Panama: Transforming The Economy :: Rosemary Piper

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TRANSFORMING THE ECONOMY PANAMA: Rosemary Piper Deputy Director National Competitiveness Center Caribbean Growth Forum, Kingston, June 2012

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Transcript of Panama: Transforming The Economy :: Rosemary Piper

Page 1: Panama: Transforming The Economy :: Rosemary Piper

TRANSFORMING THE ECONOMY

PANAMA:

Rosemary PiperDeputy Director

National Competitiveness CenterCaribbean Growth Forum, Kingston, June 2012

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Quick Economic Overview:Gross Domestic Product

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Year %2001 0.6%2002 2.2%2003 4.2%2004 7.5%2005 7.2%2006 8.5%2007 12.1%2008 10.1%2009 3.9%2010 7.6%2011 10.6%

• 2012’s government forecast: 10%

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Gross Domestic Product: Contribution by Sector

Construction

Commerce

Transport, storage, communica-tions

Financial

Real estate, renting

Manufacturing industries

Others

Total • Colon Free Zone, ports, Panama Canal and telecommunications: 24.2% • Commerce: 15.2%• Financial: 8.1%• Construction: 6.1%

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Foreign Direct Investment

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000 FDI (in USD billions)

• Last year: ports, mining and tourism• Historic level in 2011: $2,790 Billions• Source of innovation and “learning by doing”• In 2010 LAC was the destiny of 10% of the

FDI up from 5% in 2007

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Competitiveness

Ultimate goal• Achieve sustainable development to

improve the citizens’ quality of life

Why we need to measure• “You can’t control what you don’t

measure and you can’t improve what you cannot control”

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Important Competitiveness Indexes

SourcePanama’s Position (# of countries)

2007 2009 2011 2012

World Bank (Doing Business Index)

81 (175)

81

(181)

63 (183)

61 (183)

World Economic Forum (Global Competitiveness Index)

59 (131)

59 (133)

53 (139)

49 (142)

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GCI: Evolution 2005-2011

2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-201245

50

55

60

65

70

65

6059

5859

53

49

GCI = ???

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Indexes Analysis

Mobile telephone subscriptions

Soundness of banking system

Financial market

Buyer sophistication

Life expectancy

Government surplus

Infrastructure: ports and airports

STRENGTHS (Advantages)

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Indexes Analysis (cont.)

Domestic market size

Rigidity of employment

Internet access in schools

Quality of primary education

National savings rate

Quality of roads

Judicial independence

IMPROVEMENT OPPORTUNITIES (Disadvantages)

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Panama’s Commitment to Promote Competitiveness and Sustainable Growth

1. Prioritize public investment in sectors where a comparative advantage exists

2. Assure transparency in all government’s actions to safeguard investor’s trust

3. Strengthen the internal market within a safe environment to stimulate the confidence of producers4. Guarantee a simple and fair distribution of the tax

burden, while maintaining competitiveness within sectors5. Maximize the government’s investment, increase

income, establish outlines for public-private participation and diminish the operative expenses.

Alberto Vallarino, Minister of Economy and Finance at the 4th National Competitiveness Forum, Panama City , November 2009

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Economic Sectors Hierarchy and Potential

Competitive advantage

Economic impact on GDP

Social impact(jobs)

Logistics

Tourism

Agriculture

Off-shoring services

Maritime services

Private health services

Regional headquarters of multinationals

Growth Boosters

Future Potential

Financial Services

Government´s capacity to intervene

Alberto Vallarino, Minister of Economy and Finance , on the Government´s Strategic Plan 2010-2014, November 2009

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Some Reforms and Actions Businesses:

Law 34 of 6/5/2008: Social Fiscal Responsibility○ Requires financial and public investment planning

Law 41 of 8/24/2007: special regime for the establishment and operation of headquarters○ Drives AEEPP (Howard, a former US Base)

Laws 5 of 01/11/2007 and 31 of 07/22/09: speeds up businesses opening○ PanamaEmprende

Taxes payments via internet Energy:

Energy Savings Plan in effect for the public sectorLaw frameworks in progress: program to establish the rational

and efficient use of energy; Eolic Law and Bio-fuel Law

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Infrastructure:Extension of the Panama-Colon Highway“Metro” systemPanama Bay’s clean-upReorganization of the roads system

Technology and InnovationLaw 59 of 08/11/2008: promotes digital inclusion

○ Universal Internet access○ “Panama Inteligente” (by 2014): a paperless country (E-

justice; E-exports…)

Some Reforms and Actions (cont.)

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Actions Led by the NCC

2st NCF 3rd NCF 4th NCF 5th NCF

5%

13%18%

14%

38%

31%

23%

29%

57% 56%59%

57%

In process Completed Pending In process Completed Pending

Status of implementation of the previous year's Action Agenda

Source: National Competitiveness Center

National Competitiveness

Forum:A public-private encounter

to build consensus

○ The “Action Agenda”○ Implementations follow-up

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Monitoring of competitiveness indexes

• Thorough analysis• Joint efforts with

SEAC• Workshops with

local partners Investigation, analysis

and diffusion

Actions Led by the NCC (cont.)

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Final Words…The nation’s competitiveness hinges on the “smart

management” of micro and macroeconomic forces, and the willingness of individuals, enterprises, and

policymakers to work hand-in-hand to meet shifting challenges.

 If a country is to reach a sustainable level of development,

both government and businesses must move in tandem toward common goals: contributing to the improvement of the quality of life for all citizens, overcoming the barriers of

unemployment and poverty, and improving productivity across the board.

Competitiveness is not exclusive to a single group or sector; it can be achieved only through a joint effort.

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Competitiveness is not a destiny, it is a path…

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NATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS CENTER

TOGETHER WE DO IT BETTER!

A not-for-profit private organization with apublic-private board of trustees

www.cncpanama.orgJusto Arosemena Ave. and 31st Street

Panama City, Republic of Panama(507) 394-4363 or 394-4364