8/8/2019 Ontario Demographic Quarterly-Third Q

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Population Growth

Ontarios population reached 13,119,251 on October 1,2009, with growth of 50,069 people in the third quarter.

This compares to growth of 49,381 in the same quarterof the previous year.

Highlights of Third Quarter 2009

Births and Deaths

Births and deaths increased by 1.0 per cent and3.0 per cent, respectively, from the same quarter of

2008.

Natural increase (births minus deaths) was 15,313 in the

quarter, down from 15,576 in the same quarter of 2008.Over the last 12 months (October 1, 2008 to September30, 2009), natural increase was 47,840, down3.3 per cent from 49,462 in the previous year.

International Migration

Immigration to Ontario was 31,377 in the quarter, adecline of 1.3 per cent from the level of 31,798 in thesame quarter of the previous year. Ontario received

41.6 per cent of all immigrants to Canada in the quarter,down from 44.6 per cent in the same quarter of 2008.

Over the last 12 months, Ontario received 106,626immigrants, down from 113,557 during the previous

year.There were 5,821 emigrants from Ontario in the quarter,

essentially unchanged from 5,747 in the same quarterof the previous year. Ontario accounted for 52.2 per cent

of all emigration from Canada in the quarter. Over thelast 12 months, 19,022 people emigrated from Ontario,

a number similar to 18,879 during the previous year.

The number of non-permanent residents in Ontario(NPRs i.e. foreign students, visa workers, refugee

claimants) increased by 10,948 to 237,472 in the thirdquarter.

In summary, net international migration was 36,504 inthe third quarter, down from 37,005 in the same quarter

of the previous year. Net international migration overthe last 12 months was 103,020, down from 106,910during the previous year.

December 23, 2009

For more information contact Alex Munger (416) 325-0102.

Year-Over-Year GrowthOver the 12-month period ending September 30, 2009,

Ontarios population grew by 133,574 or 1.0 per cent,down from 142,624 or 1.1 per cent in the previous year.

Among the provinces, Alberta has the highest growthrate (2.3 per cent). Canadas population growth rate

over the period was 1.2 per cent.

ONTARIO DEMOGRAPHIC QUARTERLYMinistry of Finance

Office of Economic PolicyLabour and Demographic Analysis Branch

23.0Plus Interprovincial Arrivals

24.7Minus Interprovincial Departures

13,119.3Population, October 1, 2009

10.9Plus Net Change in Non-Permanent Residents

Source: Statistics Canada

31.4Plus Immigrants

5.8Minus Net Emigrants

22.1Minus Deaths

37.4

13,069.2

(Thousands)

Population Growth, Ontario, 3rd Quarter, 2009

Plus Births

Population, July 1, 2009

* Rest of Canada: Atlantic Canada, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and the territories.Source: Statistics Canada.

Provincial Share of Immigrants to CanadaQ3 1971 to Q3 2009

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007

Quarterly Share of immigrants to Canada (%)

Ontario

British Columbia

Quebec

Alberta

Rest of Canada*

Year

Interprovincial Migration

In the third quarter of 2009, Ontario had a net loss of

1,748 people to other provinces compared to a net lossof 3,200 people in the same quarter of 2008. Ontarioexperienced net losses in its exchanges with 7 of the

12 other provinces and territories with the largest netloss to British Columbia (1,040). Over the last

12 months, the net loss was 17,286, compared to a13,748 loss during the previous year.

8/8/2019 Ontario Demographic Quarterly-Third Q

2/2

1.8

4.3

12.1

12.9

21.7

47.2

n.a.

n.a.

80.2

84.1

1.58

46-65

39.7

59.1

14.2

69.4

16.5

6.6

7.5

28.2

27.6

13.6

11.2

5.3

1.139.3

13,335

33,910

2011

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

44-63

39.2

59.7

13.7

69.4

16.9

6.5

7.2

27.5

28.1

13.7

11.5

5.4

1.038.7

13,069

33,740

2009

Postcensal Estimates1

1.9

4.4

12.3

13.1

21.8

46.5

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

43-62

38.9

60.0

13.5

69.4

17.2

6.4

7.0

27.0

28.6

13.8

11.8

5.4

1.138.8

12,936

33,327

2008

1.9

4.5

12.5

13.1

21.9

46.1

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

1.57

42-61

38.7

60.3

13.2

69.3

17.5

6.3

6.9

26.5

29.0

13.8

12.0

5.5

1.038.9

12,795

32,932

2007

MOF Projections2

11.2

12.3

10.9

12.1

10.7

11.9

11.8

12.7

11.4

12.5

3.33.43.63.84.0

12.613.013.413.7Southwestern

1.31.41.51.61.71.92.12.32.4Northwestern

21.721.6 21.621.7 21.6

49.0

n.a.

n.a.

82.4

85.7

1.64

56-75

40.9

65.8

17.9

65.8

16.4

7.7

10.2

26.8

27.5

11.4

10.7

5.6

1.241.1

15,038

36,609

2021

51.2

n.a.

n.a.

85.3

87.8

1.66

71-90

43.1

81.6

23.2

60.7

16.1

12.2

11.0

24.2

25.0

11.5

11.0

5.1

1.144.5

17,816

39,999

2036

4.5

13.2

22.0

45.8

4,555

3,422

78.9

83.2

1.55

41-60

38.4

60.6

13.1

69.1

17.8

6.2

6.9

25.9

29.4

13.8

12.3

5.5

1.338.9

12,665

32,576

2006

48.2

n.a.

n.a.

81.4

84.9

1.61

51-70

40.4

61.0

16.0

67.8

16.2

7.0

9.0

27.9

27.5

12.4

10.7

5.5

1.240.1

14,146

35,267

2016

50.5

n.a.

n.a.

84.4

87.1

1.66

66-85

42.3

79.2

22.2

61.3

16.5

10.5

11.7

24.1

26.1

11.1

11.2

5.3

1.143.3

16,906

39,029

2031

49.8

n.a.

n.a.

83.4

86.4

1.66

61-80

41.6

72.5

20.1

63.3

16.6

9.1

11.0

25.3

27.0

11.1

11.0

5.6

1.242.2

15,974

37,883

2026

REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION (%)

44.543.042.0GTA

22.122.122.2Central

13.513.813.9Eastern

4.85.45.8Northeastern

3,1912,9332,727Families (000s)5

1.531.611.66Total Fertility Rate4

82.181.380.8Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4

77.575.975.0Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)4

OTHER CHARACTERISTICS

63.164.162.6Total Dependency Ratio (%)3

36.735.033.3Median Age (yrs.)

36-5531-5026-45Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.)

SELECTED AGE GROUPS (%)

19.420.320.2014

68.167.468.31564

12.512.211.565+

4,2193,9253,638Households (000s)5

5.65.04.675+

7.07.37.06574

AGE DISTRIBUTION (%)

5.96.87.004

13.513.513.2514

13.413.214.51524

31.532.934.32544

23.221.319.64564

(Over previous year shown)

1.41.22.0Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate

200119961991

37.4

11,083

29,610

37.2

10,431

28,037

Intercensal Estimates

38.4

11,897

31,019

POPULATION (000s)

Ontario as % of Canada

Ontario

Canada

-1994751041519107489214013312,936200809

-1576621071019115508913914212,795200708

693033715014112458425640365981411,08319962001

-20795999219115518613712912,665200607

1. Statistics Canadas population estimates, components of change and age groups are 2006 Census-based adjusted for net undercoverage.

2. Except for Canada, all projections are produced by the Ontario Ministry of Finance (Fall 2009). Projections for Canada are from Statistics Canada (based on the 2001Census).

3. Total dependency ratio is the ratio of the population aged 019 and 65+ to the population aged 20-64.

4. Total Fertility Rates and life expectancy estimates are for calendar year, and projections are for census year.

5. Families and households are Census data.

6. In the Components of Change table, flows are for the 12-month period July 1 to June 30. Net international migration is calculated as the net balance of immigrants,net emigrants and net non-permanent residents (NPRs).

Note: All population figures are for July 1st.

Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance and Statistics Canada.

Annual

COMPONENTS OF CHANGE (000s) 6 Year Beginning July 1st

-30336307607439065324041865876911,897200106

Population,

Beginning

of Period

381

Deaths

123

Net

Emig.

738

Births

Interprovincial Migration

10,431 652

Total

Change

357

Natural

Increase

Five-Year

632

Immig.

International Migration

-115

Net

NPRs

394

Net

338

In

378

Out NetPeriod

-40199196

ONTARIO DEMOGRAPHIC FACTSHEET1

Ministry of Finance Page 2

Office of Economic PolicyLabour and Demographic Analysis Branch

December 23, 2009