% Higher
8
Population & Income Over 2000 Years
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Bi
o
o
Pe
eo
Pla
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 20
$467 $450$453
$666
"#$ %&'()*+,-. /0$
"#$ 1&.,0#*$&2$&*
"#$ %&34+2-
$605$566
"#$ 6$&-,))-&7$
The time to get to now
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IT took humans13.78 Billion yearTO EVOLVE
Time to 1B People
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IT took humans200,000 years toreach1B people
POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH
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BUT just200 years to gofrom 1b to 7B POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH
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NEVER BEFOHAVE WE HASO MANY PE POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH
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NEVER BEFOREour species hadSO much wealth
100.0%
8. % Living in Extreme Poverty
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0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0% 40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0% 80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
1 9 8 0
1 9 8 1
1 9 8 2
1 9 8 3
1 9 8 4
1 9 8 5
1 9 8 6
1 9 8 7
1 9 8 8
1 9 8 9
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2012
16.9%1980
43.6%
61% Lower
LOOKING GOOD SO FAR
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So things areLooking up, right
LOOKING GOOD SO FAR
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Mostly, except forThe environment
LOOKING GOOD SO FAR
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Which sort ofUnderpins
Everything else
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ENVIRONMThe global report card
9. CO2 in Atmosphere (Parts Per Millio
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250
270
290
310
330
350
370
390
1 9 8 0
1 9 8 1
1 9 8 2
1 9 8 3
1 9 8 4
1 9 8 5
1 9 8 6
1 9 8 7
1 9 8 8
1 9 8 9
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2012
395 1980
334 19% Higher
1.8
10. Surface Temperature Increase (F)
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0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1 9 8 0
1 9 8 1
1 9 8 2
1 9 8 3
1 9 8 4
1 9 8 5
1 9 8 6
1 9 8 7
1 9 8 8
1 9 8 9
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
201
1.31980
0.61
125% Higher
H l h
The Global Report Card1980 2013 Change Grad
1. Life Expectancy 63 71 ! 12%
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Health
Education
Peace
Environment
1. Life Expectancy 63 71 12%
2. Infant Mortality 11.6% 4.8% 59%
3. Literacy 70% 84% ! 20%
4. Internet Access 0% 36% ! Innite
5. Active Conicts 13 6 54%
6. Deaths from War 40,370 33,159 18%
7. Average Income $5.9k $10.4k ! 74%
8. Poverty Rate 43.6% 16.9% 61%
9. CO2 PPM 334 395 ! 19%
10. Temp. Increase +0.61 +1.37 ! 125%
Economics
!
!
!
!
What would a 5 DeGree farenheight increase mean?
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As the Arctic continues to warm, melting
permafrost in the boreal forests and further northin the Arctic tundra is now starting to melt,
triggering the release of methane, a greenhouse
gas twenty times more powerful than CO2, from
thick layers of thawing peat.- Climate Code Red
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The key challenge for our generation
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So they key challenge how we can together createAn abundant and sustainable worldFor all people
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SYSTEMS THINKING
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SYSTEMS THINKERSINTEGRATE knowledg
ACROSS DISCI
SYSTEMS THINKING
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SYSTEMS THINKERUNDERSTAND
COMPLEXITY &
SYSTEMS THINKING
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SYSTEMS THINKERBUILD
MENTAL MAPS
Three Types of SYStems
1 INTERNAL SYSTEMS
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1. INTERNAL SYSTEMS2. EXTERNAL SYSTEMS
3. ECOLOGICAL SYSTE
INTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEsRESPIRATION
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CELL REPLICATIONDIGESTION
IMMUNE SYSTEMHORMONAL REGULATION
NEURAL PLASTICITY
EXTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEsGLOBAL TRADE
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ELECTRICAL GRIDS
COMPANY METRICS REPORTINELECTIONS
THE INTERNET
ACADEMIC ADMISSIONS
EXTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEs
CONDENSATION
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GEOLOGICAL FORMATIONELECTROMAGNETIC ENERGY
NUCLEAR FUSIONGAMMA WAVES
EVOLUTION
AN example of external systems theoryJAMES LOCKLOCKs GAIA HYP
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EXPLORED THE EARTH as oneself-regulating
Interconnected systemOf biosphere, atmosphere,
Oceans, and soil
The great SYSTEMS THINKERSSome of the most well known
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Systems thinkers in last century wereDonella meadows
Albert einsteinThomas EdisonBuckminster fuller
JAMES LOVELOCK
Lessons from my20s
PART III, Section 4
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WORLD2050
,
The World in 2050Here are some predictions
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About What will happenIn the next 40 yearsFrom the pardee centerFor international futures
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CO2 output from fossil fuels
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FOSSIL FUEL UWILL PEAK TH
DECLINE Mobile phones per 100 people
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The average pers
Will have >1Cloud connectedMobile device
Global Life Expectancy
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WE LIVE LONLIFE EXPECTANCY
7
Infant Mortality
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FEWER BABIES DIEAs INFANT MORTALITY
Goes under 10 per 1000
GDP Per Capita (In thousands)
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WE BECOME WEALTHIER
Global GDP PER CAPITA UP 140 POVERTY DECLINES RAPIDLY
Extreme POVERTY nearly elim
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% living on
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WE ARE BETTER EDUCATSECONDARY SCHOOLING 52
COLLEGE EDUCATED
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% oF PEOWITH COLLEGE D
UP159 WOMEN WITH COLLEGE EDUCATION
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UP 189
MORE OF US WILL LIVE IN CITIES
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PERCENTAGE IN CIT
UP 32%
Major innovations are coming
NANOTECHNOLOGY
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3D PrintingGENOME SEQUENCIN
SYNTHETIC LIFEPRIVATE SPACE TRAV
DESALINATION Governments will have to adaptINCREASED GOVERNMENT TR
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OPEN GOV DATA APISSTRONGER PROPERTY RIGHTS
EASIER TO START A BUSINESSBETTER co2 REGULATIONS
REMAINING REGIMES OVERTH MAJOR GEOPOLITICAL CHANGES
CHINA WORLDS LARGEST GD
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INDIA THE MOST POPULOUS NAFRICA 2B People + ECONOMIC
FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCERS LESINSECURITY UNTIL WE LOWER
AFRICA BECOMES AN ECONOMIC POWER
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Lessons from my20s
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MILLENNPART III, Section 5
Its our turn to lead
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MILLENNIALSWILL BE LEADING
THE NEXT 40 YPeople born between 1980 and 2000
SO whats different about millennials?
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SO Whats differentABOUT Millennials?
SO whats different about millennials?
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WE AREDEEPLY AWARE
OF SOCIAL ISSU
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SO whats different about millennials?
WE SEE BUSINESS
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& ENTREPRENEURSHAS TOOLS TO MAKE ASCALABLE POSITIVE
IN THE WORLD SO whats different about millennials?WE ARE USED TO A
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Status quo & ARE IMPATIENT wFASTER PACE OF CHA
SO whats different about millennials?
WE ARE CONNECTED
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NEVER BEFO TECHNOLOGY LIKEGLOBALLY THROUGH
SO whats different about millennials?
WE NOW HAVE THE
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ACCOUNTAB CORRUPT LEADERSTOOLS TO HOLD
AND CREATE THE MOMENTUM TO OVE
OUR GREAT OPPORTUNITY
OUR GREATEST opportun
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Is creating a sustainable worIN WHICH EVERY HUMA
ACCESS TO FOOD, WATEEDUCATION, MEDICINE,
OUR GREAT OPPORTUNITY
THE GOOD NEWS IS
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WE GIVE A DAMNHAVE THE TECH TOOCAN INNOVATE LIKE
AND ARE HIGHLY CO Lessons from my20s
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CLIMATE CH
PART III, Section 6
Co2 traps heat
AN INCREASE IN Co2
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IN AN ATMOSPHERETRAPS HEAT & MAKES TH
TEMPERATURE
Carbon emissions
30
35
40
ANNUAL CO2 OUTPUT
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0
5
10
15
20
25
19
19 3
19 6
19 9
1912
1915
1918
1921
1924
1927
193
1933
1936
1939
1942
1945
1948
1951
1954
1957
196
1963
1966
1969
1972
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
199
1993
1996
1999
HAS INCREASED FROM 4GTTo 40GT SINCE 1900
CO2 in the atmoshphere
370
390
410
CO2 Parts per millionHAVE INCREASED
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270
290
310
330
350
370
19
19 3
19 6
19 9
1912
1915
1918
1921
1924
1927
193
1933
1936
1939
1942
1945
1948
1951
1954
1957
196
1963
1966
1969
1972
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
199
1993
1996
1999
2
2
FROM 293 to 401 SINCE 1900
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The link between co2 and temperature
In 1896, Swedish scientist
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svante arrhenius FIRST Showed the linkbetween the amount Of co2 in the atmosph
and temperatur
97% of Scientists Agree that co2" Higher temps
As of 2010, 97% of American CLIMATE
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BELIEVEd the INCREASE
In earths TEMPERATUREs IS CAUSED
INCREASED CO2 in the ATM
21st century temperature increases
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THE IPCC INDICATES GLOSurface TEMPERATURES wI
INCREASE ANOTHER 3.4
Sea Levels Rising
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A 5F increase inSurface TEMPERATURES W
INCREASE SEA LEVELS by
Hundreds of millions of refugees
An 11 foot sea level rise would mean
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BANGLADESH UNDER W35% of FL Under water20% of NYC Under Water
Moving to a clean energy economy
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Move away from fossil fuels
As quickly as we can
TO stop this we must
Moving to a clean energy economy
We must move away from coal, oil, and natura
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And to clean energies like solawind, geothermal, and BiofuelAs quickly as we can
What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?
In the pliocene, three million years ago temperatures were5 degrees (F) higher than our pre-industrial levels, so it
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gives us an insight into the ve-degree world. The northernhemisphere was free of glaciers and icesheets, beech treesgrew in the transantarctic mountains, sea levels were 25
metres higher
- Climate Code red
What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?
Between 3 and 5 degrees (F) the Amazon rainforest,whose plants produce 10 percent of the world's
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photosynthesis and have no evolved resistance tore, may turn to savannah, as drought and mega-resrst destroy the rainforest, turning trees back into
carbon dioxide as they burn or rot and decompose
- Climate Code red
What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?
As the Arctic continue to warm, meltingpermafrost in the boreal forests and further
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north in the Arctic tundra is now starting to melt,triggering the release of methane, a greenhousegas twenty times more powerful than CO2, fromthick layers of thawing peat.
- Climate Code red
What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?
There are thousands of gigatons of methanebeneath the seas, comparable to the amount
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, pof carbon contained in the Earths coaldeposits. And, as the Arctic waters warm,
some of this methane is likely to bubble up intothe atmosphere.
- Ezra klein
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A huge economic threat
INCREASED
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TEMPERATURES AREINEVITABLE
AND ARE ON TRTHREATEn
Economy + CIVILIZA Passed to 400 PPM Barrier
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WE ARE At 401CARBON PPMAS OF 2014
Past the 400 PPM Barrier
WHERE WE STABILIZE
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CARBON PPMWILL DRASTICALLY AFFE
The type of worldOur children live in
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500 PPM
WE MUST DO ALL W
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AS A SOCIETYTO NEVER GO ABOV
500 PPM
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The Historical perspective on CO2
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Steps we can take
THERE ARE
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STEPS WE CAN TAKTO REDUCE C02
MORE QUI
Steps we can take
1) STOP FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES
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2) PRICE IN THE COST OF C02 pollu3) INVEST IN energy & geoengineerin
4) SubSIDIZE RENEWABLE ENERG
5) INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENC
1. STOP subsidizing fossil fuel production
Every year the usa
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Provides $11.5b inSubsidies to the
Oil industryThis needs to stopImmediately
2. Price in cost of co2 cleanup
FOSSIL FUELS ARE CHEAP
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BECAUSE THE COST OFCLEANING UP CO2 POLLUTION
IS NOT INCLUDED IN THE PRICLets FIX THIS and CORRE
INCENTIVES TO USE FOS
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FUNDING GeoENGINEERING RESEARCH
GEOENGINEERING TECHNIQULIKE carbon sequestration
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SOLAR RADIATION MANAGEMCLOUD SEEDING andVERTICAL OCEAN PIPINGAre worthy of careful research
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SOMETHING IS OFF HERE
U.S. ANNUAL DEFENSE BUD
$
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$640 BILLION
USA ANNUAL RENEWABLES
$1 4 Billion
U.S. ANNUAL FOSSIL FUEL
$11.5 Billion
4. Subsidize renewables R&D
iN ORDER TO INCREASE
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INVESTMENT IN RENEWIN THE NEXT FEW YEAR
WHILE THE R&D iS CONWE SHOULD SUBSIDIZE
COST OF RENEWABLE E 5. INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY
EFFICIENT BUILDINGS
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SMART 2-way grids
SMART APPLIANCES
CLEAN ENERGY
INVESTING IN CLEAN EN
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RENEWABLE SOURCESIS OUR BEST BET TO RED
THE COMING ECONOMICCLIMATE CHANGE
GRID PARITY is coming
SOLAR POWERWILL BE LESS EXPENSIVe
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THAN GRID POWER BY 2020This moment will be the
THE TIPPING P
GRID PARITY is coming
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COST OF SOLAR COSTRETAIL COST PER KWH IN USA RETAIL CO
$0.25 $0.0482014
GRID PARITY is coming
THIS IS A BIG DEAL
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COST OF SOLAR COSTRETAIL COST PER KWH IN USA RETAIL CO
$0.04 $0.0492020
The apollo mission of our generation
Its a race to
G
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GRID PARITY
THIS IS MOON LAN
THE PRESIDENT HAS YOUR BACK
We're issuing a challenge. We're telling America's scientists and engineers that if
they assemble teams of the best minds in their elds, and focus on the hardest
problems in clean energy we'll fund the Apollo projects of our time At the
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problems in clean energy, we ll fund the Apollo projects of our time. At theCalifornia Institute of Technology, they're developing a way to turn sunlight and
water into fuel for our cars. At Oak Ridge National Laboratory, they're using
supercomputers to get a lot more power out of our nuclear facilities. With more
research and incentives, we can break our dependence on oil
President Obama, State of the union address, January 26, 2011
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ENERGY USAGE
Humans ARE using
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15 Terawatts of power
ANNUALLY
ENERGY USAGE
Humans are EXPECTED TO
40 T tt f
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40 Terawatts of powerPER YEAR by
2012 SOURCES OF GLOBAL ENERGY PRODUC
6.5%6.5%
0.7%
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86.3%
F
N
H
S
The potential oF THE SUN
THE SUN PROVIDES
ENOUGH ENERGY
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ENOUGH ENERGYIN A MINUTE
TO POWER THE EARTHFOR A YEAR
What if?
WHAT IF THERE WERE
MICROORGANISMS WHOSE FO
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MICROORGANISMS WHOSE FOWAS CARBON DIOXIDE
AND THEIR OUTPUT W
The potential of algae
ALGAE HAVE THE POTO BE THE WORLD
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TO BE THE WORLDs
RENEWABLE FUEL S
The potential of algae
BIOFUELS PRODUCED FSYNTHETIC ALGAE
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SYNTHETIC ALGAESHOW GREAT PROMISEFOR RENEWABLE FUEL
The potential of algae
ALGAE
CONSUME CARBON
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CONSUME CARBONPRODUCE FUELAnd REQUIRE 1/7th the LAND OF CORN-BASED E
iN SUMMARY
CLEAN ENERGY IS
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Generations Apollo MISSION
Lessons from my20s
Th I iPART III, Section 7
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The InnovationAge
About this section
This final section calledthe innovation age Is aboutThe trends I am seeing
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The trends I am seeingin history and humanityAnd where that may lead us in
h d h
A Timeline of history
TO PUT everythingI ti
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In perspectiveHere is a timeline of
Earths history
A big picture timeline of earth
Formation ofUniverse
(13.8B Yrs Ago)
Formation of Earth
(4.5 B Yrs Ago)Dinosaurs
(250M Yrs Ago)Plants Form
(500M Yrs Ago)
D
(65
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Land Animals
(400M Yrs Ago)
Formation of The Sun(4.6B Yrs Ago)
Oceans Form (3.8B
Yrs Ago)
Pangea Shifts
(200M Yrs Ago)
A human Timeline
TO further PUT THINIn perspecti e
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In perspectiveHere is a timeline of
human history
HUMAN HISTORY TIMELINE
(10Chimps diverge(5.4M Yrs Ago)
Homo Erectus (2.3 M Yrs Ago)
Fire(400,000 Yrs Ago)
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Homo Sapiens (200,000 Yrs Ago)
Homo Habilis(2.3 M Yrs Ago)
Homo Erectus (1.8M Yrs Ago)
The human story
And at a very simplifieLevel heres the story
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Level, heres the storyOf the last 13.8B years
(as far as we know so far)
The Great story of humanity
Once upon a timeAll i
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All matter was in
a single point
The Great story of humanity
Then a massiveE l i ll
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Explosion we call
The big bang occurr
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The Great story of humanity
The universe wasA VAST
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A VAST expanseOf matter andenergy
The Great story of humanity
THEN ALONG C
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THEN ALONG C
CARBON A
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The Great story of humanity
AND MOLECUL
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AND MOLECUL
EVOLV
The Great story of humanity
A BILLION YEAR
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A BILLION YEAR
DNA EVOL
The Great story of humanity
AND from CHEMISTRYLIF
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AND from CHEMISTRYLIF
The Great story of humanity
ORGANISMS EVO
DECISION network
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DECISION networkcalledNERVOUS SY
The Great story of humanity
NEURONS Aggre
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NEURONS AggreINTOBRAIN
The Great story of humanity
Brains formedfrontal
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frontalcortexes
The Great story of humanity
And emotions andreason f d
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reason formed
The Great story of humanity
WE WENT FROM
to MOLECULES T
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to MOLECULES TTO BRAINS toawareness
The Great story of humanity
Now thats
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Now that s
awesome
The Great story of humanity
BRAINS PLUSOPPOSABLE THU
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OPPOSABLE THU
created TOOL
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The Great story of humanity
THEN WE FORME
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THEN WE FORME
CITIE
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE CREAT
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THEN WE CREAT
WRIT
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE CREAT
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THEN WE CREAT
MATHEMA
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE CREATE
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THEN WE CREATEScientific meth
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE DISCOVA WAY OF ORGA
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A WAY OF ORGA
OUR EFFORTS(We called it a company which in Latin means to break bread with
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE CREATEa system for funneling money to peopworking together effectively to create
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we called it capitalismit created incentives for creating what humans wantwe had to improve it a few times before it worked for everyonAnd We still have some reforms to go
value for humans
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE CREATEA SYSTEM FOR sharing risk so thacould allocate money to projects tha
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We CALLED IT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEMAnd it took a while before we made sure the right ruleswere in place so it worked for everyone
y p jcreate what humans want
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The Great story of humanity
THEN WE invented
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THEN WE invented
engine
The Great story of humanity
Thats when thingsll
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That s when thingsreally TOOK
The Great story of humanity
With energy &engines So much
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engines So much
becamepossible
The Great story of humanity
THAT BROUGHT INDUSTR
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INDUSTRREVOLU
The Great story of humanity
using machinery
one human could be moefficient than ever befor
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one human could be moefficient than ever befor
LEADING TO MUCLIVING STAN
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE CREAT
FLYI
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FLYIMACHI
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE sentencoded messages
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encoded messages
Through the a
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE built
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THEN WE built
computer
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE builtA global network o
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computersA global network o
The Great story of humanity
THEN WE builtPocket-sized
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supercomputersPocket sized
And we called them smartphones
Now, We Are Entering the innovation Age
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The Industrial Age
The industrial age began withThe invention of the engineAnd ended with the invention of the
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computer
The Information Age
The INFORMATION age began In 1With The invention of the computerAnd will end when 50% of humanity
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is connected
The Information Age
In mid-2014 40% of humanity has accTo the cloud. By the end of 2015 thisfigure is on track to reach a tipping po
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Of 50%
The impact of a connected world
The impact of more than half oHumanity finally being connec
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Will further accelerate change
A new age is upon us
i believe the world is going to lookSo different in the decades aheadThat we should consider ourselves
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Entering a new ag
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The INNOVATION AGE
Instead of the lucky few havingAccess to free cloud educationSoon all humans will be able to acce
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EdX, wikipedia, khanacademyItunesu, udemy, and coursera
The INNOVATION AGE
As we enter the innovation age in 20We stand on the shoulders ofGiants who have come
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Before us
The INNOVATION AGE
Synthetic biology is here
Clean energy is hereGlobal connection is here
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Global connection is here
The platforms have been built
The INNOVATION AGE
We are entering the most excitingTime in human historyFOR Creators and
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Innovators
The INNOVATION AGE
The greater the cultural interconnectionThe faster memes can replicate,
Learnings can be shared, and progress ca
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Be made
The INNOVATION AGE
The rate of human progressIs a function of the rate of ideas
spreading
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spreading
The INNOVATION AGE
And The rate of ideas spreading is a funcof the speed of communication tools
And the level of species interconnection
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Human cultural evolution
Were culturally evolving as a speciesFaster than ever before due to rapid
Communication tools that are spreadingUnderstanding and connection across
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Understanding and connection across
borders faster than any time inHuman History
Human cultural evolution
The speed of communication toolsThe level of species-wide literacy
And the level of species interconnectionAre all rapidly increasing
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Are all rapidly increasing
Leading to the rapid evolution ofHuman culture
Human cultural evolution
There is a palpable sense that the leadersOf the millennial generation
See beyond the divisions of national borAnd religious identities that have kept
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And religious identities that have kept
Human beings apart forMillennia
Digital Natives
The four billion digital natives bornBetween 1980 and 2015 intuitively
Understand global connection,Species-level identity, and innovation
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Species level identity, and innovation
And will be leading the next40 years
What millennials see
Millennials see entrepreneurship
As a tool for
g d
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good
What millennials see
And we see efficient, effectiveTransparent, and tech-enabledGovernment as
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Essential
Socially RESPONSIBLE CAPITALISM
In the 200 year debate ofSocialism vs. capitalism it issocially responsible capitalism that will wbuilt on a foundation of efficiently run
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built on a foundation of efficiently-run
Cloud enabledGovernmen
The GREAT OPPORTUNITY
Our next great opportunity is creatingA carbon-neutral world in which
Every human being has access to whatThey need to
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y
Create & ThRive
The industrial age1712-1950
The information age1950-2015
Entering the innovation age
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The innovation age2015-2050
Entering the innovation age
WEre entering THinnovation AG
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innovation AG
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Entering the innovation age
Soon everyone will
have a cloud-connectesupercomputer in thei
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supe co pute t e
pocket
Entering the innovation age
Education will b
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Education will bdemocratized
Entering the innovation age
Atrocities will be
publicized
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publicized(Better publicized, at least)
Entering the innovation age
Bad leaders will be
exposed
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exposed
Entering the innovation age
Dense Networks world changers will b
d
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constructed
Entering the innovation age
Imagine theworld we can
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create
Entering the innovation age
Imagine theworld we WILL
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create
Entering the innovation age
Its time to showour parents
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pwhat we can do
Lessons from my20s
Staying inh
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touch
Lets work together
Lets find a way to WORK TOGETHERAS A GENERATION
TO CREATE A WORLD THAT IS SUSIN WHICH ALL PEOPLE HAVE ACC
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BASIC HUMAN NEEDS AND EVERY
ACHIEVE THEIR D
Exercises
Now that youre at the endDont forget to put time on your calendaTo go back and
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Do the exercises
Join the Hive network
Hive is building a global networkOf leaders & entrepreneurs under 40
Dedicated to creating a better worldId love for you to apply to join us
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www.Hive.org
Program Influences
Here are programs I have participated in the last ten years that have shaped myperspectives. Thank you to all of the individuals behind these great organizations.
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For Further Reading
The following resources were extremely valuable in the creation of this work:
Films:
Connected by Tiffany ShlainMankind by The History ChannelThe Commanding Heights by PBS
The History of the World in Two Hours by The History Channel oo s :
Abundance by Peter DiamandisThe Rational Optimist by Matt Ridley A i i i 2025 b Th L d F t i t S i t
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Anticipating 2025 by The London Futurist Society The 100 Scientic Discoveries That Changed the World by National GeographicThe Power of Habit by Charles DuhiggRich Dad Poor Dad by Robert KiyosakiThink and Grow Rich by Napoleon HillHow to Win Friends & Inuence People by Dale Carnegie
If you enjoyed this presentation also check out
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www.startupguide.comwww.hive.org/book
How to get in touch
@ryanallis [email protected]
Send me a note or a Tweet. Id love to hear from you!
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@ ya a s
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Lessons from my20s
THE EN
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