PACRA Regulatory Framework AR
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Transcript of PACRA Regulatory Framework AR
PACRA Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited
Security Analysis & Portfolio Management
6/21/2014
Submitted to
Mr. Hafiz M. Waqar
Submitted By
Arooj Rehmat
Assignment
Page | 1
PACRA REGULATORY FRAME WORK
The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited
History:
The trend of establishing local rating agencies started only in the 1970s.
Prior to this, the two international rating agencies, namely Standard and
Poor’s, and Moody’s investor service, dominated the rating world. However,
since the establishment of first known local rating agency, the Canadian Bond Rating Services in 1972, local
rating agencies have proliferated across the globe, both in the developed markets (Australia, France and Japan) ,
and also in a large number of emerging markets. Currently, there are 17 emerging markets (Argentina, Brazil,
Chile, Columbia, India, Israel, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Portugal , South Africa ,
Thailand , Tunisia, Venezuela) were duly recognized local rating agencies are in operation. Of these countries
Pakistan joined the club in 1994, with the establishment of PACRA. It is interesting to note that in several other
important emerging markets including Turkey, East European countries and republics of the former Soviet
Union, rating agencies still have to be established or are in the process of being established. The main
motivation for the establishment of local rating agencies is the recognition of their critical role in promoting or
other fixed income securities markets. At the same time there is increasing realization that rating agencies are
likely to impart efficiency to the financial and capital markets.
ACRA stands for Pakistan Credit Rating Agency. It was first credit rating Company established in
Pakistan. It was established in 1994 between the joint venture of IBCA Limited (the international
credit rating agency), International Finance Corporation (IFC) and the Lahore Stock Exchange.
The primary function of PACRA is to evaluate companies’ willingness to fulfill its debt obligations. PACRA is
geared to provide a full range of credit rating services. This includes the rating of corporate entities and fixed
income instruments. The ownership and management structure of PACRA ensures complete independence from
any direct or indirect control of the Government, any private sector business group or financial institution. A
rating assigned by the rating committee, which includes senior management of PACRA, reflects PACRA's
objectively formed opinion of credit risk. Other rating reviews carried out by PACRA include Financial
Strength ratings of modarabas, Mutual Fund ratings and Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) ratings for insurance
companies.
Regulatory Framework for
Credit Rating in Pakistan:
Establishment of PACRA in 1994 represents an
important milestone in the development of financial
infrastructure in Pakistan. More significantly, this
signifies the fulfillment of all the ingredients
considered necessary for the establishment of local
P
Page | 2
bond (TFC) market in the country. In order to establish the sanctity and credibility of credit ratings in the
country, the regulators moved quickly for prescribing the eligibility criteria for the establishment of credit rating
companies and also assumed the legal authority of monitoring the functioning of such companies on a regular
basis. This dual purpose which was achieved by the Corporate Law Authority through an amendment in the
Security and Exchange ordinance 1969, and notification of “Credit Rating Companies Rules 1995”. The most
significant eligibility condition for registration of a credit rating company is a joint venture arrangement or
technical collaboration with an internationally recognized credit rating institution. PACRA having satisfied all
the requirements under the rules stands duly registered with the CLA. In order to provide to investors in fixed
income securities (including TFC’s), the CLA has made it mandatory for all such securities to be rated if the
instrument is to be offered to the general public and listed on the stock exchange.
Meanwhile, the SBP also recognized the potential benefit of credit rating in terms of augmenting the
supervisory role of SBP for monitoring the performance of the financial sector. It was therefore, made
mandatory for all Modarbas (an Islamic financial institution) , leasing companies , as well as investment bank to
obtain credit rating . Under current regulations prescribed by the CLA – all Modarbas issuing COMs ,
(CERTIFICATE OF MUSHARIKA) and all the leasing companies issuing COIs (CERTIFICATE OF
INVESTMENT)require to be rated on a continuing
basis.
Mission Statement
To be accepted as the leading credit rating
agency in the country
through highest standards of professionalism
and ethics.
Evaluating Risk:
PACRA ratings reflect an independent, professional opinion of the credit quality denoting the credit risk
associated with a particular debt instrument or a corporate entity. By providing a measurement of risk,
PACRA’s ratings facilitate investment decisions. However, PACRA’s rating is not the recommendation to
purchase, sell or hold a security, in as much as it does not comment on the security’s market price or suitability
for a particular investor.
Page | 3
Some Important Dates and
Information about the
Company:
Shareholding FITCH IBCA 44.45%
LAHORE STOCK EXCHANGE 33.33%
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
CORPORATION (IFC) 22.22%
Accounting year 30th June
Auditors A.F.Ferguson & Co.
Charted Accountants
Date of Incorporation August 18, 1994
Signing of IFC/IBCA/
LSE joint venture agree June, 15 1994
ment
Establishment of camp
office Nov 08, 1994
Notification of first rating Nov 08, 1994
First board meeting Nov 20, 1994
IBCA/PACRA technical
service agreement Jan 15, 1995
Inauguration of PACRA office Feb 04,1995
First training workshop May 28-31, 1995
PACRA’s recognition by financi-
al times, London, as a local agency Oct ,1995
Second training workshop Nov 19-29, 1995
Page | 4
Notification of 10th rating Dec 26, 1995
Registration of PACRA with CLA Feb 14, 1996
PACRA’s first international consul-
tancy MAR 14 , 1996
Notification of 50th rating APR 10 , 1997
Merger of IBCA with FITCH inves-
tors service , New York Dec 03 , 1997
Notification of 100th rating Sep 25, 1998
PACRA’s Rating
Products:
PACRA’s spectrum of rating covers:
Instrument Rating
Structured Finance Rating
Entity Rating
Insurer Financial Strength Rating
Project Grading
Fund Stability Rating
Star Ranking /Fund Performance
Ranking
Capital Protection Rating
Asset Manager Rating
Instrument Rating:
Instrument rating covers all
non-equity instruments
including TFC’s (long and
short term), convertibles,
debentures and redeemable
certificates. PACRA’s rating
process assumes that the return
offered on such instruments
(expected profit, makeup etc) is
in the nature of a fixed
obligation. Thus, in the case of
TFC’s even though the issuing
document refers to the return as
‘expected profit’, PACRA, in
consonance with the shared
perception of the issuer and the
investor, deems this to be a
contractual obligation for
purpose of credit rating.
Structured Finance
Rating:
PACRA has also developed the
expertise of rating securities or
structured finance debt
instruments. Such instruments
could have varying credit
enhancement characteristics for
reducing the default risk, the
investment risk, or both.
Structured Finance ratings
focus mainly on evaluating the
specific cash flows identified
for meeting the repayment
obligations and also the
security arrangements.
PACRA’s ratings are
contingent on examining all the
underlying documentation that
gives effect to the purposed
features of the instrument.
Page | 5
While all ratings follow an
interactive process, the degree
of interaction between the
client and PACRA is
considerably more in such
ratings than in standard
instrument ratings. Consistent
with international practice,
PACRA is also prepared to
review various options of credit
enhancement and advise the
client on the preferred option
for achieving the desired rating.
Entity Rating:
Entity rating signifies the
entity’s level of credit risk and
the capacity for timely payment
of financial commitments to
senior unsecured creditors. The
risk level is indicated by the
long and short term ratings.
Insurer Financial
Strength Rating:
The insurer financial strength
(IFS) rating represents an
opinion of an issuer’s financial
strength and business
continuity from a policy
holder's prospective. IFS rating
capture the relative ability of
the insurer to meet policy
holders' obligations. However,
the rating provides no
guarantee against default but
offers a well researched
opinion as to the likelihood of
the issuer to fail to fulfill its
obligations towards policy
holders. IFS rating is applicable
to insurance obligations insofar
as these are in compliance with
the company's stated policies
and procedures.
Project Grading:
The Project Grading (PG) is an
opinion on a specific project
being managed by any real
estate entity. PG differentiates
projects on the basis of their
individual attributes; the
concept is that projects of the
same developer could have
different grading; Although DG
and PG have a high probability
of linear relationship, this could
break to merit a different rating
for the project depending upon
its unique characteristics.
Fund Stability Rating:
This is an opinion on the
prospective relative stability in
a fund’s return. The rating
provides an objective measure
as to the main areas of risk to
which the income and money-
market funds are exposed. The
risk factors are: Credit Risk,
Market Risk, Liquidity Risk,
Returns Volatility, and Quality
of Management and Support
Systems.
Star Ranking /Fund
Performance Ranking:
The Star Ranking measures
performance of funds in a risk
and returns combination, and
then ranks the funds
accordingly on the basis of
their performance. The ranking
is a quantitative measure and
funds are rated within their
respective categories. A fund’s
particular ranking is computed
with reference to its category
and consequently, rankings are
comparable only in the same
category.
Capital Protection
Rating:
Capital Protection Rating
(CPR) is another rating class
for mutual funds. CPR captures
the relative extent to which
principal invested in the fund is
secure from loss at the time of
maturity. CPR is not a view on
the fund performance; it is
concerned with the fund
performance only insofar as it
is imperative to meet the
redemption of the principal
amount at maturity.
Asset Manager (AM)
Rating:
Asset Manager (AM) Rating
provides investors with an
independent opinion on the
quality and expertise deployed
by an asset management
company and potential
vulnerability to operational and
investment management
failures. AM Rating differs
fundamentally from credit
ratings, which refer to the
ability to meet debt obligations.
Page | 6
The focus of AM rating is to
gauge the fund management
capability of the asset manager,
as reflected from its operating
platform, human resource base
and the infrastructure that it has
erected. AM rating gives a
view on whether the asset
manager meets or exceeds the
overall investment management
best practices, the benchmarks
and standards in all criteria
under review.
Rating Methodologies
PACRA‘s rating evaluation is reflected in its rating scale which is
applicable to long-term and short-term ratings and is internationally
recognizable. Fundamentally, the rating scale represents a decreasing
order of risk. In determining the level of risk, a diverse range of complex
data is collected and analyzed. This data is gathered primilary from the
potential issuer or client and supplemented with strategic information
obtained from outside independent, reliable sources. The rating process
covers analysis of both quantitative and qualitative aspects including
operations, finance, management and strategy. The factors considered by
PACRA while forming its opinion include:
Industry Risk:
Industry risk is measured by the strength of the industry within the economy and relative to economic trends.
This also includes the ease or difficulty of entering the industry, the diversity of earning base and role of
regulation and legislation.
The specific issues covered include:
Economic importance of the industry
Potential for support
Employment significance
Industrial relations record
Significance of legislation: protective and harmful,
relationship with Govt.
Maturity of the industry
International competition
Barriers to entry
Competitive situation domestically: monopoly, oligopoly,
fragmentation
Nature of the industry: capital intensity, product life spans,
marketing requirements
Cyclic factors: demand, supply, implications for price
volatility
Industry cost and revenue structure: susceptibility to energy prices, interest rate levels, Govt. policies
Important developments and trends in the industry
Page | 7
Market Position:
Market position covers the company’s market share in its major activities and the historical protection of its
position and projected ability for the future. It also covers the company’s historical operating margins and its
ability to maintain and improve them.
The specific issues covered include:
Competitive position within the industry: size,
market share & trend, price setting-ability
Major product importance
Product lives and competition
Degree of product diversification
Significance of R&D expenditure and of new product
development
Geographic diversity of sales and production
Significance of major customers
Dependence on major suppliers and access of
alternatives
Marketing needs
Distribution network, control and susceptibility to external factors
Ownership and Support:
The ownership structure of the company, financial strength of
the owners, potential for support and other tangible benefits
are covered in this area.
The specific issues covered include:
Ownership of the entity
Relationship with owners
Financial strength of owners
Potential for support or for funds with drawls
Structure of relationship
Other benefits: access to technology products
Access to capital markets
Page | 8
Management Evaluation:
Management evaluation covers the record to date in
operations and financial terms, corporate goals,
attitude to risk, control system, experience and record
control to peers.
The specific issues covered include:
Record to date in financial terms
Corporate goals and outlook :aggressive
stance , attitude to risk
Experience , background , credibility
Depth of management: key individuals,
succession
Record compared with peers
Accounting Quality:
This area covers an overall review of the accounting policies employed and consistency in their application.
The specific issues covered include:
Reporting and disclosure requirements
Auditors and audit opinions
Revenue recognition policies: long-term projects
Stock valuation policies
Fixed asset valuation method
Goodwill and intangible treatment
Undervalued assets , such as free hold property
Debt/Equity hybrid instruments
Depreciation methods, rates , lives
Foreign currency treatment
Deferred taxation policy
Accounting for pension obligations
Treatment of finance cost
Contingent liabilities
Overall aggressiveness or prudence of accounting
presentation
Unusual accounting policies , movements on
reserves
Changing in accounting policies
Changes in group composition
Page | 9
Earnings:
The key variables indicating the basic long-term earning power of the company are analyzed. Additionally,
consistency and trend of core earnings , earning mix and capacity for internal growth are also covered.
The specific issues covered include:
Consistency and trend of core earnings
Earnings mix by activity and geography
Exceptional and extra ordinary items :non-recurring impacts on
past earnings levels
True earnings levels available for cash flow: equity accounting
,restrictions on profit respiration
Internal growth verses acquired earnings
Profitability and protection measures
Profit margins
Interest and pre-tax coverage measures
Dividend cover, payment levels and future policy
Taxation situation :effective tax rate specific reliefs, unutilized
loses
Sufficiency of retained earnings to finance growth internally
Cash Flow:
Relationship of cash flow to leverage and ability to internally meet all cash requirements is valued. The
volatility of cash flow over time and the impact of
seasonality on cash flow is also assessed.
The specific issues covered include:
Adequacy of cash flow to maintain the operating
capacity of the business: working capital levels,
replacement of fixed assets
Contribution from cash flow towards expansion;
major capital spending projects
Discretionary spending included in cash flow
including advertising, exploration, research and
development expenditure
Volatility of cash flow over time
Relationship between cash flow and total debt
Restrictions on cash flow: limits on respiration ,
potential taxation effects, access to dividends from
subsidiaries
Liquidity levels and fluctuations
Working capital management and measurements
Page | 10
Capital and Debt Structure:
The historic, present and projected gearing and leverage levels are analyzed. Sensitivity analysis is also carried
out by varying critical assumptions for determining the cushion available for meeting future obligations in the
event of adverse changes in business condition.
The specific issues covered include:
Gearing ratio measured: historic, present
and projected
Levering ratio measures: historic ,present
and projected
Sensitivity analysis on projected levels
Seasonal variations in measures: core debt
level
Coverage measures on interest and leasing
costs
Necessary adjustments to measures for off
balance sheet items: leased plant buildings,
on-consolidated subsidiaries, guaranteed
associates or joint ventures
Appropriateness of capital structure for the
business given the country concerned:
overreliance on short term funding,
sensitivity to interest rate charges
Nature of underlying assets: ability to realize without loss, attraction to buyers in a forced sale, valuation
methods and potential for moderation of gearing/leverage measures
Debt structure :type, maturity, currency, service schedule, covenants, security, default clauses
Funding and Flexibility:
This area covers an evaluation of the company’s financing needs,
plans and alternatives and its flexibility to accomplish its financing
programme under stress impairing creditworthiness.
The specific issues covered include:
Flexibility of planned financial needs :capital spending,
dividend levels, acquisitions
Ability to raise additional financing under duress
Back-up and stand by lines of credit: periods and covenants
of underwriting facilities and committed lines ,bank
relationships generally
Ability to attract capital :shareholder make-up, access to equity markets
Capital commitments
Page | 11
Margin of safety in present and planned gearing/leverage levels
Asset make-up: nature of assets and potential for reductions or disposals under stress, salable units
Off-balance sheet assets and liabilities: goodwill and other intangibles written off, undervalued assets,
pension under funding
Additional Factors for financial institutions:
In case of credit rating of financial institutions, some additional key factors are:
Quality if asset portfolio
Stability of earning
Source and cost of funds
Capital adequacy and liquidity
Market environment and planning
Prospects and contingent liabilities
Rating Process
Credit rating is an interactive process relying primarily on information and interaction with the rater. It is
supplemented with information obtained from outside independent sources. The entire process is aimed at
evaluating financial strength of an entity to timely meet its financial obligations. PACRA follows a rigorous,
objective and structured rating process at the onset of rating relationship to arrive at a rating opinion. The
rating process, subscribes to rigorous quality standards. PACRA has developed comprehensive methodologies
for different segments of entities – Banks, NBFCs, Insurance, AMCs, Corporate. We evaluate and analyze
both qualitative and quantitative aspects and captures factors affecting the entity in the short-term and long-
term. Our analyses broadly focus on ownership and governance structure of the organization, its management
and control environment and evaluation of business and financial risks.
Page | 12
Steps in Rating Process
PACRA’s ratings process is designed to ensure that all ratings are based on the highest standards of
independence and transparency. At beginning of a new relationship, PACRA attempts to facilitate
understanding of the rating process by sharing concise overview of PACRA and all steps involved in the
process. The rating process progresses as follows – one step following the other until the finalization of the
rating opinion:
Mandate Letter Following a request from the entity / issuer for a rating, a mandate letter is sent to the client. Usually the
processing time for sending the mandate is 1-2 working days on receipt of the request. Upon signing, mandate
letter becomes a contractual agreement between the entity / issuer to be rated and PACRA to undertake a rating
assignment. It has two separate mandates i.e.
1. Entity Rating Mandate
2. Fee Mandate
These mandates explain all the terms and conditions governing the rating relationship. The mandate is perpetual
in nature and valid unless terminated by either party with an advance notice.
Rating Assignment Allocation The entity is allocated to one of PACRA's rating teams, each headed by a Unit Head. The Unit Head takes the
responsibility of supervising the rating assignment and designate it to its rating team. The initial introductory
letter or email is exchanged briefing the time line for completion of the rating assignment and other modalities.
Meanwhile, both PACRA and rate furnish contact information on the designated liaison person (s) for ensuring
Page | 13
smooth and speedy communication. The respective sub team manager and analyst take care of all aspects of the
rating assignment as per the PACRA's guidelines.
Preliminary Analysis & Information Solicitation A Preliminary study is conducted with a careful review of an entity's published information. From this review,
analysts determine what additional information and data are needed. A detailed questionnaire is sent to the
client for soliciting the required financial & non-financial information over and above that provided in their
financial statements and the notes to their accounts. Upon receipt of the information, an initial rating assessment
is made and discussed internally based on findings of the rating team. This would be followed by a site visit and
management meeting, preferably at entity's head office.
Site Visit The respective rating team conducts entity's head office and/or plant visit. The objective of which is to develop
a better understanding of the organizational structure, and quality of the process, and conduct interview of key
department heads and establish a sense of control environment prevailing in the entity. A detailed itinerary in
advance is sent for the said visit.
Management Meeting The purpose of Management Meeting is to assimilate the strategic view of the entity’s top management The
meeting is wide-ranging, covering the entity's ownership, governance, financial position, future prospects, the
economic environment and many other issues that can have a bearing on the rating. The participants of the
meeting include the respective rating team, Unit Head and members of apex rating committee from PACRA and
the senior management of the client including the Chief Executive Officer. Before heading for the management
meeting, a formal agenda is sent, highlighting the areas where we expect to have the views and opinions of the
entity’s top management. We expect to have a formal presentation for this meeting covering, at a minimum,
those areas highlighted in the agenda.
Draft Rating Report Review Subsequent to the management meeting, a draft detailed rating report is sent to the entity's management for their
feedback on completeness and accuracy of the information contained in the report. If the report containing
anything which is confidential, the client is also expected to communicate the same. The feedback is expected
from the entity within five working days.
Rating Committee A multi-layered, decision-making process is followed in assigning a rating. In finalizing the rating, the relevant
team prepares a rating proposal based on the information gathered through the questionnaire and discussion at
the Management Meeting and head office/site visit. This is presented to the rating committee, comprising at
least one apex, two permanent members and the rating team. The RC is usually conducted within one week
following the management meeting.
Pre-Publication Review Subsequent to the Rating Committee, PACRA provides rated entities with draft press release and one page
summary report in advance for pre-publication review. This is to avoid issuing any credit analyses that contain
misrepresentations or are otherwise misleading as to the general credit worthiness of an entity / issuer.
Page | 14
Rating Review Appeal Policy In case entity has disagreement with any of PACRA rating opinion – initial or surveillance – it has the option to
appeal for review of rating opinion within 5 working days of the intimation of the rating action. The appeal
process is covered by PACRA’s publicly available “Rating Review Appeal Policy”. Any disagreement with
rating opinion does not restrict PACRA’s right to disseminate its updated opinion on public rating.
Once reviewed, the rating opinion is final. If no written appeal for rating review is submitted within stipulated
time, the rating is considered accepted by the entity’s management.
Notification Once the rating has been finalized, it is formally notified to the entity / issuer. The rating notification is usually
accompanied by a final set of rating report and press release.
Public Dissemination In an initial rating assignment, the entity's management has the prerogative to make this rating public or keep it
confidential. The management is expected to take this decision within five days of notification. In case, the
entity decides to go for public dissemination. PACRA does so through its website and other electronic media. It
provides all the benefits of a publicly available independent rating opinion of the entity. In case the rating is not
made public, any selective disclosure would not be allowed.
Once an initial rating of an entity is done and publicly disseminated, thereafter, as long as the rating mandate
with PACRA remains outstanding, PACRA is duty-bound to inform the public of any change in the rating
opinion and reserves the right to take such action without prior notice if so warranted by circumstances.
PACRA attempts to achieve public dissemination of any updating opinion within two days of its notification.
In case of public rating, PACRA, in addition to respective press release, disseminates the summary report
through its website. However, the detailed report is made available against a nominal fee.
Turnaround Time Through experience, we see a timeline spanning six-to-eight weeks to complete a rating assignment. However,
the cooperation of the entity's management with PACRA in terms of expediting the response to our
questionnaire and other requests for information (via timely and quality information), whenever deemed
necessary and sought during the course of the rating process, aids greatly in facilitating the completion of the
rating process within the planned duration.
Surveillance Ratings, once notified, remain under surveillance at all times. It is an on-going and a continuous process in line
with best practices. Under the mandate, ratings are kept under continuing surveillance from the date of
notification.
Relationship Termination Instrument rating, in normal circumstances, is withdrawn only when the rated instrument is redeemed.
However, in extreme scenario of non availability of requisite information PACRA may withdraw instrument
rating. The entity rating is withdrawn either on the client’s decision to withdraw or in extreme cases owing to
reluctance by the client to provide the required information. PACRA may suspend rating where circumstances
Page | 15
prevent formation of rating opinion. In such cases PACRA makes all efforts to revive the rating at the earliest.
The fact that the rating is currently withdrawn /suspended, along with the reason/s, is disseminated publicly.
Rating Practices
Confidentiality PACRA undertakes that all information, which
entity does not desire to publicize, will be kept
confidential and will be used only in the rating
process and internal analysis. PACRA would
forward the rating report to entity to ensure that
no confidential information is contained therein/
or for comment in factual content before
publication. We expect to receive the feedback
within five working days. PACRA does not
disclose confidential information obtained during
the rating exercise to anyone under any
circumstances. Beyond ethical considerations,
there is a contractual written commitment by
PACRA to each of its clients.
Surveillance PACRA conducts surveillance in two forms i.e.,
ongoing surveillance and formal annual update. Once
rating is accepted, the surveillance period starts
immediately. Under surveillance, PACRA monitors the
assigned rating on a continuous basis, wherein usually it
is done on quarterly basis and in exceptional
circumstances it may be done with higher frequency.
PACRA performs at least one formal update during
each 12-month period starting from initial notification.
It is followed by a rating notification even if it remains
unchanged. The annual update/surveillance process
benefits from the established relationship developed in
delivering the initial rating. It broadly follows the
parameters established for initial rating assignment.
Formal management meetings are held once a year. During surveillance, PACRA is duty-bound to inform the
public of any change in the rating opinion. PACRA normally advises entity of any proposed rating action but
reserves the right to take such action without prior notice if so warranted by circumstances.
PACRA keeps in close touch with the entity to remain abreast of interim figures and any internal or external
developments that may affect PACRA’s rating opinion. In on-going surveillance review, PACRA's analyst
conducts monthly and quarterly surveillance of the rated entity. For this purpose, quarterly published /
unpublished financial accounts are to be furnished for tracking the performance and detailed analysis.
Page | 16
Surveillance usually is carried out through phone calls and emails made to the entity by the relevant analyst.
The phone calls, though conversational and casual, follow the highest standards of cordiality, etiquette,
protocol, and professionalism. The frequency of the calls / emails is monthly or quarterly. In addition, PACRA
regularly monitors a broad range of economic factors and trends that may impact on credit risk. When an event
or deviation from an expected trend has occurred or is expected, additional information is solicited to keep the
rating opinion relevant.
Public Dissemination In an initial rating assignment, the entity's management has the prerogative to make this rating public or keep it
confidential. The management is expected to take this decision within five days of notification. In case, the
entity decides to go for public dissemination. PACRA does so through its website and other electronic media. It
provides all the benefits of a publicly available independent rating opinion of the entity. In case the rating is not
made public, any selective disclosure would not be allowed.
Once an initial rating of an entity is done and publicly
disseminated, thereafter, as long as the rating mandate
with PACRA remains outstanding, PACRA is duty-
bound to inform the public of any change in the rating
opinion and reserves the right to take such action
without prior notice if so warranted by circumstances.
PACRA attempts to achieve public dissemination of any
updating opinion within two days of its notification.
In case of public rating, PACRA, in addition to
respective press release, disseminates the summary
report through its website. However, the detailed report
is made available against a nominal fee.
Policy on Withdrawal / Termination The validity of the rating mandate is in perpetuity until
entity decides to terminate the rating relationship after
giving at least one-month advance notice. During the
currency of the rating mandate, PACRA's rating remains
valid unless modified or withdrawn at PACRA's sole
discretion and through a formal notification. However, in
case of a confidential rating, such notice period is not
required. Meanwhile, instrument ratings are normally
withdrawn only when the rated instrument is redeemed. If
Page | 17
entity does not cooperate with PACRA to enable it to comply with its obligations, PACRA shall suspend the
rating/withdraw from the engagement. In case of publicly disseminated rating, PACRA shall promptly notify
this fact to the Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan and the public.
Rating Review Appeal Policy In case entity has disagreement with any of PACRA
rating opinion – initial or surveillance – it has the
option to appeal for review of rating opinion. The
appeal process is covered by PACRA’s publicly
available “Rating Review Appeal Policy”. Any
disagreement with rating opinion does not restrict
PACRA’s right to disseminate its updated opinion on
public rating.
Conflict of Interest – Separation of Rating Team from Business Development PACRA has an explicit policy regarding exclusion of rating analysts from business development activities.
Business Management, an independent department has been established; taking care of all new business
origination and business relationships with rated entities including fee negotiations.
Standard Rating Scale & Definitions
ASSET MANAGER RATING SCALE & DEFINITIONS AM1: Asset manager meets or exceeds the overall
investment management industry best practices and
highest benchmarks in all criteria under review.
AM2: Asset manager meets very high investment
management industry standards and benchmarks
with noted strengths in several of the rating factors.
AM3: Asset manager meets high investment
management industry standards and benchmarks.
AM4: Asset manager demonstrates an adequate
organization that meets investment management
industry standards and benchmarks.
AM5: Asset manager does not meet the minimum
investment management industry standards and
benchmarks.
Page | 18
CAPITAL PROECTION RATING SCALE & DEFINITIONS
AAA (cp): Exceptionally Strong certainty Capital
Protection.
AA (cp): Very strong certainty of capital
protection.
A (cp): Strong certainty of protection.
BBB (cp): Adequate certainty of capital protection
BB (cp): weak capital protection
DEBT INSTRUMENT RATING SCALE & DEFINITIONS
LONG TERM RATINGS
AAA: Highest credit quality. ‘AAA’ ratings denote
the lowest expectation of credit risk. They are
assigned only in case of exceptionally strong
capacity for timely payment of financial
commitments. This capacity is highly unlikely to be
adversely affected by foreseeable events.
AA: Very high credit quality. ‘AA’ ratings denote a
very low expectation of credit risk. They indicate
very strong capacity for timely payment of financial
commitments. This capacity is not significantly
vulnerable to foreseeable events.
A: High credit quality. ‘A’ ratings denote a low expectation of credit risk. The capacity for timely payment of financial commitments is considered strong. This capacity may, nevertheless, be more vulnerable to changes in circumstances or in
economic conditions than is the case for higher
ratings.
BBB: Good credit quality. ‘BBB’ ratings indicate
that there is currently a low expectation of credit
risk. The capacities for timely payment of financial
commitments are considered adequate, but adverse
changes in circumstances and in economic
conditions are more likely to impair this capacity.
This is the lowest investment grade category.
BB: Speculative. ‘BB’ ratings indicate that there is
a possibility of credit risk developing, particularly
as a result of adverse economic change over time;
however, business or financial alternatives may be
available to allow financial commitments to be
met. Securities rated in this category are not
investment grade.
B: Highly speculative. ‘B’ ratings indicate that
significant credit risk is present, but a limited
margin of safety remains.
Financial commitments are currently being met;
however, capacity for continued payment is
contingent upon a sustained, favorable business and
economic environment.
CCC, CC, C: High default risk. Default is a real
possibility.
Capacity for meeting financial commitments is
solely reliant upon sustained, favorable business or
economic developments. A‘CC’ rating indicates
that default of some kind appears probable.
‘C’ ratings signal imminent default.
SHORT TERM RATINGS
A1+: Obligations supported by the highest capacity
for timely repayment.
A1:. Obligations supported by a strong capacity for
timely repayment.
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A2: Obligations supported by a satisfactory
capacity for timely repayment, although such
capacity may be susceptible to adverse changes in
business, economic, or financial conditions.
A3: Obligations supported by an adequate capacity
for timely repayment.
Such capacity is more susceptible to adverse
changes in business, economic, or financial
conditions than for obligations in higher
categories.
B: Obligations for which the capacity
for timely repayment is susceptible to
adverse changes in business, economic,
or financial conditions.
C: Obligations for which there is an inadequate
capacity to ensure timely repayment.
D: Obligations which have a high risk of default or
which are currently in default.
FUND STABILITY RATING SCALE & DEFINITIONS
AAA (f): A fund showing a consistently
outstanding performance with very strong capacity
to respond to future opportunities or stress
situations.
AA (f): A fund consistently outperforming its peers
with strong capacity to respond to future
opportunities or stress situations.
A (f): A fund with stable performance generally in
line with its peers with adequate capacity to
respond to future opportunities or stress situations.
BBB (f): A fund with performance comparable to
peers but showing a relatively higher volatility and
lower capacity to respond to future opportunities or
stress situations.
BB (f): A fund with a below average performance
and limited capacity to respond to future
opportunities or stress situations.
INSUERER FINANCIAL STRENGTH (IFS) SCALE & DEFINITIONS
AAA – Exceptionally Strong. Insurers
assigned this highest rating are viewed as
possessing exceptionally strong capacity to meet
policyholder and contract obligations. For such
companies, risk factors are minimal and the
impact of any adverse business and economic
factors is expected to be extremely small.
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AA-Very Strong. Insurers are viewed as
possessing very strong capacity to meet
policyholder and contract obligations. Risk factors
are modest, and the impact of any adverse
business and economic factors is expected to be
very small.
A -Strong. Insurers are viewed as possessing
strong capacity to meet policyholder and contract
obligations. Risk factors are moderate, and the
impact of any adverse business and economic
factors is expected to be small.
BBB -Good. Insurers are viewed as possessing
good capacity to meet policyholder and contract
obligations. Risk factors are somewhat high, and
the impact of any adverse business and economic
factors is expected to be material, yet manageable.
BB - Moderately Weak. Insurers are viewed as
moderately weak with an uncertain capacity to
meet policyholder and contract obligations.
Though positive factors are present, overall risk
factors are high, and the impact of any adverse
business and economic factors is expected to be
significant.
B -Weak. Insurers are viewed as weak with a
poor capacity to meet policyholder and contract
obligations. Risk factors are very high, and the
impact of any adverse business and economic
factors is expected to be very significant.
CCC,CC, C -Very Weak. Insurers rated in any of
these three categories are viewed as very weak
with a very poor capacity to meet policy holder
and contract obligations. Risk factors are
extremely high, and the impact of any adverse
business and economic factors is expected to be
insurmountable.
A 'CC' rating indicates that some form of
insolvency or liquidity impairment appears
probable. A 'C' rating signals that insolvency or a
liquidity impairment appears imminent.
DDD, DD, D -Distressed. These ratings are
assigned to insurers that have either failed to
make payments on their obligations in a timely
manner, are deemed to be insolvent, or have been
subjected to some form of regulatory
intervention. Within the DDD-D range, those
companies rated 'DDD' have the highest
prospects for resumption of business operations
or, if liquidated or wound down, of having a vast
majority of their obligations to policyholders and
contract holders ultimately paid off, though on a
delayed basis (with recoveries expected in the
range of 90-100%). Those rated 'DD' show a
much lower likelihood of ultimately paying off
material amounts of their obligations in a
liquidation or wind down scenario (in a range of
50-90%). Those rated 'D' are ultimately expected
to have very limited liquid assets available to fund
obligations, and therefore any ultimate payoffs
would be quite modest (at under 50%).
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REAL ESTATE PROJECT GRADING SCALE & DEFINITIONS
PG1: Very strong project execution capacity. The
prospects of execution of the real estate project as
per plan are the most promising and the ability to
transfer ownership as per terms is the highest.
PG2: Strong project execution capacity. The
prospects of execution of the real estate project as
per plan and the ability to transfer ownership as
per terms are highly promising. PG3 Good
project execution capacity. The prospects of
execution of the real estate project as per plan and
the ability to transfer ownership as per terms are
good. Project execution capacity can be affected
moderately by changes in the real estate sector
prospects.
PG4: Adequate project execution capacity. The
prospects of execution of the real estate project as
per plan and the ability to transfer ownership as
per terms provide adequate comfort. Project
execution capacity can be affected severely by
changes in real estate sector prospects.
PG5: Weak project execution capacity. The
prospects of execution of the real estate project as
per plan and the ability to transfer ownership as
per terms are poor.
Contact Information
PostalAddress
The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited (PACRA)
FB1 Awami Complex
Usman Block, New Garden Town
Lahore
Phone: +92 42 3586 9504 - 6
Fax: +92 42 3583 0425
Rating Relationship
PACRA is committed to providing the highest level of service. Support from our dedicated professionals is
a phone call away during the business week. If you like to learn more about our products and services,
please contact
Ms. Samiya Mukhtar
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Manager – Business Development
+92 42 3586 9504-6
Ratings
PACRA welcomes discussions on its rating opinions. These help in enhancing the understanding and help
the users in appreciating the depth of analysis supporting such analysis. For all ratings inquiries, please
contact
Mr. Jhangeer Hanif
Unit Head (Ratings)
+92 42 3586 9504-6
Mr. Rana Muhammad Nadeem
Unit Head (Ratings)
+92 42 3586 9504-6