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PAKISTAN DEVELOPMENT FORUMPAKISTAN DEVELOPMENT FORUMISLAMABADISLAMABAD

May 2003

Government of N.W.F.P.

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Area & PopulationArea & Population

2191767PersonsPop. per irrigated hectare

103666PersonsPop. per cultivated hectare

2.8

236

18 (13.74)

75 (9.42)

NWFP

2.4

19

7 (5.3)

347 (43.6)

Balochistan

2.72.62.6% ageAnnual pop. growth rate(1981-98)

213353164Persons/ Sq.KmPop. density

30 (22.9)

73 (55.7)

131 (100)

Million (percentage)Population (1998)

141 (17.7)

205 (25.7)

796 (100)

000 Sq.Km (percentage)Area

SindhPunjabPakUnitItem

Source: Pakistan Statistical Year Book, 2002 (FBS)

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Literacy Rates & Health Facilities Literacy Rates & Health Facilities

7064647571%agePrimary enrolment rate

8479758280%age! Male

5446546861%age! Female

5654655759%age! Male

2016353431%age! Female

3736514645%ageLiteracy

1479

NWFP

1350

Baloc.

115817241490#Population perhospital bed

SindhPunjabPakUnitItem

Source: 1. Pakistan Integrated Household Survey (FBS) 2. Economic Survey (2001-2002) 3. Development Statistics of Respective Provinces.

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Public HealthPublic Health

Use of sanitary means of waste disposal

Use of safe drinking water

639667

278233

Baloc.

529158

538658

NWFP

422837%• Rural989194%• Urban674653%Total

619377%• Rural909893%• Urban749583%Total

SindhPunjabPakUnitItem

Source: 1. PIHS 1998-99 (FBS)

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Incidence of PovertyIncidence of Poverty

44.9

29.2

42.6

NWFP

22.5

24.3

22.8

Baloch.

34.736.036.3% ageRural

16.125.522.4% ageUrban

26.633.032.2% ageTotal

SindhPunjabPakistanUnitItem

Source: ADB (July 2002) Poverty in Pakistan: Issues, Causes and Institutional Responses

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Constraints to DevelopmentConstraints to Development! Population pressure! Burden of Afghan refugees! Weak industrial base! Low agriculture production! Drought! Poor social indicators! Limited public funds for development; low

private investment! Narrow resource base; over 90% of provincial

receipts come from Federation! Heavy Federal debt (Rs. 74 billion)

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Comparative AdvantagesComparative Advantages

! Hydel power potential! Tourism ! Minerals & gemstones ! Value added agriculture (off season fruits &

vegetables)! Forestry! Proximity with Afghanistan & Central Asia

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SectoralSectoral share of ADP 2002share of ADP 2002--0303

Agri & Forestry, 970.9, 7%

Health, 801.1, 6%

Edu, 2048.3, 15%Others, 985, 7%

Buildg. & Roads, 2622.1, 20%

U/Dev., 255.2, 2%

Water, 3102.6, 23%

Industries, 29.2, 0%

Rural. Dev., 1550.814, 11%

KPP, 1044.1, 8%

Rs. 13.673 billion

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Foreign Aid (2002Foreign Aid (2002--2003)2003)Size: Rs. 5186.5 million.

> Grant: Rs. 546.1 million> Loan: Rs. 4640.4 million

Major Donors: ADB (73%), World Bank (7%),SDC (4%) Netherlands (3%),IFAD (4%), UN Agencies (1% ) Others (GTZ, JICA, CIDA 8 %)

Sectors: Education, Health, Water,Agriculture, Roads, Forestry, Rural Development

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Reforms StrategyReforms Strategy! Continuity of reforms! Consolidation of devolution process! Removal of gender imbalance! Civil service reforms! Improve service delivery particularly in

education, health & population welfare! Fiscal, budgetary and financial management

reforms (MTBF)! Debt reduction for greater fiscal space! Enabling environment for private investments! Privatization, including Bank of Khyber

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DevolutionDevolution! Decentralized planning, approval and implementation of

developmental activities:– District Annual Development Plans. Approving powers of

DDCs increased from Rs. 10 m to Rs. 40 m.– Unbundling of federal/provincial programmes for

implementation at district level.! Establishment of:

– Local Government Commission– Provincial Finance Commission

! Establishment of :– District Monitoring Committees– District Mushawarat Committees– District Development Committees

! Capacity Building Efforts! Local Resource Mobilization

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Civil Services ReformsCivil Services Reforms

! Restructuring and rightsizing of Provincial Government

! Merit based recruitment & promotion ! Public Service Commission strengthened ! Training and capacity building! Contract employment

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Education Sector InitiativesEducation Sector Initiatives! Improvement in quality of and access to services! Free education upto secondary level! Reducing gender disparity. Emphasis on girls

education! Separation of management & teaching cadres! Public-private partnership! Effective monitoring and regulation system! Institutional capacity building! Establishment of centennial (English medium)

schools! Mainstreaming of Deeni Madaaris! Establishment of new universities Cont…..

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Education Sector Initiatives (2001Education Sector Initiatives (2001--05)05)

! Literacy rate for males to increase from 56 to 63.4 % and females from 20 to 32.1%

! Dropout rate for boys to be decreased from 40 to 30% and girls from 50 to 40%

! Enrolment rate for boys to increase from 84 to 95% and girls from 54 to 68%

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Health Sector InitiativesHealth Sector Initiatives

Cont…..

!Upgradation of DHQ hospitals!Merger of male and female cadres!Strengthen role of LHWs ! Involving NGOs in service delivery !Creation of health management cadre!Public-private partnership

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Health Sector Initiatives (2001Health Sector Initiatives (2001--05)05)

!Increase full immunization coverage of children from 51 to 80%

!Increase ante-natal coverage of women from 18 to 45%

!‘zero’ cases of polio!Increase T.B control (DOTS)

coverage from 50 to 100%!Increase lady health workers (LHWs)

from 9000 to 14000

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Revenue MobilizationRevenue Mobilization! Reduction in number of taxes from 22 to 9! Enhancement in provincial tax revenues by

35% and user charges by 75% by 2005-06! Detailed studies on agriculture income tax,

provincial tax potential and economic growth

! Replacement of motor vehicle tax with fuel tax based on consumption

! Study to introduce volume-based “abiana” (irrigation water tax)

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Expenditure ManagementExpenditure Management!! Winding up unWinding up un--viable public sector viable public sector

organizations (Frontier Cooperative Bank, organizations (Frontier Cooperative Bank, Fruit & Vegetable Development Board & Fruit & Vegetable Development Board & Agriculture Development Authority)Agriculture Development Authority)

!! Management of expenditure on wheat Management of expenditure on wheat subsidysubsidy

!! NWFP debt management strategyNWFP debt management strategy!! Rational creation of new postsRational creation of new posts!! Restrictions on nonRestrictions on non--developmental developmental

expenditureexpenditure!! Computerization of human resources Computerization of human resources

databasedatabase

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Budgetary Reforms Budgetary Reforms !! Establishment of fiscal monitoring committeeEstablishment of fiscal monitoring committee!! Strengthening of departmental accounts and Strengthening of departmental accounts and

auditaudit!! Introduction of performance budgetingIntroduction of performance budgeting!! Provincial financial accounting assessment Provincial financial accounting assessment

strategystrategy!! Computer telephone dialup system Computer telephone dialup system

connecting Provincial & District Finance connecting Provincial & District Finance DepartmentsDepartments

!! Computerization of district accounts offices.Computerization of district accounts offices.!! New procurement policyNew procurement policy

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Population PlanningPopulation PlanningMAIN ACHIEVEMENTS! Fertility and growth rate has declined! Contraceptive prevalence rate increased from 23.5 (1998) to

31%(2002)! Toll-free telephone hotline extended to districts! Coordination with health and other department! Programme committees at Provincial (headed by Chief

Secretary) district and tehsil levels constituted! Visit to every household once in two months by programme

staff! Awareness of atleast one FP method is 97%

FUTURE STEPS ! Expansion & strengthening of service delivery! Effective information, education & communication (IEC)! Male involvement, through male mobilizer at each union

council! Involvement of political leaders and elected representatives! Involvement of NGOs

Source: Pakistan fertility & NIBS DFID

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Gender IssuesGender Issues! Protect & nurture the girl child! Focus on female education, especially in rural areas ! Focus on females in rural development projects

through livestock extension programmes, promotion of cottage industry and micro credit programmes

! Establishment of centre for the rights of women & children

! Skill optimization programme for self-employed women

! Establishment of women welfare centres in jails & crises centres

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FATAFATAFATA

Khyber

FR DIK

FR TanK

FR BannuFR Lakki

FR KohatFR Peshawar

S W A

N W A

Kurram

Mohmand

Bajaur

A F

G H

A N

I S

T A

N

A F

G H

A N

I S

T A

NIna

cces

sible

Area

s

Inacc

essib

le Ar

eas

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Comparative SocioComparative Socio--Economic IndicatorsEconomic Indicators

32217Pop: per irrigated hectare17106Pop: per cultivated hectare

0.0331.313.59Forest area (Million Hectares).

3.17617.555130.580Population (Million) (1998 Census).2722074521796095Area (Sq.Km).FATANWFPPakistanItem

43.45883Drinking Water Coverage (%)818915101490Population per doctor .232718691450Population per hospital bed .1.5811.5022.30· Female15.1839.0036.20· Male

9.0826.4029.70Higher educationParticipation rate (%)

3.0020.0031.60- Female

29.5056.0059.00- Male

17.4237.0045.00Literacy rate (%)

FATA

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Effects of Afghan WarEffects of Afghan War" Demographic change - refugees out-

numbered local population in many areas

" Physical damage to infrastructure" Adverse environmental effects – new

diseases" Social effects (weaponization, drugs)" Deforestation" Burden on limited social services

FATA

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1. Administrative reforms

2. Judicial reforms

3. Social reforms

4. Financial reforms

5. Law enforcement reforms

Reforms agenda for integration of FATA with rest of the country

REFORMSFATA

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Priority Areas•Investment in physical and social infrastructure •Extension of education & health facilities to inaccessible areas•Population welfare facilities introduced in 167 centers•Conservation of bio-diversity•Introduction of improved variety of non-traditional crops•Survey of 12 small dams by NESPAK•Opening of new areas and introduction of scientific methods in mining•Gender sensitization – institutional support

FATA

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Future InterventionsFuture Interventions! Expansion in health and education facilities ! Free text books & uniforms for all girls! Clean drinking water ---“ a tap in every house”! Waste management (sanitation)! Road infrastructure (farm to market & district

roads)! Agriculture and irrigation (storage & distribution)! Development of hydel power (including feasibility

studies)! Micro credit, particularly in rural areas! Border area development --- “parity with NWFP”

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Thank Thank YouYou