Overview and Mechanism of Multilateral Trading · PDF fileof Multilateral Trading System ......
Transcript of Overview and Mechanism of Multilateral Trading · PDF fileof Multilateral Trading System ......
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Overview and Mechanism
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Overview and Mechanism
of Multilateral Trading System
Mr. Sadudee Vongkiattikachorn
International Institute for Trade and Development (ITD)
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Outline
A: Trade as an Engine of Growth
B: Protectionism VS Liberalization
- Tools for national trade policies- Tools for national trade policies
- Import Substitution and Export Promotion
C: Snapshots of the WTO
D: Economic integration and interplay with the WTO
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“No single change could make a greater contribution to eliminating poverty than fully opening up the markets of prosperous countries to the goods produced by poor ones.”produced by poor ones.”
Kofi Annan
Secretary General of the United Nations
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Trade as an Engine of Growth
“Economic growth is a sustained increase in real gross domestic product per capita.”
“A positive change in the level of production of goods and services by a country over a certain period of time. Economic growth is usually brought about by technological innovation and positive external forces.”
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According to Amartya Sen’s Development as Freedom, economic growth is not an ultimate goal; it is a mean to enhance people’s economic freedom.
Trade ⇒ Growth ⇒ Economic freedom
- Better living
- Happiness
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How can trade promote growth?Trade helps an economy grow in several ways.
� Encourage specialization ⇒⇒⇒⇒ Employ more resources
It encourages economies to specialize and produce in areas where they have a relative cost advantage over other countries. Over time, this helps economies to employ more of their human, physical and capital resources in sectors where they get the highest returns in open international markets, boosting productivity and the returns to workers and investors.
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� Expand markets ⇒⇒⇒⇒ Economies of scale can be achieved
Trade expands the markets that local producers can access, allowing them to produce at the most efficient scale to keep Trade expands the markets that local producers can access, allowing them to produce at the most efficient scale to keep down costs.
Even in large developing economies, low incomes often make producers’ potential local markets small. This is because of limited purchasing power. So trade is very much essential.
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� Make goods cheaper ⇒⇒⇒⇒ enhance producers’ and consumers’ welfare
Removing tariffs on imports gives consumers access to cheaper products, increasing their purchasing power and living standards, and gives purchasing power and living standards, and gives producers access to cheaper inputs, reducing their production costs and boosting their competitiveness
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Trade and Poverty
� Most experts believe that as a country’s openness to trade increases poverty is reduced
� Countries like China and Malaysia have � Countries like China and Malaysia have experienced rapid growth since establishing more liberal trade policies
� As countries become open to trade, per capita GDP has increased and poverty has been reduced
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� Many potential benefits from trade:
� Increases economic growth and increases incomes
� Speeds spread of technology and innovation
� Allows most efficient country to supply� Allows most efficient country to supply
� Can substitute for aid in development process
� Increases competition
� Greater consumer choice
� Political benefits
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Protectionism VS Liberalization
Protectionism: � Protectionism is based on the belief that exports are good for the
country, but imports are bad for the country.
� Trade between countries is restricted through measures to reduce � Trade between countries is restricted through measures to reduce imports from coming to the country.
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Liberalization:• Liberalization allows imports from other countries to
access domestic market of the home country, by reducing or eliminating barriers to trade.
• It is based on the philosophy of comparative advantages.
• It promotes efficient uses and allocation of resources.
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Tools for national trade policies
� Tariffs:
The most important type of trade restrictions is tariff. A tariff is a tax or duty
levied on the traded commodity as it crosses a national boundary.
An import tariff is a duty on the imported commodity. An import tariff is a duty on the imported commodity.
� Non-tariffs:
Non-tariff barriers could be in various forms such as import quota,
product standards, food safety standards, import licensing etc.
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Why does a country impose import tariffs?
� To raise tariff revenue
� To lower the quantity of imports
To protect domestic suppliers� To protect domestic suppliers
� To prevent job loss in some sectors
� To prevent a reduction of workers’ income
� To achieve investment objectives, which in turn, create jobs within the country
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Analyzing the effects of import tariffs
� Domestic price of good ⇑
� Quantity of imports ⇓� Quantity of imports ⇓
� Quantity of domestic products sold ⇑
� Tariff revenue ⇑
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Non-tariff barriers (NTBs)
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Rules of Origin
Rules of origin are used to determine the nationality of product.
This is to determine whether a product shall be given preference or whether the MFN tariff should be paid when a product is imported.
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The primary objective of Sanitary and Phytosanitary measures (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) is to protect consumers so as to maximize social welfare. However, the WTO recognizes that both standards may impede trade.
TBT and SPSTBT and SPS
Though the WTO provides freedom for each member to have its own standards, the WTO encourages members to adopt standards developed by international organizations on a non-discriminatory basis.
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TBT relates to technical standards covering all products, including food, and product specification issues such as size, shape, weight and packaging material requirements, including labeling and safe handling.
TBT
handling.
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SPS includes all measures to ensure the safety of food for human and prevent the spread of animal an plant pests and diseases.
SPS
SPS covers food and agricultural sector and the issues relates to the level of microbial, toxic and physical contaminations.
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� Disciplines imposed on measures used to protect human, animal and plant life from foreign pests, diseases and contaminants
� Such measures can significantly impede trade
SPS
� Such measures can significantly impede trade
� Must be non-discriminatory
� Measures must now be based on scientific assessment of risks
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Potential impacts of standards
Developing countries are standard takers, not standard setters.
� High cost to ensure the compliance with importing countries’ health or safety regulations
⇒ New investment is required.
� Difficulties in gaining access to relevant and useful information on rules and regulations
� Limited ability to maintain records at the field level as required by some standards
These standards are likely to be complied by large multinational companies (MNCs), not labor-intensive SMEs.
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Protectionism in ASEAN
Indonesia
� Jakarta port closure for fruit imports
� Import licensing on textiles and clothing; electronic appliances; toys
� SPS imposed on red onion: root must be cut before export → increase trade cost
� Require imported pharmaceutical products to be registered with local pharmaceutical company
� Limit exports of rattan which is used to product furniture → cost of producing furniture in other countries increase
� Campaign to lower rice consumption: “No rice day” program on Tuesday → effects Thailand’s export of rice and Thai restaurants in Indonesia
� Label requirements for rice
� Safeguard investigation on imports of mackerel, finished casing and tubing, conveyor belts, non-alloy steel
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Import Substitution and Export Orientation
Import substitution industrialization strategyImport substitution industrialization strategy: :
The industrialization policy that many developing countries followed The industrialization policy that many developing countries followed curing the curing the 19501950s, s, 19601960s, and s, and 19701970s involving replacement of s involving replacement of
imports of industrial goods with domestically produced goods.imports of industrial goods with domestically produced goods.
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imports of industrial goods with domestically produced goods.imports of industrial goods with domestically produced goods.
ExportExport--oriented industrialization strategyoriented industrialization strategy: :
The industrialization policy that pursued by some developing The industrialization policy that pursued by some developing countries that involves increasing the output of manufactured goods countries that involves increasing the output of manufactured goods for export. for export.
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An import substitution strategy has four main advantages:
� Low risks in setting up an industry
The market for the industrial product already exists, as evidenced by imports of the commodity, so that risks are reduced n setting up an industry to replace imports.
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� Easier to implement than export promotion strategy
Compared to export promotion strategy, an import substitution strategy is easier for developing countries to protect their domestic market against foreign competition than to force developed countries to lower trade barriers against their manufactured exports.
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� Induce foreign investment
Foreign firms are induced to establish so-called tariff factories to overcome the tariff wall of developing countries.
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� Possibly lead to exports
After some time, domestic firms can develop their technology and know-how, and thereby improve the quality of their products. The firms can export the products, which once used to be produced only for domestic market.
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The disadvantages of import substitution policy are as follows:
� Protection ⇒ No incentive for domestic firms to become more efficient
� Small domestic market ⇒ Can’t achieve economies of scale� Small domestic market ⇒ Can’t achieve economies of scale
� Relatively inefficient domestic production ⇒ More expensive goods
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� Overcome smallness of domestic market
Export orientation strategy allows a developing country to take advantage of economies of scale and overcome the smallness of domestic market.
ExportExport--oriented industrialization strategy has oriented industrialization strategy has three main advantages:three main advantages:
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�� Promote efficiency throughout the economyPromote efficiency throughout the economy
Production of manufactured goods for export requires and stimulates efficiency Production of manufactured goods for export requires and stimulates efficiency throughout the economy. This is especially important when the output of one industry is throughout the economy. This is especially important when the output of one industry is used as an input of another domestic industry.used as an input of another domestic industry.
� Gain bigger market
Unlike import substitution, the expansion of manufactured exports is not limit by the growth of domestic market.
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WTOWTO
Snapshots of the WTO
Regional
Bilateral
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Background and functions of WTO
� Created on January 1, 1995
� Successor of the General Agreements on Tariffs and � Successor of the General Agreements on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
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The International Organization that Governs the Rules of Trade Between Nations
Functions:
- administer WTO trade agreements
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- administer WTO trade agreements- forum for trade negotiations- handle trade disputes- monitor national trade policies- technical assistance and training- cooperate with international organizations
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After WW II
World Bank IMF International Trade Organization
Not successful
GATTWorld Trade Organization
(WTO) From 1948 to 1995
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WTO organization chart
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WTO’s Fundamental Principles
Based on five core principles:
� Trade without discrimination
� Freer trade, gradually, through negotiation� Freer trade, gradually, through negotiation
� Predictability, through binding and transparency
� Promoting fair competition – “reciprocity”
� Encouraging development and economic reform
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Major issues negotiated under WTO
� Agriculture--GATT
� Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)--GATT
� Services---GATS
� Intellectual Property--TRIPS
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Agricultural Negotiations
Three pillars of the negotiations
� Export subsidies
� Domestic support
� Tariff cuts
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Export subsidies and domestic support lead to price distortions in global market.
Subsidy/support ⇒ Supply rises ⇒ Price Subsidy/support ⇒ Supply rises ⇒ Price falls
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Points for negotiations under NAMA
� Reducing average tariffs by adopting Swiss formula
NAMA
� Reducing the number of tariff peaks
� Reducing tariff escalation
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Automotive & partsAutomotive & parts
Bicycles &partsBicycles &partsElectronicsElectronics
forest productsforest products
fish and fish productsfish and fish products
gems and jewellerygems and jewellery
ChemicalsChemicalsSectorSector
gems and jewellerygems and jewellery
hand toolshand tools
raw materialsraw materials
textiles, clothingtextiles, clothingand footwearand footwear
toystoyssports equipmentsports equipment
mmachineryachinery
SectorSector
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Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)
Doha Mandate
Reduce/Eliminate Takes into Account
High Tariffs
Tariff Peaks
Tariff Escalation
Non-Tariff Barriers
Special Needs& Interest ofDevelopingCountries
In particular to Product of
Export Interest to Developing
countries
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� Three most liberalized services sectors:
� Tourism
� Financial services
� Telecommunication services
Services Negotiations
� In general, developed countries have made commitments in all major sectors except courier and postal services
� All developing countries have made commitments on tourism services
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Other Key Negotiations under WTO
� SBS / TBT
� Agreement on Agriculture (AOA)
� Anti-Dumping Agreement (ADA)� Anti-Dumping Agreement (ADA)
� Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM)
� Safeguards (SG)
� Dispute Settlement Understanding (DSU)
� Agreement on Import Licencing Procedures
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Doha Negotiations
� Started in Doha in 2001
� Many deadlines have been missed.Many deadlines have been missed.
� 2004
� July 2007
� and…..a few more after that..
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Economic Integration and Interplay with the WTO
Economic Integration refers to the commercial policy of discriminatively reducing or eliminating trade barriers only among the nations joining together.
The degrees of economic integration are as follows:The degrees of economic integration are as follows:
� Preferential trade arrangements� Free trade area� Customs union� Common market� Economic union
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Economic Integration and Development
� LCDs in the region will be able to link their production to the supply chain in the region for eventual export to the destinations outside the region.
� Higher investment from countries in the region will create more employment of semi-skilled and unskilled workers in LCDs in the region. As a result, income of the poor will increase and their quality of life will improve.
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GATT Art. XXIV
� GATT sets out rules with which WTO members must comply in establishing a RTA covering trade in goods. It applies to customs unions (CUs) and free trade areas (FTAs).
WTO Rule on Economic Integration
Article XXIV imposes 3 obligations on WTO members wishing to enter into a RTA covering trade in goods;
• An obligation to notify a RTA to the WTO
• An obligation not to raise the overall level of protection and make access to products of third parties not participating in the RTA more difficult
• An obligation to liberalize substantially all the trade among constituents of the RTA
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WTO & Economic Integration
AEC
NAFTA EU
• Article 24 (GATT 1994)BTA (Interim) / FTA / Customs Union
WTO
JTEPA
TAFTA
TPP
Others(e.g. AANZFTA)
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Forms of Economic Integration
• Common Market
• Economic Union
� Preferential Tariff Arrangement
• Free Trade Arrangement
• Customs Union
• Common Market
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Preferential Trade Arrangements
PTAs provide lower barriers on trade among
participating nations than on trade with nonmember nations. This is the loosest form of economic integration.
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Free Trade Area
An FTA is the form of economic integration wherein all barriers are removed on trade among members, but each nation retains its own barriers to trade with nonmembers.
� Within AFTA framework, Laos reduced customs duties to 0-5% by the end of 2008.
� The government of Thailand has concluded bilateral trade agreements with Australia, New Zealand, Japan and AFTA.
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Customs Union
A customs union allows no tariffs or other barriers on trade among members (as in an FTA), and in addition it harmonized trade policies such as setting common tariff rates toward the rest of the world. rates toward the rest of the world.
� European Common Market 1957
� Mercosur—South Common Market
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Common Market
A common market goes beyond a customs union by also allowing the free movement of labor and by also allowing the free movement of labor and capita among member nations.
� The EU achieved the status of a common market at the beginning of 1993.
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Economic Union
An economic union goes still further by harmonizing or even unifying the monetary and fiscal policies of member states. This is the most advanced type of economic integration.
� The Euro-zone, which consists of 15 member countries within the EU.
Use of single currency = Economic & Monetary Union
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Summary
FTAFTA Customs
Union
Common
Market
Economic
Union
Free trade among Free trade among membersmembers
YesYes YesYes YesYes YesYesmembersmembers
Common external Common external tarifftariff
NoNo YesYes YesYes YesYes
Free resource Free resource mobilitymobility
NoNo NoNo YesYes YesYes
Common macroCommon macro--economic policieseconomic policies
NoNo NoNo NoNo YesYes
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THANK YOU
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THANK YOU
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