Pages de Kirzner Essays on Capital and Interest

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Essay 1. Introduction The republication of the three essays which make up the body of this book offers an opportunity to place these papers in the context of more widely known twentieth-century developments in the area of capital and interest theory. As the sub-title of this book announces, each of these papers was written in the spirit of the Austrian tradition in economics, and specificalIy in order to clarify and develop what 1 have understood to be the Misesian position on these issues. The first of the three essays (Essay 2 in this book) was published in 1966, and dealt only with capital theory. Mises was still alive and active at that time, and he reviewed the essay before its publica- tion. The second essay, published in 1976 (Essay 3 in this book) bad been written in 1974 as a contribution to a symposium on the economics of _ Ludwi, von Mises, who bad died about a year earlier; the essay covered Wises's views on both capital and interest The third essay (published in 1993) bad been written in the late 19808 in an attempt to clarify (as much for myself as for others) what Mises (and of course Fetter) could possibly have meant by a theory of interest which recognized only time preference as the root cause of the phenomenon of interest, with what seems to be DO recognition at all for any productivity-of-capital element in causin, the interest phenomenon. At the time the first of these three essays was written the Austrian tradition was widely perceived as havin, long died out The subjectivist concerns which inspired that essay wac a1Dlost invariably brushed uide in the profes- sion generally as, at best, purist worries holding only trivial implications for economic theory, let alone policy. By the time the third essay was published, Austrian subjectivism had. in a resurgence quite remarkable in the history of economic thought, once a,ain captuted the attention of tnaDY (especially yo-.nger) economists. The insights of Ludwi, von Mises are today no longer dismissed as old-fashioned economic philosophizin, (or wone). It is now recopized that the methodological tenets which have shaped the course of mid-twontieth-centur)' neoc1as&ical economics have diverted the attention of ecoaomists from by insights which are essential for \IJ1derstanding the way in which ecoaoDlies in fact work. A number of these insights· durin, the pe$l two decades, been rediscovered in the work: of Mises and the Austrian tradition (includin" particularly, the contributions of Friedrich Hayek).

Transcript of Pages de Kirzner Essays on Capital and Interest

Page 1: Pages de Kirzner Essays on Capital and Interest

Essay 1. Introduction

The republication of the three essays which make up the body of this bookoffers an opportunity to place these papers in the context of more widelyknown twentieth-century developments in the area of capital and interesttheory. As the sub-title of this book announces, each of these papers waswritten in the spirit of the Austrian tradition in economics, and specificalIyin order to clarify and develop what 1 have understood to be the Misesianposition on these issues. The first of the three essays (Essay 2 in this book)was published in 1966, and dealt only with capital theory. Mises was stillalive and active at that time, and he reviewed the essay before its publica­tion. The second essay, published in 1976 (Essay 3 in this book) bad beenwritten in 1974 as a contribution to a symposium on the economics of

_ Ludwi, von Mises, who bad died about a year earlier; the essay coveredWises's views on both capital and interest The third essay (published in1993) bad been written in the late 19808 in an attempt to clarify (as muchfor myself as for others) what Mises (and ofcourse Fetter) could possiblyhave meant by a theory of interest which recognized only time preferenceas the root cause of the phenomenon of interest, with what seems to be DO

recognition at all for any productivity-of-capital element in causin, theinterest phenomenon.

At the time the first of these three essays was written the Austrian traditionwas widely perceived as havin, long died out The subjectivist concernswhich inspired that essay wac a1Dlost invariably brushed uide in the profes­sion generally as, at best, purist worries holding only trivial implications foreconomic theory, let alone policy. By the time the third essay was published,Austrian subjectivism had. in a resurgence quite remarkable in the history ofeconomic thought, once a,ain captuted the attention of tnaDY (especiallyyo-.nger) economists. The insights of Ludwi, von Mises are today no longerdismissed as old-fashioned economic philosophizin, (or wone). It is nowrecopized that the methodological tenets which have shaped the course ofmid-twontieth-centur)' neoc1as&ical economics have diverted the attention ofecoaomists from by insights which are essential for \IJ1derstanding the wayin which ecoaoDlies in fact work. A number of these insights· hav~, durin, thepe$l two decades, been rediscovered in the work: of Mises and the Austriantradition (includin" particularly, the contributions ofFriedrich Hayek).

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2 Essays on capit4l and interest: an AIUIrian perspective

For the most part, the rediscovery of Misesian subjectivism bas tended toilluminate modem Austrian understanding of the market process, withoutregard to intertcmporal considerations. Relatively little modem Austrian at­tention bas been paid to further developing Misesian insights into the role ofcapital in the full market process, and into the theory of interest. I (A gooddeal of recent attention has of course been paid to refining and restating theHayekian theory of the business cycle. And certainly this theory is deeplyembedded in BOhm-Bawerkian capital-theoretic insights. However, a fairlystrong case can be made that when Hayek developed that theory at the end ofthe 19205 from the sketched outline offered many years earlier by Milos, hewas not yet as fully alive to the subjectivism of Misea's general approach ashe was later to become. It is this which, for this writer, explainl why therecent Austrian work on Hayekian cycle theory seems,on the whole, to fail todraw on the subjectivist, Misesian, tradition which the contemporary Aus­trian resurgence has done so much to revive.) So the Misesian approach toproblems of capital and interest developed in the essays in this book may beable to make a contribution to that broader, subjectivist understanding ofeconomic processes and relationships which is emerging from the contempo­rary revival of the Austrian tradition in economic thought.

During the second half of the twentieth century (that is, the period siocethe publication of Mises's Human Action) a number of developments in thetreatment of capital and interest problems occurred; of course, outlide Aus­trian economics. In particular a celebrated 'grand debate' arose (mainly dur­ing the 196Os) between the defenders of neoclassical orthodoxy in the theoryof capitalist distribution, and the radical critics of that theory (the latter oftenidentified as the Italian-Cambridge School- the Cambridge beiDa, of course,the UK Cambridge),2 In this debate, with its unmistakably ideological over­tones,3 the neoclassical defenders were largely relying on Irving Fisher'stheory of interest with its related framework of capital theory, a framework inwhich productivity elements were prominently present. The Austrian (that is,the Bobm..Bawerkian) roots of this neoclassical framework were to someextent recognized in that debate. What was not recognized at all was that thatneoclassical 'Austrian' framework was by no means the only intellectualprogeny of BOIun-Bawerk's seminal work 00 capital and interest. Alongsidethe better known Fisherine development of BObm-Bawerkian doctrine thereemerged an entirely separate filiation ofAustrian ideas in regard. especially,to the theory of interest. This tradition emerged particularly in·the JMU'C time­preference theory ,of interest espoused by Fetter and later Mises. While thissecond Austrian tradition, too, derived in large part from B6Iun-Bawerk, itsmore consistent subjectivism seems attributable also to more SODSitive appre.­ciation of the Mengerian legacy. We shall argue below that the failure of thetwo sides in the above 'grand debate' to recognize the existence and rel-

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THE MENGERIAN LEGACY

ovance of a third option - the more subjective version of Austrian theory ­rendered that debate both incomplete and inconclusive.

For the Austrian tradition subjectivism was, of course, the key, revolutionary,insight. The classical economists had attributed the regularities governingeconomic phenomena to the objective pbysical and biological conditionsunder which societies exist. The Austrians, on the other band, found theseresuJarities to have their roots in the valuations and the decisions of actingbuman beiDgS~ For other marginalist scbools ofeconomic thought in the post­1870 era, economic regularities reflected the interplay of both the objectivephysical conditions governing production and supply and the subjective pref­erences underlying consumer demand. The Mengerian v.icw, bowever, rel­egated the objective conditions governing production to the passive back­ground upon which the actions of purposeful buman beings impinged. Whatactively shaped subsequent economic phenomena was seen to be only theactions of sucb purposeful human beings. This way of seeing the economicprocess was expressed perhaps most clearly in Menger's well-known concep­tion of 'orders' .of productive factors.

Goods which confer utility directly to the consumer are 'goods of lowestorder'; resources which produce consumer goods are 'goods of higher order'(in an ascending ranking whicb treats the resources most remote from thefinally consumed good as goods of highest order). For Menger the signifi­cance, the economic value, attached to productive factors was perceived as

. being derived not directly from the objective productive potential, of thosefactors, but strictly from the resulting valuations which consumers (or theirsurrogates, the entrepreneurs) place upon them as being useful in promotingconsumption utility.

It is not difficult to see bow this Mengerian refusal to accord intrinsicimportance to the productivity of resources carries implications (not onlyfor the theory of value, in which these implications have been recognizedfrom the beginning, but also) for the theory of capital. In exactly the sameway as Austrian value theory had no place for 'cost of production' as anindependent explanatory element (coordinate with 'consumer utility') inthe causation of economic value, a Mengerian capital and interest theorycould bave no place for the productivity of capital as an independent ex­planatory element in accOUQting for the structure ofprices (including, espe­cially, the phenomenon ofinterest). All prices, including interest. are broughtabout strictly by the actions expressing the valuations of purposeful humanbeings.

3Introduction

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4 Essays on capital and inUrest: an Austrian perspective

This implication of the Mengerian legacy was in large part lost sight of inBtihm-Bawerk's theory. In his monumental exploration into the role of timein production, and in the resulting development of his theory of capital IDdinterest. Btihm-Bawerk seented unable to avoid permitting the physical pr0­ductivity of roundaboutncss (or of time, or of waiting) to play an independ­ently explanatory role in accounting for the phenomenon of DUU'kct interest.So that subsequent interest theorists (particularly Irving Fisher) caIJ1e todevelop 'Austrian' theories of interest which could hardly be consideredMengerian. Fisher's theory (and thus the mainstreaJn of subsequent the0riz­ing on capital and interest) has been considered Austrian in that it fonowedBtihm-Bawerk in emphasizing the role of time (both in enhancing theproductivity of other resources and - through tiDlC-preferencc considerations- in shaping consumer decisions). But that theory must be considered asinconsistent with the fundamental MengerilD insight in that it treats theproductivity of waiting as an independent explanatory clement in accountingfor the phenomenon of market interest.

It was thus Mises, in his 1940 NationaUJlwnomie rediscovery and furtherdevelopment ofFetter's pure time-preference theory of interest, who was torefine Btihm-Bawcrltian theory and redirect it along Mengerian lines. In hisslashing review article on Mises's book, Knight (1941) perceptively !'CCOI­nized this - and saw it as grounds for dismissing Mises's endre approach tothe theory ofcapital and interest. In other words, Knight was attacking Misesnot oDIy because he was, like B6hm-Bawerk and Fisher, cmphasizing the roleof time in production (whereas for Knight the foundation of wisdom in thisarea consists in recognizing that 'in a stationary ceooomy, all production andconsumption arc strictly simultaneous; the waiting period is zero; there isnone': ibid., p 420). Rather, he was attacking Mises for his 'original andnaive or absolute "AustrianiSDl'" (ibid., p. 422) - by which be apparentlymeant Miscs's MengerilDiSDl. (This reading of Knight's attaelc is reinforcedby his own explicit rejection ofMiscs's frequent and favourable referencos toMenger's conception of the 'order' of goods. On Knight's sweepingly dis­missive attitude to this conception of Menger's, sec also his highly criticalintroduction to the 1950 Englisb edition ofMenger's 1871 Gl1IlUbl!Jze (p. 25).)For Knight, Miscs's cardinal sin was not so much his CDlphasis on the role oftime per se, as his denial ofprimary explanatory significance to the objectiveproductivity of time.

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Introduction

MENGERIAN AUSTRIANISM AND THE CAMBRIDGECONTROVERSY

s

As indicated earlier, we wish in this Introduction to draw attention to acertain incompleteness surrounding the Cambridge controversy. In thatcontroversy mainstream neoclassical theory was under relentless attack byeconomists seeking to reverse the marginalist revolution and to return to theclassical perspective. The critics, especially in so far as they were followingSratfa (1960), argued for an economics in which the objective conditions ofproduction determine economic events, with virtually no role assigned toconsumer demand. We wish to emphasize that what was overlooked in thatdebate was the existence of a third theoretical approach (a 'Mengerian'approach) to capital and interest issues, in which the entire explanatoryburden is assigned to consumer valuations. Our task in developing this criti­cal observation regarding the Cambridge controversy is complicated by thefact that the ideological component of that controversy seems at first glanceto place the mainstream neoclassical position squarely in Mengerian territory.In order to avoid confusion, therefore, it is necessary briefly to review thisideological element in the controversy.

Prom the Cambridge (UK) perspective, the error of mainstream neoclassi­cal capital and interest theory consists in its explanation of distribution asbeing determined by the conditions of supply and demand. Given consumerpreferences, resource availabilities and technological possibilities, the shareof output goin, to capitalists as interest ipeome is determined.through theinterplay of consequent supply and demand conditions. A different level ofinterest income would generate a suboptimal level of capital use: eitherconsumers would be denied current consumption enjoyments without thejustification of sufficiently worthwhile later increase in output, or else theywould be enjoying current consumption at the cost of available, and pre­ferred, later production (which might have been achieved through the mainte­nance of a higher level of capital 11SC). ne ideological element in the main­stream approach here being attacked is thus the 'consumer sovereignty' claimbeld to be implicit in that approach. The Cambridge (UK) critics, denying thesupply-and-demand determination of income distribution under capitalism,were denying that capitalist income shares benignly express (and eater to thesatisfaction of) the preferences of the consuming public.

Now, the doctrine of consumer sovereignty appears closely tied to theMengerian insights mentioned above. It was Menger who emphasized thatthe entire structure of prices (and thus factor incomes) is to be attributed toconswner preferences and valuations.·Certainly, the Austrian development ofthe theory of the market saw market pricCs of both consumer goods andfactor services as the expression of the relative valuations held by consumers.

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6 Essays on capital ondinterest: an Austrian perspective

Yet, as indicated above, wesball maintain that the mainstream neoclassicaltheory under Cambridge attack can in no way be identified as Mengcrian.

For the Cambridge critics the objectionable character ofneoclassical theoryarises out of its identifying interest as the additional value generated byproductive capital. It is this feature of the theory which provides justificationfor the incomes enjoyed by capitalists: they are merely enjoying the value ofwhat their capital has created for consumers. But what we have called theMengerian (that is, the Menger-inspired) theory of capital and interest ex­pounded by Mises in his 1940 book, emphatically rejects the interpretation ofinterest as a value of marginal product For Miscs's pure time preferencetheory (as for Fetter's ~ory), capital productivity is neither a necessary nora sufficient cause for interest. Interest is seen not as the value of any addi­tional product but as expressing the difference between the valuations of agiven prospective receipt by a consumer, made at different earlier dates. SoMises's theory of interest cannot possibly incur Cantabrigian wrath on ac­count of its identifying interest with additionally produced product. In regardto this specific issue the 'extreme' Austrianism of the pure time preferencetheory seems in fact to coincide substantially with the view of the Cambridgecritics. Yet. in regard to the genercd 'ideological' bone of contention betweenthe neoclassical and the Italian-CambridBe school. the Misesian theory mustcertainly be seen by the latter school as an enemy. Indeed. this Misesiantheory depends. far more radically than does the mainstream neoclassicalview. upon the key Mengerian insight (that incomes reflect consumer evalua­tion of the productive contributions of resources).. That this is the case is seen immediately from the basis upon which the

pure time-preference theory rejects all productivity theories ofinterest. Thatbasis is in fact precisely the Austrian insight into the relationship betweenfactor-service values and the value of output. All final output, Fetter (follow­ing BOhm-Bawerk) had argued, must be swept back by the market process tothe original factors of production from which that output proceeded. (That is,the market values of the original factors can be relied upon to tend to refleCtthe full value to consumers of final output) If one refuses (as indeedB6hm­Bawerk had himself refuse<f4) to recognize time as a productive resource, thisreasoning must inevitably lead to denial of independent productivity to anybut the origipalfactors of production.

So while the Misesian theory coincides with the Cambridge view at least indenying that interest is a productivity return, it offers to that view an 'ideo­logical' profile which must be fully as unattractive to it as that of the main- .stream neoclassical view. For the pure time-preference perspective, interestemerges in intertemporal exchanges in which freel, intetaCting matkct par­tici\lat\ts u\ltCSS their \ltos~ve relative VablaUQDi o{ttee\\l\Sf'~ otdifteteDt dates. Interest income so received is an entirely defensible ret\ectiou

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SUBJECI1VISM, RESWITCHING PARADOXES AND ALLTHAT

If capital is an input into production whose value measures its quaotity and whosemarginal product decreases with its quantity, and if the rate of interest is propor­tional to the marginal product of capital. then the rate of interest and the value ofcapital must be inversely related. How can one regard capital as a factor ofproduction if ... firms find it profitable to use leu capital when its price (the rateof interest) declines? When an input becomes cheaper one should expect firms tofind it profitable to use relatively more of it Something is drastically awry.(~num, 198I,p.76)

of consumer sovereignty (in regard to the intertemporal allocation ofutilities).S

It is this third alternative (to both the Cambridge-classical approach andthe mainstream neoclassical appr~h) which was, unfortunately, entirelyoverlooked throughout the course of the Cambridge debate. Confusion in thisregard seems to have been compounded due to the circumstance thlJ,t themainstream neoclassical view itself was partly derived, as we have seen, fromAustrian intellectual roots (in the BOhm-Bawerkian theory).' Let us turn toexamine some of the radically subjectivist (and thus certainly Austrian) as­pects of the Misesian approach, and to observe how this subjectivism rendersthis approach invulnerable to the powerful criticisms levelled from Cambridge(UK) against the mainstream neoclassical view.

7Introduction

In the course of the Cambridge debate it was the reswitching and capitalreversal paradoxes which cast the deepest shadow upon the mainstream neo­classical theory of distribution. Yet, as we shall see, these paradoxes presentno problem at all for the explanation of interest contained in the Misesiantheory of capital and interest

The problem posed for the neoclassical theory by the phenomenon of'capital reversal' is well known. Capital reversal occurs when a change in therate of interest is associated with a seemingly 'perverse' change in adoptedproduction technique - for example, when a reduction in the interest rateimplies a switch to 'the less, not the more, time-consuming, or roundabout orcapital-intensive technique' (Yeager, 1976, p. 313). That capital reversal is atleast theoretically possible was conceded by major exponents of the neoclas­sical position in the 19605 (Samuelson, 1966; Ferguson, 1969, pp. xv, 265f,2691). That this concession implies serious difficulties for the neoclassicalview of interest as the supply-and-demand price of a productive service, hasbeen emphasized by many writers:

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8 Essays on capillll and interest: an Austrian perspective

Capital reversal erodes the notion of a demand curve for capital and thus theview of interest as a 'true scarcity price' (introduction to Capital and Growth,ed. a.c. Harcourt and N.F. Laing, Penguin Books, 1971, p. 23).

For our purposes it is worthwhile to underscore the fact that these difficultiesin the neoclassical position arise entirely from its view that the demand curvefor capital (or time, or waiting, or roundaboutness) expresses the demand forthe productive services ofcapital (or of time, etc.). It is only because the rate ofinterest is seen, in the neoclassical view, as an index of the scarcity of theseproductive services that the possibility of capital reversal appears to play havocwith the notion of a well-behaved, dOWDwanl-sloping demand curve playing aconventional role in the market determination of the interest price. From theperspective of a Misesian, pure time-preference approach to interest, therefore,a demonstration that a lower rate of interest might make it more profitable toemploy an appatendy less time-consuming tccbnique of production wouldseem to present no direct cballenge. Interest is not offered. in this view, in orderto command the productive services of time; the shape attributed to the curve ofmarginal productivity of time is thus of no relevance to the market causation ofinterest What may be a problem for productivity views of inteJest can create nodifficulty for the pure time-preference view. We must point out, however, thatwhile this argument is correct as far as it goes, it is not, by any means, enoughfor the purposes of such an argument

It may, after all, properly be objected that while. the Misesian theol:yescapes the particular problem posed for productivity theories by the possi­bility of capital reversal, it must none the less confront an altogether paralleldifficulty. Surely a reduction in the rate of interest must, for the PUJe time­preference theory too, be expected to lead to the employment of nwre time­consuming methods of production (even if for reasons that have nothing to dowith the productivity of time). For the pure time-preference theory there arelikely, at any given rate of interest, to exist possible time-con$UlDing proc­esses of production that are not adopted only because the necessary outlays,including interest, are too large to be justified by the prospective futureoUtptlt Surely a reduction in the rate of interest must tend to transform someof these (hitherto 'too long') processes of production from unprofitable toprofitable projects. So a demonstration that a fall in the rate of interest maylead to the adoption of less lengthy processes of production must seem to beas much a puule and an embarrassment for the Misesian view as it was, forother reasons, for the neoclassical view. To see that this objection is in DO

sense damaging to the Misesian view, it is necessary to reconsider the verypossibility of capital reversal in terms of the prospective waiting relevant tothe time-preference of the subjectivist economist

In the literature that applies the capital-reversal notion to the Btihm­Bawerkian temporal context, it is taken for granted that the input-dating

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requirements for a given production process, together with the associateddates of output availability, unambiguously and objectively define the quan­tity of time (or waiting, or the degree of roundaboutness) required for thatprocess. It is then shown, for example, that with given prices of inputs, therelative profitability of one technique as compared with a second dependsupon the rate of interest - with, say, the first technique being more profitablethan the second at the very low rates of interest (say, less than '.) and at veryhigh rates of interest (greater than '2), but less profitable at a range ofintermediate rates of interest. With such a 'reswitehing' situation it is clearthat at one or other of the two switch points (i.e. either at '. or r~ we areconfronted with the paradox that afall in the rate of interest is associated withincreased relative profitability of the technique that calls for less 'waiting'.

But reflection should convince us that the basic premise upon which thisreasoning depends is by no means to be accepted without question. 'Ibispremise is that each technique ofproduction involves a simple, unidimensional'quantity' of time, such that different techniques can be unambiguously 'ob­jectively' ranked as involving greater or lesser quantities of time (or waitin,).In fact, there is no reason at all to accept this premise. The cases that yield thecapital-reversing paradoxes all arise from production processes involvingmore or less complex dating patterns for inputs and outputs. (In a stylizedexample made famous by Samuelson (1966), a given quantity of output canbe obtained in year 4 from one technique that calls for the input of two unitsof labour in year I, and six units of labour in year 3; or alternatively by asecond technique of production calling only for the input of seven units oflabour in year 2.) It appears obviously mistaken (or at least to involve anarbitrary and possibly misleading oversimplification) to wish to collapse thepossibly incommensurable quantities of time associated with individuallydated input components of a given complex production technique into asingle simple unidimensional quantity of time. The fact that economists eversince BObm-Bawerk: have argued about the 'correct' formula through whichto square this particular circle, should not mislead us into failure to recognizethat such a task can bafdly be anything but an arbitrary 'simplifying' under­taking.

The truth is, surely. that with positive subjective time-preference assumed.we simply cannot entertain the possibility that, with rupeet to a given quan­tity ofphysical ilJputa a decision-maker might, merely as a result ofa decreasein the rate of interest (that be must pay for the use of borrowed funds withwhich to advance payment for the input). choose to assign that input to ashorte, time-consuming process of production. If then we find that, as inter­est falls from very high levels to below '2' technique A is replaced bytechnique B, while when interest continues to fall even lower and reachesbelow'., technique B is replaced, in turn. by technique A (which bad been

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preferred at very high rates of interest), we should not, surely, conclude thatat one of these two switch points the reduction in interest bas perverselybrought a change to a less time-consuming technique. Rather, we shouldunderstand that comparing the complex, multidimensional waiting require-­ments for different techniques simply does not permil us to pronounce thatone technique involves unambiguously less waiting than a second technique.(In the case of the Samuelson example, for instance, the one techniqueinvolves a long wait for the marginal output of the two units of labour and ashort wait for the output of the six units, while the second technique involvesan intermediate wait for the output of seven units of labour. 'There is no need- and there need not be in fact any way - to rank the two techniques in termsof their overall waiting requirements.) They involve different paUems ofwaiting, such that both very low and very high rates of interest might maketechnique A seem the more profitable, while at intermediate rates it is tech­nique B that is the more profitable. There is nothiRg perverse ~ut this,unless one mistakenly insists that one or other of these techniques involvesthe greater.quantity of time, or of waiting.7

It is altogether understandable that theorists who attach significance to theproductivity of roundaboutness (or of time, or of waiting) do feel it necessaryto insist on being able, in principle, to rank different techniques in tenDs ofthe 'objective' quantities of waiting dleY respoctively involve. After "all, iftime, or waiting, is being treated as a factor of production, it seems reason­able to ask which of the two techniques calls for use of the srcater quantity oftbisadditional 'resource'. Wh8t should be emphasized is that, from thesubjectivist Misesian pure time-preference perspective, there is absolutely noneed to assume any possibility for such unambiguous. ranking. In this per­spective, time is simply not viewed as an 'objective' (or any other idnd ot)input. A technique of production calls for a specific paUern of dating for itsinputs, thus confronting the producer with a correspondingly complex patternof prospective delays before the output is to be forthcoming. Different tech­niques involve different patterns of prospective delay; that is all.

COMPLETE AND INCOMPLETE SUBJECI'lVISM IN THETHEORY OF CAPITAL AND INTEREST

From the perspective of late twentielh-century Austrianism, therefore, theMisesian vision of a capital-using economy offers a retie$bingly consistentsubjectivist approach. In this respect it can be seen, certainly, as building onfoundations set by B6hm-BawC1'k, but also as redirecting the B6hm-Bawmiuproject towards more thoroughly subjectivist insigbts. There can be littledoubt that Bobm-Bawerk's original contribution to capital and interest theory

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11

injected a most wholesome dose of subjectivism into that area. For B6hm­Bawerk himself, as noticed above, time was not treated as an objective input;it was treated primarily as the central element in the subjectivist notion oftime-preference. Yet the ambiguities itt B6bm-Bawerk's treatment pointedtoward a Fisherine neoclassical theory of interest which would be, on theother hand, more elegant, more consistent and more complete than B6hm­Bawerk's, yet at the same time. quite naturally, cast in a mould in whichobjective productivity elements were fully as independently important as thesubjective time-preference elements. Moreover, the B6hm-Bawerkian con­cept of the capital structure ofan economy, which became so important in theAustrian (that is, the Hayekian) theory of the cycle, lent itself to an interpre­tation which focused more on the objective qualities and durabilities ofphysical things than on the expectations and goals embodied in individualplans.

Such an incomplete subjectivism carries with it the danger of coming tosee the future course of production as inexorably shaped by the present sizeand shape of the capital stock, as if that stock itself (rather than the possiblyfaulty set of plans which brought it into being) governed the course ofevents.The clarity of the Misesian vision made it no longer possible to fall into sucherror. That vision deepened the Austrian understanding of the market economyby extending Mongerian subj~vism to encompau m1l1tiperiod planning forproduction and intertemporal market exchanges. Each of the essays in thislittle book was intended as an attempt at exposition··.and clarification of thisconsistently subjective approach to the problems ofcapital and interest. Theirrepublication together here has been undertaken in the hope that they canbetter achieve this purpose during the years ahead, in the form of this newlyreconstructed intellectual capital good.

Noms1. For an example of~ ItteDlion to aub,jectiviat theory in dlc area of capital and iacereat

problema, see GaniaOIl (1985).2. The term 'J1'BD4 dcbIIe' Wall appJicd by LudwiJ Laehmlu (1973a). An ICCOUIIt of dlc

debeIe from a )lIOt8Iooiat of dlc Carobridp (UK) side i, giwaia IfamJurt (1972). An.ueumoot from the other IitIcI$ ptOVided by BIllUI (1974).

3. For. COQlIIlC:at oa the ideoJoPcal overtoDa of dlc cleblte, see Solow (1915).4. OIl dais point see BlSbJn..Bawerk (1959b, pp. 97f; 1959c, p. 196).5. OR this ,obit. see dlc m.e-ioa towanls dlc eoncJusioa ofBlsay 4 below.6. Por a lrCaUDllDt of the IIJ8ias&RlluD aeoclauical theory ofcapitel and iatelat wbicb empha­

sizes its AutriaD roots, see H....1IlIll (1981, pp. 37ft).7. Somethiaa siJuiJar to die reesotliaI ia the text~ to have beca tile iDtuitive fouDcIIrioR

for Professor LeIaa4 Yaaet'. cxIlauti¥o _lucid diIeuaiOD of tile Daves (Yaaet, 1976,1979).YeepI' soqht to diJsoIve the c:apitI1 PlIl*Io- by iasistiq that 'waitiq' should DOtbe measQRd ia physical cIocIt-bour terms; l'lItbec. that 'tile amount of it Itq1JUed in a

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12 Euay.r 011 C4piIal and #nttJrut: an Au.rtrianJ'R"P"tiH

pbylically apedfied procJucdOll JlRlC8'I doeI cIepeIad pIdIy 011 kI OWl prico.' <Y.......1976, p. 345). In this way Yeqcr ..... that, 1IfIP1Opri4lc1y IMUIIml in tmIU 0/ ",.,.l4wutt 1'$1 01 intI,.,t, low- iJltenIt I1IteI do alway. ··1tiaauJate the use of teeJIIIiqueIinvolviag 'JIlOl'C' wailin,. But the point made bere in the lC.It doeInot revolve arouad thepetticuJat meaauremeat tochaiqae to be used iD tDD8I'1riDI waitiJII. btbet, we arpe IbattbeIe is DO need (ud IQIlY well be DO way) to~ weitiq, for the relatively COIIlP1i­eated produotiOil CIIOI in wbich the ftlllwitdliD& ud CIPilal-reveRl1 pandoua have dleirhabitat. (See 1110 IfauImID, 1981, p.79, for a critique of the partic:aIIr~technique IIICd by Yeqcr iD nlIOlvia. tbeIe )JlIrlIdouI.)