OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR · OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR...

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OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR BUSINESS SWEDEN India June 2015 BUSINESS SWEDEN 1

Transcript of OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR · OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR...

Page 1: OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR · OPPORTUNITIES IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS SECTOR ... LNG: Liquefied Natural Gas O&G: Oil and Gas ... GOVERNMENT OF INDIA Natural gas

OPPORTUNITIES IN THE

INDIAN OIL AND GAS

SECTOR

BUSINESS SWEDEN

India

June 2015

BUSINESS SWEDEN 1

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 2

SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS

India is the fourth-largest consumer of oil and petroleum products in the world after the US, China, and Japan

The country is heavily reliant on the import of crude oil, growing at 7.7% CAGR over the past 7 years. 80% of crude oil

demand is met through imports and rest from local production.

During the last 7 years, natural gas imports has witnessed a growth of 8.5% CAGR, where as the local production of

natural gas has been volatile in the range of 32 to 52 BCM per year.

Production is well balanced between onshore and offshore for crude oil. In contrast, 75% of natural gas is produced

offshore.

India has 762 MMT (0.3% of the world’s) recoverable reserve of crude oil, and 1,427 BCM (0.7% of the world’s)

recoverable reserve of natural gas. These reserves should be sufficient to meet 20 years of crude oil production and

30 years of natural gas production with the current production capacity.

Indian private companies play a prominent role during the exploration, well-development and refining stages of the oil

and gas value chain.

Crude oil and natural gas pipeline infrastructure is dominated by public sector companies, and private firms own 10%

length of this infrastructure.

Despite allowing 100% Foreign Direct Investment in exploration, refining, pipeline, and marketing of oil & gas, there

are limited number of foreign companies operating in India, where the British (including Scottish) and Dutch

companies are predominant international players.

Vast opportunities exist for Swedish companies to tap-in across the oil and gas value chain from setting up of refinery

infrastructure, pipeline transportation, providing professional services, to Shale gas exploration, and technology

partnership in upstream.

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 3

ABBREVIATIONS

Public sector companies

AGC: Assam Gas Company Limited

BPCL: Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited

CPCL: Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited

GAIL: Gas Authority of India Limited

GSPL: Gujarat State Petronet Limited

HPCL: Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

IOCL: Indian Oil Corporation Limited

MRPL: Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited

OIL: Oil India Limited

ONGC: Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

Private sector companies

EOL: Essar Oil Limited

RPL: Reliance Petroleum Limited

Joint venture companies (non-exhaustive)

BORL: Bharat Oman Refineries Limited

HMEL: HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited

Industry terminologies

LNG: Liquefied Natural Gas

O&G: Oil and Gas

PSU: Public Sector Undertaking

Measurement units

BCM: Billion Cubic Metres of natural gas

MMT: Million Metric Tons of oil equivalent

MMSCMD: Million Metric Standard Cubic Metre

Per Day

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 4

KEY PLAYERS IN THE INDIAN OIL AND GAS VALUE

CHAIN

Ministry of Petroleum and

Natural Gas

ONGC Private/ JVs OIL

ONGC BPCL IOCL Private/ JVs GAIL

Petroleum

Planning and

Analysis Cell

Center for

High

Technology

Petroleum

Conservation

Research

Institute

Petro Fed

Oil Industry

Safety

Directorate

Petroleum

India

International

Upstream

(exploration and production)

Downstream

(refining , transportation and

marketing)

Industry bodies / Others

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Globally, India is the fourth-largest consumer

of oil and petroleum products after the US,

China, and Japan

Oil and gas constitutes over one-third of

India’s energy usage

Industry dynamics

Highly regulated industry, where fuel prices

for consumers is regulated

Fuel subsidies are shouldered by the

government and state-owned upstream

companies

An inconsistent energy sector reform

BUSINESS SWEDEN 5

OIL AND GAS COMBINED, IS THE SECOND LARGEST

SOURCE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN INDIA

SOURCE: U.S. ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION

44%

23%

22%

7% 4% Coal

Solid biomass & waste

Petroleum

Natural gas

Nuclear & otherrenewables

Total energy consumption in India

2013

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 6

INDIA IS HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON IMPORTS, WHERE

80% OF ITS CRUDE OIL DEMAND IS IMPORTED…

SOURCE: INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS 2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

34 33 33 37 38 37 37

121 132

159 163 171

184 189

200

7-0

8

200

8-0

9

200

9-1

0

201

0-1

1

201

1-1

2

201

2-1

3

201

3-1

4

Production Import

Crude oil production and imports in India

in MMT*, FY 2008-14

* MMT: MILLION METRIC TONS

CAGR

1.4%

CAGR

7.7%

60%

10%

30%

ONGC

OIL

Private/

JVs

51% 49%

Onshore

Offshore

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32 32

47 52

47

40 35

11 11 13 14 18 18 18

Production Import

BUSINESS SWEDEN 7

…AND IMPORT OF NATURAL GAS HAS SHOT UP BY 65%

OVER THE PAST FIVE YEARS

SOURCE: INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS 2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA * BCM: BILLION CUBIC METRES

Natural gas production and imports in India

in BCM*, FY 2008-14

CAGR

1.5%

CAGR

8.5%

20

08

-09

20

09

-10

20

10

-11

20

11-1

2

20

12

-13

20

13

-14

20

07

-08

65%

7%

28%

ONGC

25%

75%

Onshore

Offshore

OIL

Private/

JVs

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 8

THE LIMITED O&G RESERVE IS SUFFICIENT TO MEET

30 YEARS OF PRODUCTION WITH CURRENT CAPACITY

SOURCE: INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS 2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

Natural gas recoverable reserve

2014

50%

23%

18%

6% 3%

Offshore

Assam

Gujarat

Rajasthan

Others

Crude oil recoverable reserve

2014

68%

10%

5%

3%

14%

Offshore

Assam

Gujarat

Andhra

Others*

* OTHER STATES WITH MAJOR RESERVES OF NATURAL GAS ARE TRIPURA, TAMIL NADU, MADHYA

PRADESH, WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND AND RAJASTHAN

99.7% 0.3% 99.3% 0.7%

India

1,427 BCM

India

762 MMT

World

238,000 MMT World

183,618 BCM

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13 620

2 111

7 019

730

2 306

4 044

Oil Gas Dry Undertest

Injector Others

BUSINESS SWEDEN 9

ONGC AND PRIVATE FIRMS ARE PUSHING FORWARD

EXPLORATION AND WELL DEVELOPMENT

SOURCE: INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS 2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

Status of wells in India

in number of wells, FY 2013-14

194

207

2007-08 2013-14

Total wells: 29,830

Exploratory & development drilling by companies

in number of wells, FY 2013-14

Total wells: 682

389 34 259

ONGC Private/ JVs OIL

Exploratory

303

475

2007-08 2013-14

Development

57% 7%

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56% 37% 7%

BUSINESS SWEDEN 10

RELIANCE, INDIA’S BIGGEST PRIVATE COMPANY HAS

THE LARGEST PETROLEUM REFINING CAPACITY

SOURCE: INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS 2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

Petroleum refining capacity in India

Total: 215 MMTPA, 2014

Public sector firms: 120 (in MMTPA)

IOCL: 54

BPCL: 21

HPCL: 14

CPCL: 11

MRPL: 15

Private sector firms: 80 (in MMTPA)

Reliance Industries: 60

Essar Oil: 20

JV firms: 15 (in MMTPA)

BPCL, BORL: 6

HMEL: 9

Public sector Private sector JVs

WITH 215 MMTPA REFINING CAPACITY, INDIA IS THE SECOND LARGEST REFINER IN ASIA AFTER CHINA

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 11

STATE OWNED FIRMS DOMINATE THE PIPELINE

INFRASTRUCTURE IN INDIA...

Crude oil pipeline infrastructure

2014

SOURCE: ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION, INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS

2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

Refinery

Crude oil pipeline

Pipeline length: 9,573 km

93%

7%

Onshore

Offshore

47%

12%

12%

11%

10%

8%

IOCL

ONGC

OIL

HMEL

Private/ JVs

Ownership

by pipeline

length

BORL

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 12

...AND PRIVATE FIRMS OWN ONE-TENTH OF O&G

PIPELINE INFRASTRUCTURE

SOURCE: ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION, INDIAN PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS STATISTICS

2013-14, GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

Regasification plant

Natural gas pipeline

Natural gas pipeline infrastructure

2014

Pipeline length: 18,020 km

60%

12%

6% 6%

16%

GAIL

Ownership

by pipeline

length

GSPL

ONGC

AGC

Private/ JVs

92%

8%

Onshore

Offshore

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 13

OVERVIEW OF CURRENT REGULATORY SCENARIO

IN THE INDIAN O&G SECTOR

Petroleum refining by PSUs

Sub-category Entry Route FDI Limit

Automatic

FDI limit varies with type of business activity in India

* PSU: PUBLIC SECTOR UNDERTAKING SOURCE: MINISTRY OF PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS

Marketing and related infrastructure of

petroleum products & natural gas 100% Automatic

LNG re-gasification Automatic

Market study and formulation, and

petroleum refining in private sector Automatic

Up to 49%

100%

100%

100%

Exploration activities of oil and natural

gas fields 100% Automatic

Petroleum product pipeline, natural

gas/pipelines Automatic

100% FDI IS ALLOWED IN EXPLORATION, REFINING, PIPELINES AND MARKETING OF OIL & GAS

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 14

BRITISH AND DUTCH COMPANIES ARE PREDOMINANT

INTERNATIONAL PLAYERS IN INDIAN O&G SECTOR

Only a handful of foreign companies have presence in the Indian oil and gas sector

British Petroleum is the largest international oil

company in India. It has a gas value chain alliance

with Reliance Industries Ltd. covering exploration,

production, gas marketing, and sells Castrol

lubricants

Cairn India is one of the largest independent oil and gas

exploration and production companies in India, having a

portfolio of 9 blocks (onshore/offshore)

BG Group of Scotland has presence in the upstream

exploration and production, and in the downstream

through LNG shipping and marketing

Shell is so far the only international company to enter the Indian

fuel retail market. It operates LNG storage, re-gasification

terminal, and has a presence in lubricants and bitumen

business

SOURCE: COMPANY WEBSITES

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BUSINESS SWEDEN 15

VAST OPPORTUNITIES EXIST FOR SWEDISH

COMPANIES IN INDIA ACROSS THE O&G VALUE CHAIN

SOURCE: FICCI, MAKE IN INDIA

Refinery infrastructure

Swedish companies can invest in

export-oriented infrastructure for

refinery, including export terminals

Equipment companies

Professional services

Swedish professional service firms

can provide advisory and financial

services across the oil and gas

value chain

48% of India’s sedimentary area is

yet to be explored, along with the

setting-up of the city gas

distribution network. This offers

untapped opportunities for

Swedish equipment companies

Pipeline transportation

Shale exploration

Technology partnership in

upstream

Swedish firms can invest in

pipelines, as only 35% of

petroleum product movement

happens by pipeline in India, in

contrast to 60% in the US and

other developed markets

Opportunities exist for Swedish

companies with technical expertise,

in exploration of deep & ultra-deep

water oil & gas resources

India has recoverable shale gas

resources of nearly 96 Trillion cubic

feet, which essentially provides

major opportunities for Swedish

exploration firms

INVESTMENTS WORTH USD 600 BILLION IS EXPECTED DURING 2012-30 ACROSS THE O&G VALUE CHAIN

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NEW DELHI

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Embassy of Sweden, Nyaya Marg,

Chanakya Puri, New Delhi-110021,

INDIA

T +91 11 46067100

[email protected]

www.business-sweden.se/indien

CONTACT US

BUSINESS SWEDEN IN INDIA

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sweden.se/indien

We are located in India since

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