Only 4 economic sectors generate material wealth
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Transcript of Only 4 economic sectors generate material wealth
Smart Manufacturing &High Technology NH’s Leading Economic Sector
Dennis DelayEconomist, NHCPPSDecember 2011
“…to raise new ideas and improve policy debates through quality information and analysis on issues shaping New Hampshire’s future.”
Only 4 economic sectors generate material wealth
• Agriculture• is limited by natural resources.
• Mining• is also limited by natural resources.
• Construction• is not easily transferable across national and international
borders.
• Manufacturing• is not limited by natural resources, and
• is transferable across national and international borders.
Other sectors of the economy do create wealth, but don’t produce material wealth
• Real Estate• is dominated by imputed and actual rental income
on property.
• Health Care and Social Assistance• relies on the material wealth creating sectors, while
improving our longevity and overall quality of life.
• Retail Trade• also relies on the goods created in the material
wealth creating sectors.
Manufacturing is important to NH
New Hampshire Total Compensation Paid by Selected Industries(Thousands of Dollars)
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Manufacturing + High Tech
Healthcare
Retail Trade
Finance
Construction
Education
Real Estate
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
SMHT employers provide high wage jobs for NH workers
New Hampshire Compensation per Employee for Selected Industries
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Finance
HealthcareEducation
Real Estate
Construction
Retail Trade
Manufacturing + High Tech
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Top export industry in terms of employment - tourism second
Source: INHS Tourism Satellite Account FY2010
NH Direct Export Employment FY 2010
Manufacturing, 65,842
Travel & Tourism, 54,393
Education, HealthCare, 35,290
Retail Trade, 23,203
Other Services, 21,171
Transport, Wholesale Trade,
20,155
Construction, 18,069
Fin, Ins, Real Est, 13,132
Agriculture, Mining, Forestry, 3,523
Utilities/Information, 8,209
Higher wages support GSP from sales outside of the state
Source: INHS Tourism Satellite Account FY2010
GSP Supported by Sales Outside of New Hampshire, 2010, Billions of $
$5.2
$3.6
$3.6
$3.3
$3.1
$2.2
$1.9
$19.0
Manufacturing
Transport, WholesaleTrade
Travel & Tourism
Education, HealthCare
Utilities/Information
Retail Trade
Other Services
Construction
Manufacturing is 5 Times Largerthan Tourism
NH Manufacturing - support for public services
NH Manufacturers paid over $100 million in combined State BPT and BET in FY2008.
Manufacturers also pay state and local property taxes, unemployment insurance taxes, etc.
100 new manufacturing jobs in NH results in an additional 66 indirect and induced jobs in the rest of the NH economy, and adds (per year) • $9 million in earnings.
• $17 million in Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
• Generates $1.0 million in state and local tax revenue.
Source: Connect New England Model, 2011 update
Manufacturing Economic Multiplier
Increase in New Hampshire Personal Income from Adding 100 Jobs in:
$13,400,690
$6,748,506
$3,850,114
Manufacturing Healthcare Tourism
Source: Connect Northern New England Economic Scenario Model, 2011
NH SMHT BIA Online Survey
Membership of the Business and Industry Association and High Technology Council, specifically those members who have been identified as SMHT companies.
Respondents ranked the competitive pressures they operate under, in particular when considering continuing or increasing production at a NH-based facility.
Ranked the importance of factors on a scale of 1 to 5 (1=low importance to 5=high importance).
NH SMHT under pressure
Important Factors Considered in an Expansion Decision
85%
73%69% 69%
65%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
HealthCare Costs Regulation, includingenvironmental
compliance and laborregulations
Energy costs Cost of labor, adjustedfor skill level and
educational attainment
State Business Taxes
Pe
rce
nt
Co
nsi
de
ring
Me
diu
m t
o H
igh
Im
po
rta
nce
NH SMHT legislative priorities
Most Important Legislative Initiatives
73%
65%62%
50% 50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Reducing the BPT taxrate
Preserving the BETcredit applied against
the BPT
Reducing the BET taxrate
Increased state R&Dtax credit
Improving netoperating loss carry-forward provisions
Pe
rce
nt
Co
nsi
de
ring
Me
diu
m t
o H
igh
Im
po
rta
nce
NH SMHT policy priorities
Most Important Policy Initiatives
81%
65%
50%46%
31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Lowering health carecosts
Lowering energy costs Improving workforcetraining, including
partnerships betweensecondary and post-
secondary schools andyour business
Lowering propertytaxes
Improving the statehigh speed
telecommunications(broadband)infrastructure
Per
cent
Con
side
ring
Med
ium
to
Hig
h Im
por
tanc
e
NH Manufacturing competes nationally and globally
Globalization, offshoring and outsourcing, the rapid pace of technological change, and rising costs of healthcare and other labor costs all have a more profound impact on manufacturing than on any other industry.
Consider globalization – the average school administrator or housing professional probably does not think much about the Far East. But because state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities are now operating in China and elsewhere in the world, NH’s local manufacturers have to stay current with the latest technological advances just to stay in the game.
NH competes with the world on wages
Hourly Compensation (Wages plus Benefits)
$28.92$30.79
$27.16 $27.69 $26.75
$3.91
$0.91 $1.47 $1.46
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
$35.00
NH VA NC SC TX
Mex
icoIn
dia
China
Mala
ysia
NH competes with the world on energy prices
Industrial Electricity Prices in Cents per KWH
12.5
6.9 6.45.8
6.7
12.6
18.0
11.0
7.4
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
NH VA NC SC TX Mexico India China Malaysia
NH competes with the world on healthcare costs
Healthcare Expenditures per Person 2008
$8,235
$7,128 $7,379 $7,359
$6,545
$852
$40 $143 $307
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
NH VA NC SC TX
Mex
icoIn
dia
China
Mala
ysia
NH competes with the world on corporate taxes
Corporate Income Tax Rates (%)
35 35 35 35 3528
34
25 25
0.0
7.16.08.5
5.0
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
NH VA NC SC TX
Mex
icoIn
dia
China
Mala
ysia
State RatesCountry Rates
How can State policy encourage SMHT?
Healthcare policy• Costs most significant competitive pressure for SMHT
Encourage workforce development and education• Human capital is a key determinant to economic prosperity
Invest in infrastructure• Effective use of state resources
Tax policy• Business tax credits do foster targeted activity
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“…to raise new ideas and improve policy debates through quality information and analysis on issues shaping New Hampshire’s future.”
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David Alukonis
Michael Buckley
William H. Dunlap
Sheila T. Francoeur
Stephen Reno
Stuart V. Smith, Jr.
Donna Sytek
Brian F. Walsh
Kimon S. Zachos
Martin L. Gross, Chair Emeritus
John D. Crosier, Sr., Emeritus
New Hampshire Center New Hampshire Center for Public Policy Studiesfor Public Policy Studies
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