OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE AMENDMENT
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Transcript of OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE AMENDMENT
AGENDA
Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft
Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft (with recommended changes)
PROBLEM STATEMENT
Recreational fisheries are inherently uncertain
Existing Rec AMs do not take this into account
SOLUTION
Proactive–Explicitly address uncertainty
Reactive–Explicitly, implicitly address
uncertainty–Avoid “over-reacting”
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE
Proactive–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1A. No Action/Status
Quo
Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty
Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty
Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1A. No Action/Status
Quo
– …identify and review the relevant sources of management uncertainty…
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting
of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty
2013 ACT ACL ACT PSEAdjusted
ACT
Atl. Mackerel 5.983 5.386 18.567 4.872
Bluefish 27.472 22.801 8.000 20.977Summer Flounder 10.230 10.230 8.200 9.391
Scup 8.520 8.520 13.933 7.333
Black Sea Bass 2.370 2.370 11.967 2.086
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2A. No Action/Status
Quo
Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections
Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season Closure Authority
Alternative 2D: In-Season adjustment to bag,size,season, as possible
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In
Season Projections.
Black Sea Bass
90% of RHL harvested in
Wave 3
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In
Season Projections.
Black Sea Bass
Wave
1 2 3 4 5 6
2010 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.018 0.825 0.881
2011 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2012 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.054 0.924 0.934
P(C > RecACL)
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season
Closure Authority.
NC NY
JANUARY/FEBRUARY 75,634 0
MARCH/APRIL 13,514 0
MAY/JUNE 155,890 384,539
JULY/AUGUST 84,919 612,500
SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 67,193 593,076
NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 18,879 67,462
Wave 2009-2012 Landings (N)
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action/Status Quo
Alternative 3B. Single Year
Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval
Alternative 3D. Repeat
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In
3 Year Average*
* SF-SC-BSB
Overage = Ave. Catch – Ave. ACL
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In
3 Year Average*
* SF-SC-BSB
Overage = Ave. Catch – Ave. ACL
1.6, 1.6
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3B. No Action Single
Year*
* Mack, Blue
Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3B. No Action Single
Year*
* Mack, Blue
Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL
5
Response Alternatives Alternative 4A. No Action
Alternative 4B. Payback when Overfished or Overfishing
Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no Payback if B/Bmsy >1
Alternative 4D. No Payback
Alternative 4E. Pay back when the stock is overfished or when combined recreational and commercial ACL is exceeded
Response Alternatives
Monitoring:
If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred, [as in §648.X] the following year's landings would be monitored in-season for persistence in increased landings. The RA will publish a notice to reduce the length of the fishing season as necessary.
Response Alternatives
Bag, Size, Season:
If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred [as in §648.X], the [species Monitoring Committee or RA ?] shall develop measures to prevent a subsequent overage.
Response Alternatives
Bag, Size, Season:
the current process of adjusting recreational management measures (i.e., fish size, season, and possession limit) each year would not, in and of itself, be a fully consistent accountability measure because the process requires analysis and Council deliberation
Response Alternatives
Bag, Size, Season:
the current process of adjusting recreational management measures (i.e., fish size, season, and possession limit) each year would not, in and of itself, be a fully consistent accountability measure because the process requires analysis and Council deliberation
Response Alternatives
Bag, Size, Season:
Occurs along with …
1. In Season Closure Authority
2. Risk Policy
3. Responsive to overages
Response Alternatives
Payback:
If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred [as in §648.X], a deduction [as in §648.X] will be made as soon as possible, from a subsequent single fishing year recreational ACT.
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5A. No Action
Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished
Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished and Overfishing
Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to B/Bmsy
Alternative 5E. No Payback
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5A. No Action
Alt 5A
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR,
CR+C > ABCCR > ACLR,
CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1
CR - ACLR1> B/Bmsy > ½
½ > B/Bmsy
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
– ABC and OFL overage
Rec overage is the proportion of the total overage caused by the rec fishery
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
OFL 7,000,000
ABC 4,500,000
Rec ACL 2,520,000
Com ACL 1,980,000
Rec Catch 3,623,000
Com Catch 1,962,000
Catch R+C 5,585,000
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
Rec ACL Overage 1,103,000
Com ACL Overage -18,000
ABC Overage 1,085,000
Rec Contribution 1.00
Com Contribution 0.00
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
Com ABC Payback 0
Rec ABC Payback 1,085,000
OFL Overage 0
Rec Contribution 0
Com Contribution 0
Rec OFL Payback 0
Com OFL Payback 0
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL
Only when Overfished
Alt 5B
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR,
CR+C > ABCCR > ACLR,
CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1 0 0 OROFL
1> B/Bmsy > ½ 0 ORABC ORABC
½ > B/Bmsy CR - ACLR CR - ACLR CR - ACLR
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL
Only when Overfished and Overfishing
Alt 5C
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR,
CR+C > ABCCR > ACLR,
CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1 0 0 0
1> B/Bmsy > ½ 0 0 OROFL
½ > B/Bmsy 0 ORABC CR - ACLR
Alt 5C
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR,
CR+C > ABCCR > ACLR,
CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1 0 0 0
1> B/Bmsy > ½ 0 0 OROFL
½ > B/Bmsy 0 ORABC
CR - ACLR
Payback Alternatives
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to
B/BmsyStock Status Payback
B/Bmsy > 1 0
1 > B/Bmsy > 1/2
Scaled to B/Bmsy
BSB: 12,700/12,978, Overage coefficient =
0.04
B/Bmsy < 1/2 1:1
(𝐵𝑚𝑠𝑦−𝐵)12𝐵𝑚𝑠𝑦
Putting It All Together
ACT Alternative
s
In Season Closure
Alternatives
TriggerAlternative
s
ResponseAlternative
s
PaybackAlternative
s
Public Hearings
Date Location
29-Apr Warwick, RI
30-Apr Riverhead, NY
1-May Manahawkin, NJ
2-May Ocean City, MD
3-May Virginia Beach, VA
FR Notice Apr 12, 2013