Operational tools for strategic decisions on public investments - DD4D
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Transcript of Operational tools for strategic decisions on public investments - DD4D
Public investments verification unit UVER
OPERATIONAL TOOLS FOR STRATEGIC DECISIONSON PUBLIC INVESTMENTS
Department for development and economic cohesionPublic investments verification unit (UVER)Monitoring and Statistics Area
CARLO AMATI
Public investments verification unit UVER
In the domain of public investmentsdata are NOT always designed for decisions
betweenDATA
andDECISIONS
UVER transforms data into knowledge for strategic decisions on public UVER transforms data into knowledge for strategic decisions on public investmentsinvestments
starting from an enlarged perspective on a monitoring system on public investments
UVER bridges the gap
Public investments verification unit UVER
Monitoring is much more than data collection
The aim of a monitoring system is to produce knowledge in order to support decision making
DATA COLLECTION
SYSTEM
DATA COLLECTION
SYSTEM
DATA ANALYSIS SYSTEM
DATA ANALYSIS SYSTEM
DATA INTERPRETATION
SYSTEM
DATA INTERPRETATION
SYSTEM
Achievements and effectson reality
Decisions RulesPolicy
ICT SYSTEMSICT SYSTEMS
The components of a monitoring system on public investmentsThe components of a monitoring system on public investments
Public investments verification unit UVER
Four examples of UVER products
How UVER transforms data into knowledge for strategic decisions on public How UVER transforms data into knowledge for strategic decisions on public investmentsinvestments
DATA COLLECTION
SYSTEM
DATA COLLECTION
SYSTEM
SYSTEMINTEGRATION
Links among major public investments repositories
DATA ANALYSISSYSTEM
DATA ANALYSISSYSTEM
THEMATIC ANALYSES
Development or conservation?
DATA INTERPRETATION
SYSTEM
DATA INTERPRETATION
SYSTEM
THEMATIC FOCUSES
The forecasting system forthe expenditure of public
investments0bn €
5bn €
10bn €
15bn €
20bn €
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
INTERACTIVETOOLS
VISTO: Interactive Visualisation of Project Length Estimates
Public investments verification unit UVER
A unitary vision requires integration
Contracts
Tenders
Interventions
Operations
ProjectsInterministerialCommittee CIPE
EU Structural Funds
FAS – Fund for Lagging Areas
SurveillanceAuthority
Telemat
2000-2006
Tenders
Tenders
ContractsProjects
ProjectsInterministerialCommittee CIPE
NationalStrategic
Framework
SurveillanceAuthority
Telemat
Contracts
2007-2013
System integration – Links among major public investments repositoriesSystem integration – Links among major public investments repositories
Public investments verification unit UVER
More developmentMore conservation
Tenders for public works 2001-2006
Total amount: ~ 250 billion euros
FAS regional programmes planned in the period 2001-2006
Total amount: ~ 50 billion euros
Thematic analysis – Development or conservation?Thematic analysis – Development or conservation?
Are resources used for the expected purpose?
Public investments verification unit UVER
The forecast for FAS regional programmes
Thematic focus – The forecasting system for the expenditure of public investmentsThematic focus – The forecasting system for the expenditure of public investments
0bn €
5bn €
10bn €
15bn €
20bn €
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
I nitial monitoring estimates 2006 monitoring data
2006 UVER forecast 2008 monitoring data
Public investments verification unit UVER
Thematic focus – The forecasting system for the expenditure of public investmentsThematic focus – The forecasting system for the expenditure of public investments
0bn €
5bn €
10bn €
15bn €
20bn €
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
I nitial monitoring estimates 2006 monitoring data
2006 UVER forecast 2008 monitoring data
Can be used for:
optimal financial planning
scenarios
regional comparisons
The forecasting system is built on individual forecasts for each project and is based on past observed behaviour, given the project’s features (cost, sector, type, etc.), the category of the contracting body and the territorial context where it is located.
Specific reports are produced on FAS regional programmes but there is not an application available to generic users yet.
The forecast for FAS regional programmes
Public investments verification unit UVER
An interactive operational tool
Interactive tool – VISTO: Interactive Visualisation of Project Length EstimatesInteractive tool – VISTO: Interactive Visualisation of Project Length Estimates
Interactive Visualisation of Project Length
Estimates
Can be used for:
benchmarking
early-warning
assessment
VISTO is:
a simple interface of complex data based on predictive models
transparent to institutions and citizens
a universal tool for “clinical diagnosis”
Public investments verification unit UVER
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CONTRACTING BODYCONTRACTING BODY
EXTERNALSETTING
(SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONTEXT)
EXTERNALSETTING
(SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONTEXT)
NATURE AND BEHAVIOUR OF
PROJECT
NATURE AND BEHAVIOUR OF
PROJECT
PRELIMINARYDESIGN
DETAILEDDESIGN
EXECUTIVEDESIGN TENDER WORKS
CUP
APQDevelopment
Conservation
Surv
ival
mod
els
VISTO behind the scenes
A simple interface of complex data based on predictive modelsA simple interface of complex data based on predictive models
TEXT MINER