Onacha Rwanda Geothermal Resources Development

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    GeothermalExplorationand

    Development

    in

    Rwanda

    Strategyforaccelerateddevelopment

    StephenOnacha,Uwera Rutagarama,Nepo Namugize

    01/09/ 2010 EAPIC Nairobi,

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    Outline

    Introduction

    RwandaEnergy

    Sector

    Objectives

    2010

    to

    2015

    EvidenceofgeothermalresourcesinRwanda

    Current

    Status

    and

    preliminary

    findings

    Issuesaffecting geothermaldevelopment

    Immediate

    goals

    Whatneedstobedoneandbywho?

    RGRES

    options,

    timing,

    costs

    etc

    TheInstituteofEarthScienceandEngineering

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    Rwanda Energy Sector Objectives

    IncreaseaccesstoElectricity inRwandato35%of

    thepopulation

    by

    2020

    Reducecostsofenergyandmakeenergy

    services costreflective

    DiversifyEnergy

    Sources

    and

    ensure

    security

    of supply

    CurrentGenerationCapacity&Mix

    86%

    Biomass

    11Hydrocarbons

    3%electricity(85MWe) 37.8MWefrom diesel,

    41.7MWe

    from

    hydro

    and

    10.5

    MWe

    imported

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    Activity Inputs/Costs

    (USD)

    Privatesector

    contribution

    Indicators Timeframe Responsibility

    DevelopHydro 200M 10% 60MWe 10MWeby2010 MININFRA,

    RECO,RURA,

    PrivateSector

    Geothermal 75M 20MWe 5wellsby2013,

    powerplantby

    2015

    and

    additionalsurface

    exploration

    MININFRA,

    RECO,RURA,

    Private

    Sector

    MethaneGas Privatesector 100MWe 25by2012and75

    by2015

    MININFRA,

    RECO,RURA,

    PrivateSector

    Additional

    Diesel

    24M 10MWe 10by2011 MININFRA,

    RECO

    OffGrid

    renewable

    sources

    50M 50% 5

    MWe 5

    by

    2015 MININFRA,

    privatesector

    Planned electricity generation mix for Rwanda for

    the period 20102015

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    ImmediateGoals

    Securepredictableandadequatefundingforgeothermal

    explorationand

    development

    Capacitybuilding&Equipmenttoensuresustainableutilization

    andmanagementofthegeothermalresources

    Findhighproductiongeothermalwells Reducerisksandcosts

    tomakegeothermaltrulyleastcost

    Formulationof

    alegal

    and

    regulatory

    frame

    work

    and

    policies

    Attractprivatesectorparticipation Expressionofinterest

    prepared

    Generate20MWe in5years

    Earlywellgenerationencouraged

    Confirmgeothermal

    potential

    of

    more

    300MWe

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    What is Geothermal energy

    Heat Source

    Hot Water

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    Fracture

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    Fractures & Faults &

    Alteration

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    Hot Springs at 70C

    Fault Trace

    FaultControlledSurfaceManifestations

    Hot Springs with Travertine

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    How does geothermal compare to mining?

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    Nyamuragira eruption Jan 2010

    Nyiragongo eruption in

    2002

    Evidence of the Heat Source- It is regional

    http://www.airlinesanddestinations.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/100724-nyiragongo-01.jpghttp://www.airlinesanddestinations.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/100724-nyiragongo-01.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Democratic_Republic_of_the_Congo_location_map.svghttp://www.airlinesanddestinations.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/100724-nyiragongo-01.jpg
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    Possible drilling area.

    KARISIMBI VOLCANO

    Evidence of Heat Source- Rwanda

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    Current Status- Rwanda Geothermal Area

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    Conceptual Model for Geothermal System

    Fluid-rich, high-permeability fracture/pore zone in subsurface

    HeatSource

    Recharge

    Recharge

    zone

    Downflow

    Z

    X

    Y

    Reservoir

    Lateralflow

    Fault

    Surfaceblanket

    Productionzone

    Productionwell

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    GeothermalResourcesAssessment&Development

    2main

    activities

    (in

    steps)

    GeothermalResourcesExploration(GRE)

    Reconnaissance

    studies Surfacestudies

    Explorationandappraisaldrilling

    Prefeasibilitystudies

    and

    Baseline

    EIA

    GeothermalResourcesDevelopment(GRD)

    Productiondrilling

    Powerplantdesign&construction

    Powerlineconstruction

    Whatis

    Rwanda

    Geothermal

    Resources

    Exploration

    Strategy(RGRES)?

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    Stepwiseapproachtogeothermalexplorationanddevelopment

    Step 1

    Review existing data

    Prepare Project Plan

    Step 2 Detailed Geoscientific studies in phases

    Step 3

    Exploration drilling

    Field Appraisal conceptual modeling and review meetings

    Step 4 Production Drilling and monitoring

    Step 5

    EIA and Feasibility

    Power plant design construction, reinjection strategies

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    CurrentStatus

    Gisenyi

    Karisimbi

    Kinigi

    WesternProvince(900Km2)

    Gisenyi

    Karisimbi Kinigi

    NoSurfaceStudiesDone Area

    hasnewspringsafter2008

    earthquake

    Bugarama(over400km2)

    A il bl h i l d t

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    Available geophysical data

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    Kiningi

    Karisimbi

    Gisenyi

    Geothermal Areas Karisimbi Target area about 25Km2

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    SummaryofCurrentStatus

    Prospect Inception

    Report

    Surface

    Recon

    Studies

    Detailed

    Surface

    Studies

    Wells Sited Wells

    Drilled

    Western

    region

    Yes Yes Partially

    Done

    NO NO

    Southern

    region

    NO NO NO

    Other Areas NO NO NO NO NO

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    Issuesaffectinggeothermaldevelopment

    Institutional

    Inadequatefacilities

    Inadequateandwellmotivatedhumanresources

    Nospecificdeliverablesandtimelinesforachievinggeothermalexploration

    anddevelopmenttargetsintheRNPDP

    Inadequateandunpredictablefunding

    Local&regionalcollaborationwithallstakeholders

    Technical

    Dowe

    have

    geothermal

    resources,

    how

    deep

    and

    what

    is

    the

    temperature

    and

    fluid

    chemistry? Drillandtestexplorationwells

    Inadequatedatatoconclusivelydeterminethegeothermalpotential Drilling+

    additionalexploration

    Wheredowedrillandwheredowegetwaterfordrilling?

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    Issuesaffectinggeothermaldevelopment

    Legal&Regulatory

    Noexistinglegal&regulatoryframeworkforgeothermalexplorationand

    development

    Noresourcemanagementact Geothermalsameareaasoil&Gas

    Mechanismforgivingoutconcessions

    Policy

    Incentives&

    tariffs

    How

    to

    attract

    foreign

    investors

    Foreignexchangeriskmanagement

    Localcommunity,localgovernmentsandlocalprivateinvestorsparticipation

    Indirectusesofgeothermalresources

    Perception Risky,expensive,Nonbelievers

    inviability

    of

    geothermal

    energy

    Wh t d t b d ?

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    Whatneedstobedone? Planfor220years

    Discuss,involve

    &

    seek

    concurrence

    of

    all

    stake

    holders

    Have

    a

    sharedcommitment,vision&missiontoachievegeothermal

    Detailedsurfacestudies&explorationdrillinginallthe4

    geothermalprospects

    Formulatebestandmosteconomicdevelopmentscenarios

    Drill3exploration

    wells

    in

    each

    of

    the

    4prospects

    after

    detailed

    studies

    Locatedrillingtargets&watersources&EIA

    Encourageuse

    of

    well

    head

    generating

    units

    Welltesting&reservoirmodelling

    Legal&regulatoryframework

    Concessionprocedures DowegiveconcessionsonlytoRwanda

    h d b d ?

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    Whatneedstobedone?

    Planfor220years

    Sourceforfunding fortraining,equipment&geothermaldevelopment

    Prepareexpressionofintereststogaugeinterestinexploration&

    developmentofgeothermalresources

    Putinplaceincentives&tariffs Howtoattractforeigninvestors

    Recruit&Trainstaffbothlocally&overseas(includingonjobtraining)

    Engagelocal

    communities,

    local

    governments

    and

    local

    private

    investors

    participation

    Focusonindirectusesofgeothermalresources

    Showcase

    geothermal

    potential

    in

    Rwanda

    through

    workshops

    &conferences

    ChangePerception Shareinformationthroughworksshops,

    attendingconferences

    for

    policy

    makers

    and

    opinion

    leaders

    A ti iti

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    Activities

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    WhoShouldbeinvolved TeamApproach

    Governmentalpolicies

    &

    incentives

    MININFRA,

    MINECOFIN,

    RURA,

    RWANDADEVELOPMENTBOARD,MINELA

    Treatmentofforeigninvestment RDB,MINECOFIN,

    Landconcessions,

    landownership

    issues,

    land

    administrative

    issues

    andutilityregulators MININFRA,MINELA,MINALOC,RURA

    Environmentalregulations&licencesforgeothermalexploration

    REMA,MININFRA

    UtilitiesandRegulators

    Transmissioninfrastructure&gridextensionplans RECO&RWASCO

    Availabilityofengineering/scientificresources ??KIST??UNR??

    Staff Requirements

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    StaffRequirements

    Specialty Cadre Current Additional Remarks

    Reservoir

    Engineering

    Graduate 1 1 SteamfieldandgatheringSystem

    Technician 0 2 Well loggingandsteamsystem

    Geology Graduate 0 2 Lab,rig&fieldwork

    Technician 0 2 Lab&

    rig

    work

    Geophysics Graduate 1 1 Electric, PotentialandSeismology

    Technician 0 2 Dataacquisitionandequipment

    Geochemistry Graduate 1 1 Lab,field

    and

    rig

    work

    Technician 0 2 Dataacquisition,equipment

    Environment Graduate 0 1 Liaison onallenvironmentalissues

    Technician 0 1 Dataacquisition

    and

    analysis

    Drilling Graduate 0 2 Logistics&drillingoperations

    Technician 0 2 Supportdrilling logistics&operations

    PowerPlant Graduate 1 1 Operations&maintenance

    Technician 0 2

    l f d ll f d ff

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    Exampleofdrillingcostsfordifferentoptions

    Welltype Rwandaowned rig

    costsX1000(USD)

    E.Acontractedrig

    costsX1000(USD)

    Internationally

    contractedrigcostsX

    1000(USD)

    Exploration(3) 11,100 14,100 22,500

    Appraisal(3) 11,100 14,100 22,500

    Production

    (4) 14,800 18,800 30,000Drillingcostsper

    field

    37,000 47,000 75,000

    Otherfieldcosts 8,000 8,000 25,000

    Totalperfield 45,000 55,000 100,000

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    Summaryofindicativecosts

    Description Unitprivate

    ratesX1000

    (USD)

    Privatetotal

    costsX1000

    (USD)

    E.A. Unitcosts

    X1000(USD)

    TotalE.A.costs

    X1000(USD)

    Surfacestudies

    (4fields)1,890 7,560 900 3,600

    Watersupply 2,500 2,500

    Infrastructure 5,000 20,000 2,000 8,000Exploration

    wells(3wells)

    7,500 22,500 4,700 14,100

    Welltesting(3

    wells)

    1,500 4,500 120 360

    Next12wells 7,500 90,000 4,700 56,400

    Testing12wells 1,500 18,000 120 1,440

    165,060 86,400

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    Description Costs(US$)X1000 Remarks

    Surfaceexplorationof

    Karisimbi&Bugarama

    900 Requiresstrengtheningof

    localhumanresourceto

    domostofthework

    Water&Infrastructurefor

    drillingexplorationwells

    4,500 Uselocalcontractorsfor

    siteconstruction&civil

    works.Requires

    the

    local

    privatesectortothe

    strengthened

    Drill

    1

    st

    3

    wells

    in

    Karisimbi

    usingrigsintheEastAfrica

    region

    14,100 Use

    of

    rigs

    in

    the

    East

    AfricaRegion.Thiscould

    involvebilateral

    agreementssaywiththe

    Ministryof

    Energy

    in

    Kenyarepresentedbythe

    GeothermalDevelopment

    companyWelltesting&modelling 120

    Total 19,620

    Required inputs from donors stakeholders

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    Required inputs from donors , stakeholders,

    investment banks etc

    (a)Capacity

    Building

    HumanResource:Trainingof9graduatesand12technicians Equipmentandsoftware: Equipmentandmaterialfor

    geothermalexploration

    (b)TechnicalAssistance:

    Financing ofdetailedgeoscientificstudiesofKarisimbi,Gisenyi,KinigiandBugarama.

    Explorationdrillingof threewellsinKarisimbifield Riskmitigationfundforthreeexploratorydrillinginthe

    Karisimbiprospect Development explorationpolicyand regulatoryframework Financeforfeasibilitystudy,pilotpowerplantdesignand

    construction

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    MURAKOZE