OMO, the New Era of Online Educationfilecache.investorroom.com/mr5ir_onesmart/209/download... ·...
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March 2020
OMO, the New Era of Online Education
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China offline K-12 AST market is projected to grow at 9% CAGR,
while the premium sector is expected to grow at 16%
169(30%)146
(28%)
109(25%)
349(74%)
475
324(75%)
373(72%)
2018
126(26%)
2019 2020
395(70%)
2021
196(32%)
416(68%)
2022
Premium CAGR +16%
Non-premiumCAGR +6%
433
518
564
611CAGR+9%
Premium after-school tutoring (AST) sector grows much faster than the entire market
Source: Frost & Sullivan: China’s K-12 After-School Tutoring Market Study (March 2018)
China K-12 AST Market Size (2018 – 2022F)
RMB billions
Rising awareness and preferences for
individualized learning
Consumption upgrade by increasing
number of Mid-Class families
Rising willingness to pay for premium
services
The premium sector presents the most attractive segment in the offline space
~RMB 200bn
premium market
Notes: 1) Premium tutoring services refers to either 1-on-1classes priced at or above RMB 200 per session or small group classes priced at or above RMB 120 per session, according to Frost & Sullivan2) Numbers were projected back in 2017, when it only included limited size for online AST sector as it was still at nascent stage. For example, it predicted less than RMB 10bn online revenue by 2022. An updated projection for online sector by the same vendor is provided on next slide
Drivers of premium market growth:
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3Source: Goldman Sachs Research, Frost & Sullivan, CITIC securities
20
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20
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E
20
20
F
20
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F
20
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F
2
20
23
F
Online Small Group Class & 1v1
Online Large Group Class
121 3 6
30
64
119
197
277
367
China online AST market size
55% CAGR
China online AST market penetration
1.0%1.3%1.8%2.9%
45.0%
15.7%
4.7%
9.5%
23.4%
32.4%
39.0%
20
16
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
17
20
18
20
19
E
20
20
F
20
21
F
20
22
F
20
23
F
Online AST as % of total AST market*
RMB billions
CAGR @
52%
CAGR @
58%
China online AST market expects much faster growth at 55% CAGR
driven by rapid consumer adoption and increased supply
* Forecasts were made before the COVID-19 outbreak, numbers may be higher due to potentially higher online adoption
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While all three segments present attractive growth potential, the online large class segment
is relatively crowded, while the other two segments still at early stage
Each online formats satisfies 2 of the 3 key consumer preferences: convenience, effectiveness & price
There are three major online segments, each offers differentiated
value propositions thus create growth potential
Effectiveness
PriceConvenience
Online
1on1 Class
Online
Small Group
Class
Online
Large Class
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Both offline and online models are facing their own challenges
Online ModelOffline Model
X License requirements for centers
X Coverage limitation (~3 kilometers
from centers)
X Capex and local management
requirements
X Ramp-up time requirements (3yrs to
stabilize)
X Impact by online penetration
X Fierce competition
X Learning results not ideal due to limitation
on engagement level, thus still challenged
to meet K-12 score improvement
requirements, the main industry demand
X High customer acquisition cost due to high
cost and low conversion rates in online
channels
X Profitability largely not proven… so far
only few online large class models
profitable
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OMO model combines advantages of both online and offline
models
OMO Model
Online teaching/service +
Offline experience center
Offline Model
Pure offline
No online presence
Convenience
Interactions /
Services Quality
Acquisition Cost
Expansion Pace
For
custo
mer
For
Com
pany
High, student
Can learn at home
High, offline real
person interactions
Online services
also available
Relatively low,
Offline centers help
lower CAC
Light offline centers
serve as experience
center for acquisition
and service functions
Low, student
needs to visit
offline center
High, offline real
person interactions
Low CAC
Slow, requires
license approval
= best
= worst
Combines advantages of both
online and offline models
Online Model
Pure online,
No offline center
High, student
Can learn at home
Low,
only online
services
High, acquires
customer online
leads to high CAC
Fast, can expand
nationwide quickly
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Better
Teacher
Convenience
Customer Needs
希望加频的同时希望节约往返校区的时间
/
Customer Types
Existing Customer New Customer
More frequency while
also save commute
time:
Weekday online
courses
Same city but long
distance from
OneSmart center:
OMO model
Better teacher
For high school
students*
OMO model
* Online education suitable for high school students because:
1. Lower tier city students demand for higher quality teachers often gathered in the largest cities of China such
as Beijing and Shanghai
2. College entrance exam is more standardized countrywide in China;
3. Students more self driven thus more concentrated when doing online classes
OMO model helps offline players address incremental demand, helps
expand into areas where offline centers cannot yet cover
• Online and offline integrated
• Leverages ~430 offline learnings
centers in 20+ provinces
• Convenient for students at long
distance to our centers or students
prefer online education
• Choices for higher quality teachers
located in the largest cities of China
OneSmart OMO
model
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OneSmart OMO model: integrated with offline business and offers
supplementary and compelling value proposition
Offline Center
Online Platform
Show-room
Feedback & Services
Customer
acquisition
ConsultancyStudent
Assessment
Teaching
Customer Demand Products Unit Economics
OneSmart
Offline Model
Prefer effectiveness of onsite
1on1 tutoring
1on1 format and typically
focused on one or two
subjects
Proven unit economics (Per Student
OP Margin >25%) and margin
expansion driven by new center
ramp-up
OneSmart OMO
Model
1. Time and convenience
2. No limitation on distance
3. Cover more lower tier cities
4. Choices of high quality teacher
1. Offerings of more subjects
2. 1on1, group and large class
formats
3. Choices of shorter term
packages
1. Unit economics comparable to
offline model: some discounts to
offline pricing, offset by rental
savings, higher teacher utilization
rate and similar acquisition cost
2. Profitable growth … not to burn
money for scale
Supplementary to offline business to capture larger market demand
OneSmartAPP
Offline and Online
integrated
Teaching &
Services
OneSmart OMO Model
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City Tier
Positioning
Higher
Lower Higher
Tier 1 & 15 Largest Tier
2 Cities
OneSmart Offline
& Weekday Online
Tier 3 Cities
OneSmart
Online OMO
Tier 2 Cities
OneSmart Offline
& Online OMO
OneSmart Business Line / City Tier Matrix
OMO offerings provide a much larger addressable market, creating
largely increased growth potential for OneSmart
OneSmart Offline Business
Note: Tier-1 includes 4 cities, Tier-2 includes 45 cities
• Upgrade to more premium Elite products to drive
incremental growth
• Growth strategy is to scale up the top 20 cites to
achieve city level operations efficiency and
economy of scale
• Incremental growth and margin expansion driven
by ramp-up of the 237 new centers opened in
FY18 & FY19
Growth Strategy
OneSmart OMO
• Expand our offerings to cover students located far
from our currently limited center network in tier 2
cities
• Possibility to enter tier 3 or even lower tier cities
where we have not entered yet
While OneSmart will continue to grow its offline business to strengthen its leading position in the offline
premium sector, it will strategically focus on OMO model to capture much enhanced addressable market
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OneSmart OMO products satisfy the demand of majority students
Online Small Group Classes
- Two versions: premium and regular
- Initially focused on students from 4th grade to 9th
grade, expand to 10th through 12th graders
2
Overseas Studies Test Preparation and Consulting Classes
- Online 1on1 and small group test preparation
classes for students who plan to study abroad
- The consultants also help students through the
school application process
3
Young Children Classes
- Online small group classes for Primary School &
Kindergarten
- Mainly English Language and Math programs
4
Online Personalized 1on1 Classes
- 1on1 Online classes for K-12 tutoring
- Focused on middle and high school students
1
Source: China student population data based on NDS data and Goldman Sachs research
High School
Middle School
Primary School&
Kindergarten
OneSmart OMO Products Map
24million
47million
104 million
By Student Grades
By Market Segmentation / Affordability
Premium Market
Mass to high-end market
Online K-12 Personalized
1on1 classes
Premium K-12 small
group classes
Regular K-12 Small
group classes
Online Large classes
Young Children Classes
Online K-12 Small Group Classes
Online K-12 personalized 1on1 classes
Overseas Studies Test Preparation and Consulting
48 million
China Student
Population in 2019
OneSmart Online
Products
Note: OneSmart also plans to roll out a online large class as a complementary product SKU
Young Children Classes
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OneSmart OMO model’s advantages and quality control
High quality delivery
Customer acquisition
Management system
OneSmart OMO Methodology
- Customer acquisition through offline channels, i.e. learning centers, AI experience centers
- Additional acquisitions through online channels, i.e. private online traffic channels (WeChat public account, WeChat Mini Programs, and online APPs)
- Other customer acquisition channels shared with offline businesses, i.e. cross selling, telemarketing, etc.
- Unified application user platform--- OneSmart Online
- AI powered teaching system is based on years of teaching research and large digitized notes and quiz database
- Online teaching management platform and quality control mechanism built from years of offline operations
- Online based customer relationship management tools learnt from offline experience
- Localized teaching & research team (mostly for middle school students)
- Higher quality star teachers for high school students
- Personalized premium services
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Thank You