OptixPLOT 2020 Handicapping Platform Optix2020 Platform€¦ · optixeq.com Understanding OptixPLOT...

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OptixPLOT 2020 Handicapping Platform

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optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixPLOT - The Basics


What is OptixPLOT™ and how does it differ from other pace reports?

OptixPLOT™ is a multidimensional data-visualization tool that allows horseplayers to analyze races in a completely revolutionary way. Players quickly assess the pace dynamics of a race, while also incorporating the traditional elements of handicapping— class, form, speed, and pace.This helps streamline and reduce the workload involved in developing your overall handicapping process.Through the use of proprietary data, horses are comparatively plotted on a graph based on their relevant running styles and finishing ability in the race. Players get an “at-a-glance” view of how a race is likely to unfold. Each OptixPLOT™ is unique because it evaluates each horse in that particular race relative to every other.

Each horse on OptixPLOT is surrounded either by a CIRCLE or a SQUARE. The geometrical shape and its size define a horse’s “Closing Pace Velocity”; its relative finishing ability. CIRCLES represent horses with average to weak finishing ability, while SQUARES represent horses with average to strong finishing ability. Larger CIRCLES indicate a weaker finishing ability of the horse. Larger SQUARES indicate a stronger finishing ability of the horse.

What do the circles and squares mean?

Each OptixPLOT™ is divided into four quadrants (Q):

• Q1 represents speed horses with relatively solid 2nd-call pace-velocity times. • Q2 generally represents stalkers/off-the-pace types with relatively solid 2nd-call

pace-velocity times or sprinters stretching out to routes. • Q3 generally represents speed horses with relatively weaker 2nd-call pace-

velocity times or off-pace runners coming out of slow pace races where they have been closer up than normal.

• Q4 represents off-the-pace runners/deep closers.

Quadrant 1 - Q1 Quadrant 2 - Q2

Quadrant 3 - Q3 Quadrant 4 - Q4

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optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixPLOT - Quick Tips

QUICK TIPS

• OptixPLOT is a graphical representation of the anticipated pace of the race (i.e., race shape).

• The most reliable/interpretable races have a GREEN PlotFit.

• Individual horses are represented either by SQUARES (strong finishing ability) or CIRCLES (less-than-average finishing ability).

• QUADRANT 1 (early pace) horses win the highest percentage of races.

• SQUARES (late-pace horses) win nearly 50% more than CIRCLES. The larger the SQUARE, the stronger the finishing ability of the horse.

• CIRCLES in QUADRANTS 3 & 4 have a very low win-percentage. Large CIRCLES indicate horses with weak finishing ability.

• An OptixPLOT with a High Contention (flame) and a SpeedRate >= 40 typically favors SQUARES in QUADRANTS 2 & 4.

• An OptixPLOT with a Low Contention (snowflake) and a SpeedRate <= 15 typically favors QUADRANT 1 horses.

EARLY SPEED

STALKERS

CLOSERS

The key steps in any handicapping process include determining pace scenario (fast, slow, contentious), understanding the track profile, and visualizing how pace will unfold early and late in the race. Because of the complex nature of racing, an effective pace handicapping process is essential for long term, consistent success.


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Matching Run Styles: Matching Run Styles:

Matching Run Styles: Matching Run Styles:

Matching RunStyles to OptixPLOT

OptixRPM is the “RunStyle Plot Match,” which gives an at-a-glance view of the different types of run styles employed by each of the horses in this race and whether those styles are a good fit for where the horses are positioned on the PLOT.

• E - Early Speed, Need-The-Lead Types • EP - Early-Speed Types/Pressers • P - Pressers (Stalkers) • PC - Pressers/Closers • C - Closers

optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixPLOT - Matching Run Styles to OptixPLOT


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optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixPLOT - Interpreting Track Profile

SURF DIST OBSERVATIONS/SUGGESTIONS

DIRT 6F• Speed/Pressing types with relative strong late pace velocity, Q1 SQUARES,

have very high Win% (27.2%) and slightly better than break-even ROI$ ($.01)

Quad STAT displays track profile for general biases and is available for all Optixeq tracks as part of your OptixPLOT purchase. It identifies which OptixPLOT run styles are being favored at a particular track, surface, and distance. Please remember that Track Profile Analysis is only one part of a comprehensive pace analysis. Each race will have its own unique pace dynamic that should be interpreted and applied in context with the track profile.

Q1

Q1

Q3

Q3

Q2

Q2

Q4

Q4


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The Race Contention is high (flame). There are 5 runners with similar Early/Presser run styles and the SpeedRate (38) is a bit above average. So we start handicapping by focusing on the off pace squares, #7 SANAVI and #8 INDIGO YANKEE.

#7 SANAVI plots very well in Q2 as a large square. Stalkers/Off pace runners with relative strong late pace (Q2 squares) have a very high Win% (28.8%) and very high ROI$ ($.60%). He ships in from So. Cal and now has a new trainer. Note: he has previously won going 9F at the Spa.

If the early pace really melts down and #7 SANAVI doesn’t show up, consider using #8 INDIGO YANKEE (10/1) who could pick them all up late. He just broke maiden in decent effort while a tad against the race flow. Top New York jock get call for owners who like to win at this meet.

As far as Early Pressers #4 CREA’S BKLYN LAW (12/1) plots the best on a Standard filter Q1 square and his morning line is intriguing. He comes back quick (11d) off decent sprint effort. He has improving OptixFIG numbers, but will still need to improve more to have a chance. We prefer him underneath. #1 MAKE THE RULES , #3 HARANGUE and #6 TIZ NO BLUFF are other early presser types who can factor underneath.

optixeq.comOptixPLOT Sample Interpretation

OFF PACE HORSES


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optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixNOTES - The Grades

• A, A-, B+: represents an impressive performance (color-coded in green).

• B: represents a good/winning performance (color-coded in green).

• B-, C+: represents an average performance (color-coded in black).

• C: represents a poor performance (color-coded in red).

• EX: represents a race in which a horse had a noticeable excuse (color-coded in green).


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OptixNOTES Keywords: • interpret vs. describe a horse’s overall performance. • factor into OptixNOTES grading. • are color-coded for easy use. • are used in impact analysis. • helps maintain standards across multiple tracks.

OptixNOTES Projections are: expert insight into of a horse’s future potential (e.g., improvement or regression, turf, stretch, etc.).

optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixNOTES - Keywords


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KEYWORD COLORS Positive impact Negative impact Impact neutral

LABEL DESCRIPTIONS G: Factored into the performance grade P: Project future impact I: Informational only

optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixNOTES - Keywords


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EXTENDED COMMENTS

The free-form comment the domain-expert has used to describe, in greater detail, a horse’s trip. Some examples below.

May 20 addition of blinkers led to this filly being unmanageable early stages, steadied out of first turn, maybe removal of blinkers and/or cutback to sprint is needed

Apr 16 slight stumble, tugged way toward the front soon after start, got into traffic on the turn, room did eventually open up and she went through ok winner just out-kicked her, maybe all the pulling early cost her late energy, well clear of the 2nd horse

Mar 12 very nice debut; stalked inside while behind horses; had to steady a few times a/t w/nowhere to go; seam opened up and she responded professionally to quicken and win going away

HOVER

optixeq.comUnderstanding OptixNOTES - Extended Comments


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Understanding OptixGRID - Interactive PPs, Sort, Filter Capability , Integrates all other OptixEQ information


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OptixPLOT 2020 Handicapping Platform Optix2020 Platform€¦ · optixeq.com Understanding OptixPLOT...

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