Opening Addresses
description
Transcript of Opening Addresses
Opening AddressesOpening Addresses
Jan. 11M. Kikuchi, JAERI
Jan. 11M. Kikuchi, JAERI
US-Japan Workshop on Fusion Power Plants and Related Advanced Technologies with
participation of EU January 11-13, 2005 at Tokyo, JAPAN
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US-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activityUS-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activity(From my memory)(From my memory)
US-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activityUS-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activity(From my memory)(From my memory)
1st 1989(JAERI,May29-39):ARIES-I, SSTR, ---2nd 1990(UCLA,Oct.15-17):ARIES-I, SSTR, CFAR3rd 1992(JAERI,Mar.9-11): ARIES-II/IV,SSTR-2, ST(TARTRs)4th 1993(UCLA,Sep.17) : in conjunction with IAEA-TCM5th 1995(Kyoto U.,Mar.13-16): STARLITE,SEAFP, FFHR, Pulsar, IDLT
1st 1989(JAERI,May29-39):ARIES-I, SSTR, ---2nd 1990(UCLA,Oct.15-17):ARIES-I, SSTR, CFAR3rd 1992(JAERI,Mar.9-11): ARIES-II/IV,SSTR-2, ST(TARTRs)4th 1993(UCLA,Sep.17) : in conjunction with IAEA-TCM5th 1995(Kyoto U.,Mar.13-16): STARLITE,SEAFP, FFHR, Pulsar, IDLT
?th 1999(Kyoto U.,Mar.24-26): CREST, ARIES-ST, DREAM,FFHR?th 2000(UCSD,Mar.16-17): ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,FFHR,CREST,ESE?th 2001(U. Tokyo,ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,CREST,FFHR,ESE?th 2002(UCSD,Apr.6-7): FFHR, Laser, ESE?th 2003(UCSD,Oct.9-11): ARIES-IFE, ARIES-CH,FFHR, ESE?th 2005(JAERI/UT,Jan.11-13): FFHR, ARIES-CH, VECTOR
?th 1999(Kyoto U.,Mar.24-26): CREST, ARIES-ST, DREAM,FFHR?th 2000(UCSD,Mar.16-17): ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,FFHR,CREST,ESE?th 2001(U. Tokyo,ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,CREST,FFHR,ESE?th 2002(UCSD,Apr.6-7): FFHR, Laser, ESE?th 2003(UCSD,Oct.9-11): ARIES-IFE, ARIES-CH,FFHR, ESE?th 2005(JAERI/UT,Jan.11-13): FFHR, ARIES-CH, VECTOR
Other Frameworks
Note : IEA FPCC recommends coordination among various frameworks
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[2] IAEA framework : IAEA technical meeting on 1st generation of fusion power plants
[1] IEA framework : International Energy Agency Cooperative Agreement on Environmental, Safety, and Economic Aspects of Fusion Power
Roadmap to Fusion DEMORoadmap to Fusion DEMO
2010 2015 2020 2025 2035
DecomissioningConstruction
Development of breeding blanket
Fusion material development (inc. IFMIF)
Achieve Q=20, 400sAchieve Q~5 steady-state operationProof of principle of breeding blanket
Confirm physics database
Confirm material database
DEMO physics input for starting EDA
construction power production
Grid connection
licencing
2005FY
ITER program
Satelite TokamaksAnd other devices
Fusion technology development
DEMO
Basic performance phase
Decision of construction
JT-60 and JET
2030
Performance extension phase
Test of breeding blanket
Coordination of DEMO physics and tech. R&D
CDA-like EDA/R&DConcept exploration
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JA,US,EU road map is similar targeting power production early 2030
DEMO requirementFusion must be economically competitive to enter energy marketDEMO requirementFusion must be economically competitive to enter energy market
Prediction of world energy prospect for a case withAssumptions ;Improving rate of energy efficiency ; -1.3%/year (E/GDP)Cost of large scale solar power (2030 to 2100) ; electricity 5 to 2 cent/kWh, hydrogen 33 to 22$/barrel Cost of fusion power (2030 to 2100) ; electricity 30to 3 cent/kWh, hydrogen 110 to 19$/barrel
Coal
OilNon-conventional oil
Gas
Non-conventional gas
Fission
Hydro
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
21.4Gton
16.5Gton Renewable(Hydrogen)
Renewable
Fusion
Fusion(Hydrogen)
Primary Energy Consumption [Mtoe] Result Prospect
From Dr. Itoh ofnihon energy keizai kennkyuusho
2000 2010 2030 2050 2070 2100
40
30
20
10
0
Fusion
Fossil
Solar
CO
E (
cent
/kW
h)
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4. Comparison with Fission Core
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2 4 6 8 10246810 0(m)
2 4 6 8 10246810 02 4 6 8 10246810 0
Reactor vessel of MONJ YUReactor vessel of A- BWR ITER- FEAT
19.0m
24.5m
10.4m
7m
14m
21m
7.1m
26 m
ARIES-RS
A=4
Remarks
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1. Significant progress has been made in these 15 year on fusion reactor design interacting with experiments.
2. Next 15 years are critically important to identify DEMO to be constructed after ITER.
3. I hope successful workshop!