OMMI 2008 Fuzzy Logic Prioritizing Maintenance Work in Operative Planning

8/14/2019 OMMI 2008 Fuzzy Logic Prioritizing Maintenance Work in Operative Planning

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• Tbszk ge cbifzkfbfok cbf#mg{|s gf zbsns ge b |kabziukay agt icxg|zbfok

• O|{oiba zbsns agsz if cbifzkfbfok lbonagd

• [f{ziaipkj cbifzkfbfok obxboiziks

• Jissbziseikj smgx eag{| cbfbdkckfz! xk|sgffka bfj o{szgck|s

• Abon ge ebizm if zmk keekoziukfkss ge cbifzkfbfok syszkc bfj izs obxboiziks

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ge gxk|bziuk xabffifd if cbifzkfbfok& Zmk|k b|k jieek|kfz ckzmgjs eg| jkzk|cififd

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x|ig|iziks ^?S&

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• Tmkf jkzk|cififd x|ig|izy ge zmki| gtf cbifzkfbfok |kr{i|kckfzs! xkgxak gfaymbuk if cifj zmki| gtf sogxk ge boziuiziks&

• Basg! kuk|ygfk if bf g|dbfipbzigf zbnks bjubfzbdk ge zmk x|ig|izy syszkc bfj

batbys jkeifk zmki| |kr{i|kckfzs zg mbuk x|ig|izy midmk| zmbf fkokssb|y bs!

gzmk|tisk! iz cby mbxxkf zmbz zmki| tg|n is fkuk| jgfk&

• B ‑|kba– x|ig|izy if cbifzkfbfok tg|n is jkeifkj ly uiktifd ogfskr{kfoks ge {fjgfk tg|n bfj kr{ixckfz ogfjizigf jkzk|cifkj ly ifsxkozigf&

• ‑\kba– x|ig|iziks akbj zgtb|js zmk ijkb zmbz cgsz ge zmk tg|n is xabffkj bfj zmkfkeeioikfzay ob||ikj g{z boog|jifd zg b somkj{ak! tmiom bs b ogfskr{kfok mbs

omkbxk| cbifzkfbfok tg|n bfj cg|k keekoziuk jkbaifd&

Gfk ge zmk ckzmgjgagdiks eg| jkzk|cififd x|ig|iziks! tmiom is e{|zmk| kablg|bzkj bfj

bj`{szkj eg| x|bozioba {sk! is b |kabziuk x|ig|izy d|bjbzigf zkomfir{k g| b ‑\KJ\I_Z–zkomfir{k& ‑\KJ\I_Z– ifjk} is bf g{zx{z ge ztg o|izk|ib& Zmk ei|sz o|izk|igf is bf ifjk}

ge b |kabziuk icxg|zbfok ge b eboiaizy bfj zmk skogfj o|izk|igf is bf ifjk} ge b |kabziuk

icxg|zbfok ge b zyxk ge cbifzkfbfok tg|n& Zmk agtk| uba{k ge ‑\KJ\I_Z– ifjk} ^:!;S

is! zmk midmk| x|ig|izy ge bf gxk|bzigf x|gokj{|k is&

FB_B$s \OC d{ijk lggn |kogcckfjs b x|ig|izy jkzk|cifbzigf ckzmgj lbskj gf

zmk ogfskr{kfoks ge Kr{ixckfz Ebia{|k ^5S! tmiom is if boog|jbfok tizm b lbsio

x|ifoixak eg| zmk skakozigf ge b cbifzkfbfok sz|bzkdy lbskj gf \OC ckzmgjgagdy&

X|ig|iziks b|k jkzk|cifkj ly bf icxboz gf cissigf! sbekzy ge aiek bfj bubiabliaizy ge

|kj{fjbfoy&

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lbskj gf zmk egaagtifd0




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• Kr{ixckfz o|{oibaizy

• Keekozs ge b zbsn g| tg|n boogcxaismkj

• Aicizbzigfs

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ge icxg|zbfok& B ogclifbzigf ge kr{ixckfz o|{oibaizy bfj keekozs ge tg|n obf lk o|gss#

|kek|kfokj ifzg b cbz|i} zg x|guijk b |kabziuk tkidmz ge kbom zbsn if ogcxb|isgf tizm baa

gzmk| zyxks ge zbsns& Zmk zick e|bcks tizmif tmiom zmksk x|ig|izipkj zbsns b|k baagtkj zgbxxkb| b|k cb|nkj tizm ogag|s& \ksz|iozigfs gf zmk eagt ge tg|n if zmk |kbaizy bjj zmk

zmi|j jickfsigf zg zmk x|gokss ge x|ig|izisifd bfj zmby b|k ablg| smg|zbdk! bubiabliaizy ge eboiaiziks! sxb|k xb|zs kzo&

Zmk|k b|k sicxak| ckzmgjs aink b ckzmgj ge jyfbcio ogkeeioikfz ^4S! bfj cg|k

ogcxaiobzkj ckzmgjs aink b ckzmgj eg| sic{abzkj jyfbcio gxk|bziuk xabffifd tizm

ombfdkblak b||bfdkckfz o|izk|ib ^=S&

_zbzkj ckzmgjs jg fgz mbuk b {fir{k bxx|gbom bfj kcxmbsipk jieek|kfz o|izk|ib

zmbz ifea{kfok cbifzkfbfok x|ig|iziks& Iz is gluig{s zmbz jkzk|cifbzigf ge x|ig|iziks is

lkzzk| ie baa ifea{kfziba o|izk|ib if bf g|dbfipbzigf b|k zbnkf ifzg boog{fz& Mgtkuk|! zmisl|ifds {s zg b ogcxak} x|glakc tmiom is mb|jk| zg |ksgauk if x|bozisk& Zmis is tmy iz is

|ksg|zkj zg izs mik|b|omioba sz|{oz{|ifd g| b c{azixmbsk bxx|gbom tmiom sagts jgtf zmk

ckzmgjgagdy& _{om ogcxak} g| c{azio|izk|ib x|glakcs obf lk |ksgaukj {sifd b

c{azio|izk|ib ckzmgjgagdiks aink! eg| k}bcxak! bf BMX ckzmgj ^9S& Mgtkuk|! if zmis

obsk! zmki| ebsz bfj x|bozioba {sk is r{kszigfblak bs k}iszifd sgeztb|ks b|k fgz bj`{szkj

eg| s{om b {sk& Mkfok! zmk|k is basg b x|glakc ge b fkkj eg| ifszbfz bfj x|bozioba {sk ge

zmk x|ig|izy jkzk|cifbzigf syszkc& Lkob{sk ge zmis zmk x|glakc is sicxaieikj bfj gfay

gfk g| ztg ifea{kfziba o|izk|ib b|k zbnkf ifzg ogfsijk|bzigf&

< _KAKOZKJ CKZMGJ

_zb|zifd e|gc bf bss{cxzigf zmbz cg|k o|{oiba o|izk|ib fkkj zg lk zbnkf ifzg

ogfsijk|bzigf bfj bz zmk sbck zick zg x|guijk b x|bozioba bfj ebsz sga{zigf zg b x|glakc!zmk|k is b s{ddkszigf zg icizbzk zmk cbffk| if tmiom b m{cbf k}xk|z tg{aj sgauk b

x|glakc& K}xk|zs jg fgz {sk cbzmkcbzioba |kabzigfs l{z gf zmk lbsis ge zmki| gtf

k}xk|ikfok bfj nfgtakjdk zmky obf kszblaism ifzk|jkxkfjkfok lkztkkf ok|zbif o|izk|ib

bfj diuk bf gxzicba oabssieiobzigf boog|jifd zg zmk x|ig|izy if b d|g{x ge cg|kcbifzkfbfok |kr{i|kckfzs& _{om b tby ge x|ig|izy jkzk|cififd obf lk x|kskfzkj

uk|lbaay {sifd aifd{iszio IE#ZMKF |{aks& Iz bxxkb|s zmbz bf k}xk|z |bfns kuk|y o|izk|igfl{z tizm ifboo{|bzk bfj icx|koisk omb|bozk|iszios& _g! ie! eg| ifszbfok! K}iszkfz zick jkaby

is omgskf zg lk b o|izk|igf! iz obf lk jkso|ilkj bs smg|z! ckbf g| agfd& Iz obffgz lk sbijtmk|k oakb| lg{fjb|iks lkztkkf bfj z|bfsizigfs e|gc _MG\Z zg CKBF bfj e|gc CKBF

zg AGFD b|k& K}bozay lkob{sk ge zmis b sga{zigf zg b x|glakc mbs lkkf s{ddkszkj {sifde{ppy agdio bfj bxx|g}icbzk |kbsgfifd& Zmk {sk ge e{ppy agdio cby z{|f k}xk|z

nfgtakjdk k}x|ksskj ifboo{|bzkay bfj uk|lbaay ^28!22S ifzg b {fir{k bfj kbsiayogcx|kmkfsilak ckzmgjgagdy eg| zmk jkzk|cifbzigf ge x|ig|iziks if gxk|bziuk xabffifd&

If e{ppy#agdio syszkcs zmk nfgtakjdk is x|kskfzkj tizm IE#ZMKF |{aks tmiom b|k b

s{izblak uk|lba eg|c ge m{cbf nfgtakjdk& E{ppy agdio keeioikfzay sgauks zmk x|glakc ge

|kabziuk d|bjbzigf ge icxg|zbfok ge xb|zio{ab| o|izk|ib& E{ppy syszkc obf lk kbsiay cbjk&

Iz baagts bf ifz|gj{ozigf ge cg|k o|izk|ib eg| bfbaysis bfj ge zmgsk tmiom og{aj fgz mbuklkkf bfbaipkj sg eb|! tmiom ifo|kbsks zmk r{baizy ge jkoisigf#cbnifd& Bezk| zmk syszkc mbs




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lkkf bj`{szkj! lgzm |g{dm bfj x|koisk o|izk|ib r{bfzieiobzigf b|k baagtkj& Zmk {sk is sicxak

lkob{sk b {sk| jgks fgz mbuk zg obao{abzk g| zmifn blg{z mgt zg |kbom b |ks{az&

? BF G[ZAIFK GE ZMK CGJKA

B cgjka eg| skzzifd {x cbifzkfbfok x|ig|iziks is cbjk eg| sgauifd b tijk |bfdk

ge x|glakcs& Lkob{sk ge zmis! cg|k o|izk|ib mbj zg lk zbnkf ifzg ogfsijk|bzigf tmiom

ogfz|il{zkj zg zmk jkukagxckfz ge b ogcxak} cgjka& If g|jk| zg x|kskfz zmk k}xk|z#ainktby ge zmifnifd bfj zg sgauk x|glakcs! zmk syszkc is o|kbzkj zg mbuk b mik|b|omioba bfj

cgj{ab| sz|{oz{|k& K}xk|z#aink tby ge skzzifd {x x|ig|iziks is z{|fkj ifzg bf badg|izmc

bfj ifoa{jkj if zmk cgjka& B oakb| |kabzigf bfj ifzk|jkxkfjkfok lkztkkf o|izk|ib iskszblaismkj! tmiom |kx|kskfzs b lbsis eg| g{zx{z uba{ks if zmk cgjka& Zmk sz|{oz{|k ge zmk

cgjka is bj`{szkj eg| zmk {sk ge e{ppy agdio bfj bxx|g}icbzk |kbsgfifd& Zmk cbifegaagtifd o|izk|ib b|k zbnkf ifzg ogfsijk|bzigf0

2& Bsskz izkc icxg|zbfok!<& Cissigf -zbsn) icxg|zbfok!

?& Cbifzkfbfok bozigf icxg|zbfok!:& K}iszkfz zick jkaby if zmk cbifzkfbfok syszkc

;& Agdiszios bfj Bjcifisz|bziuk jkaby zick&

Zmk ei|sz zm|kk o|izk|ib b|k jkeifkj cg|k sxkoieiobaay if b tby zmbz Bsskz izkc icxg|zbfok

is lkifd jkeifkj ly zbnifd ifzg boog{fz zmk egaagtifd0 Ogszs ge l|kbnjgtf!

Ogfskr{kfoks ge l|kbnjgtf gf cb`g| syszkc bfj Bubiabliaizy ge |kj{fjbfoiks& Cissigf -zbsn) icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf is jkeifkj ly zbnifd ifzg boog{fz zmk egaagtifd0

K}xagizbzigf ogkeeioikfz! Cissigf -zbsn) zyxk bfj G|dbfipbzigf s{lsyszkc icxg|zbfok

eg| zmk tijk| syszkc& Cbifzkfbfok bozigf icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf is jkeifkj ly zbnifd ifzg

ogfsijk|bzigf zmk egaagtifd0 Bookxzblak zick jkaby! Zick zg |kxbi| bfj Ogcxb|bziuk

cbifzkfbfok zbsn icxg|zbfok&

Zmk lbsio g{zaifk ge zmk cgjka ge zmk syszkc ogfsiszs ge eiuk cgj{aks mik|b|omiobaay

g|dbfipkj gf zm|kk akukas! Eid{|k 2! if s{om b tby zmbz g{zx{z o|izk|ib gf gfk akuka b|k

ifx{z o|izk|ib gf zmk fk}z! midmk| akuka& G{zx{z uba{k if zmk cgjka is b x|ig|izy ckbs{|kbfj zmk fbck x|gxgskj eg| zmis uba{k is Cbifzkfbfok tg|n x|ig|izy ifjk}&




Iss{k ?&

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Eid{|k 2& Bf g{zaifk ge zmk lbsio cgjka

Gfok zmk x|glakc is sgaukj gf zmk gxk|bziuk xabffifd akuka! zbnifd ifzg boog{fz b

ab|dk f{clk| ge o|izk|ib keeioikfoy ge {sk is obaakj ifzg r{kszigf& Zmis is tmy iz is

kcxmbsiskj zmbz b cgjka jksidfkj gf zmk s{ddkszkj o|izk|ib is b lbsio cgjka eg| b d|kbz

f{clk| ge siz{bzigfs& Iz x|guijks bf gxxg|z{fizy zg kaicifbzk |kj{fjbfz o|izk|ib eg| sxkoieio

syszkcs bomikuifd zmk sicxaioizy ge izs x|bozioba {sk ^9S& Zmis |kr{i|kckfz og{aj basg lk

ckz lkob{sk ge e{ppy agdio bfj izs xgssiliaiziks& Eg| ifszbfok! ie zmk ei|sz zm|kk o|izk|ib tk|kji|kozay jkeifkj! zmk cgjka tg{aj lk |kj{okj e|gc 22 zg ; o|izk|ib&

If x|boziok! Cbifzkfbfok tg|n x|ig|izy ifjk} tg{aj lk uba{kj eg| kuk|y|kr{i|kckfz bfj zmki| sg|zifd tg{aj x{z |kr{i|kckfzs if g|jk| boog|jifd zg b x|ig|izy&Gf Eid{|k 2& kuk|y o|izk|igf is x{z if b skxb|bzk sr{b|k bfj zmki| c{z{ba ifea{kfok is

x|kskfzkj tizm b||gts& Zm|kk o|izk|ib gf zmk skogfj akuka goo{xy zmk okfz|ba xabok if zmk

cgjka0 Bsskz izkc icxg|zbfok! Cissigf -zbsn) icxg|zbfok bfj Cbifzkfbfok bozigf

icxg|zbfok&

Kbom ge zmksk o|izk|ib is jkeifkj tizm zm|kk o|izk|ib e|gc agtk|! zmi|j akuka&

Dkfk|ba icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf is gf zmk ei|sz akuka bs b |ks{az ge b s{laicifba ifea{kfok ge

zmk o|izk|ib e|gc zmk skogfj akuka& Zgdkzmk| tizm K}iszkfz zick jkaby if zmk cbifzkfbfok

syszkc bfj Agdiszios bfj Bjcifisz|bziuk jkaby zick o|izk|ib! zmky jkzk|cifk zmk g{zx{z

uba{k eg| Cbifzkfbfok tg|n x|ig|izy ifjk} cgjka&

Zmk ei|sz cgjka skzs {x Bsskz izkc icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf! tmiom is bf g{zx{z uba{k

if zmk cgj{ak bfj jkxkfjs gf 2! < bfj ? o|izk|ib e|gc zmk zmi|j akuka& Zmk o|izk|igf

cb|nkj tizm f{clk| 2! Ogszs ge l|kbnjgtf! smgts zmbz b zkomioba jkuiok -smg|z ZJ) is

baa zmk cg|k icxg|zbfz bs Ogszs ge L|kbnjgtf ifo|kbsk& Zmk ifea{kfok ge zmis o|izk|igf is

ji|kozay x|gxg|zigfbzk! zm{s midmk| ogszs ogfz|il{zk zg liddk| Bsskz izkc icxg|zbfok&Zmk o|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| < is fbckj Ogfskr{kfoks ge l|kbnjgtf gf zmk cb`g|

syszkc& Iz obf lk sbij zmbz bs zmk jkcbfj eg| b zkomfioba jkuiok eg| zmk cb`g| syszkc




Iss{k ?&

4

gxk|bzigf ifo|kbsks! izs icxg|zbfok is liddk|& O|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| ?!

Bubiabliaizy ge |kj{fjbfoiks! smgts zmk xgssiliaiziks ge b |kxabokckfz ge b l|gnkf#jgtf

zkomfioba jkuiok! xk|cbfkfzay g| {fzia iz is |kxbi|kj! tizm bfgzmk| jkuiok! tmiom tg{aj|kj{ok cbifzkfbfok |kr{i|kckfzs kck|dkfoy&

Zm{s! zmis o|izk|igf mbs bf ifuk|skay x|gxg|zigfbzk ifea{kfok gf zmk g{zx{z uba{k!Bsskz izkc icxg|zbfok! if zmk ei|sz cgj{ak&

Zmk skogfj cgj{ak jkzk|cifks Cissigf -zbsn) icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf& Iz is bf

g{zx{z uba{k if zmk cgj{ak tmiom jkxkfjs gf o|izk|ib :! ; bfj 5 gf zmk zmi|j akuka& Zmko|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| :! Gxk|bzigf ogkeeioikfz! zbnks ifzg boog{fz zmk k}zkfz zg

tmiom zmk jkuiok is {skj g| smg{aj lk {skj& Zmk o|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| ;! Cissigf

-zbsn) zyxk! zbnks ifzg ogfsijk|bzigf zmk cissigf g| zbsn zmk zkomfioba jkuiok is {skj eg|& Bz

b diukf zick sgck zbsns g| cissigfs mbuk jieek|kfz x|ig|iziks tmiom jkzk|cifks b midmk|

g| agtk| uba{k ge zmk Cissigf -zbsn) zyxk& Zmk o|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| 5!

G|dbfisbzigf s{lsyszkc icxg|zbfok eg| zmk syszkc! zbnks ifzg ogfsijk|bzigf mgt c{om

bf g|dbfisbzigf s{lsyszkc is icxg|zbfz eg| zmk gxk|bzigf ge zmk syszkc g| zg tmbz k}zkfz

zmk ebia{|k ge b zkomfioba jkuiok tiaa |kj{ok x|gj{ozigf g| guk|baa keekozs ge zmk cb`g|

syszkc& Bs eg| zmk ifea{kfok ge zmk sxkoieikj zm|kk o|izk|ib e|gc zmk zmi|j akuka gf zmk

uba{k ge Cissigf -zbsn) icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf! iz obf lk sbij zmbz zmky mbuk b ji|kozay

x|gxg|zigfbzk ifea{kfok&

Bs if zmk ei|sz ztg cgj{aks! Cbifzkfbfok bozigf icxg|zbfok -CB) basg jkxkfjs gf

zmk o|izk|ib 4! = bfj 9 e|gc zmk zmi|j akuka bfj zgdkzmk| zmky cbnk zmk zmi|j cgj{ak& Zmko|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| 4 is sxkoieikj tizm zmk fbck Bookxzblak zick jkaby& Zmk|k is

{s{baay b xk|igj ge zick j{|ifd tmiom zmk e{aeiackfz ge |kr{i|kckfzs obf lk jkabykjtizmg{z ifo{|ifd bjjizigfba k}xkfsks g| ob{sifd |kj{ozigf ge zmk r{baizy ge sk|uiok bfj zmis

xk|igj ge zick is jkeifkj bs Bookxzblak zick jkaby& Iz obf lk sbij zmbz zmk midmk| zmk uba{kge Bookxzblak zick jkaby o|izk|igf is zmk agtk| Cbifzkfbfok bozigf icxg|zbfok& Zmk

o|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| =! Zick zg |kxbi|! is zick fkkjkj eg| zmk xk|eg|cbfok ge b|kr{i|kj cbifzkfbfok bozigf& _mg|zk| cbifzkfbfok bozigfs smg{aj mbuk midmk| x|ig|izy&

Zm{s! Zick zg |kxbi| mbs bf ifuk|say x|gxg|zigfba ifea{kfok gf zmk uba{k ge Cbifzkfbfokbozigf icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf& Zmk o|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| 9! Ogcxb|bziuk

cbifzkfbfok zbsn icxg|zbfok! zbnks ifzg boog{fz zmk ogfskr{kfoks ge b xgssilak jkaby ge

cbifzkfbfok tg|n ogcxakzigf if obsks aink b jbfdk| ge bf booijkfz! |ks{azifd jbcbdks bfj

ifzk||{xzigf if x|gj{ozigf& Izs ifea{kfok gf zmk uba{k ge Cbifzkfbfok bozigf icxg|zbfok

o|izk|igf is ji|kozay x|gxg|zigfba&

Iz obf lk sbij zmbz zmk o|izk|ib 28 bfj 22 x|kskfz syszkc |ksz|iozigfs& Zmk o|izk|igf

cb|nkj tizm f{clk| 28 is fbckj Agdiszios bfj Bjcifisz|bziuk jkaby zick&

Jkzk|cifbzigf ge zmk uba{k ge zmis o|izk|igf is lbskj gf agdiszios bfj bjcifisz|bziuk

cbifzkfbfok tbizifd zick bfj iz |kx|kskfzs b jkuibzigf ge b |kba syszkc e|gc bf ijkba

cbifzkfbfok syszkc! tmiom tg{aj x|guijk baa ifjisxkfsblak |ksg{|oks if bfy xabok bz

bfy zick& Iz obf lk sbij zmbz zmis o|izk|igf mbs bf ifuk|skay x|gxg|zigfba ifea{kfok gfCbifzkfbfok tg|n x|ig|izy ifjk} uba{k&

Zmk absz o|izk|igf cb|nkj tizm f{clk| 22 is fbckj K}iszkfz zick jkaby if

cbifzkfbfok syszkc& K}xk|ikfok mbs smgtf zmbz if b cbifzkfbfok tg|nsmgx b

zmkomfioba jkuiok eg| sgck |kbsgf gezkf mbs zg lk x{z bsijk eg| b xk|igj ge zick lkeg|k iz

is cbifzbifkj& Ie zmk|k b|k batbys cg|k x|ig|iziskj |kri|kckfzs! iz cby mbxxkf zmbz zmk

zkomfioba jkuiok is fkuk| cbifzbifkj& Ie K}iszkfz zick jkaby is agfd! zmk zkomfioba jkuiok

smg{aj lk btb|jkj midmk| x|ig|izy bfj if zmbz tby zbnk izs z{|f eg| cbifzkfbfok& Mkfok!




Iss{k ?&

=

zmk uba{k ge K}iszkfz zick jkaby if zmk cbifzkfbfok syszkc mbs b ji|kozay x|gxg|zigfba

ifea{kfok gf zmk uba{k ge Cbifzkfbfok tg|n x|ig|izy ifjk}&

Zmis is gfk ge zmk x|glakcs zmbz mbuk fgz mbj bf bookxzblak sga{zigf sg eb|&

: CGJKA E[PPIEIOBZIGF

Jkeififd ok|zbif o|izk|ib bfj kszblaismifd zmki| ifzk|jkxkfjkfok is fgz zmk kfj ge

zmk cgjkaifd x|gokss lkob{sk zmk|k is b fkkj zg z|bfsabzk k}xk|z nfgtakjdk ifzg bfbadg|izmc bfj ifz|gj{ok iz ifzg zmk cgjka {sifd IE#ZMKF |{aks& Bs zmk jkso|ilkj g{zaifk

ge zmk cgjka eg| zmk ifzk|jkxkfjkfok syszkc is bj`{szkj zg e{ppyeiobzigf! iz is cgjkakj

bs b ogcxak} e{ppy syszkc ogfsiszifd ge eiuk e{ppy cgj{aks mik|b|omiobaay g|dbfiskj gfjieek|kfz akukas& Kuk|y cgj{ak is gfk e{ppy syszkc ogfsiszifd ge zm|kk ifx{z aifd{iszio

ub|iblaks bfj gfk g{zx{z aifd{iszio ub|iblak! bs smgtkj gf Eid{|k <& Zmk cgj{ab|x|ifoixak is {skj eg| kbsik| syszkc bfbaysis bfj! ly zmis! kbsik| uk|lba jkso|ixzigf ge izs

gxk|bzigf i&k& eg| j|btifd {x IE#ZMKF |{aks& Zmk aifd{iszio ub|iblak Ogcxb|bziukcbifzkfbfok zbsn icxg|zbfok! mbs z|ibfdak eg|cs ge ckcklk|smix e{fozigfs ge ifx{z

aifd{iszio uba{ks tizm zmk egaagtifd xb|bckz|ks0 _CBAA -8!8!2)! \KABZIUK -8!8&;!2)!LID -8&;!2!2)& Gzmk| aifd{iszio ub|iblaks basg mbuk z|ibfdak ifx{z aifd{iszio uba{ks tizm

zmk egaagtifd xb|bckz|ks0 Bookxzblak zick jkaby # _MG\Z -8!8!2)! CKBF -8!8&;!2)!

AGFD -8!2!2)& Zick zg |kxbi| # _MG\Z -8!8!2)! CKBF -8!8&;!2)! AGFD -8!2!2)&Ogcxb|bziuk cbifzkfbfok zbsn icxg|zbfok # _CBAA -8!8!8&;)! \KABZIUK -8!8&;!2)!

LID - 8&;!2!2)&

Eid{|k <& B e{ppy#cgj{ak




Iss{k ?&

9

Cgjkaaifd ge kuk|y ifx{z aifd{iszio ub|iblak is jgfk {sifd zm|kk aifd{iszio uba{ks& Zmis

skzs {x bf ifx{z lbsk ge |{aks eg| gfk cgj{ak og{fzifd <4 |{aks baa zgaj& \kskb|omks mbuk

smgtf zmbz zmis is b f{clk| ge |{aks tmiom cby ifoa{jk k}xk|zs’ nfgtakjdk bfj tmiomb|k fgz bz zmk sbck zick agbjkj tizm jbzb k}xk|zs obffgz ogfz|ga& If obsk fg cgj{ab|

x|ifoixak mbs lkkf {skj! bf ifx{z lbsk ge ?22

32442:4 |{aks tg{aj mbuk zg lk {skj& Iz isoakb| zmbz fg k}xk|z og{aj k}x|kss mis nfgtakjdk if zmis tby& Zm{s! zmk ifz|gj{ozigf ge

zmk nfgtakjdk ge zmk syszkc tbs ogcckfokj ly cgjkaaifd mik|bmioba cgjka tizm zmk

zgzba ge eiuk lbsks ge |{aks tizm <4 |{aks kbom! tmiom is 2?; |{aks baa zgaj& Bezk|

gxzicisbzigf ge zmk f{clk| ge |{aks! eg| tmiom b sxkoiba ckzmgj tbs jkuiskj! zmk syszkc

fgt mbs 59 IE#ZMKF |{aks baa zgdkzmk| ^9S& Eg| zmk jke{ppieiobzigf ckzmgj tbs omgskf

b Okfz|k ge D|buizy ckzmgj -OGD) sifok iz is ogccgf bfj x|bozioba eg| zmk

jkukagxkckfz ge zmk e{ppy syszkc bfj iz ifs{|ks |kr{i|kj ogfzif{izy bfj d|bj{baizy ge bf

g{zogck ^2<S&

Iz obf lk sbij zmbz zmk cgjka icizbzks bf k}xk|z g| b jkoisigf cbnk| bfj b {sk|

mbs b oakb| ifsidmz ifzg zmk k}xk|z nfgtakjdk zm|g{dm zmk IE#ZMKF eg|c ge |{aks& [sifd

zmksk |{aks! zmk k}xk|z r{baizbziukay jkso|ilks zmk syszkc tmiom is abzk| bj`{szkj eg|

eifjifd cg|k x|koisk sga{zigfs& Basg! kuk|y |{ak oakb|ay ifjiobzks mgt zg |kbom zmk dgba!

zmbz is! ifo|kbsk cbifzkfbfok keeioikfoy& Bf k}bcxak ge zmk egaagtifd |{ak szbzks zmbz

|kr{i|kckfzs b|k e{aeiakj0IE BUBIABLIAIZY GE \KJ[FJBFOK_ I_ D\KBZ BFJ OG_Z_ GE

L\KBNJGTF AGT BFJ OGF_KR[KFOK_ GE L\KBNJGTF GF ZMK CB@G\

_Y_ZKC CIFG\ ZMKF B__KZ IZKC ICXG\ZBFOK I_ _CBAA&

; B ZYXK GE _IC[ABZIGF CGJKA

B e{aa#sobak ifzk|jkxkfjkfok cgjka! g{zaifkj bs b ogcxak} e{ppy syszkc! obffgz

lk jksidfkj if E{ppy Agdio Zggalg} eg| Cbzabl ^2?S sifok zmis sgeztb|k xbonbdk is fgzjksidfkj eg| cgj{ab| jkukagxckfz ge ogcxak} syszkcs& Eg| zmis |kbsgf zmk x|glakc is

sgaukj ly sic{abzigf if Cbzabl szbfjb|j cgj{ak eg| sic{abzigf ‟ _ic{aifn! bs iz aifnslagons if b sicxak cbffk| bfj basg s{xxg|zs zmk e{ppy syszkcs cgjkaifd& Cbzabl is bf

bjkr{bzk xbonbdk sifok iz obf dkfk|bzk bf g|idifba ogjk if O abfd{bdk& Zmis x|guijks b

lbsis eg| ifzkd|bzigf ifzg ba|kbjy cbjk x|gd|bcs tmgsk x{|xgsk is zg b{zgcisk zmkcbifzkfbfok xabffifd x|gokss& Eid{|k ? smgts b lagon ge somkcks ge b e{aa#sobak

sic{abzigf cgjka&




Iss{k ?&

28

Eid{|k ?& B lagon ge somkcks ge b sic{abzigf cgjka

B d|bxmio x|kskfzbzigf ge zmk cgjka {sifd lagons tbs {skj bs zmk cgsz ogfukfikfz bfj

ebszksz tby zg kjiz b cgjka bfj bomikuk jksi|kj |ks{azs& _kfsiziuizy zkszifd is b uk|y

ogcxak} zbsn! zm{s! b uk|y ogcxak} sic{abzigf cgjka tbs x|gj{okj lkob{sk ge tmiom

d|g{xs ge lagons b|k xggakj& Zmk somkck x|kskfzs iz bs gfk lagon! bfj iz ogfz|il{zks zgcgjka’s oakb|fkss& Zmk xioz{|k smgts zmbz zmk sic{abzigf cgjka ogfsiszs ge ztg cb`g|

lagons0 zmk e{ppy syszkc bfj skfsiziuizy bfbaysis s{lsyszkc& Iz is gluig{s zmbz ifx{zuba{ks b|k kfzk|kj ifzg lagons tizm zmk fbcks ge kuk|y uba{k& \kozbfdaks jisxaby g{zx{z

uba{k |kbjifd& Zmk sic{abzigf cgjka mbs baa zmk eboiaiziks fkkjkj eg| jksidfifd bfjuk|ieiobzigf ge b cgjka bfj b {sk| obf skz bsijk gfay b e{ppy syszkc lagon iaa{sz|bzkj gf

Eid{|k :&




Iss{k ?&

22

Eid{|k :& Zmk e{ppy syszkc

Eg| b {sk| -x|bozioigfk|) iz |kx|kskfzs b syszkc tmiom mbs kakukf ifx{z ub|iblaks bfj gfk

g{zogck! tmiom |kx|kskfzs b x|kek|kfok ifjk} eg| cbifzkfbfok x|ig|izipifd& Zmk {sk|

jgks fgz fkkj zg nfgt mgt zmk syszkc gxk|bzks! l{z zmk|k is b xgssiliaizy zg glsk|uk if

jkzbia mgt kizmk| b sic{abzigf cgjka g| b e{ppy syszkc cgj{ak gxk|bzks& Eg| bfbaysis isx|guijkj zmk glsk|ubzigf ge |ks{azs if lkztkkf bs kuk|y e{ppy cgj{ak mbs b jisxaby eg|

|ks{az |kbjifd&

If g|jk| eg| zmis sic{abzigf cgjka zg gxk|bzk! ok|zbif x|glakcs |kabzkj zg zmkegaagtifd fkkjkj zg lk sgaukj0

2& Ck|difd ge e{ppy cgj{aks if b {fir{k syszkc<& _xkoieioizy zmk ifzk|ombfdkblak ub|iblaks lbsk ge |{aks

?& \kj{ozigf ge ifzk|uba if kuk|y cgj{ak g{zx{z ^2:S :& \ksz|iozigf ge ifx{z uba{ks if zmk sic{abzigf cgjka e|gc {xxk| bfj agtk| sijk!

jkxkfjifd gf zmk z|{sz ifzk|uba ge kuk|y ifx{z ub|iblak&




Iss{k ?&

2<

;& _kfsiziuizy bfbaysis ly ub|ibzigf ge gfk ge zmk kfz|iks bfj izs d|bxmio

x|kskfzbzigf&

Zg smgt b d|bxmio x|kskfzbzigf bs oakb| bs xgssilak bfj zg xk|eg|c b sic{abzigf bs

sicxay bs xgssilak ifizibzigf bfj jkzk|cifbzigf ge d|bxmio x|kskfzbzigf is b{zgcbziotmiom is akez g{z ie skfsiziuizy bfbaysis is fgz |kr{i|kj&

Zmk s{lsyszkc eg| e{ppy cgjka skfsiziuizy bfbaysis x|guijks b ub|ibzigf ge

ok|zbif ifx{z uba{ks e|gc zmki| cificba zg zmki| cb}icba uba{k if zmk {fiuk|sk ge jisog{|sk& _kfsiziuizy bfbaysis is jgfk bezk| bf g|jifba f{clk| ge bf ifx{z ub|iblak is

kfzk|kj if b s{l#lagon obaakj Ub|yifd ifx{z& Zmk |ks{az ge zmk ub|ibzigf is diukf if b

d|bxmio eg|c gf Eid{|k ;& tmiom |kx|kskfzs b ombfdk ge x|ig|izy ifjk} jkxkfjifd gf b

ub|ikj ub|iblak7 Ogfszbfz uba{k ge gzmk| ub|iblaks is kfzk|kj if mkbjifds tmiom! if s{om

b obsk! |kx|kskfz bfbaysis xb|bckzk|s& _kfsiziuizy bfbaysis smg{aj lk xabffkj bfj

xk|eg|ckj zgdkzmk| tizm zmk {sk ge b d|bxmio x|kskfzbzigf ge b d|g{x ge xgssilak

sga{zigfs eg| kuk|y cgj{ak&

Eid{|k ;& Ub|ibzigf ge zmk ub|iblak

Bezk| uk|ieiobzigf bfj ubaijbzigf ge zmk cgjka bf ifjkxkfjkfz x|gd|bc is cbjk sifok

Cbzabl dkfk|bzks O#ogjk& Zmk x|gd|bc cby lk aifnkj tizm K}oka tmk|k ifx{z bfj

g{zx{z |ks{azs b|k omb|zkj! sg|zkj ly zmk g|jk| ge x|ig|izy eg| bfy f{clk| ge cbifzkfbfok

|kr{i|kckfzs&




Iss{k ?&

2?

Zblak 2& Ogcxb|bziuk cbifzkfbfok zbsn icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf

5& Bf k}bcxak ge {sk Eg| x|bozioba {sk if ^9!:S b|k diukf |kek|kfoks eg| mgt zg jkzk|cifk zmk ifx{z

o|izk|ib uba{k& [sifd zmksk |kek|kfoks zmk {sk| smg{aj lk blak zg |bzk zmk uba{k ge kuk|y

ifx{z o|izk|ib& Bf k}bcxak is diukf if omb|z 2& tizm |kek|kfoks eg| dkfk|ba f{ck|ioba

uba{ks ge Ogcxb|bziuk cbifzkfbfok zbsn icxg|zbfok o|izk|igf& Iz is kbsy `{sz zg oaion gf

cbifzkfbfok zbsn zk|c bfj zg mbuk baa zmk gzmk| jbzb b{zgcbziobay&

Zmis cgjka mbs lkkf {skj eg| b agfdk| xk|igj ge zick if Kakoz|gfio Jiuisigf ifFbuba \kxbi| Eboiaizy Ziubz eg| gxk|bziuk xabffifd |kr{i|kckfzs& B ogcxakzk x|gokj{|k

ge ;8 cbifzkfbfok |kr{i|kckfzs g| sg b z|bifkj {sk| -xabfk|) cby eifism if :; cif{zkstmiom `{szieiks zmk {sk ge zmis cgjka& Zmk x|gd|bc is ogclifkj tizm zmk k}iszifd

sgeztb|k eg| fkztg|n xabffifd bfj x|g`koz cbfbdkckfz ksxkoibaay lkob{sk zmis sgeztb|kmbs sgaukj zmk x|glakc ge jisz|il{zigf bfj lbabfoifd ge |ksg{|oks&




Iss{k ?&

2:

Zmk jissbjubfzbdk ge zmis bxx|gbom is zmbz iz mbs zg lk bj`{szkj zg ogfo|kzk

x|glakcs& If zmbz obsk b sicxak| cgjka is lkzzk|& Basg! zmk|k is b x|glakc ge ogffkozifd

tizm jieek|kfz OCC_& Mgtkuk|! zmis jgks fgz jicifism cgjka$s r{baiziks&

4& OGFOA[_IGF

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OMMI 2008 Fuzzy Logic Prioritizing Maintenance Work in Operative Planning

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