PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5...

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Transcript of PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5...

Page 1: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

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Page 2: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

PART 1:

• Highlights and development

PART 2:

• Results and segment review

3rd quarter 2018

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Page 3: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

3rd quarter 2018

PART 1:

• Highlights and development

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Page 4: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Highlights 3rd quarter

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• Organic growth so far this year was positive by 1,1 %, driven by the Logistics segment

• Some improvement of profit in the Logistics segment from the same quarter in 2017

• Growth within parcels and freight in as well as outside Norway

• Increased productivity in the Norwegian parcels and freight network had a positive effect for the Logistics

segment

• Reduced profit for the 3rd quarter in the Mail segment, due to accelerating decline in mail volumes

• Good delivery quality with 91,5 % of addressed mail delivered within 2 days in the 3rd quarter, 90,3 % so far

this year

• Continued low absence due to sickness of 6,0 % in the last 12 months

Page 5: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Financial highlights 3rd quarter and year to date 2018

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OPERATING REVENUES, MNOK Q3 2018 Q3 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017

5 643 5 807 17 487 17 959 ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT*, MNOK Q3 2018 Q3 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2017

126 130 284 377 RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL/ROIC, %

Last 12 mths Last 12 mths

8,4 8,8 *For descriptions of alternative performance measures, see appendix to the report

Page 6: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Revenue and adjusted profit, 3rd quarter and year to date 2018

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Revenue, MNOK Adjusted operating profit, MNOK

17 487 284

17 959 17 487

24 404 25 074 24 772 24 678

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

377

284

933

686 645

703

200

400

600

800

1 000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

• Organic growth of 1,1 % so far in 2018

• Revenue growth of 3,7 % in the Logistics segment so far in 2018

• Reduced revenue in the Mail segment due to increasing decline in mail volumes, the sale of Bring Citymail Sweden and the introduction of one addressed mail flow

• The decline in addressed mail volumes was 12,5 % so far in 2018; 15,5 % in the 3rd quarter

• Adjusted operating profit for the Logistics segment was weaker than in the same period in 2017, affected by a slow start of the year. The last months have shown a positive trend, and the result for the 3rd quarter was better than for the corresponding period last year

• Reduced results in the Mail segment in spite of an additional grant for government procurements of commercially non-viable postal services. The decline is due to the increasing decline in volumes

Page 7: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Results 3rd quarter and year to date 2018

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Q3 Q3 YTD YTD Year2018 2017 2018 2017 20175 643 5 807 Revenue 17 487 17 959 24 678

285 309 EBITDA 777 885 1 386126 130 Adjusted operating profit 284 377 703116 159 Operating profit (EBIT) 328 416 692(16) (28) Net financial items ( 42) (43) (71)100 131 Profit before taxes 286 373 62176 91 Profit after tax 221 278 388

See condensed finacial statementAlternative performance measures applied in the quarterly report are described in appendix to the report

Page 8: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

HSE: Absence due to sickness still low in 2018

• The total number of personal injuries per million worked hours (H2) in the last 12 months increased from 7,9 to 10 compared with the same period in 2017

• There is implemented a new group security campaign to strengthen the Group’s security culture

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ABSENCE DUE TO SICKNESS, GROUP %

6,0 % (last 12 months)

H2 IN THE GROUP

10,0 (last 12 months)

5,5

5,7

5,9

6,1

6,3

6,5

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 6,0

8,0

10,0

12,0

14,0

16,0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

• Absence due to sickness in the last 12 months was 6 %, unchanged from the same period last year

• The Group’s ambition is to maintain a health-promoting working environment, where nobody becomes injured or sick from working in the Group

Page 9: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

3rd quarter 2018

PART 2:

• Results and segment review

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Page 10: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Segment reporting

Posten Norge Segment Mail

Segment Logistics

MNOK Revenue Adjusted profit Revenue Adjusted profit Revenue Adjusted profit

Q3 2018 5 643 126 4 242 87 1 770 76 Q3 2017 5 807 130 4 038 77 2 156 84 YTD 2018 17 487 284 12 604 45 5 986 387 YTD 2017 17 959 377 12 153 65 6 965 440

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Page 11: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Segment Logistics

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E-commerce and logistics

Responsible for all package products for e-commerce customers, in addition to groupage and part load, thermo and warehouse in Norway

International logistics

Responsible for industrial goods and industry solutions for industrial and offshore customers

Express

Responsible for express and home delivery services

Page 12: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Segment Logistics: Market development

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• Revenue growth of 3,7 % so far in 2018 and organic

growth of 4,9 % • Good growth in gross domestic product (GDP) • Higher activity in offshore, but the oil sector was still

affected by low project activity • Price growth is expected to be higher in the future • The demand for logistics services increases along with the

GDP-growth, and favourable economic conditions contribute to better market prospects for the logistics industry

Page 13: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Segment Logistics: Key figures 2018

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REVENUE, MNOK

4 242

12 604

Adjusted operating profit, MNOK

87

45

12 351

12 153

12 604

11 800

12 000

12 200

12 400

12 600

12 800

3 600

3 800

4 000

4 200

4 400

4 600

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018

31

65

45

20

45

70

95

120

- 100

- 50

50

100

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018

• Revenue so far in 2018 was MNOK 12 604

• Organic growth of 4,9 %

• Solid growth within parcels, freight and international forwarding and transport

• Satisfactory growth in e-commerce to private consumers, for home deliveries and courier services both in and outside Norway

• Continued low project activity in the oil sector

• Adjusted operating profit was MNOK 45 so far in 2018, a reduction of MNOK 20 from the same period in 2017

• The result was affected by a slow start of the year, mainly as a consequence of additional resources used in the implementation of a new terminal structure

• Increased productivity in the Norwegian parcels and freight network, and the result for the 3rd quarter was better than the corresponding period last year

• The parcel business outside Norway also experienced solid profitability improvement due to high growth

• Continued profitability challenges in parts of other operations

Page 14: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Segment Mail

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Mail

Responsible for the traditional postal services in Norway (including licensed services) and includes letter products and banking services, as well as Digipost and dialogue services.

Page 15: PART 1 - Postennorge.no · operating revenues, mnok . q3 2018 . q3 2017 : ytd 2018 . ytd 2017 : 5 643 . 5 807 : 17 487 . 17 959 : adjusted operating profit*, mnok . q3 2018 : q3 2017

Segment Mail: Market development

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VOLUME ADDRESSED MAIL, millions

627 (last 12 months)

-34,2 % (last 5 years)

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

• The decline in mail volume is accelerating, and the changes in the mail market is expected to accelerate

• The volume decline in addressed mail in 2018 continued as a consequence of digitalisation at our customers

• The volume of addressed mail in Norway fell by 12,5 % so far in 2018, and 15,5 % in the 3rd quarter

• The public sector had a volume decline of 27 %, and banks and finance businesses 15 %

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REVENUE, MNOK

1 770

5 986

Adjusted operating profit, MNOK

76

387

Segment Mail: Key figures 2018

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7 172 6 965

5 986

5 000

5 500

6 000

6 500

7 000

7 500

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018

456 440

387

330

360

390

420

450

480

100

200

300

400

500

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

• Revenue so far in 2018 was MNOK 5 986, a reduction of MNOK 979 compared with the same period in 2017

• Sale of business, the introduction of one addressed mail flow and volume decline are the main reasons for the reduction in revenues

• Adjusted operating profit was MNOK 387 so far in 2018, a decline of MNOK 53 compared with the same period in 2017

• Reduced results are mainly due to declining volumes

• An additional grant for government procurements of commercially non-viable postal services contributed positively

• Cost adjustments in operations were not adequate to compensate for the large reduction in addressed mail volumes

• The introduction of one addressed mail flow at the start of the year is carried out as planned, and the cost development so far is as expected. The full effect of the transition will not be achieved until the last quarter of 2018

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Future prospects

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• Favourable economic conditions contribute to better market prospects for the logistics industry

• Efforts to improve profitability to achieve more cost-efficient operations within logistics continue

• The Government is proposing to grant MNOK 534 to government procurements of commercially non-viable postal

services in the fiscal budget for 2019. This is in line with Posten’s preliminary calculations

• The strong decline in letter volumes pushes for new changes in the postal network

• The requirements of the Postal Act imply considerable structural costs for the Group. It is of vital importance that

the Government pays for ordered services, or allows room for adjusting the range of services to the declining

demand

• A necessary next step is to change from mail distribution five days a week to every other day in the entire country.

It becomes important that amendments to the Postal Act that open for this will be submitted to the Parliament this

autumn as the government has notified

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