Page 1 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2017Total Register (Weighte ed to Past vote UnW d) Voting...

UnWgtLikelihoodTotalTotalSocial ClassAgeGenderto vote(Weighted)

Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)

(10)ANDAlwaysAbsol9/10usually

Would NOT-utelylike-dependsTotalC2DEABC1DEC2C1AB75+65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-2455+35-5418-34FemaleMalevote(9 to 10)(8 to 10)(7 to 10)(6 to 10)certainlihood(Q20)

104648656024124531624417836719014112414183557265224493553349279569689808828909581046Unweighted Total

1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

8983754931981772442498520013614514014110733528524842244711781814828836734734787868Total Voting

370129220567310211955124725535362819690641671825326331338340312318336350Conservative41%34%45%28%41%42%48%65%62%53%38%25%26%26%s58%32%26%40%41%44%s42%41%41%41%42%43%43%40%

375183191108751019022504265728066921371462021723341357359364317308326375Labour42%49%39%55%43%42%36%26%25%31%45%51%57%62%s27%48%59%48%39%30%s44%44%43%44%43%42%41%43%

772451101420324159721168242823274925762666752546875Liberal Democrats (Lib9%6%10%5%8%8%13%5%8%6%5%15%11%7%s7%10%9%6%11%23%s7%8%8%8%7%7%9%9%Dem)

3215138785133974161651413-2326262623222227Scottish Nationalist4%4%3%4%4%3%2%2%2%2%6%5%3%1%s2%6%2%3%3%-s3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

4212--1-11-2--22-*3-33332223Plaid Cymru*1%*1%--*-*1%-1%--s*1%-*1%-s********

17674252125113272567-1212121311121313Green Party2%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%4%*1%2%1%s2%1%2%1%2%-s2%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%

18139959-14573*38103418*1618191915151822UKIP2%4%2%4%3%4%-1%2%3%5%2%*3%s3%4%1%1%4%3%s2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%

----------------------------British National Party--------------s------s--------

5312111-1-1-2-11222-34443344Other1%1%*1%1%**-1%-1%-1%-s**1%*1%-s******1%*

-5-5429-52-2*29347529-10-37-44-38104-47-82-35102-15-26-21-24-61010-25"Conservative Lead over-1%-14%6%-26%-1%*12%39%37%22%-7%-26%-31%-36%s31%-16%-33%-8%2%14%s-2%-3%-3%-3%-1%1%1%-3%Labour"

513831211721103781319176153223462423540404534314970Undecided5%8%6%8%8%7%4%3%3%5%7%11%9%5%s4%9%8%9%5%4%s4%4%4%5%4%4%5%7%

282417111399573154931019122813361112111241Would not vote3%5%3%4%6%3%3%4%3%2%8%3%5%3%s3%5%4%5%3%74%s******1%4%

5726261881710142451121012913113418-5050525244505152Refused5%6%5%7%4%6%3%13%10%3%6%1%5%1%s7%4%4%6%4%-s6%5%6%6%5%6%6%5%

4616--1---*132-1533-77777777Don't know*1%*2%--*---*1%2%2%s-*2%1%1%-s1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

512*111***12--13-21*33333333Will vote for another***********1%--s*1%-***s********party but don't know

which

Page 1

Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2017

Table 1

Q/V.1A/1B Combined Voting Intention

Base : All

Fieldwork dates : 30th to 1st June 2017Respondent Type : GB Adults, General Public 18+ - TelephoneSource : Ipsos MORI J16-086951-01 *=Less than 0.5%s=Where unweighted base sizes smaller than 100, please note results are indicative only

Our long term political and social trends have been collected over the last 30+ years and are unrivalled amongst polling organisations: http://www.ipsos-mori.com/politicaltrends

RegisterTotalUnWPast voteed to(WeighteTot.Qualifications(2015 General Election)GOR RegionsTenureWork sectorGovernmentWorking statusVoteVotingd)

NotOtherNoTotalfull-qualifqualifGreaNorthownerOwnedDis-time/Not

--Eng--terMid-excl.occupTotalSocialPrivateout-MortsatisSatisworkFull-Degree +icationsicationsUKIPLDLabConScotlandLondonSouthlandsScotNorth-ierrenterrenterrenterrightgagePrivatePublic-fied-fiedingtimeYesNot LabNot ConLDLabCon


1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

8982514231765366243295787461163082802032815533011071943012523689346034347139784549451975375350868Total Voting

3708917382311018255173145313811481972697525511551141462861272202147346350---350350Conservative41%35%41%46%59%s15%s7%86%21%42%45%45%41%40%35%49%25%23%26%52%45%40%30%13%79%43%37%41%71%--s-100%40%

3751011957252221019273264610813011013720016868101991001504929942204171363-375-375-375Labour42%40%46%41%10%s33%s86%6%35%44%39%35%46%54%49%36%56%63%52%33%40%41%52%65%12%43%43%43%-72%-s100%-43%

773425121311315669154121712453162523224384816264971757575--75Liberal Democrats (Lib9%14%6%7%2%s47%s5%5%7%9%13%13%8%3%4%8%10%5%13%8%9%12%9%10%5%6%12%8%15%14%100%s--9%Dem)

3211131-**-27-----272161511101152431512252727---27Scottish Nationalist4%5%3%1%-s*s*-35%-----10%4%2%1%3%4%4%3%5%5%1%3%3%3%6%5%-s--3%

43-*--*-----3--12*21-2*1112233---3Plaid Cymru*1%-*-s-s*-----1%--*1%*1%*-*******1%1%-s--*

177421213-13210*3385-5627210257121313---13Green Party2%3%1%1%1%s3%s1%1%-2%2%3%*1%1%1%2%-3%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%3%2%-s--1%

18313615--2-21-9111191275548*166148212222---22UKIP2%1%3%3%28%s-s-1%-3%-3%4%1%*2%4%6%3%2%1%2%*3%2%3%2%2%4%4%-s--3%

----------------------------------British National Party-----s-s-------------------------s---

531-*1111311-13221111111231444---4Other1%1%*-1%s1%s**2%*1%*-1%1%*1%1%1%***1%*1%1%**1%1%-s--*

-5-12-211026-12-193236-10-12730-15-29-3969-93-43-505613-4-20-239230-1-24-17350-3750-375350-25"Conservative Lead over-1%-5%-5%5%49%s-18%s-79%80%-13%-2%6%10%-6%-14%-14%13%-31%-40%-26%19%5%-1%-22%-52%67%*-6%-2%71%-72%0%s-100%100%-3%Labour"

511229271757154661430142226432771911323523724343563-----70Undecided5%4%6%11%23%s6%s3%5%4%7%10%8%4%9%8%7%7%5%8%3%11%8%2%7%6%6%7%6%---s--7%

2892391225234113179112615782151142114291324-----41Would not vote3%3%5%4%1%s2%s1%1%2%4%1%3%5%4%3%4%4%5%4%6%2%3%3%4%4%5%3%2%---s--4%

571217231385546924121217322012820111333313331952-----52Refused5%4%3%10%1%s3%s3%2%5%5%6%6%4%5%5%5%5%9%3%6%4%3%3%6%3%6%4%5%---s--5%

4*521---25---5716321-3133253-----7Don't know**1%1%2%s-s--2%1%---2%2%*2%3%1%*-1%1%1%1%*1%*---s--1%

511*-1-*-3131--3---13122*223-----3Will vote for another*1%**-s1%s-*-*1%1%*--1%---*1%*2%*****---s--*party but don't know

which

Page 2


Table 2


Base : All




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)



8833944891912032742151593321671189710960499215169414469-883883883883846883883883Unweighted Total

70727736815212519217778176111121929057286213146329317-645645645645620645645645Weighted Total

63024233012611616916164151101106827854253188132284288-572572572572552572572572Total Voting

2789416142527686449953422522151526737127129-256256256256246256256256Conservative44%39%49%33%45%45%53%70%65%53%40%31%s28%28%s60%36%28%45%45%-s45%45%45%45%45%45%45%45%

2501081246245685614353244434335668778124107-231231231231223231231231Labour40%44%37%49%39%40%35%21%23%31%41%53%s55%65%s26%46%59%44%37%-s40%40%40%40%40%40%40%40%

5318258101213311569921615111825-4242424240424242Liberal Democrats (Lib8%7%8%6%8%7%8%5%7%5%6%11%s12%4%s6%8%9%6%9%-s7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%Dem)

231084644133832-5102810-1818181818181818Scottish Nationalist4%4%2%3%5%3%2%2%2%3%7%3%s3%-s2%5%2%3%3%-s3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

3*1*--1-11----1--*1-11111111Plaid Cymru****--1%-*1%--s--s1%--**-s********

11453132114112151345-99999999Green Party2%2%2%2%1%2%1%1%1%4%1%1%s2%2%s2%1%2%1%2%-s2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

1085625-12451**661310-1313131312131313UKIP2%3%2%5%1%3%-1%1%4%5%1%s*1%s2%3%*1%3%-s2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

----------------------------British National Party------------s--s------s--------

3111-*1-1-1-1-111*2-22222222Other1%1%*1%-**-1%-1%-s1%-s****1%-s********

28-1338-207830316421-2-18-21-2085-20-4122202424242423242424"Conservative Lead over5%-6%11%-16%6%5%18%48%42%21%-2%-22%s-27%-37%s34%-11%-31%1%8%0%s4%4%4%4%4%4%4%4%Labour"

259155310524644511086159-2424242424242424Undecided3%3%3%3%2%4%2%2%2%4%3%4%s4%1%s3%3%3%4%2%-s3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

11--1------1---1--1-11111111Would not vote**--*------1%s--s-*--*-s********

44192115513812203817123982713-4040404036404040Refused5%6%4%8%3%5%3%13%9%3%6%1%s5%1%s7%4%4%6%3%-s5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%

2212--1---*1-1-11-2-22222222Don't know***1%--*---*1%s-2%s-*1%-1%-s********

211*1-1**-11--*2-11-22222222Will vote for another*****-***-*1%s--s*1%-**-s********party but don't know

which

23-3------21---3-13-33333333Not stated*1%-2%------1%1%s--s-1%-*1%-s********

Page 3


Registered to voteTable 3


Base : All 9/10 certain to vote, and always/usually vote/it depends (at Q20 General Election vote frequency) with turnout overclaim adjustment.







70718130514743471872385855387237201149207433204771272411922516835425037227464534432042231256645Weighted Total

63016527911939411742245248875203186132184387179641152181692266130823133024257234131742231256572Total Voting

278671216324813197132273899846073201521736116851012143201155101256256---256256Conservative44%40%43%53%62%s19%s7%88%25%s47%50%49%45%46%40%52%29%26%31%53%50%45%35%14%87%47%42%45%75%--s-100%45%

2506312343415149141620029707966821329538586962892919817131100231-231-231-231Labour40%38%44%36%11%s37%s86%6%31%s41%38%35%43%50%44%34%53%59%50%32%37%39%48%64%7%40%41%40%-73%-s100%-40%

5317185116108537723132728153121513186354192342424242--42Liberal Democrats (Lib8%10%6%4%2%s38%s6%4%9%s8%9%11%7%2%4%7%8%5%10%7%7%8%10%11%2%6%10%7%12%13%100%s--7%Dem)

23881-**-18-----1814412868217199181818---18Scottish Nationalist4%5%3%1%-s1%s*-34%s-----10%4%2%2%2%4%4%4%4%5%*3%4%3%5%6%-s--3%

31-*--*-----1--1**-1--*111*111---1Plaid Cymru*1%-*-s-s*--s---1%--**1%-*--********-s--*

115221212-927*2263-342517145999---9Green Party2%3%1%1%1%s5%s1%1%-s2%2%3%*2%1%1%2%-3%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%3%3%-s--2%

102749--2-13-38114954314-8493131313---13UKIP2%1%2%3%24%s-s-1%-s3%-2%4%1%1%1%5%7%4%1%*2%-3%2%3%1%2%4%4%-s--2%

----------------------------------British National Party-----s-s---s----------------------s---

32--**11*211-11111-1*1-*221222---2Other1%1%--1%s1%s**1%s*1%*-1%1%**1%-***-*1%1%**1%1%-s--*

284-22020-8-136183-3289284-5-969-43-21-22462312-8-15518423124256-2310-23125624"Conservative Lead over5%2%-1%17%51%s-18%s-78%82%-6%s6%12%14%2%-4%-5%18%-24%-33%-19%21%14%5%-13%-50%80%7%*4%75%-73%0%s-100%100%4%Labour"

2567923510123512666195326131311310111324-----24Undecided3%3%2%5%4%s6%s2%3%1%s3%4%4%2%3%2%4%2%3%1%2%5%4%1%3%3%2%4%3%---s--3%

1-1------1--1--1----11-1--11-----1Would not vote*-*--s-s---s*--*--*----**-*--**---s--*

4491318126443571881014241610617783269271340-----40Refused5%4%3%10%1%s4%s3%1%6%s5%6%6%3%5%5%4%6%10%3%6%3%3%3%6%3%6%4%5%---s--5%

2*111---11---1212-21--12-212-----2Don't know***1%2%s-s--2%s*---1%1%*1%-1%*--1%1%-***---s--*

211*-1---2*11--2----2111*112-----2Will vote for another****-s1%s---s****--*----1%*1%*****---s--*party but don't know

which

2-3---3--3-3-11-313--213113333---3Not stated*-1%--s-s1%--s*-1%-**-1%1%2%--1%1%1%**1%*1%1%-s--*

Page 4


Registered to voteTable 4


Base : All 9/10 certain to vote, and always/usually vote/it depends (at Q20 General Election vote frequency) with turnout overclaim adjustment.




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

34242511131213510514687152014341549------18491 - Absolutely certain3%5%4%4%6%4%5%5%4%3%7%4%4%6%s4%6%5%6%3%100%s------2%5%not to vote

552-511**-222-*4234-------272*1%*-2%****-1%1%1%-s*1%1%1%1%-s------*1%

22-2----1----11-1-2-------123**-1%----1%----*s*-*-*-s------**

4105915---1185-195131-------8154*2%1%4%*2%---*1%5%3%-s*3%2%3%*-s------1%1%

1512575322315333476611-------131751%3%1%3%2%1%1%1%1%*3%2%1%3%s1%2%2%1%2%-s------1%2%

1295545**11412425759----14--41461%2%1%2%2%2%***1%2%*1%4%s1%1%2%1%2%-s---1%--*1%

12963715-*626*2672412---1616--121671%2%1%1%3%*2%-*4%1%3%*2%s2%2%1%1%2%-s--2%2%--1%1%

29201981215413451296717152019--393939--253983%4%3%3%6%5%1%1%1%3%3%7%5%5%s2%5%5%4%4%-s-4%4%4%--3%4%

45173710714232853161651319211737-54545454-39395494%3%6%4%3%5%8%2%3%3%2%9%9%4%s3%5%7%3%7%-s6%6%6%6%-5%4%5%

8823654632021632362279420813015211613488338268222428400-82882882882882879279282810 - Absolutely certain84%77%81%78%75%81%81%88%88%86%81%68%74%74%s87%75%74%80%78%-s94%90%88%87%100%95%87%79%to vote

6252-1423----43-471-------17Don't know1%*1%1%-*1%2%1%----3%s1%-1%1%*-s------*1%

9.388.939.279.008.869.229.339.389.439.458.918.849.028.969.448.889.009.019.241.009.949.869.819.7510.009.959.529.12Mean

Page 5


Table 5

Q.2. And how likely will you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10,where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?

Base : All







1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

349318143854031616131727221210234123192035142986235491 - Absolutely certain3%3%6%4%1%s6%s1%2%5%4%2%4%5%5%5%4%6%9%4%6%1%3%3%3%5%6%3%3%2%1%3%s1%1%5%not to vote

542*-*1--737---522-145-4125743*-172*1%**-s1%s*--1%2%2%---1%*1%-*1%1%-1%**1%1%1%1%1%s-*1%

2--2--1-11--1-1111--1--112-1-2-2-23*--1%-s-s*-1%*--*-****--*--***-*-*-s*-*

4-5108----135518878-816118113215-----154*-1%4%12%s-s---1%4%1%*3%2%1%2%-3%*2%*1%1%*2%*1%---s--1%

152863212215*321012710563410211451214762341751%1%2%3%4%s3%s*1%2%2%*1%1%4%3%1%3%3%3%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%s1%1%2%

121933-15-13-410**954146821036813361521461%*2%1%4%s-s*1%-1%-1%3%**1%1%3%*1%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%s1%*1%

12682-413*151112235101924111110412141274271671%2%2%1%-s5%s*1%*2%**4%1%1%1%3%1%4%1%1%2%1%*3%1%3%1%2%1%5%s*2%1%

29112083177534621851024133108162242712172235172841753983%4%4%3%4%s1%s3%2%5%4%4%5%3%2%3%4%4%2%4%2%5%5%4%5%3%3%5%4%3%5%6%s4%1%4%

452425436914249628168102529523131231321282034462332524155494%8%5%2%4%s8%s3%4%2%5%5%7%5%3%3%4%8%4%10%4%4%7%3%4%7%3%7%5%5%6%7%s6%4%5%

882230394188515923928276710113291257204280543272104168295247329904583144663618194214265231731282810 - Absolutely certain84%80%78%79%71%s77%s91%88%84%79%80%77%79%81%82%82%73%75%71%83%82%76%85%82%79%82%76%82%85%82%69%s85%89%79%to vote

6*-6---*-74511152115-4-153424742-7Don't know1%*-3%-s-s-*-1%3%1%*1%*1%1%1%*1%-1%-*1%1%1%*1%1%5%s1%-1%

9.389.349.019.068.709.069.709.589.209.129.279.129.159.049.099.258.878.688.979.199.319.209.399.249.209.069.199.319.529.519.119.629.659.12Mean

Page 6


Table 6

Q.2. And how likely will you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10,where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?

Base : All




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

39415424581731131326112568555653421931109517922020342354364367314319352399Satisfied38%32%43%31%34%39%47%56%53%45%29%33%30%35%s50%31%32%33%43%41%s39%38%39%39%38%38%39%38%

579279280154125156125399368117981107416121518430525419479506506516458460498559Dissatisfied55%59%49%59%58%53%45%36%39%45%63%58%61%62%s41%60%61%57%50%39%s54%55%54%54%55%55%54%53%

734246241823238201515171643532205137106161656755516488Don't know7%9%8%9%8%8%8%7%8%10%8%10%9%3%s9%9%7%10%7%21%s7%7%7%7%7%6%7%8%

-185-125-35-73-52-4272132*-62-42-57-3133-105-88-126-341-138-152-142-149-145-141-146-160Net satisfied-18%-26%-6%-28%-24%-15%3%20%14%*-33%-25%-32%-26%s8%-29%-29%-24%-7%2%s-16%-17%-15%-16%-17%-17%-16%-15%

Page 7


Table 7

Q.3. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?

Base : All







1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

39410219197302038222233565615213192116291102376516412717426-399217182372302731642272399Satisfied38%36%38%41%42%s26%s15%69%26%39%40%40%41%37%34%44%27%27%28%46%42%40%25%-100%38%38%37%61%14%22%s11%78%38%

57916627511039442117958483742041601371953102408815216214822565559-3102495411644034829961559Dissatisfied55%58%55%46%55%s58%s80%25%64%54%53%54%49%54%57%47%65%64%65%46%49%52%61%100%-54%53%54%33%77%63%s80%17%53%

73183631212131996411243222315730131829283415--454382324811341788Don't know7%6%7%13%3%s16%s5%6%10%7%8%6%10%9%9%9%8%9%7%8%9%8%14%--8%9%8%6%9%15%s9%5%8%

-185-64-84-13-9-24-173143-35-128-18-52-29-45-80-20-139-51-872-22-50-39-559399-93-67-169138-330-31-257211-160Net satisfied-18%-22%-17%-5%-12%s-31%s-66%45%-38%-14%-13%-14%-9%-18%-23%-3%-37%-37%-37%1%-7%-12%-37%-100%100%-16%-14%-17%28%-63%-42%s-69%60%-15%

Page 8


Table 8

Q.3. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?

Base : All




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

455183268978512913968140816563554622212910022322720388402410413359361395451Satisfied43%38%47%38%40%44%49%63%59%54%35%37%30%38%s57%36%34%42%45%40%s44%44%44%44%43%43%43%43%

528257267146111135132327957110951127113620518326326021449467473483433427470524Dissatisfied50%54%47%56%51%46%47%30%33%38%59%56%62%59%s35%57%61%49%51%42%s51%51%51%51%52%51%51%50%

6335371620289718131113133312416492294451525336434972Don't know6%7%6%6%9%9%3%7%7%9%6%7%7%3%s8%7%5%9%4%18%s5%6%6%6%4%5%5%7%

-73-741-49-25-56366124-45-32-57-2585-76-82-40-33-1-60-65-63-70-74-67-75-73Net satisfied-7%-16%*-19%-12%-2%2%34%26%16%-24%-19%-32%-21%s22%-21%-27%-7%-7%-2%s-7%-7%-7%-7%-9%-8%-8%-7%

Page 9


Table 9

Q6. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Theresa May is doing her job as Prime Minister?

Base : All







1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

455113212114342244241194036318214510412432811548671881401794660353251200421329972260292451Satisfied43%39%42%48%47%s29%s17%75%21%45%44%48%45%42%36%50%31%35%29%53%46%41%43%11%89%44%42%42%66%19%30%s16%83%43%

52816324610635492096462439651641631341962822368115614713422157462292832405101413995130043524Dissatisfied50%57%49%45%49%s64%s79%20%69%49%46%43%50%53%57%43%63%58%66%41%44%51%53%83%7%50%51%51%28%76%67%s80%12%50%

63104516351015961133416132249219122129334371738346327272151572Don't know6%4%9%7%4%s6%s4%5%10%7%9%9%5%5%7%7%6%7%5%6%9%8%3%7%4%7%7%6%5%5%3%s4%4%7%

-73-50-348-1-27-164177-43-36-318-19-29-7246-121-32-89406-43-10-402324-33-41-89188-301-28-240249-73Net satisfied-7%-18%-7%3%-2%s-35%s-63%55%-47%-4%-2%5%-6%-12%-21%7%-33%-23%-38%11%2%-10%-10%-72%81%-6%-9%-9%38%-58%-38%s-64%71%-7%

Page 10


Table 10

Q6. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Theresa May is doing her job as Prime Minister?

Base : All




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

4051872249592117107215240597111375921301892022096370390395400349342364411Satisfied39%39%39%37%42%40%38%20%22%27%32%42%63%63%s24%36%63%38%41%12%s42%42%42%42%42%41%40%39%

5402362871351001411477316397957855342601738926226131444457464469414426474523Dissatisfied52%50%50%52%47%48%52%68%69%64%51%46%31%29%s67%48%30%49%51%63%s50%50%50%49%50%51%52%50%

1015260282434261322153321111036542273391267737681656276112Don't know10%11%11%11%11%12%9%12%9%10%17%12%6%8%s9%15%7%14%8%25%s8%8%8%9%8%8%8%11%

-135-49-63-40-9-23-40-52-111-57-36-75841-168-43100-60-52-25-75-67-69-69-64-85-110-112Net satisfied-13%-10%-11%-15%-4%-8%-14%-48%-47%-37%-19%-4%33%34%s-43%-12%33%-11%-10%-51%s-8%-7%-7%-7%-8%-10%-12%-11%

Page 11


Table 11

(SEP15)Q5. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Jeremy Corbyn is doing his job as leader of the Labour Party?

Base : All







1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

4051262205515381645931363501431351031342241795912011111417753287992072053931113232827360411Satisfied39%44%44%23%21%s50%s62%18%34%40%36%38%42%41%39%34%48%43%51%31%37%41%50%51%25%36%43%39%22%62%37%s73%17%39%


101156133962423149117403325397437162230445485136575595394783526112Don't know10%5%12%14%12%s8%s9%7%16%10%12%10%10%10%11%11%10%11%9%9%14%13%8%9%9%10%12%10%8%9%11%s9%7%11%

-135-19*-93-32789-180-16-88-24-54-21-20-36-13622-426-104-32-25866-165-102-10-114-238170-11206-203-112Net satisfied-13%-7%*-39%-45%s9%s34%-56%-17%-10%-17%-14%-6%-8%-11%-21%6%-3%11%-29%-11%-6%8%12%-41%-18%-2%-11%-48%32%-15%s55%-58%-11%

Page 12


Table 12

(SEP15)Q5. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Jeremy Corbyn is doing his job as leader of the Labour Party?

Base : All




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

17286986026504820503928222124885046691157158166168168153153165184Satisfied16%18%17%23%12%17%17%19%21%26%15%13%12%20%s23%14%15%13%23%14%s18%18%18%18%19%18%18%18%

5992403351161251651705012478106841117320119118429028514515533541546481487524575Dissatisfied57%51%59%45%58%57%61%46%52%51%57%49%62%61%s52%53%61%54%56%29%s58%58%58%57%58%59%57%55%

27514813983657663386436536448231001177017711028208221226235193190225287Don't know26%31%24%32%30%26%22%35%27%23%28%38%26%19%s26%33%23%33%22%57%s24%24%24%25%23%23%25%27%

-427-154-237-56-98-115-122-30-74-39-78-63-90-48-113-141-138-221-170-7-357-367-373-378-328-334-359-391Net satisfied-41%-33%-42%-22%-46%-39%-44%-28%-31%-26%-42%-37%-50%-40%s-29%-39%-46%-41%-33%-15%s-40%-40%-40%-40%-40%-40%-39%-37%

Page 13


Table 13

Q.9. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Paul Nuttall is doing his job as leader of UKIP, the UK Independence Party?

Base : All asked (approximately half the sample)







1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

172407864297306391591855734755117662541704679197310194891701118174979184Satisfied16%14%15%27%40%s10%s12%20%9%18%13%14%23%19%16%18%18%18%17%20%15%18%18%13%25%16%19%17%22%16%9%s13%22%18%


2755514276172369752524737968382107180103475588921063214698170117267114128249580287Don't know26%19%28%32%24%s31%s26%23%28%27%27%25%26%33%31%27%28%34%24%25%30%25%30%26%25%30%25%27%23%25%32%s25%23%27%

-427-150-205-343-38-133-118-49-337-68-173-93-76-125-245-138-40-98-127-118-168-37-266-100-214-178-389-162-232-38-183-112-391Net satisfied-41%-52%-41%-14%4%s-50%s-51%-37%-53%-37%-48%-46%-29%-30%-36%-37%-37%-29%-42%-36%-39%-39%-34%-48%-25%-37%-38%-39%-32%-44%-51%s-49%-32%-37%

Page 14


Table 14

Q.9. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Paul Nuttall is doing his job as leader of UKIP, the UK Independence Party?





Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

28410016648528186245543413259379873951381283239249255256225235252266Satisfied27%21%29%18%24%28%31%22%23%28%22%19%33%31%s25%20%32%26%25%6%s27%27%27%27%27%28%28%25%

4772112531219012013351121728077674819315711520625918410423427432383384415465Dissatisfied46%45%44%47%42%41%47%48%51%47%43%45%37%40%s49%44%38%38%51%38%s47%46%46%45%46%46%45%44%

2851631529073916232623766615435991278919212328232248253261220212248315Don't know27%34%27%35%34%31%22%30%26%25%35%36%30%29%s25%36%30%36%24%57%s26%27%27%28%27%25%27%30%

-193-111-87-73-38-40-47-28-66-29-39-45-8-11-95-84-19-68-130-16-171-174-172-176-158-149-163-199Net satisfied-18%-23%-15%-28%-18%-14%-17%-26%-28%-19%-21%-26%-4%-9%s-24%-24%-6%-13%-26%-32%s-19%-19%-18%-18%-19%-18%-18%-19%

Page 15


Table 15

FARRON/(AUG15)Q6. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tim Farron is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?








1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

284941105594073691723635979061781621003565857711427160921391272541231784711762266Satisfied27%33%22%23%13%s52%s28%22%19%26%25%26%28%24%23%25%27%25%28%24%25%26%25%29%23%24%27%26%25%34%62%s31%18%25%


2855716783287907638251349710476114185124537191941363617587173142288108155612881315Don't know27%20%33%35%39%s9%s34%24%42%28%24%26%32%30%33%28%33%38%30%26%31%31%33%31%22%30%30%29%22%30%8%s34%23%30%

-193-41-115-45-2510-27-105-19-181-37-88-39-53-71-150-48-15-34-94-56-69-17-65-128-122-77-198-143-1124-13-145-199Net satisfied-18%-14%-23%-19%-35%s13%s-10%-33%-20%-20%-26%-23%-12%-21%-21%-23%-13%-11%-14%-26%-19%-16%-16%-12%-32%-21%-16%-20%-29%-2%32%s-3%-41%-19%

Page 16


Table 16

FARRON/(AUG15)Q6. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tim Farron is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?





Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




9403985092191792522569721613815214514511035429725544446211819852866874772772826907Weighted Total

74032538418613919518984188113115101102913002161933563538663684688692645636664709Definitely decided79%82%75%85%78%77%74%87%87%82%76%70%70%82%s85%73%76%80%76%70%s81%80%79%79%84%82%80%78%

1856511327385359923243042431547725874104-148159169173119131149177May change mind20%16%22%12%21%21%23%9%11%17%20%29%30%14%s13%24%23%17%22%-s18%19%20%20%15%17%18%20%

15812624845172-479415538999861220Don't know2%2%2%3%1%2%3%4%2%1%5%2%-4%s2%3%2%3%1%30%s1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%

Page 17


Table 19

(APR17)Q15/(MAY17)Q12. Have you definitely decided to vote for (party in General Election) or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?

Base : All giving a General Election voting intention







9402554411925469252299857771173202862163015733191172023172563749848335249940887949852375375350907Weighted Total

74017036416043482132346960693238224178247459239911482641952737039027141829269337339440303281709Definitely decided79%67%83%83%79%s69%s85%78%81%s78%79%74%79%82%82%80%75%78%73%83%76%73%72%81%77%84%72%79%75%75%54%s81%80%78%

1858369221121356014155167058354910173195444579328897070108171114115316362177May change mind20%33%16%12%21%s30%s14%20%16%s20%14%22%20%16%16%18%23%17%27%14%22%25%28%18%20%14%26%19%23%22%41%s17%18%20%

152810-*363168113361377-948-51012815111449620Don't know2%1%2%5%-s*s1%2%3%s2%7%4%1%1%2%2%2%6%-3%2%2%-1%3%2%2%2%2%3%5%s2%2%2%

Page 18


Table 20

(APR17)Q15/(MAY17)Q12. Have you definitely decided to vote for (party in General Election) or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?

Base : All giving a General Election voting intention




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1876511427385361923243043431548735875104*149161171175120132150179Weighted Total

319313518132363917291219931-3538383922263040Conservative17%14%s27%12%s14%s34%s21%s19%s14%s24%s11%s20%s40%s10%s19%s16%s32%s12%s30%-s23%24%22%22%18%20%20%22%

38112965161324357183712212021-3540404035343741Labour20%18%s26%23%s14%s30%s22%s17%s16%s13%s18%s17%s42%s20%s15%s17%s36%s26%s20%-s23%25%23%23%29%26%24%23%

4520158126925711741121852214-3132343428293335Liberal Democrat24%31%s13%29%s33%s11%s16%s17%s23%s30%s36%s17%s9%s9%s26%s24%s9%s29%s13%-s21%20%20%20%23%22%22%20%

2*1-*-1-1*----2--*1-2222*222Scottish National Party1%1%s1%-s1%s-s2%s-s6%s2%s-s-s-s-s4%s-s-s1%s1%-s1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%

3**-***-*-*---**--1-11111111Plaid Cymru2%1%s*-s1%s1%s*s-s2%s-s1%s-s-s-s1%s1%s-s-s1%-s1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

16391118-121*2532774-1111111110111111Green Party9%4%s8%5%s4%s2%s12%s-s2%s8%s4%s1%s6%s31%s5%s2%s12%s9%s4%-s8%7%7%7%8%8%7%6%

108344-3*2215-146147-88101178811UK Independence Party5%12%s3%16%s10%s-s5%s4%s10%s6%s5%s11%s-s9%s8%s8%s2%s6%s6%-s5%5%6%6%6%6%5%6%

----------------------------BNP--s--s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s--s--------

613-12111111--23-4**44444444Other3%1%s3%-s2%s4%s2%s7%s3%s4%s4%s3%s-s-s3%s4%s-s5%s*100%s3%3%2%2%3%3%3%2%

936213312-341-27145-77793679None of them/Would not5%5%s5%6%s4%s5%s5%s11%s8%s-s10%s8%s1%s-s4%s9%s1%s5%s5%-s5%4%4%5%2%4%5%5%vote

279153779243410137144619-1518232311111825Don't know/Undecided14%14%s14%9%s18%s13%s14%s24%s16%s13%s12%s24%s2%s20%s14%s19%s7%s7%s19%-s10%11%14%13%9%9%12%14%

----------------------------Refused--s--s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s--s--------

Page 19


Table 21

(MAY)Q13. If you do change your mind about voting for this party, which party would you vote for instead?

Base : All who may change their mind (at Q12)







1878370221121356014157167258354910273195444589329897071108173114115316362179Weighted Total

3121114617111383171756152532241126613241030401140629-40Conservative17%26%s16%s19%s49%s4%s19%s19%s9%s24%17%s23%s29%s14%s13%s15%34%s16%s40%s10%s18%s28%s19%s14%34%s14%s28%s23%10%34%18%s45%s-s22%

38221543272073332194112217*171392452613132841412012-2041Labour20%26%s21%s17%s23%s9%s20%s33%s53%s21%16%s29%s15%s12%s23%s22%23%s2%s31%s29%s16%s26%s19%s30%18%s18%s26%s24%36%18%38%s-s33%s23%

4515154-811102323107161828742121616522122016331920-161535Liberal Democrat24%19%s22%s18%s-s38%s31%s17%s16%s20%19%s14%s13%s45%s37%s27%9%s22%s4%s28%s27%s17%s15%s24%17%s28%s15%s19%17%18%-s26%s24%s20%

2*1---1-2-----22---2---*-2-2121*-2Scottish National Party1%*s2%s-s-s-s4%s-s14%s--s-s-s-s4%s2%-s-s-s4%s-s-s-s*-s3%s-s1%1%2%5%s1%s-s1%

31*---*-----1--1---**-**1**1**-**1Plaid Cymru2%1%s*s-s-s-s1%s-s-s--s-s2%s-s-s1%-s-s-s1%s1%s-s1%s*1%s1%s*s1%**-s1%s1%s1%

1665--143-1138311933-36429293116826411Green Party9%7%s8%s-s-s6%s11%s4%s-s7%19%s11%s5%s2%s1%s8%4%s14%s-s7%s10%s4%s7%s10%3%s12%s3%s7%5%7%7%s9%s6%s6%

104433-13*8--7446524335146561083-3811UK Independence Party5%5%s6%s12%s23%s-s2%s5%s1%s5%-s-s12%s12%s9%s6%7%s8%s7%s6%s6%s5%s5%s5%8%s7%s5%s6%7%3%-s5%s13%s6%

----------------------------------BNP--s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s--s-s-s-s-s--s-s-s-s-s-s-s--s-s-s----s-s-s-

6*31-1-1-413-114---23131222421-124Other3%*s5%s3%s-s6%s-s2%s-s3%5%s5%s-s2%s2%s4%-s-s-s3%s5%s1%s9%s1%2%s3%s2%s2%1%1%-s2%s3%s2%

936-1*-5-6-3522631233534227793--69None of them/Would not5%3%s9%s-s5%s1%s-s8%s-s4%-s4%s8%s4%s3%s6%4%s7%s3%s7%s5%s5%s9%s4%2%s3%s7%s4%8%3%-s-s9%s5%vote

271087-8471244111034101468281451010816241718107725Don't know/Undecided14%12%s11%s30%s-s37%s11%s12%s7%s15%24%s15%s18%s9%s8%s10%19%s30%s15%s5%s14%s15%s16%s11%14%s12%s15%s14%15%15%32%s12%s11%s14%

----------------------------------Refused--s-s-s-s-s-s-s-s--s-s-s-s-s--s-s-s-s-s-s-s--s-s-s----s-s-s-

Page 20


Table 22

(MAY)Q13. If you do change your mind about voting for this party, which party would you vote for instead?

Base : All who may change their mind (at Q12)




Alwaysusually

depends(Q20)




1046475571259216292280108237152187170180120389358299536510498819209359508288309141046Weighted Total

53821930311510414815474165971026850392621708924927233445461471475419429467522Theresa May51%46%53%44%48%51%55%68%70%64%54%40%28%33%s67%47%30%47%53%67%s51%50%50%50%51%52%51%50%

358170192878396961433376358103687012117118817410328338343348312302318363Jeremy Corbyn34%36%34%34%39%33%34%13%14%24%34%34%57%57%s18%34%57%35%34%20%s37%37%37%37%38%36%35%35%

573520201412871389186-21276302524147474840394955Neither5%7%3%8%7%4%3%7%5%6%5%10%3%-s5%8%2%6%5%4%s5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%

722*211111*-112*213*44444444No differnce1%***1%**1%*1%*-1%1%s1%*1%*1%*s********

----------------------------Tim Farron--------------s------s--------

11-1----1-----1---1--111--11Paul Nuttall**-*----*-----s*---*-s-***--**

1-*--*--*-----*---*-********Nicola Sturgeon*-*--*--*-----s*---*-s********

----------------------------Caroline Lucas or--------------s------s--------Jonathan Bartley

----------------------------Leanne Wood--------------s------s--------

414-1*4--1-4*-14*-413333**14Other**1%-**1%--*-2%*-s*1%*-1%3%s********

19105554*152323-6537828888881215None2%2%1%2%2%2%*1%2%1%2%1%2%-s2%1%1%1%2%3%s1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

6137453082916111969211611243027612115257576144476182Don't know6%8%8%11%3%10%6%11%8%4%5%12%9%9%s6%8%9%11%4%2%s6%6%6%6%5%6%7%8%

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Table 25

(MAY17)Q20.(Q21 q'aire). Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservative's Theresa May, or Labour's Jeremy Corbyn?

Base : All







1046286502237727626332091903141380324251342658373138235355303433107559399572474995498523753753501046Weighted Total

53813723713843354628136456722011661191553801365977218162212451433342872354913911123550329522Theresa May51%48%47%58%59%s46%s18%88%39%50%51%53%51%47%45%58%37%43%33%61%54%49%42%26%84%50%50%49%79%21%46%s13%94%50%

35811020046629180183530945114120931291861695511485100156493053019217135457340252897363Jeremy Corbyn34%38%40%19%9%s38%s68%6%39%34%32%30%37%37%38%28%45%40%48%24%33%36%46%55%8%33%36%36%12%65%34%s77%2%35%

57152812921749454121519283420101017172485113025531731416255Neither5%5%6%5%12%s3%s7%1%10%5%3%3%5%7%8%5%5%8%4%5%6%5%8%9%*5%5%5%3%6%5%s4%*5%

7121-3*1-4-212231-13*2*23414*2-2*4No differnce1%***-s3%s**-*-**1%***-1%1%****1%1%****-s***

----------------------------------Tim Farron-----s-s-------------------------s---

1--11----1-1---1---1---1-1-111---1Paul Nuttall*--*2%s-s---*-*---*---*---*-*-***-s--*

1*---*---*-*---*---*---*-*-*-*-*-*Nicola Sturgeon**---s1%s---*-*---*---*---*-*-*-*-s*-*

----------------------------------Caroline Lucas or-----s-s-------------------------s---Jonathan Bartley

----------------------------------Leanne Wood-----s-s-------------------------s---

441-13*114-3-1113-3114-13*44333-*4Other*1%*-1%s4%s**1%*-1%-***1%-1%**1%-*1%*1%*1%1%4%s-**

19284-114*1317533694451521138714752*215None2%1%2%2%-s1%s*1%1%1%*2%1%1%1%1%2%3%2%1%*1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%3%s*1%1%

61182735123181197019401715254635925242131244255032722128616982Don't know6%6%5%15%17%s4%s7%3%10%8%14%11%5%6%7%7%9%7%11%7%7%7%2%8%6%9%7%7%4%5%9%s4%3%8%

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Table 26

(MAY17)Q20.(Q21 q'aire). Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservative's Theresa May, or Labour's Jeremy Corbyn?

Base : All



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