PANGEA SPECIAL TOPIC RESEARCH · 2020. 3. 23. · Pangea Property Partners Introduction Special...
Transcript of PANGEA SPECIAL TOPIC RESEARCH · 2020. 3. 23. · Pangea Property Partners Introduction Special...
”Consequences for Nordic real estate?” Coronavirus (Covid-19)
MARCH 2020
PANGEA SPECIAL TOPIC RESEARCH
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Pangea Property Partners
The coronavirus is striking the Nordic region right now, starting a chain of negative reactions. The first infections in the Nordics were reported in the
beginning of February and with a similar development as China, the peak will be in early April.
We have already seen a significant hit on the Nordic stock market with the all-share index down 30% and listed real estate down 46% since the all-time
high in mid February. Stock market volatility and capital market uncertainty is also on the same high level as during the financial crisis.
The overall consequences for the Nordic economy are difficult to foresee, but include lower GDP growth in 2020 (1.5-3.0% according to the latest reports),
weaker local currencies (4-15% against EUR last month) and a sharp decline in long-term interest rates (0.2-0.5% last month). In addition, the drastic dip in oil
price creates a ”double hit” on the Norwegian economy.
All asset classes will be negatively affected and repriced following higher risk premiums. However, there are mitigating factors for real estate such as small
immediate income effects (due to existing lease agreements) and continued ultra-low interest rates. In addition, Nordic real estate might be seen as a safe
haven for investors, supported by weak local currencies, and strong public finances can contribute to a faster recovery.
We expect the transaction market to slow down in Q2 due to a “wait and see”-attitude among investors and potential financing constraints. If the market
normalizes, there might be a catch-up effect in the second half of 2020. There should also be a larger price differentiation between core and secondary assets.
Summary
Hotel: Significant negative consequences for hotel and hospitality. Tourism expected to decline drastically and hotel bookings down 50-80% in many Nordic
cities, plus most major conferences and events called off or postponed. Generally long leases, but tenants expected to renegotiate their terms.
Retail: Imminent risk of lower consumption and fewer people visiting public places such as shopping centers, with possible restrictions from the municipalities
(“no-go areas”). Pressured retailers might seek short-term rent reductions and turnover-based leases make property owners getting hit directly. However,
substantial upswing for ecommerce of grocery and necessities.
Office: Limited direct impact on the office sector, but lower occupier demand expected in the short-term and possible rental losses in some segments. In the
long-term, possible downward pressure on rents and more focus on flexible workspaces, possibilities to work from home and health-certified buildings.
Logistics: Short-term risk of lower demand for goods and transportations, plus disruptions in the supply chains. However, generally long lease agreements
reduce the impact on property owners. Long-term demand should also increase due to more flexible supply chains (multiple hubs) and larger inventories.
Residentials/public properties: Limited sector-specific problems. In relative terms, favourable outlook with stable demand from both investors and tenants.
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Special report - Corona
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Introduction
Special report - Corona
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The coronavirus (Covid-19) was first reported in China on 31 December 2019, by
the World Health Organization (WHO)
Currently, there are more than 180,000 people infected globally of which 81,000 in
China, 73,000 in Europe and 3,800 in the Nordic region
The infection rate in China peaked after slightly more than two months (in early
February) and the infection rate is now down to less than 20 persons per day
If we apply China’s infection rate on the rest of the world, we can expect the peak
to be at end of March, and in early April in the Nordics
However, all countries take different measures to stop the virus from spreading
further and the development is uncertain
The coronavirus spreading into Europe and the Nordic countries
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2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
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40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
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Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20
TOTAL NUMBER OF INFECTED PERSONS
China Rest of world Nordics (right axis) 0
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INFECTION RATE, NUMBER ON INFECTED PERSONS PER DAY
China Rest of world Nordics (right axis)
Source: WHO. Adjusted figures for China due to changed reporting methodology on 17 February.
>5,000
500 – 5,000
100 – 500
<100
CORONA INFECTED ACROSS EUROPE (18 MARCH 2020)
~70 days
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Economic stimulations
Special report - Corona
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Overview of government support and actions in the Nordic countries so far
Powerful measures taken to limit the economic effects of the coronavirus in the Nordics
Sweden Norway Denmark Finland
Key policy rates
No change 125 bps decrease No change No change
Current rate at 0.0% Current rate at 0.25% Current rate at -0.75% Current rate at -0.5%
Bank liquidity & quantitative easing
SEK 500bn extra lending facility for banks to small and mid size companies
NOK 50bn in state guaranteed loans targeting small and mid size companies
Guarantee for 70% of bank lending to companies in affected industries
Almost EUR 8bn extra lending facility for state lending company Finnveras
SEK 300bn of additional asset purchasesNOK 50bn of bond purchases (reinstalling the Government Bond Fund)
DKK 50bn of additional asset purchasesEUR 500m of additional asset purchases
Bank capital requirements
Removal of countercyclical capital bufferReduced countercyclical capital buffer from 2.5% to 1.0%
Removal of countercyclical capital bufferRemoval of some capital and liquidity buffers in line with ECB
Estimated to increase lending capacity with SEK 800-900bn
Estimated to increase lending capacity with about DKK 200bn
Financial support
First round stimulus of SEK 300bn for municipalities, health care, taxes, etc.
Changes in taxes, state fees, loans for small and mid size companies, etc.
First round stimulus of DKK 125bn for guarantees, compensations, taxes, etc.
First round stimulus of EUR 15bn to health care, taxes, tourism, etc.
Additional SEK 5bn credit guarantees for the aviation and shipping industry
Additional NOK 6bn credit guarantees for the aviation industry (Norwegian, etc.)
Additional DKK 1.5bn credit guarantees for the aviation industry (SAS)
Additional EUR 600m for social and health care activities
Labour market
Compensating sick leave for two monthsCompensating temporarily laid off employees from day 3 to 20
Wage relief from day 1 in quarantine or sick leave
Income support for and changes rules for layoffs
Short-term layoffs introduced3M aid period for affected firms where government can pay 75% of salaries
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Earlier crises
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The coronavirus compared to four other major crashes last 20 years
11 September
SARSUS & Chinatrade wars
US stock crash
Greece
NORDIC STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE AND VIX (2000-2020)
Source: Thomson Reuters, OMX, Pangea Research
FINANCIAL CRISIS
Nordic all-share: -52%
Nordic property shares: -66%
Nordic 10Y swap: -214 bps
Fear index peak (VIX): 81
2 3DOT-COM CRASH
Nordic all-share: -73%
Nordic property shares: -10%
Nordic 10Y swap: -155 bps
Fear index peak (VIX): 43
1THE 2011 CRASH
(BLACK MONDAY)
Nordic all-share: -27%Nordic property shares: -25%Nordic 10Y swap: -177 bpsFear index peak (VIX): 48
CHINA STOCK MARKET CRASH
Nordic all-share: -27%Nordic property shares: -17%Nordic 10Y swap: -109 bpsFear index peak (VIX): 42
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Brexit
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VIX
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Nordic all-share index (OMXS30) Fear index (VIX)
Special report - Corona
CORONAVIRUS
Nordic all-share: -30%Nordic property shares: -46%Nordic 10Y swap: -58 bpsFear index peak (VIX): 83
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Economic impact
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Overall consequences for the Nordic economy
Similar economic impact on the Nordic countries as other regions, but strong public finances can contribute to a faster recovery
ECONOMIC GROWTH INTEREST RATES OIL PRICESTOCK MARKET
• Difficult to estimate the impact on
Nordic GDP but latest estimates
are between -1.5% and -3.0% for
2020 with a large dip in H1
• Rationale for large impact in the
Nordics: export-driven countries
dependent on foreign trade and
global supply chains
• Rationale for low impact: tourism
only 2-3% of Nordic GDP and
strong public finances that can
support the economies
• Weakening of local currencies
with NOK (15%) and SEK (4%)
down against EUR last month
• World price on oil dropping as
much as 60% to 23 USD per
barrel last month
• Mainly driven by the price war
between major oil producers, but
also reduced global demand
caused by the Coronavirus
• A ‘double hit’ for the Norwegian
economy where oil and gas
accounts for around 18% of GDP
• Should stimulate consumers and
industries in the long term, but
contributes to capital market
uncertainty in the short term
• Nordic stock market (OMX30)
down 30% from all-time high in
mid February with all sectors
showing negative returns
• Stock market volatility at the
same high level as during the
financial crisis
• Large net sales and many
investors building up cash
positions and liquidity
• Possible re-allocation to defensive
and non-cyclical sectors going
forward, e.g. health care, energy,
utilities and real estate
• Nordic 10Y swap rates down
30 bps on average last month and
very flat yield curves (even
converted in Norway)
• Ultra-low interest rates likely to
remain due to lower economic
growth and pressure to keep
stimulating the economy
• Key interest rates cuts in many
countries, including Norway
• Supports lower lending costs and
better company earnings over
time, but instant negative effect
on value of swap contracts
1.5-3.0% lower Nordic GDP
growth expected in 2020
24-60 bps decline in Nordic
10Y swap rates in last month
24-37% decline in Nordic stock
markets since the peak in February
60% lower oil price
in last month
Source: European Commission, OECD, Thomson Reuters, Pangea Research
Special report - Corona
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Economic impact
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Impact on the Nordic stock market and economy so far
-0.50
0.00
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31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
%
NORDIC 10Y SWAP RATES
Sweden Norway Finland Denmark
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
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31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
NORDIC ALL-SHARE INDICES
Sweden Norway Finland Denmark Europe
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31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
US
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OIL PRICE INDICES
West Texas Intermediate Brent crude
-60%last month
-30 bpslast month
-30%from peak
Source: Thomson Reuters, OMX, Pangea Research. Nordic average highlighted in the circles.
Special report - Corona
9.0
9.5
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31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
NORDIC CURRENCIES
EUR/SEK EUR/NOK
-15%Last month(EUR/NOK)
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Large price drop for listed property shares (from high levels), less dramatic development expected on the direct market
TRANSACTION VOLUMES PROPERTY YIELDS LISTED REAL ESTATE SECTORREAL ESTATE FINANCING
• Lower transaction volumes
expected in Q2 due to general
“wait and see”-attitude among
investors and short term financing
constraints
• Probably more focus on typical
core properties and reduced
demand for secondary assets
(“flight to safety”)
• Inflow of foreign capital expected
to continue, supported by weaker
local currencies, but travel
restrictions being an obstacle
• Could give a bounce back in the
second half of 2020 if the market
stabilizes
• Nordic listed property sector
down 46% since the peak in mid
February, but almost flat
performance over last 12 months
• Hotel taking the largest hit but
also significant repricing of
companies with aggressive capital
structures
• Implied yields close to 5% on
average and the former large
premiums to NAV are replaced
with an almost 20% discount
• The development on the direct
market expected to be much less
dramatic than the stock market
• Potential credit losses and
problems in other sectors might
affect lending towards real estate
negatively
• Most critical for highly levered
companies and cash-strapped
developers
• Could increase demand for
alternative financing, e.g.
institutional lending
• Significant government support,
e.g. the Riksbank lending
SEK 500bn to Swedish companies
through the banking system
• Higher risk premiums and market
uncertainty should result in larger
price differentiation between
different assets and sectors
• More focus on the financial
stability of tenants and
guarantees/lease deposits
• Stable pricing on core assets
(public tenants, residentials, etc.)
while stressed sectors being
punished (hotel, airlines, travel
agencies, F&B, etc.)
• Potential bargain opportunities if
prices move more than actual
earnings, and record large yield
gap expected to widen further
Lower transaction volumes
expected in Q2 2020
Larger price differentiation
between core and secondary assets
Short-term uncertainty
regarding real estate financing
Repricing of sector, from
premium to discount
Source: European Commission, OECD, Thomson Reuters, Pangea Research
Special report - Corona
Real estate impact Overall consequences for Nordic real estate
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-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
NORDIC PROPERTY SHARES BY COUNTRY
PREX Sweden PREX Norway PREX Finland
PREX Denmark PREX Nordics GPR 250 EUROPE
Real estate impact
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Impact on the Nordic listed real estate sector so far
Special report - Corona
Source: Thomson Reuters, OMX, Pangea Research. Nordic average highlighted in the circles.
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
NORDIC PROPERTY SHARES BY SECTOR
PREX Office PREX Retail PREX Residential
PREX Warehouse PREX Mixed PREX Hotel Global
0.90x
1.00x
1.10x
1.20x
1.30x
1.40x
1.50x
1.60x
1.70x
1.80x
31-Dec 13-Jan 26-Jan 8-Feb 21-Feb 5-Mar 18-Mar
NORDIC PROPERTY SHARES VALUATION (P/B)
-46%from peak
-46%from peak
-0.77xfrom peak
* Global hotel property share index (only one company in the Nordics)
-42% -41%
-30%
-53%-58%
-43%-46%
-38%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
NORDIC SECTOR PERFORMANCE FROM PEAK
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Real estate impact
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Consequences for different property segments (page 1 of 2)
All property sectors affected differently, with the most urgent problems in the hotel sector
RETAIL
• Risk of lower consumption and
spending power affecting on
already pressured retail sector
• In addition, fewer people visiting
crowded places such as shopping
centers, and possible restrictions
from the municipalities (“no-go
areas”)
• Turnover-based leases common,
hitting retail owners more than
other property owners
• However, significant upswing for
ecommerce, especially groceries
and necessities
Negative effects for physical
stores, upswing for groceries
HOTEL
• Significant negative impact on
hotel and hospitality with large
layoffs already announced across
the Nordics
• Hotel bookings down 50-80% in
many markets and most major
conferences and events called off
or postponed
• Long lease agreements could
potentially mitigate the impact on
property owners
• However, many tenants expected
to renegotiate their lease terms
due to poor solvency
Significant negative effects
Source: Pangea Research
Special report - Corona
DEVELOPMENT
• Short term risk of delays in new
constructions and development
projects due to disruptions in
global supply chains and limited
access to foreign work force
• In addition, potential problems
associated with financing and
capital liquidity
• Probably increased demand for
more flexible and domestic
supply chains in the long-term
• Might change focus from co-ops
to affordable rental apartments
and student housing
Risk of delayed productions
OFFICE
Limited negative effects
• Fairly limited overall impact on
the office sector
• Somewhat lower net take-up in
the short-term expected due to
tenants being uncertain about
their future area needs
• Potential rent losses concentrated
to certain sectors, and property
owners expected to be flexible to
avoid bankruptcies
• In the long-term, probably more
focus on flexible workspaces,
possibilities to work on remote
and health-certified buildings
Pangea Property Partners
Real estate impact
11
Consequences for different property segments (page 2 of 2)
Very limited income effects on residential and public sector properties, and increased long-term demand for logistics and data storage
PUBLIC SECTOR PROPERTIES
• Limited sector-specific negative
effects with continued need for
public sector services
• Low risk of rent losses due to
government tenants and publicly
funded operations (also when
schools and other buildings shut
down for a period)
• Should reinforce the view of
public sector properties as a safe
core asset
• In the long-term, probably more
focus on health aspects in the
buildings
Very limited negative effects
DATA STORAGE
• Increased global demand for data
storage and cloud services when
people start working from home
• The Nordics viewed as an ideal
region for data storage due to a
cold climate and access to skilled
workforce and green energy
• Some large establishments
recently, but still a very small
property segment (less than
1% of the transaction market)
• More cost sensitive towards
energy prices than other
property segments
Increased demand
Source: Pangea Research
Special report - Corona
LOGISTICS
• Risk of generally lower demand
for transportation of goods and
disruptions in the supply chains
affecting the tenants
• However, generally long leases
reduce the short-term impact on
property owners
• In the long-term, demand for
logistics space should increase
due to need for more flexible
supply chains (multiple hubs) and
larger inventories
• Speculative new construction
might decrease
Limited negative effects,
long-term demand should increase
RESIDENTIAL
Very limited negative effects
• Limited sector-specific negative
effects with unaffected strong
underlying demand for rental
apartments
• On the investment market, a
general “flight to safety”-trend
might reinforce the view of rental
apartments as a core asset
• Risk of lower new construction in
the short-term could contribute
to an already existing housing
shortage in some markets
• Demand for forward funding
structures might change
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Real estate impact
12
Schematic illustration of the Coronavirus impact on different sectors
Source: Pangea Research
REAL ESTATE IMPACT BY SEGMENT
Sector impact
Low Medium High
Me
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Se
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Larg
eS
mall Hotel
OfficeResidential
Logistics
Industrial
Public sector properties
Development
LARGE OVERALL IMPACT
LARGE SECTOR IMPACT
SMALL SECTOR IMPACT
SMALL OVERALL IMPACT
Special report - Corona
Limited negative effects for the largest property sectors – residential, office and public sector properties
Data storage
Retail (non-food)
Pangea Property Partners
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Source: Thomson Reuters/Pangea Research
Special report - Corona
Appendix Nordic listed property companies key figures overview
Notes: 1) As of 18 March 2020 2) Last closing price vs balance sheet items in Q4-reports 3) Mcap weighted average
Date Stockmarket data1 Company data1 Valuation metrics2
18 March 2020 Share price Company profile Financials Impl. EBITDA yield P/NAV P/E P/CE EV/EBITDA
Last 12M YTD Sector Geography Mcap EV Impl. LTV 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020
SWEDEN (SEK) (%) (%) Main use Location (SEKm) (SEKm) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)
Atrium Ljungberg 137.6 -15.9 -39.1 Retail Sweden 18,331 38,840 54 4.3 0.7 15.8 14.6 27.9
Balder 256.6 -10.5 -40.8 Mixed Nordics 46,188 132,904 60 4.3 0.8 11.3 11.4 28.3
Besqab 94.0 4.4 -36.1 Developer Mid Sweden 1,458 1,352 70 13.8 n.a. 8.7 n.a. 12.4
Bonava 38.4 -67.0 -61.4 Developer Northern Europe 4,195 11,093 62 12.6 n.a. 4.5 4.2 11.8
Brinova 18.3 -4.5 -42.2 Mixed Southern Sweden 1,320 3,589 73 5.1 0.8 10.3 n.a. 26.3
Castellum 134.7 -23.8 -38.8 Mixed Nordics 36,787 78,284 53 5.3 0.7 12.0 9.1 22.4
Catena 227.0 -13.4 -45.1 Warehouse Sweden 8,558 17,539 51 5.3 1.1 13.4 12.7 25.5
Corem 15.5 19.2 -42.6 Warehouse Sweden 6,725 12,739 47 4.7 0.7 2.4 n.a. 29.0
Diös 57.0 -22.8 -33.6 Mixed Northern Sweden 7,667 20,090 62 5.8 0.8 7.9 7.9 21.9
Fabege 104.9 -19.3 -32.6 Office Stockholm 34,699 61,972 44 3.4 0.8 22.6 22.1 33.7
FastPartner 57.3 -17.3 -42.2 Mixed Sweden 11,638 24,648 57 5.4 0.7 13.5 13.1 18.6
Heba 70.8 -1.0 -17.9 Residential Stockholm 5,845 8,771 40 n.a. 0.8 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hufvudstaden 103.3 -35.6 -44.2 Office Stockholm, Gothenburg 20,970 28,374 26 5.1 0.6 18.7 18.2 30.5
JM 171.4 -8.6 -38.2 Developer Nordics 11,927 12,854 7 15.4 n.a. 8.1 8.0 6.5
John Mattson 113.0 n.a. -19.5 Residential Stockholm 3,805 6,397 41 2.4 1.1 38.4 40.5 n.a.
K-Fastigheter 131.5 n.a. -18.3 Residential Sweden 3,963 6,381 38 1.8 1.8 77.8 77.8 n.a.
K2A Knaust & Andersson 114.0 n.a. -35.7 Residential Sweden 1,991 4,477 56 2.2 1.5 104.1 n.a. 57.1
Klövern 12.0 -3.6 -47.6 Office Sweden, Denmark, US 14,368 46,298 69 4.8 0.6 10.2 9.4 23.2
Kungsleden 59.8 -18.5 -39.3 Office Sweden 13,050 31,399 58 5.3 0.7 10.5 10.5 23.9
Magnolia Bostad 28.0 -11.3 -32.5 Developer Sweden 1,059 3,178 63 16.5 n.a. 5.9 n.a. 6.9
NP3 60.2 -18.0 -46.7 Mixed Northern Sweden 3,271 10,069 67 7.5 1.0 6.8 6.7 18.4
Nyfosa 36.3 -34.9 -55.2 Mixed Sweden 6,323 17,016 63 8.5 0.6 5.7 2.3 27.1
Oscar Properties 0.6 -87.9 -73.0 Developer Stockholm 181 857 79 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 21.5
Pandox 50.7 -69.2 -76.1 Hotel Northern Europe 9,321 37,759 84 4.9 0.3 6.3 3.5 18.8
Platzer 63.1 -15.5 -42.6 Office Gothenburg 7,677 16,159 61 5.2 0.8 11.8 12.0 26.9
Sagax 79.9 -2.3 -41.3 Warehouse Sweden, Finland, Europe 28,667 45,613 37 5.5 1.5 13.0 n.a. 27.1
SBB i Norden 13.5 22.5 -41.0 Public sector Nordics 16,159 49,959 68 6.1 0.7 8.7 n.a. 19.9
SSM 8.0 -1.0 -14.7 Developer Stockholm 471 798 41 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Stendörren 88.4 -20.4 -47.7 Warehouse Mid Sweden 2,268 7,171 68 5.0 0.7 13.6 13.2 27.3
Wallenstam 89.5 -1.4 -20.9 Residential Stockholm, Gothenburg 29,535 50,621 48 2.8 1.0 25.6 22.8 43.3
Wihlborgs 111.7 -10.6 -35.2 Office Öresund 17,170 40,692 58 5.4 0.8 10.1 9.4 23.0
SUM/AVERAGE SWEDEN3 n.a. -14.1 -38.9 375,585 827,891 51 5.2 0.8 15.0 14.3 26.7
NORWAY (NOK) (%) (%) Main use Location (NOKm) (NOKm) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)
Entra 98.4 -20.4 -32.1 Office Norway 17,922 39,553 50 5.2 0.7 14.9 n.a. 23.3
Norwegian Property 9.5 -12.8 -31.7 Office Norway 4,749 12,624 62 4.4 0.5 21.0 n.a. 26.4
Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap 91.7 -38.0 -45.4 Retail Norway, Sweden 9,502 32,547 69 8.0 0.3 6.9 n.a. n.a.
Selvaag Bolig 45.0 42.8 -14.6 Developer Norway 4,219 5,345 21 13.1 n.a. 8.4 8.2 10.7
Solon Eiendom 28.0 -25.3 -31.0 Developer Norway 2,077 4,887 57 5.5 n.a. 15.5 n.a. 23.1
SUM/AVERAGE NORWAY3 n.a. -17.1 -33.4 38,469 94,957 53 6.7 0.6 13.0 8.2 22.0
FINLAND (EUR) (%) (%) Main use Location (EURm) (EURm) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)
Citycon 5.8 -37.1 -36.6 Retail Nordics 1,038 2,905 64 6.9 0.5 7.8 7.6 18.1
Hoivatilat 15.6 90.3 -2.8 Public sector Finland, Sweden 397 667 41 5.7 1.8 10.7 n.a. n.a.
Kojamo 15.4 55.7 -5.1 Residential Finland 3,801 6,206 39 3.6 n.a. 25.2 25.2 31.2
SUM/AVERAGE FINLAND3 n.a. 40.0 -11.1 5,235 9,778 44 4.4 0.8 20.6 21.4 28.4
DENMARK (DKK) (%) (%) Main use Location (DKKm) (DKKm) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)
BoStad 2.3 9.6 5.6 Residential Denmark 368 1,713 80 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Jeudan 1010.2 8.1 -17.5 Office Denmark 11,530 28,663 60 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Nordicom 6.9 17.7 9.8 Mixed Denmark 493 1,681 95 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
SUM/AVERAGE DENMARK3 n.a. 8.5 -15.7 12,391 32,057 62 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
NORDICS (EUR) (%) (%) (EURm) (EURm) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)
SUM/AVERAGE NORDICS3 n.a. -6.8 -34.3 43,538 95,666 51 5.2 0.8 15.6 15.3 26.6
PROPERTY COMPANIES n.a. -6.5 -34.1 41,306 92,147 52 4.8 0.8 16.0 15.8 27.6
DEVELOPMENT COMPANIES n.a. -11.6 -37.4 2,232 3,519 30 13.7 n.a. 8.0 7.2 9.8
Contact information
NORDICS
Mikael Söderlundh
+46 73 770 77 90
SWEDEN
Emil Ekholm
+46 70 743 22 17
NORWAY
Andreas Fiskum
+47 90 09 90 37
• Property Transactions
• Corporate Finance
• Research & Strategic Advisory
• Hotel Sector Competence
SERVICE OFFERING
PANGEA RESEARCH
Pangea’s inhouse research team follows the
Nordic property and capital markets
continuously and provides an independent
view on real estate. To subscribe, visit our
website pangeapartners.co.uk/research.
Pangea Property Partners is an independent
advisory firm focusing on property related
corporate finance and transaction services
in the Nordics. The company has about
35 employees with offices in Stockholm, Oslo
and London. In addition, there is a close
cooperation with Mrec in Finland. In
2019/2020, Pangea Property Partners has
executed more than 50 transactions and
advisory mandates with an underlying
property value above EUR 3bn.
ABOUT USAUTHORS OF THIS REPORT
CEO & Senior Partner
Bård Bjölgerud
+47 48 40 80 80
Director & Senior Partner
Håvard A. Nustad
+47 48 40 80 77
Head of Corporate Finance
& Senior Partner
André Lundberg
+46 70 676 72 40
Director & Senior Partner
Joakim Arvius
+46 70 979 84 44
KEY CONTACTS AT PANGEA
STOCKHOLM
Norrlandsgatan 15, 7th floorBox 7740, 103 95 Stockholm, Sweden
Pangeapartners.se
OSLO
Tjuvholmen Allé 3, 8th floor N-0250 Oslo, Norway
Pangeapartners.no
LONDON
Berkeley Square House, Berkeley Square London WIJ 6BD, United Kingdom
Pangeapartners.co.uk
HELSINKI
C/o Mrec Oy, Mikonkatu 4 B 00100 Helsinki, Finland
Pangeapartners.co.uk